Modelling the lymphatic metastatic progression pathways of OPSCC from multi-institutional datasets.

The elective clinical target volume (CTV-N) in oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC) is currently based mostly on the prevalence of lymph node metastases in different lymph node levels (LNLs) for a given primary tumor location. We present a probabilistic model for ipsilateral lymphatic spread that can quantify the microscopic nodal involvement risk based on an individual patient's T-category and clinical involvement of LNLs at diagnosis. We extend a previously published hidden Markov model (HMM), which models the LNLs (I, II, III, IV, V, and VII) as hidden binary random variables (RVs). Each represents a patient's true state of lymphatic involvement. Clinical involvement at diagnosis represents the observed binary RVs linked to the true state via sensitivity and specificity. The primary tumor and the hidden RVs are connected in a graph. Each edge represents the conditional probability of metastatic spread per abstract time-step, given disease at the edge's starting node. To learn these probabilities, we draw Markov chain Monte Carlo samples from the likelihood of a dataset (686 OPSCC patients) from three institutions. We compute the model evidence using thermodynamic integration for different graphs to determine which describes the data best.The graph maximizing the model evidence connects the tumor to each LNL and the LNLs I through V in order. It predicts the risk of occult disease in level IV is below 5% if level III is clinically negative, and that the risk of occult disease in level V is below 5% except for advanced T-category (T3 and T4) patients with clinical involvement of levels II, III, and IV. The provided statistical model of nodal involvement in OPSCC patients trained on multi-institutional data may guide the design of clinical trials on volume-deescalated treatment of OPSCC and contribute to more personal guidelines on elective nodal treatment.

Association of Multiprofessional Preoperative Assessment and Information for Patients With Head and Neck Cancer With Postoperative Outcomes.

IMPORTANCE: Multidisciplinary perioperative assessment for patients undergoing complex oncologic head and neck cancer (HNC) surgery is widely implemented. However, to our knowledge, the association of multiprofessional preoperative assessment, information, and briefing with postoperative outcomes has not been evaluated. OBJECTIVE: To compare postoperative complications, length of hospital stay (LOS), readmissions, mortality, and costs per case among patients undergoing complex oncologic HNC surgery before and after the implementation of a comprehensive preoperative multiprofessional assessment and information day (MUPAID). DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This retrospective, single-center case-control study was conducted at a tertiary referral head and neck anticancer center/university cancer institute and compared patients with HNC who were undergoing complex oncological surgeries between January 2012 and July 2018 before (control group) and after (intervention group) implementation of the institutional MUPAID. Data analysis was conducted between 2019 and 2020. The intervention group comprised patients who participated in the MUPAID beginning in February 2015. These patients were assessed by a multiprofessional team and provided with structured and comprehensive information on the surgical procedure and its functional, social, financial, and psychological effects, as well as the postoperative care, rehabilitation, and follow-up period. Patients in the control group had also undergone complex oncologic HNC surgery and were selected through surgical procedure codes. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: The end points were postoperative rate and severity of complications, LOS, readmissions, mortality, and costs per case. RESULTS: The study included 161 patients, 81 in the intervention (25 women [30.9%]) and 80 in the control group (18 women [22.5%]). The groups showed no relevant differences in sociodemographic, disease, and procedural characteristics. The intervention cohort presented with fewer major local and systemic complications (Clavien-Dindo score, III-V: 34.6% vs 52.5%; difference proportion, -0.179; 95% CI, -0.33 to -0.03), shorter median LOS (12 days [IQR, 10-16 days] vs 16 days [IQR, 11-20] days; effect size, 0.482; 95% CI Cohen d, 0.152-0.812) and decreased median charge per case ($50 848 [IQR, $42 510-$63 479] vs $69 602 [IQR, $45 631-$96 280]; effect size, 0.534; 95% CI Cohen d, 0.22-0.85). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The results of this case-control study suggest that MUPAID for patients who are undergoing complex oncologic HNC surgery is associated with shortened LOS and costs per case as well as decreased complications severity. These results are promising on a patient level in the potential to minimize individual treatment burden, as well as on an institutional and health care system level in the potential significant optimization of surgical outcomes and financial aspects.