Postdischarge Survival After Sepsis: A Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: After hospital discharge, patients who had sepsis have increased mortality. We sought to estimate factors associated with postdischarge mortality and how they vary with time after discharge. METHODS: This was a retrospective study of hospital survivors of sepsis using time-varying Cox proportional hazard models, which produce a baseline hazard ratio (HR) and a second number (δHR) that reflects the amount by which the baseline HR changes with time. RESULTS: Of the 32,244 patients who survived sepsis at hospital discharge, 13,565 patients (42%) died (mean ± standard deviation: 1.41 ± 1.87 years) after discharge from the index hospitalization, while 18,679 patients were still alive at follow-up (4.98 ± 2.86 years). The mortality rate decreased with time after discharge: approximately 8.7% of patients died during the first month after discharge, 1.1% of patients died during the 12th month after discharge, and 0.3%% died during the 60th month; after Kaplan-Meier analysis, survival was 91% (95% confidence interval [CI], 91%-92%) at 1 month, 76% (95% CI, 76%-77%) at 1 year, 57% (95% CI, 56%-58%) at 5 years, and 48% (95% CI, 47%-48%) at 10 years after discharge. Organ dysfunction at discharge was associated with worse survival. In particular, elevated urea nitrogen at discharge (HR, 1.10 per 10 mg/dL, 95% CI, 1.08-1.12, P < .001) was associated with increased mortality, but the HR decreased with time from discharge (δHR, 0.98 per 10 mg/dL per year, 95% CI, 0.98-0.99, P < .001). Higher hemoglobin levels were associated with lower mortality (HR, 0.92 per g/dL, 95% CI, 0.91-0.93, P < .001), but this association increased with increasing time after discharge (δHR, 1.02 per g/dL per year, 95% CI, 1.01-1.02, P < .001). Older age was associated with an increased risk of mortality (HR, 1.29 per decade of age, 95% CI, 1.27-1.31, P < .001) that grew with increasing time after discharge (δHR, 1.01 per year of follow-up per decade of age, 95% CI, 1.00-1.02, P < .001). Compared to private insurances Medicaid as primary insurance was associated with an increased risk of mortality (HR, 1.17, 95% CI, 1.10-1.25, P < .001) that did not change with time after discharge. In contrast, Medicare status was initially associated with a similar risk of mortality as private insurance at discharge (HR, 1), but was associated with greater risk as time after discharge increased (δHR, 1.04 per year of follow-up, 95% CI, 1.03-1.05, P < .001). CONCLUSIONS: Acute physiologic derangements and organ dysfunction were associated with postdischarge mortality with the associations decreasing over time.

Practice makes perfect? Institutional coronary artery bypass case volumes and outcomes.

OBJECTIVES: Older studies of coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) institutional case volumes and outcomes reported conflicting results. We explored this association in the rapidly changing contemporary practice of American surgeons using the Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Adult Cardiac Surgery Database. METHODS: The 2018-2019 isolated primary CABG experience in the STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database was analysed (241 902 patients; 1014 hospitals; 2718 surgeons). Generalized Estimating Equations were used to estimate coefficients between CABG institutional case volumes and outcomes. The observed-to-expected ratios based on STS risk models were used to assess risk-adjusted operative mortality (OM), mortality/major morbidity (MM) and deep sternal wound infections (DSWI) as a function of institutional case volumes. RESULTS: The mean (standard deviation) OM, MM and DSWI rates were 2.1% (2.7), 11.1% (9.2) and 0.6% (0.5), respectively. The mean (standard deviation) institutional case volumes per study period was 239 (192); 23% and 9% of institutions performed <100 and >500 cases/study period, respectively. There was a weak negative correlation between expected mortality (R2 -0.0014), OM (R2 -0.0272), MM (R2 -0.1213) and DSWI (R2 -0.003) and institutional case volumes. CONCLUSIONS: CABG outcomes generally improve with increasing institutional case volumes. Given the large number of CABG cases performed nationally, even the documented weak correlation has the potential to appreciably decrease OM, MM and DSWI if cases are performed at higher volume institutions. Studies focusing on additional hospital and surgeon factors are warranted to further define quality improvement opportunities.

Expert systematic review on the choice of conduits for coronary artery bypass grafting: endorsed by the European Association for Cardio-Thoracic Surgery (EACTS) and The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS).

PREAMBLE: The finalized document was endorsed by the EACTS Council and STS Executive Committee before being simultaneously published in the European Journal of Cardio-thoracic Surgery (EJCTS) and The Annals of Thoracic Surgery (The Annals) and the Journal of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery (JTCVS).

Long-term Outcomes and Anticoagulation in Mitral Valve Surgery-A Report From The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Database.

BACKGROUND: Anticoagulation after bioprosthetic mitral valve (MV) replacement (BMVR) and repair (MVrep) is controversial. We explore outcomes among BMVR and MVrep patients in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database based on discharge anticoagulation status. METHODS: BMVR and MVrep patients aged ≥65 years in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database were linked to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services claims database. Long-term mortality, ischemic stroke, bleeding, and a composite of the primary end points were compared as a function of anticoagulation. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: A total of 26,199 BMVR and MVrep patients were linked to the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services database; of these, 44%, 4%, and 52% were discharged on warfarin, non-vitamin K-dependent anticoagulant (NOAC), and no anticoagulation (no-AC; reference), respectively. Warfarin was associated with increased bleeding in the overall study cohort (HR, 1.38; 95% CI 1.26-1.52) and in the BMVR (HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.13-1.55) and MVrep subcohorts (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.26-1.60). Warfarin was associated with decreased mortality only among BMVR patients (HR, 0.87; 95% CI, 0.79-0.96). Stroke and the composite outcome did not differ across cohorts with warfarin. NOAC use was associated with increased mortality (HR, 1.33; 95% CI 1.11-1.59), bleeding (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.07-1.74), and the composite outcome (HR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.08-1.47). CONCLUSIONS: Anticoagulation was used in fewer than half of mitral valve operations. In MVrep patients, warfarin was associated with increased bleeding and was not protective against stroke or mortality. In BMVR patients, warfarin was associated with a modest survival benefit, increased bleeding, and equivalent stroke risk. NOAC was associated with increased adverse outcomes.

Multiarterial Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Practice Patterns in the United States: Analysis of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to elucidate current national multiarterial coronary bypass grafting practice patterns and assess perioperative outcomes. METHODS: Isolated primary nonemergent/nonsalvage coronary artery bypass grafting patients with at least 1 internal thoracic artery and 2 or more grafts in The Society of Thoracic Surgery Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (2018-2019) were divided into 3 cohorts: single-arterial, bilateral internal thoracic artery (BITA), and radial artery multiarterial grafting. Observed-to-expected ratios based on 2017 Society of Thoracic Surgery risk models were derived for 30-day perioperative mortality, composite major morbidity and mortality, and deep sternal wound infections for each grafting group overall and as a function of institutional multiarterial case volumes per study period: low (<10), intermediate (11-30), and high (>30). RESULTS: A total of 281,515 patients (BITA, 15,663 [5.6%]; radial, 23,905 [8.5%]) at 1013 centers showed distinct geographic grafting patterns: BITA and radial multiarterial grafting rates were lowest in the South (4% and 6%, respectively) and highest in the Northeast (9% and 11%, respectively). The median institutional number of BITA and radial cases per study period was 4 and 7, with only 14% and 21% of institutions performing >30 BITA and radial multiarterial cases per study period, respectively. The observed-to-expected mortality for single-arterial bypass grafting was similar to multiarterial: single-arterial, 1.00 (95% CI, 0.98-1.03); BITA, 0.98 (95% CI, 0.84-1.13; P = .711); and radial, 0.96 (95% CI, 0.86-1.07; P = .818). Observed-to-expected mortality and composite major morbidity and mortality were lower at high vs low multiarterial case-volume centers: 0.91 (95% CI, 0.75-1.08) vs 1.30 (95% CI, 0.89-1.79; P = .048) and 1.06 (95% CI, 0.99-1.13) vs 1.51 (95% CI, 1.32-1.71; P < .001), respectively, for BITA, and 0.82 (95% CI, 0.87-1.30) vs 1.67 (95% CI, 1.21-2.21; P < .001) and 0.91 (95% CI, 0.93-1.08) vs 1.42 (95% CI, 1.24-1.61; P < .001), respectively, for radial. CONCLUSIONS: Multiarterial bypass grafting remains underused and limited to select centers. Worse outcomes at low-volume BITA and radial institutions document a case-volume outcomes effect. Additional studies are warranted to improve multiarterial outcomes at low-volume institutions.

Incidence and Impact of a Single-Unit Red Blood Cell Transfusion: Analysis of The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Database 2010-2019.

BACKGROUND: As the adverse effects of blood transfusions are better understood, recommendations support single-unit red blood cell (RBC) transfusions (SRBCT). However, an isolated SRBCT across the entire index admission suggests even the single unit may be avoidable. We sought to identify the characteristics of cardiac surgery patients receiving an isolated SRBCT and analyze the impact on outcomes. METHODS: The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database was queried for the period between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2019. Patients aged >18 years undergoing isolated coronary artery bypass grafting or isolated aortic valve replacement were included. A total of 2,151,430 encounters were analyzed. RESULTS: Of the 847,442 patients (39.3%) receiving any RBC transfusion during their index admission, 206,555 (24.4%) received only 1 unit. Propensity-matching analysis determined SRBCT patients were significantly older (67.26 vs 64.02 years; odds ratio [OR], 1.02; P < .001), female (39.1% vs 17.8%; OR, 1.57; P < .001), non-White (18.2% vs 13.1%; OR, 0.81; P < .001), and had a smaller body surface area (1.94 vs 2.07 m2; OR, 0.20; P < .001). They also had higher mortality (1.4% vs 1.0%, P < .001), stroke (1.7% vs 1.2%, P < .001), prolonged ventilation (6.4% vs 3.4%, P < .001), renal failure (1.8% vs 0.9%, P < .001), and reoperations (1.3% vs. 0.5%, P < .001) than patients who received 0 RBCs. CONCLUSIONS: SRBCT is a common occurrence in adult cardiac surgery. This low-volume transfusion is strongly associated with higher morbidity, even after controlling for preoperative risk factors.

Perioperative Anemia and Transfusions and Late Mortality in Coronary Artery Bypass Patients.

BACKGROUND: Perioperative anemia and transfusions are associated with adverse operative outcomes after coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). Their individual association with long-term outcomes is unclear. METHODS: Patients aged 65 years and older who had undergone CABG and were in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Adult Cardiac Surgery Database (n = 504,596) from 2011 to 2018 were linked to Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Service data to assess long-term survival. The association of intraoperative anemia defined by intraoperative nadir hematocrit (nHct) and red blood cell (RBC) transfusions, and their interactions, on long-term mortality were assessed with Kaplan-Meier estimates and multivariable Cox regression. Restricted cubic splines were used to explore the association between nHct as a continuous variable and long-term mortality. RESULTS: 258,398 on-pump CABG STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database patients surviving the perioperative period were linked to Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Service claims files. Per World Health Organization criteria, 41% had preoperative anemia. Mean intraoperative nHct was 24%; RBC transfusion rate was 43.7%. Univariable analysis associated both RBC transfusion and lower nHct with worse survival. Lower nHct was only marginally associated with risk-adjusted mortality: adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 1.04 (95% CI, 1.01-1.06) and 1.07 (95% CI, 1.00-1.14) at nHct 20% and at nHct 14%, respectively. RBC transfusion was associated with significantly higher adjusted mortality irrespective of timing of transfusion: AHR intraoperative 1.21 (95% CI, 1.18-1.27); AHR postoperative 1.26 (95% CI, 1.22-1.30); AHR both 1.46 (95% CI, 1.40-1.52) and across all levels of nHct. RBC transfusion was not associated with improved survival at any level of nHct. CONCLUSIONS: Among Medicare CABG patients, RBC transfusions were associated with increased risk-adjusted late mortality across all levels of nHct whereas intraoperative anemia was only marginally so. Tolerance of lower intraoperative nHct than currently accepted may be preferable to transfusions.

STS Adult Cardiac Surgery Database: 2021 Update on Outcomes, Quality, and Research.

The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database is the most mature and comprehensive cardiac surgery database. It has been the foundation for quality measurement and improvement activities in cardiac surgery, facilitated the generation of accurate risk adjusted performance benchmarks and serves as a platform for novel research. Recent enhancements have added to the database's functionality, ease of use, and value to multiple stakeholders. This report is the sixth in a series of annual reports that provide updated volumes, outcomes, database-related developments, quality improvement initiatives, and research summaries using the Adult Cardiac Surgery Database in the past year.

Right Ventricular Dysfunction and Short-Term Outcomes Following Left-Sided Valvular Surgery: An Echocardiographic Study.

Background The prognostic value of echocardiographic evaluation of right ventricular (RV) function in patients undergoing left-sided valvular surgery has not been well described. The objective of this study is to determine the role of broad echocardiographic assessment of RV function in predicting short-term outcomes after valvular surgery. Methods and Results Preoperative echocardiographic data, perioperative adverse outcomes, and 30-day mortality were analyzed in patients who underwent left-sided valvular surgery from 2006 to 2014. Echocardiographic parameters used to evaluate RV function include RV fractional area change, tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, systolic movement of the RV lateral wall using tissue Doppler imaging (S'), RV myocardial performance index, and RV dP/dt. Subjects with at least 3 abnormal parameters out of the 5 aforementioned indices were defined as having significant RV dysfunction. The study included 269 patients with valvular surgery (average age: 67±15, 60.6% male, 148 aortic, and 121 mitral). RV dysfunction was found in 53 (19.7%) patients; 30-day mortality occurred in 20 patients (7.5%). Compared with normal RV function, patients with RV dysfunction had higher 30-day mortality (22.6% versus 3.8%; P=0.01) and were at risk for developing multisystem failure/shock (13.2% versus 3.2%; P=0.01). Multivariate analyses showed that preexisting RV dysfunction was the strongest predictor of increased 30-day mortality (odds ratio: 3.5; 95% CI, 1.1-11.1; P<0.05). Conclusions Preoperative RV dysfunction identified by comprehensive echocardiographic assessment is a strong predictor of adverse outcomes following left-sided valvular surgery.

Association of Both High and Low Left Ventricular Ejection Fraction With Increased Risk After Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting.

BACKGROUND: While reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is a known risk factor for complications after coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), the relevance of higher LVEF values has not been established. Currently, most risk stratification tools consider LVEF values above a certain point as normal. However, since this does not account for insufficient ventricular filling or increased adrenergic tone, higher values may have clinical significance. To improve our understanding of this situation, we investigated the relationship of preoperative LVEF values with short- and long-term outcomes after CABG using a strategy that allowed for the identification of nonlinear relationships. We hypothesised that both higher and lower values are independently associated with increased postoperative complications and death in this population. METHODS: We performed a single-centre retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing isolated CABG surgery. All patients had a preoperative measurement of their LVEF. Surgery involving mitral valve repair was excluded in order to eliminate the impact of mitral regurgitation. The primary outcome was long-term mortality; secondary outcomes included atrial fibrillation, operative mortality, and a composite outcome including any postoperative adverse event. Fractional polynomial equations were used to model the relationship between LVEF and outcomes so we could account for nonlinear relationships if present. Adjustments for confounders were made using multivariable logistic regression and Cox models. RESULTS: A total of 7,932 subjects were included in the study. After adjusting for patient and surgical characteristics, LVEF remained associated with the primary outcome as well as the composite outcome of any postoperative adverse event. Both these relationships were best described by a J-shaped curve given that higher LVEF values were associated with increased risk, albeit not as high has lower values. Regarding long-term mortality, individuals with a preoperative LVEF of 60% demonstrated the longest survival. A statistically significant relationship was not found between LVEF and operative mortality or atrial fibrillation after adjustment for confounders. CONCLUSIONS: Higher preoperative LVEF values may be associated with increased risk for patients undergoing CABG surgery. Future studies are needed to better characterise this phenotype.

Effect of Skeletonization of Bilateral Internal Thoracic Arteries on Deep Sternal Wound Infections.

BACKGROUND: Bilateral internal thoracic arteries (BITA) coronary bypass grafting may improve long-term outcomes but is associated with increased deep sternal wound infections (DSWIs). We analyzed whether BITA skeletonization impacts DSWIs and operative mortality (OM) using The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database. METHODS: Primary, isolated, nonemergent/nonsalvage BITA patients (July 2017 to December 2018) in The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Adult Cardiac Surgery Database were divided into groups based on BITA harvesting technique: both skeletonized (ssBITA) and ≥1 nonskeletonized (Non-ssBITA). DSWI and OM observed-to-expected (O/E) ratios were compared using The Society of Thoracic Surgeons Perioperative Risk Models. ssBITA versus Non-ssBITA DSWI and OM adjusted odds ratios were calculated by multivariable logistic regression and corroborated by propensity score matching. RESULTS: We analyzed 11,269 patients (42.8% ssBITA, 57.2% Non-ssBITA, 770 hospitals, 1448 surgeons). The ssBITA group had a higher incidence of comorbidities and off-pump surgery. Overall incidences of DSWIs and OM were 0.98% (O/E ratio, 5.1) and 1.72% (O/E ratio, 1.4), respectively, and were 28% (P = .129) and 23% (P = .096) lower in ssBITA. The DSWI O/E ratio was highest (5.9) in Non-ssBITA and lowest in ss-BITA (4.1). After multivariable adjustment, ssBITA was associated with a decreased risk of DSWIs (adjusted odds ratio, 0.66; 95% confidence interval, 0.44-1.00; P = .05), with no difference in OM. These results were confirmed among 3884 propensity score-matched pairs. DSWIs increased sharply with increasing number of risk factors for DSWIs regardless of harvesting technique, with a trend for higher DSWIs among Non-ssBITA for all risk categories. CONCLUSIONS: The observed high O/E ratio indicates that BITA grafting is associated with increased risk of DSWIs. Risk-adjusted DSWI rate and a lower O/E ratio in ssBITA support the protective role of skeletonization.