Patient perspectives on adverse event investigations in health care.

BACKGROUND: Over the last decade attention has grown to give patients and next of kin (P/N) more substantial roles in adverse event investigations. Adverse event investigations occur after adverse events that resulted in death or severe injury. Few studies have focused on patient perspectives on their involvement in such investigations. The present study sets out to investigate how P/N and patient representatives (client councils and the Patient Federation Netherlands) view the involvement of P/N in adverse event investigations, particularly whether and why they want to involved, and how they want to shape their involvement. METHODS: The study features qualitative data on three levels: interviews with P/N (personal), focus groups with representatives of client councils (institutional), and an interview with the Patient Federation Netherlands (national). Researchers used inductive, thematic analysis and validated the results through data source triangulation. RESULTS: The initiative taken by the hospitals in this study provided P/N with the space to feel heard and a position as legitimate stakeholder. P/N appreciated the opportunity to choose whether and how they wanted to be involved in the investigation as stakeholders. P/N emphasized the need for hospitals to learn from the investigations, but for them the investigation was also part of a more encompassing relationship. P/N's views showed the inextricable link between the first conversation with the health care professional and the investigation, and the ongoing care after the investigation was finalized. Hence, an adverse event investigation is part of a broader experience when understood from a patient perspective. CONCLUSIONS: An adverse event investigation should be considered as part of an existing relationship between P/N and hospital that starts before the investigation and continues during follow up care. It is crucial for hospitals to take the initiative in the investigation and in the involvement of P/N. P/N motivations for involvement can be understood as driven by agency or communion. Agentic motivations include being an active participant by choice, while communion motivations include the need to be heard.

Closing the internal opening with a rectal advancement flap increases the efficacy of mesenchymal stem cell injection for complex Crohn's disease anal fistulas.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of injections of mesenchymal stem cells (MSC) for anal fistula treatment may be impaired by the persistence of stools passing into the fistula, causing bacterial contamination and a local inflammatory reaction. We aimed to compare remission rates between patients treated by MSC injection with simple sutures and those treated with a rectal advancement flap. METHODS: This single-center prospective study compared the first patients who underwent internal opening closure with sutures with the subsequent patients treated with a flap. Complete clinical remission was defined as complete closure of the external opening(s) without pain or discharge, and complete radiological remission was defined as a Magnifi-CD score of 0. RESULTS: We compared the first 42 patients who had sutures with the 20 subsequent patients who had an advancement flap. The median follow-up was 15.5 [8.8-24.9] months. The cumulative incidence of complete clinical response at M12 was 53.8% [38.1-69.6%] in the suture group versus 93.3% [77.4-100.0] in the flap group (p < 0.001). The Magnifi-CD score was 0 for 41.7% [25.5-59.2%]) of patients treated with sutures versus 72.7% [39.0-63.9%]) of patients treated with a flap (p = 0.093). Anal incontinence score did not differ between the two groups. Practicing an advancement flap was the only significant factor associated with complete clinical remission over time (adjusted HR [95% CI] of 2.6 [1.4-4.9], p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS: Complete clinical remission rates following MSC injection are significantly higher after closure of the internal opening with a rectal flap than after closure with sutures, without consequences on anal continence.

Real-world smartphone data can trace the behavioural impact of epilepsy: A case study.

BACKGROUND: Neurobehavioural comorbidities have a detrimental effect on the quality of life of people with epilepsy, yet tracking their impact is challenging as behaviour may vary with seizures and anti-seizure medication (ASM) side effects. Smartphones have the potential to monitor day-to-day neurobehavioural patterns objectively. We present the case of a man in his late twenties with drug-resistant focal epilepsy in whom we ascertained the effects of ASM withdrawal and a convulsive seizure on his touchscreen interactions. METHODS: Using a dedicated app, we recorded over 185 days the timestamps of 718,357 interactions. We divided the various smartphone behaviours according to the next-interval dynamics of the interactions by using a joint interval distribution (JID). During two ASM load transitions, namely before versus during tapering and tapering versus restarting medication, we used cluster-based permutation tests to compare the JIDs. We also compared the JID of the seizure day to the average of the previous 3 days. RESULTS: The cluster-based permutation tests revealed significant differences, with accelerated next-interval dynamics during tapering and a reversal upon medication restart. The day of the convulsion exhibited a marked slowing of next-interval dynamics compared to the preceding 3 days. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that the temporal dynamics of smartphone touchscreen interactions may help monitor neurobehavioural comorbidities in neurological care.

Antiseizure Medications and Sudden Unexpected Death in Epilepsy: An Updated Review.

Sudden unexpected death in epilepsy (SUDEP) is responsible for most epilepsy-related deaths. It is mainly related to unwitnessed nocturnal convulsions, either focal to bilateral or generalised tonic-clonic seizures (TCS). Targeted preventive strategies are currently lacking as underlying mechanisms are largely unknown. Antiseizure medications (ASMs) modulate SUDEP risk through seizure reduction, but it is yet undetermined whether individual ASMs or other medications could also influence the internal SUDEP cascade. Seizure detection devices (SDD) may offer an alternative strategy by preventing TCS from being unwitnessed. Here, we critically evaluated the current evidence on the influence of ASMs, non-epilepsy concomitant drugs and SDD on SUDEP occurrence. We found no robust evidence for the effect of starting ASMs on SUDEP beyond TCS control, but we found some indications of a protective effect for polytherapy. We found no signs that specific ASMs exert a risk for SUDEP. One study suggested a possible protective effect of levetiracetam requiring further investigation. Only a few small studies addressed the association between non-epilepsy concomitant drugs and SUDEP, with no consistent effect for psychotropic medications and one more extensive study suggesting a lower risk among statin users. We only found indirect evidence indicating a protective effect for enhancing nocturnal supervision without explicitly addressing the impact of SDD on SUDEP occurrence. Further work is needed to explore the potential of ASMs and other interventions to modulate SUDEP risk, and they should accurately account for TCS frequency, polypharmacy and markers of non-adherence.

Mechanistic and data-driven modeling of carbon respiration with bio-electrochemical sensors.

Bioelectrochemical sensor (BES) technologies have been developed to measure soluble carbon concentrations in wastewater. However, architectures and analytical methods developed in controlled laboratory environments fail to predict BES behavior during field deployments at water resource recovery facilities (WRRFs). Here, we examine the possibilities and obstacles associated with integrating BESs into environmental sensing networks and machine learning algorithms to monitor the biodegradable carbon dynamics and microbial metabolism at WRRFs. This approach highlights the potential of BESs to provide real-time insights into full-scale biodegradable carbon consumption across WRRFs.

Grading objective diagnostic components in paroxysmal events: One-year follow-up at a tertiary epilepsy center.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to develop a model and perform a preliminary internal validation study of the Scale for Objective Diagnostic Components of Paroxysmal Events (STAMP). METHODS: We developed STAMP, which builds on the International League Against Epilepsy task force scale for functional seizures with additional categories for epileptic seizures and syncope. We included 200 consecutive referrals to a Dutch tertiary epilepsy center to evaluate seizurelike events. We recorded demographic and clinical data and collected the clinical evaluation at referral and after 3, 6, 9, and 12 months of follow-up. We ascertained the STAMP at each time point and evaluated factors predicting an improvement in STAMP grade during follow-up. RESULTS: Of the 200 referrals at baseline, 131 were classified as having epileptic seizures, 17 as functional seizures, and three as syncope, and 49 were unclassifiable. STAMP grade at baseline was 4 (absent) in 56 individuals, 3 (circumstantial) in 78, 2 (clinically established) in six, and 1 (documented) in 11. Over time, 62 cases STAMP grades improved, and 23 remained unclassifiable. A refinement of STAMP grade during follow-up was due to successful event recordings in 34 people (30 video-electroencephalographic [EEG] recordings, four tilt table testing), home videos or clinician-witnessed events in 13, and identification of interictal EEG or magnetic resonance imaging abnormalities in seven. An improved STAMP grade after 12 months of follow-up was significantly more likely in those with higher event frequency, unclassifiable events, longer event duration, and a shorter time since the first event and less likely in those with a history suggestive of seizures. SIGNIFICANCE: This epilepsy service evaluation underscores the crucial role of event recording in improving diagnostic certainty. STAMP may be used to monitor diagnostic performance over time but requires further validation.

Detection of short-lasting and ictal spike-and-wave discharges in around-the-ears EEG recordings in children with absence epilepsy.

PURPOSE: Long-term ambulatory EEG recordings can improve the monitoring of absence epilepsy in children, but signal quality and increased review workload are a concern. We evaluated the feasibility of around-the-ears EEG arrays (cEEGrids) to capture 3-Hz short-lasting and ictal spike-and-wave discharges and assessed the performance of automated detection software in cEEGrids data. We compared patterns of bilateral synchronisation between short-lasting and ictal spike-and-wave discharges. METHODS: We recruited children with suspected generalised epilepsy undergoing routine video-EEG monitoring and performed simultaneous cEEGrids recordings. We used ASSYST software to detect short-lasting 3-Hz spike-and-wave discharges (1-3 s) and ictal spike-and-wave discharges in the cEEGrids data. We assessed data quality and sensitivity of cEEGrids for spike-and-wave discharges in routine EEG. We determined the sensitivity and false detection rate for automated spike-and-wave discharge detection in cEEGrids data. We compared bihemispheric synchrony across the onset of short-lasting and ictal spike-and-wave discharges using the mean phase coherence in the 2-4 Hz frequency band. RESULTS: We included nine children with absence epilepsy (median age = 11 y, range 8-15 y, nine females) and recorded 4 h and 27 min of cEEGrids data. The recordings from seven participants were suitable for quantitative analysis, containing 82 spike-and-wave discharges. The cEEGrids captured 58 % of all spike-and-wave discharges (median individual sensitivity: 100 %, range: 47-100 %). ASSYST detected 82 % of all spike-and-wave discharges (median: 100 %, range: 41-100 %) with a false detection rate of 48/h (median: 6/h, range: 0-154/h). The mean phase coherence significantly increased during short-lasting and ictal spike-and-wave discharges in the 500-ms pre-onset to 1-s post-onset interval. CONCLUSIONS: cEEGrids are of variable quality for monitoring spike-and-wave discharges in children with absence epilepsy. ASSYST could facilitate the detection of short-lasting and ictal spike-and-wave discharges with clear periodic structures but with low specificity. A similar course of bihemispheric synchrony between short-lasting and ictal spike-and-wave discharges indicates that cortico-thalamic driving may be relevant for both types of spike-and-wave discharges.

Discovering type I cis-AT polyketides through computational mass spectrometry and genome mining with Seq2PKS.

Type 1 polyketides are a major class of natural products used as antiviral, antibiotic, antifungal, antiparasitic, immunosuppressive, and antitumor drugs. Analysis of public microbial genomes leads to the discovery of over sixty thousand type 1 polyketide gene clusters. However, the molecular products of only about a hundred of these clusters are characterized, leaving most metabolites unknown. Characterizing polyketides relies on bioactivity-guided purification, which is expensive and time-consuming. To address this, we present Seq2PKS, a machine learning algorithm that predicts chemical structures derived from Type 1 polyketide synthases. Seq2PKS predicts numerous putative structures for each gene cluster to enhance accuracy. The correct structure is identified using a variable mass spectral database search. Benchmarks show that Seq2PKS outperforms existing methods. Applying Seq2PKS to Actinobacteria datasets, we discover biosynthetic gene clusters for monazomycin, oasomycin A, and 2-aminobenzamide-actiphenol.

Discovery of Hepatitis B Virus Surface Antigen Suppressor GS-8873.

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) virus infection afflicts hundreds of millions of people and causes nearly one million deaths annually. The high levels of circulating viral surface antigen (HBsAg) that characterize CHB may lead to T-cell exhaustion, resulting in an impaired antiviral immune response in the host. Agents that suppress HBsAg could help invigorate immunity toward infected hepatocytes and facilitate a functional cure. A series of dihydropyridoisoquinolizinone (DHQ) inhibitors of human poly(A) polymerases PAPD5/7 were reported to suppress HBsAg in vitro. An example from this class, RG7834, briefly entered the clinic. We set out to identify a potent, orally bioavailable, and safe PAPD5/7 inhibitor as a potential component of a functional cure regimen. Our efforts led to the identification of a dihydropyridophthalazinone (DPP) core with improved pharmacokinetic properties. A conformational restriction strategy and optimization of core substitution led to GS-8873, which was projected to provide deep HBsAg suppression with once-daily dosing.

Intensive Microalgal Cultivation and Tertiary Phosphorus Recovery from Wastewaters via the EcoRecover Process.

Mixed community microalgal wastewater treatment technologies have the potential to advance the limits of technology for biological nutrient recovery while producing a renewable carbon feedstock, but a deeper understanding of their performance is required for system optimization and control. In this study, we characterized the performance of a 568 m3·day-1 Clearas EcoRecover system for tertiary phosphorus removal (and recovery as biomass) at an operating water resource recovery facility (WRRF). The process consists of a (dark) mix tank, photobioreactors (PBRs), and a membrane tank with ultrafiltration membranes for the separation of hydraulic and solids residence times. Through continuous online monitoring, long-term on-site monitoring, and on-site batch experiments, we demonstrate (i) the importance of carbohydrate storage in PBRs to support phosphorus uptake under dark conditions in the mix tank and (ii) the potential for polyphosphate accumulation in the mixed algal communities. Over a 3-month winter period with limited outside influences (e.g., no major upstream process changes), the effluent total phosphorus (TP) concentration was 0.03 ± 0.03 mg-P·L-1 (0.01 ± 0.02 mg-P·L-1 orthophosphate). Core microbial community taxa included Chlorella spp., Scenedesmus spp., and Monoraphidium spp., and key indicators of stable performance included near-neutral pH, sufficient alkalinity, and a diel rhythm in dissolved oxygen.

Clinical outcome assessment in patients with epilepsy: The value of health-related quality of life measurements.

This narrative review provides an overview of the current knowledge on health-related quality of life (HRQOL), a relevant clinical outcome in patients with epilepsy. It shows that the most important factor determining HRQOL in this patient group is seizure frequency. In particular, seizure-freedom is associated with better HRQOL scores. Many other factors may impact perceived HRQOL aspects, but their interrelation is complex and requires further research. Novel analytical approaches, such as hierarchical cluster and symptom network analyses might shed further light on this, and may result in recommendations for interventions on the most 'central' factors influencing different aspects of HRQOL in patients with epilepsy. Next, an overview of the HRQOL tools and analytical methods currently used in epilepsy care, with a focus on clinical trials, is provided. The QOLIE-31 is the most frequently applied and best validated tool. Several other questionnaires focusing on specific aspects of HRQOL (e.g., mood, social impact) are less frequently used. We show some pitfalls that should be taken into account when designing study protocols including HRQOL endpoints. This includes standardized statistical analysis approaches and predefined reporting methods for HRQOL in epilepsy populations. It has been shown in other patient groups that the lack of such standardisation negatively impacts the quality and comparability of results. We conclude with a number of recommendations for future research.

Plant peptides - redefining an area of ribosomally synthesized and post-translationally modified peptides.

Covering 1965 to February 2024Plants are prolific peptide chemists and are known to make thousands of different peptidic molecules. These peptides vary dramatically in their size, chemistry, and bioactivity. Despite their differences, all plant peptides to date are biosynthesized as ribosomally synthesized and post-translationally modified peptides (RiPPs). Decades of research in plant RiPP biosynthesis have extended the definition and scope of RiPPs from microbial sources, establishing paradigms and discovering new families of biosynthetic enzymes. The discovery and elucidation of plant peptide pathways is challenging due to repurposing and evolution of housekeeping genes as both precursor peptides and biosynthetic enzymes and due to the low rates of gene clustering in plants. In this review, we highlight the chemistry, biosynthesis, and function of the known RiPP classes from plants and recommend a nomenclature for the recent addition of BURP-domain-derived RiPPs termed burpitides. Burpitides are an emerging family of cyclic plant RiPPs characterized by macrocyclic crosslinks between tyrosine or tryptophan side chains and other amino acid side chains or their peptide backbone that are formed by copper-dependent BURP-domain-containing proteins termed burpitide cyclases. Finally, we review the discovery of plant RiPPs through bioactivity-guided, structure-guided, and gene-guided approaches.

An intramolecular macrocyclase in plant ribosomal peptide biosynthesis.

The biosynthetic dogma of ribosomally synthesized and posttranslationally modified peptides (RiPP) involves enzymatic intermolecular modification of core peptide motifs in precursor peptides. The plant-specific BURP-domain protein family, named after their four founding members, includes autocatalytic peptide cyclases involved in the biosynthesis of side-chain-macrocyclic plant RiPPs. Here we show that AhyBURP, a representative of the founding Unknown Seed Protein-type BURP-domain subfamily, catalyzes intramolecular macrocyclizations of its core peptide during the sequential biosynthesis of monocyclic lyciumin I via glycine-tryptophan crosslinking and bicyclic legumenin via glutamine-tyrosine crosslinking. X-ray crystallography of AhyBURP reveals the BURP-domain fold with two type II copper centers derived from a conserved stapled-disulfide and His motif. We show the macrocyclization of lyciumin-C(sp3)-N-bond formation followed by legumenin-C(sp3)-O-bond formation requires dioxygen and radical involvement based on enzyme assays in anoxic conditions and isotopic labeling. Our study expands enzymatic intramolecular modifications beyond catalytic moiety and chromophore biogenesis to RiPP biosynthesis.

A new case of sodium-dependent multivitamin transporter defect occurring as a life-threatening condition responsive to early vitamin supplementation and literature review.

BACKGROUND: Biallelic pathogenic variants in SLC5A6 resulting in sodium-dependent multivitamin transporter (SMVT) defect have recently been described as a vitamin-responsive inborn error of metabolism mimicking biotinidase deficiency. To our knowledge, only 16 patients have been reported so far with various clinical phenotypes such as neuropathy and other neurologic impairments, gastro-intestinal dysfunction and failure to thrive, osteopenia, immunodeficiency, metabolic acidosis, hypoglycemia, and recently severe cardiac symptoms. METHODS: We describe a case report of a 5-month-old girl presenting two recurrent episodes of metabolic decompensation and massive cardiac failure in the course of an infectious disease. We compare clinical, biological, and genetic findings of this patient to previous literature collected from Pubmed database (keywords: Sodium-dependent multivitamin transporter (SMVT), SMVT defect/disorder/deficiency, SLC5A6 gene/mutation). RESULTS: We highlight the life-threatening presentation of this disease, the stagnation of psychomotor development, the severe and persistent hypogammaglobulinemia, and additionally, the successful clinical response on early vitamin supplementation (biotin 15 mg a day and pantothenic acid 100 mg a day). Metabolic assessment showed a persistent increase of urinary 3-hydroxyisovaleric acid (3-HIA) as previously reported in this disease in literature. CONCLUSION: SMVT deficiency is a vitamin-responsive inborn error of metabolism that can lead to a wide range of symptoms. Increased and isolated excretion of urinary 3-hydroxyisovaleric acid may suggest, in the absence of markedly reduced biotinidase activity, a SMVT deficiency. Prompt supplementation with high doses of biotin and pantothenic acid should be initiated while awaiting results of SLC5A6 sequencing as this condition may be life-threatening.

Study protocol for the Heads-Up trial: a phase II randomized controlled trial investigating head-up tilt sleeping to alleviate orthostatic intolerance in Parkinson's Disease and parkinsonism.

BACKGROUND: In persons with Parkinson's Disease (PD) or certain forms of atypical parkinsonism, orthostatic hypotension is common and disabling, yet often underrecognized and undertreated. About half of affected individuals also exhibit supine hypertension. This common co-occurrence of both orthostatic hypotension and supine hypertension complicates pharmacological treatments as the treatment of the one can aggravate the other. Whole-body head-up tilt sleeping (HUTS) is the only known intervention that may improve both. Evidence on its effectiveness and tolerability is, however, lacking, and little is known about the implementability. METHODS: In this double-blind multicenter randomized controlled trial (phase II) we will test the efficacy and tolerability of HUTS at different angles in 50 people with PD or parkinsonism who have both symptomatic orthostatic hypotension and supine hypertension. All participants start with one week of horizontal sleeping and subsequently sleep at three different angles, each maintained for two weeks. The exact intervention will vary between the randomly allocated groups. Specifically, the intervention group will consecutively sleep at 6°, 12° and 18°, while the delayed treatment group starts with a placebo angle (1°), followed by 6° and 12°. We will evaluate tolerability using questionnaires and compliance to the study protocol. The primary endpoint is the change in average overnight blood pressure measured by a 24-hour ambulatory blood pressure recording. Secondary outcomes include orthostatic blood pressure, orthostatic tolerance, supine blood pressure, nocturia and various other motor and non-motor tests and questionnaires. DISCUSSION: We hypothesize that HUTS can simultaneously alleviate orthostatic hypotension and supine hypertension, and that higher angles of HUTS are more effective but less tolerable. The Heads-Up trial will help to clarify the effectiveness, tolerability, and feasibility of this intervention at home and can guide at-home implementation. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05551377; Date of registration: September 22, 2022.

Screening for precancerous anal lesions linked to human papillomaviruses: French recommendations for clinical practice.

In France, about 2000 new cases of anal cancer are diagnosed annually. Squamous cell carcinoma is the most common histological type, mostly occurring secondary to persistent HPV16 infection. Invasive cancer is preceded by precancerous lesions. In addition to patients with a personal history of precancerous lesions and anal cancer, three groups are at very high risk of anal cancer: (i) men who have sex with men and are living with HIV, (ii) women with a history of high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesions (HSILs) or vulvar HPV cancer, and (iii) women who received a solid organ transplant more than 10 years ago. The purpose of screening is to detect HSILs so that they can be treated, thereby reducing the risk of progression to cancer. All patients with symptoms should undergo a proctological examination including standard anoscopy. For asymptomatic patients at risk, an initial HPV16 test makes it possible to target patients at risk of HSILs likely to progress to cancer. Anal cytology is a sensitive test for HSIL detection. Its sensitivity is greater than 80% and exceeds that of proctological examination with standard anoscopy. It is indicated in the event of a positive HPV16 test. In the presence of cytological abnormalities and/or lesions and a suspicion of dysplasia on clinical examination, high-resolution anoscopy is indicated. Performance is superior to that of proctological examination with standard anoscopy. However, this technique is not widely available, which limits its use. If high-resolution anoscopy is not possible, screening by a standard proctological examination is an alternative. There is a need to develop high-resolution anoscopy and triage tests and to evaluate screening strategies.

Plasma Cartilage Acidic Protein 1 Measured by ELISA Is Associated With the Progression to Total Joint Replacement in Postmenopausal Women.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of plasma cartilage acidic protein 1 (CRTAC1), a novel biochemical marker of osteoarthritis (OA), and total joint replacement (TJR) in postmenopausal women. METHODS: The association of plasma CRTAC1 with the incidence of TJR was investigated in a prospective cohort including 478 postmenopausal women. A total of 38 women underwent a TJR for OA during a median follow-up of 18 years. Every one of the TJR cases were age- and BMI (kg/m2)-matched with 2 controls with no TJR from the same cohort. Plasma CRTAC1 was measured before TJR. The association between CRTAC1 and TJR incidence was investigated by conditional logistic regression. RESULTS: Increased CRTAC1 was associated with a higher risk of TJR with an odds ratio (OR) of 1.80 (95% CI 1.11-2.92) for 1 SD increase, which remained significant after adjusting for Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index, knee OA baseline severity (Kellgren-Lawrence grade), hip OA, and hip bone mineral density. Urinary crosslinked C-telopeptide of type II collagen (CTX-II) was also associated with a higher risk of TJR with an adjusted OR of 1.83 (95% CI 1.11-3.00). When CRTAC1 and CTX-II were included in the same model, both markers were significantly associated with TJR with similar ORs. CONCLUSION: CRTAC1 is a new risk indicator of TJR for OA in postmenopausal women. Combined with knee and hip OA and CTX-II, it may help to identify subjects at risk for TJR.

Variation in seizure risk increases from antiseizure medication withdrawal among patients with well-controlled epilepsy: A pooled analysis.

OBJECTIVE: Guidelines suggest considering antiseizure medication (ASM) discontinuation in seizure-free patients with epilepsy. Past work has poorly explored how discontinuation effects vary between patients. We evaluated (1) what factors modify the influence of discontinuation on seizure risk; and (2) the range of seizure risk increase due to discontinuation across low- versus high-risk patients. METHODS: We pooled three datasets including seizure-free patients who did and did not discontinue ASMs. We conducted time-to-first-seizure analyses. First, we evaluated what individual patient factors modified the relative effect of ASM discontinuation on seizure risk via interaction terms. Then, we assessed the distribution of 2-year risk increase as predicted by our adjusted logistic regressions. RESULTS: We included 1626 patients, of whom 678 (42%) planned to discontinue all ASMs. The mean predicted 2-year seizure risk was 43% [95% confidence interval (CI) 39%-46%] for discontinuation versus 21% (95% CI 19%-24%) for continuation. The mean 2-year absolute seizure risk increase was 21% (95% CI 18%-26%). No individual interaction term was significant after correcting for multiple comparisons. The median [interquartile range (IQR)] risk increase across patients was 19% (IQR 14%-24%; range 7%-37%). Results were unchanged when restricting analyses to only the two RCTs. SIGNIFICANCE: No single patient factor significantly modified the influence of discontinuation on seizure risk, although we captured how absolute risk increases change for patients that are at low versus high risk. Patients should likely continue ASMs if even a 7% 2-year increase in the chance of any more seizures would be too much and should likely discontinue ASMs if even a 37% risk increase would be too little. In between these extremes, individualized risk calculation and a careful understanding of patient preferences are critical. Future work will further develop a two-armed individualized seizure risk calculator and contextualize seizure risk thresholds below which to consider discontinuation. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Understanding how much antiseizure medications (ASMs) decrease seizure risk is an important part of determining which patients with epilepsy should be treated, especially for patients who have not had a seizure in a while. We found that there was a wide range in the amount that ASM discontinuation increases seizure risk-between 7% and 37%. We found that no single patient factor modified that amount. Understanding what a patient's seizure risk might be if they discontinued versus continued ASM treatment is critical to making informed decisions about whether the benefit of treatment outweighs the downsides.