Oxaliplatin-Based Adjuvant Chemotherapy in Older Patients With Stage III Colon Cancer: An ACCENT/IDEA Pooled Analysis of 12 Trials.

PURPOSE: A number of studies suggest that older patients may have reduced or no benefit from the addition of oxaliplatin to fluoropyrimidines as adjuvant chemotherapy for stage III colon cancer (CC). MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied the prognostic impact of age, as well as treatment adherence/toxicity patterns according to age, in patients with stage III CC who received 3 or 6 months of infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin/capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) on the basis of data collected from trials from the ACCENT and IDEA databases. Associations between age and time to recurrence (TTR), disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), survival after recurrence (SAR), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were assessed by a Cox model or a competing risk model, stratified by studies and adjusted for sex, performance status, T and N stage, and year of enrollment. RESULTS: A total of 17,909 patients were included; 24% of patients were age older than 70 years (n = 4,340). Patients age ≥70 years had higher rates of early treatment discontinuation. Rates of grade ≥3 adverse events were similar between those older and younger than 70 years, except for diarrhea and neutropenia that were more frequent in older patients treated with CAPOX (14.2% v 11.2%; P = .01 and 12.1% v 9.6%; P = .04, respectively). In multivariable analysis, TTR was not significantly different between patients <70 years and those ≥70 years, but DFS, OS, SAR, and CSS were significantly shorter in those patients ≥70 years. CONCLUSION: In patients ≥70 years with stage III CC fit enough to be enrolled in clinical trials, oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy was well tolerated and led to similar TTR compared with younger patients, suggesting similar efficacy. TTR may be a more appropriate end point for efficacy in this patient population.

Prognostic and Predictive Value of Immunoscore in Stage III Colorectal Cancer: Pooled Analysis of Cases From the SCOT and IDEA-HORG Studies.

PURPOSE: Immunoscore (IS) is prognostic in stage III colorectal cancer (CRC) and may predict benefit of duration (6 v 3 months) of adjuvant infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) chemotherapy. We sought to determine IS prognostic and predictive value in stage-III CRC treated with adjuvant FOLFOX or oral capecitabine and infusional oxaliplatin (CAPOX) in the SCOT and IDEA-HORG trials. METHODS: Three thousand sixty-one cases had tumor samples, of which 2,643 (1,792 CAPOX) were eligible for IS testing. Predefined cutoffs (IS-Low and IS-High) were used to classify cases into two groups for analysis of disease-free survival (3-year DFS) and multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (mvHRs) by Cox regression. RESULTS: IS was determined in 2,608 (99.5%) eligible cases, with 877 (33.7%) samples classified as IS-Low. IS-Low tumors were more commonly high-risk (T4 and/or N2; 52.9% IS-Low v 42.2% IS-High; P < .001) and in younger patients (P = .024). Patients with IS-Low tumors had significantly shorter DFS in the CAPOX, FOLFOX, and combined cohorts (mvHR, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.28 to 1.82]; mvHR, 1.58 [95% CI, 1.22 to 2.04]; and mvHR, 1.55 [95% CI, 1.34 to 1.79], respectively; P < .001 all comparisons), regardless of sex, BMI, clinical risk group, tumor location, treatment duration, or chemotherapy regimen. IS prognostic value was greater in younger (≤65 years) than older (>65 years) patients in the CAPOX cohort (mvHR, 1.92 [95% CI, 1.50 to 2.46] v 1.28 [95% CI, 1.01 to 1.63], PINTERACTION = .026), and in DNA mismatch repair proficient than deficient mismatch repair disease (mvHR, 1.68 [95% CI, 1.41 to 2.00] v 0.67 [95% CI, 0.30 to 1.49], PINTERACTION = .03), although these exploratory analyses were uncorrected for multiple testing. Adding IS to a model containing all clinical variables significantly improved prediction of DFS (likelihood ratio test, P < .001) regardless of MMR status. CONCLUSION: IS is prognostic in stage III CRC treated with FOLFOX or CAPOX, including within clinically relevant tumor subgroups. Possible variation in IS prognostic value by age and MMR status, and prediction of benefit from extended adjuvant therapy merit validation.

RETRO-TAS, a Retrospective Observational Study of Trifluridine/Tipiracil in Chemorefractory Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Trifluridine/tipiracil (FTD/TPI) is an oral antimetabolite agent comprised of trifluridine, a thymidine-based nucleoside analogue that inhibits cell proliferation following its incorporation into DNA, and tipiracil that helps maintain the blood concentration of trifluridine by inhibiting the enzyme thymidine phosphorylase which inactivates trifluridine. It is approved as a third-line treatment option for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) and is administered at 35 mg/m2 two times daily from day 1 to 5 and from day 8 to 12 every 28 days. The aim of this investigator-initiated retrospective study (RETRO-TAS; NCT04965870) was to document real-world data on the clinical efficacy of FTD/TPI in patients with chemorefractory mCRC. METHODS: The clinical characteristics of patients with mCRC treated with FTD/TPI in 8 Cancer Centres were collected to assess physician's choice in the third or beyond line of treatment as well as the duration of treatment, dose modification, and toxicity. In addition, other important prognostic features related to mCRC such as molecular profile, performance status (PS), and primary site were analyzed. Statistical analysis for progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), 6-/8-month PFS rate and disease control rate (DCR) along with Cox regression model, Kaplan-Meier curves, and log-rank tests were carried out by using Stata/MP 16.0 for Windows. RESULTS: From October 2018 to October 2021, a total of 200 patients with mCRC and a median age of 67.0 (IQR 58.0, 75.0) years were treated with FTD/TPI. Τhe median follow-up time was 14 months (IQR 7, 23), 158 PDs and 106 deaths were reported at the time of this analysis. Of all the patients, 58% were males and 58% had mCRC at diagnosis. The molecular analysis identified mutations in KRAS (52%), NRAS (5%), HER2 (3.5%), BRAF (3.5%), and MSI (9%). Previous treatments included radical surgery in 51.5% and adjuvant chemotherapy in 39.5% of patients. FTD/TPI was administered in the third- (70.5%), fourth- (17.0%), or fifth-line (12.5%) treatment setting. Serious adverse events related to FTD/TPI included neutropenia (2%), anaemia (1%), thrombocytopenia (0.5%), diarrhoea (0.5%), nausea (0.5%), and fatigue (4%). A reduction of FTD/TPI dose, delay of next cycle initiation, and shorter duration were reported in 25%, 31%, and 14.5% of patients, respectively. Of all the patients 71.5% received FTD/TPI as monotherapy, 24.5% in combination with bevacizumab, and 4.0% with an anti-EGFR agent. The median FTD/TPI treatment duration was 119.5 days and 81% of patients discontinued treatment due to progressive disease. The DCR recorded by investigators' assessment was 45.5%. The median PFS was 4.8 and the median OS was 11.4 months. The 6- and the 8-month PFS rate was 41.4% and 31.5%, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, PS > 1 and presence of liver and lung metastasis were adversely associated with PFS and OS whereas mutational status and tumor sidedness were not. CONCLUSIONS: RETRO-TAS is a real-world observational study that confirms and adds on the findings of the pivotal RECOURSE Phase III study in relation to the efficacy of FTD/TPI in the third-line setting and in all subgroups of patients regardless of mutational status and sidedness.

Prognostic Impact of Early Treatment and Oxaliplatin Discontinuation in Patients With Stage III Colon Cancer: An ACCENT/IDEA Pooled Analysis of 11 Adjuvant Trials.

PURPOSE: Oxaliplatin-based adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with stage III colon cancer (CC) for 6 months remains a standard in high-risk stage III patients. Data are lacking as to whether early discontinuation of all treatment (ETD) or early discontinuation of oxaliplatin (EOD) could worsen the prognosis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We studied the prognostic impact of ETD and EOD in patients with stage III CC from the ACCENT/IDEA databases, where patients were planned to receive 6 months of infusional fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin or capecitabine plus oxaliplatin. ETD was defined as discontinuation of treatment and EOD as discontinuation of oxaliplatin only before patients had received a maximum of 75% of planned cycles. Association between ETD/EOD and overall survival and disease-free survival (DFS) were assessed by Cox models adjusted for established prognostic factors. RESULTS: Analysis of ETD and EOD included 10,447 (20.9% with ETD) and 7,243 (18.8% with EOD) patients, respectively. Compared with patients without ETD or EOD, patients with ETD or EOD were statistically more likely to be women, with Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status ≥ 1, and for ETD, older with a lower body mass index. In multivariable analyses, ETD was associated with a decrease in disease-free survival and overall survival (hazard ratio [HR], 1.61, P < .001 and HR, 1.73, P < .001), which was not the case for EOD (HR, 1.07, P = .3 and HR, 1.13, P = .1). However, patients who received < 50% of the planned cycles of oxaliplatin had poorer outcomes. CONCLUSION: In patients treated with 6 months of oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy for stage III CC, ETD was associated with poorer oncologic outcomes. However, this was not the case for EOD. These data favor discontinuing oxaliplatin while continuing fluoropyrimidine in individuals with significant neurotoxicity having received > 50% of the planned 6-month chemotherapy.

Early-Onset Colorectal Adenocarcinoma in the IDEA Database: Treatment Adherence, Toxicities, and Outcomes With 3 and 6 Months of Adjuvant Fluoropyrimidine and Oxaliplatin.

PURPOSE: Early-onset (EO) colorectal cancer (CRC, age < 50 years) incidence is increasing. Decisions on optimal adjuvant therapy should consider treatment adherence, adverse events, and expected outcomes in a population with life expectancy longer than later-onset (LO) CRC (age ≥ 50 years). MATERIALS AND METHODS: Individual patient data from six trials in the International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy database were analyzed. Characteristics, treatment adherence, and adverse events in stage II or III EO-CRC and LO-CRC were compared. To reduce confounders of non-cancer-related deaths because of age or comorbidities, time to recurrence (3-year relapse-free rate) and cancer-specific survival (5-year cancer-specific mortality rate) were considered. RESULTS: Out of 16,349 patients, 1,564 (9.6%) had EO-CRC. Compared with LO-CRC, EO-CRC had better performance status (86% v 80%, P < .01), similar T stage (% T1-3/T4: 76/24 v 77/23, P = .97), higher N2 disease rate (24% v 22%, P < .01), more likely to complete the planned treatment duration (83.2% v 78.2%, P < .01), and received a higher treatment dose intensity, especially with 6-month regimens. Gastrointestinal toxicity was more common in EO-CRC; hematologic toxicity was more frequent in LO-CRC. Compared with LO-CRC, significantly worse cancer-specific outcomes were demonstrated especially in high-risk stage III EO-CRC: lower 3-year relapse-free rate (54% v 65%; hazard ratio [HR] 1.33; 95% CI, 1.14 to 1.55; P value < .001) and higher 5-year cancer-specific mortality rate (24% v 20%; HR 1.21; 95% CI, 1.00 to 1.47; P value < .06). In this subgroup, no difference was observed with 3 or 6 months of therapy, with equally poor disease-free survival rates (57% v 56%; HR 0.97; 95% CI, 0.73 to 1.29; P value = .85). CONCLUSION: Young age is negatively prognostic in high-risk stage III CRC and associated with significantly higher relapse rate; this is despite better treatment adherence and higher administered treatment intensity, suggesting more aggressive disease biology.

A neural pathomics framework for classifying colorectal cancer histopathology images based on wavelet multi-scale texture analysis.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) constitutes the third most commonly diagnosed cancer in males and the second in females. Precise histopathological classification of CRC tissue pathology is the cornerstone not only for diagnosis but also for patients' management decision making. An automated system able to accurately classify different CRC tissue regions may increase diagnostic precision and alleviate clinical workload. However, tissue classification is a challenging task due to the variability in morphological and textural characteristics present in histopathology images. In this study, an artificial neural network was trained to classify between eight classes of CRC tissue image patches derived from a public dataset with 5000 CRC histopathology image tiles. A total of 532 multi-level pathomics features examined at different scales were extracted by visual descriptors such as local binary patterns, wavelet transforms and Gabor filters. An exhaustive evaluation involving a variety of wavelet families and parameters was performed in order to shed light on the impact of scale on pathomics based CRC tissue differentiation. Our model achieved a performance accuracy of 95.3% with tenfold cross validation demonstrating superior performance compared to 87.4% reported in recent studies. Furthermore, we experimentally showed that the first and the second levels of the wavelet approximations can be used without compromising classification performance.

A feasibility study of circulating melanoma cells in the perioperative context of hyperthermic isolated limb perfusion (HILP) in 20 patients.

INTRODUCTION: Hyperthermic Ιsolated Limb Perfusion using melphalan and TNFα (TM-HILP) is a regional chemotherapy method for advanced melanoma. PURPOSE: To explore the feasibility of the study of Circulating Melanoma Cells (CMCs) in the context of acute physiological changes induced by TM-HILP and their association with oncological outcomes. METHODS: The study included 20 patients undergoing TM-HILP for unresectable in-transit melanoma of the limbs, stage III(B/C/D). CMCs in the peripheral blood were analyzed at 5-time points from the preoperative day until day 7 from surgery using the following biomarkers: MITF, Tyrosinase mRNA, Melan-A and S100b, through quantitative RT-PCR. RESULTS: No CMCs according to Tyrosinase and Melan-A biomarkers were found in any sample. Friedman test showed significant alterations perioperatively for MITF (p < .001) and S100b (p = .001). Pairwise tests showed a significant increase of MITF levels on postoperative day 7 compared with postoperative day 1, intraoperative and preoperative levels (p < .05). Pairwise tests for S100b showed a significant difference between intraoperative sample and postoperative day 7 (p < .0001). Patients who experienced a complete response to TM-HILP (n = 12) had higher mean levels of MITF and the difference was significant at the time point immediately after the operation (0.29 ± 0.27 vs. 0.06 ± 0.06, p = .014) and on postoperative day 1 (1.48 ± 2.24 vs. 0.41 ± 0.65, p = .046). There was no association of MITF or S100b levels with 4-year disease specific survival. CONCLUSION: TM-HILP is associated with increased levels of CMCs, but there was no association of this increase with survival. Patients with complete response to HILP demonstrate higher values of MITF shortly after the operation.

Duration of Adjuvant Doublet Chemotherapy (3 or 6 months) in Patients With High-Risk Stage II Colorectal Cancer.

PURPOSE: As oxaliplatin results in cumulative neurotoxicity, reducing treatment duration without loss of efficacy would benefit patients and healthcare providers. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Four of the six studies in the International Duration of Adjuvant Chemotherapy (IDEA) collaboration included patients with high-risk stage II colon and rectal cancers. Patients were treated (clinician and/or patient choice) with either fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) or capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) and randomly assigned to receive 3- or 6-month treatment. The primary end point is disease-free survival (DFS), and noninferiority of 3-month treatment was defined as a hazard ratio (HR) of < 1.2- v 6-month arm. To detect this with 80% power at a one-sided type one error rate of 0.10, a total of 542 DFS events were required. RESULTS: 3,273 eligible patients were randomly assigned to either 3- or 6-month treatment with 62% receiving CAPOX and 38% FOLFOX. There were 553 DFS events. Five-year DFS was 80.7% and 83.9% for 3-month and 6-month treatment, respectively (HR, 1.17; 80% CI, 1.05 to 1.31; P [for noninferiority] .39). This crossed the noninferiority limit of 1.2. As in the IDEA stage III analysis, the duration effect appeared dependent on the chemotherapy regimen although a test of interaction was negative. HR for CAPOX was 1.02 (80% CI, 0.88 to 1.17), and HR for FOLFOX was 1.41 (80% CI, 1.18 to 1.68). CONCLUSION: Although noninferiority has not been demonstrated in the overall population, the convenience, reduced toxicity, and cost of 3-month adjuvant CAPOX suggest it as a potential option for high-risk stage II colon cancer if oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy is suitable. The relative contribution of the factors used to define high-risk stage II disease needs better understanding.

Effect of duration of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage III colon cancer (IDEA collaboration): final results from a prospective, pooled analysis of six randomised, phase 3 trials.

BACKGROUND: A prospective, pooled analysis of six randomised phase 3 trials was done to investigate disease-free survival regarding non-inferiority of 3 months versus 6 months of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage III colon cancer; non-inferiority was not shown. Here, we report the final overall survival results. METHODS: In this prospective, pooled analysis of six randomised phase 3 trials, we included patients with stage III colon cancer aged at least 18 years with an Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status of 0-1 recruited between June 20, 2007, and Dec 31, 2015, across 12 countries in the CALGB/SWOG 80702, IDEA France, SCOT, ACHIEVE, TOSCA, and HORG trials, who started any treatment (modified intention-to-treat). Patients in all trials were randomly assigned to 3 months or 6 months of adjuvant fluorouracil, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin (FOLFOX) every 2 weeks or capecitabine and oxaliplatin (CAPOX) in different doses and methods every 3 weeks, at the treating physician's discretion. The primary endpoint was disease-free survival (time to relapse, secondary colorectal primary tumour, or death due to all causes), and overall survival (time to death due to all causes) was the prespecified secondary endpoint. The non-inferiority margin for overall survival was set as a hazard ratio (HR) of 1·11. Pre-planned subgroup analyses included regimen and risk group. Non-inferiority was declared if the one-sided false discovery rate adjusted (FDRadj) p value was less than 0·025. FINDINGS: With median follow-up of 72·3 months (IQR 72·2-72·5), 2584 deaths among 12 835 patients were observed. 5064 (39·5%) patients received CAPOX and 7771 (60·5%) received FOLFOX. 5-year overall survival was 82·4% (95% CI 81·4-83·3) with 3 months of therapy and 82·8% (81·8-83·8) with 6 months of therapy (HR 1·02 [95% CI 0·95-1·11]; non-inferiority FDRadj p=0·058). For patients treated with CAPOX, 5-year overall survival was 82·1% (80·5-83·6) versus 81·2% (79·2-82·9; HR 0·96 [0·85-1·08]); non-inferiority FDRadj p=0·033), and for patients treated with FOLFOX 5-year overall survival was 82·6% (81·3-83·8) and 83·8% (82·6-85·0; HR 1·07 [0·97-1·18]; non-inferiority FDRadj p=0·34). Updated disease-free survival results confirmed previous findings (HR 1·08 [95% CI 1·02-1·15]; non-inferiority FDRadj p=0·25). Data on adverse events were not further recorded. INTERPRETATION: Non-inferiority of 3 months versus 6 months of adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage III colon cancer was not confirmed in terms of overall survival, but the absolute 0·4% difference in 5-year overall survival should be placed in clinical context. Overall survival results support the use of 3 months of adjuvant CAPOX for most patients with stage III colon cancer. This conclusion is strengthened by the substantial reduction of toxicities, inconveniencies, and cost associated with a shorter treatment duration. FUNDING: US National Cancer Institute.

A new prognostic and predictive tool for shared decision making in stage III colon cancer.

BACKGROUND: Survival of patients with stage III colon cancer varies widely according to T-N sub-stages. Estimating the benefit of each therapeutic option in each T-N subgroup may provide more accurate information helping doctors and patients in the complex shared decision-making process surrounding adjuvant therapy. METHODS: The outcomes data of 12,834 patients with stage III colon cancer enrolled in the IDEA trial served as our database. Patients were categorised in 16 sub-stages, based on T-N categories. We created a meta-regression model to predict the expected 5-year DFS within each T-N sub-stage. We then evaluated the efficacy of each therapeutic option in every sub-stage, working backward by subtraction, using an average of the HRs reported in pertinent trial publications as a conversion factor. RESULTS: Large differences in 5-year DFS rate were observed among the subgroups, ranging from 89% (T1N1a) to 31% (T4N2b) in the overall population. The contribution to the outcome of each therapeutic option in this setting varied widely across sub-stages. According to our model, patients with T1N1a cancers have a projected 5-year DFS of 79.6% with surgery alone. Adjuvant fluoropyrimidine alone results in 5.6% absolute DFS gain; an additional 2.3% and 0.8% gain is seen with oxaliplatin for 3 and 6 months, respectively. Patients with T4N2b cancers show a 13.9% 5-year DFS with surgery alone, and an 11.2%, 6.4%, 2.5% increase with the aforementioned adjuvant options, respectively. CONCLUSION: The resulting overlay bar graph gives patients and doctors the projected relative benefit of each treatment option and may substantially help the shared decision-making process, although caution must be exercised in using this model due to the significant variance of the estimates.

Artificial intelligence radiogenomics for advancing precision and effectiveness in oncologic care (Review).

The new era of artificial intelligence (AI) has introduced revolutionary data­driven analysis paradigms that have led to significant advancements in information processing techniques in the context of clinical decision­support systems. These advances have created unprecedented momentum in computational medical imaging applications and have given rise to new precision medicine research areas. Radiogenomics is a novel research field focusing on establishing associations between radiological features and genomic or molecular expression in order to shed light on the underlying disease mechanisms and enhance diagnostic procedures towards personalized medicine. The aim of the current review was to elucidate recent advances in radiogenomics research, focusing on deep learning with emphasis on radiology and oncology applications. The main deep learning radiogenomics architectures, together with the clinical questions addressed, and the achieved genetic or molecular correlations are presented, while a performance comparison of the proposed methodologies is conducted. Finally, current limitations, potentially understudied topics and future research directions are discussed.

Guidelines for time-to-event end-point definitions in adjuvant randomised trials for patients with localised colon cancer: Results of the DATECAN initiative.

BACKGROUND: The variability of definitions for time-to-event (TTE) end-points impacts the conclusions of randomised clinical trials (RCTs). The Definition for the Assessment of Time-to-event Endpoints in CANcer (DATECAN) initiative aims to provide consensus definitions for TTE end-points used in RCTs. Here, we formulate guidelines for adjuvant colon cancer RCTs. METHODS: We performed a literature review to identify TTE end-points and events included in their definition in RCT publications. Then, a consensus was reached among a panel of international experts, using a formal modified Delphi method, with 2 rounds of questionnaires and an in-person meeting. RESULTS: Twenty-four experts scored 72 events involved in 6 TTE end-points. Consensus was reached for 24%, 57% and 100% events after the first round, second round and in-person meeting. For RCTs not using overall survival as their primary end-point, the experts recommend using disease-free survival (DFS) rather than recurrence-free survival (RFS) or time to recurrence (TTR) as the primary end-point. The consensus definition of DFS includes all causes of death, second primary colorectal cancers (CRCs), anastomotic relapse and metastatic relapse as an event, but not second primary non-CRCs. Events included in the RFS definition are the same as for DFS with the exception of second primary CRCs. The consensus definition of TTR includes anastomotic or metastatic relapse, death with evidence of recurrence and death from CC cause. CONCLUSION: Standardised definitions of TTE end-points ensure the reproducibility of the end-points between RCTs and facilitate cross-trial comparisons. These definitions should be integrated in standard practice for the design, reporting and interpretation of adjuvant CC RCTs.

Brain and bone marrow metastases from rectal cancer.

Despite the development of new treatment options based on the molecular characterization of colorectal cancer, 20% of patients present de novo metastatic disease, whereas 30-40% of patients who receive curative treatment relapse during follow up. Herein, we report 2 cases with rectal cancer that developed uncommon sites of metastasis; the first patient had an isolated breast metastasis, while the second patient developed bone marrow infiltration with synchronous brain metastases. In order to evaluate the uncommon metastatic pattern of rectal cancer, we detected and enumerated circulating tumor cells (CTCs) using both immunofluorescence and real-time reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction in these patients' peripheral blood. The procedure revealed the presence of CTCs, positive for CEACAM5 but negative for epithelial phenotype (EpCAM-), that might explain the patients' metastatic potential and survival.

AMALTHEA: Prospective, Single-Arm Study of the Hellenic Cooperative Oncology Group (HeCOG) Evaluating Efficacy and Safety of First-Line FOLFIRI + Aflibercept for 6 Months Followed by Aflibercept Maintenance in Patients With Metastatic Colorectal Cancer.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of the FOLFIRI (leucovorin, 5-fluorouracil, irinotecan, and oxaliplatin) regimen combined with aflibercept has not been studied in the first-line management of patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). PATIENTS AND METHODS: In the context of a prospective single-arm trial (NCT02129257), patients with mCRC received standard doses of a maximum of 12 cycles of FOLFIRI combined with aflibercept (4 mg/kg body weight delivered intravenously) every 2 weeks, followed by aflibercept maintenance. Endpoints were 12-month progression-free survival rate, efficacy, and toxicity. RESULTS: Seventy-three fit patients were enrolled onto the study between 2014 and 2016. Median relative dose intensities administered were 0.80 for irinotecan and 1.0 for aflibercept. The most common grade 3/4 adverse events were neutropenia (13 patients, 18%), febrile neutropenia (3 patients, 4%), diarrhea (11 patients, 15%), hypertension (19 patients, 26%), proteinuria (8 patients, 11%), infections (8 patients, 11%), and mucositis (6 patients, 8%), with no toxic deaths. The objective response rate was 46.6%, significantly associated with the presence of right-sided primary, synchronous metastases, and a relapse-free interval of < 12 months (odds ratio = 3.00, 2.92, and 3.75 respectively, P ≤ .05). Intermediate infiltration by stromal core lymphocytes correlated with progression-free survival (hazard ratio = 0.40, [95% confidence interval (CI), 0.19-0.83], P = .014). At a median follow-up of 24.5 months, 12-month progression-free survival rate was 21.9% (median overall survival 20.9 months [95% CI, 16.6-29], median progression-free survival 8.4 months [95% CI, 7.4-9.3]). CONCLUSION: The FOLFIRI + aflibercept regimen is active and tolerable; however, it failed to improve historical benchmarks of efficacy in chemonaive patients with mCRC. Preliminary data hint that this regimen has cytoreductive activity in disease with adverse biology.

Personalizing Survival Predictions in Advanced Colorectal Cancer: The ARCAD Nomogram Project.

Background: Estimating prognosis on the basis of clinicopathologic factors can inform clinical practice and improve risk stratification for clinical trials. We constructed prognostic nomograms for one-year overall survival and six-month progression-free survival in metastatic colorectal carcinoma by using the ARCAD database. Methods: Data from 22 674 patients in 26 randomized phase III clinical trials since 1997 were used to construct and validate Cox models, stratified by treatment arm within each study. Candidate variables included baseline age, sex, body mass index, performance status, colon vs rectal cancer, prior chemotherapy, number and location of metastatic sites, tumor mutation status (BRAF, KRAS), bilirubin, albumin, white blood cell count, hemoglobin, platelets, absolute neutrophil count, and derived neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio. Missing data (<11%) were imputed, continuous variables modeled with splines, and clinically relevant pairwise interactions tested if P values were less than .001. Final models were internally validated via bootstrapping to obtain optimism-corrected calibration and discrimination C-indices, and externally validated on a 10% holdout sample from each trial (n = 2257). Results: In final models, all included variables were associated with overall survival except for lung metastases, and all but total white cell count associated with progression-free survival. No clinically relevant pairwise interactions were identified. Final nomogram calibration was good (C = 0.68 for overall and C = 0.62 for progression-free survival), as was external validity (concordance between predicted >50% vs < 50% probability) and actual (yes/no) survival (72.8% and 68.2% concordance, respectively, for one-year overall and six-month progression-free survival, between predicted [>50% vs < 50% probability] and actual [yes/no] overall and progression-free survival). Median survival predictions fell within the actual 95% Kaplan-Meier confidence intervals. Conclusions: The nomograms are well calibrated and internally and externally valid. They have the potential to aid prognostication and patient-physician communication and balance risk in colorectal cancer trials.

Projecting Event-Based Analysis Dates in Clinical Trials: An Illustration Based on the International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy (IDEA) Collaboration. Projecting analysis dates for the IDEA collaboration.

PURPOSE: Clinical trials are expensive and lengthy, where success of a given trial depends on observing a prospectively defined number of patient events required to answer the clinical question. The point at which this analysis time occurs depends on both patient accrual and primary event rates, which typically vary throughout the trial's duration. We demonstrate real-time analysis date projections using data from a collection of six clinical trials that are part of the IDEA collaboration, an international preplanned pooling of data from six trials testing the duration of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage III colon cancer, and we additionally consider the hypothetical impact of one trial's early termination of follow-up. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In the absence of outcome data from IDEA, monthly accrual rates for each of the six IDEA trials were used to project subsequent trial-specific accrual, while historical data from similar Adjuvant Colon Cancer Endpoints (ACCENT) Group trials were used to construct a parametric model for IDEA's primary endpoint, disease-free survival, under the same treatment regimen. With this information and using the planned total accrual from each IDEA trial protocol, individual patient accrual and event dates were simulated and the overall IDEA interim and final analysis times projected. Projections were then compared with actual (previously undisclosed) trial-specific event totals at a recent census time for validation. The change in projected final analysis date assuming early termination of follow-up for one IDEA trial was also calculated. RESULTS: Trial-specific predicted event totals were close to the actual number of events per trial for the recent census date at which the number of events per trial was known, with the overall IDEA projected number of events only off by eight patients. Potential early termination of follow-up by one IDEA trial was estimated to postpone the overall IDEA final analysis date by 9 months. CONCLUSIONS: Real-time projection of the final analysis time during a trial, or the overall analysis time during a trial collaborative such as IDEA, has practical implications for trial feasibility when these projections are translated into additional time and resources required.

The IDEA (International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy) Collaboration: Prospective Combined Analysis of Phase III Trials Investigating Duration of Adjuvant Therapy with the FOLFOX (FOLFOX4 or Modified FOLFOX6) or XELOX (3 versus 6 months) Regimen for Patients with Stage III Colon Cancer: Trial Design and Current Status.

The International Duration Evaluation of Adjuvant Chemotherapy (IDEA) collaboration was established to prospectively combine and analyze data from several randomized trials conducted around the world to answer whether a three-month course of oxaliplatin-based adjuvant therapy (FOLFOX4/modified FOLFOX6 or XELOX) is non-inferior to the current standard six-month treatment for patients with stage III colon cancer, with a primary endpoint of three years disease-free survival. The IDEA steering committee comprises two members from each group coordinating an individual trial and two members from a secretariat who coordinate combining of the data and management of the joint analysis. Members of the IDEA agreed to combine the data from their individual trials to enable definitive analysis consisting of at least 10,500 patients. With accrual of 8,797 patients at the end of February 2013, the IDEA is on track to achieve its accrual objective of at least 10,500 patients by the end of 2013.