Plasma calprotectin and new-onset type 2 diabetes in the general population: a prospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Systemic inflammation plays a pivotal role in the development of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Here we hypothesized that circulating levels of calprotectin, a myeloid cell-derived biomarker of inflammation, is associated with the development of new-onset T2D in the general population. METHODS: A total of 4,815 initially non-diabetic participants of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular ENd-stage Disease (PREVEND), a prospective population-based cohort study, were assessed for plasma levels of calprotectin at baseline. Circulating levels of calprotectin were investigated for potential associations with the risk of new-onset T2D, defined as a fasting plasma glucose level ≥7.0 mmol/l, a random plasma glucose level ≥11.1 mmol/l, a self-reported physician-based diagnosis of T2D, the use of glucose-lowering drugs, or any combinations thereof. RESULTS: Median plasma calprotectin levels were 0.49 [0.35-0.69] mg/l. Plasma calprotectin levels were significantly associated with the risk of new-onset T2D (hazard ratio [HR] per doubling 1.42 [95% confidence interval: 1.22-1.66], P<0.001). The association remained independent of adjustment for age and sex (HR 1.34 [95%CI: 1.14-1.57], P<0.001), but not after further adjustment for potentially confounding factors (HR 1.11 [95% CI: 0.90-1.37], P=0.326), with adjustment for hyperlipidemia and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein explaining the loss of significance. Stratified analyses showed significant effect modification by hypertension, history of cardiovascular disease and HOMA-IR (Pinteraction≤0.001 for each), with higher HRs in individuals without hypertension, without history of cardiovascular disease and with below-median HOMA-IR. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated plasma levels of calprotectin are associated with a higher risk of developing T2D in the general population and may represent a moveable inflammatory biomarker. This association, however, does not represent a direct effect, and seems dependent on hyperlipidemia and systemic inflammation.

Indirect Insulin Resistance Indices and Their Cut-Off Values for the Prediction of Post-Transplantation Diabetes Mellitus in Kidney Transplant Recipients.

BACKGROUND: Insulin resistance plays an important role in the development of post-transplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). Current methods for the direct determination of insulin resistance are complicated and invasive. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the relevance of indirect insulin resistance indices in relation to the development of PTDM in KTRs. METHODS: We included 472 stable outpatient KTRs without diabetes at baseline from a prospective cohort study. Four indirect insulin resistance indices, namely homeostasis model assessment-insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), visceral adiposity index (VAI), lipid accumulation product (LAP), and triglycerides-glucose (TyG) index, were assessed. We analyzed each measure using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve for PTDM development. The optimal cut-off value for each parameter was determined using the Youden index. RESULTS: After a median of 9.6 years (interquartile range (IQR) 6.6-10.2) of follow-up, 68 (14%) KTRs developed PTDM. In Cox regression analyses, all indirect insulin resistance indices associated with incident PTDM were independent of potential confounders. ROC curve was 0.764 (95% CI, 0.703-0.826) for HOMA-IR, 0.685 (95% CI, 0.615-0.757) for VAI, 0.743 (95% CI, 0.678-0.808) for LAP, and 0.698 (95% CI, 0.629-0.766) for TyG index, with respective optimal cut-off values of 2.47, 4.01, 87.0, and 4.94. CONCLUSIONS: Indirect insulin resistance indices can be used to predict incident PTDM in KTRs. In addition to HOMA-IR, insulin-free surrogates of insulin resistance might serve as useful methods to identify KTRs at risk of PTDM, thus obviating the necessity to measure insulin.

Circulating FGF21 Concentration, Fasting Plasma Glucose, and the Risk of Type 2 Diabetes: Results From the PREVEND Study.

OBJECTIVE: Fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) is a peptide hormone synthesized by several organs and regulates, among others, energy homeostasis. In obesity, insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes (T2D), higher circulating FGF21 concentrations have been found. Temporal analyses in murine studies demonstrate that FGF21 increases before insulin resistance occurs. The current study aims to investigate in time-to-event analyses whether FGF21 may be an early biomarker in the development of T2D. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Circulating FGF21 was measured using an immunoassay of the Mesoscale U-PLEX assay platform. The study outcome was incident T2D. Associations of circulating FGF21 concentration with T2D were quantified using Cox proportional hazards models with adjustments for potential confounders. RESULTS: We included 5244 participants aged 52 ± 12 years, of whom 50% were male. Median [interquartile range] circulating FGF21 concentration was 860 [525-1329] pg/mL. During 7.3 [6.1-7.7] years of follow-up, 299 (5.7%) participants developed T2D. In fully adjusted analyses, higher circulating FGF21 concentration was associated with an increased risk of incident T2D (hazard ratio per doubling: 1.26 [95% CI, 1.06-1.51]; P = 0.008), with effect modification by fasting plasma glucose, consistent with strengthening of the association at lower fasting glucose (interaction coefficient: -0.12; P = 0.022). CONCLUSION: Higher circulating FGF21 concentrations are independently associated with an increased risk of incident T2D in participants with a low fasting plasma glucose, making circulating FGF21 concentration a potential early biomarker for type 2 diabetes.

Fasting Proinsulin Independently Predicts Incident Type 2 Diabetes in the General Population.

Fasting proinsulin levels may serve as a marker of ß-cell dysfunction and predict type 2 diabetes (T2D) development. Kidneys have been found to be a major site for the degradation of proinsulin. We aimed to evaluate the predictive value of proinsulin for the risk of incident T2D added to a base model of clinical predictors and examined potential effect modification by variables related to kidney function. Proinsulin was measured in plasma with U-PLEX platform using ELISA immunoassay. We included 5001 participants without T2D at baseline and during a median follow up of 7.2 years; 271 participants developed T2D. Higher levels of proinsulin were associated with increased risk of T2D independent of glucose, insulin, C-peptide, and other clinical factors (hazard ratio (HR): 1.28; per 1 SD increase 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.08-1.52). Harrell's C-index for the Framingham offspring risk score was improved with the addition of proinsulin (p = 0.019). Furthermore, we found effect modification by hypertension (p = 0.019), eGFR (p = 0.020) and urinary albumin excretion (p = 0.034), consistent with an association only present in participants with hypertension or kidney dysfunction. Higher fasting proinsulin level is an independent predictor of incident T2D in the general population, particularly in participants with hypertension or kidney dysfunction.

Remnant lipoprotein cholesterol is associated with incident new onset diabetes after transplantation (NODAT) in renal transplant recipients: results of the TransplantLines Biobank and cohort Studies.

BACKGROUND: New onset diabetes after transplantation (NODAT) is a frequent and serious complication of renal transplantation resulting in worse graft and patient outcomes. The pathophysiology of NODAT is incompletely understood, and no prospective biomarkers have been established to predict NODAT risk in renal transplant recipients (RTR). The present work aimed to determine whether remnant lipoprotein (RLP) cholesterol could serve as such a biomarker that would also provide a novel target for therapeutic intervention. METHODS: This longitudinal cohort study included 480 RTR free of diabetes at baseline. 53 patients (11%) were diagnosed with NODAT during a median [interquartile range, IQR] follow-up of 5.2 [4.1-5.8] years. RLP cholesterol was calculated by subtracting HDL and LDL cholesterol from total cholesterol values (all directly measured). RESULTS: Baseline remnant cholesterol values were significantly higher in RTR who subsequently developed NODAT (0.9 [0.5-1.2] mmol/L vs. 0.6 [0.4-0.9] mmol/L, p = 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that higher RLP cholesterol values were associated with an increased risk of incident NODAT (log rank test, p < 0.001). Cox regression demonstrated a significant longitudinal association between baseline RLP cholesterol levels and NODAT (HR, 2.27 [1.64-3.14] per 1 SD increase, p < 0.001) that remained after adjusting for plasma glucose and HbA1c (p = 0.002), HDL and LDL cholesterol (p = 0.008) and use of immunosuppressive medication (p < 0.001), among others. Adding baseline remnant cholesterol to the Framingham Diabetes Risk Score significantly improved NODAT prediction (change in C-statistic, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that baseline RLP cholesterol levels strongly associate with incident NODAT independent of several other recognized risk factors.

Association of diuretic use with increased risk for long-term post-transplantation diabetes mellitus in kidney transplant recipients.

BACKGROUND: Post-transplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) is a major clinical problem in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). Diuretic-induced hyperglycaemia and diabetes have been described in the general population. We aimed to investigate whether diuretics also increase PTDM risk in KTRs. METHODS: We included 486 stable outpatient KTRs (with a functioning graft ≥1 year) without diabetes from a prospective cohort study. Participants were classified as diuretic users and non-users based on their medication use verified by medical records. RESULTS: At the baseline study, 168 (35%) KTRs used a diuretic (thiazide, n = 74; loop diuretic, n = 76; others, n = 18) and 318 KTRs did not use a diuretic. After 5.2 years [interquartile range (IQR) 4.0‒5.9] of follow up, 54 (11%) KTRs developed PTDM. In Cox regression analyses, diuretic use was associated with incident PTDM, independent of age, sex, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) {hazard ratio [HR] 3.28 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.84-5.83]; P <0.001}. Further adjustment for potential confounders, including lifestyle, family history of cardiovascular disease, use of other medication, kidney function, transplantation-specific parameters, BMI, lipids and blood pressure did not materially change the association. Moreover, in Cox regression analyses, both thiazide and loop diuretics associated with the development of PTDM, independent of age, sex, FPG and HbA1c [HR 2.70 (95% CI 1.24-5.29); P = 0.012 and HR 5.08 (95% CI 2.49-10.34); P <0.001), respectively]. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that diuretics overall are associated with an increased risk of developing PTDM in KTRs, independent of established risk factors for PTDM development. The association was present for both thiazide and loop diuretics.

Plasma creatine concentration is associated with incident hypertension in a cohort enriched for the presence of high urinary albumin concentration: the Prevention of Renal and Vascular Endstage Disease study.

OBJECTIVE: : Hypertension is a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, and premature death. Increased levels of creatine kinase are associated with development of hypertension. However, it is unknown if creatine, a substrate of CK, is associated with the development of hypertension. We therefore, aimed to investigate the association between plasma creatine concentration and incident hypertension. METHODS: We measured fasting plasma creatine concentrations by nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in participants of the population-based PREVEND study. The study outcome was incident hypertension, defined as either a SBP of at least 140 mmHg, a DBP of at least 90 mmHg, or the new usage of antihypertensive drugs. Participants with hypertension at baseline were excluded. RESULTS: We included 3135 participants (46% men) aged 49 ±â€Š10 years. Mean plasma creatine concentrations were 36.2 ±â€Š17.5 µmol/l, with higher concentrations in women than in men (42.2 ±â€Š17.6 versus 29.2 ±â€Š17.6 µmol/l; P < 0.001). During a median of 7.1 [interquartile range: 3.6-7.6] years of follow-up, 927 participants developed incident hypertension. Higher plasma creatine concentrations were associated with an increased risk of incident hypertension [HR per doubling of plasma creatine: 1.21 (95% confidence interval: 1.10-1.34); P < 0.001], which remained significant after adjustment for potential confounders. Sex-stratified analyses demonstrated higher plasma creatine that was independently associated with an increased risk of incident hypertension in men [hazard ratio: 1.26 (95% CI 1.11-1.44); P < 0.001], but not in women (hazard ratio: 1.13 (95% CI 0.96-1.33); P = 0.14]. Causal pathway analyses demonstrate that the association was not explained by sodium or protein intake. CONCLUSION: Higher plasma creatine is associated with an increased risk of hypertension in men. Future studies are warranted to determine the underlying mechanisms.

Androgens and Development of Posttransplantation Diabetes Mellitus in Male Kidney Transplant Recipients: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Prospective Study.

OBJECTIVE: Posttransplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM) effects up to 30% of all kidney transplant recipients (KTR). Recent studies in mice found that sufficient androgen levels are necessary for ß-cell health and adequate insulin secretion. This raises the question whether a similar relationship might be present in KTR. Hence, we hypothesized that dihydrotestosterone and testosterone are associated with the development of PTDM in male KTR. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We conducted a post hoc analyses of a prospective single-center cohort study including adult male KTR with a functioning graft ≥1 year posttransplantation. Androgen levels were assessed by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Development of PTDM was defined according to the American Diabetes Association's criteria. RESULTS: We included 243 male KTR (aged 51 ± 14 years), with a median dihydrotestosterone 0.9 (0.7-1.3) nmol/L and testosterone of 12.1 (9.4-15.8) nmol/L. During 5.3 (3.7-5.8) years of follow-up, 28 KTR (11.5%) developed PTDM. A clear association was observed, as 15 (19%), 10 (12%), and 3 (4%) male KTR developed PTDM in the respective tertiles of dihydrotestosterone (P = 0.008). In Cox regression analyses, both dihydrotestosterone and testosterone as continuous variables were inversely associated with the risk to development PTDM, independent of glucose and HbA1c (hazard ratio [HR] 0.31 [95% CI 0.16-0.59], P < 0.001; and HR 0.32 [95% CI 0.15-0.68], P = 0.003, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that low androgen levels are a novel potential modifiable risk factor for the development of PTDM in male KTR.

Triglyceride-rich lipoprotein and LDL particle subfractions and their association with incident type 2 diabetes: the PREVEND study.

BACKGROUND: Triglyceride-rich lipoproteins particles (TRLP) and low density lipoprotein particles (LDLP) vary in size. Their association with ß-cell function is not well described. We determined associations of TRLP and LDLP subfractions with ß-cell function, estimated as HOMA-ß, and evaluated their associations with incident T2D in the general population. METHODS: We included 4818 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) study without T2D at baseline. TRLP and LDLP subfraction concentrations and their average sizes were measured using the LP4 algorithm of the Vantera nuclear magnetic resonance platform. HOMA-IR was used as measure of insulin resistance. HOMA-ß was used as a proxy of ß-cell function. RESULTS: In subjects without T2D at baseline, very large TRLP, and LDL size were inversely associated with HOMA-ß, whereas large TRLP were positively associated with HOMA-ß when taking account of HOMA-IR. During a median follow-up of 7.3 years, 263 participants developed T2D. In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models, higher concentrations of total, very large, large, and very small TRLP (reflecting remnants lipoproteins) and greater TRL size were associated with an increased T2D risk after adjustment for relevant covariates, including age, sex, BMI, HDL-C, HOMA-ß, and HOMA-IR. On the contrary, higher concentrations of large LDLP and greater LDL size were associated with a lower risk of developing T2D. CONCLUSIONS: Specific TRL and LDL particle characteristics are associated with ß-cell function taking account of HOMA-IR. Moreover, TRL and LDL particle characteristics are differently associated with incident T2D, even when taking account of HOMA-ß and HOMA-IR.

HDL Particle Subspecies and Their Association With Incident Type 2 Diabetes: The PREVEND Study.

CONTEXT: High-density lipoproteins (HDL) may be protective against type 2 diabetes (T2D) development, but HDL particles vary in size and function, which could lead to differential associations with incident T2D. A newly developed nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR)-derived algorithm provides concentrations for 7 HDL subspecies. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to investigate the association of HDL particle subspecies with incident T2D in the general population. METHODS: Among 4828 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease (PREVEND) study without T2D at baseline, HDL subspecies with increasing size from H1P to H7P were measured by NMR (LP4 algorithm of the Vantera NMR platform). RESULTS: A total of 265 individuals developed T2D (median follow-up of 7.3 years). In Cox regression models, HDL size and H4P (hazard ratio [HR] per 1 SD increase 0.83 [95% CI, 0.69-0.99] and 0.85 [95% CI, 0.75-0.95], respectively) were inversely associated with incident T2D, after adjustment for relevant covariates. In contrast, levels of H2P were positively associated with incident T2D (HR 1.15 [95% CI, 1.01-1.32]). In secondary analyses, associations with large HDL particles and H6P were modified by body mass index (BMI) in such a way that they were particularly associated with a lower risk of incident T2D, in subjects with BMI < 30 kg/m2. CONCLUSION: Greater HDL size and lower levels of H4P were associated with a lower risk, whereas higher levels of H2P were associated with a higher risk of developing T2D. In addition, large HDL particles and H6P were inversely associated with T2D in nonobese subjects.

Plasma C-Peptide and Risk of Developing Type 2 Diabetes in the General Population.

C-peptide measurement may represent a better index of pancreatic ß-cell function compared to insulin. While insulin is mainly cleared by liver, C-peptide is mainly metabolized by kidneys. The aim of our study was to evaluate the association between baseline plasma C-peptide level and the development of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose and insulin levels and to examine potential effect-modification by variables related to kidney function. We included 5176 subjects of the Prevention of Renal and Vascular End-Stage Disease study without type 2 diabetes at baseline. C-peptide was measured in plasma with an electrochemiluminescent immunoassay. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to evaluate the association between C-peptide level and type 2 diabetes development. Median C-peptide was 722 (566-935) pmol/L. During a median follow-up of 7.2 (6.0-7.7) years, 289 individuals developed type 2 diabetes. In multivariable-adjusted Cox regression models, we observed a significant positive association of C-peptide with the risk of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose and insulin levels (hazard ratio (HR): 2.35; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.49-3.70). Moreover, we found significant effect modification by hypertension and albuminuria (p < 0.001 and p = 0.001 for interaction, respectively), with a stronger association in normotensive and normo-albuminuric subjects and absence of an association in subjects with hypertension or albuminuria. In this population-based cohort, elevated C-peptide levels are associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes independent of glucose, insulin levels, and clinical risk factors. Elevated C-peptide level was not independently associated with an increased risk of type 2 diabetes in individuals with hypertension or albuminuria.

High-Density Lipoprotein Particles and Their Relationship to Posttransplantation Diabetes Mellitus in Renal Transplant Recipients.

High concentrations of high-density lipoprotein (HDL) cholesterol are likely associated with a lower risk of posttransplantation diabetes mellitus (PTDM). However, HDL particles vary in size and density with yet unestablished associations with PTDM risk. The aim of our study was to determine the association between different HDL particles and development of PTDM in renal transplant recipients (RTRs). We included 351 stable outpatient adult RTRs without diabetes at baseline evaluation. HDL particle characteristics and size were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy. During 5.2 (IQR, 4.1‒5.8) years of follow-up, 39 (11%) RTRs developed PTDM. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, levels of HDL cholesterol (hazard ratio [HR] 0.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.40-0.94 per 1SD increase; p = 0.024) and of large HDL particles (HR 0.68, 95% CI 0.50-0.93 per log 1SD increase; p = 0.017), as well as larger HDL size (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.36-0.93 per 1SD increase; p = 0.025) were inversely associated with PTDM development, independently of relevant covariates including, age, sex, body mass index, medication use, transplantation-specific parameters, blood pressure, triglycerides, and glucose. In conclusion, higher concentrations of HDL cholesterol and of large HDL particles and greater HDL size were associated with a lower risk of PTDM development in RTRs, independently of established risk factors for PTDM development.