Diseño de un nuevo indicador de mortalidad en el síndrome coronario agudo al ingreso en la Unidad de Cuidados Intensivos / Design of a new mortality indicator in acute coronary syndrome on admission to the Intensive Care Unit

Objetivo: Diseñar un indicador de mortalidad del síndrome coronario agudo (SCA) en el servicio de medicina intensiva (SMI). Diseño: Estudio descriptivo observacional multicéntrico. Participantes: Pacientes con SCA ingresados en SMI incluidos en el registro ARIAM- SEMICYUC entre enero del 2013 y abril del 2019. Intervenciones: Ninguna. Variables de interés principales: Las variables analizadas fueron demográficas, tiempo de acceso al sistema sanitario y estado clínico. Se analizó la terapia de revascularización, los fármacos y la mortalidad. Se realizó un análisis de regresión logística de COX y posteriormente se diseñó una red neuronal. Se elaboró una curva ROC para calcula la potencia del nuevo score. Finalmente, la utilidad clínica o relevancia del indicador ARIAM se evaluará mediante un gráfico de Fagan. Resultados: Se incluyó a 17.258 pacientes, con una mortalidad al alta del SMI del 3,5% (605). Las variables analizadas con significación estadística (p<0,001) fueron introducidas en el modelo predictivo supervisado, una red neuronal artificial. El nuevo indicador ARIAM mostro una media de 0,0257 (IC del 95%, 0,0245-0,0267) en los pacientes dados de alta de UCI y de 0,27085 (IC del 95%, 0,2533-0,2886) en los que fallecieron, p <0,001. El área ROC del modelo conseguido fue de 0,918 (IC del 95%, 0,907-0,930). En el test de Fagan se demostró que el indicador ARIAM muestra que la probabilidad de fallecimiento es del 19% (IC del 95%, 18-20%) cuando es positivo y del 0,9% (IC del 95%, 0,8-1,01%) cuando es negativo. Conclusiones: Es posible crear un nuevo indicador de mortalidad del SCA en el SMI que sea más exacto, reproducible y actualizable periódicamente. (AU)

Objective: To design a mortality indicator for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in the intensive care unit (ICU). Design: Multicenter observational descriptive study. Participants: ACS patients admitted to SMI included in the ARIAM-SEMICYUC registry between January 2013 and April 2019. Interventions: None. Main variables of interest: Variables analyzed were demographic, time of access to the health system, and clinical condition. Revascularization therapy, drugs, and mortality were analyzed. A COX regression analysis was performed and subsequently a neural network was designed. An ROC curve was developed to calculate the power of the new score. Finally, the clinical utility or relevance of the ARIAM's indicator will be evaluated using a Fagan test. Results: 17,258 patients were included, with a 3.5% (605) mortality at discharge from the ICU. The variables analyzed with statistical significance (p<0.001) were entered into the supervised predictive model, an artificial neural network. The new ARIAM's indicator showed a mean of 0.0257 (95% CI: 0.0245–0.0267) in patients discharged from the ICU and 0.27085 (95% CI: 0.2533–0.2886) in those who died, p<0.001. The ROC area of the model achieved was 0.918 (95% CI: 0.907–0.930). The Fagan test showed that the ARIAM's Indicator shows that the probability of death is 19% (95% CI: 18%–20%) when it is positive and 0.9% (95% CI: 0.8%–1.01%) when it is negative. Conclusions: It is possible to create a new mortality indicator for ACS in the ICU that is more accurate, reproducible, and periodically updated. (AU)

Outpatient Parenteral Antibiotic Treatment vs Hospitalization for Infective Endocarditis: Validation of the OPAT-GAMES Criteria.

Background: Outpatient parenteral antibiotic treatment (OPAT) programs are increasingly used to manage infective endocarditis (IE), but current criteria for indicating OPAT are markedly conservative. We aimed to investigate whether more liberal criteria for indicating OPAT in IE can be safely used. Methods: This was a prospective multicenter nationwide cohort study (2008-2018). Rates of readmission, recurrences, and 1-year mortality were compared between hospital-based antibiotic treatment (HBAT) and OPAT. Risk factors for readmission and mortality in OPAT patients were investigated by logistic regression. Patients did not fulfill OPAT-GAMES (Grupos de Apoyo al Manejo de la Endocarditis en ESpaña) criteria if they had any of the following: cirrhosis, severe central nervous system emboli, undrained abscesses, severe conditions requiring cardiac surgery in nonoperable patients, severe postsurgical complications, highly difficult-to-treat microorganisms, or intravenous drug use. Results: A total of 2279 HBAT patients and 1268 OPAT patients were included. Among OPAT patients, 307 (24.2%) did not fulfill OPAT-GAMES criteria. Overall, OPAT patients presented higher rates of readmission than HBAT patients (18.2% vs 14.4%; P = .004), but no significant differences were found in the propensity analysis. Patients not fulfilling OPAT-GAMES criteria presented significantly higher rates of readmission than HBAT and OPAT-GAMES (23.8%, 14.4%, 16.4%; P < .001), whereas no significant differences were found in mortality (5.9%, 8%, 7.4%; P = .103) or recurrences (3.9%, 3.1%, 2.5%; P = .546). Not fulfilling OPAT-GAMES criteria was associated with higher risk of readmission (odds ratio [OR], 1.43; 95% CI, 1.03-1.97; P = .03), whereas cardiac surgery was associated with lower risk (OR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.53-0.98; P = .03). Conclusions: OPAT-GAMES criteria allow identification of IE patients at higher risk of long-term complications to whom OPAT cannot be safely administered.

Multivalvular Endocarditis: A Rare Condition with Poor Prognosis.

Background. Infective endocarditis (IE) is a severe condition. Our aim was to describe the profile and prognosis of patients with multivalvular infective endocarditis (MIE) and compare them to single-valve IE (SIE). Methods. We used a retrospective analysis of the Spanish IE Registry (2008−2020). Results. From 4064 definite cases of valvular IE, 577 (14.2%) had MIE. In patients with MIE, the most common locations were mitral (552, 95.7%) and aortic (550, 95.3%), with mitral-aortic involvement present in 507 patients (87.9%). The most common etiologies were S. viridans (192, 33.3%) and S. aureus (113, 19.6%). MIE involved only native valves in 450 patients (78.0%). Compared with patients with SIE, patients with MIE had a similar age (69 vs. 67 years, respectively, p = 0.27) and similar baseline characteristics, but were more frequently men (67.1% vs. 72.9%, p = 0.005) and had a higher incidence of intracardiac complications (36.2% vs. 50.4%, p < 0.001), heart failure (42.7% vs. 52.9%, p < 0.001), surgical indication (67.7 vs. 85.1%, p < 0.001), surgery (46.3% vs. 56.3%), and in-hospital mortality (26.9% vs. 34.3%, p < 0.001). MIE was an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality (odds ratio (OR) 1.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1−1.7, p = 0.004) but did not have an independent association with 1-year mortality (OR 1.1, 95% CI 0.9−1.4, p = 0.43). Conclusions. About one-seventh of the valvular IE patients had MIE, mainly due to mitral-aortic involvement. MIE is associated with a poor in-hospital prognosis. An early diagnosis and treatment of IE might avoid its spread to a second valve.

Infective endocarditis in children and adolescents: a different profile with clinical implications.

BACKGROUND: Our aim was to compare pediatric infective endocarditis (IE) with the clinical profile and outcomes of IE in adults. METHODS: Prospective multicenter registry in 31 Spanish hospitals including all patients with a diagnosis of IE from 2008 to 2020. RESULTS: A total of 5590 patients were included, 49 were <18 years (0.1%). Congenital heart disease (CHD) was present in 31 children and adolescents (63.2%). Right-sided location was more common in children/adolescents than in adults (46.9% vs. 6.3%, P < 0.001). Pediatric pulmonary IE was more frequent in patients with CHD (48.4%) than in those without (5.6%), P = 0.004. Staphylococcus aureus etiology tended to be more common in pediatric patients (32.7%) than in adults (22.3%), P = 0.082. Heart failure was less common in pediatric patients than in adults, due to the lower rate of heart failure in children/adolescents with CHD (9.6%) with respect to those without CHD (44.4%), P = 0.005. Inhospital mortality was high in both children, and adolescents and adults (16.3% vs. 25.9%; P = 0.126). CONCLUSIONS: Most IE cases in children and adolescents are seen in patients with CHD that have a more common right-sided location and a lower prevalence of heart failure than patients without CHD. IE in children and adolescents without CHD has a more similar profile to IE in adults. IMPACT: Infective endocarditis (IE) in children and adolescents is often seen in patients with congenital heart disease (CHD). Right-sided location is the most common in patients with CHD and heart failure is less common as a complication compared with patients without CHD. Infective endocarditis (IE) in children/adolescents without CHD has a more similar profile to IE in adults. In children/adolescents without CHD, locations were similar to adults, including a predominance of left-sided IE. Acute heart failure was the most frequent complication, seen mainly in adults, and in children/adolescents without CHD.

Characteristics and Outcome of Acute Heart Failure in Infective Endocarditis: Focus on Cardiogenic Shock.

BACKGROUND: Studies investigating the impact of cardiogenic shock (CS) on endocarditis are lacking. METHODS: Prospectively collected cohort from 35 Spanish centers (2008-2018). Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify risk factors for developing CS and predictors of mortality. RESULTS: Among 4856 endocarditis patients, 1652 (34%) had acute heart failure (AHF) and 244 (5%) CS. Compared with patients without AHF and AHF but no CS, patients with CS presented higher rates of surgery (40.5%, 52.5%, and 68%; P < .001) and in-hospital mortality (16.3%, 39.1%, and 52.5%). Compared with patients with septic shock, CS patients presented higher rates of surgery (42.5% vs 68%; P < .001) and lower rates of in-hospital and 1-year mortality (62.3% vs 52.5%, P = .008, and 65.3% vs 57.4%, P = .030). Severe aortic and mitral regurgitation (OR [95% CI], 2.47 [1.82-3.35] and 3.03 [2.26-4.07]; both P < .001), left-ventricle ejection fraction <60% (1.72; 1.22-2.40; P = .002), heart block (2.22; 1.41-3.47; P = .001), tachyarrhythmias (5.07; 3.13-8.19; P < .001), and acute kidney failure (2.29; 1.73-3.03; P < .001) were associated with higher likelihood of developing CS. Prosthetic endocarditis (2.03; 1.06 -3.88; P = .032), Staphylococcus aureus (3.10; 1.16 -8.30; P = .024), tachyarrhythmias (3.09; 1.50-10.13; P = .005), and not performing cardiac surgery (11.40; 4.83-26.90; P < .001) were associated with a higher risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: AHF is common among patients with endocarditis. CS is associated with high mortality and should be promptly identified and assessed for cardiac surgery.