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Background: Faecal immunochemical testing (FIT) is recommended by the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence to triage symptomatic primary care patients who have unexplained symptoms but do not meet the criteria for a suspected lower gastrointestinal cancer pathway. During the COVID-19 pandemic, FIT was used to triage patients referred with urgent 2-week wait (2ww) cancer referrals instead of a direct-to-test strategy. FIT-negative patients were assessed and safety netted in a FIT negative clinic. Methods: We reviewed case notes for 622 patients referred on a 2ww pathway and seen in a FIT negative clinic between June 2020 and April 2021 in a tertiary care hospital. We collected information on demographics, indication for referral, dates for referral, clinic visit, investigations and long-term outcomes. Results: The average age of the patients was 71.5 years with 54% female, and a median follow-up of 2.5 years. Indications for referrals included: anaemia (11%), iron deficiency (24%), weight loss (9%), bleeding per rectum (5%) and change in bowel habits (61%). Of the cases, 28% (95% CI 24% to 31%) had endoscopic (15%, 95% CI 12% to 18%) and/or radiological (20%, 95% CI 17% to 23%) investigations requested after clinic review, and among those investigated, malignancy rate was 1.7%, with rectosigmoid neuroendocrine tumour, oesophageal cancer and lung adenocarcinoma. Conclusion: A FIT negative clinic provides a safety net for patients with unexplained symptoms but low risk of colorectal cancer. These real-world data demonstrate significantly reduced demand on endoscopy and radiology services for FIT-negative patients referred via the 2ww pathway.
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We describe three cases of critical acute myositis with myocarditis occurring within 22 days of each other at a single institution, all within 1 month of receiving the initial cycle of the anti-PD-1 drug pembrolizumab. Analysis of T cell receptor repertoires from peripheral blood and tissues revealed a high degree of clonal expansion and public clones between cases, with several T cell clones expanded within the skeletal muscle putatively recognizing viral epitopes. All patients had recently received a COVID-19 mRNA booster vaccine prior to treatment and were positive for SARS-CoV2 Spike antibody. In conclusion, we report a series of unusually severe myositis and myocarditis following PD-1 blockade and the COVID-19 mRNA vaccination.
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Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados , COVID-19 , Miocarditis , Miositis , SARS-CoV-2 , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados/efectos adversos , Anticuerpos Monoclonales Humanizados/uso terapéutico , COVID-19/prevención & control , COVID-19/inmunología , Vacunas contra la COVID-19/efectos adversos , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/efectos adversos , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/uso terapéutico , Miocarditis/inducido químicamente , Miositis/inducido químicamente , SARS-CoV-2/inmunología , Vacunación/efectos adversos , Anciano de 80 o más AñosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: This study evaluates the predictive value of copeptin for syndrome of inappropriate antidiuresis (SIAD) postpituitary transsphenoidal surgery (TSS). DESIGN: Data from 133 consecutive patients undergoing TSS (November 2017-October 2022) at Oxford University Hospitals NHS trust are presented in this retrospective study. METHODS: Logistic regression (LR) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were performed to evaluate the diagnostic utility of copeptin. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to compare copeptin levels between the SIAD and no SIAD groups. RESULTS: Fourteen patients (10.8%) developed SIAD. Copeptin was available in 121, 53 and 87 patients for Days 1, 241 and 8 post-TSS, respectively. LR for Day 1 copeptin to predict SIAD gave an odds ratio (OR) of 1.0 (95%CI 42 0.84-1.20, p = .99), area under-ROC curve (AUC) was 0.49; Day 2 copeptin OR was 0.65 (95%CI 0.39-1.19, 43 p = .77), AUC was 0.57 LR for Day 1 sodium to predict SIAD gave an odds ratio (OR) of 1.0 (95%CI 0.85-1.21, p = .99), AUC was 0.50. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, our data provide no evidence for copeptin as a predictive marker for post-TSS SIAD.
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Glicopéptidos , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Curva ROCRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To better understand testing patterns in children, we measured temporal trends in paediatric testing from 2005 to 2019 in Oxfordshire, UK. DESIGN: Descriptive study of population-based secondary data. SETTING: Oxfordshire University Hospitals National Health Service Trust laboratories. PARTICIPANTS: Children aged 0-15 years in Oxfordshire who received at least one blood test. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: We estimated average annual percentage changes (AAPCs) in test use using joinpoint regression models. Temporal changes in age-adjusted rates in test use were calculated overall and stratified by healthcare setting, sex, and age. RESULTS: Between 2005 and 2019, 1 749 425 tests were performed among 113 607 children. Overall test use declined until 2012, when test rates appeared to increase (AAPC 1.5%, 95% CI -0.8% to 3.9%). Most tests were performed in inpatient settings, where testing rates stayed steady (AAPC -0.6%, 95% CI -2.1% to 0.9%). Increases were highest in females, those aged 6-15 years and in the outpatient setting. The greatest increase in testing was for vitamin D (AAPC 26.5%), followed by parathyroid hormone (9.8%), iron studies (9.3%), folate (8.4%), vitamin B12 (8.4%), HbA1c (8.0%), IgA (7.9%) and coeliac (7.7%). CONCLUSIONS: After an initial decline, laboratory test use by children in Oxfordshire demonstrated an apparent increase since 2012. Test use increased in outpatient and general practice settings, however remained steady in inpatient settings. Further research should examine the root causes and implications for test increases, and whether these increases are warranted. We encourage clinicians to consider the individual and systemic implications of performing blood tests in children.
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Medicina Estatal , Vitaminas , Femenino , Humanos , Niño , Estudios Retrospectivos , Reino Unido/epidemiología , Pruebas Diagnósticas de RutinaRESUMEN
AIM: To characterise parathyroid hormone (PTH) concentrations in infants at high risk for metabolic bone disease, in order to assist clinical decisions around the use of PTH for screening. METHODS: Infants born under 28 weeks' postmenstrual age or with birthweight under 1.5 kg in a tertiary neonatal unit in the UK were included. Clinical guidance was to assess PTH concentration in the first 3 weeks after birth. Clinical information was extracted from prospective records. RESULTS: Sixty-four infants had mean birth gestation of 26 weeks and birthweight of 882 g. Median PTH (sent on median day 18 of life) was 9.2 pmol/L (interquartile range 5.3-17 pmol/L). Sixty-seven per cent of infants had a PTH greater than 7 pmol/L. For 22% of the infants, raised PTH was not accompanied by abnormal phosphate or alkaline phosphatase. Eighty-nine per cent of infants tested were insufficient or deficient for 25-hydroxyvitamin D. CONCLUSIONS: Universal screening highlights the high frequency of high PTH in this high-risk population, implying a need for calcium supplementation. A considerable number of infants would not be identified as showing potential signs of metabolic bone disease if the assessment excludes the use of PTH. The high level of 25-hydroxyvitamin D deficiency may be a confounder.
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Background: There is no consensus strategy for mineralocorticoid (MC) therapy titration in patients with primary adrenal insufficiency (PAI). We aim to measure serum fludrocortisone (sFC) and urine fludrocortisone (uFC) levels and to determine their utility, alongside clinical/biochemical variables and treatment adherence to guide MC replacement dose titration. Methods: Multi-centre, observational, cross-sectional study on 41 patients with PAI on MC replacement therapy. sFC and uFC levels (measured by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry), plasma renin concentration (PRC), electrolytes (Na+, K+), mean arterial blood pressure (MAP), total daily glucocorticoid (dGC) and MC (dMC) dose, and assessment of treatment adherence were incorporated into statistical models. Results: We observed a close relationship between sFC and uFC (r = 0.434, P = 0.005) and between sFC and the time from the last fludrocortisone dose (r = -0.355, P = 0.023). Total dMC dose was related to dGC dose (r = 0.556, P < 0.001), K+ (r = -0.388, P = 0.013) as well as sFC (r = 0.356, P = 0.022) and uFC (r = 0.531, P < 0.001). PRC was related to Na+ (r = 0.517, P < 0.001) and MAP (r = -0.427, P = 0.006), but not to MC dose, sFC or uFC. Regression analyses did not support a role for sFC, uFC or PRC measurements and confirmed K+ (B = -44.593, P = 0.005) as the most important variable to guide dMC titration. Of the patients, 32% were non-adherent with replacement therapy. When adherence was inserted into the regression model, it was the only factor affecting dMC. Conclusions: sFC and uFC levels are not helpful in guiding dMC titration. Treatment adherence impacts on clinical variables used to assess MC replacement and should be included as part of routine care in patients with PAI.
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Background: Diagnosis of hyperparathyroidism requires measurement of parathyroid hormone (PTH) in the context of the plasma calcium and other factors, such as vitamin D status and renal function. Accurate classification depends upon an appropriate population reference interval. We examined local population plasma PTH reference intervals at four different UK sites using a common platform. Methods: Plasma PTH results were extracted from laboratory information systems at four different UK sites, all using the Abbott Architect i2000 method. We included only people with normal adjusted serum calcium, magnesium, vitamin D, and renal function. Following outlier rejection lower and upper reference limits were derived. Results: An overall reference interval for plasma PTH of 3.0-13.7 pmol/L was observed using a non-parametric approach compared to 2.9-14.1 pmol/L using a parametric approach, notably higher than the manufacturer's representative range of 1.6-7.2 pmol/L. We also noted statistically significant differences (p < 0.00001) between some sites with upper limits ranging from 11.5 to 15.8 pmol/L which may be due to different population characteristics of each group. Conclusion: Locally derived reference intervals may be beneficial for UK populations and revised upper thresholds are necessary when using the Abbott PTH method to avoid inappropriate classification of patients as having hyperparathyroidism.
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Hiperparatiroidismo , Hormona Paratiroidea , Humanos , Calcio , Vitamina D , Reino Unido , Valores de ReferenciaRESUMEN
Background The SARS-Cov-2 Omicron variant demonstrates rapid spread but reduced disease severity. Studies evaluating lung imaging findings of Omicron infection versus non-Omicron infection remain lacking. Purpose To compare the Omicron variant with the SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant according to their chest CT radiologic pattern, biochemical parameters, clinical severity, and hospital outcomes after adjusting for vaccination status. Materials and Methods This retrospective study included hospitalized adult patients with reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction test results positive for SARS-CoV-2, with CT pulmonary angiography performed within 7 days of admission between December 1, 2021, and January 14, 2022. Multiple readers performed blinded radiologic analyses that included RSNA CT classification, chest CT severity score (CTSS) (range, 0 [least severe] to 25 [most severe]), and CT imaging features, including bronchial wall thickening. Results A total of 106 patients (Delta group, n = 66; Omicron group, n = 40) were evaluated (overall mean age, 58 years ± 18 [SD]; 58 men). In the Omicron group, 37% of CT pulmonary angiograms (15 of 40 patients) were categorized as normal compared with 15% (10 of 66 patients) of angiograms in the Delta group (P = .016). A generalized linear model was used to control for confounding variables, including vaccination status, and Omicron infection was associated with a CTSS that was 7.2 points lower than that associated with Delta infection (ß = -7.2; 95% CI: -9.9, -4.5; P < .001). Bronchial wall thickening was more common with Omicron infection than with Delta infection (odds ratio [OR], 2.4; 95% CI: 1.01, 5.92; P = .04). A booster shot was associated with a protective effect for chest infection (median CTSS, 5; IQR, 0-11) when compared with unvaccinated individuals (median CTSS, 11; IQR, 7.5-14.0) (P = .03). The Delta variant was associated with a higher OR of severe disease (OR, 4.6; 95% CI: 1.2, 26; P = .01) and admission to a critical care unit (OR, 7.0; 95% CI: 1.5, 66; P = .004) when compared with the Omicron variant. Conclusion The SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant was associated with fewer and less severe changes on chest CT images compared with the Delta variant. Patients with Omicron infection had greater frequency of bronchial wall thickening but less severe disease and improved hospital outcomes when compared with patients with Delta infection. © RSNA, 2022 Online supplemental material is available for this article.
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COVID-19 , Hepatitis D , Adulto , Masculino , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hospitales , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos XRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Diabetes insipidus (DI) is a recognised complication of pituitary surgery, with diagnosis requiring clinical observation aided by plasma and urine electrolytes and osmolalities. Copeptin is a stable surrogate marker of AVP release and has potential to facilitate prompt diagnosis of post-operative DI. This assay has been shown to accurately predict which patients are likely to develop DI following pituitary surgery. OBJECTIVE: To determine whether copeptin analysis can be used to predict which patients are at risk of developing DI following trans-sphenoidal surgery (TSS). METHODS: Seventy-eight patients undergoing TSS had samples taken for copeptin pre-operatively and at day 1 post-TSS. The majority of patients also had samples from day 2, day 8, and week 6 post-TSS. Results from patients who developed post-operative DI (based on clinical assessment, urine and plasma biochemistry and the need for treatment with DDAVP) were compared to those who did not. Patients with any evidence of pre-operative DI were excluded. RESULTS: Of 78 patients assessed, 11 were clinically determined to have developed DI. Differences were observed between patients with DI and those without in post-operative samples. Of note, there was a significant difference in plasma copeptin at day 1 post-operation (p = 0.010 on Kruskal-Wallis test), with copeptin levels greater than 3.4 pmol/l helping to rule out DI (91% sensitivity, 55% specificity at this cut off). CONCLUSION: In the post-TSS setting, copeptin is a useful rule-out test in patients with values above a defined threshold, which may facilitate earlier decision making and shorter hospital stays.
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Diabetes Insípida , Diabetes Mellitus , Enfermedades de la Hipófisis , Humanos , Diabetes Insípida/diagnóstico , Diabetes Insípida/etiología , Glicopéptidos , HipófisisRESUMEN
Treatment with immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) frequently triggers immune-related adverse events (irAEs), causing considerable morbidity. In 214 patients receiving ICB for melanoma, we observed increased severe irAE risk in minor allele carriers of rs16906115, intronic to IL7. We found that rs16906115 forms a B cell-specific expression quantitative trait locus (eQTL) to IL7 in patients. Patients carrying the risk allele demonstrate increased pre-treatment B cell IL7 expression, which independently associates with irAE risk, divergent immunoglobulin expression and more B cell receptor mutations. Consistent with the role of IL-7 in T cell development, risk allele carriers have distinct ICB-induced CD8+ T cell subset responses, skewing of T cell clonality and greater proportional repertoire occupancy by large clones. Finally, analysis of TCGA data suggests that risk allele carriers independently have improved melanoma survival. These observations highlight key roles for B cells and IL-7 in both ICB response and toxicity and clinical outcomes in melanoma.
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Interleucina-7 , Melanoma , Humanos , Interleucina-7/genética , Interleucina-7/uso terapéutico , Inhibidores de Puntos de Control Inmunológico/efectos adversos , Melanoma/tratamiento farmacológico , Melanoma/genética , Linfocitos T CD8-positivos , Variación GenéticaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Many people with undiagnosed diabetes have hyperglycaemia when admitted to hospital. Inpatient hyperglycaemia can be an indication of diabetes mellitus but can also indicate a stress response. This study reports the extent to which an in-hospital maximum observed random glucose measurement is an indicator of the need for in-hospital (or subsequent) HbA1c measurement to look for undiagnosed diabetes. METHODS: Blood glucose, HbA1c, age and sex were collected for all adults following admission to a UK NHS trust hospital from 1 January 2019 to 31 December 2020. We restricted the analysis to those participants who were registered with a GP practice that uses the trust laboratory and who had at least some tests requested by those practices since 2008. We stratified individuals according to their maximum in-hospital glucose measurement and report the number of these with HbA1c measurement ≥48 mmol/mol (6.5%) prior to the index admission, and during and after admission. We calculated an estimated proportion of individuals in each blood glucose stratum without a follow-up HbA1c who could have undiagnosed diabetes. RESULTS: In toal, 764,241 glucose measurements were recorded for 81,763 individuals who were admitted to the Oxford University Hospitals Trust. The median (Q1, Q3) age was 70 (56, 81) years, and 53% were males. Of the population, 70.7% of individuals declared themselves to be of White ethnicity, 3.1% of Asian background, and 1.1% of Black background, with 23.1% unstated. Of those individuals, 22,375 (27.4%) had no previous HbA1c measurement recorded. A total of 1689 individuals had a diabetes-range HbA1c during or after their hospital admission (2.5%) while we estimate an additional 1496 (2.2%) may have undiagnosed diabetes, with the greatest proportion of these having an in-hospital glucose of ≥15 mmol/L. We estimate that the number needed to detect a possible new case of diabetes falls from 16 (in-hospital glucose 8 mmol/L to <9 mmol/L) to 4 (14 mmol/L to <15 mmol/L). CONCLUSION: The number of people who need to be tested to identify an individual who may have diabetes decreases as a testing threshold based on maximum in-hospital glucose concentration increases. Among those with hyperglycaemia and no previous HbA1c measurement in the diabetes range, there appears to be a lack of subsequent HbA1c measurement. This work identifies the potential for integrating the testing and follow-up of people, with apparently unrecognised hospital hyperglycaemia across primary and secondary care.
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Diabetes Mellitus , Hiperglucemia , Adulto , Glucemia/análisis , Diabetes Mellitus/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus/epidemiología , Femenino , Hemoglobina Glucada/análisis , Hospitales Universitarios , Humanos , Hiperglucemia/diagnóstico , Hiperglucemia/epidemiología , Masculino , Estudios RetrospectivosRESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To investigate maternal lactate concentrations in labour and the puerperium. DESIGN: Reference study. SETTING: Tertiary obstetric unit. POPULATION: 1279 pregnant women with good perinatal outcomes at term. METHODS: Electronic patient records were searched for women who had lactate measured on the day of delivery or in the following 24 hours, but who were subsequently found to have a very low likelihood of sepsis, based on their outcomes. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The normative distribution of lactate and C-reactive protein (CRP), differences according to the mode of birth, and the proportion of results above the commonly used cut-offs (≥2 and ≥4 mmol/l). RESULTS: Lactate varied between 0.4-5.4 mmol/l (median 1.8 mmol/l, interquartile range [IQR] 1.3-2.5). It was higher in women who had vaginal deliveries than caesarean sections (median 1.9 vs. 1.6 mmol/l, pdiff < 0.001), demonstrating the association with labour (particularly active pushing in the second stage). In contrast, CRP was more elevated in women who had caesarean sections (median 71.8 mg/l) than those who had vaginal deliveries (33.4 mg/l, pdiff < 0.001). In total, 40.8% had a lactate ≥2 mmol/l, but 95.3% were <4 mmol/l. CONCLUSIONS: Lactate in labour and the puerperium is commonly elevated above the levels expected in healthy pregnant or non-pregnant women. There is a paucity of evidence to support using lactate or CRP to make decisions about antibiotics around the time of delivery but, as lactate is rarely higher than 4 mmol/l, this upper limit may still represent a useful severity marker for the investigation and management of sepsis in labour.
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Trabajo de Parto , Sepsis , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Ácido Láctico , Parto Obstétrico , Cesárea , Sepsis/diagnósticoRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Faecal immunochemical tests (FITs) are used to triage primary care patients with symptoms that could be caused by colorectal cancer for referral to colonoscopy. The aim of this study was to determine whether combining FIT with routine blood test results could improve the performance of FIT in the primary care setting. METHODS: Results of all consecutive FITs requested by primary care providers between March 2017 and December 2020 were retrieved from the Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust. Demographic factors (age, sex), reason for referral, and results of blood tests within 90 days were also retrieved. Patients were followed up for incident colorectal cancer in linked hospital records. The sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values of FIT alone, FIT paired with blood test results, and several multivariable FIT models, were compared. RESULTS: One hundred thirty-nine colorectal cancers were diagnosed (0.8%). Sensitivity and specificity of FIT alone at a threshold of 10 µg Hb/g were 92.1 and 91.5% respectively. Compared to FIT alone, blood test results did not improve the performance of FIT. Pairing blood test results with FIT increased specificity but decreased sensitivity. Multivariable models including blood tests performed similarly to FIT alone. CONCLUSIONS: FIT is a highly sensitive tool for identifying higher risk individuals presenting to primary care with lower risk symptoms. Combining blood test results with FIT does not appear to lead to better discrimination for colorectal cancer than using FIT alone.
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Neoplasias Colorrectales , Detección Precoz del Cáncer , Colonoscopía/métodos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Colorrectales/epidemiología , Detección Precoz del Cáncer/métodos , Humanos , Sangre Oculta , Atención Primaria de SaludRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Around one million individuals in the UK have heart failure (HF), a chronic disease that causes significant morbidity and mortality. N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) monitoring could help improve the care of patients with HF in the community. AIM: The aim of this study is to provide evidence to support the routine use of point-of-care (POC) NT-proBNP monitoring in primary care. DESIGN & SETTING: In this observational cohort study, the Roche Cobas h 232 POC device was used to measure NT-proBNP in 27 patients with HF at 0, 6, and 12 months, with a subset reanalysed in the laboratory for comparison. METHOD: Data were analysed for within-person and between-person variability and concordance with laboratory readings using Passing-Bablok regression. GPs reported whether POC results impacted clinical decisionmaking, and patients indicated their willingness to participate in long-term cohort studies using the Likert acceptability scale. RESULTS: Within-person variability in POC NT-proBNP over 12 months was 881 pg/mL (95% confidence interval [CI] = 380 to 1382 pg/mL). Between-person variability was 1972 pg/mL (95% CI = 1,525 to 2791 pg/mL). Passing-Bablok regression showed no significant systematic difference between POC and laboratory measurements. Patients indicated a high level of acceptability, and GP decisionmaking was affected for at least one visit in a third of patients. CONCLUSION: Within-person variability in POC NT-proBNP is around half of between-person variability, so detecting changes could be of use in HF management. High patient acceptability and impact on clinical decisionmaking warrant further investigation in a larger long-term cohort study.
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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Investigations in pregnancy should be interpreted using pregnancy-specific reference intervals (RIs). However, because of the progressive nature of pregnancy, even pregnancy-specific RIs may not be equally representative at different gestations. We proposed that gestational age-specific RIs may increase diagnostic accuracy over those with fixed limits. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The trajectory of platelets was mapped in 32,778 pregnant women, using 116,798 results. Then we evaluated the accuracy with which a low measurement in early pregnancy (<3rd centile) predicted thrombocytopaenia at term, compared to the existing limit (<150 × 109/L). RESULTS: Platelets fell by 14.8% between 8 and 40 weeks. Platelets below the 3rd centile before 20 weeks predicted thrombocytopaenia at term (<100 × 109/L) with a significantly greater degree of accuracy than a fixed limit (AUC 0.86 vs. 0.76, p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: Pregnancy-specific RIs can be defined using routinely collected hospital data, and the abundance of such freely available data enables a detailed investigation of temporal changes throughout gestation. Individualised RIs offer improved accuracy profiles, over and above those already derived specifically from pregnant populations. Clinicians should consider how this may be used to improve diagnostic accuracy for biomarkers used in current clinical practice, and those yet to be defined.
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Edad Gestacional , Biomarcadores , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Valores de ReferenciaRESUMEN
BACKGROUND: Using two large datasets from Dorset, we previously reported an internally validated multivariable risk model for predicting the risk of GI malignancy in IDA-the IDIOM score. The aim of this retrospective observational study was to validate the IDIOM model using two independent external datasets. METHODS: The external validation datasets were collected, in a secondary care setting, by different investigators from cohorts in Oxford and Sheffield derived under different circumstances, comprising 1117 and 474 patients with confirmed IDA respectively. The data were anonymised prior to analysis. The predictive performance of the original model was evaluated by estimating measures of calibration, discrimination and clinical utility using the validation datasets. RESULTS: The discrimination of the original model using the external validation data was 70% (95% CI 65, 75) for the Oxford dataset and 70% (95% CI 61, 79) for the Sheffield dataset. The analysis of mean, weak, flexible and across the risk groups' calibration showed no tendency for under or over-estimated risks in the combined validation data. Decision curve analysis demonstrated the clinical value of the IDIOM model with a net benefit that is higher than 'investigate all' and 'investigate no-one' strategies up to a threshold of 18% in the combined validation data, using a risk cut-off of around 1.2% to categorise patients into the very low risk group showed that none of the patients stratified in this risk group proved to have GI cancer on investigation in the validation datasets. CONCLUSION: This external validation exercise has shown promising results for the IDIOM model in predicting the risk of underlying GI malignancy in independent IDA datasets collected in different clinical settings.