Exploring the association between acute pancreatitis and biliary tract cancer: A large-scale population-based matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Biliary tract cancer (BTC) often goes undetected until its advanced stages, resulting in a poor prognosis. Given the anatomical closeness of the gallbladder and bile ducts to the pancreas, the inflammatory processes triggered by acute pancreatitis might increase the risk of BTC. OBJECTIVE: To assess the association between acute pancreatitis and the risk of BTC. METHODS: Using the Swedish Pancreatitis Cohort (SwePan), we compared the BTC risk in patients with a first-time episode of acute pancreatitis during 1990-2018 to a 1:10 matched pancreatitis-free control group. Multivariable Cox regression models, stratified by follow-up duration, were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs), adjusting for socioeconomic factors, alcohol use, and comorbidities. RESULTS: BTC developed in 0.94% of 85,027 acute pancreatitis patients and in 0.23% of 814,993 controls. The BTC risk notably increased within 3 months of hospital discharge (HR 82.63; 95% CI: 63.07-108.26) and remained elevated beyond 10 years of follow-up (HR 1.82; 95% CI: 1.35-2.47). However, the long-term risk of BTC subtypes did not increase with anatomical proximity to the pancreas, with a null association for gallbladder and extrahepatic tumors. Importantly, patients with acute pancreatitis had a higher occurrence of early-stage BTC within 2 years of hospital discharge than controls (13.0 vs. 3.6%; p-value <0.01). CONCLUSION: Our nationwide study found an elevated BTC risk in acute pancreatitis patients; however, the risk estimates for BTC subtypes were inconsistent, thereby questioning the causality of the association. Importantly, the amplified detection of early-stage BTC within 2 years after a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis underscores the necessity for proactive BTC surveillance in these patients.

Antipsychotic drugs and risk of acute pancreatitis: A nationwide case-control study.

INTRODUCTION: Use of antipsychotic drugs, especially second-generation agents, has been suggested to cause acute pancreatitis in multiple case reports; however, such an association has not been corroborated by larger studies. This study examined the association of antipsychotic drugs with risk of acute pancreatitis. METHODS: Nationwide case-control study, based on data from several Swedish registers and including all 52,006 cases of acute pancreatitis diagnosed in Sweden between 2006 and 2019 (with up to 10 controls per case; n = 518,081). Conditional logistic regression models were used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) in current and past users of first-generation and second-generation antipsychotic drugs (dispensed prescription <91 and ≥91 days of the index date, respectively) compared with never users of such drugs. RESULTS: In the crude model, first-generation and second-generation antipsychotic drugs were associated with increased risk of acute pancreatitis, with slightly higher ORs for past use (1.58 [95% confidence interval 1.48-1.69] and 1.39 [1.29-1.49], respectively) than for current use (1.34 [1.21-1.48] and 1.24 [1.15-1.34], respectively). The ORs were largely attenuated in the multivariable model-which included, among others, alcohol abuse and the Charlson comorbidity index-up to the point where only a statistically significant association remained for past use of first-generation agents (OR 1.18 [1.10-1.26]). CONCLUSION: There was no clear association between use of antipsychotic drugs and risk of acute pancreatitis in this very large case-control study, indicating that previous case report data are most likely explained by confounding.

Pre-emptive resection for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasia - Long-term outcome is similar between non-invasive and early invasive lesions in a tertiary single center.

BACKGROUND: Pre-emptive resection for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) aims to reduce the risk before invasive transformation has taken place. Pancreatic resections are highly associated with major morbidity and mortality. Long-term overall survival (OS) after resection for invasive IPMN (inv-IPMN) in early stages is favorable. Comparison of long-term OS for resected non-invasive IPMN and early staged inv-IPMN is poorly delineated. This study aims to compare outcomes for resected non-invasive IPMN and T1-staged inv-IPMN. METHODS: All patients ≥18 years of age resected for IPMN up to stage T1 at Karolinska University Hospital between 2008 and 2020 were included. Two-year OS were compared between groups by chi-squared test, and 5-year OS was estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. Covariates associated with death was assessed in multivariable Cox regression model. RESULTS: We included 284 patients, 264 (93%) non-invasive IPMN and 20 (7%) T1-staged inv-IPMN. Dysplasia of low grade (LGD) and high grade, i.e., tumor in situ (Tis) were present in 190 (67%) and 75 (26%) patients respectively. The 2-year OS for the entire cohort was 96%, and there were no differences between non-invasive and inv-IPMN (96% vs 92%, p = 0.203), nor between IPMN with LGD and Tis-T1b-staged IPMN (96% vs 95%, p = 0.734). CONCLUSION: Two thirds of the specimen from pre-emptive resections were of LGD and did not involve superior OS than in situ or early cancer. Due to high complication burden, efforts should be made to avoid resection when LGD is probable and rather identify more accurate predictors for surgery.

General anesthesia in early childhood and possible association with autism: a population-based matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: In experimental animal studies, exposure to general anesthesia in early childhood may results in changes in infant brain morphology and behavior, potentially leading to the development of autistic behaviors in the long-term. However, in clinical studies the role of exposure to general anesthesia in early childhood and the risk of autism is unknown. METHODS: This is a population-based cohort study including all children aged 0-5 years of age exposed to general anesthesia between 2001 and 2014 and a corresponding matched population without such an exposure. Propensity score calculation was based on 49 variables (including age of parents, malformations, APGAR Score, and family income, among others). Quasi-Poisson regression was used to estimate risk ratios (RRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between exposure to general anesthesia and autism or autism spectrum disorder. RESULTS: In total, 401,750 children exposed to general anesthesia were compared with 1,187,796 unexposed individuals. Autism or autism spectrum disorder were more common in the children exposed to general anesthesia as compared to unexposed children (1.65% and 0.98%, respectively, P<0.01). There was a statistically significant higher risk of autism or autism spectrum disorder in children exposed to general anesthesia as compared to unexposed children also after propensity score adjustment (RR 1.62, 95% CI: 1.57-1.67). CONCLUSIONS: Exposure to general anesthesia in early childhood was associated with an increased risk of autism or autism spectrum disorder. Future studies are needed to asses if general anesthesia may cause autism or if the association is due to other factors.

Cohort profile: the Swedish Pancreatitis Cohort (SwePan).

PURPOSE: The Swedish Pancreatitis Cohort (SwePan) was designed to study long-term outcomes following an episode of acute pancreatitis. It can also be used to study various risk factors for developing acute pancreatitis. PARTICIPANTS: The SwePan is a register-based nationwide matched cohort. It includes all Swedish cases of acute pancreatitis during 1990-2019. It contains 95 632 individuals with acute pancreatitis and 952 783 pancreatitis-free individuals matched on sex, age and municipality of residence. Follow-up was censored at death, emigration or end of study (31 December 2019). The dataset includes comprehensive information based on several registries, and includes diagnoses, prescribed medications and socioeconomic factors both prior to inclusion and during follow-up. FINDINGS TO DATE: During the study period, the number of cases of acute pancreatitis in Sweden has more than doubled from 1977 cases in 1990 to 4264 cases in 2019. The median age of first episode of acute pancreatitis has increased from 58 years (IQR 44-73 years) in 1990 to 64 years (IQR 49-76 years) in 2019. Cases with acute pancreatitis were generally less healthy compared with the pancreatitis-free individuals (Charlson Comorbidity Index of 0 in 59.2% and 71.4%, respectively). FUTURE PLANS: SwePan will be used to determine the incidence of acute pancreatitis in Sweden over time and assess long-term all-cause and cause-specific mortality after an episode of acute pancreatitis. Some examples of additional planned studies are (1) assessment of long-term risk of diabetes and (2) risk of malignancy in adjacent organs following acute pancreatitis and (3) assessment of risk factors for development of acute pancreatitis including various drugs.

Aspirin, Statins, Non-aspirin NSAIDs, Metformin, and the Risk of Biliary Cancer: A Swedish Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Chemoprevention for biliary tract cancers (BTC), which comprise intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA), extrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (eCCA), and gallbladder cancer, is controversial. We examined associations between low-dose aspirin, statins, NSAIDs, and metformin with BTC risk. METHODS: We used a population-based cohort of 5.7 million persons over age 18 without personal history of cancer (except nonmelanoma skin cancer), receiving at least one commonly prescribed drug between July 1, 2005, and December 31, 2012, from the Swedish Prescribed Drug Registry. Hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using age-scaled multivariable-adjusted Cox models. RESULTS: 2,160 individuals developed BTC. Low-dose aspirin was not associated with BTC risk [HR, 0.93; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.81-1.07], iCCA (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 0.93-1.57), eCCA (HR, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.60-1.07), or gallbladder cancer (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.71-1.06). Statins were associated with lower risk of BTC (HR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.56-0.78), iCCA (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.50-0.95), eCCA (HR 0.54; 95% CI, 0.38-0.76), and gallbladder cancer (HR, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57-0.91). For all BTC subtypes, combined low-dose aspirin and statins were not associated with lower risk than statins alone. NSAIDs were associated with higher risk of BTC and its subtypes. Metformin was not associated with BTC risk (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.82-1.18), iCCA (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 0.77-1.48), eCCA (HR, 1.15; 95% CI, 0.82-1.61), or gallbladder cancer (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.63-1.11). CONCLUSIONS: Statins were associated with a decreased risk of BTC and its subtypes. Low-dose aspirin alone was not associated with a decreased risk, and use of both was not associated with further decrease in risk beyond statins alone. IMPACT: Statins were most consistently associated with a decreased risk of BTC and its subtypes.

Proton pump inhibitors and survival in patients with colorectal cancer: a Swedish population-based cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) are associated with microbiome changes of the gut, which in turn may affect the progression of colorectal cancer (CRC). This study aims to assess the associations between PPI use and all-cause and CRC-specific mortality. METHODS: We selected all patients registered in the Swedish Prescribed Drug Registry who were diagnosed with CRC between 2006 and 2012 (N = 32,411, 54.9% PPI users) and subsequently followed them through register linkage to the Swedish Causes of Death Registry until December 2013. PPI users were patients with ≥1 post-diagnosis PPI dispensation. Time-dependent Cox-regression models were performed with PPI use as time-varying exposure. RESULTS: Overall 4746 (14.0%) patients died, with an aHR of 1.38 (95% CI 1.32-1.44) for all-cause mortality comparing PPI users with PPI nonusers. Higher-magnitude associations were observed among male, cancer stage 0-I, rectal cancer and patients receiving CRC surgery. The PPI-all-cause mortality association was also more pronounced comparing new users to non-users (aHR = 1.47, 95%CI 1.40-1.55) than comparing continuous users to non-users (aHR = 1.32, 95%CI 1.24-1.39). The risk estimates for CRC-specific mortality comparing PPI users to PPI nonusers were similar to those for all-cause mortality. CONCLUSION: PPI use after the CRC diagnosis was associated with increased all-cause and CRC-specific mortality.

Association Between Proton Pump Inhibitor Use and Biliary Tract Cancer Risk: A Swedish Population-Based Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Biliary tract cancer is a group of highly aggressive malignant disorders, yet risk factors are poorly understood. In this study, we aim to assess whether prolonged use of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) increases the risk of incident biliary tract carcinoma in a nation-wide population-based cohort in Sweden. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Using nation-wide registries, we identified all adults who received maintenance PPIs (≥180 days) according to the Swedish Prescribed Drug Register from 2005 through 2012. Data on incident biliary tract cancer were retrieved from the Swedish Cancer, Death and Outpatient Registers. Risk of biliary tract cancer in persons who received PPI treatment was compared with the general population of the corresponding age, sex, and calendar year yielding standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% CIs. Of 738,881 PPI users (median follow-up of 5.3 years), 206 (0.03%) developed gallbladder cancer and 265 (0.04%) extrahepatic and 131 (0.02%) intrahepatic bile duct cancer corresponding to SIRs of 1.58 (95% CI, 1.37-1.81), 1.77 (95% CI, 1.56-2.00), and 1.88 (95% CI, 1.57-2.23), respectively. In sensitivity analyses restricted to persons without a history of gallstones or chronic liver or pancreatic diseases, SIRs were 1.36 (95% CI, 1.17-1.57) and 1.47 (95% CI, 1.19-1.80) for extra- and intrahepatic duct cancer, respectively. The risk remained higher than the corresponding general population with ≥5 years of PPIs use, ruling out confounding by indication. CONCLUSIONS: In this study, long-term use of PPIs was associated with an increased risk of gallbladder, intrahepatic, and extrahepatic bile duct cancer compared with the general population.

Menopausal hormone therapies and risk of colorectal cancer: a Swedish matched-cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) has been associated with various malignancies. AIMS: To investigate the association of various MHT regimens with the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC). METHODS: All MHT ever-users (n = 290 186) were included through the Swedish Prescribed Drug Registry, with a 1:3 group-level matching to non-users. Ever-users were defined as women who received ≥1 dispensed prescription of systemic MHT during 2005-2012 in Sweden. All CRC cases after drug initiation were extracted from the Swedish Cancer Registry. The association was assessed by multivariable conditional logistic and Cox regression models, presented as odds ratios (ORs) or hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) considering different regimens, duration and age at treatment initiation. RESULTS: Compared with non-users, MHT users had an overall reduced odds for colon (OR = 0.67, 95% CI 0.63-0.72) and rectal adenocarcinoma (OR = 0.66, 95% CI 0.60-0.73), especially among women aged 40-60 years. Current users of oestrogen-only preparations (E-MHT) showed a reduced odds (colon OR = 0.73, 95% CI 0.65-0.82; rectal OR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.64-0.90) compared to non-users, particularly with oestradiol and oestriol. Past E-MHT use showed stronger odds reductions (colon OR = 0.49, 95% CI 0.43-0.56; rectal OR = 0.36, 95% CI 0.28-0.45). Current use of oestrogen combined progestin therapy (EP-MHT) indicated a less prominent odds reduction (colon adenocarcinoma OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.54-0.72; rectal adenocarcinoma OR = 0.60, 95% CI 0.49-0.74) than past users. Tibolone showed an increased risk of left-sided colorectal adenocarcinoma. Oral and cutaneous MHT usage showed similar patterns. CONCLUSIONS: MHT use may decrease colorectal adenocarcinoma risk, for both E-MHT and EP-MHT, and especially in past users.

A tug-of-war in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms management: Comparison between 2017 International and 2018 European guidelines.

BACKGROUND: 2017 International and 2018 European guidelines are the most recent guidelines for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms management. AIM: to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of these guidelines in identifying malignant IPMN. METHODS: data from resected patients with IPMN were collected in two referral centers. Features of risk associated to cancerous degeneration described in International and European guidelines were retrospectively applied. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value in detecting malignant disease were calculated. RESULTS: the study includes 627 resected patients. European guidelines suggest resection in any patient with at least one feature of moderate-risk. International guidelines suggest that patients with moderate-risk features undergo endoscopic ultrasound before surgery. European guidelines had a higher sensitivity (99.2% vs. 83%) but a lower positive predictive value (59.5% vs. 65.8%) and Specificity (2% vs. 37.5%). European guidelines detected almost all malignancies, but 40% of resected patients had low-grade dysplasia. 297 patients underwent endoscopic ultrasound before surgery. 31/116 (26.7%) tumors radiologically classified as "worrisome features" were reclassified as "high-risk stigmata" by endoscopic ultrasound and 24/31 were malignant IPMN. CONCLUSIONS: European and International guidelines have a relatively low diagnostic accuracy, being European guidelines more aggressive. Endoscopic ultrasound can improve guidelines accuracy in patients with moderate-risk features.

Rising incidence of acute pancreatitis in Sweden: National estimates and trends between 1990 and 2013.

BACKGROUND: Recent reports from western countries have indicated an increased incidence and a decreased mortality in acute pancreatitis. However, the incidence assessment has often been hampered by the inclusion of both first-time and recurrent episodes of acute pancreatitis. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, all Swedish residents hospitalized with a first-time episode of acute pancreatitis between 1990 and 2013 were identified using national registers. Sex- and age-standardized incidence rates per 100,000 individuals and year were calculated, as were annual percent changes (APC) from joinpoint regression models. RESULTS: Overall, between 1990 and 2013, 66,131 individuals had a first-time episode of acute pancreatitis in Sweden. Comparing the first five years (1990-1994) to the last four years (2010-2013) of the study period, the overall incidence of acute pancreatitis increased from 25.2 (95% confidence interval (CI): 24.1, 26.3) to 38.3 (95% CI: 37.0, 39.5) cases per 100,000 individuals and year. An increase in incidence was observed irrespective of the subtypes of acute pancreatitis as well as the sex and age of the patients. Although the incidence of complicated acute pancreatitis declined in both men and women between 1990 and 2004, it started to increase in both sexes (APC 3.0; 95% CI: 0.5, 5.5 in men; APC 5.4; 95% CI: 2.6, 8.2 in women) from 2005 onwards. CONCLUSION: Based on nationwide data, the incidence of first-time acute pancreatitis has increased in Sweden over a period of 24 years. The incidence of disease-related complications has also been on the rise during the past few years, after declining for more than 15 years before that.

Long-term proton pump inhibitor usage and the association with pancreatic cancer in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: The long-term safety of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) is increasingly questioned. The aim of our study was to assess the risk of pancreatic cancer among long-term PPI users in Sweden. METHODS: This population-based nationwide Swedish cohort study including 796,492 adult long-term PPI users has been used to calculate the standardized incidence rate ratios (SIRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for pancreatic cancer, stratifying by indications of use, age, sex, and duration of use. The risk among all 20,210 long-term H2-receptor antagonist users was assessed as comparison. RESULTS: Pancreatic cancer was found in 1733 long-term PPI users, and 25 H2-receptor antagonist users. For PPI users, the risk of pancreatic cancer was increased overall (SIRs = 2.22; 95% CI 2.12-2.32) and in all subgroup analyses, with the highest risk among PPI-users younger than 40 years (SIR = 8.90, 95% CI 4.26-16.37), and among individuals with a history of Helicobacter pylori (SIR = 2.99, 95% CI 2.54-3.49). After the first year after enrolment (during which PPI use may be because of early symptoms of pancreatic cancer), the risk remained increased over time, with SIR = 1.57 (95% CI 1.38-1.76) after 5 years. No associations were found for H2-receptor antagonists (SIR = 1.02, 95% CI 0.66-1.51). CONCLUSIONS: This large study showed an increased risk of pancreatic cancer in long-term users of PPIs in Sweden, in particular among the youngest users.

Pancreatic Cancer Following Acute Pancreatitis: A Population-based Matched Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Acute pancreatitis is linked to pancreatic cancer, but the direction of this association is not fully elaborated. METHODS: This was a population-based cohort study including all Swedish residents diagnosed with a first-time episode of acute pancreatitis between 1997 and 2013 and corresponding matched pancreatitis-free individuals from the general population. Hazard ratios for the association between acute pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer were estimated using multivariable Cox regression models. RESULTS: Overall, 49,749 individuals with acute pancreatitis and 138,750 matched individuals without acute pancreatitis were followed up for 1,192,134 person-years (median 5.3 years). A total of 769 individuals developed pancreatic cancer, of whom 536 (69.7%) had a history of acute pancreatitis. The risk of pancreatic cancer was substantially increased during the first few years after a diagnosis of acute pancreatitis but declined gradually over time, reaching a level comparable to the pancreatitis-free population after >10 years of follow-up. In those with non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis, the risk of pancreatic cancer declined to a level comparable to the pancreatitis-free population only when follow-up time was censored for a second episode of acute pancreatitis or a diagnosis of chronic pancreatitis. Increasing number of recurrent episodes of acute pancreatitis was associated with increased risk of pancreatic cancer. CONCLUSION: These findings imply a delay in the diagnosis of pre-existing pancreatic cancer, if clinically presented as acute pancreatitis. Any association between non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer in the long-term (>10 years) could be mediated through recurrent acute pancreatitis or chronic pancreatitis.

The population-based incidence and mortality of biliary tract cancer in Sweden.

BACKGROUND: The incidence trends of biliary tract cancer need to be established. This study investigated the incidence and mortality of biliary tract cancer in Sweden in 1970-2010. METHODS: Sex-specific biliary tract cancer incidence and mortality rates were evaluated using data from the Swedish Cancer Register, Patient Register and Causes of Death Register. Case registration was separate for each register. Gallbladder cancer and cancers of the extra-hepatic bile ducts were analyzed separately. Standardized incidence rates were calculated and joinpoint regression was used to calculate annual percent changes (APC) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CIs). RESULTS: The incidence of non-gallbladder extra-hepatic cancers assessed from the Cancer Register decreased in men and women from the mid 1980's (APC: -4.0, 95% CI -5.3 - -2.7 and APC -6.3, 95% CI -7.7 - -4.8, respectively), whereas the mortality of non-gallbladder extra-hepatic cancers rather increased until 1990 (APC: 2.1, 95% CI 1.4-2.8 and APC 2.7, 95% CI 1.3-4.1, in men and women respectively). Notably, the mortality rate was greater than the incidence rate as assessed from the Cancer Register from the early 1990's and onwards. The incidence of non-gallbladder extra-hepatic cancers derived from the Patient Register also increased over time. Gallbladder cancer incidence and mortality rates generally decreased. However, incidence rates assessed from the Patient Register decreased to a lesser extent. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of gallbladder cancer seems to have decreased over the past decades in Sweden. The incidence trends for extra-hepatic tumors other than gallbladder cancer may however be obscured by under-reporting.

Overall diet quality and risk of recurrence and progression of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis: a prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: An incident episode of acute pancreatitis is often followed by recurrent attacks and/or progression to chronic pancreatitis, especially if the etiology is non-gallstone-related. We examined whether overall diet quality influences the natural history of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis. METHODS: Three hundred and eighty-six individuals (born 1914-1952) were included in a prospective study, all of whom had an incident diagnosis of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis in the Swedish National Patient Register between 1998 and 2013. Participants were already enrolled in two population-based cohorts and had completed a food frequency questionnaire in 1997. Overall diet quality was calculated using a recommended food score (RFS), which was based on 25 food items. Post-diagnosis follow-up was conducted throughout 2014 for recurrence of acute pancreatitis and/or progression to chronic pancreatic disease (including cancer). Hazard ratios were estimated using Cox models. RESULTS: During 1859 person-years of follow-up, 23.3% of the study population (n = 90) developed recurrent or progressive pancreatic disease. An inverse association was observed between the RFS and risk of recurrent and progressive pancreatic disease after adjustment for age and sex (hazard ratio for each 2-unit increase 0.90, 95% confidence interval 0.81-1.01) (P overall association = 0.06). However, the association became weaker and was not statistically significant after adjustment for other potential confounders, including alcohol drinking and cigarette smoking (P overall association = 0.27). CONCLUSIONS: In this prospective study of individuals with non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis, there was no clear association between overall diet quality and risk of recurrent and progressive pancreatic disease.

Menopausal hormone therapy and pancreatic cancer risk in women: a population-based matched cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The role of menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) in the development of pancreatic cancer is inconclusive owing to small studies and lack of proper study design. METHODS: This population-based matched cohort study included all Swedish women who used systemic MHT between 1 July 2005 and 31 December 2012. For each user of MHT, three never-users of MHT were randomly selected, matched for childbirth, history of thromboembolic events, and previous hysterectomy, as well as for year of birth, diabetes, obesity, and smoking- or alcohol-related disorders. Multivariable conditional logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between MHT use and pancreatic cancer. The effect of MHT duration on pancreatic cancer development was calculated using multivariable Poisson regression. RESULTS: There were 290,186 ever-users of MHT and 870,165 matched never-users. During the follow-up, 311 (0.0011%) ever-users of MHT and 1220 (0.0014) never-users developed pancreatic cancer. In a multivariable adjusted model, ever-users had a 23% reduced risk (OR 0.77; 95% CI: 0.68-0.87) of pancreatic cancer. This risk decreased by 35% (incidence rate ratio (IRR) 0.65; 95% CI: 0.33-1.27) in women who used MHT 1-2 years and by 60% (IRR 0.40; 95% CI: 0.18-0.88) in women who used MHT ≥ 3 years compared to women with <1 year of MHT use. The type of MHT did not change the results. CONCLUSION: Systemic MHT use might reduce the risk of pancreatic cancer.

Polypharmacy and risk of acute pancreatitis.

PURPOSE: Drug-induced pancreatitis is receiving increased medical and epidemiological attention. However, as no study has examined the role of polypharmacy per se in the development of acute pancreatitis, we examined the association between polypharmacy and risk of acute pancreatitis. METHODS: A nationwide case-control study was conducted between 2006 and 2008 of Swedish people aged 40-84 years. The Swedish Patient Register was used to identify 6161 cases of first-episode acute pancreatitis. The Swedish Register of the Total Population was used to randomly select 61 637 controls from the general population using frequency-based density sampling, matched for age, sex, and calendar year. The Swedish Prescribed Drug Register was used to assess polypharmacy, defined as the number of unique drugs prescribed during the last 6 months before the index date (i.e. the date of acute pancreatitis for cases and a random date for controls). Odds ratios (ORs), with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), of acute pancreatitis were estimated by unconditional logistic regression, adjusted for matching variables and potential confounding factors. RESULTS: The number of prescribed drugs was associated with a dose-dependent increase in the risk of acute pancreatitis. In the multivariable-adjusted model, compared to those without any prescriptions, the OR was 1.69 (95%CI: 1.55-1.86) for persons with 1-2 drugs, 2.40 (2.20-2.62) for 3-5 drugs, 3.17 (2.88-3.48) for 6-9 drugs, and 4.57 (4.12-5.06) for 10 or more drugs. CONCLUSION: This population-based case-control study shows a dose-dependent association between increasing polypharmacy and risk of acute pancreatitis. These findings provide further insights into drug-induced pancreatitis. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Exogenous estrogen and the risk of biliary tract cancer - a population-based study in a cohort of Swedish men treated for prostate cancer.

BACKGROUND: To assess the role of exogenous estrogen in the etiology of biliary tract cancer, a nationwide population-based cohort study in Sweden was performed. METHODS: The study included all men in Sweden with prostate cancer diagnosed in 1961-2008. Due to treatment standards, patients diagnosed in 1961-1980 were considered more exposed to estrogen, while those diagnosed in 1981-2008 were regarded less exposed. Standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated to estimate the risk of biliary tract cancer in cohort members compared to the corresponding Swedish male population. RESULTS: After 849 307 person-years of follow-up in 203 131 prostate cancer patients, there were 41 incident gallbladder cancers and 36 cancers of the extra-hepatic bile ducts. In overall, there were no apparent differences in the risk of gallbladder cancer or bile duct cancer between patients diagnosed in 1961-1980 and patients diagnosed in 1981-2008. However, in patients diagnosed in 1961-1980, there was a statistically non-significant increased risk of gallbladder cancer (SIR 1.34; 95% CI 0.71-2.29) and extra-hepatic bile duct cancer (SIR 1.20; 95% CI 0.55-2.28) > 5 years of follow-up after the prostate cancer diagnosis. No such association was found for patients diagnosed in 1981-2008. Sensitivity analyses excluding prostate cancer patients exposed to potential confounding factors did not change the SIRs. CONCLUSIONS: Long exposure to high doses of exogenous estrogen might increase the risk of biliary tract cancer. However, any potential excess risk of bile duct cancer resulted by prolonged exposure to high doses of exogenous estrogen seems to be small.

A prospective cohort study on the association between coffee drinking and risk of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis.

Only one previous study has examined the association between coffee consumption and risk of acute pancreatitis, and it found a reduced risk for alcohol-related episodes among high consumers of coffee. Therefore, we examined (1) the association between coffee consumption and risk of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis and (2) whether this association was modified by alcohol intake. Data were obtained from two prospective cohorts, the Cohort of Swedish Men and the Swedish Mammography Cohort, including 76 731 men and women (born 1914-1952). Coffee consumption was assessed at baseline with a FFQ, and the cohorts were followed up between 1998 and 2012 via linkage to national health registries. Hazard ratios were estimated using Cox models, with adjustment for potential confounding factors. During 1 035 881 person-years of total follow-up, 383 cases (246 in men and 137 in women) of incident non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis were identified. Overall, and irrespective of whether a categorical or a continuous exposure model was used, we observed no association between coffee consumption and risk of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis (e.g. the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio for each 1 cup/d increase in coffee consumption was 0·97; 95 % CI 0·92, 1·03). There was no evidence of effect modification by alcohol intake (P interaction=0·77). In conclusion, coffee consumption was not associated with risk of non-gallstone-related acute pancreatitis in this large prospective cohort study. Because of the limited number of epidemiological studies and their conflicting results, further research is needed to elucidate this potential association.