Artificial Intelligence Model Predicts Sudden Cardiac Arrest Manifesting With Pulseless Electric Activity Versus Ventricular Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: There is no specific treatment for sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) manifesting as pulseless electric activity (PEA) and survival rates are low; unlike ventricular fibrillation (VF), which is treatable by defibrillation. Development of novel treatments requires fundamental clinical studies, but access to the true initial rhythm has been a limiting factor. METHODS: Using demographics and detailed clinical variables, we trained and tested an AI model (extreme gradient boosting) to differentiate PEA-SCA versus VF-SCA in a novel setting that provided the true initial rhythm. A subgroup of SCAs are witnessed by emergency medical services personnel, and because the response time is zero, the true SCA initial rhythm is recorded. The internal cohort consisted of 421 emergency medical services-witnessed out-of-hospital SCAs with PEA or VF as the initial rhythm in the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area. External validation was performed in 220 emergency medical services-witnessed SCAs from Ventura, CA. RESULTS: In the internal cohort, the artificial intelligence model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.68 (95% CI, 0.61-0.76). Model performance was similar in the external cohort, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.72 (95% CI, 0.59-0.84). Anemia, older age, increased weight, and dyspnea as a warning symptom were the most important features of PEA-SCA; younger age, chest pain as a warning symptom and established coronary artery disease were important features associated with VF. CONCLUSIONS: The artificial intelligence model identified novel features of PEA-SCA, differentiated from VF-SCA and was successfully replicated in an external cohort. These findings enhance the mechanistic understanding of PEA-SCA with potential implications for developing novel management strategies.

Risk Factors for Sudden Cardiac Arrest Among Hispanic or Latino Adults in Southern California: Ventura PRESTO and HCHS/SOL.

Background Out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a leading cause of mortality, making prevention of SCA a public health priority. No studies have evaluated predictors of SCA risk among Hispanic or Latino individuals in the United States. Methods and Results In this case-control study, adult SCA cases ages 18-85 (n=1,468) were ascertained in the ongoing Ventura Prediction of Sudden Death in Multi-Ethnic Communities (PRESTO) study (2015-2021) in Ventura County, California. Control subjects were selected from 3033 Hispanic or Latino participants who completed Visit 2 examinations (2014-2017) at the San Diego site of the HCHS/SOL (Hispanic Community Health Survey/Study of Latinos). We used logistic regression to evaluate the association of clinical factors with SCA. Among Hispanic or Latino SCA cases (n=295) and frequency-matched HCHS/SOL controls (n=590) (70.2% men with mean age 63.4 and 61.2 years, respectively), the following clinical variables were associated with SCA in models adjusted for age, sex, and other clinical variables: chronic kidney disease (odds ratio [OR], 7.3 [95% CI, 3.8-14.3]), heavy drinking (OR, 4.5 [95% CI, 2.3-9.0]), stroke (OR, 3.1 [95% CI, 1.2-8.0]), atrial fibrillation (OR, 3.7 [95% CI, 1.7-7.9]), coronary artery disease (OR, 2.9 [95% CI, 1.5-5.9]), heart failure (OR, 2.5 [95% CI, 1.2-5.1]), and diabetes (OR, 1.5 [95% CI, 1.0-2.3]). Conclusions In this first population-based study, to our knowledge, of SCA risk predictors among Hispanic or Latino adults, chronic kidney disease was the strongest risk factor for SCA, and established cardiovascular disease was also important. Early identification and management of chronic kidney disease may reduce SCA risk among Hispanic or Latino individuals, in addition to prevention and treatment of cardiovascular disease.

Warning symptoms associated with imminent sudden cardiac arrest: a population-based case-control study with external validation.

BACKGROUND: Sudden cardiac arrest is a global public health problem with a mortality rate of more than 90%. Prearrest warning symptoms could be harnessed using digital technology to potentially improve survival outcomes. We aimed to estimate the strength of association between symptoms and imminent sudden cardiac arrest. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study of individuals with sudden cardiac arrest and participants without sudden cardiac arrest who had similar symptoms identified from two US community-based studies of patients with sudden cardiac arrest in California state, USA (discovery population; the Ventura Prediction of Sudden Death in Multi-Ethnic Communities [PRESTO] study), and Oregon state, USA (replication population; the Oregon Sudden Unexpected Death Study [SUDS]). Participant data were obtained from emergency medical services reports for people aged 18-85 years with witnessed sudden cardiac arrest (between Feb 1, 2015, and Jan 31, 2021) and an inclusion symptom. Data were also obtained from corresponding control populations without sudden cardiac arrest who were attended by emergency medical services for similar symptoms (between Jan 1 and Dec 31, 2019). We evaluated the association of symptoms with sudden cardiac arrest in the discovery population and validated our results in the replication population by use of logistic regression models. FINDINGS: We identified 1672 individuals with sudden cardiac arrest from the PRESTO study, of whom 411 patients (mean age 65·7 [SD 12·4] years; 125 women and 286 men) were included in the analysis for the discovery population. From a total of 76 734 calls to emergency medical services, 1171 patients (mean age 61·8 [SD 17·3] years; 643 women, 514 men, and 14 participants without data for sex) were included in the control group. Patients with sudden cardiac arrest were more likely to have dyspnoea (168 [41%] of 411 vs 262 [22%] of 1171; p<0·0001), chest pain (136 [33%] vs 296 [25%]; p=0·0022), diaphoresis (50 [12%] vs 90 [8%]; p=0·0059), and seizure-like activity (43 [11%] vs 77 [7%], p=0·011). Symptom frequencies and patterns differed significantly by sex. Among men, chest pain (odds ratio [OR] 2·2, 95% CI 1·6-3·0), dyspnoea (2·2, 1·6-3·0), and diaphoresis (1·7, 1·1-2·7) were significantly associated with sudden cardiac arrest, whereas among women, only dyspnoea was significantly associated with sudden cardiac arrest (2·9, 1·9-4·3). 427 patients with sudden cardiac arrest (mean age 62·2 [SD 13·5]; 122 women and 305 men) were included in the analysis for the replication population and 1238 patients (mean age 59·3 [16·5] years; 689 women, 548 men, and one participant missing data for sex) were included in the control group. Findings were mostly consistent in the replication population; however, notable differences included that, among men, diaphoresis was not associated with sudden cardiac arrest and chest pain was associated with sudden cardiac arrest only in the sex-stratified multivariable analysis. INTERPRETATION: The prevalence of warning symptoms was sex-specific and differed significantly between patients with sudden cardiac arrest and controls. Warning symptoms hold promise for prediction of imminent sudden cardiac arrest but might need to be augmented with additional features to maximise predictive power. FUNDING: US National Heart Lung and Blood Institute.

Sudden cardiac arrest during the COVID-19 pandemic: A two-year prospective evaluation in a North American community.

BACKGROUND: Early during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, higher sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) incidence and lower survival rates were reported. However, ongoing effects on SCA during the evolving pandemic have not been evaluated. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of COVID-19 on SCA during 2 years of the pandemic. METHODS: In a prospective study of Ventura County, California (2020 population 843,843; 44.1% Hispanic), we compared SCA incidence and outcomes during the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic to the prior 4 years. RESULTS: Of 2222 out-of-hospital SCA cases identified, 907 occurred during the pandemic (March 2020 to February 2022) and 1315 occurred prepandemic (March 2016 to February 2020). Overall age-standardized annual SCA incidence increased from 39 per 100,000 (95% confidence [CI] 37-41) prepandemic to 54 per 100,000 (95% CI 50-57; P <.001) during the pandemic. Among Hispanics, incidence increased by 77%, from 38 per 100,000 (95% CI 34-43) to 68 per 100,000 (95% CI 60-76; P <.001). Among non-Hispanics, incidence increased by 26%, from 39 per 100,000 (95% CI 37-42; P <.001) to 50 per 100,000 (95% CI 46-54). SCA incidence rates closely tracked COVID-19 infection rates. During the pandemic, SCA survival was significantly reduced (15% to 10%; P <.001), and Hispanics were less likely than non-Hispanics to receive bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (45% vs 55%; P = .005) and to present with shockable rhythm (15% vs 24%; P = .003). CONCLUSION: Overall SCA rates remained consistently higher and survival outcomes consistently lower, with exaggerated effects during COVID infection peaks. This longer evaluation uncovered higher increases in SCA incidence among Hispanics, with worse resuscitation profiles. Potential ethnicity-specific barriers to acute SCA care warrant urgent evaluation and intervention.

Sudden Cardiac Arrest During Sports Activity in Older Adults.

BACKGROUND: Sports activity among older adults is rising, but there is a lack of community-based data on sports-related sudden cardiac arrest (SrSCA) in the elderly. OBJECTIVES: In this study, the authors investigated the prevalence and characteristics of SrSCA among subjects ≥65 years of age in a large U.S. METHODS: All out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrests (SCAs) were prospectively ascertained in the Portland, Oregon, USA, metro area (2002-2017), and Ventura County, California, USA (2015-2021) (catchment population ∼1.85 million). Detailed information was obtained for SCA warning symptoms, circumstances, and lifetime clinical history. Subjects with SCA during or within 1 hour of cessation of sports activity were categorized as SrSCA. RESULTS: Of 4,078 SCAs among subjects ≥65 years of age, 77 were SrSCA (1.9%; 91% men). The crude annual SrSCA incidence among age ≥65 years was 3.29/100,000 in Portland and 2.10/100,000 in Ventura. The most common associated activities were cycling, gym activity, and running. SrSCA cases had lower burden of cardiovascular risk factors (P = 0.03) as well as comorbidities (P < 0.005) compared with non-SrSCA. Based on conservative estimates of community residents ≥65 years of age who participate in sports activity, the SrSCA incidence was 28.9/100,000 sport participation years and 18.4/100,000 sport participation years in Portland and Ventura, respectively. Crude survival to hospital discharge rate was higher in SrSCA, but the difference was nonsignificant after adjustment for confounding factors. CONCLUSIONS: Among free-living community residents age ≥65 years, SrSCA is uncommon, predominantly occurs in men, and is associated with lower disease burden than non-SrSCA. These results suggest that the risk of SrSCA is low, and probably outweighed by the high benefit of exercise.

Ethnicity-Specific Effects on Cardiac Arrest During the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Two-Year Prospective Evaluation in a North American Community.

Background: Out-of-hospital sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a major public health problem with mortality >90%, and incidence has increased during the COVID-19 pandemic. Information regarding ethnicity-specific effects on SCA incidence and survival is lacking. Methods: In a prospective, population-based study of Ventura County, CA residents (2020 Pop. 843,843; 44.1% Hispanic), we compared SCA incidence and outcomes during the first two years of the COVID-19 pandemic to the prior four years, overall and by ethnicity (Hispanic vs non-Hispanic). Findings: Of 2,222 OHCA cases identified, 907 occurred during the pandemic (March 2020 - Feb 2022) and 1315 occurred pre-pandemic (March 2016 - Feb 2020). Overall age-standardized annual SCA incidence increased from 38.9/100,000 [95% CI 36.8-41.0] pre-pandemic to 53.8/100,00 [95% CI 50.3 - 57.3, p<0.001] during the pandemic. Among Hispanics, incidence increased by 77%, from 38.2/100,00 [95% CI 33.8-42.5] to 67.7/100,00 [95% CI 59.5- 75.8, p<0.001]. Among non-Hispanics, incidence increased by 26% from 39.4/100,000 [95% CI 36.9-41.9, p<0.001] to 49.8/100,00 [95% CI 45.8-53.8]. SCA incidence rates closely tracked COVID-19 infection rates. During the pandemic, SCA survival was significantly reduced (15.3% to 10.0%, p<0.001) and Hispanics were less likely than non-Hispanics to have bystander CPR (44.6% vs. 54.7%, p=0.005) and shockable rhythm (15.3% vs. 24.1%, p=0.003). Interpretation: Hispanic residents experienced higher SCA rates during the pandemic with less favorable resuscitation profiles. These findings implicate potential ethnicity-specific barriers to acute care and represent an urgent call to action at the community and health-system levels. Funding: National Heart Lung and Blood Institute Grants R01HL145675 and R01HL147358.

Survivors of Sudden Cardiac Arrest Presenting With Pulseless Electrical Activity: Clinical Substrate, Triggers, Long-Term Prognosis.

BACKGROUND: The proportion of sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) presenting as pulseless electrical activity (PEA) is rising, and survival remains low. The pathophysiology of PEA-SCA is poorly understood, and current clinical practice lacks specific options for the management of survivors. OBJECTIVES: In this study, the authors sought to investigate clinical profile, triggers, and long-term prognosis in survivors of SCA presenting with PEA. METHODS: The community-based Oregon SUDS (Sudden Unexpected Death Study) (since 2002) and Ventura PRESTO (Prediction of Sudden Death in Multi-ethnic Communities) (since 2015) studies prospectively ascertain all out-of-hospital SCAs of likely cardiac etiology. Lifetime clinical history and detailed evaluation of SCA events is available. We evaluated all SCA survivors with PEA as the presenting rhythm. RESULTS: The study population included 201 PEA-SCA survivors. Of these, 97 could be contacted for access to their clinical records. Among the latter, the mean age was 67 ± 17 years and 58 (60%) were male. After in-hospital examinations, 29 events (30%) were associated with acute myocardial infarction, and 5 (5%) had bradyarrhythmias. Among the remaining 63 patients (65%), specific triggers remained undetermined, although 31 (49%) had a previous history of heart failure. Of the 201 overall survivors, 91 (45%) were deceased after a mean follow-up of 4.2 ± 4.0 years. Survivors under the age of 40 years had an excellent long-term prognosis. CONCLUSIONS: Survivors of PEA-SCA are a heterogeneous group with high prevalence of multiple comorbidities, especially heart failure. Surprisingly good long-term survival was observed in young individuals. Acute myocardial infarction as the precipitating event was common, but triggers remained undetermined in the majority. Provision of individualized care to PEA survivors requires a renewed investigative focus on PEA-SCA.

Evaluation of Sudden Cardiac Arrest by Race/Ethnicity Among Residents of Ventura County, California, 2015-2020.

Importance: Sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) is a major public health problem. Owing to a lack of population-based studies in multiracial/multiethnic communities, little information is available regarding race/ethnicity-specific epidemiologic factors of SCA. Objective: To evaluate the association of race/ethnicity with burden, outcomes, and clinical profile of individuals experiencing SCA. Design, Setting, and Participants: A 5-year prospective, population-based cohort study of out-of-hospital SCA was conducted from February 1, 2015, to January 31, 2020, among residents of Ventura County, California (2018 population, 848 112: non-Hispanic White [White], 45.8%; Hispanic/Latino [Hispanic], 42.4%; Asian, 7.3%; and Black, 1.7% individuals). All individuals with out-of-hospital SCA of likely cardiac cause and resuscitation attempted by emergency medical services were included. Exposures: Data on circumstances and outcomes of SCA from prehospital emergency medical services records and data on demographics and pre-SCA clinical history from detailed archived medical records, death certificates, and autopsies. Main Outcomes and Measures: Annual age-adjusted SCA incidence by race and ethnicity and SCA circumstances and outcomes by ethnicity. Clinical profile (cardiovascular risk factors, comorbidity burden, and cardiac history) by ethnicity, overall, and stratified by sex. Results: A total of 1624 patients with SCA were identified (1059 [65.2%] men; mean [SD] age, 70.9 [16.1] years). Race/ethnicity data were available for 1542 (95.0%) individuals, of whom 1022 (66.3%) were White, 381 (24.7%) were Hispanic, 86 (5.6%) were Asian, 31 (2.0%) were Black, and 22 (1.4%) were other race/ethnicity. Annual age-adjusted SCA rates per 100 000 residents of Ventura County were similar in White (37.5; 95% CI, 35.2-39.9), Hispanic (37.6; 95% CI, 33.7-41.5; P = .97 vs White), and Black (48.0; 95% CI, 30.8-65.2; P = .18 vs White) individuals, and lower in the Asian population (25.5; 95% CI, 20.1-30.9; P = .006 vs White). Survival to hospital discharge following SCA was similar in the Asian (11.8%), Hispanic (13.9%), and non-Hispanic White (13.0%) (P = .69) populations. Compared with White individuals, Hispanic and Asian individuals were more likely to have hypertension (White, 614 [76.3%]; Hispanic, 239 [79.1%]; Asian, 57 [89.1%]), diabetes (White, 287 [35.7%]; Hispanic, 178 [58.9%]; Asian, 37 [57.8%]), and chronic kidney disease (White, 231 [29.0%]; Hispanic, 123 [40.7%]; Asian, 33 [51.6%]) before SCA. Hispanic individuals were also more likely than White individuals to have hyperlipidemia (White, 380 [47.2%]; Hispanic, 165 [54.6%]) and history of stroke (White, 107 [13.3%]; Hispanic, 55 [18.2%]), but less likely to have a history of atrial fibrillation (White, 251 [31.2%]; Hispanic, 59 [19.5%]). Conclusions and Relevance: The results of this study suggest that the burden of SCA was similar in Hispanic and White individuals and lower in Asian individuals. The Asian and Hispanic populations had shared SCA risk factors, which were different from those of the White population. These findings underscore the need for an improved understanding of race/ethnicity-specific differences in SCA risk.

Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Response and Outcomes During the COVID-19 Pandemic.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to evaluate the potential impact of the coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) pandemic on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) responses and outcomes in 2 U.S. communities with relatively low infection rates. BACKGROUND: Studies in areas with high COVID-19 infection rates indicate that the pandemic has had direct and indirect effects on community responses to OHCA and negative impacts on survival. Data from areas with lower infection rates are lacking. METHODS: Cases of OHCA in Multnomah County, Oregon, and Ventura County, California, with attempted resuscitation by emergency medical services (EMS) from March 1 to May 31, 2020, and from March 1 to May 31, 2019, were evaluated. RESULTS: In a comparison of 231 OHCA in 2019 to 278 in 2020, the proportion of cases receiving bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) was lower in 2020 (61% to 51%, respectively; p = 0.02), and bystander use of automated external defibrillators (AEDs) declined (5% to 1%, respectively; p = 0.02). EMS response time increased (6.6 ± 2.0 min to 7.6 ± 3.0 min, respectively; p < 0.001), and fewer OHCA cases survived to hospital discharge (14.7% to 7.9%, respectively; p = 0.02). Incidence rates did not change significantly (p > 0.07), and coronavirus infection rates were low (Multnomah County, 143/100,000; Ventura County, 127/100,000 as of May 31) compared to rates of ∼1,600 to 3,000/100,000 in the New York City region at that time. CONCLUSIONS: The community response to OHCA was altered from March to May 2020, with less bystander CPR, delays in EMS response time, and reduced survival from OHCA. These results highlight the pandemic's indirect negative impact on OHCA, even in communities with relatively low incidence of COVID-19 infection, and point to potential opportunities for countering the impact.