Expanding the Application of Sentinel-2 Chlorophyll Monitoring across United States Lakes.

Eutrophication of inland lakes poses various societal and ecological threats, making water quality monitoring crucial. Satellites provide a comprehensive and cost-effective supplement to traditional in situ sampling. The Sentinel-2 MultiSpectral Instrument (S2 MSI) offers unique spectral bands positioned to quantify chlorophyll a, a water-quality and trophic-state indicator, along with fine spatial resolution, enabling the monitoring of small waterbodies. In this study, two algorithms-the Maximum Chlorophyll Index (MCI) and the Normalized Difference Chlorophyll Index (NDCI)-were applied to S2 MSI data. They were calibrated and validated using in situ chlorophyll a measurements for 103 lakes across the contiguous U.S. Both algorithms were tested using top-of-atmosphere reflectances (ρ t), Rayleigh-corrected reflectances (ρ s), and remote sensing reflectances (R rs ). MCI slightly outperformed NDCI across all reflectance products. MCI using ρ t showed the best overall performance, with a mean absolute error factor of 2.08 and a mean bias factor of 1.15. Conversion of derived chlorophyll a to trophic state improved the potential for management applications, with 82% accuracy using a binary classification. We report algorithm-to-chlorophyll-a conversions that show potential for application across the U.S., demonstrating that S2 can serve as a monitoring tool for inland lakes across broad spatial scales.

Forecasting freshwater cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms for Sentinel-3 satellite resolved U.S. lakes and reservoirs.

This forecasting approach may be useful for water managers and associated public health managers to predict near-term future high-risk cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms (cyanoHAB) occurrence. Freshwater cyanoHABs may grow to excessive concentrations and cause human, animal, and environmental health concerns in lakes and reservoirs. Knowledge of the timing and location of cyanoHAB events is important for water quality management of recreational and drinking water systems. No quantitative tool exists to forecast cyanoHABs across broad geographic scales and at regular intervals. Publicly available satellite monitoring has proven effective in detecting cyanobacteria biomass near-real time within the United States. Weekly cyanobacteria abundance was quantified from the Ocean and Land Colour Instrument (OLCI) onboard the Sentinel-3 satellite as the response variable. An Integrated Nested Laplace Approximation (INLA) hierarchical Bayesian spatiotemporal model was applied to forecast World Health Organization (WHO) recreation Alert Level 1 exceedance >12 µg L-1 chlorophyll-a with cyanobacteria dominance for 2192 satellite resolved lakes in the United States across nine climate zones. The INLA model was compared against support vector classifier and random forest machine learning models; and Dense Neural Network, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), and Gneural Network (GNU) neural network models. Predictors were limited to data sources relevant to cyanobacterial growth, readily available on a weekly basis, and at the national scale for operational forecasting. Relevant predictors included water surface temperature, precipitation, and lake geomorphology. Overall, the INLA model outperformed the machine learning and neural network models with prediction accuracy of 90% with 88% sensitivity, 91% specificity, and 49% precision as demonstrated by training the model with data from 2017 through 2020 and independently assessing predictions with data from the 2021 calendar year. The probability of true positive responses was greater than false positive responses and the probability of true negative responses was less than false negative responses. This indicated the model correctly assigned lower probabilities of events when they didn't exceed the WHO Alert Level 1 threshold and assigned higher probabilities when events did exceed the threshold. The INLA model was robust to missing data and unbalanced sampling between waterbodies.

Satellite and in situ cyanobacteria monitoring: Understanding the impact of monitoring frequency on management decisions.

Cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms (cyanoHABs) in reservoirs can be transported to downstream waters via scheduled discharges. Transport dynamics are difficult to capture in traditional cyanoHAB monitoring, which can be spatially disparate and temporally discontinuous. The introduction of satellite remote sensing for cyanoHAB monitoring provides opportunities to detect where cyanoHABs occur in relation to reservoir release locations, like canal inlets. The study objectives were to assess (1) differences in reservoir cyanoHAB frequencies as determined by in situ and remotely sensed data and (2) the feasibility of using satellite imagery to identify conditions associated with release-driven cyanoHAB export. As a representative case, Lake Okeechobee and the St. Lucie Estuary (Florida, USA), which receives controlled releases from Lake Okeechobee, were examined. Both systems are impacted by cyanoHABs, and the St. Lucie Estuary experienced states of emergency for extreme cyanoHABs in 2016 and 2018. Using the European Space Agency's Sentinel-3 OLCI imagery processed with the Cyanobacteria Index (CIcyano), cyanoHAB frequencies across Lake Okeechobee from May 2016-April 2021 were compared to frequencies from in situ data. Strong agreement was observed in frequency rankings between the in situ and remotely sensed data in capturing intra-annual variability in bloom frequencies across Lake Okeechobee (Kendall's tau = 0.85, p-value = 0.0002), whereas no alignment was observed when evaluating inter-annual variation (Kendall's tau = 0, p-value = 1). Further, remotely sensed observations revealed that cyanoHABs were highly frequent near the inlet to the canal connecting Lake Okeechobee to the St. Lucie Estuary in state-of-emergency years, a pattern not evident from in situ data alone. This study demonstrates how remote sensing can complement traditional cyanoHAB monitoring to inform reservoir release decision making.

Impact of Atmospheric Correction on Classification and Quantification of Seagrass Density from WorldView-2 Imagery.

Mapping the seagrass distribution and density in the underwater landscape can improve global Blue Carbon estimates. However, atmospheric absorption and scattering introduce errors in space-based sensors' retrieval of sea surface reflectance, affecting seagrass presence, density, and above-ground carbon (AGCseagrass) estimates. This study assessed atmospheric correction's impact on mapping seagrass using WorldView-2 satellite imagery from Saint Joseph Bay, Saint George Sound, and Keaton Beach in Florida, USA. Coincident in situ measurements of water-leaving radiance (LW), optical properties, and seagrass leaf area index (LAI) were collected. Seagrass classification and the retrieval of LAI were compared after empirical line height (ELH) and dark-object subtraction (DOS) methods were used for atmospheric correction. DOS left residual brightness in the blue and green bands but had minimal impact on the seagrass classification accuracy. However, the brighter reflectance values reduced LAI retrievals by up to 50% compared to ELH-corrected images and ground-based observations. This study offers a potential correction for LAI underestimation due to incomplete atmospheric correction, enhancing the retrieval of seagrass density and above-ground Blue Carbon from WorldView-2 imagery without in situ observations for accurate atmospheric interference correction.

Perspectives on user engagement of satellite Earth observation for water quality management.

The management and governance of our surface waters is core to life and prosperity on our planet. However, monitoring data are not available to many potential users and the disparate nature of water bodies makes consistent monitoring across so many systems difficult. While satellite Earth observation (EO) offers solutions, there are numerous challenges that limit the use of satellite EO for water monitoring. To understand the perceptions of using satellite EO for water quality monitoring, a survey was conducted within academia and the water quality management sector. Study objectives were to assess community understanding of satellite EO water quality data, identify barriers in the adoption of satellite EO data, and analyse trust in satellite EO data. Most (40 %) participants were beginners with little understanding of satellite EO. Participants indicated problems with satellite EO data accessibility (31 %) and interpretability (26 %). Results showed a high level of trust with satellite EO data and higher trust with in-situ EO data. This study highlighted the gap between water science, applied social science, and policy. A transdisciplinary approach to managing water resources is needed to bridge water disciplines and take a key role in areas such as social issues, knowledge brokering, and translation.

Paths to research-driven decision making in the realms of environment and water.

Now more than ever it is critical for researchers and decision makers to work together to improve how we manage and preserve the planet's natural resources. Water managers in the western U.S., as in many regions of the world, are facing unprecedented challenges including increasing water demands and diminishing or unpredictable supplies. The transfer of knowledge (KT) and technology (TT) between researchers and entities that manage natural resources can help address these issues. However, numerous barriers impede the advancement of such transfer, particularly between organizations that do not operate in a profit-oriented context and for which best practices for university-industry collaborative engagement may not be sufficient. Frameworks designed around environmental KT - such as the recently-developed Research-Integration-Utilization (RIU) model - can be leveraged to address these barriers. Here, we examine two examples in which NASA Earth science satellite data and remote-sensing technology are used to improve the management of water availability and quality. Despite differences in scope and outcomes, both of these case studies adopt KT and TT best practices and can be further understood through the lens of the RIU model. We show how these insights could be adopted by NASA through a conceptual framework that charts individual- and organizational-level integration milestones alongside technical milestones. Environmental organizations can learn from this approach and adapt it to fit their own institutional needs, integrating KT/TT models and best practices while recognizing and leveraging existing institutional logics that suit their organization's unique history, technical capability and priorities.