Machine learning-based biomarker profile derived from 4210 serially measured proteins predicts clinical outcome of patients with heart failure.

Aims: Risk assessment tools are needed for timely identification of patients with heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) who are at high risk of adverse events. In this study, we aim to derive a small set out of 4210 repeatedly measured proteins, which, along with clinical characteristics and established biomarkers, carry optimal prognostic capacity for adverse events, in patients with HFrEF. Methods and results: In 382 patients, we performed repeated blood sampling (median follow-up: 2.1 years) and applied an aptamer-based multiplex proteomic approach. We used machine learning to select the optimal set of predictors for the primary endpoint (PEP: composite of cardiovascular death, heart transplantation, left ventricular assist device implantation, and HF hospitalization). The association between repeated measures of selected proteins and PEP was investigated by multivariable joint models. Internal validation (cross-validated c-index) and external validation (Henry Ford HF PharmacoGenomic Registry cohort) were performed. Nine proteins were selected in addition to the MAGGIC risk score, N-terminal pro-hormone B-type natriuretic peptide, and troponin T: suppression of tumourigenicity 2, tryptophanyl-tRNA synthetase cytoplasmic, histone H2A Type 3, angiotensinogen, deltex-1, thrombospondin-4, ADAMTS-like protein 2, anthrax toxin receptor 1, and cathepsin D. N-terminal pro-hormone B-type natriuretic peptide and angiotensinogen showed the strongest associations [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 1.96 (1.17-3.40) and 0.66 (0.49-0.88), respectively]. The multivariable model yielded a c-index of 0.85 upon internal validation and c-indices up to 0.80 upon external validation. The c-index was higher than that of a model containing established risk factors (P = 0.021). Conclusion: Nine serially measured proteins captured the most essential prognostic information for the occurrence of adverse events in patients with HFrEF, and provided incremental value for HF prognostication beyond established risk factors. These proteins could be used for dynamic, individual risk assessment in a prospective setting. These findings also illustrate the potential value of relatively 'novel' biomarkers for prognostication. Clinical Trial Registration: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01851538?term=nCT01851538&draw=2&rank=1 24.

Genome-Wide Association Study of Beta-Blocker Survival Benefit in Black and White Patients with Heart Failure with Reduced Ejection Fraction.

In patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF), individual responses to beta-blockers vary. Candidate gene pharmacogenetic studies yielded significant but inconsistent results, and they may have missed important associations. Our objective was to use an unbiased genome-wide association study (GWAS) to identify loci influencing beta-blocker survival benefit in HFrEF patients. Genetic variant × beta-blocker exposure interactions were tested in Cox proportional hazards models for all-cause mortality stratified by self-identified race. The models were adjusted for clinical risk factors and propensity scores. A prospective HFrEF registry (469 black and 459 white patients) was used for discovery, and linkage disequilibrium (LD) clumped variants with a beta-blocker interaction of p < 5 × 10-5, were tested for Bonferroni-corrected validation in a multicenter HFrEF clinical trial (288 black and 579 white patients). A total of 229 and 18 variants in black and white HFrEF patients, respectively, had interactions with beta-blocker exposure at p < 5 × 10-5 upon discovery. After LD-clumping, 100 variants and 4 variants in the black and white patients, respectively, remained for validation but none reached statistical significance. In conclusion, genetic variants of potential interest were identified in a discovery-based GWAS of beta-blocker survival benefit in HFrEF patients, but none were validated in an independent dataset. Larger cohorts or alternative approaches, such as polygenic scores, are needed.

Common Variants on FGD5 Increase Hazard of Mortality or Rehospitalization in Patients With Heart Failure From the ASCEND-HF Trial.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure remains a global health burden, and patients hospitalized are particularly at risk, but genetic associates for subsequent death or rehospitalization are still lacking. METHODS: The genetic substudy of the ASCEND-HF trial (Acute Study of Clinical Effectiveness of Nesiritide in Decompensated Heart Failure) was used to perform genome-wide association study and transethnic meta-analysis. The overall trial included the patients of self-reported European ancestry (n=2173) and African ancestry (n=507). The end point was death or heart failure rehospitalization within 180 days. Cox models adjusted for 11 a priori predictors of rehospitalization and 5 genetic principal components were used to test the association between single-nucleotide polymorphisms and outcome. Summary statistics from the 2 populations were combined via meta-analysis with the significance threshold considered P<5×10-8. RESULTS: Common variants (rs2342882 and rs35850039 in complete linkage disequilibrium) located in FGD5 were significantly associated with the primary outcome in both ancestry groups (European Americans: hazard ratio [HR], 1.38; P=2.42×10-6; African ancestry: HR, 1.51; P=4.43×10-3; HR in meta-analysis, 1.41; P=4.25×10-8). FGD5 encodes a regulator of VEGF (vascular endothelial growth factor)-mediated angiogenesis, and in silico investigation revealed several previous genome-wide association study hits in this gene, among which rs748431 was associated with our outcome (HR, 1.20; meta P<0.01). Sensitivity analysis proved FGD5 common variants survival association did not appear to operate via coronary artery disease or nesiritide treatment (P>0.05); and the signal was still significant when changing the censoring time from 180 to 30 days (HR, 1.39; P=1.59×10-5). CONCLUSIONS: In this multiethnic genome-wide association study of ASCEND-HF, single-nucleotide polymorphisms in FGD5 were associated with increased risk of death or rehospitalization. Additional investigation is required to examine biological mechanisms and whether FGD5 could be a therapeutic target. REGISTRATION: URL: https://www. CLINICALTRIALS: gov; Unique identifier: NCT00475852.

Detection of diagnostic and prognostic methylation-based signatures in liquid biopsy specimens from patients with meningiomas.

Recurrence of meningiomas is unpredictable by current invasive methods based on surgically removed specimens. Identification of patients likely to recur using noninvasive approaches could inform treatment strategy, whether intervention or monitoring. In this study, we analyze the DNA methylation levels in blood (serum and plasma) and tissue samples from 155 meningioma patients, compared to other central nervous system tumor and non-tumor entities. We discover DNA methylation markers unique to meningiomas and use artificial intelligence to create accurate and universal models for identifying and predicting meningioma recurrence, using either blood or tissue samples. Here we show that liquid biopsy is a potential noninvasive and reliable tool for diagnosing and predicting outcomes in meningioma patients. This approach can improve personalized management strategies for these patients.

Identification of Environmental Exposures Associated with Risk of Sarcoidosis in African Americans.

Rationale: Sarcoidosis is a racially disparate granulomatous disease likely caused by environmental exposures, genes, and their interactions. Despite increased risk in African Americans, few environmental risk factor studies in this susceptible population exist. Objectives: To identify environmental exposures associated with the risk of sarcoidosis in African Americans and those that differ in effect by self-identified race and genetic ancestry. Methods: The study sample comprised 2,096 African Americans (1,205 with and 891 without sarcoidosis) compiled from three component studies. Unsupervised clustering and multiple correspondence analyses were used to identify underlying clusters of environmental exposures. Mixed-effects logistic regression was used to evaluate the association of these exposure clusters and the 51 single-component exposures with risk of sarcoidosis. A comparison case-control sample of 762 European Americans (388 with and 374 without sarcoidosis) was used to assess heterogeneity in exposure risk by race. Results: Seven exposure clusters were identified, five of which were associated with risk. The exposure cluster with the strongest risk association was composed of metals (P < 0.001), and within this cluster, exposure to aluminum had the highest risk (odds ratio, 3.30; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 2.23-4.09; P < 0.001). This effect also differed by race (P < 0.001), with European Americans having no significant association with exposure (odds ratio, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.56-1.33). Within African Americans, the increased risk was dependent on genetic African ancestry (P = 0.047). Conclusions: Our findings support African Americans having sarcoidosis environmental exposure risk profiles that differ from those of European Americans. These differences may underlie racially disparate incidence rates that are partially explained by genetic variation differing by African ancestry.

Urine Cell Transcriptomes Implicate Specific Renal Inflammatory Pathways Associated With Difficult-to-Control Hypertension.

Background The renal mechanisms involved in the maintenance of human hypertension and resistance to treatment are not well understood. Animal studies suggest that chronic renal inflammation contributes to hypertension. We studied cells shed in first-morning urine samples from individuals who were hypertensive who exhibited difficult-to-control blood pressure (BP). We performed bulk RNA sequencing of these shed cells to develop transcriptome-wide associations with BP. We also analyzed nephron-specific genes and used an unbiased bioinformatic approach to find signaling pathways activated in difficult-to-control hypertension. Methods and Results Participants who completed the SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) at a single trial site were recruited, and cells shed in first-morning urine samples collected. A total of 47 participants were divided into 2 groups based on hypertension control. The BP-difficult group (n=29) had systolic BP>140 mm Hg, >120 mm Hg after intensive treatment for hypertension, or required more than the median number of antihypertensive drugs used in SPRINT. The easy-to-control BP group (n=18) comprised the remainder of the participants. A total of 60 differentially expressed genes were identified with a >2-fold change in the BP-difficult group. In BP-difficult participants, 2 of the most upregulated genes were associated with inflammation: Tumor Necrosis Factor Alpha Induced Protien 6 (fold change, 7.76; P=0.006) and Serpin Family B Member 9 (fold change, 5.10; P=0.007). Biological pathway analysis revealed an overrepresentation of inflammatory networks, including interferon signaling, granulocyte adhesion and diapedesis, and Janus Kinase family kinases in the BP-difficult group (P<0.001). Conclusions We conclude that transcriptomes from cells shed in first-morning urine identify a gene expression profile in difficult-to-control hypertension that associates with renal inflammation.

Plasma Proteomic Profile Predicts Survival in Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction.

BACKGROUND: It remains unclear whether the plasma proteome adds value to established predictors in heart failure (HF) with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). We sought to derive and validate a plasma proteomic risk score (PRS) for survival in patients with HFrEF (HFrEF-PRS). METHODS: Patients meeting Framingham criteria for HF with EF<50% were enrolled (N=1017) and plasma underwent SOMAscan profiling (4453 targets). Patients were randomly divided 2:1 into derivation and validation cohorts. The HFrEF-PRS was derived using Cox regression of all-cause mortality adjusted for clinical score and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide), then was tested in the validation cohort. Risk stratification improvement was evaluated by C statistic, integrated discrimination index, continuous net reclassification index, and median improvement in risk score for 1-year and 3-year mortality. RESULTS: Participants' mean age was 68 years, 48% identified as Black, 35% were female, and 296 deaths occurred. In derivation (n=681), 128 proteins associated with mortality, 8 comprising the optimized HFrEF-PRS. In validation (n=336) the HFrEF-PRS associated with mortality (hazard ratio, 2.27 [95% CI, 1.84-2.82], P=6.3×10-14), Kaplan-Meier curves differed significantly between HFrEF-PRS quartiles (P=2.2×10-6), and it remained significant after adjustment for clinical score and NT-proBNP (hazard ratio, 1.37 [95% CI, 1.05-1.79], P=0.021). The HFrEF-PRS improved metrics of risk stratification (C statistic change, 0.009, P=0.612; integrated discrimination index, 0.041, P=0.010; net reclassification index=0.391, P=0.078; median improvement in risk score=0.039, P=0.016) and associated with cardiovascular death and HF phenotypes (eg, 6-minute walk distance, EF change). Most HFrEF-PRS proteins had little known connection to HFrEF. CONCLUSIONS: A plasma multiprotein score improved risk stratification in patients with HFrEF and identified novel candidates.

Changes in fruit and vegetable consumption in relation to changes in sleep characteristics over a 3-month period among young adults.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether increases in fruit and vegetable (FV) consumption were associated with concomitant changes in insomnia symptoms, sleep duration, and quality. DESIGN: Secondary longitudinal analysis of a randomized trial, baseline to 3 months. SETTING: Integrated health care systems in Detroit, Michigan and Danville, Pennsylvania. PARTICIPANTS: About 1165 young adults who were low consumers of FV (<3 servings/day) at baseline. INTERVENTION: Online 3-arm program designed to increase FV consumption. MEASUREMENTS: We categorized FV changes into 4 categories: no change or decrease, 1 serving increase, 2 serving increase, and 3 or more serving increase. We then compared the changes in chronic insomnia classification (yes or no), sleep duration, quality, and time to fall asleep (all self-reported) across the FV change categories. Analyses were both overall and stratified by gender, adjusting for potential confounders (depression, physical activity, education, children, and study site). RESULTS: Average age ± SD was 26 ± 2.8 years (71% women). At 3-month follow-up, participants on average increased FV intake by 1.2 ± 1.4 servings. Women who increased FV intake by 3+ servings showed improvements in insomnia symptoms (2-fold higher odds of improvement; 95% CI 1.1 to 3.6), sleep quality (0.2-point higher sleep quality score; 95% CI -0.01, 0.3), and time to fall asleep (4.2 minutes; 95% CI -8, 0) compared to women who did not change or decreased their FV intake. Associations were not as apparent among men. CONCLUSION: Young women with low consumption of FV may experience improvements in insomnia-related sleep difficulties by increasing their consumption of FV.

Sleep Duration and Quality in Relation to Fruit and Vegetable Intake of US Young Adults: a Secondary Analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sleep is gaining recognition as a determinant of diet, yet this relationship remains understudied among young adults. We sought to examine how sleep duration and quality were related to fruit and vegetable (FV) intake within a diverse sample of young adults. METHODS: Participants (n = 1444) ages 21-30 (69% women, 15% African American, 35% full or part time in college) consuming < 5 servings/day of FV (eligibility criteria) completed a baseline survey to enroll in a randomized online FV intervention. Sleep questions included duration, perceived sleep quality, time to fall asleep, and insomnia symptoms. Overall and gender-stratified linear regression models compared average daily FV intake and sleep characteristics, adjusting for confounders. RESULTS: One-third (32%) of the participants reported < 7 h of sleep per night, and 36% noted insomnia symptoms ≥ 3 times per week. Women, a BMI > 30, African American race/ethnicity, less education, unemployment, higher depression, and stress were related to suboptimal sleep. Bivariate analyses showed that better sleep was associated with higher FV intake. After accounting for confounders, men with better sleep quality and shorter time to fall asleep had higher intakes of FV (1.12 serving/day difference in highest versus lowest quality [95% CI 0.48, 1.75] and a 0.52 serving/day higher intake difference for shortest versus longest fall asleep time [95% CI 0.90, 0.15], respectively). CONCLUSION: Sleep was highly prevalent in a diverse sample of community-based young adults and may contribute to lower FV intake among men. These associations highlight young adulthood as an important period for promoting healthy sleep habits.

miR-504 modulates the stemness and mesenchymal transition of glioma stem cells and their interaction with microglia via delivery by extracellular vesicles.

Glioblastoma (GBM) is a highly aggressive tumor with poor prognosis. A small subpopulation of glioma stem cells (GSCs) has been implicated in radiation resistance and tumor recurrence. In this study we analyzed the expression of miRNAs associated with the functions of GSCs using miRNA microarray analysis of these cells compared with human neural stem cells. These analyses identified gene clusters associated with glioma cell invasiveness, axonal guidance, and TGF-ß signaling. miR-504 was significantly downregulated in GSCs compared with NSCs, its expression was lower in GBM compared with normal brain specimens and further decreased in the mesenchymal glioma subtype. Overexpression of miR-504 in GSCs inhibited their self-renewal, migration and the expression of mesenchymal markers. The inhibitory effect of miR-504 was mediated by targeting Grb10 expression which acts as an oncogene in GSCs and GBM. Overexpression of exogenous miR-504 resulted also in its delivery to cocultured microglia by GSC-secreted extracellular vesicles (EVs) and in the abrogation of the GSC-induced polarization of microglia to M2 subtype. Finally, miR-504 overexpression prolonged the survival of mice harboring GSC-derived xenografts and decreased tumor growth. In summary, we identified miRNAs and potential target networks that play a role in the stemness and mesenchymal transition of GSCs and the miR-504/Grb10 pathway as an important regulator of this process. Overexpression of miR-504 exerted antitumor effects in GSCs as well as bystander effects on the polarization of microglia via delivery by EVs.

Polygenic Score for ß-Blocker Survival Benefit in European Ancestry Patients With Reduced Ejection Fraction Heart Failure.

BACKGROUND: ß-Blockers (BBs) are mainstay therapy for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. However, individual patient responses to BB vary, which may be partially due to genetic variation. The goal of this study was to derive and validate the first polygenic response predictor (PRP) for BB survival benefit in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction patients. METHODS: Derivation and validation analyses were performed in n=1436 total HF patients of European descent and with ejection fraction <50%. The PRP was derived in a random subset of the Henry Ford Heart Failure Pharmacogenomic Registry (n=248) and then validated in a meta-analysis of the remaining patients from Henry Ford Heart Failure Pharmacogenomic Registry (n=247), the TIME-CHF (Trial of Intensified Versus Standard Medical Therapy in Elderly Patients With Congestive Heart Failure; n=431), and HF-ACTION trial (Heart Failure: a Controlled Trial Investigating Outcomes of Exercise Training; n=510). The PRP was constructed from a genome-wide analysis of BB×genotype interaction predicting time to all-cause mortality, adjusted for Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure score, genotype, level of BB exposure, and BB propensity score. RESULTS: Five-fold cross-validation summaries out to 1000 single-nucleotide polymorphisms identified optimal prediction with a 44 single-nucleotide polymorphism score and cutoff at the 30th percentile. In validation testing (n=1188), greater BB exposure was associated with reduced all-cause mortality in patients with low PRP score (n=251; hazard ratio, 0.19 [95% CI, 0.04-0.51]; P=0.0075) but not high PRP score (n=937; hazard ratio, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.53-1.3]; P=0.448)-a difference that was statistically significant (P interaction, 0.0235). Results were consistent regardless of atrial fibrillation, ejection fraction (≤40% versus 41%-50%), or when examining cardiovascular death. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients of European ancestry with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction, a PRP distinguished patients who derived substantial survival benefit from BB exposure from a larger group that did not. Additional work is needed to prospectively test clinical utility and to develop PRPs for other population groups and other medications.

Breast and prostate cancers harbor common somatic copy number alterations that consistently differ by race and are associated with survival.

BACKGROUND: Pan-cancer studies of somatic copy number alterations (SCNAs) have demonstrated common SCNA patterns across cancer types, but despite demonstrable differences in aggressiveness of some cancers by race, pan-cancer SCNA variation by race has not been explored. This study investigated a) racial differences in SCNAs in both breast and prostate cancer, b) the degree to which they are shared across cancers, and c) the impact of these shared, race-differentiated SCNAs on cancer survival. METHODS: Utilizing data from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA), SCNAs were identified using GISTIC 2.0, and in each tumor type, differences in SCNA magnitude between African Americans (AA) and European Americans (EA) were tested using linear regression. Unsupervised hierarchical clustering of the copy number of genes residing in race-differentiated SCNAs shared between tumor types was used to identify SCNA-defined patient groups, and Cox proportional hazards regression was used to test for association between those groups and overall/progression-free survival (PFS). RESULTS: We identified SCNAs that differed by race in breast (n = 58 SCNAs; permutation p < 10- 4) and prostate tumors (n = 78 SCNAs; permutation p = 0.006). Six race-differentiated SCNAs common to breast and prostate found at chromosomes 5q11.2-q14.1, 5q15-q21.1, 8q21.11-q21.13, 8q21.3-q24.3, 11q22.3, and 13q12.3-q21.3 had consistent differences by race across both tumor types, and all six were of higher magnitude in AAs, with the chromosome 8q regions being the only amplifications. Higher magnitude copy number differences in AAs were also identified at two of these race-differentiated SCNAs in two additional hormonally-driven tumor types: endometrial (8q21.3-q24.3 and 13q12.3-q21.3) and ovarian (13q12.3-q21.3) cancers. Race differentiated SCNA-defined patient groups were significantly associated with survival differences in both cancer types, and these groups also differentiated within triple negative breast cancers based on PFS. While the frequency of the SCNA-defined patient groups differed by race, their effects on survival did not. CONCLUSIONS: This study identified race-differentiated SCNAs shared by two related cancers. The association of SCNA-defined patient groups with survival demonstrates the clinical significance of combinations of these race-differentiated genomic aberrations, and the higher frequency of these alterations in AA relative to EA patients may explain racial disparities in risk of aggressive breast and prostate cancer.

Genetics of heart rate in heart failure patients (GenHRate).

BACKGROUND: Elevated resting heart rate (HR) is a risk factor and therapeutic target in patients with heart failure (HF) and reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Previous studies indicate a genetic contribution to HR in population samples but there is little data in patients with HFrEF. METHODS: Patients who met Framingham criteria for HF and had an ejection fraction < 50% were prospectively enrolled in a genetic HF registry (2007-2015, n = 1060). All participants donated blood for DNA and underwent genome-wide genotyping with additional variants called via imputation. We performed testing of previously identified variant "hits" (43 loci) as well as a genome-wide association (GWAS) of HR, adjusted for race, using Efficient Mixed-Model Association Expedited (EMMAX). RESULTS: The cohort was 35% female, 51% African American, and averaged 68 years of age. There was a 2 beats per minute (bpm) difference in HR by race, AA being slightly higher. Among 43 candidate variants, 4 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in one gene (GJA1) were significantly associated with HR. In genome-wide testing, one statistically significant association peak was identified on chromosome 22q13, with strongest SNP rs535263906 (p = 3.3 × 10-8). The peak is located within the gene Cadherin EGF LAG Seven-Pass G-Type Receptor 1 (CELSR1), encoding a cadherin super-family cell surface protein identified in GWAS of other phenotypes (e.g., stroke). The highest associated SNP was specific to the African American population. CONCLUSIONS: These data confirm GJA1 association with HR in the setting of HFrEF and identify novel candidate genes for HR in HFrEF patients, particularly CELSR1. These associations should be tested in additional cohorts.

5-2-1-0 Lifestyle risk factors predict obesity in Millennials.

The Making Effective Nutritional Choices Generation Y (MENU GenY) study is a web-based intervention trial aimed at improving food choices in those aged 21-30 years. We report baseline levels of the 5-2-1-0 healthy lifestyle patterns to predict a body mass index (BMI) ≥30 vs <30 kg m-2 . Overall, 1674 young adults (69% female) from two large health systems enroled and completed an online survey asking questions about lifestyle habits. A multivariable binary logistic regression model was utilized to predict a BMI ≥30 while controlling for known predictors of obesity. Consuming >3 daily servings of fruits/vegetables (odds ratio, OR = 0.90, 95% confidence interval, CI = 0.81, 0.99), and reporting >2.5 hours/week of vigorous physical activity (OR = 0.93, 95% CI = 0.89-0.96, P < 0.001) was associated with a BMI <30. Conversely, time sitting (OR = 1.07, 95% CI = 1.04, 1.11) and consuming sugar-sweetened beverages (OR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.00, 1.15) were related to a BMI ≥30. In this cohort of 20-30-year-olds, we observed a consistent relationship between obesity and the 5-2-1-0 healthy lifestyle patterns previously reported among children and adolescents.

Race and Beta-Blocker Survival Benefit in Patients With Heart Failure: An Investigation of Self-Reported Race and Proportion of African Genetic Ancestry.

BACKGROUND: It remains unclear whether beta-blockade is similarly effective in black patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction as in white patients, but self-reported race is a complex social construct with both biological and environmental components. The objective of this study was to compare the reduction in mortality associated with beta-blocker exposure in heart failure and reduced ejection fraction patients by both self-reported race and by proportion African genetic ancestry. METHODS AND RESULTS: Insured patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction (n=1122) were included in a prospective registry at Henry Ford Health System. This included 575 self-reported blacks (129 deaths, 22%) and 547 self-reported whites (126 deaths, 23%) followed for a median 3.0 years. Beta-blocker exposure (BBexp) was calculated from pharmacy claims, and the proportion of African genetic ancestry was determined from genome-wide array data. Time-dependent Cox proportional hazards regression was used to separately test the association of BBexp with all-cause mortality by self-reported race or by proportion of African genetic ancestry. Both sets of models were evaluated unadjusted and then adjusted for baseline risk factors and beta-blocker propensity score. BBexp effect estimates were protective and of similar magnitude both by self-reported race and by African genetic ancestry (adjusted hazard ratio=0.56 in blacks and adjusted hazard ratio=0.48 in whites). The tests for interactions with BBexp for both self-reported race and for African genetic ancestry were not statistically significant in any model (P>0.1 for all). CONCLUSIONS: Among black and white patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction, reduction in all-cause mortality associated with BBexp was similar, regardless of self-reported race or proportion African genetic ancestry.

Targeted Metabolomic Profiling of Plasma and Survival in Heart Failure Patients.

OBJECTIVES: This study sought to derive and validate plasma metabolite associations with survival in heart failure (HF) patients. BACKGROUND: Profiling of plasma metabolites to predict the course of HF appears promising, but validation and incremental value of these profiles are less established. METHODS: Patients (n = 1,032) who met Framingham HF criteria with a history of reduced ejection fraction were randomly divided into derivation and validation cohorts (n = 516 each). Amino acids, organic acids, and acylcarnitines were quantified using mass spectrometry in fasting plasma samples. We derived a prognostic metabolite profile (PMP) in the derivation cohort using Lasso-penalized Cox regression. Validity was assessed by 10-fold cross validation in the derivation cohort and by standard testing in the validation cohort. The PMP was analyzed as both a continuous variable (PMPscore) and dichotomized at the median (PMPcat), in univariate and multivariate models adjusted for clinical risk score and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide. RESULTS: Overall, 48% of patients were African American, 35% were women, and the average age was 69 years. After a median follow-up of 34 months, there were 256 deaths (127 and 129 in derivation and validation cohorts, respectively). Optimized modeling defined the 13 metabolite PMPs, which was cross validated as both the PMPscore (hazard ratio [HR]: 3.27; p < 2 × 10-16) and PMPcat (HR: 3.04; p = 2.93 × 10-8). The validation cohort showed similar results (PMPscore HR: 3.9; p < 2 × 10-16 and PMPcat HR: 3.99; p = 3.47 × 10-9). In adjusted models, PMP remained associated with mortality in the cross-validated derivation cohort (PMPscore HR: 1.63; p = 0.0029; PMPcat HR: 1.47; p = 0.081) and the validation cohort (PMPscore HR: 1.54; p = 0.037; PMPcat HR: 1.69; p = 0.043). CONCLUSIONS: Plasma metabolite profiles varied across HF subgroups and were associated with survival incremental to conventional predictors. Additional investigation is warranted to define mechanisms and clinical applications.