Unstructured brainstorming is not enough: structured brainstorming based on four verification and validation questions yields better hazard identification in healthcare.

OBJECTIVES: (1) To introduce the Methodical Hazard Identification Checklist (MHIC) for structured brainstorming and the four V&V categories on which it is based, and (2) to compare its efficacy with that of brainstorming (BS) in identifying hazards in healthcare. DESIGN: Comparative analysis of MHIC and team BS results. SETTING: Baruch Padeh Medical Center, Poriya, Israel. STUDY PARTICIPANTS: Quality engineering students, facilitators, validation teams and hospital staff who were familiar with the specific processes. INTERVENTION(S): The number of hazards identified by team BS were compared with those deduced by applying the four V&V hazard categories to each step (the MHIC) of 10 medical and 12 administrative processes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE(S): The total number of hazards (1) identified by BS, (2) identified by MHIC, (3) validated by the validation team and (4) hazards identified by both methods that the validation team deemed unreasonable. RESULTS: MHIC was significantly more successful than BS in identifying all hazards for the 22 processes (P < 0.0001). The estimated probabilities of success for BS for administrative and medical processes were 0.4444, 95%CI = [0.3506, 0.5424] and 0.3080, 95%CI = [0.2199, 0.4127], respectively. The estimated probabilities of success for MHIC for administrative and medical processes were 0.9885, 95%CI = [0.9638, 0.9964] and 0.9911, 95%CI = [0.9635, 0.9979], respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Compared to traditional BS, MHIC performs much better in identifying prospective hazards in the healthcare system. We applied MHIC methodology to administrative and medical processes and believe it can also be used in other industries that require hazard identification.

Frequent Surfing on Social Health Networks is Associated With Increased Knowledge and Patient Health Activation.

BACKGROUND: The advent of the Internet has driven a technological revolution that has changed our lives. As part of this phenomenon, social networks have attained a prominent role in health care. A variety of medical services is provided over the Internet, including home monitoring, interactive communications between the patient and service providers, and social support, among others. This study emphasizes some of the practical implications of Web-based health social networks for patients and for health care systems. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to assess how participation in a social network among individuals with a chronic condition contributed to patient activation, based on the Patient Activation Measure (PAM). METHODS: A prospective, cross-sectional survey with a retrospective component was conducted. Data were collected from Camoni, a Hebrew-language Web-based social health network, participants in the diabetes mellitus, pain, hypertension, and depression/anxiety forums, during November 2012 to 2013. Experienced users (enrolled at least 6 months) and newly enrolled received similar versions of the same questionnaire including sociodemographics and PAM. RESULTS: Among 686 participants, 154 of 337 experienced and 123 of 349 newly enrolled completed the questionnaire. Positive correlations (P<.05) were found between frequency and duration of site visits and patient activation, social relationships, and chronic disease knowledge. Men surfed longer than women (χ²3=10.104, P<.05). Experienced users with diabetes surfed more than those with other illnesses and had significantly higher PAM scores (mean, M=69.3, standard deviation, SD=19.1, PAM level 4; Z=-4.197, P<.001) than new users (M=62.8, SD=18.7, PAM level 3). Disease knowledge directly predicted PAM for all users (ß=.26 and .21, respectively). Frequency and duration of social health network use were correlated with increased knowledge about a chronic disease. Experienced surfers had higher PAM than newly enrolled, suggesting that continued site use may contribute to increased activation. CONCLUSIONS: Web-based social health networks offer an opportunity to expand patient knowledge and increase involvement in personal health, thereby increasing patient activation. Further studies are needed to examine these changes on other aspects of chronic illnesses such as quality of life and costs.

Defensive Medicine Among Plastic and Aesthetic Surgeons in Israel.

BACKGROUND: Defensive medicine (DM) includes medical practices that are aimed at avoiding liability rather than benefitting the patient. DM has not been well characterized among plastic surgeons. OBJECTIVES: The authors examined the extents of intended and unintended DM among members of the Israeli Society of Plastic and Aesthetic Surgery (ISPAS) and identified risk factors for DM. METHODS: A total of 108 ISPAS members were asked to complete a questionnaire that addressed physician attitudes toward DM and intended or unintended DM practices. RESULTS: Seventy-eight surgeons (72.2% response rate) returned the questionnaire, although some questionnaires were returned incomplete. Forty respondents acknowledged practicing DM (ie, DM group), and 33 respondents did not (ie, non-DM group). There were no between-group differences in gender, years of practice, or number of previous litigations. Thirty-one percent of respondents in the DM group indicated that they avoid certain surgical procedures, compared with 6% of respondents in the non-DM group (P = .008). In private practice, 66.2% of respondents stated that they obtain written informed consent twice before surgery, and 100% request preoperative blood-coagulation testing. In contrast, 40% and 74% of respondents in public practice, respectively, acknowledged these behaviors (for consent, P = .027; for testing, P = .0059). Sixty-three percent of respondents prescribe antibiotics for more than 24 hours postoperatively, and this practice was slightly more common in the DM group (34 prescribe antibiotics vs 21 in the non-DM group; P = .079). CONCLUSIONS: DM is highly integrated into the daily medical practices of plastic surgeons in Israel.

[WELL-CHILD VISITS REGARDING GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT OF INFANTS: A CROSS-CULTURAL COMPARISON].

AIMS: 1. To examine the rate of WCV among mothers in four ethno-cultural groups: native-born Jewish, Bedouin and immigrants from the Former Soviet Union (FSU) and Ethiopia; 2. to test the relationship between WCV in the first and second year of the infant's life; 3. to assess the effect of sociodemographic variables on WCV. BACKGROUND: Consistent infant well-child visits (WCV) have been found to be related to better health status and a decrease in visits to the emergency room and hospitalizations. METHODS: The data were collected in the Beer Sheva district among community-dwelling women in the years 2010-2012. The quota sample comprised of 400 mothers: 100 from each group. The inclusion criteria were: age (18-35 years old), either first or second child, or age of the youngest child between 18- 24 months. Immigrant mothers lived in Israel for at least 10 years. The monitoring of WCV was evaluated according to the registered number of visits in the well-baby clinic registration card. RESULTS: Mothers from all groups completed fewer WCV than the recommended number. The highest rate of visits was observed among the immigrants from the FSU, and the lowest rate among the Bedouin mothers (p<.001). Mothers of higher economic status had a higher rate of WCV (b = 0.38, p < 0.001). The rate of WCV in the second year was a function of the rate of WCV in the first year (b = 0.51, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Medical personnel treating infants should address the ethno-cultural and economic background of mothers. It is important to give mothers information about preventive medicine at an early stage in the infant's life and to encourage mothers in general and Bedouin mothers in particular to comply with recommendations regarding WCV.

Adherence to Medical Cannabis Among Licensed Patients in Israel.

Objectives: To evaluate adherence among Israeli patients who are licensed to use medical cannabis and to identify factors associated with adherence to medical cannabis. Methods: Ninety-five novice licensed patients were interviewed for this cross-sectional study. The questionnaire measured demographics, the perceived patient-physician relationship, and the level of patients' active involvement in their healthcare. In addition, patients were queried about adverse effect(s) and about their overall satisfaction from this medical treatment. Results: Eighty percent (n=76) has been identified as adherent to medical cannabis use. Variables found associated with adherence were "country of origin" (immigrant status), "type of illness" (cancer vs. non-cancer), and "experiencing adverse effect(s)." Three predictors of adherence were found significant in a logistic regression model: "type of illness" (odds ratio [OR] 0.101), patient-physician relationship (OR 1.406), and level of patient activation (OR 1.132). 71.5% rated themselves being "completely satisfied" or "satisfied" from medical cannabis use. Conclusions: Our findings show a relatively high adherence rate for medical cannabis, as well as relative safety and high satisfaction among licensed patients. Additionally indicated is the need to develop and implement standardized education about this evolving field-to both patients and physicians.

Clinical outcomes and cost effectiveness of accelerated diagnostic protocol in a chest pain center compared with routine care of patients with chest pain.

AIMS: The aim of this study was to compare in patients presenting with acute chest pain the clinical outcomes and cost-effectiveness of an accelerated diagnostic protocol utilizing contemporary technology in a chest pain unit versus routine care in an internal medicine department. METHODS AND RESULTS: Hospital and 90-day course were prospectively studied in 585 consecutive low-moderate risk acute chest pain patients, of whom 304 were investigated in a designated chest pain center using a pre-specified accelerated diagnostic protocol, while 281 underwent routine care in an internal medicine ward. Hospitalization was longer in the routine care compared with the accelerated diagnostic protocol group (p<0.001). During hospitalization, 298 accelerated diagnostic protocol patients (98%) vs. 57 (20%) routine care patients underwent non-invasive testing, (p<0.001). Throughout the 90-day follow-up, diagnostic imaging testing was performed in 125 (44%) and 26 (9%) patients in the routine care and accelerated diagnostic protocol patients, respectively (p<0.001). Ultimately, most patients in both groups had non-invasive imaging testing. Accelerated diagnostic protocol patients compared with those receiving routine care was associated with a lower incidence of readmissions for chest pain [8 (3%) vs. 24 (9%), p<0.01], and acute coronary syndromes [1 (0.3%) vs. 9 (3.2%), p<0.01], during the follow-up period. The accelerated diagnostic protocol remained a predictor of lower acute coronary syndromes and readmissions after propensity score analysis [OR = 0.28 (CI 95% 0.14-0.59)]. Cost per patient was similar in both groups [($2510 vs. $2703 for the accelerated diagnostic protocol and routine care group, respectively, (p = 0.9)]. CONCLUSION: An accelerated diagnostic protocol is clinically superior and as cost effective as routine in acute chest pain patients, and may save time and resources.

Adherence to acute otitis media treatment guidelines among primary health care providers in Israel

AIMS: To determine the appropriateness of the acute otitis media antibiotic treatment prescribed in the community in relation to the therapeutic guidelines. METHODS: Children aged 3 months-3 years diagnosed with simple uncomplicated acute otitis media in 6 community primary care clinics were enrolled. Data on the antibiotic treatment were collected using computerized medical files. RESULTS: 689 simple uncomplicated acute otitis media patients were enrolled; 597 (86.9%) were treated with antibiotics by 38 family medicine practitioners, 12 pediatricians and 7 general practitioners. 461 (77.2%) patients were <2 years of age. Amoxicillin was administered to 540 (90.5%) patients, with no differences between the various medical specialties. 127/540 (23.5%) patients did not receive the appropriate dosage; 140/413 (33.9%) patients treated with appropriate dosage did not receive the treatment for the appropriate duration of time. 258/357 (72.3%) evaluable patients <2 years of age received an antibiotic considered inappropriate to guidelines (38 not treated with amoxicillin, 94 received inappropriate dosage and 126 not treated for 10 days); 53/100 (53%) evaluable children >2 years of age received an inappropriate antibiotic treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of primary care physicians treat simple uncomplicated acute otitis media with the recommended antibiotic drug. However, incorrect dosage and shorter than recommended duration of therapy may jeopardize the quality of care in children with simple uncomplicated acute otitis media. .

Adherence to acute otitis media treatment guidelines among primary health care providers in Israel.

AIMS: To determine the appropriateness of the acute otitis media antibiotic treatment prescribed in the community in relation to the therapeutic guidelines. METHODS: Children aged 3 months-3 years diagnosed with simple uncomplicated acute otitis media in 6 community primary care clinics were enrolled. Data on the antibiotic treatment were collected using computerized medical files. RESULTS: 689 simple uncomplicated acute otitis media patients were enrolled; 597 (86.9%) were treated with antibiotics by 38 family medicine practitioners, 12 pediatricians and 7 general practitioners. 461 (77.2%) patients were <2 years of age. Amoxicillin was administered to 540 (90.5%) patients, with no differences between the various medical specialties. 127/540 (23.5%) patients did not receive the appropriate dosage; 140/413 (33.9%) patients treated with appropriate dosage did not receive the treatment for the appropriate duration of time. 258/357 (72.3%) evaluable patients <2 years of age received an antibiotic considered inappropriate to guidelines (38 not treated with amoxicillin, 94 received inappropriate dosage and 126 not treated for 10 days); 53/100 (53%) evaluable children >2 years of age received an inappropriate antibiotic treatment. CONCLUSIONS: The majority of primary care physicians treat simple uncomplicated acute otitis media with the recommended antibiotic drug. However, incorrect dosage and shorter than recommended duration of therapy may jeopardize the quality of care in children with simple uncomplicated acute otitis media.

Increased prevalence of obstructive lung disease in patients with obstructive sleep apnea.

STUDY PURPOSES: This study aims to determine whether there is an increased prevalence of obstructive lung diseases (OLDs) in patients with obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). We also determined whether among the OLD patients there is a difference in the prevalences of specific chronic disease co-morbidities between patients with and without OSA. METHODS: The prevalences of COPD, asthma, and COPD combined with asthma (ICD-9 coding) were compared between 1,497 adult OSA patients and 1,489 control patients, who were matched for age, gender, geographic location, and primary care physician. The prevalences of specific co-morbidities were measured in the OLD groups between patients with OSA and the matched control group. RESULTS: COPD, asthma, and COPD combined with asthma were found to be more prevalent among OSA patients compared to the matched controls. Prevalences among patients with and without OSA, respectively, were COPD-7.6 and 3.7 % (P<0.0001), asthma-10.4 and 5.1 % (P<0.0001), COPD plus asthma-3.3 and 0.9 % (P<0.0001). The Charlson Comorbidity Index was greater for OSA patients (2.3 ± 0.2) than for controls (1.9 ± 1.8; P<0.0001). These trends held for all severity ranges of OSA. Patients with OSA and COPD were characterized by more severe hypoxia at night compared with the OSA patients without OLD. CONCLUSION: OSA was associated with an increased prevalence of OLDs.

Patient activation, depression and quality of life.

OBJECTIVE: "Patient activation" describes the extent to which individuals manage their own healthcare. This study evaluated the association of patient activation, depressive symptoms and quality of life in a primary care setting. METHODS: 278 patients who visited two primary care clinics were interviewed in the waiting room before their appointment or by telephone. Study participants completed the Patient Activation Measure (PAM), Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) and Short Form-12 Health Survey (SF-12). Physicians assessed each participant's depression status immediately after the visit. RESULTS: PAM scores correlated negatively with PHQ-9 (r=-0.35, p<0.0001) and positively with total SF-12 score (r=0.39, p<0.0001). Increased participant involvement by one-level increments on the PAM was predicted by their being in the 55 to 74-year age group and higher total SF-12 quartiles. Almost half of those scoring ≥10 on PHQ-9 were not considered depressed by their physician (false negatives, i.e. "hidden depression"). CONCLUSION: In primary care settings, PAM is easily administered and useful for general patients and for those with depressive symptoms. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: Assessing patient activation will enable caregivers to monitor levels of self-care (activation) and potential adherence to health behavior recommendations. PHQ-9 screening could increase awareness of "hidden depression" in the primary care setting.

The economic impact of obstructive sleep apnea.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) has a substantial economic impact on healthcare systems. We reviewed parameters affecting healthcare costs (race, low education, and socioeconomic status) on OSA comorbidity, and costs and the effect of OSA treatment on medical costs. RECENT FINDINGS: OSA is associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) morbidity and substantially increased medical costs. Risk for OSA and resulting CVD are associated with obesity, tobacco smoking, black race, and low socioeconomic status; all these are associated with poor continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) adherence. Healthcare costs are not normally distributed, that is, the costliest and the sickest upper third of patients consume 65-82% of all medical costs. Only a limited number of studies have explored the effect of CPAP on medical costs. SUMMARY: Costs of untreated OSA may double the medical expenses mainly because of CVD. Identifying the costliest, sickest upper third of OSA patients will reduce expenses to healthcare systems. Studies exploring the effect of CPAP on medical costs are essential. In addition, tailoring intervention programs to reduce barriers to adherence have the potential to improve CPAP treatment, specially in at-risk populations that are sicker and consume more healthcare costs.

Acute pharyngitis: low adherence to guidelines highlights need for greater flexibility in managing paediatric cases.

AIM: To describe how physicians manage acute pharyngitis with respect to the clinical guidelines. METHODS: The computerized medical records of 105 961 children in one district of a large health maintenance organization were analysed, to identify children aged 0-18 years with a diagnosis of pharyngitis and paying their first visit for pharyngitis. Main outcome variables were whether a throat culture was performed and the time between their medical consultation and purchasing any antibiotics, if at all. RESULTS: A total of 28 511 episodes of pharyngitis in 19 865 children aged 0-18, recorded by 125 physicians, were analysed (average of 1.4 episodes per child). Throat cultures were performed in 14 847 episodes (52%), with tests more common among paediatricians and younger physicians. Antibiotics were purchased in 24.8% of these cases, without knowing the result, and were more commonly associated with male physicians, family practitioners, children living in rural areas and drugs bought before the weekend. CONCLUSION: About 50% of the physicians did not adhere to the guidelines. Factors influencing adherence included physician training, years in practice and patients' nonmedical characteristics. It is suggested that the existing clinical guidelines should address additional modifiers that will make the more applicable in practice.

Disease management programs: barriers and benefits.

OBJECTIVES: The healthcare system in Israel faces difficulties similar to those of most industrialized countries, including limited resources, a growing chronically ill population, and demand for high quality care. Disease management programs (DMPs) for patients with a chronic illness aim to alleviate some of these problems, primarily by improving patient self-management skills and quality of care. This study surveyed the opinions of senior healthcare administrators regarding barriers, benefits, and support for implementing DMPs. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional survey. METHODS: A 21-item questionnaire was self-completed by 87 of 105 (83%) healthcare administrators included in the study. Participants were 65.5% male and 47% physicians, 25.3% nurses, 17.3% administrators, and 10.3% other healthcare professionals. RESULTS: The main perceived benefit of DMPs among all respondents was improving quality of care. Other benefits noted were better contact with patients (81.6%) and better compliance with treatment (75.9%). Efficient long-term utilization of system resources was perceived as a benefit by only 58.6%. The main perceived barriers to implementing DMPs were lack of budgetary resources (69%) and increased time required versus financial compensation received (63.2%). CONCLUSIONS: The benefits of DMPs were patient oriented; barriers were perceived as financial and limiting professional autonomy. Information regarding long-term benefits (better patient outcomes) that ultimately provide better value for the system versus short-term barriers (increased costs and expenditures of time without compensation) might encourage the implementation of DMPs in countries faced with a growing population of patients with at least 1 chronic illness.

Defensive medicine among obstetricians and gynecologists in tertiary hospitals.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the daily work practice under the threat of defensive medicine among obstetricians and gynecologists. STUDY DESIGN: A prospective cross-sectional survey of obstetricians and gynecologists working at tertiary medical centers in Israel. RESULTS: Among the 117 obstetricians and gynecologists who participated in the survey, representing 10% of the obstetricians and gynecologists registered by the Israel Medical Association, 113 (97%) felt that their daily work practice is influenced by concern about being sued for medical negligence and not only by genuine medical considerations. As a result, 102 (87%) physicians are more likely to offer the cesarean section option, even in the absence of a clear medical indication, 70 (60%) follow court rulings concerning medical practices, and 85 (73%) physicians mentioned that discussions about medical negligence court rulings are included in their departments' meetings. CONCLUSIONS: Defensive medicine is a well-embedded phenomenon affecting the medical decision process of obstetricians and gynecologists.

Defensive medicine in Israel - a nationwide survey.

BACKGROUND: Defensive medicine is the practice of diagnostic or therapeutic measures conducted primarily as a safeguard against possible malpractice liability. We studied the extent, reasons, and characteristics of defensive medicine in the Israeli health care system. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Cross-sectional study performed in the Israeli health care system between April and July 2008 in a sample (7%) of board certified physicians from eight medical disciplines (internal medicine, pediatrics, general surgery, family medicine, obstetrics and gynecology, orthopedic surgery, cardiology, and neurosurgery). A total of 889 physicians (7% of all Israeli board certified specialists) completed the survey. The majority [60%, (95%CI 0.57-0.63)] reported practicing defensive medicine; 40% (95%CI 0.37-0.43) consider every patient as a potential threat for a medical lawsuit; 25% (95%CI 0.22-0.28) have previously been sued at least once during their career. Independent predictors for practicing defensive medicine were surgical specialty [OR=1.6 (95%CI 1.2-2.2), p=0.0004], not performing a fellowship abroad [OR=1.5 (95%CI 1.1-2), p=0.027], and previous exposure to lawsuits [OR=2.4 (95%CI 1.7-3.4), p<0.0001]. Independent predictors for the risk of being sued during a physician's career were male gender [OR=1.6 (95%CI 1.1-2.2), p=0.012] and surgery specialty [OR=3.2 (95%CI 2.4-4.3), p<0.0001] (general surgery, obstetrics and gynecology, orthopedic surgery, and neurosurgery). CONCLUSIONS: Defensive medicine is very prevalent in daily physician practice in all medical disciplines. It exposes patients to complications due to unnecessary tests and procedures, affects quality of care and costs, and undermines doctor-patient relationships. Further studies are needed to understand how to minimize defensive medicine resulting from an increased malpractice liability market.

Financial incentive increases CPAP acceptance in patients from low socioeconomic background.

OBJECTIVE: We explored whether financial incentives have a role in patients' decisions to accept (purchase) a continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) device in a healthcare system that requires cost sharing. DESIGN: Longitudinal interventional study. PATIENTS: The group receiving financial incentive (n = 137, 50.8±10.6 years, apnea/hypopnea index (AHI) 38.7±19.9 events/hr) and the control group (n = 121, 50.9±10.3 years, AHI 39.9±22) underwent attendant titration and a two-week adaptation to CPAP. Patients in the control group had a co-payment of $330-660; the financial incentive group paid a subsidized price of $55. RESULTS: CPAP acceptance was 43% greater (p = 0.02) in the financial incentive group. CPAP acceptance among the low socioeconomic strata (n = 113) (adjusting for age, gender, BMI, tobacco smoking) was enhanced by financial incentive (OR, 95% CI) (3.43, 1.09-10.85), age (1.1, 1.03-1.17), AHI (>30 vs. <30) (4.87, 1.56-15.2), and by family/friends who had positive experience with CPAP (4.29, 1.05-17.51). Among average/high-income patients (n = 145) CPAP acceptance was affected by AHI (>30 vs. <30) (3.16, 1.14-8.75), living with a partner (8.82, 1.03-75.8) but not by the financial incentive. At one-year follow-up CPAP adherence was similar in the financial incentive and control groups, 35% and 39%, respectively (p = 0.82). Adherence rate was sensitive to education (+yr) (1.28, 1.06-1.55) and AHI (>30 vs. <30) (5.25, 1.34-18.5). CONCLUSIONS: Minimizing cost sharing reduces a barrier for CPAP acceptance among low socioeconomic status patients. Thus, financial incentive should be applied as a policy to encourage CPAP treatment, especially among low socioeconomic strata patients.

[Obstetrics and gynecology workforce planning: the Israeli experience 1995-2025].

BACKGROUND: Currently, there is no current obstetricians and gynecologists' workforce (OBGW) planning in Israel. Forecasting the OBGW is a challenge in order to achieve optimal obstetrics and gynecology care in the next decades. OBJECTIVE: To examine the current Israeli OBGW and to describe, using an equation, the future supply of OBGW, until 2025. METHODS: A descriptive study of past (1995-2006) and future (through 2025) OBGW trends in Israel. An equation was developed to project physician supply until 2025. RESULTS: No "optimal ratio" exists regarding OBGW to female population ratio. In addition, information regarding OBGW planning is scarce. In Israel, the ratio of OBGW aged < 65 years per 1000 females aged > or = 15 years, was 0.35 in 2006, 23% more than the higher projected ratio from USA for 2005. In 2020, for comparison, the ratio in Israel will be 18% higher than the US ratio. The ratio calculated by the equation presents a plateau of the supply of Ob-Gyn specialists in Israel until 2025. A continued significant growth in the number of Ob-Gyn female specialists, compared with males, is noted. The interpretation of this data requires further evaluation. CONCLUSIONS: In order to preserve the quality of care, there is a need for continuous monitoring and structured planning of health care human resources and OBGW in particular. Research and data in this field are scarce and, therefore, there is a need to conduct many additional research studies. Furthermore, additional data collection is needed to evaluate quality of care and its availability according to the relation between manpower needs and expected demands in Israel's health system.

Determinants of elevated healthcare utilization in patients with COPD.

BACKGROUND: Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) imparts a substantial economic burden on western health systems. Our objective was to analyze the determinants of elevated healthcare utilization among patients with COPD in a single-payer health system. METHODS: Three-hundred eighty-nine adults with COPD were matched 1:3 to controls by age, gender and area of residency. Total healthcare cost 5 years prior recruitment and presence of comorbidities were obtained from a computerized database. Health related quality of life (HRQoL) indices were obtained using validated questionnaires among a subsample of 177 patients. RESULTS: Healthcare utilization was 3.4-fold higher among COPD patients compared with controls (p < 0.001). The "most-costly" upper 25% of COPD patients (n = 98) consumed 63% of all costs. Multivariate analysis revealed that independent determinants of being in the "most costly" group were (OR; 95% CI): age-adjusted Charlson Comorbidity Index (1.09; 1.01-1.2), history of: myocardial infarct (2.87; 1.5-5.5), congestive heart failure (3.52; 1.9-6.4), mild liver disease (3.83; 1.3-11.2) and diabetes (2.02; 1.1-3.6). Bivariate analysis revealed that cost increased as HRQoL declined and severity of airflow obstruction increased but these were not independent determinants in a multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Comorbidity burden determines elevated utilization for COPD patients. Decision makers should prioritize scarce health care resources to a better care management of the "most costly" patients.

A report card on the physician work force: Israeli health care market--past experience and future prospects.

BACKGROUND: The worldwide shortage of physicians is due not only to the lack of physicians, but also to complex social and economic factors that vary from country to country. OBJECTIVE: To describe the results of physician workforce planning in a system with unintended policy, such as Israel, based on past experience and predicted future trends, between 1995 and 2020. METHODS: A descriptive study of past (1995-2009) and future (through 2020) physician workforce trends in Israel. An actuarial equation was developed to project physician supply until 2020. RESULTS: In Israel a physician shortage is expected in the very near future. This finding is the result of global as well as local changes affecting the supply of physicians: change in immigration pattern, gender effect, population growth, and transparency of data on demand for physicians. These are universal factors affecting manpower planning in most industrial countries all over the world. CONCLUSION: We describe a health care market with an unintended physician workforce policy. Sharing decision makers' experience in similar health care systems will enable the development of better indices to analyze, by comparison, effective physician manpower planning processes, worldwide.