Cohort profile: the British Columbia COVID-19 Cohort (BCC19C)-a dynamic, linked population-based cohort.

Purpose: The British Columbia COVID-19 Cohort (BCC19C) was developed from an innovative, dynamic surveillance platform and is accessed/analyzed through a cloud-based environment. The platform integrates recently developed provincial COVID-19 datasets (refreshed daily) with existing administrative holdings and provincial registries (refreshed weekly/monthly). The platform/cohort were established to inform the COVID-19 response in near "real-time" and to answer more in-depth epidemiologic questions. Participants: The surveillance platform facilitates the creation of large, up-to-date analytic cohorts of people accessing COVID-19 related services and their linked medical histories. The program of work focused on creating/analyzing these cohorts is referred to as the BCC19C. The administrative/registry datasets integrated within the platform are not specific to COVID-19 and allow for selection of "control" individuals who have not accessed COVID-19 services. Findings to date: The platform has vastly broadened the range of COVID-19 analyses possible, and outputs from BCC19C analyses have been used to create dashboards, support routine reporting and contribute to the peer-reviewed literature. Published manuscripts (total of 15 as of July, 2023) have appeared in high-profile publications, generated significant media attention and informed policy and programming. In this paper, we conducted an analysis to identify sociodemographic and health characteristics associated with receiving SARS-CoV-2 laboratory testing, testing positive, and being fully vaccinated. Other published analyses have compared the relative clinical severity of different variants of concern; quantified the high "real-world" effectiveness of vaccines in addition to the higher risk of myocarditis among younger males following a 2nd dose of an mRNA vaccine; developed and validated an algorithm for identifying long-COVID patients in administrative data; identified a higher rate of diabetes and healthcare utilization among people with long-COVID; and measured the impact of the pandemic on mental health, among other analyses. Future plans: While the global COVID-19 health emergency has ended, our program of work remains robust. We plan to integrate additional datasets into the surveillance platform to further improve and expand covariate measurement and scope of analyses. Our analyses continue to focus on retrospective studies of various aspects of the COVID-19 pandemic, as well as prospective assessment of post-acute COVID-19 conditions and other impacts of the pandemic.

Visible minority status and occupation were associated with increased COVID-19 infection in Greater Vancouver British Columbia between June and November 2020: an ecological study.

Background: The COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted health disparities, especially among specific population groups. This study examines the spatial relationship between the proportion of visible minorities (VM), occupation types and COVID-19 infection in the Greater Vancouver region of British Columbia, Canada. Methods: Provincial COVID-19 case data between June 24, 2020, and November 7, 2020, were aggregated by census dissemination area and linked with sociodemographic data from the Canadian 2016 census. Bayesian spatial Poisson regression models were used to examine the association between proportion of visible minorities, occupation types and COVID-19 infection. Models were adjusted for COVID-19 testing rates and other sociodemographic factors. Relative risk (RR) and 95% Credible Intervals (95% CrI) were calculated. Results: We found an inverse relationship between the proportion of the Chinese population and risk of COVID-19 infection (RR = 0.98 95% CrI = 0.96, 0.99), whereas an increased risk was observed for the proportions of the South Asian group (RR = 1.10, 95% CrI = 1.08, 1.12), and Other Visible Minority group (RR = 1.06, 95% CrI = 1.04, 1.08). Similarly, a higher proportion of frontline workers (RR = 1.05, 95% CrI = 1.04, 1.07) was associated with higher infection risk compared to non-frontline. Conclusion: Despite adjustments for testing, housing, occupation, and other social economic status variables, there is still a substantial association between the proportion of visible minorities, occupation types, and the risk of acquiring COVID-19 infection in British Columbia. This ecological analysis highlights the existing disparities in the burden of diseases among different visible minority populations and occupation types.

Emergence of SARS-CoV-2 Delta Variant and Effect of Nonpharmaceutical Interventions, British Columbia, Canada.

In British Columbia, Canada, initial growth of the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant was slower than that reported in other jurisdictions. Delta became the dominant variant (>50% prevalence) within ≈7-13 weeks of first detection in regions within the United Kingdom and United States. In British Columbia, it remained at <10% of weekly incident COVID-19 cases for 13 weeks after first detection on March 21, 2021, eventually reaching dominance after 17 weeks. We describe the growth of Delta variant cases in British Columbia during March 1-June 30, 2021, and apply retrospective counterfactual modeling to examine factors for the initially low COVID-19 case rate after Delta introduction, such as vaccination coverage and nonpharmaceutical interventions. Growth of COVID-19 cases in the first 3 months after Delta emergence was likely limited in British Columbia because additional nonpharmaceutical interventions were implemented to reduce levels of contact at the end of March 2021, soon after variant emergence.

Observational Study Examining Kidney Transplantation Outcomes Following Donation From Individuals That Died of Drug Toxicity in British Columbia, Canada.

Background: The illicit drug toxicity (overdose) crisis has worsened across Canada, between 2016 and 2021 more than 28 000 individuals have died of drug toxicity. Organ donation from persons who experience drug toxicity death has increased in recent years. Objective: This study examines whether graft loss after kidney transplantation differed by donor cause of death. Design: Retrospective cohort. Setting: Provincial transplant program of British Columbia, Canada. Patients: Transplant recipients who received kidney transplantation from deceased donors aged 12 to 70 years between 2013 and 2019 (N = 1012). Measurements: Transplant recipient all cause graft loss (graft loss due to any cause including death) was compared by donor cause of death from drug toxicity or other. Methods: Five-year Kaplan-Meier estimates of all-cause graft survival, and 3-year complete as well as stratified inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards models were conducted. Results: Drug toxicity death donors donated to 25% (252/1012) of kidney transplantations. Drug toxicity death donors were more likely to be young, white, males, with fewer comorbidities such as diabetes or hypertension but were more likely to have a terminal serum creatinine ≥1.5 mg/dL or be hepatitis C virus (HCV) positive. Unadjusted 5-year estimate of all-cause graft survival was 97% for recipients of drug toxicity donor kidneys and 83% for recipients of non-drug toxicity donor kidneys (P < .001). Recipients of drug toxicity death donor kidneys had decreased risk of all cause graft loss compared to recipients of non-drug toxicity death donor kidneys (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.30, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.12-0.77, P = .012). This is primarily due to the reduced risk of all-cause graft loss for recipients of younger (≤35 years) drug toxicity death donor kidneys (HR: 0.05, 95% CI: 0.00-0.55, P = .015). Limitations: Potential selection bias, potential unmeasured confounding. Conclusions: Donation after drug toxicity death is safe and should be considered more broadly to increase deceased donor kidney donation.

Contexte: La crise liée à la toxicité des drogues illicites (surdose) s'est aggravée partout au Canada. Entre 2016 et 2021, plus de 28 000 personnes sont mortes en raison de la toxicité des drogues. Les dons d'organes provenant de personnes décédées d'une surdose ont augmenté dans les dernières années. Objectif: Déterminer si la cause de décès du donneur influe sur la survie du greffon après une transplantation rénale. Conception: Étude de cohorte rétrospective. Cadre: Program provincial de transplantation de la Colombie-Britannique (Canada). Sujets: Des receveurs (N=1012) d'une greffe de rein entre 2013 et 2019 dont l'organe provenait de donneurs décédés âgés de 12 à 70 ans. Mesures: La perte du greffon toutes causes confondues (y compris le décès du receveur) a été comparée selon la cause de décès du donneur, que celle-ci soit attribuable à une surdose ou à une autre cause. Méthodologie: Des estimations de Kaplan-Meier de la survie de la greffe toutes causes confondues à 5 ans et à 3 ans ont été réalisées, ainsi que des modèles de risques proportionnels de Cox à probabilité inverse de traitements pondérés. Résultats: Les donneurs décédés par surdose comptaient pour 25 % (252/1012) des organes reçus pour les transplantations rénales. Les donneurs dont le décès était attribuable à une surdose étaient plus susceptibles d'être de jeunes hommes blancs présentant moins de comorbidités comme le diabète ou l'hypertension, mais plus susceptibles d'avoir un taux de créatinine sérique terminal d'au moins 1,5 mg/dl ou d'être positifs pour l'hépatite C. L'estimation non corrigée de la survie du greffon toutes causes confondues après 5 ans était de 97 % pour les reins provenant de donneurs décédés d'une surdose et de 83 % pour les reins provenant de donneurs décédés d'une autre cause (p < 0,001). Les receveurs d'un rein provenant d'un donneur décédé par surdose présentaient un plus faible risque de perte du greffon toutes causes confondues comparativement aux receveurs d'un rein de donneur décédé d'une autre cause (risque relatif [RR]: 0,30; intervalle de confiance à 95 % [IC 95 %]: 0,12-0,77; p=0,012). Ces résultats sont principalement attribuables à un plus faible risque de perte du greffon toutes causes confondues lorsque le rein provient d'un donneur plus jeune (≤ 35 ans) même si ce dernier est décédé de surdose (RR: 0,05; IC 95 %: 0,00-0,55; p=0,015). Limites: Possible biais de sélection; possibles facteurs de confusion non mesurés. Conclusion: Le don d'organes à la suite d'un décès par surdose est sans danger et devrait être envisagé plus largement afin d'augmenter les dons de reins par des donneurs décédés.

Investigating the effect of early life antibiotic use on asthma and allergy risk in over 600 000 Canadian children: a protocol for a retrospective cohort study in British Columbia and Manitoba.

INTRODUCTION: Allergic conditions, such as asthma, hay fever and eczema, are some of the most common conditions impacting children globally. There is a strong incentive to study their determinants to improve their prevention. Asthma, hay fever and eczema are influenced through the same immunological pathway and often copresent in children ('the atopic march'). Increasing evidence shows a link between infant antibiotic use and the risk of childhood atopic conditions, mediated through gut microbial dysbiosis during immune system maturation, however, the potential for confounding remains. This study will investigate the relationship between infant antibiotic use and risk of allergic conditions in British Columbian and Manitoban children born over 10 years, adjusting for relevant confounders. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: Provincial administrative datasets will be linked to perform comparable retrospective cohort analyses, using Population Data BC and the Manitoba Population Research Data Repository. All infants born between 2001 and 2011 in BC and Manitoba will be included (approximately 460 000 and 162 500 infants, respectively), following up to age 7. Multivariable logistic regression will determine the outcome risk by the fifth birthday among children who did and did not receive antibiotics before their first birthday. Clinical, demographic and environmental covariates will be explored, and sensitivity analyses performed to reduce confounding by indication. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The University of British Columbia Research Ethics Board (H19-03255) and University of Manitoba Ethics Board (HS25156 (H2021:328)) have approved this study. Data stewardship committees for all administrative datasets have granted permissions, facilitated by Population Data BC and the Manitoba Centre for Health Policy. Permissions from the Canadian Health Infant Longitudinal Development Study are being sought for breastfeeding data (CP185). Findings will be published in scientific journals and presented at infectious disease and respiratory health conferences. A stakeholder committee will guide and enhance sensitive and impactful communication of the findings to new parents.

Outcomes following heart or bilateral-lung transplantation from donors who died of drug toxicity in British Columbia, Canada.

INTRODUCTION: The illicit drug toxicity (overdose) crisis has worsened across Canada; between 2016 and 2021, more than 28,000 individuals have died of drug toxicity. Organ donation from persons who experience drug toxicity death (DTD) has increased in recent years. This study examines whether survival after heart or bilateral-lung transplantation differed by donor cause of death. METHODS: We studied transplant recipients in British Columbia who received heart (N = 110) or bilateral-lung (N = 223) transplantation from deceased donors aged 12-70 years between 2013 and 2019. Transplant recipient survival was compared by donor cause of death from drug toxicity or other. Five-year Kaplan-Meier estimates of survival and 3-year inverse probability treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards models were conducted. RESULTS: DTD donors made up 36% (40/110) of heart and 24% (54/223) of bilateral-lung transplantations. DTD donors were more likely to be young, white, and male. Unadjusted 5-year recipient survival was similar by donor cause of death (heart: 87% for DTD and 86% for non-DTD, p = .75; bilateral- lung: 80% for DTD and 76% for non-DTD, p = .65). Adjusted risk of mortality at 3-years post-transplant was similar between recipients of DTD and non-DTD donor heart (hazard ratio [HR]: .94, 95% confidence interval (CI): .22-4.07, p = .938) and bilateral-lung (HR: 1.06, 95% CI: .41-2.70, p = .908). CONCLUSION: Recipient survival after heart or bilateral-lung transplantation from DTD donors and non-DTD donors was similar. Donation from DTD donors is safe and should be considered more broadly to increase organ donation.

Clinical Severity of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Omicron Variant Relative to Delta in British Columbia, Canada: A Retrospective Analysis of Whole-Genome Sequenced Cases.

BACKGROUND: In late 2021, the Omicron severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 variant emerged and rapidly replaced Delta as the dominant variant. The increased transmissibility of Omicron led to surges in case rates and hospitalizations; however, the true severity of the variant remained unclear. We aimed to provide robust estimates of Omicron severity relative to Delta. METHODS: This retrospective cohort study was conducted with data from the British Columbia COVID-19 Cohort, a large provincial surveillance platform with linkage to administrative datasets. To capture the time of cocirculation with Omicron and Delta, December 2021 was chosen as the study period. Whole-genome sequencing was used to determine Omicron and Delta variants. To assess the severity (hospitalization, intensive care unit [ICU] admission, length of stay), we conducted adjusted Cox proportional hazard models, weighted by inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTW). RESULTS: The cohort was composed of 13 128 individuals (7729 Omicron and 5399 Delta). There were 419 coronavirus disease 2019 hospitalizations, with 118 (22%) among people diagnosed with Omicron (crude rate = 1.5% Omicron, 5.6% Delta). In multivariable IPTW analysis, Omicron was associated with a 50% lower risk of hospitalization compared with Delta (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.43 to 0.59), a 73% lower risk of ICU admission (aHR = 0.27, 95% CI = 0.19 to 0.38), and a 5-day shorter hospital stay (aß = -5.03, 95% CI = -8.01 to -2.05). CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis supports findings from other studies that have demonstrated lower risk of severe outcomes in Omicron-infected individuals relative to Delta.

Comparative Risk of Myocarditis/Pericarditis Following Second Doses of BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273 Coronavirus Vaccines.

BACKGROUND: Postmarketing evaluations have linked myocarditis to COVID-19 mRNA vaccines. However, few population-based analyses have directly compared the safety of the 2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccines. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to compare the risk of myocarditis, pericarditis, and myopericarditis between BNT162b2 and mRNA-1273. METHODS: We used data from the British Columbia COVID-19 Cohort (BCC19C), a population-based cohort study. The exposure was the second dose of an mRNA vaccine. The outcome was diagnosis of myocarditis, pericarditis, or myopericarditis during a hospitalization or an emergency department visit within 21 days of the second vaccination dose. We performed multivariable logistic regression to assess the association between vaccine product and the outcomes of interest. RESULTS: The rates of myocarditis and pericarditis per million second doses were higher for mRNA-1273 (n = 31, rate 35.6; 95% CI: 24.1-50.5; and n = 20, rate 22.9; 95% CI: 14.0-35.4, respectively) than BNT162b2 (n = 28, rate 12.6; 95% CI: 8.4-18.2 and n = 21, rate 9.4; 95% CI: 5.8-14.4, respectively). mRNA-1273 vs BNT162b2 had significantly higher odds of myocarditis (adjusted OR [aOR]: 2.78; 95% CI: 1.67-4.62), pericarditis (aOR: 2.42; 95% CI: 1.31-4.46) and myopericarditis (aOR: 2.63; 95% CI: 1.76-3.93). The association between mRNA-1273 and myocarditis was stronger for men (aOR: 3.21; 95% CI: 1.77-5.83) and younger age group (18-39 years; aOR: 5.09; 95% CI: 2.68-9.66). CONCLUSIONS: Myocarditis/pericarditis following mRNA COVID-19 vaccines is rare, but we observed a 2- to 3-fold higher odds among individuals who received mRNA-1273 vs BNT162b2. The rate of myocarditis following mRNA-1273 receipt is highest among younger men (age 18-39 years) and does not seem to be present at older ages. Our findings may have policy implications regarding the choice of vaccine offered.

The Risk of Cardiovascular Events in Individuals With Primary Glomerular Diseases.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Little is known about the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in patients with various primary glomerular diseases. In a population-level cohort of adults with primary glomerular disease, we sought to describe the risk of CVD compared with the general population and the impact of traditional and kidney-related risk factors on CVD risk. STUDY DESIGN: Observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Adults with membranous nephropathy (n = 387), minimal change disease (n = 226), IgA nephropathy (n = 759), and focal segmental glomerulosclerosis (n = 540) from a centralized pathology registry in British Columbia, Canada (2000-2012). EXPOSURE: Traditional CVD risk factors (diabetes, age, sex, dyslipidemia, hypertension, smoking, prior CVD) and kidney-related risk factors (type of glomerular disease, estimated glomerular filtration rate [eGFR], proteinuria). OUTCOME: A composite CVD outcome of coronary artery, cerebrovascular, and peripheral vascular events, and death due to myocardial infarction or stroke. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Subdistribution hazards models to evaluate the outcome risk with non-CVD death treated as a competing event. Standardized incidence rates (SIR) calculated based on the age- and sex-matched general population. RESULTS: During a median 6.8 years of follow-up, 212 patients (11.1%) experienced the CVD outcome (10-year risk, 14.7% [95% CI, 12.8%-16.8%]). The incidence rate was high for the overall cohort (24.7 per 1,000 person-years) and for each disease type (range, 12.2-46.1 per 1,000 person-years), and was higher than that observed in the general population both overall (SIR, 2.46 [95% CI, 2.12-2.82]) and for each disease type (SIR range, 1.38-3.98). Disease type, baseline eGFR, and proteinuria were associated with a higher risk of CVD and, when added to a model with traditional risk factors, led to improvements in model fit (R2 of 14.3% vs 12.7%), risk discrimination (C-statistic of 0.81 vs 0.78; difference, 0.02 [95% CI, 0.01-0.04]), and continuous net reclassification improvement (0.4 [95% CI, 0.2-0.6]). LIMITATIONS: Ascertainment of outcomes and comorbidities using administrative data. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with primary glomerular disease have a high absolute risk of CVD that is approximately 2.5 times that of the general population. Consideration of eGFR, proteinuria, and type of glomerular disease may improve risk stratification of CVD risk in these individuals. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Patients with chronic kidney disease are known to be at high risk of cardiovascular disease. Cardiovascular risk in patients with primary glomerular diseases is poorly understood because these conditions are rare and require a kidney biopsy for diagnosis. In this study of 1,912 Canadian patients with biopsy-proven IgA nephropathy, minimal change disease, focal segmental glomerulosclerosis, and membranous nephropathy, the rate of cardiovascular events was 2.5 times higher than in the general population and was high for each disease type. Consideration of disease type, kidney function, and proteinuria improved the prediction of cardiovascular events. In summary, our population-level study showed that patients with primary glomerular diseases have a high cardiovascular risk, and that inclusion of kidney-specific risk factors may improve risk stratification.

Healthcare Costs for Pneumococcal Disease in the Era of Infant Immunization With 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine: A Population-Based Study.

OBJECTIVES: Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and a variety of clinical syndromes caused by pneumococci, such as acute otitis media (AOM), acute sinusitis (AS), and community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), cause a substantial burden on healthcare systems. Few studies have explored the short-term financial burden of pneumococcal disease after the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) introduction in the infant immunization programs. This population-based study evaluated changes in costs associated with healthcare utilization for pneumococcal disease after the PCV13 introduction in the infant immunization program in British Columbia, Canada. METHODS: Individuals with pneumococcal disease were identified using provincial administrative data for the 2000 to 2018 period. Total direct healthcare costs were determined using case-mix methodology for hospitalization and fee-for-service codes for outpatient visits and medications dispensed. Costs were adjusted to 2018 Canadian dollars. Changes in the annual healthcare costs were evaluated across vaccine eras (pre-PCV13, 2000-2010; PCV13, 2011-2018) using generalized linear models, adjusting for the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine program (2004-2010). RESULTS: During the 19-year study period, pneumococcal disease resulted in 6.3 million cases among 85 million total patient-years, resulting in total healthcare costs of $7.9 billion. More than 6.2 million cases were treated in outpatient setting, costing $0.65 billion (8% of total costs associated with pneumococcal disease treatment), whereas 370 000 hospitalized cases were 3% of all cases, which accrued $7.25 billion (92% of total costs) in costs. Healthcare costs for all studied infections nearly doubled over the study period from $248 million in 2000 to $476 million in 2018 (P = .003). In contrast, there were large declines in total annual costs in the PCV13 era for IPD (adjusted relative rate (aRR) 0.73; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.56-0.95; P = .032), AOM (aRR 0.70; 95% CI 0.59-0.83; P = .001), and AS (aRR 0.68; 95% CI 0.54-0.85; P = .004) compared with the pre-PCV13 era. Total costs increased marginally in the PCV13 era for all-cause CAP (aRR 1.04; 95% CI 0.94-1.15; P = .484). CONCLUSIONS: This study confirms a temporal association in declining economic burden for IPD, AOM, and AS after the PCV13 introduction. Nevertheless, the total economic burden continues to be high in the PCV13 era, mainly driven by increasing CAP costs.

A population-based analysis to determine the impact of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on community-acquired pneumonia in British Columbia, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Pneumonia is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally. We determined the impact of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) use on community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) rates eight years after the vaccine was introduced in the infant immunization program. METHODS: Using diagnostic codes from administrative databases, we calculated the overall and age-specific CAP incidence per month (2000-2018). Changes in the CAP incidence before and after the PCV13 vaccine program introduction were evaluated using negative binomial regression model adjusting for 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine program. RESULTS: The PCV13 vaccine infant immunization program was associated with declining CAP incidence among children aged 0-2 years (adjusted Incidence Rate Ratio (aIRR): 0.91; 95% CI: 0.87-0.96). Overall CAP incidence did not decrease in those aged 3-5 years (0.98; 95% CI: 0.93-1.04), 6-17 years (1.02; 95% CI: 0.97-1.08), 18-49 years (1.02; 95% CI:0.98-1.05), 50-64 years (1.07; 95% CI: 1.04-1.11), ≥65 years (1.05; 95% CI:1.02-1.08). CONCLUSIONS: The PCV13 infant immunization program is temporally associated with a reduction in CAP incidence in vaccine target age group. However, no significant decrease in CAP incidence in other age groups warrants further study of the etiology of CAP to develop and implement effective prevention programs.

Influenza Vaccine Effectiveness by A(H3N2) Phylogenetic Subcluster and Prior Vaccination History: 2016-2017 and 2017-2018 Epidemics in Canada.

BACKGROUND: The influenza A(H3N2) vaccine was updated from clade 3C.3a in 2015-2016 to 3C.2a for 2016-2017 and 2017-2018. Circulating 3C.2a viruses showed considerable hemagglutinin glycoprotein diversification and the egg-adapted vaccine also bore mutations. METHODS: Vaccine effectiveness (VE) in 2016-2017 and 2017-2018 was assessed by test-negative design, explored by A(H3N2) phylogenetic subcluster and prior season's vaccination history. RESULTS: In 2016-2017, A(H3N2) VE was 36% (95% confidence interval [CI], 18%-50%), comparable with (43%; 95% CI, 24%-58%) or without (33%; 95% CI, -21% to 62%) prior season's vaccination. In 2017-2018, VE was 14% (95% CI, -8% to 31%), lower with (9%; 95% CI, -18% to 30%) versus without (45%; 95% CI, -7% to 71%) prior season's vaccination. In 2016-2017, VE against predominant clade 3C.2a1 viruses was 33% (95% CI, 11%-50%): 18% (95% CI, -40% to 52%) for 3C.2a1a defined by a pivotal T135K loss of glycosylation; 60% (95% CI, 19%-81%) for 3C.2a1b (without T135K); and 31% (95% CI, 2%-51%) for other 3C.2a1 variants (with/without T135K). VE against 3C.2a2 viruses was 45% (95% CI, 2%-70%) in 2016-2017 but 15% (95% CI, -7% to 33%) in 2017-2018 when 3C.2a2 predominated. VE against 3C.2a1b in 2017-2018 was 37% (95% CI, -57% to 75%), lower at 12% (95% CI, -129% to 67%) for a new 3C.2a1b subcluster (n = 28) also bearing T135K. CONCLUSIONS: Exploring VE by phylogenetic subcluster and prior vaccination history reveals informative heterogeneity. Pivotal mutations affecting glycosylation sites, and repeat vaccination using unchanged antigen, may reduce VE.

Mental Health and Substance Use Associated with Hospitalization among People with COVID-19: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

This study identified factors associated with hospital admission among people with laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases in British Columbia. The study used data from the BC COVID-19 Cohort, which integrates data on all COVID-19 cases with data on hospitalizations, medical visits, emergency room visits, prescription drugs, chronic conditions and deaths. The analysis included all laboratory-diagnosed COVID-19 cases in British Columbia to 15 January 2021. We evaluated factors associated with hospital admission using multivariable Poisson regression analysis with robust error variance. Of the 56,874 COVID-19 cases included in the analysis, 2298 were hospitalized. Factors associated with increased hospitalization risk were as follows: male sex (adjusted risk ratio (aRR) = 1.27; 95% CI = 1.17-1.37), older age (p-trend < 0.0001 across age groups increasing hospitalization risk with increasing age [aRR 30-39 years = 3.06; 95% CI = 2.32-4.03, to aRR 80+ years = 43.68; 95% CI = 33.41-57.10 compared to 20-29 years-old]), asthma (aRR = 1.15; 95% CI = 1.04-1.26), cancer (aRR = 1.19; 95% CI = 1.09-1.29), chronic kidney disease (aRR = 1.32; 95% CI = 1.19-1.47), diabetes (treated without insulin aRR = 1.13; 95% CI = 1.03-1.25, requiring insulin aRR = 5.05; 95% CI = 4.43-5.76), hypertension (aRR = 1.19; 95% CI = 1.08-1.31), injection drug use (aRR = 2.51; 95% CI = 2.14-2.95), intellectual and developmental disabilities (aRR = 1.67; 95% CI = 1.05-2.66), problematic alcohol use (aRR = 1.63; 95% CI = 1.43-1.85), immunosuppression (aRR = 1.29; 95% CI = 1.09-1.53), and schizophrenia and psychotic disorders (aRR = 1.49; 95% CI = 1.23-1.82). In an analysis restricted to women of reproductive age, pregnancy (aRR = 2.69; 95% CI = 1.42-5.07) was associated with increased risk of hospital admission. Older age, male sex, substance use, intellectual and developmental disability, chronic comorbidities, and pregnancy increase the risk of COVID-19-related hospitalization.

Impact of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine on acute otitis media and acute sinusitis epidemiology in British Columbia, Canada.

BACKGROUND: Numerous studies have characterized the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) programme's beneficial effects on acute otitis media (AOM) and acute sinusitis (AS) rates in children; however, few studies have examined the impact on adults. OBJECTIVES: This retrospective cohort study evaluates the overall effect of the PCV13 immunization programme on the incidence of AOM and AS at the population level. METHODS: Health administrative databases were linked to assess outpatient visits, hospitalizations and antibiotic utilization from 2000 to 2018. Multivariable Poisson regression was used to evaluate the impact of the PCV13 vaccine programme (2011-18) compared with the pre-PCV13 era (2000-10), overall and by age. RESULTS: From 2000 to 2018, the incidence of AOM decreased by 50% (62 to 31 per 1000 population) while sinusitis decreased by 18% (33 to 27 per 1000 population). In the PCV13 era, the incidence of AOM declined [incidence rate ratio (IRR): 0.70; 95% CI: 0.70-0.70], in parallel with decreased incidence of antibiotic utilization (IRR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.64-0.65). A reduction was also observed in the incidence of AS during the PCV13 era compared with the pre-PCV13 era (IRR: 0.88; 95% CI: 0.88-0.88), mainly driven by declines among those younger than 65 years of age. In contrast, an increase in AS incidence was noted in individuals aged ≥65 years (IRR: 1.03; 95% CI: 1.02-1.03). A decrease in antibiotic prescription rates for sinusitis was observed for those under 65 years of age. CONCLUSIONS: The PCV13 immunization programme is associated with a reduction in the incidence of AOM and AS. Moreover, the associated use of antibiotics for these diagnoses has comparably decreased across paediatric, as well as adult populations.

Risk of active tuberculosis in migrants diagnosed with cancer: a retrospective cohort study in British Columbia, Canada.

OBJECTIVES: To describe the association between types of cancer and active tuberculosis (TB) risk in migrants. Additionally, in order to better inform latent TB infection (LTBI) screening protocols, we assessed proportion of active TB cases potentially preventable through LTBI screening and treatment in migrants with cancer. DESIGN: Population-based, retrospective cohort study. SETTING: British Columbia (BC), Canada. PARTICIPANTS: 1 000 764 individuals who immigrated to Canada from 1985 to 2012 and established residency in BC at any point up to 2015. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Using linked health administrative databases and disease registries, data on demographics, comorbidities, cancer type, TB exposure and active TB diagnosis were extracted. Primary outcomes included: time to first active TB diagnoses, and risks of active TB following cancer diagnoses which were estimated using Cox extended hazard regression models. Potentially preventable TB was defined as active TB diagnosed >6 months postcancer diagnoses. RESULTS: Active TB risk was increased in migrants with cancer ((HR (95% CI)) 2.5 (2.0 to 3.1)), after adjustment for age, sex, TB incidence in country of origin, immigration classification, contact status and comorbidities. Highest risk was observed with lung cancer (HR 11.2 (7.4 to 16.9)) and sarcoma (HR 8.1 (3.3 to 19.5)), followed by leukaemia (HR 5.6 (3.1 to 10.2)), lymphoma (HR 4.9 (2.7 to 8.7)) and gastrointestinal cancers (HR 2.7 (1.7 to 4.4)). The majority (65.9%) of active TB cases were diagnosed >6 months postcancer diagnosis. CONCLUSION: Specific cancers increase active TB risk to varying degrees in the migrant population of BC, with approximately two-thirds of active TB cases identified as potentially preventable.

SOS! Summer of Smoke: a retrospective cohort study examining the cardiorespiratory impacts of a severe and prolonged wildfire season in Canada's high subarctic.

OBJECTIVES: To determine healthcare service utilisation for cardiorespiratory presentations and outpatient salbutamol dispensation associated with 2.5 months of severe, unabating wildfire smoke in Canada's high subarctic. DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study using hospital, clinic, pharmacy and environmental data analysed using Poisson regression. SETTING: Territorial referral hospital and clinics in Yellowknife, Northwest Territories, Canada. PARTICIPANTS: Individuals from Yellowknife and surrounding communities presenting for care between 2012 and 2015. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Emergency room (ER) presentations, hospital admissions and clinic visits for cardiorespiratory events, and outpatient salbutamol prescriptions RESULTS: The median 24-hour mean particulate matter (PM2.5) was fivefold higher in the summer of 2014 compared with 2012, 2013 and 2015 (median=30.8 µg/m3), with the mean peaking at 320.3 µg/m3. A 10 µg/m3 increase in PM2.5 was associated with an increase in asthma-related (incidence rate ratio (IRR) (95% CI): 1.11 (1.07, 1.14)) and pneumonia-related ER visits (IRR (95% CI): 1.06 (1.02, 1.10)), as well as an increase in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease hospitalisations (IRR (95% CI): 1.11 (1.02, 1.20). Compared with 2012 and 2013, salbutamol dispensations in 2014 increased by 48%; clinic visits for asthma, pneumonia and cough increased; ER visits for asthma doubled, with the highest rate in females, in adults aged ≥40 years and in Dene people, while pneumonia increased by 57%, with higher rates in males, in individualsaged <40 years and in Inuit people. Cardiac variables were unchanged. CONCLUSIONS: Severe wildfires in 2014 resulted in extended poor air quality associated with increases in health resource utilization; some impacts were seen disproportionately among vulnerable populations, such as children and Indigenous individuals. Public health advisories asking people to stay inside were inadequately protective, with compliance possibly impacted by the prolonged exposure. Future research should investigate use of at-home air filtration systems, clean-air shelters and public health messaging which addresses mental health and supports physical activity.

Effectiveness of Latent TB Screening and Treatment in People Initiating Dialysis in British Columbia, Canada.

BACKGROUND: People undergoing chronic dialysis are at an increased risk of active tuberculosis (TB). In 2012, the Canadian province of British Columbia began systematically screening people initiating dialysis for latent TB using interferon-gamma release assay (IGRA), and treating when appropriate. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to compare active TB rate in people who initiated dialysis and were screened using an IGRA compared with those not screened during the same period. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: British Columbia (BC), a Canadian province of 5.0 million people with an active TB incidence of 5.1 per 100 000 population. PARTICIPANTS: All people in BC who initiated at least 90 days of dialysis between January 2012 and May 2017 were included in the study. People were excluded if they were <18 years of age or had a prior history of active TB diagnosis or treatment for latent TB. METHODS: A retrospective cohort was created of British Columbians who initiated dialysis between 2012 and 2017. Individuals were stratified into a screened and nonscreened group. Multivariable Cox regression was used to determine the association between latent TB screening and the development of active TB. The primary outcome was incident active TB, either microbiologically confirmed or clinically diagnosed. RESULTS: Of the 3190 people included in the study, 1790 (56.1%) were screened, of which 152 (8.5%) initiated latent TB treatment postscreening. During follow-up, incident active TB was diagnosed in 6 (0.3%) of the 1790 people screened, compared with 11 (0.8%) of the 1400 people who received no screening. In multivariable analysis, latent TB screening and treatment was associated with a significant reduction in the rate of active TB (adjusted hazard ratio = 0.3, 95% confidence interval = 0.1-0.8; P < .01). LIMITATIONS: This was an observational retrospective study and the potential for unmeasured confounding should be carefully assessed. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that systematically screening and treating people initiating dialysis can significantly decrease the rate of active TB in this high-risk population. Given the importance of screening high-risk groups, the results from this analysis could inform scale-up of TB screening in dialysis programs in other low incidence regions. Trial registration is not applicable as this was a retrospective cohort analysis and not a randomized trial.

CONTEXTE: Les patients sous dialyse chronique sont plus susceptibles de développer une tuberculose (TB) active. En 2012, la Colombie-Britannique (province canadienne) a entrepris de dépister systématiquement la TB latente chez les patients qui amorcent un traitement de dialyse. Le dépistage s'effectue à l'aide du test sanguin de libération d'interféron gamma (test IGRA­Interferon Gamma Release Assay) et les patients sont traités lorsque nécessaire. OBJECTIF: L'objectif de l'étude était de comparer le taux de TB active chez les patients dépistés par le test IGRA à celui des individus non testés au cours de la même période. TYPE D'ÉTUDE: Étude de cohorte rétrospective. CADRE: L'étude s'est tenue en Colombie-Britannique, une province canadienne de cinq millions d'habitants dont l'incidence de TB active est de 5,1 cas pour 100 000 habitants. PARTICIPANTS: Ont été inclus tous les Britanno-Colombiens ayant amorcé une dialyse de plus de 90 jours entre janvier 2012 et mai 2017. Les mineurs et les individus avec des antécédents de TB active ou ayant déjà été traités pour une TB latente ont été exclus. MÉTHODOLOGIE: Une étude de cohorte rétrospective a été menée auprès des Britanno-Colombiens ayant amorcé une dialyse entre 2012 et 2017. Les individus ont été divisés en deux groupes: un groupe dépisté et un groupe non dépisté. Une régression de Cox à variables multiples a servi à établir l'association entre une TB latente et le développement d'une TB active. Le principal résultat d'intérêt était une TB active confirmée par analyse microbiologique ou diagnostiquée cliniquement. RÉSULTATS: Des 3 190 individus retenus pour l'étude, 1 790 (56,1 %) ont été testés et de ceux-ci, 152 (8,5 %) ont été traités pour une TB latente après l'examen. Pendant le suivi, parmi les 1 790 individus dépistés, 6 patients (0,3 %) ont reçu un diagnostic de TB active comparativement à onze (0,8 %) parmi les 1400 qui n'avaient pas été examinés. Dans l'analyse multivariée, le traitement et le dépistage de la TB latente ont été associés à une réduction significative du taux de TB active (aHR 0,3; IC 95%: 0,1 à 0,8; p <0,01). LIMITES: Il s'agit d'une étude observationnelle rétrospective et le risque de confusion devrait être rigoureusement évalué. CONCLUSION: Ces résultats suggèrent que le taux de TB active chez les patients dialysés pourrait être réduit significativement par le dépistage et le traitement systématique des individus qui entreprennent un traitement de dialyse. Vu l'importance du dépistage des populations à haut risque, les résultats de cette étude sont susceptibles d'éclairer l'augmentation du dépistage de la TB au sein des programmes de dialyse dans d'autres régions de faible incidence.

Comparison of Chlamydia outer membrane complex to recombinant outer membrane proteins as vaccine.

The Chlamydial outer membrane complex (COMC) from the elementary body (EB) is a protein rich insoluble outer membrane shell from which cytosolic proteins have been extracted with detergent. In this study we conducted mass spectrometry experiments to detect proteins in the COMC prepared from C. muridarum EB. Proteomic analysis showed that the COMC contained 75 proteins that included 10 outer membrane proteins (OMPs) such as the major outer membrane protein (MOMP) and polymorphic membrane proteins (Pmps) that were previously identified as CD4 T cell vaccine candidates. We tested the vaccine efficacy of COMC in comparison to individual or combination of recombinant OMPs formulated with Th1 polarizing adjuvant DDA/MPL in two murine genital tract models (C. muridarum and C. trachomatis) by measuring organismal shedding, tubal pathology and immune responses including neutralizing antibodies. In the C. muridarum model, the COMC vaccine generated broadly reactive immune responses against multiple outer membrane proteins, high levels of EB binding and neutralizing antibody and exhibited superior protection against genital infection and pathology when compared to the recombinant PmpG vaccine. Denaturing the COMC by boiling significantly reduced protection. In the C. trachomatis model, the COMC vaccine also conferred greater protection compared to individual or multiple recombinant outer membrane proteins. Immunization with multiple COMCs from C. trachomatis serovars D, F and J generated neutralizing antibodies against multiple C. trachomatis serovars. We conclude that broader immunogenicity and generation of neutralizing antibody may explain the superior efficacy of COMC vaccine. The study suggests that conformationally intact proteins will be necessary for a successful recombinant OMP vaccine.

Decreasing antibiotic use, the gut microbiota, and asthma incidence in children: evidence from population-based and prospective cohort studies.

BACKGROUND: Childhood asthma incidence is decreasing in some parts of Europe and North America. Antibiotic use in infancy has been associated with increased asthma risk. In the present study, we tested the hypothesis that decreases in asthma incidence are linked to reduced antibiotic prescribing and mediated by changes in the gut bacterial community. METHODS: This study comprised population-based and prospective cohort analyses. At the population level, we used administrative data from British Columbia, Canada (population 4·7 million), on annual rates of antibiotic prescriptions and asthma diagnoses, to assess the association between antibiotic prescribing (at age <1 year) and asthma incidence (at age 1-4 years). At the individual level, 2644 children from the Canadian Healthy Infant Longitudinal Development (CHILD) prospective birth cohort were examined for the association of systemic antibiotic use (at age <1 year) with the diagnosis of asthma (at age 5 years). In the same cohort, we did a mechanistic investigation of 917 children with available 16S rRNA gene sequencing data from faecal samples (at age ≤1 year), to assess how composition of the gut microbiota relates to antibiotic exposure and asthma incidence. FINDINGS: At the population level between 2000 and 2014, asthma incidence in children (aged 1-4 years) showed an absolute decrease of 7·1 new diagnoses per 1000 children, from 27·3 (26·8-28·3) per 1000 children to 20·2 (19·5-20·8) per 1000 children (a relative decrease of 26·0%). Reduction in incidence over the study period was associated with decreasing antibiotic use in infancy (age <1 year), from 1253·8 prescriptions (95% CI 1219·3-1288·9) per 1000 infants to 489·1 (467·6-511·2) per 1000 infants (Spearman's r=0·81; p<0·0001). Asthma incidence increased by 24% with each 10% increase in antibiotic prescribing (adjusted incidence rate ratio 1·24 [95% CI 1·20-1·28]; p<0·0001). In the CHILD cohort, after excluding children who received antibiotics for respiratory symptoms, asthma diagnosis in childhood was associated with infant antibiotic use (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2·15 [95% CI 1·37-3·39]; p=0·0009), with a significant dose-response; 114 (5·2%) of 2182 children unexposed to antibiotics had asthma by age 5 years, compared with 23 (8·1%) of 284 exposed to one course, five (10·2%) of 49 exposed to two courses, and six (17·6%) of 34 exposed to three or more courses (aOR 1·44 [1·16-1·79]; p=0·0008). Increasing α-diversity of the gut microbiota, defined as an IQR increase (25th to 75th percentile) in the Chao1 index, at age 1 year was associated with a 32% reduced risk of asthma at age 5 years (aOR for IQR increase 0·68 [0·46-0·99]; p=0·046). In a structural equation model, we found the gut microbiota at age 1 year, characterised by α-diversity, ß-diversity, and amplicon sequence variants modified by antibiotic exposure, to be a significant mediator between outpatient antibiotic exposure in the first year of life and asthma diagnosis at age 5 years (ß=0·08; p=0·027). INTERPRETATION: Our findings suggest that the reduction in the incidence of paediatric asthma observed in recent years might be an unexpected benefit of prudent antibiotic use during infancy, acting via preservation of the gut microbial community. FUNDING: British Columbia Ministry of Health, Pharmaceutical Services Branch; Canadian Institutes of Health Research; Allergy, Genes and Environment (AllerGen) Network of Centres of Excellence; Genome Canada; and Genome British Columbia.

Paradoxical clade- and age-specific vaccine effectiveness during the 2018/19 influenza A(H3N2) epidemic in Canada: potential imprint-regulated effect of vaccine (I-REV).

IntroductionThe Canadian Sentinel Practitioner Surveillance Network reports vaccine effectiveness (VE) for the 2018/19 influenza A(H3N2) epidemic.AimTo explain a paradoxical signal of increased clade 3C.3a risk among 35-54-year-old vaccinees, we hypothesise childhood immunological imprinting and a cohort effect following the 1968 influenza A(H3N2) pandemic.MethodsWe assessed VE by test-negative design for influenza A(H3N2) overall and for co-circulating clades 3C.2a1b and 3C.3a. VE variation by age in 2018/19 was compared with amino acid variation in the haemagglutinin glycoprotein by year since 1968.ResultsInfluenza A(H3N2) VE was 17% (95% CI: -13 to 39) overall: 27% (95% CI: -7 to 50) for 3C.2a1b and -32% (95% CI: -119 to 21) for 3C.3a. Among 20-64-year-olds, VE was -7% (95% CI: -56 to 26): 6% (95% CI: -49 to 41) for 3C.2a1b and -96% (95% CI: -277 to -2) for 3C.3a. Clade 3C.3a VE showed a pronounced negative dip among 35-54-year-olds in whom the odds of medically attended illness were > 4-fold increased for vaccinated vs unvaccinated participants (p < 0.005). This age group was primed in childhood to influenza A(H3N2) viruses that for two decades following the 1968 pandemic bore a serine at haemagglutinin position 159, in common with contemporary 3C.3a viruses but mismatched to 3C.2a vaccine strains instead bearing tyrosine.DiscussionImprinting by the first childhood influenza infection is known to confer long-lasting immunity focused toward priming epitopes. Our findings suggest vaccine mismatch may negatively interact with imprinted immunity. The immunological mechanisms for imprint-regulated effect of vaccine (I-REV) warrant investigation.