RESUMEN
Climate change and decadal variability are impacting marine fish and invertebrate species worldwide and these impacts will continue for the foreseeable future. Quantitative approaches have been developed to examine climate impacts on productivity, abundance, and distribution of various marine fish and invertebrate species. However, it is difficult to apply these approaches to large numbers of species owing to the lack of mechanistic understanding sufficient for quantitative analyses, as well as the lack of scientific infrastructure to support these more detailed studies. Vulnerability assessments provide a framework for evaluating climate impacts over a broad range of species with existing information. These methods combine the exposure of a species to a stressor (climate change and decadal variability) and the sensitivity of species to the stressor. These two components are then combined to estimate an overall vulnerability. Quantitative data are used when available, but qualitative information and expert opinion are used when quantitative data is lacking. Here we conduct a climate vulnerability assessment on 82 fish and invertebrate species in the Northeast U.S. Shelf including exploited, forage, and protected species. We define climate vulnerability as the extent to which abundance or productivity of a species in the region could be impacted by climate change and decadal variability. We find that the overall climate vulnerability is high to very high for approximately half the species assessed; diadromous and benthic invertebrate species exhibit the greatest vulnerability. In addition, the majority of species included in the assessment have a high potential for a change in distribution in response to projected changes in climate. Negative effects of climate change are expected for approximately half of the species assessed, but some species are expected to be positively affected (e.g., increase in productivity or move into the region). These results will inform research and management activities related to understanding and adapting marine fisheries management and conservation to climate change and decadal variability.
Asunto(s)
Cambio Climático , Seguimiento de Parámetros Ecológicos , Peces , Invertebrados , Animales , Océano Atlántico , Estuarios , Mid-Atlantic Region , New England , Dinámica Poblacional , ReproducciónRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The PAIN (Paracetamol, Aspirin and Ibuprofen New tolerability) study published in 1999 assessed the tolerability of over-the- counter (OTC) analgesics in a French general practitioner (GP)-controlled population and found no apparent difference between the tolerability of ibuprofen and paracetamol (acetaminophen). However, patient selection in that study could cast doubt over the relevance of the results to a more generalised OTC population. The aim of our survey was to prospectively determine what proportion of a French GP-controlled population is able to take ibuprofen and paracetamol in order to allow appropriate interpretation of the PAIN study. METHODS: This was a prospective survey to identify all contraindications/warnings on product labelling for ibuprofen and paracetamol in 5000 patients aged 18-75 years. 100 French GPs each collected anonymised data on 50 patients over a 1-week period using a standardised form. GPs were stratified by geographical location and size of practice. Demographic data for patients were summarised. Contraindications/warnings for ibuprofen and paracetamol were summarised overall and by individual criterion. RESULTS: The mean age of patients was 45.8 (+/- 16.5) years; 42% were males and 58% females. Of these patients, 49.9% would have been ineligible for the PAIN study because of at least one contraindication/warning for ibuprofen, whereas only 6.8% would have been ineligible because of at least one contraindication/warning for paracetamol. More specifically, contraindications to use of ibuprofen was noted in 12.3% of patients and 37.6% of patients should have consulted a doctor before use of this drug. In contrast, contraindications to use of paracetamol were noted in only 0.7% of patients and only 6.1% should have consulted a doctor before use of this drug. CONCLUSIONS: Our survey demonstrates how careful patient selection can limit the generalisability of a study. The PAIN study excluded individuals 'at-risk' from ibuprofen and the tolerability results of this study should therefore be interpreted with extreme caution because the patient population may not be representative of unsupervised OTC analgesic users.