Fertility and immigration: Do immigrant mothers hand down their fertility pattern to the next generation? Evidence from Norway.

We examined whether the fertility pattern of immigrant mothers is handed down to the next generation. Our analyses were carried out on population register data. These data contained information on all immigrants to Norway from 123 countries during the period 1935-1995. We examined whether there was a relationship between the fertility rate in the country of origin and the number of children for generations 1.5 and 2 in Norway. We estimated three models: fixed effects for country of origin, fixed effects for region, and no fixed effects. The three specifications yielded estimates with overlapping confidence intervals. We interpret the estimates from the models with fixed effects for region, and the model with no fixed effects as upper-bound estimates. They show that an increase of 1.00 in the fertility rate in the country of origin leads to an average increase in the number of children of 0.12 (no fixed effects) or 0.14 (fixed effects for region) for immigrant women in generations 1.5 and 2. The estimate from the model with fixed effects for country of origin was small and not statistically significant at the conventional level. We interpret this as a lower-bound estimate. Our upper-bound estimates for generations 1.5 and 2 are smaller than the estimates for generation 1, i.e. there has been a decrease in the fertility rate from the first to the second generation. As a result, if the proportion of the population with an immigrant background continues to increase, it may increase at a slower rate in the future.

Predictors of outcomes in emergency department patients with suspected infections and without fulfillment of the sepsis criteria.

BACKGROUND: Data on patient characteristics and determinants of serious outcomes for acutely admitted patients with infections who do not fulfill the sepsis criteria are sparse. The study aimed to characterize acutely admitted emergency department (ED) patients with infections and a composite outcome of in-hospital mortality or transfer to the intensive care unit without fulfilling the criteria for sepsis and to examine predictors of the composite outcome. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of data from a prospective observational study of patients with suspected bacterial infection admitted to the ED between October 1, 2017 and March 31, 2018. A National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) ≥ 5 within the first 4 h in the ED was assumed to represent a sepsis-like condition with a high risk for the composite endpoint. Patients who achieved the composite outcome were grouped according to fulfillment of the NEWS2 ≥ 5 criteria. We used logistic regression analysis to estimate the unadjusted and adjusted odds ratio (OR) for the composite endpoint among patients with either NEWS2  < 5 (NEWS2-) or NEWS2  ≥ 5 (NEWS2+). RESULTS: A total of 2055 patients with a median age of 73 years were included. Of these, 198 (9.6%) achieved the composite endpoint, including 59 (29.8%) NEWS2- and 139 (70.2%) NEWS2+ patients, respectively. Diabetes (OR 2.23;1.23-4.0), a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥ 2 (OR 2.57;1.37-4.79), and a Do-not-attempt-cardiopulmonary-resuscitation order (DNACPR) on admission (OR 3.70;1.75-7.79) were independent predictive variables for the composite endpoint in NEWS2- patients (goodness-of-fit test P = 0.291; area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the model (AUROC) = 0.72). The regression model for NEWS2+ patients revealed that a SOFA score ≥ 2 (OR 2.79; 1.59-4.91), hypothermia (OR 2.48;1.30-4.75), and DNACPR order on admission were predictive variables for the composite endpoint (goodness-of-fit test P = 0.62; AUROC for the model = 0.70). CONCLUSION: Approximately one-third of the patients with infections and serious outcomes during hospitalization did not meet the NEWS2 threshold for likely sepsis. Our study identified factors with independent predictive values for the development of serious outcomes that should be tested in future prediction models.

National Early Warning Score and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation for Predicting In-Hospital Mortality or Transfer to the Intensive Care Unit in Emergency Department Patients with Suspected Bacterial Infections.

Purpose: There are conflicting data regarding the role of the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) in predicting adverse outcomes in patients with infectious diseases. New-onset atrial fibrillation (NO-AF) has been suggested as a sepsis-defining sign of organ dysfunction. This study aimed to examine the prognostic accuracy of NEWS2 and whether NO-AF can provide prognostic information in emergency department (ED) patients with suspected bacterial infections. Patients and Methods: Secondary analyses of data from a prospective observational cohort study of adults admitted in a 6-month period with suspected bacterial infections. We used the composite endpoint of in-hospital mortality or transfer to the intensive care unit as the primary outcome. The prognostic accuracy of NEWS2 and quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA) and covariate-adjusted area under the receiver operating curves (AAUROC) were used to describe the performance of the scores. Logistic regression analysis was used to examine the association between NO-AF and the composite endpoint. Results: A total of 2055 patients were included in this study. The composite endpoint was achieved in 198 (9.6%) patients. NO-AF was observed in 80 (3.9%) patients. The sensitivity and specificity for NEWS2 ≥5 were 70.2% (63.3-76.5) and 60.2% (57.9-62.4), respectively, and those for qSOFA ≥2 were 26.3% (20.3-33.0) and 91.0% (89.6-92.3), respectively. AAUROC for NEWS2 and qSOFA were 0.68 (0.65-0.73) and 0.63 (0.59-0.68), respectively. The adjusted odds ratio for achieving the composite endpoint in 48 patients with NO-AF who fulfilled the NEWS2 ≥5 criteria was 2.71 (1.35-5.44). Conclusion: NEWS2 had higher sensitivity but lower specificity and better, albeit poor, discriminative ability to predict the composite endpoint compared to qSOFA. NO-AF can provide important prognostic information.

Predictors for mortality in patients admitted with suspected bacterial infections - A prospective long-term follow-up study.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to examine predictors for all-cause mortality in a long-term follow-up study of adult patients with infectious diseases of suspected bacterial origin. METHODS: A prospective observational study of patients admitted to the emergency department during 1.10.2017-31.03.2018. We used Cox regression to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95% confidence intervals for mortality. RESULTS: A total of 2110 patients were included (median age 73 years). After a median follow-up of 2.1 years 758 (35.9%, 95% CI 33.9-38.0%) patients had died. Age (aHR1.05; 1.04-1.05), male gender (aHR 1.21; 1.17-1.25), cancer (aHR 1.80; 1.73-1.87), misuse of alcohol (aHR 1.30; 1.22-1.38), if admitted with sepsis within the last year before index admission (aHR 1.56;1.50-1.61), a Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score ≥2 (aHR 1.90; 1.83-1.98), SIRS criteria ≥2 (aHR 1.23;1.18-1.28) at admission to the ED, length of stay (aHR 1.05; 1.04-1.05) and devices and implants as sources of infection (aHR 7.0; 5.61-8.73) were independently associated with mortality. Skin infections and increasing haemoblobin values reduced the risk of death. CONCLUSIONS: More than one-third of a population of patients admitted to the emergency department with infectious diseases of suspected bacterial origin had died during a median follow up of 2.1 years. The study identified several independent predictors for mortality.

Diagnosis, treatment, and outcome of primary CNS lymphoma-a single-center experience.

BACKGROUND: Primary CNS lymphoma (PCNSL) is a highly aggressive non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) that occurs in the CNS (e.g. brain, meninges, spinal cord, cerebrospinal fluid, or intraocular involvement) in the absence of systemic NHL. Tumor resection does not improve survival, and neurosurgical intervention is generally limited to stereotactic biopsy to provide a histopathological diagnosis. OBJECTIVE: The objective of this single-center study was to evaluate the management and outcome of PCNSL patients diagnosed by biopsy, using overall survival and progression-free survival as endpoints. METHODS: At our department of neurosurgery, 140 patients were diagnosed with PCNSL by biopsy between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2018. Of these, 37 patients were included in the study and were divided into three groups according to their postoperative therapy. RESULTS: Median OS was 35.7 months for the intensive treatment group, 29.5 months for the moderate treatment group, and 8.6 months for the palliative treatment group. The intensive and moderate treatment groups had similar progression-free survival, while the palliative treatment group had poor overall and progression-free survival. Six patients were long-term survivors (> 80 months). Age under 65 years was the main significant parameter affecting overall survival. CONCLUSION: In this cohort, patients with PCNSL had an overall fair prognosis if they (1) were under 65 years old, (2) had a performance score < 2 at the time of diagnosis, and (3) received either intensive or moderate chemotherapeutic treatment. Biopsy is still the primary diagnostic tool; other methods have been investigated but are not yet recommended.

Microbiological findings in emergency department patients with sepsis identified by the Sepsis-3 criteria: a single-center prospective population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Studies comparing the microbiological profiles among sepsis patients identified with either Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score or systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria are limited. The aim was to examine if there are differences in the microbiological findings among septic patients identified by Sepsis-3 criteria compared to patients identified by the previous sepsis criteria, SIRS, and without organ failure. A secondary purpose was to examine if we could identify microbiological characteristics with increased risk of 28-day mortality. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of all adult (≥ 18 years) patients admitted with sepsis to the Emergency Department of Slagelse Hospital, Denmark from 1st October 2017 to 31st March 2018. Information regarding microbiological findings was obtained via linkage between a sepsis database and the local microbiological laboratory data system. Data regarding 28-day mortality were obtained from the Danish Civil Registration System. We used logistic regression to estimate the association between specific microbiological characteristics and 28-day mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1616 patients were included; 466 (28.8%; 95% CI 26.6%-31.1%) met SOFA criteria, 398 (24.6%; 95% CI 22.5-26.8%) met SIRS criteria. A total of 127 patients (14.7%; 95% CI 12.4-17.2%) had at least one positive blood culture. SOFA patients had more often positive blood cultures compared to SIRS (13.9% vs. 9.5%; 95 CI on difference 0.1-8.7%). Likewise, Gram-positive bacteria (8.6% vs. 2.8%; 95 CI on difference 2.8-8.8%), infections of respiratory origin (64.8% vs. 57.3%; 95 CI on difference 1.0-14%), Streptococcus pneumoniae (3.2% vs. 1.0%; 95% CI on difference 0.3-4.1) and polymicrobial infections (2.6% vs. 0.3% 95 CI on difference 0.8-3.8%) were more common among SOFA patients. Polymicrobial infections (OR 3.70; 95% CI 1.02-13.40), Staphylococcus aureus (OR 6.30; 95% CI 1.33-29.80) and a pool of "other" microorganisms (OR 3.88; 95% CI 1.34-9.79) in blood cultures were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSION: Patients identified with sepsis by SOFA score were more often blood culture-positive. Gram-positive pathogens, pulmonary tract infections, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and polymicrobial infections were also more common among SOFA patients. Polymicrobial infection, Staphylococcus aureus, and a group of other organisms were independently associated with an increased risk of death.

Prognostic Accuracy of SOFA, qSOFA, and SIRS for Mortality Among Emergency Department Patients with Infections.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the prognostic accuracy of SOFA in comparison to quick-SOFA (qSOFA) and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) in predicting 28-day mortality in the emergency department (ED) patients with infections. METHODS: A secondary analysis of data from a prospective study of adult patients with documented or suspected infections admitted to an ED in Denmark from Oct-2017 to Mar-2018. The SOFA scores were calculated after adjustment for chronic diseases. The prognostic accuracy was assessed by analysis of sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, likelihood ratios, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: A total of 2045 patients with a median age of 73.2 (IQR: 60.9-82.1) years were included. The overall 28-day mortality was 7.7%. In patients meeting a SOFA score ≥2, qSOFA score ≥2, and SIRS criteria ≥2 the 28-day mortality was 13.6% (11.2-16.3), 17.8% (12.4-24.3) and 8.3% (6.7-10.2), respectively. SOFA ≥2 had a sensitivity of 61.4% (53.3-69.0) and specificity of 67.3% (65.1-69.4), qSOFA ≥2 had a sensitivity of 19.6% (13.7-26.7) and specificity of 92.4% (91.1-93.6), and SIRS ≥2 had a sensitivity of 52.5% (44.4-60.5) and specificity of 51.5% (49.2-53.7). The AUROC for SOFA compared to SIRS was: 0.68 vs 0.52; p<0.001 and compared to qSOFA: 0.68 vs 0.63; p=0.018. CONCLUSION: A SOFA score of at least two had better prognostic accuracy for 28-day mortality than SIRS and qSOFA. However, the overall accuracy of SOFA was poor for the prediction of 28-day mortality.

Time to administration of antibiotics and mortality in sepsis.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the association between delay of antibiotic treatment and 28-day mortality in a study of septic patients identified by the Sepsis-3 criteria. METHODS: A prospective observational cohort study of patients (≥ 18 years) with sepsis admitted to a Danish emergency department between October 2017 and March 2018. The interval between arrival to the ED and first delivery of antibiotics was used as time to antibiotic treatment (TTA). Logistic regression was used in the analysis of the association between TTA and mortality adjusted for potential confounding. RESULTS: A total of 590 patients, median age 74.2 years, were included. Overall 28-day mortality was 14.6% (95% confidence interval [CI], 11.8-17.7). Median TTA was 4.7 hours (interquartile range 2.7-8.1). The mortality in patients with TTA ≤1 hour was 26.5% (95% CI, 12.8-44.4), and 15.3% (95% CI, 9.8-22.5), 10.5% (95% CI, 6.6-15.8), and 12.8 (95% CI, 7.3-20.1) in the timespans 1-3, 3-6, and 6-9 hours, respectively, and 18.8% (95% CI, 12.0-27.2) in patients with TTA >9 hours. With patients with lowest mortality (TTA timespan 3-6 hours) as reference, the adjusted odds ratio of mortality was 4.53 (95% CI, 1.67-3.37) in patients with TTA ≤1 hour, 1.67 (95% CI, 0.83-3.37) in TTA timespan 1-3 hours, 1.17 (95% CI, 0.56-2.49) in timespan 6-9 hours, and 1.91 (95% CI, 0.96-3.85) in patient with TTA >9 hours. CONCLUSIONS: The adjusted odds of 28-day mortality were lowest in emergency department (ED) patients with sepsis who received antibiotics between 1 and 9 hours and highest in patients treated within 1 and >9 hours after admission to the ED.

Independent predictors for 90-day readmission of emergency department patients admitted with sepsis: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The primary objective of our study was to examine predictors for readmission in a prospective cohort of sepsis patients admitted to an emergency department (ED) and identified by the new Sepsis-3 criteria. METHOD: A single-center observational population-based cohort study among all adult (≥18 years) patients with sepsis admitted to the emergency department of Slagelse Hospital during 1.10.2017-31.03.2018. Sepsis was defined as an increase in the sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score of ≥2. The primary outcome was 90-day readmission. We followed patients from the date of discharge from the index admission until the end of the follow-up period or until the time of readmission to hospital, emigration or death, whichever came first. We used competing-risks regression to estimate adjusted subhazard ratios (aSHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for covariates in the regression models. RESULTS: A total of 2110 patients were admitted with infections, whereas 714 (33.8%) suffered sepsis. A total of 52 patients had died during admission and were excluded leaving 662 patients (44.1% female) with a median age of 74.8 (interquartile range: 66.0-84.2) years for further analysis. A total of 237 (35,8%; 95% CI 32.1-39.6) patients were readmitted within 90 days, and 54(8.2%) had died after discharge without being readmitted. We found that a history of malignant disease (aSHR 1,61; 1.16-2.23), if previously admitted with sepsis within 1 year before the index admission (aSHR; 1.41; 1.08-1.84), and treatment with diuretics (aSHR 1.51; 1.17-1.94) were independent predictors for readmission. aSHR (1.49, 1.13-1.96) for diuretic treatment was almost unchanged after exclusion of patients with heart failure, while aSHR (1.47, 0.96-2.25) for malignant disease was slightly attenuated after exclusion of patients with metastatic tumors. CONCLUSIONS: More than one third of patients admitted with sepsis, and discharged alive, were readmitted within 90 days. A history of malignant disease, if previously admitted with sepsis, and diuretic treatment were independent predictors for 90-day readmission.

Clinical validation of ratings on the six-item Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale obtained via the Simplified Negative and Positive Symptoms Interview.

BACKGROUND: The six-item version of the Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS-6) has shown promise as a brief measure of the severity of core symptoms of schizophrenia. However, since all prior analyses of the PANSS-6 were based on data extracted from studies using the full 30-item PANSS (PANSS-30), it remains unknown whether it is possible to obtain valid information for the PANSS-6 ratings via a brief interview, such as the Simplified Negative and Positive Symptoms Interview (SNAPSI). AIMS: We aimed to validate the PANSS-6 ratings obtained via the SNAPSI using the PANSS-6 scores extracted from the PANSS-30 ratings obtained via the comprehensive Structured Clinical Interview for PANSS (SCI-PANSS) as the gold-standard reference. METHODS: The PANSS-6 ratings based on the SNAPSI and the PANSS-30 ratings based on the SCI-PANSS were conducted by independent raters with established inter-rater reliability. RESULTS: Seventy-seven inpatients with schizophrenia (Mage = 35.1 ± 11.7 years; males = 57%; paranoid schizophrenia = 75%) participated in the study. The intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC) of the PANSS-6 total scores obtained using the SNAPSI and the PANSS-30-derived PANSS-6 total scores via the SCI-PANSS was 0.77 (p < 0.001). The ICC for the PANSS-6 total score and the PANSS-30-derived PANSS-8 (Andreasen's remission criteria) was 0.75 (p < 0.001). Spearman's rank correlation coefficient for changes in PANSS-6 total scores via the SNAPSI and changes in PANSS-30-derived PANSS-6 total scores was 0.70 (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Using the SNAPSI to rate the PANSS-6 enables a focused and brief assessment of the severity of core symptoms of schizophrenia, which facilitates measurement-based care and clinical decision making in the treatment of schizophrenia.

[Primary central nervous system lymphomas].

In this review, we discuss primary central nervous system lymphomas: a rare type of tumours confined to the central nervous system. The disease is associated with a poor prognosis, which, however, generally has seen steady improvement over the last four decades, particularly in the younger population. Modern surgical techniques are reserved for diagnosis and has no place in the treatment, which mainly relies on high-dose polychemotherapy treatment regimes with methotrexate as the backbone.

Who dies early? Education, mortality and causes of death in Norway.

We estimated the effects of education on mortality and causes of death in Norway. We identified causal effects by exploiting the staggered implementation of a school reform that increased the length of compulsory education from seven to nine years. The municipality-level education data were combined with complete records of all deaths from 1960 to 2015 from the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry. These data covered the entire life span of persons aged 16-64. One additional year of education caused a reduction in mortality of about 10% for men. The effect was negligible for women. For men, a large part of the effect was due to fewer accidental deaths. We suggest two explanations for this finding. First, there are differences in risk-taking behaviour between people with a high level of education and those with a low level. Second, more education leads to upward occupational mobility. This mobility is mainly from occupations for which the risk of accidents is high to occupations for which the risk is low. Our results supported the fundamental cause theory. This is because education had a stronger effect on mortality for causes of death that are preventable than for causes of death that are not preventable. More education had no effect on the probability of dying of diseases that were amenable to medical intervention only. This gives some support to our results that patients are treated equally, independent of their level of education. This may be due to the large public involvement in financing and provision of health services.

Prognostic accuracy of qSOFA in predicting 28-day mortality among infected patients in an emergency department: a prospective validation study.

BACKGROUND: Few prospective studies have evaluated the quick Sequential (Sepsis-Related) Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) criteria in emergency department (ED)settings. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic accuracy of qSOFA compared with systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) in predicting the 28-day mortality of infected patients admitted to an ED. METHODS: A prospective observational cohort study of all adult (≥18 years) infected patients admitted to the ED of Slagelse Hospital, Denmark, was conducted from 1 October 2017 to 31 March 2018. Patients were enrolled consecutively and data related to SIRS and qSOFA criteria were obtained from electronic triage record. Information regarding mortality was obtained from the Danish Civil Registration System. The original cut-off values of ≥2 was used to determine the prognostic accuracy of SIRS and qSOFA criteria for predicting 28-day mortality and was assessed by analyses of sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, likelihood ratios and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: A total of 2112 patients were included in this study. A total of 175 (8.3%) patients met at least two qSOFA criteria, while 1012 (47.9%) met at least two SIRS criteria on admission. A qSOFA criteria of at least two for predicting 28-day mortality had a sensitivity of 19.5% (95% CI 13.6% to 26.5%) and a specificity of 92.6% (95% CI 91.4% to 93.7%). A SIRS criteria of at least two for predicting 28-day mortality had a sensitivity of 52.8% (95% CI 44.8% to 60.8%) and a specificity of 52.5% (95% CI 50.2% to 54.7%). The AUROC values for qSOFA and SIRS were 0.63 (95% CI 0.59 to 0.67) and 0.52 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.57), respectively. CONCLUSION: Both SIRS and qSOFA had poor sensitivity for 28-day mortality. qSOFA improved the specificity at the expense of the sensitivity resulting in slightly higher prognostic accuracy overall.

Inter-rater reliability of ratings on the six-item Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS-6) obtained using the Simplified Negative and Positive Symptoms Interview (SNAPSI).

PURPOSE: The six-item version of the Positive And Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS-6) is a brief rating scale focusing on core symptoms of schizophrenia. In order to facilitate rating of PANSS-6 and selected items from other common psychiatric rating scales, we recently developed the Simplified Negative and Positive Symptoms Interview (SNAPSI). The objective of the present study was to test the inter-rater reliability of PANSS-6 ratings obtained using the SNAPSI. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Using the SNAPSI, seven raters (psychiatrists, first-year psychiatry residents and psychologists) performed a total of 56 PANSS-6 ratings of 12 in- or outpatients with schizophrenia. As a measure of inter-rater reliability, we calculated the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC, ≥0.75 = excellent, 0.40-0.74 = fair to good, <0.40 = poor) for the PANSS-6 total score and individual item scores. Furthermore, for the PANSS-6 total scores obtained by the six noncertified PANSS raters, we calculated the median deviation from the PANSS-6 total scores obtained by the only certified PANSS rater. RESULTS: The ICC for the PANSS-6 total score was 0.74 (F = 2.84, p = .03). The ICCs for the six individual PANSS-6 items ranged from 0.45 (N6 - Lack of spontaneity & flow of conversation) to 0.76 (P3 - Hallucinatory behavior). The PANSS-6 total scores obtained by the six noncertified PANSS raters deviated by a median of 12.7% (interquartile range: 6.2-20.0) from the PANSS-6 total scores obtained by the certified PANSS rater. CONCLUSIONS: We found a good level of inter-rater reliability of PANSS-6 ratings obtained using the SNAPSI for seven raters with varying levels of clinical and research experience.

Does the Use of Diagnostic Technology Reduce Fetal Mortality?

OBJECTIVE: To examine the effect that the introduction of new diagnostic technology in obstetric care has had on fetal death. DATA SOURCE: The Medical Birth Registry of Norway provided detailed medical information for approximately 1.2 million deliveries from 1967 to 1995. Information about diagnostic technology was collected directly from the maternity units, using a questionnaire. STUDY DESIGN: The data were analyzed using a hospital fixed-effects regression with fetal mortality as the outcome measure. The key independent variables were the introduction of ultrasound and electronic fetal monitoring at each maternity ward. Hospital-specific trends and risk factors of the mother were included as control variables. The richness of the data allowed us to perform several robustness tests. PRINCIPAL FINDING: The introduction of ultrasound caused a significant drop in fetal mortality rate, while the introduction of electronic fetal monitoring had no effect on the rate. In the population as a whole, ultrasound contributed to a reduction in fetal deaths of nearly 20 percent. For post-term deliveries, the reduction was well over 50 percent. CONCLUSION: The introduction of ultrasound made a major contribution to the decline in fetal mortality at the end of the last century.

The impact of the mass media on obstetricians' behavior in Norway.

Little is known about how physicians and hospitals respond to the risk of being negatively exposed in the mass media. We assume that newspapers will cover events more closely in the areas where they have most of their circulation. Within such areas the likelihood of negative publicity increases. The research question is whether obstetricians respond to negative newspaper coverage by choosing the least risky method of delivery, i.e. Caesarean section. This was tested on a large set of data from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway for the period 2000-2011. The Registry contains detailed medical information about all deliveries, for both the mother and the infant. This set of data was merged with a set of data that contained information about newspaper coverage for the municipalities in which all hospitals were located. Altogether, more than 620 000 deliveries in 46 municipalities were included in the study. The data were analyzed using a hospital fixed effects regression. The main result was that newspaper coverage had a significant positive effect on the probability of having a Caesarean section. Several supplementary analyses supported the main finding. Altogether, our results indicate that obstetricians are sensitive to the risk of being exposed in the mass media. This is likely to be because obstetricians care about their reputation.

Saving Newborn Babies - The Benefits of Interventions in Neonatal Care in Norway over More Than 40 Years.

The aim of this study was to examine the effect that the introduction of new medical interventions at birth has had on mortality among newborn babies in Norway during the period 1967-2011. During this period, there has been a significant decline in mortality, in particular for low birth weight infants. We identified four interventions that together explained about 50% of the decline in early neonatal and infant mortality: ventilators, antenatal steroids, surfactant and insure. The analyses were performed on a large set of data, encompassing more than 1.6 million deliveries (Medical Birth Registry of Norway). The richness of the data allowed us to perform several robustness tests. Our study indicates that the introduction of new medical interventions has been a very important channel through which the decline in mortality among newborn babies occurred during the second half of the last century. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Educated mothers, healthy infants. The impact of a school reform on the birth weight of Norwegian infants 1967-2005.

Birth weight is an important predictor of health and success in later life. Little is known about the effect of mothers' education on birth weight. A few causal analyses have been done, but they show conflicting results. We estimated the effect of mothers' education on birth weight by using data on a school reform in Norway. During the period 1960-1972, all municipalities in Norway were required to increase the number of compulsory years of schooling from seven to nine years. We used this education reform to create exogenous variation in the education variable. The education data were combined with large sets of data from the Medical Birth Registry and Statistics Norway. Since municipalities implemented the reform at different times, we have cross-sectional as well as time-series variation in the reform instrument. In the analyses, we controlled for municipality fixed effects, municipality-specific time-trends and mothers' and infants' year of birth. Using this procedure we found a fairly large effect of mothers' education on birth weight. Increasing mothers' education reduces the likelihood of low birth weight, even in a publically financed health care system. In interpreting these results it is important to keep in mind that we have examined only one channel, which is through birth weight, through which education may explain differences in health. There are other potential channels that should be explored by future research. In particular, it would be of interest to examine whether education has causal effects on the broader determinants of health, such as psychopathology, social capital and networks, and family stress and dysfunction.

Regionalization and local hospital closure in Norwegian maternity care--the effect on neonatal and infant mortality.

OBJECTIVE: To study whether neonatal and infant mortality, after adjustments for differences in case mix, were independent of the type of hospital in which the delivery was carried out. DATA: The Medical Birth Registry of Norway provided detailed medical information for all births in Norway. STUDY DESIGN: Hospitals were classified into two groups: local hospitals/maternity clinics versus central/regional hospitals. Outcomes were neonatal and infant mortality. The data were analyzed using propensity score weighting to make adjustments for differences in case mix between the two groups of hospitals. This analysis was supplemented with analyses of 13 local hospitals that were closed. Using a difference-in-difference approach, the effects that these closures had on neonatal and infant mortality were estimated. PRINCIPAL FINDING: Neonatal and infant mortality were not affected by the type of hospital where the delivery took place. CONCLUSION: A regionalized maternity service does not lead to increased neonatal and infant mortality. This is mainly because high-risk deliveries were identified well in advance of the birth, and referred to a larger hospital with sufficient perinatal resources to deal with these deliveries.

Adoption of diagnostic technology and variation in caesarean section rates: a test of the practice style hypothesis in Norway.

OBJECTIVE: To examine whether the introduction of advanced diagnostic technology in maternity care has led to less variation in type of delivery between hospitals in Norway. DATA SOURCES: The Medical Birth Registry of Norway provided detailed medical information for 1.7 million deliveries from 1967 to 2005. Information about diagnostic technology was collected directly from the maternity units. STUDY DESIGN: The data were analyzed using a two-level binary logistic model with Caesarean section as the outcome measure. Level one contained variables that characterized the health status of the mother and child. Hospitals are level two. A heterogeneous variance structure was specified for the hospital level, where the error variance was allowed to vary according to the following types of diagnostic technology: two-dimensional ultrasound, cardiotocography, ST waveform analysis, and fetal blood analyses. PRINCIPAL FINDING: There was a marked variation in Caesarean section rates between hospitals up to 1973. After this the variation diminished markedly. This was due to the introduction of ultrasound and cardiotocography. CONCLUSION: Diagnostic technology reduced clinical uncertainty about the diagnosis of risk factors of the mother and child during delivery, and variation in type of delivery between hospitals was reduced accordingly. The results support the practice style hypothesis.