A Randomized Clinical Trial of Inhaled Nitric Oxide Treatment in Premature Infants Reveals the Effect of Maternal Racial Identity on Efficacy.

Respiratory distress syndrome increases the risk of death and bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) in premature infants. Inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) may reduce these risks. Recent meta-analyses have suggested that iNO is effective only at doses higher than 5 ppm and in infants born to Black mothers. In a randomized, double-blinded, controlled trial, infants born before 32 0/7 weeks gestation, weighing <1500 g, and requiring respiratory support were assigned to receive iNO for either seven days (short iNO), or until 33 0/7 weeks PMA (long iNO). The primary outcome was death or BPD. A total of 273 patients were enrolled, of whom 83 receiving long iNO (61.5%) experienced the primary outcome, compared with 65 (47.1%) receiving short iNO (relative risk (RR) 1.37; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06-1.79; p = 0.017). This increase was due solely to increased BPD in infants weighing 750-999 g (RR 1.33, 95% CI 1.07-1.66, p = 0.009). However, there was no difference in the numbers of infants requiring supplemental oxygen at 40 weeks PMA. Among infants < 750 g, long-iNO-treated infants had a lower cumulative probability of death (χ2 5.12, p = 0.02). Long iNO increased the primary outcome in non-Black infants (RR 1.93, 95% CI 1.20-3.24) but not in Black infants. Understanding how maternal racial identity determines responses of premature infants to iNO may help narrow the gap in health outcomes between Black and non-Black infants.

Safety of High Dose Erythropoietin Used with Therapeutic Hypothermia as Treatment for Newborn Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy: Secondary Analysis of the HEAL Randomized Controlled Trial.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether high dose erythropoietin (Epo) treatment of cooled infants with neonatal hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy results in a higher risk of prespecified serious adverse events (SAEs). STUDY DESIGN: Five hundred infants born at ≥36 weeks of gestation with moderate or severe hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy undergoing therapeutic hypothermia were randomized to Epo or placebo on days 1, 2, 3, 4, and 7. Pretreatment and posttreatment SAEs were compared with adjusted generalized linear models, with posttreatment models adjusted for the presence of a pretreatment SAE. Clinical risk factors and potential mechanisms for SAEs were also examined. RESULTS: The rate of experiencing at least one posttreatment SAE did not significantly differ between groups (adjusted relative risk [aRR], 95% CI: 1.17, 0.92-1.49); however, posttreatment thrombosis was identified more often in the Epo group (n = 6, 2.3%) than the placebo group (n = 1, 0.4%; aRR, 95% CI: 5.09, 1.32-19.64). The rate of posttreatment intracranial hemorrhage identified at the treatment sites by either ultrasound or magnetic resonance imaging was slightly elevated in the Epo group (n = 61, 24%) but not significantly different from the placebo group (n = 46, 19%; aRR, 95% CI: 1.21, 0.85, 1.72). CONCLUSIONS: A small increased risk of major thrombotic events was identified in the Epo treatment group. TRIAL REGISTRATION: NCT02811263.

A High-Fidelity Model to Predict Length-of-Stay in the Neonatal Intensive Care Unit (NICU).

Having an interpretable dynamic length-of-stay (LOS) model can help hospital administrators and clinicians make better decisions and improve the quality of care. The widespread implementation of electronic medical record (EMR) systems has enabled hospitals to collect massive amounts of health data. However, how to integrate this deluge of data into healthcare operations remains unclear. We propose a framework grounded in established clinical knowledge to model patients' lengths-of-stay. In particular, we impose expert knowledge when grouping raw clinical data into medically meaningful variables, which summarize patients' health trajectories. We use dynamic predictive models to output patients' remaining lengths-of-stay (RLOS), future discharges, and census probability distributions based on their health trajectories up to the current stay. Evaluated with large-scale EMR data, the dynamic model significantly improves predictive power over the performance of any model in previous literature and remains medically interpretable.

Development and Validation of a Deep Learning Method to Predict Cerebral Palsy From Spontaneous Movements in Infants at High Risk.

Importance: Early identification of cerebral palsy (CP) is important for early intervention, yet expert-based assessments do not permit widespread use, and conventional machine learning alternatives lack validity. Objective: To develop and assess the external validity of a novel deep learning-based method to predict CP based on videos of infants' spontaneous movements at 9 to 18 weeks' corrected age. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prognostic study of a deep learning-based method to predict CP at a corrected age of 12 to 89 months involved 557 infants with a high risk of perinatal brain injury who were enrolled in previous studies conducted at 13 hospitals in Belgium, India, Norway, and the US between September 10, 2001, and October 25, 2018. Analysis was performed between February 11, 2020, and September 23, 2021. Included infants had available video recorded during the fidgety movement period from 9 to 18 weeks' corrected age, available classifications of fidgety movements ascertained by the general movement assessment (GMA) tool, and available data on CP status at 12 months' corrected age or older. A total of 418 infants (75.0%) were randomly assigned to the model development (training and internal validation) sample, and 139 (25.0%) were randomly assigned to the external validation sample (1 test set). Exposure: Video recording of spontaneous movements. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was prediction of CP. Deep learning-based prediction of CP was performed automatically from a single video. Secondary outcomes included prediction of associated functional level and CP subtype. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and accuracy were assessed. Results: Among 557 infants (310 [55.7%] male), the median (IQR) corrected age was 12 (11-13) weeks at assessment, and 84 infants (15.1%) were diagnosed with CP at a mean (SD) age of 3.4 (1.7) years. Data on race and ethnicity were not reported because previous studies (from which the infant samples were derived) used different study protocols with inconsistent collection of these data. On external validation, the deep learning-based CP prediction method had sensitivity of 71.4% (95% CI, 47.8%-88.7%), specificity of 94.1% (95% CI, 88.2%-97.6%), positive predictive value of 68.2% (95% CI, 45.1%-86.1%), and negative predictive value of 94.9% (95% CI, 89.2%-98.1%). In comparison, the GMA tool had sensitivity of 70.0% (95% CI, 45.7%-88.1%), specificity of 88.7% (95% CI, 81.5%-93.8%), positive predictive value of 51.9% (95% CI, 32.0%-71.3%), and negative predictive value of 94.4% (95% CI, 88.3%-97.9%). The deep learning method achieved higher accuracy than the conventional machine learning method (90.6% [95% CI, 84.5%-94.9%] vs 72.7% [95% CI, 64.5%-79.9%]; P < .001), but no significant improvement in accuracy was observed compared with the GMA tool (85.9%; 95% CI, 78.9%-91.3%; P = .11). The deep learning prediction model had higher sensitivity among infants with nonambulatory CP (100%; 95% CI, 63.1%-100%) vs ambulatory CP (58.3%; 95% CI, 27.7%-84.8%; P = .02) and spastic bilateral CP (92.3%; 95% CI, 64.0%-99.8%) vs spastic unilateral CP (42.9%; 95% CI, 9.9%-81.6%; P < .001). Conclusions and Relevance: In this prognostic study, a deep learning-based method for predicting CP at 9 to 18 weeks' corrected age had predictive accuracy on external validation, which suggests possible avenues for using deep learning-based software to provide objective early detection of CP in clinical settings.

Trial of Erythropoietin for Hypoxic-Ischemic Encephalopathy in Newborns.

BACKGROUND: Neonatal hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy is an important cause of death as well as long-term disability in survivors. Erythropoietin has been hypothesized to have neuroprotective effects in infants with hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy, but its effects on neurodevelopmental outcomes when given in conjunction with therapeutic hypothermia are unknown. METHODS: In a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial, we assigned 501 infants born at 36 weeks or more of gestation with moderate or severe hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy to receive erythropoietin or placebo, in conjunction with standard therapeutic hypothermia. Erythropoietin (1000 U per kilogram of body weight) or saline placebo was administered intravenously within 26 hours after birth, as well as at 2, 3, 4, and 7 days of age. The primary outcome was death or neurodevelopmental impairment at 22 to 36 months of age. Neurodevelopmental impairment was defined as cerebral palsy, a Gross Motor Function Classification System level of at least 1 (on a scale of 0 [normal] to 5 [most impaired]), or a cognitive score of less than 90 (which corresponds to 0.67 SD below the mean, with higher scores indicating better performance) on the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, third edition. RESULTS: Of 500 infants in the modified intention-to-treat analysis, 257 received erythropoietin and 243 received placebo. The incidence of death or neurodevelopmental impairment was 52.5% in the erythropoietin group and 49.5% in the placebo group (relative risk, 1.03; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.86 to 1.24; P = 0.74). The mean number of serious adverse events per child was higher in the erythropoietin group than in the placebo group (0.86 vs. 0.67; relative risk, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.01 to 1.57). CONCLUSIONS: The administration of erythropoietin to newborns undergoing therapeutic hypothermia for hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy did not result in a lower risk of death or neurodevelopmental impairment than placebo and was associated with a higher rate of serious adverse events. (Funded by the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02811263.).

Implementation of an Inhaled Nitric Oxide Weaning Protocol and Stewardship in a Level 4 NICU to Decrease Inappropriate Use.

OBJECTIVE: Inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) is an effective but expensive treatment of pulmonary hypertension in newborns, with limited data regarding weaning. Our institution implemented a multidisciplinary iNO weaning protocol and stewardship to reduce inappropriate use of iNO. The objective of this study was to evaluate our institutional iNO usage before and after implementation. METHODS: Single-center study comparing a retrospective control group to a prospective cohort after implementation of an iNO weaning protocol. All infants in the neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) who received iNO during the study timeframe were included. The primary outcome was duration of iNO per course. RESULTS: A total of 47 courses of iNO occurred during the pre-protocol timeframe compared with 37 courses in the post-protocol timeframe. Median iNO usage per course was 149 hours (IQR, 63-243) in the pre-protocol group versus 59 hours (IQR, 37-122) in the post-protocol group (p = 0.008). Length of stay was significantly longer in the pre-protocol group (p = 0.02), likely related to significantly longer ventilator days in the pre-protocol group (p = 0.02). Compliance with initiation of weaning when recommended per the protocol was 72%, and the incidence of successful weaning was 74%. CONCLUSIONS: The implementation of an iNO weaning protocol in the NICU significantly decreased iNO usage by approximately 60% with no notable negative effects.

Correlates of Normal and Abnormal General Movements in Infancy and Long-Term Neurodevelopment of Preterm Infants: Insights from Functional Connectivity Studies at Term Equivalence.

Preterm infants born before 32 weeks gestation have increased risks for neurodevelopmental impairment at two years of age. How brain function differs between preterm infants with normal or impaired development is unknown. However, abnormal spontaneous motor behavior at 12-15 weeks post-term age is associated with neurodevelopmental impairment. We imaged brain blood oxygen level-dependent signals at term-equivalent age in 62 infants born at <32 weeks gestation and explored whether resting state functional connectivity (rsFC) differed with performances on the General Movement Assessment (GMA) at 12-15 weeks, and Bayley III scores at two years of corrected age. Infants with aberrant general movements exhibited decreased rsFC between the basal ganglia and regions in parietal and frontotemporal lobes. Infants with normal Bayley III cognitive scores exhibited increased rsFC between the basal ganglia and association cortices in parietal and occipital lobes compared with cognitively impaired children. Infants with normal motor scores exhibited increased rsFC between the basal ganglia and visual cortices, compared with children with motor impairment. Thus, the presence of abnormal general movements is associated with region-specific differences in rsFC at term. The association of abnormal long-term neurodevelopmental outcomes with decreased rsFC between basal ganglia and sub-score specific cortical regions may provide biomarkers of neurodevelopmental trajectory and outcome.

Machine Learning of Infant Spontaneous Movements for the Early Prediction of Cerebral Palsy: A Multi-Site Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: Early identification of cerebral palsy (CP) during infancy will provide opportunities for early therapies and treatments. The aim of the present study was to present a novel machine-learning model, the Computer-based Infant Movement Assessment (CIMA) model, for clinically feasible early CP prediction based on infant video recordings. METHODS: The CIMA model was designed to assess the proportion (%) of CP risk-related movements using a time-frequency decomposition of the movement trajectories of the infant's body parts. The CIMA model was developed and tested on video recordings from a cohort of 377 high-risk infants at 9-15 weeks corrected age to predict CP status and motor function (ambulatory vs. non-ambulatory) at mean 3.7 years age. The performance of the model was compared with results of the general movement assessment (GMA) and neonatal imaging. RESULTS: The CIMA model had sensitivity (92.7%) and specificity (81.6%), which was comparable to observational GMA or neonatal cerebral imaging for the prediction of CP. Infants later found to have non-ambulatory CP had significantly more CP risk-related movements (median: 92.8%, p = 0.02) compared with those with ambulatory CP (median: 72.7%). CONCLUSION: The CIMA model may be a clinically feasible alternative to observational GMA.

The Predictive Accuracy of the General Movement Assessment for Cerebral Palsy: A Prospective, Observational Study of High-Risk Infants in a Clinical Follow-Up Setting.

BACKGROUND: Early prediction of cerebral palsy (CP) using the General Movement Assessment (GMA) during the fidgety movements (FM) period has been recommended as standard of care in high-risk infants. The aim of this study was to determine the accuracy of GMA, alone or in combination with neonatal imaging, in predicting cerebral palsy (CP). METHODS: Infants with increased risk of perinatal brain injury were prospectively enrolled from 2009-2014 in this multi-center, observational study. FM were classified by two certified GMA observers blinded to the clinical history. Abnormal GMA was defined as absent or sporadic FM. CP-status was determined by clinicians unaware of GMA results. RESULTS: Of 450 infants enrolled, 405 had scorable video and follow-up data until at least 18-24 months. CP was confirmed in 42 (10.4%) children at mean age 3 years 1 month. Sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, and accuracy of absent/sporadic FM for CP were 76.2, 82.4, 33.3, 96.8, and 81.7%, respectively. Only three (8.1%) of 37 infants with sporadic FM developed CP. The highest accuracy (95.3%) was achieved by a combination of absent FM and abnormal neonatal imaging. CONCLUSION: In infants with a broad range of neonatal risk factors, accuracy of early CP prediction was lower for GMA than previously reported but increased when combined with neonatal imaging. Sporadic FM did not predict CP in this study.

Neurodevelopmental Outcomes Comparing Bevacizumab to Laser for Type 1 ROP.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: To evaluate neurodevelopmental outcomes among infants treated for retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) at the authors' institution. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Before-and-after retrospective chart reviews identified 40 infants treated with laser and 46 treated with primary intravitreal bevacizumab (IVB). Primary outcomes were death, hearing loss, bilateral visual impairment (BVI), and cerebral palsy (CP); odds ratios (ORs) were calculated to determine factors associated with CP. Secondary outcomes were mean Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition (BSID-III) scores. RESULTS: Overall, there were no significant differences in primary outcome measures by treatment group. However, adjusted odds of BVI were significantly higher with laser compared to IVB (OR = 13.1; P = .038). Although IVB was not associated with CP, both hydrocephalus and BVI were strongly correlated with CP. Mean Bayley-III scores were similar when comparing nine laser-treated infants to 13 IVB-treated infants. CONCLUSIONS: Visual outcomes are an important aspect of neurodevelopment. IVB was not associated with severe developmental disabilities and may protect against vision loss in this analysis. [Ophthalmic Surg Lasers Imaging Retina. 2019;50:337-343.].

Feasibility and Outcomes Associated With the Use of 2.6-Fr Double-Lumen PICCs in Neonates.

BACKGROUND: Low birth-weight infants' survival continues to improve and there is increased need to provide secure vascular access. This study examines safety of larger peripherally inserted central catheters (PICCs) that offer greater utility. PURPOSE: To determine feasibility of 2.6-French (Fr) double-lumen PICCs in newborns and compare noninfectious complications such as thrombus formation, catheter breakage, infiltration, and accidental dislodgment and central line-associated bloodstream infection (CLABSI) rate with that of newborn infants treated with 1.9-Fr single- and double-lumen PICCs. METHODS: Infants requiring PICCs were admitted in our 69-bed level IV neonatal intensive care unit from September 2006 to May 2015. Two distinct groups were compared: the 1.9-Fr-(single-lumen [n = 105] and double-lumen [n = 27])-and 2.6-Fr double-lumen PICCs (n = 111). Data obtained included birth weight and weight at insertion, gestational age at birth and corrected gestation age at insertion, indication, catheter days, indication for removal, and complications: noninfectious and infectious. Univariate and multivariate statistical analysis evaluated data. RESULTS: There were no differences regarding gestational age at birth and insertion and indications for placement of 2.6-Fr double-lumen (n =111) and 1.9-Fr both single- and double-lumen (n = 132) PICCs. The same was noted between the groups' complications. Noninfectious complications were more common in PICCs with peripheral tip location in all groups. IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE: Consider use of 2.6-Fr PICCs in a neonatal intensive care unit when the utility of blood administration and sampling is required. IMPLICATIONS FOR RESEARCH: Examine line migration and CLABSI associated with sampling and blood administration.

Cognitive Development and Quality of Life Associated With BPD in 10-Year-Olds Born Preterm.

OBJECTIVES: To compare neurocognitive, language, executive function, academic achievement, neurologic and behavioral outcomes, and quality of life at age 10 years in children born extremely preterm who developed bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) to children who did not develop BPD. METHODS: The Extremely Low Gestational Age Newborns study population included 863 children born extremely preterm whose BPD status before discharge was known had an IQ (Differential Ability Scales II [DAS II]) assessment at 10 years. We evaluated the association of BPD with any cognitive (DAS II), executive function (NEuroPSYchological Assessment II), academic achievement (Wechsler Individual Achievement Test-III and Oral and Written Language Scales [OWLS]) as well as social dysfunctions (Social Responsiveness Scale). We used logistic regression models, adjusting for potential confounding factors, to assess the strength of association between the severity of BPD and each outcomes. RESULTS: Three hundred and seventy-two (43%) children were oxygen-dependent at 36 weeks postconception age, whereas an additional 78 (9%) were also oxygen- and ventilator-dependent. IQ scores 2 or more SDs below the expected mean (ie, z scores ≤-2) occurred twice as commonly among children who had BPD as among those who did not. Children with severe BPD consistently had the lowest scores on DAS II, OWLS, Wechsler Individual Achievement Test-III, NEuroPSYchological Assessment II, and Social Responsiveness Scale assessments. CONCLUSIONS: Among 10-year-old children born extremely preterm, those who had BPD were at increased risk of cognitive, language, and executive dysfunctions; academic achievement limitations; social skill deficits; and low scores on assessments of health-related quality of life.

The Test of Infant Motor Performance at 3 months predicts language, cognitive, and motor outcomes in infants born preterm at 2 years of age.

AIM: To determine the relationship between the Test of Infant Motor Performance (TIMP) at 3 months and cognitive, language, and motor outcomes on the Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition (Bayley-III) at 2 years of age in high-risk infants born preterm. METHOD: One hundred and six infants (47 females, 59 males) born at earlier than 31 weeks gestational age were prospectively tested with the TIMP at 10 to 15 weeks after term age and were assessed again with the Bayley-III at 2 years corrected age. Sensitivity and specificity were calculated for various cut points of the TIMP z-score and Bayley-III composite scores of no more than 85. RESULTS: The TIMP z-scores at 10 to 15 weeks of age were significantly associated with all three subscales on the Bayley-III at 2 years of age (p<0.001). Using a TIMP z-score cutoff of -0.5, specificity was relatively high for cognitive (87%), language (88%), and motor (89%) outcomes, but sensitivity was low (cognitive 41%, language 49%, motor 57%). INTERPRETATION: This study demonstrates that the TIMP is related to cognitive, language, and motor outcomes on the Bayley-III at 2 years of age in high-risk infants born preterm. WHAT THIS PAPER ADDS: The Test of Infant Motor Performance (TIMP) predicts Bayley Scales of Infant and Toddler Development, Third Edition outcomes at 2 years of age. The TIMP is relatively good at discriminating between children who will and will not have typical development.

Efficacy of inhaled nitric oxide in neonates with hypoxic respiratory failure and pulmonary hypertension: the Japanese experience.

OBJECTIVE: To analyze data from a registry of Japanese neonates with hypoxic respiratory failure associated with pulmonary hypertension (PH) to compare the effectiveness of inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) in neonates born <34 weeks vs. ≥34 weeks gestational age (GA). MATERIALS AND METHODS: iNO was administered according to approved Japanese product labeling. Study data were collected before iNO administration and at predefined intervals until discontinuation. RESULTS: A total of 1,114 neonates were included (n=431, <34 weeks GA; n=675, ≥34 weeks GA; n=8, missing age data). Mean decrease from baseline oxygenation index (OI) was similar in both age groups. OI reduction was more pronounced in the <34 weeks subgroups with baseline OI ≥25. Survival rates were similar in the <34 weeks GA and ≥34 weeks GA groups stratified by baseline OI (OI<15, 89% vs. 93%; 15≤OI<25, 85% vs. 91%; 25≤OI≤40, 73% vs. 79%; OI>40, 64% vs. 66%). CONCLUSION: iNO improved oxygenation in preterm neonates as effectively as in late preterm and term neonates, without negative impact on survival. If clinically significant PH is present, as measured by pulse oximetry or echocardiography, a therapeutic trial of iNO might be indicated for preterm neonates.

Race Effects of Inhaled Nitric Oxide in Preterm Infants: An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether inhaled nitric oxide (iNO) improves survival without bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) for preterm African American infants. STUDY DESIGN: An individual participant data meta-analysis was conducted, including 3 randomized, placebo-controlled trials that enrolled infants born at <34 weeks of gestation receiving respiratory support, had at least 15% (or a minimum of 10 infants in each trial arm) of African American race, and used a starting iNO of >5 parts per million with the intention to treat for 7 days minimum. The primary outcome was a composite of death or BPD. Secondary outcomes included death before discharge, postnatal steroid use, gross pulmonary air leak, pulmonary hemorrhage, measures of respiratory support, and duration of hospital stay. RESULTS: Compared with other races, African American infants had a significant reduction in the composite outcome of death or BPD with iNO treatment: 49% treated vs 63% controls (relative risk, 0.77; 95% CI, 0.65-0.91; P = .003; interaction P = .016). There were no differences between racial groups for death. There was also a significant difference between races (interaction P = .023) of iNO treatment for BPD in survivors, with the greatest effect in African American infants (P = .005). There was no difference between racial groups in the use of postnatal steroids, pulmonary air leak, pulmonary hemorrhage, or other measures of respiratory support. CONCLUSION: iNO therapy should be considered for preterm African American infants at high risk for BPD. iNO to prevent BPD in African Americans may represent an example of a racially customized therapy for infants.

Relationship between white matter pathology and performance on the General Movement Assessment and the Test of Infant Motor Performance in very preterm infants.

BACKGROUND: Cerebral Magnetic Resonance Imaging, the General Movement Assessment, and the Test of Infant Motor Performance are all tools that can predict neurodevelopmental outcome in preterm infants. However, how these tests relate to each other is unclear. AIMS: To examine the relationship between cerebral Magnetic Resonance Imaging measured at term age, and the General Movement Assessment and Test of Infant Motor Performance measured at 10-15 weeks post-term age. STUDY DESIGN: Prospectively collected data in a sample of very preterm infants. SUBJECTS: Fifty-three infants (23 female, 30 male) with a median gestational age of 28 weeks (range: 23-30 weeks) and a median birth weight of 1000 g (range: 515-1465 g). OUTCOME MEASURES: Test of Infant Motor Performance, General Movement Assessment. RESULTS: Infants with abnormal white matter were significantly more likely to have both abnormal general movements (p=0.01) and abnormal Test of Infant Motor Performance scores (p=0.001). Infants with abnormal general movements were significantly more likely to have lower Test of Infant Motor Performance Scores (p=0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Abnormal white matter is related to motor deviations as measured by the General Movement Assessment and the Test of Infant Motor Performance as early as 3 months post-term age in a cohort of preterm infants.

Early blood gas predictors of bronchopulmonary dysplasia in extremely low gestational age newborns.

Aim. To determine among infants born before the 28th week of gestation to what extent blood gas abnormalities during the first three postnatal days provide information about the risk of bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD). Methods. We studied the association of extreme quartiles of blood gas measurements (hypoxemia, hyperoxemia, hypocapnea, and hypercapnea) in the first three postnatal days, with bronchopulmonary dysplasia, among 906 newborns, using multivariable models adjusting for potential confounders. We approximated NIH criteria by classifying severity of BPD on the basis of the receipt of any O2 on postnatal day 28 and at 36 weeks PMA and assisted ventilation. Results. In models that did not adjust for ventilation, hypoxemia was associated with increased risk of severe BPD and very severe BPD, while infants who had hypercapnea were at increased risk of very severe BPD only. In contrast, infants who had hypocapnea were at reduced risk of severe BPD. Including ventilation for 14 or more days eliminated the associations with hypoxemia and with hypercapnea and made the decreased risk of very severe BPD statistically significant. Conclusions. Among ELGANs, recurrent/persistent blood gas abnormalities in the first three postnatal days convey information about the risk of severe and very severe BPD.

Clinical prediction models for bronchopulmonary dysplasia: a systematic review and external validation study.

BACKGROUND: Bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) is a common complication of preterm birth. Very different models using clinical parameters at an early postnatal age to predict BPD have been developed with little extensive quantitative validation. The objective of this study is to review and validate clinical prediction models for BPD. METHODS: We searched the main electronic databases and abstracts from annual meetings. The STROBE instrument was used to assess the methodological quality. External validation of the retrieved models was performed using an individual patient dataset of 3229 patients at risk for BPD. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to assess discrimination for each model by calculating the area under the curve (AUC). Calibration was assessed for the best discriminating models by visually comparing predicted and observed BPD probabilities. RESULTS: We identified 26 clinical prediction models for BPD. Although the STROBE instrument judged the quality from moderate to excellent, only four models utilised external validation and none presented calibration of the predictive value. For 19 prediction models with variables matched to our dataset, the AUCs ranged from 0.50 to 0.76 for the outcome BPD. Only two of the five best discriminating models showed good calibration. CONCLUSIONS: External validation demonstrates that, except for two promising models, most existing clinical prediction models are poor to moderate predictors for BPD. To improve the predictive accuracy and identify preterm infants for future intervention studies aiming to reduce the risk of BPD, additional variables are required. Subsequently, that model should be externally validated using a proper impact analysis before its clinical implementation.