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In this study, a physics-based model is developed to describe the entire flow mediated dilation (FMD) response. A parameter quantifying the arterial wall's tendency to recover arises from the model, thereby providing a more elaborate description of the artery's physical state, in concert with other parameters characterizing mechanotransduction and structural aspects of the arterial wall. The arterial diameter's behavior throughout the full response is successfully reproduced by the model. Experimental FMD response data were obtained from healthy volunteers. The model's parameters are then adjusted to yield the closest match to the observed experimental response, hence delivering the parameter values pertaining to each subject. This study establishes a foundation based on which future potential clinical applications can be introduced, where endothelial function and general cardiovascular health are inexpensively and noninvasively quantified.
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Arteria Braquial , Modelos Cardiovasculares , Vasodilatación , Humanos , Arteria Braquial/fisiología , Arteria Braquial/diagnóstico por imagen , Vasodilatación/fisiología , Masculino , Adulto , Femenino , Velocidad del Flujo Sanguíneo/fisiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: India aims to eliminate rubella and congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) by 2023. We conducted serosurveys among pregnant women to monitor the trend of rubella immunity and estimate the CRS burden in India following a nationwide measles and rubella vaccination campaign. METHODS: We surveyed pregnant women at 13 sentinel sites across India from Aug to Oct 2022 to estimate seroprevalence of rubella IgG antibodies. Using age-specific seroprevalence data from serosurveys conducted during 2017/2019 (prior to and during the vaccination campaign) and 2022 surveys (after the vaccination campaign), we developed force of infection (FOI) models and estimated incidence and burden of CRS. RESULTS: In 2022, rubella seroprevalence was 85.2% (95% CI: 84.0, 86.2). Among 10 sites which participated in both rounds of serosurveys, the seroprevalence was not different between the two periods (pooled prevalence during 2017/2019: 83.5%, 95% CI: 82.1, 84.8; prevalence during 2022: 85.1%, 95% CI: 83.8, 86.3). The estimated annual incidence of CRS during 2017/2019 in India was 218.3 (95% CI: 209.7, 226.5) per 100, 000 livebirths, resulting in 47,120 (95% CI: 45,260, 48,875) cases of CRS every year. After measles-rubella (MR) vaccination campaign, the estimated incidence of CRS declined to 5.3 (95% CI: 0, 21.2) per 100,000 livebirths, resulting in 1141 (95% CI: 0, 4,569) cases of CRS during the post MR-vaccination campaign period. CONCLUSION: The incidence of CRS in India has substantially decreased following the nationwide MR vaccination campaign. About 15% of women in childbearing age in India lack immunity to rubella and hence susceptible to rubella infection. Since there are no routine rubella vaccination opportunities for this age group under the national immunization program, it is imperative to maintain high rates of rubella vaccination among children to prevent rubella virus exposure among women of childbearing age susceptible for rubella.
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INTRODUCTION: There are no published data on the long-term impact of invasive group B Streptococcus disease (iGBS) on economic costs or health-related quality of life (HRQoL) in low-income and middle-income countries. We assessed the impact of iGBS on healthcare utilisation, costs and HRQoL in Argentina, India, Kenya, Mozambique and South Africa. METHODS: Inpatient and outpatient visits, out-of-pocket (OOP) healthcare payments in the 12 months before study enrolment, and health-state utility of children and caregivers (using the EuroQol 5-Dimensions-3-Level) were collected from iGBS survivors and an unexposed cohort matched on site, age at recruitment and sex. We used logistic or Poisson regression for analysing healthcare utilisation and zero-inflated gamma regression models for family and health system costs. For HRQoL, we used a zero-inflated beta model of disutility pooled data. RESULTS: 161 iGBS-exposed and 439 unexposed children and young adults (age 1-20) were included in the analysis. Compared with unexposed participants, iGBS was associated with increased odds of any healthcare utilisation in India (adjusted OR 11.2, 95% CI 2.9 to 43.1) and Mozambique (6.8, 95% CI 2.2 to 21.1) and more frequent healthcare visits (adjusted incidence rate ratio (IRR) for India 1.7 (95% CI 1.4 to 2.2) and for Mozambique 6.0 (95% CI 3.2 to 11.2)). iGBS was also associated with more frequent days in inpatient care in India (adjusted IRR 4.0 (95% CI 2.3 to 6.8) and Kenya 6.4 (95% CI 2.9 to 14.3)). OOP payments were higher in the iGBS cohort in India (adjusted mean: Int$682.22 (95% CI Int$364.28 to Int$1000.16) vs Int$133.95 (95% CI Int$72.83 to Int$195.06)) and Argentina (Int$244.86 (95% CI Int$47.38 to Int$442.33) vs Int$52.38 (95% CI Int$-1.39 to Int$106.1)). For all remaining sites, differences were in the same direction but not statistically significant for almost all outcomes. Health-state disutility was higher in iGBS survivors (0.08, 0.04-0.13 vs 0.06, 0.02-0.10). CONCLUSION: The iGBS health and economic burden may persist for years after acute disease. Larger studies are needed for more robust estimates to inform the cost-effectiveness of iGBS prevention.
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Países en Desarrollo , Calidad de Vida , Infecciones Estreptocócicas , Humanos , Masculino , Femenino , Niño , Mozambique , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/economía , Preescolar , Lactante , Adolescente , Kenia , Adulto Joven , India , Estudios de Cohortes , Streptococcus agalactiae , Aceptación de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Sudáfrica , Argentina , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricosRESUMEN
Background: The phenotypical profile of cardiovascular malformations in patients with congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) is varied. We aimed to describe the profile of cardiac defects among CRS patients detected in the sentinel CRS surveillance in India during 2016-22. Methods: Sentinel sites enrolled infants with suspected CRS based on presence of cardiac defects, hearing impairment, eye signs, or maternal history of febrile rash illness. Suspected CRS cases underwent detailed systemic examination, including echocardiography and serological investigation for rubella. Cardiac defects were categorized as 'Simple' or 'Complex' as per the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute classification. We compared the distribution of cardiac defects among laboratory confirmed CRS cases and seronegative discarded cases. Findings: Of the 4578 suspected CRS cases enrolled by 14 sites, 558 (12.2%) were laboratory confirmed. 419 (75.1%) laboratory confirmed cases had structural heart defects (simple defects: n = 273, 65.2%, complex defects: n = 144, 34.4%), with ventricular septal defect (42.7%), atrial septal defect (39.4%), patent ductus arteriosus (36.5%), and tetralogy of Fallot as the commonest defects (4.5%). Laboratory confirmed CRS cases had higher odds of left to right shunt lesions (OR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.15-2.17). This was mainly on account of a significant association of PDA with CRS (OR = 1.77, 95% CI: 1.42-2.21). Mortality was higher among CRS patients with complex heart defects (HR = 2.04, 95% CI: 1.26-3.30). Interpretation: Three-fourths of the laboratory confirmed CRS cases had structural heart defects. CRS patients with complex cardiac defects had higher mortality. Detecting CRS infection early and providing timely intervention for cardiovascular defects is critical for the management of CRS patients. Funding: Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Govt of India, through Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance.
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PURPOSE: Invasive group B Streptococcal disease (iGBS) is an important cause of morbidity and mortality in neonates for which the development of an efficacious vaccine remains a global health imperative. The knowledge about the serotype distribution of iGBS is important component for formulation of Capsular polysaccharide (CPS)-based vaccine. However, there were absolute lack of information on serotype distribution in invasive GBS isolates from Indian subcontinent. Methods This study has assessed the serotype distribution and antimicrobial susceptibility profile of invasive group B streptococcal isolates for a period of 13 years from 2009 to 2022 from a tertiary care Center in South India. A total of 155 iGBS isolates were subjected to serotyping by conventional multiplex PCR for identification of all ten GBS serotype. Antimicrobial susceptibility profile and demographic details were extracted from microbiological records. Results Overall, the most common serotype causing invasive GBS were Ia (29%), V (26%), III (15%), II (12%), VI (6%), VII (5%) and Ib (5%). Serotypes IV, VIII and XI were not detected. Among the early-onset iGBS, the common serotype were Ia (36%), V (27%), and III (8%). In late onset iGBS, Serotype III (44%) was predominant. The common serotype in adults were Serotype V (31%) and III (20%). All the invasive GBS isolates were susceptible for penicillin (100%), but the susceptibility for clindamycin and erythromycin were 72% and 80% respectively. Conclusion The serotype distribution of invasive Group B streptococcal isolates from India suggest that hexavalent group B CPS vaccine will cover only 90% of GBS isolates causing invasive disease among the infants in India. Continued surveillance monitoring for serotype distribution and antimicrobial resistance patterns for iGBS are warranted to make public health interventions.
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Background: In India, facility-based surveillance for congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) was initiated in 2016 to estimate the burden and monitor the progress made in rubella control. We analyzed the surveillance data for 2016-2021 from 14 sentinel sites to describe the epidemiology of CRS. Method: We analyzed the surveillance data to describe the distribution of suspected and laboratory confirmed CRS patients by time, place and person characteristics. We compared clinical signs of laboratory confirmed CRS and discarded case-patients to find independent predictors of CRS using logistic regression analysis and developed a risk prediction model. Results: During 2016-21, surveillance sites enrolled 3940 suspected CRS case-patients (Age 3.5 months, SD: 3.5). About one-fifth (n = 813, 20.6%) were enrolled during newborn examination. Of the suspected CRS patients, 493 (12.5%) had laboratory evidence of rubella infection. The proportion of laboratory confirmed CRS cases declined from 26% in 2017 to 8.7% in 2021. Laboratory confirmed patients had higher odds of having hearing impairment (Odds ratio [OR] = 9.5, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 5.6-16.2), cataract (OR = 7.8, 95% CI: 5.4-11.2), pigmentary retinopathy (OR = 6.7, 95 CI: 3.3-13.6), structural heart defect with hearing impairment (OR = 3.8, 95% CI: 1.2-12.2) and glaucoma (OR = 3.1, 95% CI: 1.2-8.1). Nomogram, along with a web version, was developed. Conclusions: Rubella continues to be a significant public health issue in India. The declining trend of test positivity among suspected CRS case-patients needs to be monitored through continued surveillance in these sentinel sites.
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Aim and Objectives: 1. To study the clinical outcome, growth and glycaemic control, 2. To study the frequency and type of genetic mutations. Methods: This is a retrospective study with a review of data of medical records from 2008 till date. Results: Twelve patients (six males) with neonatal diabetes mellitus (NDM) were identified. Median (interquartile range - (IQR)) age at diagnosis was 72 (31-95) days with a history of consanguinity in 75%. The median birth weight (range) was 2345 (900-3300) g. Follow-up data were available for eight patients with a median age at (IQR) follow-up of 3.3 (3-5.3) years. At follow-up, the mean annual HbA1c was 8.2% at a mean insulin dose of 1.1 U/kg/d. One patient with Wolcott-Rallison syndrome (WRS) and 21α-hydroxylase deficiency had poor growth and intellectual difficulty. The rest demonstrated satisfactory growth with an increase of mean weight centile from 2nd to 13th, height centile from 6.5th to 20th and normal neuro-cognitive development. Eleven patients underwent genetic testing with a molecular diagnosis in 54% (6/11): EIF2AK3 (n = 2) and one each in INS, PDX1, IL2RA and FOXP3. None had variants in ABCC8 or KCNJ11. One with immune dysregulation, polyendocrinopathy, enteropathy, X-linked (IPEX) syndrome underwent haematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) and later succumbed. Conclusion: Our study demonstrates good clinical outcomes among NDM patients without immune dysfunction. Molecular diagnosis was attained only in around half of the patients (54%) with a great genetic heterogeneity.
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Background: Data are limited regarding long-term consequences of invasive GBS (iGBS) disease in early infancy, especially from low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) where most cases occur. We aimed to estimate risk of neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) in children with a history of iGBS disease. Methods: A multi-country matched cohort study was undertaken in South Africa, India, Mozambique, Kenya, and Argentina from October 2019 to April 2021. The exposure of interest was defined as a history of iGBS disease (sepsis or meningitis) before 90 days of age, amongst children now aged 1·5-18 years. Age and sex-matched, children without history of GBS were also recruited. Age-appropriate, culturally-adapted assessments were used to define NDI across multiple domains (cognitive, motor, hearing, vision, emotional-behaviour, growth). Pooled NDI risk was meta-analysed across sites. Association of iGBS exposure and NDI outcome was estimated using modified Poisson regression with robust variance estimator. Findings: Amongst 138 iGBS survivors and 390 non-iGBS children, 38·1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 30·0% - 46·6%) of iGBS children had any NDI, compared to 21·7% (95% CI: 17·7% - 26·0%) of non- iGBS children, with notable between-site heterogeneity. Risk of moderate/severe NDI was 15·0% (95% CI: 3·4% - 30·8%) among GBS-meningitis, 5·6% (95% CI: 1·5% - 13·7%) for GBS-sepsis survivors. The adjusted risk ratio (aRR) for moderate/severe NDI among iGBS survivors was 1.27 (95% CI: 0.65, 2.45), when compared to non-GBS children. Mild impairment was more frequent in iGBS (27.6% (95% CI: 20.3 - 35.5%)) compared to non-GBS children (12.9% (95% CI: 9.7% - 16.4%)). The risk of emotional-behavioural problems was similar irrespective of iGBS exposure (aRR=0.98 (95% CI: 0.55, 1.77)). Interpretation: Our findings suggest that iGBS disease is on average associated with a higher risk of moderate/severe NDI, however substantial variation in risk was observed between sites and data are consistent with a wide range of values. Our study underlines the importance of long-term follow-up for at-risk neonates and more feasible, standardised assessments to facilitate diagnosis in research and clinical practice. Funding: This work was supported by a grant (INV-009018) from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation to the London School of Hygiene &Tropical Medicine.
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BACKGROUND: Group B streptococcus (GBS) colonisation during pregnancy can lead to invasive GBS disease (iGBS) in infants, including meningitis or sepsis, with a high mortality risk. Other outcomes include stillbirths, maternal infections, and prematurity. There are data gaps, notably regarding neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI), especially after iGBS sepsis, which have limited previous global estimates. In this study, we aimed to address this gap using newly available multicountry datasets. METHODS: We collated and meta-analysed summary data, primarily identified in a series of systematic reviews published in 2017 but also from recent studies on NDI and stillbirths, using Bayesian hierarchical models, and estimated the burden for 183 countries in 2020 regarding: maternal GBS colonisation, iGBS cases and deaths in infants younger than 3 months, children surviving iGBS affected by NDI, and maternal iGBS cases. We analysed the proportion of stillbirths with GBS and applied this to the UN-estimated stillbirth risk per country. Excess preterm births associated with maternal GBS colonisation were calculated using meta-analysis and national preterm birth rates. FINDINGS: Data from the seven systematic reviews, published in 2017, that informed the previous burden estimation (a total of 515 data points) were combined with new data (17 data points) from large multicountry studies on neurodevelopmental impairment (two studies) and stillbirths (one study). A posterior median of 19·7 million (95% posterior interval 17·9-21·9) pregnant women were estimated to have rectovaginal colonisation with GBS in 2020. 231 800 (114 100-455 000) early-onset and 162 200 (70 200-394 400) late-onset infant iGBS cases were estimated to have occurred. In an analysis assuming a higher case fatality rate in the absence of a skilled birth attendant, 91 900 (44 800-187 800) iGBS infant deaths were estimated; in an analysis without this assumption, 58 300 (26 500-125 800) infant deaths from iGBS were estimated. 37 100 children who recovered from iGBS (14 600-96 200) were predicted to develop moderate or severe NDI. 40 500 (21 500-66 200) maternal iGBS cases and 46 200 (20 300-111 300) GBS stillbirths were predicted in 2020. GBS colonisation was also estimated to be potentially associated with considerable numbers of preterm births. INTERPRETATION: Our analysis provides a comprehensive assessment of the pregnancy-related GBS burden. The Bayesian approach enabled coherent propagation of uncertainty, which is considerable, notably regarding GBS-associated preterm births. Our findings on both the acute and long-term consequences of iGBS have public health implications for understanding the value of investment in maternal GBS immunisation and other preventive strategies. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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Nacimiento Prematuro , Sepsis , Infecciones Estreptocócicas , Teorema de Bayes , Niño , Femenino , Salud Global , Humanos , Lactante , Muerte del Lactante , Recién Nacido , Embarazo , Nacimiento Prematuro/epidemiología , Mortinato/epidemiología , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/complicaciones , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/epidemiología , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/prevención & control , Streptococcus agalactiae , Revisiones Sistemáticas como AsuntoRESUMEN
In this study, mechanotransduction is investigated through a physics-based viscoelastic model describing the arterial diameter response during a brachial artery flow mediated dilation (BAFMD) test. The study is a significant extension of two earlier studies by the same group, where only the elastic response was considered. Experimental BAFMD responses were collected from 12 healthy volunteers. The arterial wall's elastic and viscous properties were treated as local variable quantities depending on the wall shear stress (WSS) sensed by mechanotransduction. The dimensionless parameters, arising from the model which serve as a quantitative assessment of the artery's physical state, were adjusted to replicate the experimental response. Among those dimensionless parameters, the viscoelastic ratio, which reflects the relative strength of the viscous response compared to its elastic counterpart, is of special relevance to this paper's main conclusion. Based on the results, it is concluded that the arterial wall's mechanical behavior is predominantly elastic, at least in the strict context of the BAFMD test. Recommendations for potential future research and applications are provided.
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Arteria Braquial , Mecanotransducción Celular , Dilatación , Humanos , Estrés Mecánico , ViscosidadRESUMEN
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Maternal antibodies are transferred to the child, predominantly IgG, via the transplacental route, and mostly IgA through breast milk. Cases reported by us and others have shown the transfer of red cell allo-antibodies through breast milk. This study was conducted to assess the presence of isohaemagglutinins in breast milk, the range of titres, and the correlation between breast milk and maternal plasma titres. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A total of 176 mothers were recruited in this study. Breast milk was collected after sufficient feeding was established and within 2-5 days of delivery in a sterile container without any anticoagulant. Antibody screen, identification and titres were performed on maternal plasma as well as breast milk. RESULTS: Anti-A and anti-B in breast milk corresponding to their respective maternal blood groups were found in all the samples. This study has shown titres in the breast milk of anti-A and anti-B ranging from 2 to 1024 in both saline and Coombs phases. There was no association between plasma and breast milk titres, thus making it impossible to predict which mother may potentially transfer a larger amount of these haemagglutinins. Isotypes of anti-A and anti-B were evaluated in both plasma and breast milk of 11 samples, which showed predominantly IgG in 7 (63.63%) and predominantly IgA in 4 (36.36%) samples. CONCLUSION: Our study demonstrates the presence of a wide range of titres for IgG antibodies of the ABO blood group system in breast milk. The clinical impact of this finding needs to be studied further, as it assumes great relevance in developing countries where anaemia continues to challenge young infants.
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Leche Humana , Madres , Niño , Femenino , Hemaglutininas , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina A , Inmunoglobulina G , LactanteRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: This study is part of a multicountry matched-cohort study designed to estimate the risk of long-term neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI) of children exposed to invasive group B Streptococcus (iGBS). The specific objective of this paper is to compare NDI across domains of iGBS survivors with a matched non iGBS group in our population. METHODS: Survivors of iGBS in a South Indian hospital were identified and recruited between January 2020 and April 2021. Cases were compared with age- and gender-matched non iGBS children. Participants were assessed using Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development-3rd edition (BSID-III), Wechsler Preschool and Primary Scale of Intelligence-4th edition (WPPSI-IV), Wechsler Intelligence Scale for Children-5th edition (WISC-V), Child Behavior Checklist (CBCL), and Bruininks-Oseretsky Test of Motor Proficiency, 2nd edition (BOT-2), depending on age. RESULTS: Our cohort comprised 35 GBS-exposed and 65 matched non iGBS children, aged 1-14 years. The iGBS-exposed group had 17 (48.6%) children with impairment in ≥1 domain compared to 25 (38%) in the non iGBS group (unadjusted OR, 1.51; 95% CI, .65-3.46), 9 (26%) children with "multi-domain impairment" compared to 10 (15.4%) in the non iGBS group (unadjusted OR, 1.90; 95% CI, .69-5.24), and 1 (2.9%) child with moderate to severe impairment compared to 3 (4.6%) in the non iGBS group (unadjusted OR, .60; 95% CI, .06-6.07). In the iGBS group, more children had motor impairments compared with the non iGBS group (unadjusted OR, 10.7; 95% CI, 1.19-95.69; Pâ =â .034). CONCLUSIONS: Children with iGBS seem at higher risk of developing motor impairments compared with a non iGBS group.
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Desarrollo Infantil , Streptococcus agalactiae , Adolescente , Niño , Preescolar , Estudios de Cohortes , Humanos , LactanteRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Pneumothorax is a medical emergency and is associated with a significant increase in morbidity and mortality in newborns. It may lead to acute respiratory failure, systemic hypoperfusion, intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH), and death. There is a paucity of data from developing countries about the epidemiology of pneumothorax. OBJECTIVE: This descriptive study was planned to study the clinical and epidemiological profile of hospitalized neonates with pneumothorax. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In this retrospactive study neonates admitted to Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU) from 1 January 2004 to 31 December 2016 were reviewed.Relevant statistical analyses were done. RESULTS: There were 144,166 live births and 189 inborn cases of pneumothorax; hence, the incidence was 1.3 per 1000 live births. Males outnumbered females by a ratio of 2:1. 50.1% of affected neonates were preterm, mean gestational age being 35.2 ± 3.9 weeks. The mean birth weight was 2238 ± 794 g. Overall median age at diagnosis was 21 h (IQR: 4-48 h), longer in preterm neonates compared to term. Hyaline membrane disease (HMD) was the most common underlying pulmonary disorder. Pneumothorax was drained in 89.2% of tension and only 16.3% of nontension pneumothoraces. Approximately 20% of the neonates were treated with needle aspiration alone and about 24% were treated conservatively. Mortality rate among neonates with pneumothorax was 21.6%. Statistically significant risk factors for mortality were very low birth weight (VLBW) (OR: 2.47, 1.31-4.68), tension pneumothorax (OR: 2.79, 1.05-7.4), and pulmonary hypoplasia (OR: 7.5, 2.8-20.2). Multiple attempts of needle drainage were needed in 2.5% of the cases. The neonates, both term and preterm, requiring drainage had longer duration of hospital stay when compared to those without requirement of drainage. CONCLUSION: We propose a trial of needle aspiration prior to ICD insertion and intubation which will prevent the complications related to intubation.
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Neumotórax , Peso al Nacer , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Unidades de Cuidado Intensivo Neonatal , Masculino , Neumotórax/epidemiología , Neumotórax/etiología , Neumotórax/terapia , Centros de Atención TerciariaRESUMEN
In this paper, we report a physics based mathematical model to describe the mechanotransduction at the luminal surface of the brachial artery during a flow-mediated dilation (FMD) process. To account for the effect of the released vasodilators in response to the sudden blood flow resurgence, a scalar property is introduced as a signal radially diffusing through the arterial wall, locally affecting its compliance. The model was evaluated on 19 in vivo responses of brachial artery FMD (BAFMD) in 12 healthy subjects. It successfully reproduces the time-dependent dilation of the brachial artery. The predicted artery's outer-to-inner radius ratio was also found to be consistent with the measurements within an acceptable margin of error. Physically meaningful dimensionless parameters quantifying the artery's physical state arose from the model, providing a description to how sensitive or responsive the artery is to the changes of wall shear stress (WSS). Future applications of this model, via incorporating inexpensive, relatively quick, and non-invasive imaging, could potentially help detect early stages of developing forms of cardiovascular diseases.
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Endotelio Vascular , Vasodilatación , Arteria Braquial , Dilatación , Mecanotransducción Celular , Estrés MecánicoRESUMEN
CONTEXT: Influenza infection in pregnancy causes 4%-8% case fatality and five times more perinatal mortality. Influenza is a major contributor to mortality in developing countries; however, the morbidity has largely been underestimated. Public health interventions for prevention are also lacking. AIMS: This study aimed to determine the seasonality of influenza in pregnant Indian women and to estimate the maternal and perinatal morbidity after treatment with oseltamivir. SETTINGS AND DESIGN: This was a prospective observational cohort study, conducted in a tertiary hospital. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: Pregnant women with ILI (influenza-like illness) were recruited into Cohort 1 (polymerase chain reaction [PCR] positive) and Cohort 2 (PCR negative). Gestational age-matched asymptomatic controls formed Cohort 3. Women in Cohort 1 received oseltamivir for 5 days. The incidence of small-for-gestational age (SGA) and preterm birth were the primary outcomes. Maternal and neonatal morbidity formed the secondary outcomes. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: Unmatched (Cohort 1 and 2) and matched analysis (Cohort 1 and 3) were done. Student's t-test and Chi-square test were used to compare between variables. RESULTS: Year-round incidence of influenza was recorded. Severe illness was more in Cohort 1 compared to Cohort 2 (36.2% vs. 6.3%; P < 0.001). SGA was comparable in all the cohorts (13%). Preterm birth (7.8% vs. 3.3%; P < 0.08; relative risk-2.75) was considerably high in Cohort 1. Secondary maternal and neonatal outcomes were similar between the groups. CONCLUSION: Influenza in pregnancy showed year-round incidence and increased maternal and neonatal morbidity despite treatment with oseltamivir. We suggest the need for newer interventions to curtail the illness in pregnancy.
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INTRODUCTION: Rubella is an important infectious, vaccine-preventable etiology of congenital defects. The aim of the study was to develop a prediction nomogram to assess the probability of an infant being at risk for congenital rubella based on demographics and ophthalmological findings. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional sentinel surveillance study conducted at 5 centers spanning pan-India and involved 1134 infants. The diagnosis of rubella was made using standard guidelines. For the construction of the prediction model, laboratory-confirmed cases were grouped as "at-risk" (AR) infants and the discarded cases into "not at risk" (NAR) infants. Univariate analysis (p value cut-off < 0.05) followed by multivariate binary logistic regression model development was performed. RESULTS: The average (median) age of the suspected CRS infants was 3 (IQR 1-6) months, and the average (mean) age of their mothers was 25.8 ± 4.1 years. Out of the total infants, 81 (7.3%) died, 975 (88%) were alive, and 55 (5.0%) were lost to follow-up. The final model showed that the odds of cataract, retinopathy, glaucoma, microcornea, and age of the infant at presentation were 3.1 (2.2-4.3), 4.9(2.3-10.4), 2.7(1.1-5.9), 2.3(1.1-4.7), and 1.1 (1-1.1), respectively, for the AR infant as compared to NAR infant. AUC of final model was 0.68 (95% CI Delong, 0.64-0.72). Bootstrapping for calibration of the model showed satisfactory results. Nomogram, along with a web version, was developed. CONCLUSION: The developed nomogram would have a wide community-based utilization and will help in prioritizing attention to high-risk children, thereby avoiding loss to follow-up.
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Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán) , Vigilancia de Guardia , Anticuerpos Antivirales , Niño , Estudios Transversales , Humanos , Lactante , Nomogramas , Probabilidad , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/diagnóstico , Rubéola (Sarampión Alemán)/epidemiologíaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Government of India is committed to eliminate measles and control rubella/congenital rubella syndrome (CRS) by 2020. In 2016, CRS surveillance was established in five sentinel sites. We analyzed surveillance data to describe the epidemiology of CRS in India. METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We used case definitions adapted from the WHO-recommended standards for CRS surveillance. Suspected patients underwent complete clinical examination including cardiovascular system, ophthalmic examination and assessment for hearing impairment. Sera were tested for presence of IgM and IgG antibodies against rubella. Of the 645 suspected CRS patients enrolled during two years, 137 (21.2%) were classified as laboratory confirmed CRS and 8 (1.2%) as congenital rubella infection. The median age of laboratory confirmed CRS infants was 3 months. Common clinical features among laboratory confirmed CRS patients included structural heart defects in 108 (78.8%), one or more eye signs (cataract, glaucoma, pigmentary retinopathy) in 82 (59.9%) and hearing impairment in 51. (38.6%) Thirty-three (24.1%) laboratory confirmed CRS patients died over a period of 2 years. Surveillance met the quality indicators in terms of adequacy of investigation, adequacy of sample collection for serological diagnosis as well as virological confirmation. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: About one fifth suspected CRS patients were laboratory confirmed, indicating significance of rubella as a persistent public health problem in India. Continued surveillance will generate data to monitor the progress made by the rubella control program in the country.
Asunto(s)
Síndrome de Rubéola Congénita/epidemiología , Adolescente , Adulto , Anticuerpos Antivirales/sangre , Femenino , Humanos , Inmunoglobulina M/sangre , India/epidemiología , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Síndrome de Rubéola Congénita/sangre , Síndrome de Rubéola Congénita/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Rubéola Congénita/mortalidad , Vigilancia de Guardia , Adulto JovenRESUMEN
Sepsis and meningitis due to invasive group B Streptococcus (iGBS) disease during early infancy is a leading cause of child mortality. Recent systematic estimates of the worldwide burden of GBS suggested that there are 319,000 cases of infant iGBS disease each year, and an estimated 147,000 stillbirths and young-infant deaths, with the highest burden occurring in Sub-Saharan Africa. The following priority data gaps were highlighted: (1) long-term outcome data after infant iGBS, including mild disability, to calculate quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) or disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and (2) economic burden for iGBS survivors and their families. Geographic data gaps were also noted with few studies from low- and middle- income countries (LMIC), where the GBS burden is estimated to be the highest. In this paper we present the protocol for a multi-country matched cohort study designed to estimate the risk of long-term neurodevelopmental impairment (NDI), socioemotional behaviors, and economic outcomes for children who survive invasive GBS disease in Argentina, India, Kenya, Mozambique, and South Africa. Children will be identified from health demographic surveillance systems, hospital records, and among participants of previous epidemiological studies. The children will be aged between 18 months to 17 years. A tablet-based custom-designed application will be used to capture data from direct assessment of the child and interviews with the main caregiver. In addition, a parallel sub-study will prospectively measure the acute costs of hospitalization due to neonatal sepsis or meningitis, irrespective of underlying etiology. In summary, these data are necessary to characterize the consequences of iGBS disease and enable the advancement of effective strategies for survivors to reach their developmental and economic potential. In particular, our study will inform the development of a full public health value proposition on maternal GBS immunization that is being coordinated by the World Health Organization.