Development of a clinical prognostic model for primary plasma cell leukemia patients treated with novel agents: a multicenter retrospective cohort study.

The prognosis of primary plasma cell leukemia (pPCL) is poor, and the relevant prognostic factors are incompletely understood. We aimed to explore the prognostic factors and develop a validated prognostic prediction model for pPCL patients in the new era. This multicenter retrospective study was conducted across 16 hospitals in China. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to develop a prediction model. The predictive performance of the model was assessed using multiple metrics. Internal validation was conducted using bootstrap resampling. A total of 102 pPCL patients were included in this study, and 57 (55.9%) were male. The 12-month, 24-month, and 36-month OS rates for pPCL patients were 75.4%, 58.3%, and 47.6%, respectively. An overall survival prognostic nomogram for pPCL patients was established by integrating independent prognostic factors, including age, B2MG, and del17p. The nomogram exhibited good performance, with a C-index of 0.720 (95% CI 0.642-0.797) and an AUC of 0.653. Bootstrap validation yielded a C-index of 0.721 (95% CI 0.629-0.787) and an AUC of 0.653 (95% CI 0.546-0.759), indicating a relatively good fit of the calibration curve. A nomogram incorporating age, B2MG grade, and del17p were developed and validated to accurately and consistently predict the prognosis of pPCL patients.

Safety and efficacy of flumatinib as later-line therapy in patients with chronic myeloid leukemia.

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of flumatinib in the later-line treatment of Chinese patients with Philadelphia chromosome-positive chronic-phase chronic myeloid leukemia (CP-CML previously treated with tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs). Patients with CML-CP were evaluated for the probabilities of responses including complete hematologic response (CHR), cytogenetic response, and molecular response (MR) and adverse events (AEs) after the later-line flumatinib therapy. Of 336 enrolled patients with median age 50 years, median duration of treatment with flumatinib was 11.04 (2-25.23) months. Patients who achieved clinical responses at baseline showed maintenance of CHR, complete cytogenetic response (CCyR)/2-log molecular response (MR2), major molecular response (MMR), and 4-log molecular response or deep molecular response (MR4/DMR) in 100%, 98.9%, 98.6%, and 92.9% patients, respectively. CHR, CCyR/MR2, MMR, and MR4/DMR responses were achieved in 86.4%, 52.7%, 49.6%, and 23.5% patients respectively, which showed the lack of respective clinical responses at baseline. The patients without response at baseline, treated with flumatinib as 2L TKI, having no resistance to prior TKI or only resistance to imatinib, with response to last TKI, and with BCR::ABL ≤10% had higher CCyR/MR2, MMR, or MR4/DMR. The AEs observed during the later-line flumatinib treatment were tolerable and consistent with those reported with the first-line therapy. Flumatinib was effective and safe in patients who are resistant or intolerant to other TKIs. In particular, 2L flumatinib treatment induced high response rates and was more beneficial to patients without previous 2G TKI resistance, thus serving as a probable treatment option for these patients.

Switching from eltrombopag to hetrombopag in patients with primary immune thrombocytopenia: a post-hoc analysis of a multicenter, randomized phase III trial.

While studies have explored the feasibility of switching between various thrombopoietin receptor agonists in treating immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), data on the switching from eltrombopag to hetrombopag remains scarce. This post-hoc analysis of a phase III hetrombopag trial aimed to assess the outcomes of ITP patients who switched from eltrombopag to hetrombopag. In the original phase III trial, patients initially randomized to the placebo group were switched to eltrombopag. Those who completed this 14-week eltrombopag were eligible to switch to a 24-week hetrombopag. Treatment response, defined as a platelet count of ≥ 50 × 109/L, and safety were evaluated before and after the switch. Sixty-three patients who completed the 14-week eltrombopag and switched to hetrombopag were included in this post-hoc analysis. Response rates before and after the switch were 66.7% and 88.9%, respectively. Among those with pre-switching platelet counts below 30 × 109/L, eight out of 12 patients (66.7%) responded, while eight out of nine patients (88.9%) with pre-switching platelet counts between 30 × 109/L and 50 × 109/L responded post-switching. Treatment-related adverse events were observed in 50.8% of patients during eltrombopag treatment and 38.1% during hetrombopag treatment. No severe adverse events were noted during hetrombopag treatment. Switching from eltrombopag to hetrombopag in ITP management appears to be effective and well-tolerated. Notably, hetrombopag yielded high response rates, even among patients who had previously shown limited response to eltrombopag. However, these observations need to be confirmed in future trials.

Efficacy and safety of sovleplenib (HMPL-523) in adult patients with chronic primary immune thrombocytopenia in China (ESLIM-01): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 study.

BACKGROUND: Sovleplenib, a novel spleen tyrosine kinase (SYK) inhibitor, showed promising safety and activity in patients with primary immune thrombocytopenia in a phase 1b/2 trial. We aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of sovleplenib in patients with chronic primary immune thrombocytopenia. METHODS: This randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial (ESLIM-01) was done in 34 clinical centres in China. Eligible patients, aged 18-75 years, had chronic primary immune thrombocytopenia, an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance status of 0-1, and received one or more previous treatments. Patients were randomly assigned (2:1) to receive oral sovleplenib or placebo, 300 mg once daily, for 24 weeks. Randomisation was stratified by baseline platelet counts, previous splenectomy, and concomitant treatment for anti-immune thrombocytopenia at baseline. The primary endpoint was durable response rate (proportion of patients with a platelet count of ≥50 × 109/L on at least four of six scheduled visits between weeks 14 and 24, not affected by rescue treatment) assessed by intention-to-treat. The trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05029635, and the extension, open-label phase is ongoing. FINDINGS: Between Sept 29, 2021, and Dec 31, 2022, 188 patients were randomly assigned to receive sovleplenib (n=126) or placebo (n=62). 124 (66%) were female, 64 (34%) were male, and all were of Asian ethnicity. Median previous lines of immune thrombocytopenia therapy were 4·0, and 134 (71%) of 188 patients had received previous thrombopoietin or thrombopoietin receptor agonist. The primary endpoint was met; durable response rate was 48% (61/126) with sovleplenib compared with zero with placebo (difference 48% [95% CI 40-57]; p<0·0001). The median time to response was 8 days with sovleplenib compared with 30 days with placebo. 125 (99%) of 126 patients in the sovleplenib group and 53 (85%) of 62 in the placebo group reported treatment-emergent adverse events (TEAEs), and most events were mild or moderate. Frequent TEAEs of grade 3 or higher for sovleplenib versus placebo were platelet count decreased (7% [9/126] vs 10% [6/62]), neutrophil count decreased (3% [4/126] vs 0% [0/62]), and hypertension (3% [4/126] vs 0% [0/62]). Incidences of serious TEAEs were 21% (26/126) in the sovleplenib group and 18% (11/62) in the placebo group. There were no deaths in the study. INTERPRETATION: Sovleplenib showed a clinically meaningful sustained platelet response in patients with chronic primary immune thrombocytopenia, with a tolerable safety profile and improvement in quality of life. Sovleplenib could be a potential treatment option for patients with immune thrombocytopenia who received one or more previous therapy. FUNDING: HUTCHMED and Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality.

The efficacy of the combination of venetoclax and hypomethylating agents versus HAG agents in patients with acute myeloid leukemia: a retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to compare the effectiveness of the combination of venetoclax and hypomethylating agents with the HAG regimen. METHODS: We studied 52 cases of newly diagnosed AML and 26 cases of relapsed refractory AML, (including AML patients with treatment-related and ELN-adverse risk disease (n = 50)). These patients were treated with venetoclax and hypomethylating agents and HAG regimens, respectively. RESULTS: Twenty-nine patients newly diagnosed with acute myeloid leukemia were treated with VEN-HMA (venetoclax-hypomethylating agent), while 23 patients were treated with HAG. The median age of the VEN-HMA group was 70 years, while the HAG group had a median age of 69 years. The VEN-HMA group achieved a significantly higher rate of complete remission (82.7%) compared to the cohort treated with the HAG regimen (21.7%) (P < 0.001). At the same time, the VEN-HMA group exhibited a significant survival advantage compared to the HAG treatment group(HR = 0.328, 95%CI: 0.158-0.683, P = 0.003).In patients with relapsed and refractory acute myeloid leukaemia, 43.8% of patients in the VEN-HMA treatment group achieved complete remission, which was similar to the 50% in the HAG treatment group (P > 0.99). The median overall survival was similar between the VEN-HMA and HAG groups, with 4 and 3.67 months, respectively (P = 0.290). CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our analyses indicated that VEN-HMA resulted in better therapeutic outcomes compared to HAG for newly diagnosed AML patients, with higher rates of complete remission and overall survival. In relapsed/refractory AML patients, there was no significant difference in the efficacy of the two treatments and further studies with larger sample sizes are warranted.

Oral arsenic plus imatinib versus imatinib solely for newly diagnosed chronic myeloid leukemia: a randomized phase 3 trial with 5-year outcomes.

PURPOSE: The synergistic effects of combining arsenic compounds with imatinib against chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) have been established using in vitro data. We conducted a clinical trial to compare the efficacy of the arsenic realgar-indigo naturalis formula (RIF) plus imatinib with that of imatinib monotherapy in patients with newly diagnosed chronic phase CML (CP-CML). METHODS: In this multicenter, randomized, double-blind, phase 3 trial, 191 outpatients with newly diagnosed CP-CML were randomly assigned to receive oral RIF plus imatinib (n = 96) or placebo plus imatinib (n = 95). The primary end point was the major molecular response (MMR) at 6 months. Secondary end points include molecular response 4 (MR4), molecular response 4.5 (MR4.5), progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and adverse events. RESULTS: The median follow-up duration was 51 months. Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the recruitment to this study had to be terminated early, on May 28, 2020. The rates of MMR had no significant statistical difference between combination and imatinib arms at 6 months and any other time during the trial. MR4 rates were similar in both arms. However, the 12-month cumulative rates of MR4.5 in the combination and imatinib arms were 20.8% and 10.5%, respectively (p = 0.043). In core treatment since the 2-year analysis, the frequency of MR4.5 was 55.6% in the combination arm and 38.6% in the imatinib arm (p = 0.063). PFS and OS were similar at five years. The safety profiles were similar and serious adverse events were uncommon in both groups. CONCLUSION: The results of imatinib plus RIF as a first-line treatment of CP-CML compared with imatinib might be more effective for achieving a deeper molecular response (Chinadrugtrials number, CTR20170221).

Efficacy and safety of QL0911 in adult patients with chronic primary immune thrombocytopenia: A multicenter, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase III trial.

Objective: QL0911, a recombinant human thrombopoietin mimetic peptide-Fc fusion protein, is a romiplostim (Nplate®) biosimilar used to treat primary immune thrombocytopenia (ITP). This phase III study aimed to assess the efficacy and safety of QL0911 in adult patients with chronic primary ITP over a 24-week treatment period. Methods: We conducted a double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase III study in patients diagnosed with primary ITP for at least 12 months who had received at least one first-line ITP treatment with no response or recurrence after treatment, or who relapsed after splenectomy at 44 sites in China. Patients were randomly allocated (2:1 ratio) to QL0911 or placebo injection subcutaneously once weekly at an initial dose of 1 µg/kg for 24 weeks. The doses were adjusted to maintain the target platelet counts from 50 × 109/L to 200 × 109/L. Patients and investigators were blinded to the assignment. The primary endpoints were the proportion of patients who achieved a durable platelet response at week 24 (platelet count, ≥ 50 × 109/L during 6 of the last 8 weeks of treatment) and safety. The study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05621330). Results: Between October 2019 and December 2021, 216 patients were randomly assigned (QL0911,144; placebo,72). A durable platelet response was achieved by significantly more patients in the QL0911 group (61.8%, 95% CI: 53.3-69.8; P < 0.0001) than in the placebo group (0%). The mean duration of platelet responses was 15.9 (SE: 0.43) weeks with QL0911, and 1.9 (SE:0.26) week with placebo. Consistent results were achieved in subgroup analyses categorized by baseline splenectomy status (yes/no), concomitant ITP treatment (yes/no), and baseline platelet count (≤ 10 × 109/L, > 10 × 109/L, ≤ 20 × 109/L, > 20 × 109/L, and < 30 × 109/L). The incidence of TEAEs was comparable between the QL0911 and the placebo groups (91.7% and 88.9%, respectively). The most common adverse events overall were ecchymosis (28.5% for QL0911 vs. 37.5% for placebo), upper respiratory tract infections respiratory tract infections (31.9% for QL0911 vs. 27.8% for placebo), and gingival bleeding (17.4% for QL0911 vs. 26.4% for placebo). Conclusion: QL0911 was well-tolerated and increased and maintained platelet counts in adults with ITP. QL0911, a biosimilar to romiplostim (Nplate®), may be a novel treatment option for patients with ITP who have failed or relapsed from first-line treatment in China. Ongoing studies will provide further data on long-term efficacy and safety in such patient populations.

Identification and study of cuproptosis-related genes in prognostic model of multiple myeloma.

BACKGROUND: Multiple myeloma (MM) is a highly heterogeneous disease. Cuproptosis is a novel mode of death that is closely associated with several diseases, such as hepatocellular carcinoma. However, its role in MM is unknown. METHODS: MM transcriptomic and clinical data were obtained from UCSC Xena and gene expression omnibus (GEO) databases. Following MM samples were divided into different subtypes based on the cuproptosis genes, the differentially expressed genes (DEGs) among different subtypes, namely, candidate cuproptosis related genes were analyzed by univariate Cox and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to construct a cuproptosis-related risk model. After the independent prognostic analysis was performed, a nomogram was constructed. Finally, Functional enrichment analysis and immune infiltration analysis were performed in the high- and low-risk groups, potential therapeutic agents were then predicted. RESULTS: The 784 MM samples in UCSC Xena cohorts were divided into three different subtypes, and 4 out of 346 candidate cuproptosis related genes, namely CDKN2A, BCL3, KCNA3 and TTC14 were used to construct a risk model. Risk score was considered a reliable independent prognostic factor for MM patients. It was investigated that the pathway of cell cycle was significantly enriched in the high-risk group. In addition, immune score, ESTIMATE score and cytolytic activity were significantly different between different risk groups, as well as 13 immune cells such as memory B cells. Nine drugs were predicted in our study. CONCLUSION: A cuproptosis-related prognostic model was constructed, which may have a potential guiding role in the treatment of MM.

A life-threatening bleeding prediction model for immune thrombocytopenia based on personalized machine learning: a nationwide prospective cohort study.

Rare but critical bleeding events in primary immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) present life-threatening complications in patients with ITP, which severely affect their prognosis, quality of life, and treatment decisions. Although several studies have investigated the risk factors related to critical bleeding in ITP, large sample size data, consistent definitions, large-scale multicenter findings, and prediction models for critical bleeding events in patients with ITP are unavailable. For the first time, in this study, we applied the newly proposed critical ITP bleeding criteria by the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis for large sample size data and developed the first machine learning (ML)-based online application for predict critical ITP bleeding. In this research, we developed and externally tested an ML-based model for determining the risk of critical bleeding events in patients with ITP using large multicenter data across China. Retrospective data from 8 medical centers across the country were obtained for model development and prospectively tested in 39 medical centers across the country over a year. This system exhibited good predictive capabilities for training, validation, and test datasets. This convenient web-based tool based on a novel algorithm can rapidly identify the bleeding risk profile of patients with ITP and facilitate clinical decision-making and reduce the occurrence of adversities.

Endoplasmic reticulum stress-related signature predicts prognosis and immune infiltration analysis in acute myeloid leukemia.

OBJECTIVES: To construct an endoplasmic reticulum stress-related prognostic risk score (RS) model to predict prognosis and perform a preliminary analysis of immune infiltration in patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML). METHODS: The whole-genome expression data for AML and endoplasmic reticulum stress (ER stress)-related genes were downloaded from the GEO and GSEA databases, respectively. The samples were divided into death and survival groups, combined with clinical prognosis information. LASSO regression was used to construct a prognostic RS model. The Kaplan-Meier curve method was used to evaluate the association between different risk groups and actual survival prognosis information. A cox regression analysis was used to screen for independent survival prognostic clinical factors and construct a nomogram. CIBERSORT and ssGSEA was used for immune-related analysis. RESULTS: Eighteen ER-stress related genes were identified and a comprehensive network was constructed. Further, 5 CC, 8 MF, 17 BP, and 2 KEGG pathways were enriched. Ten optimal DEGs were obtained and a prognostic risk model was constructed. Compared to the low RS group, the OS values of the high RS group were significantly lower. A significant correlation between the different risk groups and the actual prognosis was demonstrated. Ten immune cells with significantly different distributions in different risk groups were screened. KEGG enrichment analysis showed that there were 5 signaling pathways in the high-risk group. CONCLUSIONS: The RS model can effectively predict the prognosis and has clinical implications for the prognosis of AML, combined with the correlation between different RS groups and the immune microenvironment.

Hematopoietic stem cell microtransplantation in patients aged over 70 with acute myeloid leukemia: a multicenter study.

In the era of molecular targeted drugs, elderly patients with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) are still very difficult to treat, especially those older than 70 years. The decline in immune function leads to serious infection and disease recurrence. The microtransplant treatment regimen (MST) chemotherapy combined with allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell infusion is a new cell therapy regimen. The aim of this MST study was to improve the survival of elderly patients by graft versus leukemia action and improving T-cell immune function. From May 2012 to July 2020, one hundred and eleven patients aged 70 to 88 years with de novo AML were analyzed retrospectively. After induction chemotherapy, patients whom complete remission (CR) was achieved were given another 2 cycles of postremission therapy. The MST groups were given allogeneic stem cell infusion after each chemotherapy cycle. CR, leukemia-free survival, and overall survival (OS) were compared between groups. Additionally, the immune function and the T cell receptor (TCR) library of T cells were detected and analyzed. The MST group exhibited an encouragingly high CR rate (63.8%), even in high-risk patients (54%), and this rate was significantly higher than that in the chemotherapy alone group. The 1-year OS of MST patients was 57.7%, and it was 55.9% in the high-risk group. It was only 37.3% in the chemotherapy alone group. Higher numbers of naive T cells were found in the MST population than in the chemotherapy alone group. More updated T-cell clones were observed in MST patients by T-cell receptor repertoire analysis with a next-generation sequencing methodology. These results suggest that MST is a safe and practical regimen conducive to longer-term survival in patients of a highly advanced age with AML. Furthermore, it has broad clinical value in the recovery of immune function in elderly patients.

Individual and combined effects of the GSTM1, GSTT1, and GSTP1 polymorphisms on leukemia risk: An updated meta-analysis.

Background: Several meta-analyses have analyzed the association of GSTM1 present/null, GSTT1 present/null, and GSTP1 IIe105Val polymorphisms with leukemia risk. However, the results of these meta-analyses have been conflicting. Moreover, they did not evaluate the combined effects of the three aforementioned gene polymorphisms. Furthermore, they did not appraise the credibility of the positive results. Finally, many new studies have been published. Therefore, an updated meta-analysis was conducted. Objectives: To further explore the relationship of the three aforementioned gene polymorphisms with leukemia risk. Methods: The crude odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were applied to evaluate the association of the individual and combined effects of the three aforementioned genes. Moreover, the false-positive report probability (FPRP) and Bayesian false discovery probability (BFDP) were applied to verify the credibility of these statistically significant associations. Results: Overall, the individual GSTM1, GSTT1, and GSTP1 IIe105Val polymorphisms added leukemia risk. On combining GSTM1 and GSTT1, GSTM1 and GSTP1, and GSTT1 and GSTP1 polymorphisms, positive results were also observed. However, no significant association was observed between the combined effects of these three polymorphisms with leukemia risk in the overall analysis. Moreover, when only selecting Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium (HWE) and medium- and high-quality studies, we came to similar results. However, when the FPRP and BFDP values were applied to evaluate the credibility of positive results, the significant association was only observed for the GSTT1 null genotype with leukemia risk in Asians (BFDP = 0.367, FPRP = 0.009). Conclusion: This study strongly suggests a significant increase in the risk of leukemia in Asians for the GSTT1 null genotype.

Prednisone plus IVIg compared with prednisone or IVIg for immune thrombocytopenia in pregnancy: a national retrospective cohort study.

Background: The responses of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIg) or corticosteroids as the initial treatment on pregnancy with ITP were unsatisfactory. This study aimed to assess the safety and effectiveness of prednisone plus IVIg versus prednisone or IVIg in pregnant patients with immune thrombocytopenia (ITP). Methods: Between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2020, 970 pregnancies diagnosed with ITP at 19 collaborative centers in China were reviewed in this observational study. A total of 513 pregnancies (52.89%) received no intervention. Concerning the remaining pregnancies, 151 (33.04%) pregnancies received an initial treatment of prednisone plus IVIg, 105 (22.98%) pregnancies received IVIg alone, and 172 (37.64%) pregnancies only received prednisone. Results: Regarding the maternal response to the initial treatment, no differences were found among the three treatment groups (41.1% for prednisone plus IVIg, 33.1% for prednisone, and 38.1% for IVIg). However, a significant difference was observed in the time to response between the prednisone plus IVIg group (4.39 ± 2.54 days) and prednisone group (7.29 ± 5.01 days; p < 0.001), and between the IVIg group (6.71 ± 4.85 days) and prednisone group (p < 0.001). The median prednisone duration in the monotherapy group was 27 days (range, 8-195 days), whereas that in the combination group was 14 days (range, 6-85 days). No significant differences were found among these three treatment groups in neonatal outcomes, particularly concerning the neonatal platelet counts. The time to response in the combination treatment group was shorter than prednisone monotherapy. The duration of prednisone application in combination group was shorter than prednisone monotherapy. The combined therapy showed a lower predelivery platelet transfusion rate than IVIg alone. Conclusion: These findings suggest that prednisone plus IVIg may represent a potential combination therapy for pregnant patients with ITP.

Dose tapering to withdrawal stage and long-term efficacy and safety of hetrombopag for the treatment of immune thrombocytopenia: Results from an open-label extension study.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy of hetrombopag in Chinese patients with immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) has been demonstrated in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, multicenter, phase III trial (NCT03222843). OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to report comprehensive data on a ≤6-week dose tapering to withdrawal (Stage 3) and an additional 24-week long-term extension period (Stage 4) in this phase III trial. PATIENTS/METHODS: Patients who fulfilled the screening criteria were eligible to enter Stage 3 or 4. During Stage 3, hetrombopag was gradually tapered to withdrawal. During Stage 4, hetrombopag treatment was initiated at 2.5, 3.75, 5, or 7.5 mg once daily. The efficacy endpoints during Stage 3 or 4 and the safety profile during the entire treatment period were reported. RESULTS: Among 194 patients who entered Stage 3, 171 (88.1%) relapsed. The median time to the first relapse since the start of Stage 3 was 15.0 days (95% CI, 14.0-16.0). In Stage 4, 144 (42.5%) patients responded at ≥75% of their assessments and 254 (74.9%) patients achieved platelet count ≥30 × 109 /L at least once, which was at least twice their baseline platelet count in the hetrombopag group (n = 339). The most common adverse events were upper respiratory tract infection (53.1%), thrombocytopenia (27.1%), and urinary tract infection (21.2%) in the hetrombopag group. CONCLUSION: The majority of patients who experienced dose tapering to withdrawal experienced a relapse. Long-term treatment with hetrombopag was effective in increasing and maintaining platelet count within the desired range in Chinese adults with ITP. Hetrombopag was well tolerated.

Prediction of postpartum hemorrhage in pregnant women with immune thrombocytopenia: Development and validation of the MONITOR model in a nationwide multicenter study.

Globally, postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) is the leading cause of maternal death. Women with immune thrombocytopenia (ITP) are at increased risk of developing PPH. Early identification of PPH helps to prevent adverse outcomes, but is underused because clinicians do not have a tool to predict PPH for women with ITP. We therefore conducted a nationwide multicenter retrospective study to develop and validate a prediction model of PPH in patients with ITP. We included 432 pregnant women (677 pregnancies) with primary ITP from 18 academic tertiary centers in China from January 2008 to August 2018. A total of 157 (23.2%) pregnancies experienced PPH. The derivation cohort included 450 pregnancies. For the validation cohort, we included 117 pregnancies in the temporal validation cohort and 110 pregnancies in the geographical validation cohort. We assessed 25 clinical parameters as candidate predictors and used multivariable logistic regression to develop our prediction model. The final model included seven variables and was named MONITOR (maternal complication, WHO bleeding score, antepartum platelet transfusion, placental abnormalities, platelet count, previous uterine surgery, and primiparity). We established an easy-to-use risk heatmap and risk score of PPH based on the seven risk factors. We externally validated this model using both a temporal validation cohort and a geographical validation cohort. The MONITOR model had an AUC of 0.868 (95% CI 0.828-0.909) in internal validation, 0.869 (95% CI 0.802-0.937) in the temporal validation, and 0.811 (95% CI 0.713-0.908) in the geographical validation. Calibration plots demonstrated good agreement between MONITOR-predicted probability and actual observation in both internal validation and external validation. Therefore, we developed and validated a very accurate prediction model for PPH. We hope that the model will contribute to more precise clinical care, decreased adverse outcomes, and better health care resource allocation.

A multicenter, randomized phase III trial of hetrombopag: a novel thrombopoietin receptor agonist for the treatment of immune thrombocytopenia.

BACKGROUND: Hetrombopag, a novel thrombopoietin receptor agonist, has been found in phase I studies to increase platelet counts and reduce bleeding risks in adults with immune thrombocytopenia (ITP). This phase III study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of hetrombopag in ITP patients. METHODS: Patients who had not responded to or had relapsed after previous treatment were treated with an initial dosage of once-daily 2.5 or 5 mg hetrombopag (defined as the HETROM-2.5 or HETROM-5 group) or with matching placebo in a randomized, double-blind, 10-week treatment period. Patients who received placebo and completed 10 weeks of treatment switched to receive eltrombopag, and patients treated with hetrombopag in the double-blind period continued hetrombopag during the following open-label 14-week treatment. The primary endpoint was the proportion of responders (defined as those achieving a platelet count of ≥ 50 × 109/L) after 8 weeks of treatment. RESULTS: The primary endpoint was achieved by significantly more patients in the HETROM-2.5 (58.9%; odds ratio [OR] 25.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 9.83-68.63; p < 0.0001) and HETROM-5 (64.3%; OR 32.81, 95% CI 12.39-86.87; p < 0.0001) group than in the Placebo group (5.9%). Hetrombopag was also superior to placebo in achieving a platelet response and in reducing the bleeding risk and use of rescue therapy throughout 8 weeks of treatment. The durable platelet response to hetrombopag was maintained throughout 24 weeks. The most common adverse events were upper respiratory tract infection (42.2%), urinary tract infection (17.1%), immune thrombocytopenic purpura (17.1%) and hematuria (15%) with 24-week hetrombopag treatment. CONCLUSIONS: In ITP patients, hetrombopag is efficacious and well tolerated with a manageable safety profile. Trial registration Clinical trials.gov NCT03222843 , registered July 19, 2017, retrospectively registered.

A risk score for predicting hospitalization for community-acquired pneumonia in ITP using nationally representative data.

Infection is one of the primary causes of death from immune thrombocytopenia (ITP), and the lungs are the most common site of infection. We identified the factors associated with hospitalization for community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) in nonsplenectomized adults with ITP and established the [corrected] (ACPA) prediction model to predict the incidence of hospitalization for CAP. This was a retrospective study of nonsplenectomized adult patients with ITP from 10 large medical centers in China. The derivation cohort included 145 ITP inpatients with CAP and 1360 inpatients without CAP from 5 medical centers, and the validation cohort included the remaining 63 ITP inpatients with CAP and 526 inpatients without CAP from the other 5 centers. The 4-item ACPA model, which included age, Charlson Comorbidity Index score, initial platelet count, and initial absolute lymphocyte count, was established by multivariable analysis of the derivation cohort. Internal and external validation were conducted to assess the performance of the model. The ACPA model had an area under the curve of 0.853 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.818-0.889) in the derivation cohort and 0.862 (95% CI, 0.807-0.916) in the validation cohort, which indicated the good discrimination power of the model. Calibration plots showed high agreement between the estimated and observed probabilities. Decision curve analysis indicated that ITP patients could benefit from the clinical application of the ACPA model. To summarize, the ACPA model was developed and validated to predict the occurrence of hospitalization for CAP, which might help identify ITP patients with a high risk of hospitalization for CAP.

Development and validation of a prediction model (AHC) for early identification of refractory thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura using nationally representative data.

Immune-mediated thrombotic thrombocytopenic purpura (iTTP) is a rare and life-threatening haematological emergency. Although therapeutic plasma exchange together with corticosteroids achieve successful outcomes, a considerable number of patients remain refractory to this treatment and require early initiation of intensive therapy. However, a method for the early identification of refractory iTTP is not available. To develop and validate a model for predicting the probability of refractory iTTP, a cohort of 265 consecutive iTTP patients from 17 large medical centres was retrospectively identified. The derivation cohort included 94 patients from 11 medical centres. For the validation cohort, we included 40 patients from the other six medical centres using geographical validation. An easy-to-use risk score system was generated, and its performance was assessed using internal and external validation cohorts. In the multivariable logistic analysis of the derivation cohort, three candidate predictors were entered into the final prediction model: age, haemoglobin and creatinine. The prediction model had an area under the curve of 0.886 (95% CI: 0.679-0.974) in the internal validation cohort and 0.862 (95% CI: 0.625-0.999) in the external validation cohort. The calibration plots showed a high agreement between the predicted and observed outcomes. In conclusion, we developed and validated a highly accurate prediction model for the early identification of refractory iTTP. It has the potential to guide tailored therapy and is a step towards more personalized medicine.