A Predictive Clinical-Radiomics Nomogram for Survival Prediction of Glioblastoma Using MRI.

Glioblastoma (GBM) is the most common and aggressive primary brain tumor in adult patients with a median survival of around one year. Prediction of survival outcomes in GBM patients could represent a huge step in treatment personalization. The objective of this study was to develop machine learning (ML) algorithms for survival prediction of GBM patient. We identified a radiomic signature on a training-set composed of data from the 2019 BraTS challenge (210 patients) from MRI retrieved at diagnosis. Then, using this signature along with the age of the patients for training classification models, we obtained on test-sets AUCs of 0.85, 0.74 and 0.58 (0.92, 0.88 and 0.75 on the training-sets) for survival at 9-, 12- and 15-months, respectively. This signature was then validated on an independent cohort of 116 GBM patients with confirmed disease relapse for the prediction of patients surviving less or more than the median OS of 22 months. Our model insured an AUC of 0.71 (0.65 on train). The Kaplan-Meier method showed significant OS difference between groups (log-rank p = 0.05). These results suggest that radiomic signatures may improve survival outcome predictions in GBM thus creating a solid clinical tool for tailoring therapy in this population.

Machine-Learning-Based Radiomics MRI Model for Survival Prediction of Recurrent Glioblastomas Treated with Bevacizumab.

Anti-angiogenic therapy with bevacizumab is a widely used therapeutic option for recurrent glioblastoma (GBM). Nevertheless, the therapeutic response remains highly heterogeneous among GBM patients with discordant outcomes. Recent data have shown that radiomics, an advanced recent imaging analysis method, can help to predict both prognosis and therapy in a multitude of solid tumours. The objective of this study was to identify novel biomarkers, extracted from MRI and clinical data, which could predict overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) in GBM patients treated with bevacizumab using machine-learning algorithms. In a cohort of 194 recurrent GBM patients (age range 18-80), radiomics data from pre-treatment T2 FLAIR and gadolinium-injected MRI images along with clinical features were analysed. Binary classification models for OS at 9, 12, and 15 months were evaluated. Our classification models successfully stratified the OS. The AUCs were equal to 0.78, 0.85, and 0.76 on the test sets (0.79, 0.82, and 0.87 on the training sets) for the 9-, 12-, and 15-month endpoints, respectively. Regressions yielded a C-index of 0.64 (0.74) for OS and 0.57 (0.69) for PFS. These results suggest that radiomics could assist in the elaboration of a predictive model for treatment selection in recurrent GBM patients.