Lactate Improves Prediction of Short-Term Mortality in Critically Ill Patients With Cirrhosis: A Multinational Study.

Lactate levels and lactate clearance are known predictors of outcome in critically ill patients in the intensive care unit (ICU). The prognostic value of lactate is not well established in liver cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic value of lactate levels and clearance in critically ill patients with cirrhosis. Patients with cirrhosis admitted to the ICU were studied at the University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf (n = 566, derivation cohort) and the Medical University of Vienna and the University Hospitals Leuven (n = 250, validation cohort). Arterial lactate was measured on admission and during the first 24 hours. Patients were followed for 1 year and outcome was assessed. Admission lactate was directly related to the number of organs failing and to 28-day mortality (area under receiver operating characteristic [AUROC] 0.72; P < 0.001). This also applied to lactate follow-up measurements after 6, 12, and 24 hours (P < 0.001 for all, AUROC > 0.70 for all). Lactate clearance had significant predictive ability for 28-day mortality in patients with elevated serum lactate ≥5 mmol/L. Admission lactate and 12-hour lactate clearance (in patients with admission lactate ≥5 mmol/L), respectively, were identified as significant predictors of 1-year mortality, independent of Chronic Liver Failure Consortium acute-on-chronic liver failure score (CLIF-C ACLFs). A lactate-adjusted CLIF-C ACLFs was developed (CLIF-C ACLFsLact ), which performed significantly better than the original CLIF-C ACLFs in prediction of 28-day mortality in the derivation and validation cohort. Conclusion: Lactate levels appropriately reflect severity of disease and organ failure and were independently associated with short-term mortality in critically ill patients with liver cirrhosis. Lactate is a simple but accurate prognostic marker, and its incorporation improved performance of CLIF-C ACLFs significantly.

[Acute liver failure]. / Akutes Leberversagen: Zeitgerechte Diagnose und Therapie ist entscheidend für die Prognose.

Acute liver failure (ALF) is a rare condition with fatal outcome. Characteristic is rapid onset of liver damage without preexisting liver diseases, including hepatic encephalopathy and coagulopathy. Early and correct diagnosis is essential for further management of patients, since diagnosis impacts therapy choice. Survival of patients with ALF has improved dramatically due to advances in critical care medicine and the use of liver transplantation.

Acid-base status and its clinical implications in critically ill patients with cirrhosis, acute-on-chronic liver failure and without liver disease.

BACKGROUND: Acid-base disturbances are frequently observed in critically ill patients at the intensive care unit. To our knowledge, the acid-base profile of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has not been evaluated and compared to critically ill patients without acute or chronic liver disease. RESULTS: One hundred and seventy-eight critically ill patients with liver cirrhosis were compared to 178 matched controls in this post hoc analysis of prospectively collected data. Patients with and without liver cirrhosis showed hyperchloremic acidosis and coexisting hypoalbuminemic alkalosis. Cirrhotic patients, especially those with ACLF, showed a marked net metabolic acidosis owing to increased lactate and unmeasured anions. This metabolic acidosis was partly antagonized by associated respiratory alkalosis, yet with progression to ACLF resulted in acidemia, which was present in 62% of patients with ACLF grade III compared to 19% in cirrhosis patients without ACLF. Acidemia and metabolic acidosis were associated with 28-day mortality in cirrhosis. Patients with pH values < 7.1 showed a 100% mortality rate. Acidosis attributable to lactate and unmeasured anions was independently associated with mortality in liver cirrhosis. CONCLUSIONS: Cirrhosis and especially ACLF are associated with metabolic acidosis and acidemia owing to lactate and unmeasured anions. Acidosis and acidemia, respectively, are associated with increased 28-day mortality in liver cirrhosis. Lactate and unmeasured anions are main contributors to metabolic imbalance in cirrhosis and ACLF.

Outcome of in- and out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survivors with liver cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Organ failure increases mortality in patients with liver cirrhosis. Data about resuscitated cardiac arrest patients with liver cirrhosis are missing. This study aims to assess aetiology, survival and functional outcome in patients after successful cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) with and without liver cirrhosis. METHODS: Analysis of prospectively collected cardiac arrest registry data of consecutively hospital-admitted patients following successful CPR was performed. Patient's characteristics, admission diagnosis, severity of disease, course of disease, short- and long-term mortality as well as functional outcome were assessed and compared between patients with and without cirrhosis. RESULTS: Out of 1068 patients with successful CPR, 47 (4%) had liver cirrhosis. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) was present in 33 (70%) of these patients on admission, and four patients developed ACLF during follow-up. Mortality at 1 year was more than threefold increased in patients with liver cirrhosis (OR 3.25; 95% CI 1.33-7.96). Liver cirrhosis was associated with impaired neurological outcome (OR for a favourable cerebral performance category: 0.13; 95% CI 0.04-0.36). None of the patients with Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) C cirrhosis survived 28 days with good neurological outcome. Overall nine (19%) patients with cirrhosis survived 28 days with good neurological outcome. All patients with ACLF grade 3 died within 28 days. CONCLUSION: Cardiac arrest survivors with cirrhosis have worse outcome than those without. Although one quarter of patients with liver cirrhosis survived longer than 28 days after successful CPR, patients with CTP C as well as advanced ACLF did not survive 28 days with good neurological outcome.

Circulating bile acids predict outcome in critically ill patients.

BACKGROUND: Jaundice and cholestatic hepatic dysfunction are frequent findings in critically ill patients associated with increased mortality. Cholestasis in critically ill patients is closely associated with stimulation of pro-inflammatory cytokines resulting in impaired bile secretion and subsequent accumulation of bile acids. Aim of this study was to evaluate the clinical role of circulating bile acids in critically ill patients. METHODS: Total and individual serum bile acids were assessed via high-performance liquid chromatography in 320 critically ill patients and 19 controls. RESULTS: Total serum bile acids were threefold higher in septic than cardiogenic shock patients and sixfold higher than in post-surgical patients or controls (p < 0.001). Elevated bile acid levels correlated with severity of illness, renal dysfunction and inflammation (p < 0.05). Total bile acids predicted 28-day mortality independently of sex, age, serum bilirubin and severity of illness (HR 1.041, 95% CI 1.013-1.071, p < 0.005). Best prediction of mortality of total bile acids was seen in patients suffering from septic shock. CONCLUSIONS: Individual and total BAs are elevated by various degrees in different shock conditions. BAs represent an early predictor of short-term survival in a mixed cohort of ICU patients and may serve as marker for early risk stratification in critically ill patients. Future studies should elucidate whether modulation of BA metabolism and signalling influences the clinical course and outcome in critically ill patients.

Serum bile acids as marker for acute decompensation and acute-on-chronic liver failure in patients with non-cholestatic cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Retention of bile acids (BAs) plays a central role in hepatic damage and disturbed BA signalling in liver disease. However, there is lack of data regarding the association of BAs with clinical complications, acute decompensation (AD) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Thus, we aimed to evaluate the impact of circulating serum BAs for complications in patients with cirrhosis. METHODS: One hundred and forty-three patients with cirrhosis were included in this prospective cohort-type observational study. Total serum BAs and individual BA composition were assessed in all patients on admission via high-performance liquid chromatography. Clinical complications with respect to AD, ACLF and 1-year transplant-free survival were recorded. RESULTS: Total BAs and individual serum BAs were significantly higher in patients with bacterial infection, AD and ACLF (P<.001) and correlated significantly with model of end-stage liver disease (MELD) and hepatic venous pressure gradient (P<.001). Total BAs predicted new onset of AD or ACLF during follow-up (OR 1.025, 95% CI: 1.012-1.038, P<.001). Best cut-off predicting new onset of AD/ACLF and survival during course of time was total BAs ≥36.9 µmol/L. CONCLUSIONS: Serum total and individual BAs are associated with AD and ACLF in patients with cirrhosis. Assessment of total BAs could serve as additional marker for risk stratification in cirrhotic patients with respect to new onset of AD and ACLF.

Risk of cirrhosis-related complications in patients with advanced fibrosis following hepatitis C virus eradication.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is reduced but not eradicated among patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-induced advanced hepatic fibrosis who attained sustained viral response (SVR). We aimed to assess the risk of cirrhosis-related complications in this specific group of patients. METHODS: Data from previously reported Western cohort studies including patients with chronic HCV infection and bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis who attained SVR were pooled for survival analyses on the individual patient level. The primary endpoint was HCC and the secondary endpoint was clinical disease progression, defined as liver failure, HCC or death. RESULTS: Included were 1000 patients with SVR. Median age was 52.7 (IQR 45.1-59.7) years, 676 (68%) were male and 842 (85%) had cirrhosis. Median follow-up was 5.7 (IQR 2.9-8.0) years. Fifty-one patients developed HCC and 101 had clinical disease progression. The cumulative 8-year HCC incidence was 1.8 (95% CI 0.0-4.3) among patients with bridging fibrosis and 8.7% (95% CI 6.0-11.4) among those with cirrhosis (p=0.058). Within the cirrhosis group, the 8-year HCC incidence was 2.6% (95% CI 0.0-5.5) among patients <45years, 9.7% (95% CI 5.8-13.6) among patients from 45-60years, and 12.2% (95% CI 5.3-19.1) among patients >60years of age at start of therapy (p=0.006). Multivariable Cox analyses indicated that higher age, lower platelet count and diabetes mellitus were independently associated with development of HCC. After 8years 4.2% (95% CI 0.1-8.3) of patients with bridging fibrosis and 15.8% (95% CI 12.3-19.3) of patients with cirrhosis experienced clinical disease progression (p=0.007). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with HCV-induced cirrhosis and SVR showed an annual risk of approximately 1% for HCC and 2% for clinical disease progression. Therefore, to prevent HCC surveillance, chronic HCV infection should preferably be treated before cirrhosis has developed. LAY SUMMARY: Patients with cirrhosis who were able to eradicate their chronic HCV infection remain at substantial risk of primary liver cancer. The risk of liver cancer increases with higher age, laboratory makers suggesting more severe liver disease, and presence of diabetes mellitus. Also after successful antiviral therapy patients with HCV-induced cirrhosis should thus remain included in follow-up for early detection of liver cancer.

Serum bile acids in patients with hepatopulmonary syndrome.

Background Hepatopulmonary syndrome (HPS) occurs in 20 - 30 % of patients with cirrhosis and is associated with increased mortality. Cholestasis and accumulation of bile acids (BAs) play a major role in chronic liver disease. Aim We aimed to evaluate the clinical role of serum BAs in patients with HPS. Methods Seventy-four patients with cirrhosis were included in this prospective study. Marker for cholestasis as total and individual serum BAs, bilirubin, alkaline phosphatase (AP), and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) were analyzed in patients screened for HPS. Criteria of HPS were fulfilled in 26 patients (35 %). Results In contrast to AP and GGT, bilirubin and serum BAs were significantly elevated in patients with HPS (median total BAs in HPS 83.5 µmol/L, IQR 43.1 - 148.9 vs. no HPS 26.9 µmol/L, 11 - 75.6; p < 0.001). Total BAs correlated with gas exchange by means of PaO2 / AaPO2 (r: -0.28, p < 0.05; r: 0.24, p < 0.05) and portal pressure (r: 0.33, p < 0.05). BAs were associated with HPS independently severity of underlying liver disease (OR: 1.012, 95 % CI: 1.001 - 1.023, p < 0.05). Conclusion BA retention is associated with HPS and gas exchange abnormalities. Future studies should assess whether modulation of BAs signaling may impact the course of HPS.

von Willebrand factor antigen (vWF-Ag): A non-invasive predictor of treatment response and serious adverse events in HCV patients with interferon triple therapy.

BACKGROUND: Treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection was revolutionized within the last years. Interferon free antiviral regimens are not accessible without limitations. Combination of peginterferon/ribavirin with first generation direct acting antivirals is less effective and associated with serious adverse events. AIM: We have shown that vWF-Ag is associated with portal hypertension and treatment response to PEG/RBV and we evaluated if vWF-Ag is a predictive marker for treatment response and safety in patients with triple therapy. METHODS: 222 HCV-GT 1 patients and DAA based triple therapy were included in this retrospective, multicenter study. RESULTS: Median vWF-Ag levels were 167.0% [IQR: 124.0-210.0%]. Significantly higher levels were seen in patients without SVR; median 190% [IQR: 146.0-259.5%] versus SVR: 142.5% [IQR: 114.3-196.8%], p<0.001. Furthermore levels of vWF-Ag were identified as independent predictor of non SVR; (OR: 1.009; 95%CI: 1.016-1.3, p=0.005). In patients with cirrhosis elevated vWF-Ag levels were associated with increased incidence of SAEs (OR: 1.016; 95%CI: 1.004-1.028; p=0.007). Best cut off for prediction of SAEs was vWF-Ag>281.5% with a sensitivity of 78% and a specificity of 90%. CONCLUSION: Baseline vWF-Ag levels predict outcome of DAA based treatment in HCV-1 patients and identify patients with a risk of SAEs. Therefore vWF-Ag may be an additional marker for selecting patients for interferon free therapeutic regimens.

Outcome and features of acute kidney injury complicating hypoxic hepatitis at the medical intensive care unit.

BACKGROUND: Hypoxic hepatitis (HH) is a frequent and potentially life-threatening event typically occurring in critically ill patients as a consequence of hemodynamic impairment. While acute kidney injury (AKI) has been well described in patients with acute liver failure, incidence and outcome of AKI accompanying HH are unclear. The aim of this study was to assess incidence, clinical implications and outcome of AKI and renal replacement therapy (RRT) in critically ill patients with HH. METHODS: A total of 1948 consecutive critically ill admissions were studied at the Medical University of Vienna. Laboratory and clinical parameters as well as the presence of HH and AKI were assessed on a daily basis. Outcome, renal recovery and length of stay were assessed and documented, and patients were followed for 1 year. RESULTS: A total of 295 admissions (15 %) developed HH. Main precipitators were cardiogenic (44 %) and septic shock (36 %). Occurrence of HH was significantly associated with AKI [OR 4.50 (95 % CI 3.30-6.12)] and necessity of renal replacement therapy [RRT; OR 3.36 (95 % CI 2.58-4.37)], p < 0.001 for both. Two hundred forty admissions with HH (81 %) developed AKI, 159 of whom (66 %) had AKI stage 3. Both HH and AKI were significantly linked to mortality. AKI stage 3, international normalized ratio (INR, during HH) and the presence of septic shock were identified as independent predictors of 28-day mortality in admissions with HH, whereas RRT was identified as an independent protective factor. There was a synergistic effect of HH and AKI on length of stay at the ICU. Of all HH survivors treated with RRT, 71 % showed renal recovery during follow-up. CONCLUSION: HH is frequently complicated by occurrence of AKI. Severity of HH, AKI stage and the presence of septic shock seem to contribute to poor outcome in these patients. Initiation of RRT in HH with AKI may enable renal recovery and should not be withheld in medical ICU patients.

Coagulation parameters and major bleeding in critically ill patients with cirrhosis.

UNLABELLED: Disturbances of coagulation and hemostasis are common in patients with liver cirrhosis. The typical laboratory pattern mimics disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC). The aim of this study was to assess the impact of routine coagulation parameters in critically ill cirrhosis patients with regard to new onset of major bleeding and outcome. A total of 1,493 critically ill patients were studied prospectively. Routine coagulation parameters were assessed, and the DIC score was calculated based on platelets, fibrinogen, d-dimer, and prothrombin index. New onset of major bleeding during the stay at the intensive care unit and mortality were assessed. Patients were followed for 1 year. Two hundred eleven patients of the cohort had liver cirrhosis. Platelets, fibrinogen, prothrombin index, activated partial thromboplastin time, and d-dimer as well as the DIC score differed significantly between patients with and without cirrhosis (P < 0.001 for all). Moreover, fibrinogen, platelets, and activated partial thromboplastin time (but not prothrombin index) differed significantly between cirrhosis patients with and without major bleeding (P < 0.01 for all). Bleeding on admission, platelet count <30 < 10(9) /L, fibrinogen level <60 mg/dL, and activated partial thromboplastin time values >100 seconds were the strongest independent predictors for new onset of major bleeding in multivariate regression analysis. One-year mortality in cirrhosis patients with and without major bleeding was 89% and 68%, respectively (P < 0.05 between groups). CONCLUSION: Abnormal coagulation parameters and high DIC scores (primarily due to fibrinogen and platelets) correspond to increased bleeding risk in patients with liver cirrhosis in the intensive care unit, and fibrinogen and platelet count were identified as the best routine coagulation parameters for prediction of new onset of major bleeding; however, further studies are required to evaluate the potential therapeutic implications of these findings. (Hepatology 2016;64:556-568).

Prognostic impact of ICG-PDR in patients with hypoxic hepatitis.

BACKGROUND: Hepatic impairment is found in up to 20 % in critically ill patients. Hypoxic/ischemic hepatitis (HH) is a diffuse hepatic damage associated with high morbidity and mortality. Indocyanine green plasma disappearance rate (ICG-PDR) is an effective tool assessing liver function in acute and chronic hepatic diseases. Aim of this study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of ICG-PDR in comparison to established parameters for risk stratification. METHODS: Patients with HH were included in this prospective observational study and compared to cirrhosis, acute liver failure (ALF) and patients without underlying liver disease. ICG-PDR, measured non-invasively by finger pulse densitometry, was assessed on admission and in patients with HH serially and results were compared between groups. Diagnostic test accuracy of ICG-PDR predicting 28-day mortality was analyzed by receiver operating characteristics (ROC). RESULTS: ICG-PDR on admission was significantly lower in patients with liver diseases than in patients without hepatic impairment (median 5.7 %/min, IQR 3.8-7.9 vs. 20.7 %/min, IQR 14.1-25.4 %/min; p < 0.001). ICG-PDR predicted 28-day mortality independently of SOFA score and serum lactate in patients with underlying liver disease (HR 1.27, 95 % CI 1.10-1.45, p < 0.001). In patients with HH, ICG-PDR was identified as best predictor of 28-day mortality which performed significantly better than SOFA, lactate, INR and AST over course of time (p < 0.05). Best cut-off for identification of 28-day survivors was ICG-PDR ≥9.0 %/min 48 h after admission. CONCLUSIONS: ICG-PDR is an independent predictor of mortality in patients with liver disease. Diagnostic test accuracy of ICG-PDR was superior to standard liver function parameters and established scoring systems in patients with HH.

Real-Time PCR Assays for the Quantification of HCV RNA: Concordance, Discrepancies and Implications for Response Guided Therapy.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Monitoring of chronic Hepatitis C (CHC) treatment relies on HCV RNA quantification by means of real-time PCR methods. Assay specific analytical sensitivities may impact therapy management. METHODS: Comparative analysis between three commercial assays (Roche COBAS AmpliPrep/COBAS TaqMan Version 1 (CAP/CTM Ver. 1), Version 2 (CAP/CTM Ver. 2) and the Abbott RealTime HCV (ART) assay) was performed on 247 available samples taken at key decision time points during antiviral therapy of 105 genotype 1 patients (triple therapy: n = 70; dual therapy: n = 35). RESULTS: Overall concordance of HCV RNA measurements was high between the two Roche systems (89%; n = 220/247) but lower between the Roche assays and the ART (CAP/CTM Ver. 1 vs ART: 77.3%; n = 191/247 and CAP/CTM v.2 vs ART: 80.1%; n = 198/247). Most discrepancies were noted in week 4/8 samples with residual viremia (

Role of FDFT1 polymorphism for fibrosis progression in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND: In chronic hepatitis C (CHC), steatosis is associated with fibrosis and impaired response to antiviral therapy. Recently, a polymorphism of single nucleotide polymorphism SNP rs2645424 of farnesyl diphosphate farnesyl transferase 1 (FDFT1) was identified in NAFLD/NASH as a possible causal link to steatosis and fibrosis progression. SNP rs738409 in the adiponutrin gene (PNPLA3) is a well described factor for steatosis. This study evaluated the relation of these SNPs on steatosis, fibrosis and treatment response in CHC. METHODS: The SNPs rs738409478 and rs2645424 were determined by real-time PCR in 478 patients with CHC (m/f: 314/164; mean age: 44.9 ± 10.7; GT1: 387, GT4: 91) who completed treatment with peg-IFN-α-2a/ribavirin. All had a pretreatment liver biopsy. Steatosis and fibrosis were graded by board-certified pathologists according to Brunt and METAVIR respectively. RESULTS: The distribution of FDFT1 rs2645424 was GG: 186 (38.9%), AG: 222 (46.4%) and AA: 70 (14.6%) and of the rs738409 PNPLA3 allele: CC: 269 (56.3%), CG: 177 (37.0%) and GG: 32 (6.7%). Overall, FDTF1 polymorphism was not linked to the extent of steatosis or fibrosis. However, in patients without steatosis the AA genotype was associated with advanced fibrosis [AA: 8/20 (40.0%), AG: 6/70 (8.5%), GG: 9/57 (16.1%), P = 0.003]. In contrast, the minor PNPLA3 allele was associated with both steatosis and advanced fibrosis (P < 0.001). Both SNPs did not influence treatment response. CONCLUSION: The minor allele in FDFT1 was associated with advanced fibrosis in the non-steatotic but not in the steatotic subgroup. This may reflect different metabolic pathways in fibrosis progression for steatotic and non-steatotic patients with CHC.

Effect of gender and ITPA polymorphisms on ribavirin-induced anemia in chronic hepatitis C patients.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the inosine triphosphate pyrophosphatase (ITPA) gene protect patients from ribavirin induced anemia. To investigate other possible protective cofactors, gender differences were analyzed in patients with HCV genotype 1. METHODS: Hemoglobin levels at baseline (Hb0) and the decline after 4 weeks of treatment (HbΔ4) were analyzed in 308 chronic hepatitis C patients participating in 5 Austrian trials (n=308, age 43.9 ± 11.1, male:185, female:123, BMI 25.3 ± 3.9, no cirrhosis: n=259, liver cirrhosis: n=49). All patients were treated with 180 µg peginterferon-alpha 2a and ribavirin [1000-1200 mg/d; females: mean (95% CI) 15.8 mg/kg (15.4-16.2); males 14.3 (14.1-14.5); p<0.001]. The SNPs rs6051702, rs1127354, rs7270101 and IL28B rs12979860 were analyzed by the StepOnePlus Real time PCR System. RESULTS: 188 were major alleles homozygotes; 95 (30.8%) carried the minor allele (C) of rs6051702, 47 (15.3%) of rs1127354 (A), and 69 (22.4%) of rs7270101 (C). The overall Hb0 was 14.8 g/dl (14.6-14.9) [mean (95%CI); females 13.7 (13.5-13.9); males 15.5; 15.3-15.6; p<0.001]. The overall HbΔ4 was greater in major allele homozygotes [2.8 g/dl (2.6-3.0)] than in minor allele carriers [1.6 (1.4-1.9); p<0.001]. Irrespective of the ITPA genotypes HbΔ4 was smaller in female [2.0 (1.7-2.2)] than in male patients [2.6 (2.4-2.8); p<0.001] and among females in premenopausal [1.5 (1.3-1.8)] than in postmenopausal patients [2.7 (2.3-3.1); p<0.001]. CONCLUSIONS: Irrespective of the protective effect of ITPA mutations, premenopausal females less likely develop ribavirin induced anemia.

Revisiting the predictors of a sustained virologic response in the era of direct-acting antiviral therapy for hepatitis C virus.

Several host (age, sex, race, fibrosis stage, interleukin 28B polymorphism) and viral factors (hepatitis C virus [HCV] genotype, viral load) allow estimating the response to interferon-based therapies (which includes first-generation protease inhibitors) before treatment. However, treatment should not be denied to any patient based on unfavorable factors alone. Metabolic conditions associated with poor response (diabetes, insulin resistance, obesity) and alcohol abuse can be influenced before starting treatment. "On-treatment" predictors of response allow treatment to be tailored to the individual need of the patient. Patients with undetectable HCV RNA after 4 weeks (rapid virologic response [RVR]) have the highest chance for cure (>85%) both by dual and triple therapy. For triple therapy, the decision to shorten treatment requires that the virus remains undetectable for an additional 8 (telaprevir) to 20 (boceprevir) weeks (extended RVR). Based on viral kinetics, an even earlier prediction after 2 weeks of treatment with direct acting antivirals appears feasible.

Association of the IL28B genotype with insulin resistance in patients with chronic hepatitis C.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Insulin resistance, fibrosis and steatosis are established predictors of response to peg-interferon/ribavirin therapy in chronic hepatitis C (CHC). Several host genetic polymorphisms (IL28B, PNPLA3) modify treatment-outcome, the degree of steatosis or fibrosis. The aim of our study was to evaluate the role of these polymorphisms on insulin resistance (IR) in treatment-naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C. METHODS: Two hundred and two non-diabetic CHC patients (GT1: 181, GT4: 21; m = 126, f = 76) undergoing liver biopsy in two tertiary academic centers were studied. The SNPs rs12979860 (IL28B) and rs738409 (PNPLA3) were investigated by RT-PCR. HOMA-IR, BMI, stage of fibrosis, extent of steatosis, and genetic data were analyzed. RESULTS: Insulin resistance (HOMA-IR ≥ 3.0) was associated with rs12979860 genotype, presence of advanced fibrosis, and higher BMI. HOMA-IR in CC and in TC/TT was 2.08 ± 1.61 (mean ± SD) and 2.94 ± 2.89 (p=0.041), respectively. HOMA-IR was higher in advanced than in mild fibrosis (F3-4: 3.92 ± 3.15; F0-2: 2.38 ± 2.38; p=0.004). The percentage of steatotic hepatocytes was higher in patients with advanced fibrosis (21.3 ± 21.5 vs. 9.1 ± 14.2; p<0.001), HOMA-IR ≥ 3.0 (17.7 ± 17.8 vs. 8.8 ± 15.4%; p<0.001), and BMI > 25.0 kg/m(2) (14.7 ± 17.0 vs. 9.1 ± 16.1; p<0.001). The rs738409 GG genotype was associated with advanced fibrosis and steatosis, but not with HOMA-IR. Multivariable logistic regression identified advanced fibrosis (OR: 2.820, 95% CI: 1.344-5.917; p = 0.006) and the IL28B genotype non-CC (OR: 3.000, 1.348-6.676; p = 0.007) as independent risk factors for insulin resistance. CONCLUSIONS: Insulin resistance is more common in carriers of the T allele of SNP rs12979860 than in CC homozygotes and may partly explain the poor outcome of peginterferon/ribavirin therapy in these patients.

Treatment of chronic hepatitis C genotype 1 patients at an academic center in Europe involved in prospective, controlled trials: is there a selection bias?

UNLABELLED: Pegylated interferon-alpha2/ribavirin (peg-IFN/RBV) is the standard of care (SOC) for patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) infection. Currently, direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) are evaluated in clinical trials. The aim of this study was to compare baseline characteristics and sustained virologic response (SVR) rates in patients included in clinical trials to those receiving SOC. Medical records of all 503 treatment-naïve patients with CHC, genotype (GT) 1, referred over a 4-year period (January 2006-December 2009) were reviewed. Only 310 of 503 (62%) patients received antiviral therapy, 141 were enrolled in randomized, controlled trials ("study patients"; 101 in DAA studies), and 169 received SOC. At baseline, viral load and platelet count were higher and bilirubin was lower in study patients than in SOC patients. History of psychiatric disorders was more common in SOC patients (43 [25%] versus study patients with 18 [13%]; P < 0.01). Liver biopsy was obtained in 98% of study patients, but only in 59% of SOC patients. Twenty-nine (21%) and 40 (40%) study and SOC patients, respectively, had advanced fibrosis (F3/4; P = 0.001). By intent-to-treat analysis, SVR rates were higher in DAAs (64%; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 53.4-74.4) than in SOC patients (46%; 95% CI: 37.9-53.7; P < 0.01), but not different when calculated on a treated-per-protocol (TPP) basis. Interleukin (IL)28B GT was equally distributed in both cohorts. By chance, more patients treated with IFN/RBV had rs12979860 C/C-GT (up to 44%) than DAA-treated patients. If analyzed according to the IL28B polymorphism, TPP SVR rates did not reach statistically significant differences among study and SOC patients. CONCLUSIONS: Baseline characteristics slightly favored study patients, but IL28B GT and treatment adherence were the most important factors determining outcome. Thus, the applicability of the results of controlled studies has to be tested in a "real-world" setting.

Serum level of IP-10 increases predictive value of IL28B polymorphisms for spontaneous clearance of acute HCV infection.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in IL28B and serum levels of interferon γ inducible protein 10 (IP-10) predict outcomes of antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C. We associated IL28B SNPs rs12979860 and rs8099917, along with serum levels of IP-10, with outcomes of patients with acute hepatitis C (AHC). METHODS: We studied 120 patients with AHC (64 male; 37 ± 16 years old) and 96 healthy individuals (controls). The IL28B SNPs rs12979860 and rs8099917 were detected using real-time polymerase chain reaction; serum concentrations of IP-10 were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays of 62 patients with AHC. RESULTS: Hepatitis C virus was cleared spontaneously from 59 patients (49.2%). The IL28B rs12979860 C/C genotype was more frequent among patients with AHC than controls (62.5% vs 39.6%; P < .001) and among patients with spontaneous clearance than those without (74.6% vs 51.7%; P = .02) (positive predictive value, 60.3%). Patients with IL28B rs12979860 C/C more frequently developed jaundice (53.2% vs 27.6%; P = .022) than carriers of the T allele. The median level of IP-10 was lower among patients with AHC and spontaneous clearance (764 [113-2470] pg/mL) than those without spontaneous clearance (1481 [141-4412] pg/mL; P = .006). Based on receiver operating characteristic analysis, 540 pg/mL IP-10 was set as the cutoff for patients most likely to have spontaneous clearance (positive predictive value, 71.4%; negative predictive value, 65.9%). Including data on IP-10 levels increased the ability of the IL28B rs12979860 C/C to identify patients most likely to have spontaneous clearance (83% of those who had an IP-10 level <540 pg/mL and 32% who had an IP-10 level >540 pg/mL) (P < .01). CONCLUSIONS: The combination of serum level of IP-10 and SNPs in IL28B can identify patients with AHC who are most likely to undergo spontaneous clearance and those in need of early antiviral therapy.