Identifying Early Predictive Markers for Immune-Related Adverse Events in Nivolumab-Treated Patients with Renal Cell Carcinoma and Gastric Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte (PLR) ratios can indicate poor disease prognosis and are inflammation markers. We investigated the role of NLR and PLR as effective predictive markers of immune-related adverse event (irAE) onset in patients treated with nivolumab. METHODS: We retrospectively analysed 73 gastric and renal cancer patients treated with nivolumab at the Hokkaido Cancer Centre from January 2017 to June 2020. NLR and PLR were calculated at the initiation of nivolumab treatment and irAE onset. We identified the risk factors for Grade 3-4 irAE onset using NLR, PLR, sex, cancer type, and age. Overall survival (OS) and progression free survival (PFS) were calculated from the initiation of nivolumab treatment to the date of death or censored at last follow-up. RESULTS: Among the 73 patients included, 17 (18%) had at least one grade3-4 irAE. Multivariable logistic regression analyses revealed that pretreatment NLR<4.3 was significantly associated with a reduced risk for onset of grade3-4 irAEs, whereas rate of NLR change after treatment, ΔNLR>120% was significantly associated with an increased risk. CONCLUSIONS: NLR is an effective marker for prognosis and onset of grade 3-4 irAEs.

Prognostic impact of local radiotherapy on metastatic urothelial carcinoma patients receiving systemic chemotherapy.

OBJECTIVE: To clarify the prognostic impact of local radiotherapy on metastatic urothelial carcinoma patients treated by systemic chemotherapy. METHODS: Of the 228 metastatic urothelial carcinoma patients treated with systemic chemotherapy, 97 received radiotherapy mainly to metastatic sites. In patients for whom the purpose of radiotherapy was not specified, more than 50 Gy irradiation was considered to be for disease consolidation for survival analysis, while less than 50 Gy was categorized as palliation. According to the Kaplan-Meier method, we analysed overall survival from the initiation of treatment for metastatic urothelial carcinoma until death or the last follow-up, using the log-rank test to assess the significance of differences. The Cox model was applied for prognostic factor analysis. RESULTS: Overall, there was no significant difference in survival between patients with and those without radiotherapy (P = 0.1532). When analysing the patients undergoing consolidative radiotherapy separately, these 25 patients showed significantly longer survival than the 72 patients with palliative radiotherapy (P = 0.0047), with a 3-year overall survival of 43.3%. Of the present cohort, 22 underwent metastasectomy for disease consolidation, and there was no overlapping case between the metastasectomy cohort and cohort receiving consolidative radiotherapy. After controlling for four independent prognostic factors (sex, performance status, haemoglobin level and number of organs with metastasis) in our previous study, radiotherapy for disease consolidation showed a marginal value (hazard ratio = 0.666, P = 0.0966), while metastasectomy remained significant (hazard ratio = 0.358, P = 0.0006). CONCLUSIONS: In the selected patients, long-term disease control could be achieved after consolidative radiotherapy for metastatic urothelial carcinoma disease. Our observations suggest that local ablative therapy (surgery or radiotherapy) could facilitate long-term disease control. However, the treatment decision should be individualized because of the lack of randomized control trials.