Covid-19 Automated Diagnosis and Risk Assessment through Metabolomics and Machine Learning.

COVID-19 is still placing a heavy health and financial burden worldwide. Impairment in patient screening and risk management plays a fundamental role on how governments and authorities are directing resources, planning reopening, as well as sanitary countermeasures, especially in regions where poverty is a major component in the equation. An efficient diagnostic method must be highly accurate, while having a cost-effective profile. We combined a machine learning-based algorithm with mass spectrometry to create an expeditious platform that discriminate COVID-19 in plasma samples within minutes, while also providing tools for risk assessment, to assist healthcare professionals in patient management and decision-making. A cross-sectional study enrolled 815 patients (442 COVID-19, 350 controls and 23 COVID-19 suspicious) from three Brazilian epicenters from April to July 2020. We were able to elect and identify 19 molecules related to the disease's pathophysiology and several discriminating features to patient's health-related outcomes. The method applied for COVID-19 diagnosis showed specificity >96% and sensitivity >83%, and specificity >80% and sensitivity >85% during risk assessment, both from blinded data. Our method introduced a new approach for COVID-19 screening, providing the indirect detection of infection through metabolites and contextualizing the findings with the disease's pathophysiology. The pairwise analysis of biomarkers brought robustness to the model developed using machine learning algorithms, transforming this screening approach in a tool with great potential for real-world application.

Combining Machine Learning and Metabolomics to Identify Weight Gain Biomarkers.

Weight gain is a metabolic disorder that often culminates in the development of obesity and other comorbidities such as diabetes. Obesity is characterized by the development of a chronic, subclinical systemic inflammation, and is regarded as a remarkably important factor that contributes to the development of such comorbidities. Therefore, laboratory methods that allow the identification of subjects at higher risk for severe weight-associated morbidity are of utter importance, considering the health, and safety of populations. This contribution analyzed the plasma of 180 Brazilian individuals, equally divided into a eutrophic control group and case group, to assess the presence of biomarkers related to weight gain, aiming at characterizing the phenotype of this population. Samples were analyzed by mass spectrometry and most discriminant features were determined by a machine learning approach using Random Forest algorithm. Five biomarkers related to the pathogenesis and chronicity of inflammation in weight gain were identified. Two metabolites of arachidonic acid were upregulated in the case group, indicating the presence of inflammation, as well as two other molecules related to dysfunctions in the cycle of nitric oxide (NO) and increase in superoxide production. Finally, a fifth case group marker observed in this study may indicate the trigger for diabetes in overweight and obesity individuals. The use of mass spectrometry combined with machine learning analyses to prospect and characterize biomarkers associated with weight gain will pave the way for elucidating potential therapeutic and prognostic targets.