Stereotactic Radiation Therapy in Early Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer and Interstitial Lung Disease: A Nonrandomized Clinical Trial.

Importance: Patients with interstitial lung disease (ILD) and early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) have been reported to be at high risk of toxic effects after stereotactic ablative radiotherapy (SABR), but for many patients, there are limited alternative treatment options. Objective: To prospectively assess the benefits and toxic effects of SABR in this patient population. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study was conducted at 6 academic radiation oncology institutions, 5 in Canada and 1 in Scotland, with accrual between March 7, 2019, and January 12, 2022. Patients aged 18 years or older with fibrotic ILD and a diagnosis of T1-2N0 NSCLC who were not candidates for surgical resection were enrolled. Intervention: Patients were treated with SABR to a dose of 50 Gy in 5 fractions every other day. Main Outcomes and Measures: The study prespecified that SABR would be considered worthwhile if median overall survival-the primary end point-was longer than 1 year, with a grade 3 to 4 risk of toxic effects less than 35% and a grade 5 risk of toxic effects less than 15%. Secondary end points included toxic effects, progression-free survival (PFS), local control (LC), quality-of-life outcomes, and changes in pulmonary function. Intention-to-treat analysis was conducted. Results: Thirty-nine patients enrolled and received SABR. Median age was 78 (IQR, 67-83) years and 59% (n = 23) were male. At baseline, 70% (26 of 37) of patients reported dyspnea, median forced expiratory volume in first second of expiration was 80% (IQR, 66%-90%) predicted, median forced vital capacity was 84% (IQR, 69%-94%) predicted, and median diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide was 49% (IQR, 38%-61%) predicted. Median follow-up was 19 (IQR, 14-25) months. Overall survival at 1 year was 79% (95%, CI 62%-89%; P < .001 vs the unacceptable rate), and median overall survival was 25 months (95% CI, 14 months to not reached). Median PFS was 19 months (95% CI, 13-28 months), and 2-year LC was 92% (95% CI, 69%-98%). Adverse event rates (highest grade per patient) were grade 1 to 2: n = 12 (31%), grade 3: n = 4 (10%), grade 4: n = 0, and grade 5: n = 3 (7.7%, all due to respiratory deterioration). Conclusions and Relevance: In this trial, use of SABR in patients with fibrotic ILD met the prespecified acceptability thresholds for both toxicity and efficacy, supporting the use of SABR for curative-intent treatment after a careful discussion of risks and benefits. Trial Registration: ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03485378.

Adaptive multi-interventional trial platform to improve patient care for fibrotic interstitial lung diseases.

BACKGROUND: Fibrotic interstitial lung diseases (fILDs) are a heterogeneous group of lung diseases associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Despite a large increase in the number of clinical trials in the last 10 years, current regulatory-approved management approaches are limited to two therapies that prevent the progression of fibrosis. The drug development pipeline is long and there is an urgent need to accelerate this process. This manuscript introduces the concept and design of an innovative research approach to drug development in fILD: a global Randomised Embedded Multifactorial Adaptive Platform in fILD (REMAP-ILD). METHODS: Description of the REMAP-ILD concept and design: the specific terminology, design characteristics (multifactorial, adaptive features, statistical approach), target population, interventions, outcomes, mission and values, and organisational structure. RESULTS: The target population will be adult patients with fILD, and the primary outcome will be a disease progression model incorporating forced vital capacity and mortality over 12 months. Responsive adaptive randomisation, prespecified thresholds for success and futility will be used to assess the effectiveness and safety of interventions. REMAP-ILD embraces the core values of diversity, equity, and inclusion for patients and researchers, and prioritises an open-science approach to data sharing and dissemination of results. CONCLUSION: By using an innovative and efficient adaptive multi-interventional trial platform design, we aim to accelerate and improve care for patients with fILD. Through worldwide collaboration, novel analytical methodology and pragmatic trial delivery, REMAP-ILD aims to overcome major limitations associated with conventional randomised controlled trial approaches to rapidly improve the care of people living with fILD.

Impact of surgical lung biopsy on lung function and survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis in a multi-centre registry cohort.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Establishing an accurate and timely diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is essential for appropriate management and prognostication. In some cases, surgical lung biopsy (SLB) is performed but carries non-negligible risk. The objective of this retrospective study was to determine if SLB is associated with accelerated lung function decline in patients with IPF using the Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis. METHODS: Linear mixed models and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compare decline in forced vital capacity (FVC)%, diffusion capacity of the lung (DLCO%) and risk of death or lung transplantation between SLB and non-SLB patients. Adjustments were made for baseline age, sex, smoking history, antifibrotic use, and lung function. A similar analysis compared lung function changes 12 months pre- and post-SLB. RESULTS: A total of 81 SLB patients and 468 non-SLB patients were included. In the SLB group, the post-biopsy annual FVC% decline was 2.0% (±0.8) in unadjusted, and 2.1% (±0.8) in adjusted models. There was no difference in FVC% decline, DLCO% decline, or time to death or lung transplantation between the two groups, in adjusted or unadjusted models (all p-values >0.07). In the pre-post SLB group, no differences were identified in FVC% decline in unadjusted or adjusted models (p = 0.07 for both). CONCLUSION: No association between SLB and lung function decline or risk of death or lung transplantation was identified in this multi-centre study of patients with IPF.

Characteristics of pulse oximetry and arterial blood gas in patients with fibrotic interstitial lung disease.

BACKGROUND: Fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) is frequently associated with abnormal oxygenation; however, little is known about the accuracy of oxygen saturation by pulse oximetry (SpO2) compared with arterial blood gas (ABG) saturation (SaO2), the factors that influence the partial pressure of carbon dioxide (PaCO2) and the impact of PaCO2 on outcomes in patients with fibrotic ILD. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Patients with fibrotic ILD enrolled in a large prospective registry with a room air ABG were included. Prespecified analyses included testing the correlation between SaO2 and SpO2, the difference between SaO2 and SpO2, the association of baseline characteristics with both the difference between SaO2 and SpO2 and the PaCO2, the association of baseline characteristics with acid-base category, and the association of PaCO2 and acid-base category with time to death or transplant. RESULTS: A total of 532 patients with fibrotic ILD were included. Mean resting SaO2 was 92±4% and SpO2 was 95±3%. Mean PaCO2 was 38±6 mmHg, with 135 patients having PaCO2 <35 mmHg and 62 having PaCO2 >45 mmHg. Correlation between SaO2 and SpO2 was mild to moderate (r=0.39), with SpO2 on average 3.0% higher than SaO2. No baseline characteristics were associated with the difference in SaO2 and SpO2. Variables associated with either elevated or abnormal (elevated or low) PaCO2 included higher smoking pack-years and lower baseline forced vital capacity (FVC). Lower baseline lung function was associated with an increased risk of chronic respiratory acidosis. PaCO2 and acid-base status were not associated with time to death or transplant. INTERPRETATION: SaO2 and SpO2 are weakly-to-moderately correlated in fibrotic ILD, with limited ability to accurately predict this difference. Abnormal PaCO2 was associated with baseline FVC but was not associated with outcomes.

Epidemiology and Prognostic Significance of Cough in Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease.

Rationale: Cough is a key symptom in patients with fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD). Objective: This study evaluated the prevalence, longitudinal change, associations, and prognostic significance of cough severity in patients with fibrotic ILD. Methods: We included consecutive patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and non-IPF fibrotic ILD who completed the 100mm-Cough Severity Visual Analog Scale (VAS) from the prospective multi-center Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis. Baseline cough severity and associations with patient demographics and clinical factors were determined. Relationships between baseline cough severity and health outcomes were evaluated. Measurements and Main Results: Patients with IPF (n=1061) had higher median baseline cough severity than those with non-IPF fibrotic ILD (n=2825) [24 vs 20mm, p<0.001], with worse cough associated with gastroesophageal reflux disease for both cohorts. Worse cough severity was independently associated with worse health-related quality of life at baseline, larger annualized decline in DLCO, development of disease progression, and reduced transplant-free survival in both IPF and non-IPF fibrotic ILD cohorts. The IPF cohort (2.2mm, 95% CI 1.6-2.9mm) had larger annualized increments in cough severity compared to the non-IPF fibrotic ILD cohort (1.1mm, 95% CI 0.8-1.4mm; p=0.004). There was no difference in worsening cough over time comparing those receiving and not receiving ILD-targeted therapy or with and without lung function decline. Conclusion: Cough is common in patients with IPF and non-IPF fibrotic ILD, with increasing cough severity over time irrespective of ILD-targeted therapy. Patient-reported cough severity has prognostic implications on health-related quality of life, disease progression, and survival in fibrotic ILD.

Mycophenolate and azathioprine efficacy in interstitial lung disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) and azathioprine (AZA) are immunomodulatory treatments in interstitial lung disease (ILD). This systematic review aimed to evaluate the efficacy of MMF or AZA on pulmonary function in ILD. DESIGN: Population included any ILD diagnosis, intervention included MMF or AZA treatment, outcome was delta change from baseline in per cent predicted forced vital capacity (%FVC) and gas transfer (diffusion lung capacity of carbon monoxide, %DLco). The primary endpoint compared outcomes relative to placebo comparator, the secondary endpoint assessed outcomes in treated groups only. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and prospective observational studies were included. No language restrictions were applied. Retrospective studies and studies with high-dose concomitant steroids were excluded. DATA SYNTHESIS: The systematic search was performed on 9 May. Meta-analyses according to drug and outcome were specified with random effects, I2 evaluated heterogeneity and Grading of Recommendations, Assessment, Development and Evaluation evaluated certainty of evidence. Primary endpoint analysis was restricted to RCT design, secondary endpoint included subgroup analysis according to prospective observational or RCT design. RESULTS: A total of 2831 publications were screened, 12 were suitable for quantitative synthesis. Three MMF RCTs were included with no significant effect on the primary endpoints (%FVC 2.94, 95% CI -4.00 to 9.88, I2=79.3%; %DLco -2.03, 95% CI -4.38 to 0.32, I2=0.0%). An overall 2.03% change from baseline in %FVC (95% CI 0.65 to 3.42, I2=0.0%) was observed in MMF, and RCT subgroup summary estimated a 4.42% change from baseline in %DLCO (95% CI 2.05 to 6.79, I2=0.0%). AZA studies were limited. All estimates were considered very low certainty evidence. CONCLUSIONS: There were limited RCTs of MMF or AZA and their benefit in ILD was of very low certainty. MMF may support preservation of pulmonary function, yet confidence in the effect was weak. To support high certainty evidence, RCTs should be designed to directly assess MMF efficacy in ILD. PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER: CRD42023423223.

Validation of a Dyspnea Visual Analogue Scale in Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease.

RATIONALE: A visual analogue scale (VAS) is a simple and easily administered tool for measuring impact of disease; however, little is known about the use of a Dyspnea VAS in interstitial lung disease (ILD). OBJECTIVE: To validate the use of a Dyspnea VAS in a large and heterogenous cohort of patients with fibrotic ILD, including its minimal clinically important difference (MCID), responsiveness to change, and prognostic significance. METHODS: Patients with fibrotic ILD were identified from a large prospective registry. Validity of a 100mm Dyspnea VAS was assessed by testing its correlation in change score with other measures of ILD severity, including the University of California San Diego Shortness of Breath Questionnaire (UCSDSOBQ), King's Brief Interstitial Lung Disease quality of life questionnaire Breathlessness and Activities Domain (KBILD-B), European Quality of Life visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS), forced vital capacity (FVC), and diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (DLCO). Responsiveness of the Dyspnea VAS was qualitatively confirmed based on there being an observable difference in the change in Dyspnea VAS across tertiles of change in anchor variables. The minimum clinically important difference (MCID) in Dyspnea VAS was calculated using both anchor (linear regression) and distribution (one-half standard deviation) approaches, with anchors including the above variables that had a correlation with Dyspnea VAS (|r|0.30). The association of Dyspnea VAS with time to death or transplant was determined. RESULTS: The cohort included 826 patients with fibrotic ILD, including 127 patients with follow-up measurements at 6 months. Mean baseline Dyspnea VAS was 5324mm. Dyspnea VAS change scores were moderately correlated with UCSDSOBQ (|r|=0.55) and KBILD-B (|r|=0.44), and weakly correlated with EQ-VAS (|r|=0.19), FVC% (|r|=0.21) and DLCO% (|r|=0.05). MCID was 2.7 to 4.5 using the more reliable anchor-based methods and 12.0 based on distribution-based methods. Dyspnea VAS was associated with time to death or transplant in unadjusted models and after adjustment for age and sex (hazard ratio 1.16 and 1.15 respectively, p<0.05 for both). CONCLUSION: This study provides support for the use of Dyspnea VAS in patients with fibrotic ILD, with an estimated anchor-based MCID of 5mm.

Lung imaging patterns in connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease impact prognosis and immunosuppression response.

OBJECTIVES: Interstitial lung disease (ILD) in connective tissue diseases (CTD) have highly variable morphology. We aimed to identify imaging features and their impact on ILD progression, mortality and immunosuppression response. METHODS: Patients with CTD-ILD had high-resolution chest computed tomography (HRCT) reviewed by expert radiologists blinded to clinical data for overall imaging pattern (usual interstitial pneumonia [UIP]; non-specific interstitial pneumonia [NSIP]; organizing pneumonia [OP]; fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis [fHP]; and other). Transplant-free survival and change in percent-predicted forced vital capacity (FVC) were compared using Cox and linear mixed effects models adjusted for age, sex, smoking, and baseline FVC. FVC decline after immunosuppression was compared with pre-treatment. RESULTS: Of 645 CTD-ILD patients, the frequent CTDs were systemic sclerosis (n = 215), rheumatoid arthritis (n = 127), and inflammatory myopathies (n = 100). NSIP was the most common pattern (54%), followed by UIP (20%), fHP (9%), and OP (5%). Compared with UIP, FVC decline was slower for NSIP (1.1%/year, 95%CI 0.2, 1.9) and OP (3.5%/year, 95%CI 2.0, 4.9), and mortality was lower for NSIP (HR 0.65, 95%CI 0.45, 0.93) and OP (HR 0.18, 95%CI 0.05, 0.57), but higher in fHP (HR 1.58, 95%CI 1.01, 2.40). The extent of fibrosis also predicted FVC decline and mortality. After immunosuppression, FVC decline was slower compared with pre-treatment in NSIP (by 2.1%/year, 95%CI 1.4, 2.8), with no change for UIP or fHP. CONCLUSION: Multiple radiologic patterns are possible in CTD-ILD, including a fHP pattern. NSIP and OP were associated with better outcomes and response to immunosuppression, while fHP had worse survival compared with UIP.

The Clinical Frailty Scale for Risk Stratification in Patients With Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease.

BACKGROUND: Previous studies have shown the importance of frailty in patients with fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD). RESEARCH QUESTION: Is the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) a valid tool to improve risk stratification in patients with fibrotic ILD? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: Patients with fibrotic ILD were included from the prospective multicenter Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis. The CFS was assessed using available information from initial ILD clinic visits. Patients were stratified into fit (CFS score 1-3), vulnerable (CFS score 4), and frail (CFS score 5-9) subgroups. Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression models with mixed effects were used to estimate time to death or lung transplantation. A derivation and validation cohort was used to establish prognostic performance. Trajectories of functional tests were compared using joint models. RESULTS: Of the 1,587 patients with fibrotic ILD, 858 (54%) were fit, 400 (25%) were vulnerable, and 329 (21%) were frail. Frailty was a risk factor for early mortality (hazard ratio, 5.58; 95% CI, 3.64-5.76, P < .001) in the entire cohort, in individual ILD diagnoses, and after adjustment for potential confounders. Adding frailty to established risk prediction parameters improved the prognostic performance in derivation and validation cohorts. Patients in the frail subgroup had larger annual declines in FVC % predicted than patients in the fit subgroup (-2.32; 95% CI, -3.39 to -1.17 vs -1.55; 95% CI, -2.04 to -1.15, respectively; P = .02). INTERPRETATION: The simple and practical CFS is associated with pulmonary and physical function decline in patients with fibrotic ILD and provides additional prognostic accuracy in clinical practice.

Characteristics and risk factors of interstitial pneumonia with autoimmune features.

BACKGROUND: Interstitial pneumonia with autoimmune features (IPAF) has features of connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD), but without meeting criteria for a specific CTD. We compared baseline characteristics, survival, and response to treatment of IPAF to both CTD-ILD and unclassifiable ILD. METHODS: Measurements were extracted from a prospective registry. Baseline features and survival were compared in IPAF against both CTD-ILD and unclassifiable ILD. Linear trajectory of lung function decline (%-predicted forced vital capacity [FVC%] and diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide [DLCO%]) before and after initiation of mycophenolate or azathioprine were compared in IPAF against both CTD-ILD and unclassifiable ILD using linear mixed models. RESULTS: Compared to CTD-ILD (n = 1240), patients with IPAF (n = 128) were older, more frequently male, and had greater smoking history. Compared to unclassifiable ILD (n = 665), patients with IPAF were younger, more frequently female, and had worse baseline lung function. IPAF had higher mortality compared to CTD-ILD and similar risk of mortality compared to unclassifiable ILD. Mycophenolate initiation was associated with stabilization of FVC% and DLCO% in all ILD subtypes except for FVC% in patients with IPAF, and azathioprine initiation with stabilization of FVC% and DLCO% in all ILD subtypes except for FVC% decline in IPAF and DLCO% decline in CTD-ILD. CONCLUSION: Patients with IPAF had worse survival compared to those with CTD-ILD and similar mortality to unclassifiable ILD, with treatment being associated with stabilization in lung function in all three ILDs. It is uncertain whether IPAF should be considered a distinct ILD diagnostic subgroup.

Systemic corticosteroids in fibrotic lung disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

OBJECTIVES: We aimed to assess the available evidence for corticosteroids in fibrotic interstitial lung disease (fILD) to inform the randomised embedded multifactorial adaptive platform ILD. DESIGN: Systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: We searched Embase, Medline, Cochrane CENTRAL and Web of Science databases from inception to April 17 2023. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included studies that compared corticosteroids with standard care, placebo or no treatment in adult patients with fILD. DATA EXTRACTION AND SYNTHESIS: We report on the change in forced vital capacity (FVC) and mortality. We used random-effects meta-analysis to estimate relative risk (RR) for dichotomous outcomes, and mean difference (MD) and standardised MDs for continuous outcomes, with 95% CIs. RESULTS: Of the 13 229 unique citations identified, we included 10 observational studies comprising 1639 patients. Corticosteroids had an uncertain effect on mortality compared with no treatment (RR 1.03 (95% CI 0.85 to 1.25); very low certainty evidence). The effect of corticosteroids on the rate of decline in FVC (% predicted) was uncertain when compared with no treatment (MD 4.29% (95% CI -8.26% to 16.83%); very low certainty evidence). However, corticosteroids might reduce the rate of decline in FVC in patients with non-idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) fILD (MD 10.89% (95% CI 5.25% to 16.53%); low certainty evidence), while an uncertain effect was observed in patients with IPF (MD -3.80% (95% CI -8.94% to 1.34%); very low certainty evidence). CONCLUSIONS: The current evidence on the efficacy and safety of corticosteroids in fILD is limited and of low certainty. Randomised trials are needed to address this significant research gap.

Impact of Antigen Exposure on Outcomes and Treatment Response in Fibrotic Hypersensitivity Pneumonitis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with fibrotic hypersensitivity pneumonitis (fHP) are frequently treated with immunosuppression to slow lung function decline; however, the impact of this treatment has not been studied across different types of antigen exposure. RESEARCH QUESTION: In patients with fHP, do disease outcomes and response to treatment vary by antigen type?. STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: A multicenter interstitial lung disease database (Canadian Registry for Pulmonary Fibrosis) was used to identify patients with fHP. The causative antigen was categorized as avian, mold, unknown, or other. Treatment was defined as mycophenolate ≥ 1,000 mg/d or azathioprine ≥ 75 mg/d for ≥ 30 days. Statistical analysis included t tests, χ2 tests, and one-way analysis of variance. Unadjusted and adjusted competing risks and Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess survival. RESULTS: A total of 344 patients were identified with the following causative antigens: avian (n = 93; 27%), mold (n = 88; 26%), other (n = 15; 4%), and unknown (n = 148; 43%). Patient characteristics and lung function were similar among antigen groups with a mean FVC % predicted of 75 ± 20. The percent of patients treated with immunosuppression was similar between antigens with 58% of patients treated. There was no change in lung function or symptom scores with the initiation of immunosuppression in the full cohort. Immunosuppression was not associated with a change in survival for patients with avian or mold antigen (avian: hazard ratio, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.11-1.59; P = .20; mold: hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.26-4.97; P = .88). For patients with unknown causative antigen, survival was worse when treated with immunosuppression (hazard ratio, 2.65; 95% CI, 1.01-6.92; P = .047). INTERPRETATION: Response to immunosuppression varies by antigen type in patients with fHP. Additional studies are needed to test the role of immunosuppression in fHP, and particularly in those with an unknown antigen.

Ambient Ultrafine Particulate Matter and Clinical Outcomes in Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease.

RATIONALE: Particulate matter ≤2.5µm (PM2.5) is associated with adverse outcomes in fibrotic interstitial lung disease (fILD), but the impact of ultrafine particulates (UFPs; aerodynamic diameter ≤100nm) remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate UFP associations with clinical outcomes in fILD. METHODS: Multicenter, prospective cohort study enrolling patients with fILD from the University of Pittsburgh Simmons Center and Pulmonary Fibrosis Foundation Patient Registry (PFF-PR). Using a national-scale UFP model, we linked exposures using three approaches in Simmons (residential address geocoordinates, zip centroid geocoordinates, zip average) and two in PFF-PR where only 5-digit zip code was available (zip centroid, zip average). We tested UFP associations with transplant-free survival using multivariable Cox, baseline percent predicted forced vital capacity (FVC) and diffusion capacity of the lung (DLCO) using multivariable linear regressions, and decline in FVC and DLCO using linear mixed models, adjusting for age, sex, smoking, race, socioeconomic status, site, PM2.5, and nitrogen dioxide. RESULTS: Annual mean outdoor UFP levels for 2017 were estimated for 1416 Simmons and 1919 PFF-PR patients. Increased UFP level was associated with transplant-free survival in fully-adjusted Simmons residential address models (HR=1.08 per 1000 particles/cm3, 95%CI 1.01-1.15, p=0.02), but not PFF-PR models, which used less precise linkage approaches. Higher UFP was associated with lower baseline FVC and more rapid FVC decline in Simmons. CONCLUSIONS: Increased UFP exposure was associated with transplant-free survival and lung function in the cohort with precise residential location linkage. This work highlights the need for more robust regulatory networks to study the health effects of UFPs nationwide.

Walking the path of treatable traits in interstitial lung diseases.

Interstitial lung diseases (ILDs) are complex and heterogeneous diseases. The use of traditional diagnostic classification in ILD can lead to suboptimal management, which is worsened by not considering the molecular pathways, biological complexity, and disease phenotypes. The identification of specific "treatable traits" in ILDs, which are clinically relevant and modifiable disease characteristics, may improve patient's outcomes. Treatable traits in ILDs may be classified into four different domains (pulmonary, aetiological, comorbidities, and lifestyle), which will facilitate identification of related assessment tools, treatment options, and expected benefits. A multidisciplinary care team model is a potential way to implement a "treatable traits" strategy into clinical practice with the aim of improving patients' outcomes. Multidisciplinary models of care, international registries, and the use of artificial intelligence may facilitate the implementation of the "treatable traits" approach into clinical practice. Prospective studies are needed to test potential therapies for a variety of treatable traits to further advance care of patients with ILD.

Predicting New-onset Exertional and Resting Hypoxemia in Fibrotic Interstitial Lung Disease.

Rationale: Hypoxemia in fibrotic interstitial lung disease (ILD) indicates disease progression and is of prognostic significance. The onset of hypoxemia signifies disease progression and predicts mortality in fibrotic ILD. Accurately predicting new-onset exertional and resting hypoxemia prompts appropriate patient discussion and timely consideration of home oxygen. Objectives: We derived and externally validated a risk prediction tool for both new-onset exertional and new-onset resting hypoxemia. Methods: This study used ILD registries from Canada for the derivation cohort and from Australia and the United States for the validation cohort. New-onset exertional and resting hypoxemia were defined as nadir oxyhemoglobin saturation < 88% during 6-minute-walk tests, resting oxyhemoglobin saturation < 88%, or the initiation of ambulatory or continuous oxygen. Candidate predictors included patient demographics, ILD subtypes, and pulmonary function. Time-varying Cox regression was used to identify the top-performing prediction model according to Akaike information criterion and clinical usability. Model performance was assessed using Harrell's C-index and goodness-of-fit (GoF) likelihood ratio test. A categorized risk prediction tool was developed. Results: The best-performing prediction model for both new-onset exertional and new-onset resting hypoxemia included age, body mass index, a diagnosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, and percent predicted forced vital capacity and diffusing capacity of carbon monoxide. The risk prediction tool exhibited good performance for exertional hypoxemia (C-index, 0.70; GoF, P = 0.85) and resting hypoxemia (C-index, 0.77; GoF, P = 0.27) in the derivation cohort, with similar performance in the validation cohort except calibration for resting hypoxemia (GoF, P = 0.001). Conclusions: This clinically applicable risk prediction tool predicted new-onset exertional and resting hypoxemia at 6 months in the derivation cohort and a diverse validation cohort. Suboptimal GoF in the validation cohort likely reflected overestimation of hypoxemia risk and indicated that the model is not flawed because of underestimation of hypoxemia.