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1.
Colorectal Dis ; 25(6): 1248-1256, 2023 06.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36965098

RESUMEN

AIM: The simple six-variable Codman score is a tool designed to reduce the complexity of contemporary risk-adjusted postoperative mortality rate predictions. We sought to externally validate the Codman score in colorectal surgery. METHODS: The American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) participant user file and colectomy targeted dataset of 2020 were merged. A Codman score (composed of six variables: age, American Society of Anesthesiologists score, emergency status, degree of sepsis, functional status and preoperative blood transfusion) was assigned to every patient. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and secondary outcome was morbidity at 30 days. Logistic regression analyses were performed using the Codman score and the ACS NSQIP mortality and morbidity algorithms as independent variables for the primary and secondary outcomes. The predictive performance of discrimination area under receiver operating curve (AUC) and calibration of the Codman score and these algorithms were compared. RESULTS: A total of 40 589 patients were included and a Codman score was generated for 40 557 (99.02%) patients. The median Codman score was 3 (interquartile range 1-4). To predict mortality, the Codman score had an AUC of 0.92 (95% CI 0.91-0.93) compared to the NSQIP mortality score 0.93 (95% CI 0.92-0.94). To predict morbidity, the Codman score had an AUC of 0.68 (95% CI 0.66-0.68) compared to the NSQIP morbidity score 0.72 (95% CI 0.71-0.73). When body mass index and surgical approach was added to the Codman score, the performance was no different to the NSQIP morbidity score. The calibration of observed versus expected predictions was almost perfect for both the morbidity and mortality NSQIP predictions, and only well fitted for Codman scores of less than 4 and greater than 7. CONCLUSION: We propose that the six-variable Codman score is an efficient and actionable method for generating validated risk-adjusted outcome predictions and comparative benchmarks to drive quality improvement in colorectal surgery.


Asunto(s)
Cirugía Colorrectal , Mejoramiento de la Calidad , Humanos , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Colectomía , Factores de Riesgo , Estudios Retrospectivos
2.
Cureus ; 14(11): e30965, 2022 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36465225

RESUMEN

Although laparoscopic common bile duct exploration is a feasible and safe option for the operative management of choledocholithiasis, there has been a general reluctance to perform this procedure in Caribbean practice. This is largely because duct exploration is perceived to be difficult with laparoscopic instruments, and endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) has become increasingly available. We report a case in which stones were extracted laparoscopically from the common bile duct, aided by the FreeHand® (Freehand 2010 Ltd., Guildford, Surrey, UK) robot, to show that the procedure is feasible and safe in the Caribbean environment.

3.
Eur J Trauma Emerg Surg ; 48(2): 881-889, 2022 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32889613

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Global trend has seen management shift towards selective conservatism in penetrating abdominal trauma (PAT). The purpose of this study is to compare the presentation; management; and outcomes of patients with PAT managed operatively versus non-operatively. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of all patients Ùpresenting with PAT to Groote Schuur Hospital, Cape Town from 01 May 2015 to 30 April 2017. Presentation; management; and outcomes of patients were compared. Univariate predictors of delayed operative management (DOM) were explored. RESULTS: Over the 2-year study period, 805 patients with PAT were managed. There were 502 (62.4%); and 303 (37.6%) patients with gunshot (GSW) and stab wounds (SW), respectively. The majority were young men (94.7%), with a mean age of 28.3 years (95% CI 27.7-28.9) and median ISS of 13 (IQR 9-22). Successful non-operative management was achieved in 304 (37.7%) patients, and 501 (62.5%) were managed operatively. Of the operative cases, 477 (59.3%) underwent immediate laparotomy and 24 (3.0%) DOM. On univariate analysis, number; location; and mechanism of injuries were not associated with DOM. Rates of therapeutic laparotomy were achieved in 90.3% in the immediate, and 80.3% in the DOM cohorts. The mortality rate was 1.3, 11.3 and 0% in the in the NOM, immediate laparotomy and DOM subgroups, respectively. The rate of complications was no different in the immediate and DOM cohorts (p > 0.05). CONCLUSION: Patients with PAT in the absence of haemodynamic instability; peritonism; organ evisceration; positive radiological findings, or an unreliable clinical examination, can be managed expectantly without increased morbidity or mortality.


Asunto(s)
Traumatismos Abdominales , Heridas por Arma de Fuego , Heridas Penetrantes , Heridas Punzantes , Traumatismos Abdominales/epidemiología , Traumatismos Abdominales/cirugía , Adulto , Humanos , Laparotomía , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sudáfrica/epidemiología , Centros Traumatológicos , Heridas por Arma de Fuego/complicaciones , Heridas por Arma de Fuego/epidemiología , Heridas por Arma de Fuego/terapia , Heridas Penetrantes/epidemiología , Heridas Penetrantes/cirugía , Heridas Punzantes/epidemiología , Heridas Punzantes/cirugía
4.
Ann Surg ; 275(2): e527-e533, 2022 02 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32568748

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Global trends of penetrating abdominal trauma (PAT) have seen a shift toward a selectively conservative management strategy. However, its widespread adoption for gunshot injuries has been sluggish. The purpose of this study is to compare the injury mechanisms of gunshot (GSW) and stab wounds (SW) to the abdomen in presentation, management, and outcomes. METHODS: Prospective cohort study, set in Cape Town, South Africa, over 2 years. All patients presenting to the center with PAT during this time were included. Presentation, management, and outcomes were compared by injury mechanism, with a focus on the operative strategy (operative vs nonoperative). RESULTS: During the study period, 805 patients (SW 37.6%; GSW 62.4%) with PAT were managed. Immediate laparotomies were performed in 119 (39.3%) SW and 355 (70.7%) GSW, with a therapeutic laparotomy rate of 85.7% and 91.8% for SW and GSW, respectively. Nonoperative management (NOM) was implemented in 184 SW (60.7%) and 147 GSW (29.3%) (P < 0.001), with a 92.9% and 92.5% success rate for SW and GSW, respectively. The therapeutic laparotomy rate for the delayed laparotomies (DOM) was 69.2% for SW, and 90.9% for GSW. The accuracy of clinical assessment (with adjuncts) in determining the need for laparotomy was: GSW-92% and SW-91%. Univariate analysis revealed the mechanism not to be associated with DOM. The overall mortality rate was 7.2%, and nonfatal morbidities 22.2%. CONCLUSION: Although GSW is a more morbid and often fatal injury, the general principles of selective conservatism hold true for both GSW and SW, equally.


Asunto(s)
Traumatismos Abdominales/diagnóstico , Traumatismos Abdominales/cirugía , Heridas por Arma de Fuego/diagnóstico , Heridas por Arma de Fuego/cirugía , Heridas Punzantes/diagnóstico , Heridas Punzantes/cirugía , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Laparotomía , Masculino , Estudios Prospectivos
5.
Trop Doct ; 52(1): 101-103, 2022 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34474625

RESUMEN

When the COVID-19 pandemic unfolded in March 2020, surgical care was impacted globally. The developing nations in the Caribbean were unprepared with fragile, resource poor healthcare systems. A series of rapid policy changes in response to the pandemic radically changed surgical care and prevented the usual oversight in the operating theatre. Attending surgeons responded utilising readily available technology for distance mentoring. Using this model, postgraduate surgical residents were able to complete 96% of trauma laparotomies safely without major complications.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Tutoría , Cirujanos , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/prevención & control , Humanos , Pandemias/prevención & control , SARS-CoV-2
6.
Surg Endosc ; 36(7): 5076-5083, 2022 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34782967

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Prolonged operative duration has been associated with increased post-operative morbidity in numerous surgical subspecialties; however, data are limited in operations for colon cancer specifically and existing literature makes unwarranted methodological assumptions of linearity. We sought to assess the effects of extended operative duration on perioperative outcomes in those undergoing segmental colectomy for cancer using a methodologically sound approach. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing segmental colectomy for cancer between 2014 and 2018, logged in the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program datasets. Our primary outcome was a composite of any complication within 30 days; secondary outcomes included length of stay and discharge disposition. Our main factor of interest was operative duration. RESULTS: We analyzed 26,380 segmental colectomy cases, the majority of which were approached laparoscopically (64.95%) and were right sided (62.93%). Median operative duration was 152 (95% CI 112-206) minutes. On multivariable regression, increased operative duration was linearly associated with any complication (OR = 1.003, 95% CI 1.003-1.003, p < 0.0001) in the overall cohort, as was length of stay (p < 0.0001). All subgroups except for the laparoscopic left colectomy group were linearly associated with operative duration. In the laparoscopic left colectomy group, an inflection point in the odds of any complication was found at 176 min (OR = 1.39, 95% CI 1.20-1.61, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggests that the risk of perioperative complications increases linearly with increasing operative duration, where each additional 30 min increases the odds of complication by 10%. In those undergoing laparoscopic left colectomy, the risk of complications sharply increases after ~ 3 h, suggesting that surgeons should aim to complete these procedures within 3 h where possible.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias del Colon , Laparoscopía , Colectomía/efectos adversos , Colectomía/métodos , Neoplasias del Colon/complicaciones , Neoplasias del Colon/cirugía , Humanos , Laparoscopía/efectos adversos , Laparoscopía/métodos , Tiempo de Internación , Tempo Operativo , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/cirugía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Resultado del Tratamiento
7.
Surg Endosc ; 36(1): 771-777, 2022 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33502618

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Anastomotic leak (AL) is a common complication after colectomy with a relatively high failure to rescue rate (FTR), or death after major complications. There is emerging evidence to suggest an early AL may be associated with increased technical difficulty. Whether the timing of an AL is associated with higher FTR has not been established. METHODS: Patients who underwent a colectomy between 2012 and 2017 were identified from the American College of Surgeons National Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP database). The primary outcome was FTR after AL. The predictor variable used was day of post-operative leak (POD) categorized into early (POD ≤ 3), intermediate (3 < POD ≤ 20) and late (20 < POD ≤ 30) AL. These POD groups were compared to generate hypotheses to explain any association observed between timing of AL and FTR. RESULTS: Of 135,539 identified patients, 4613 patients experienced an AL (3.4%) with an overall FTR of 6.4%. FTR differed by timing of AL: early AL was found to have a FTR of 28/195 (12.6%), with a FTR in intermediate AL of 152/2550 (5.6%) and 3/356 (0.8%) in late AL patients (p < 0.0001). When compared by timing of AL, patients differed by sex, pre-operative bowel preparation, de-functioning ostomy rates and re-operation rates (p < 0.05). Controlling for age, ASA, sex, emergency status, operative approach, indication, de-functioning ostomy, re-operation and concurrent procedure, an early AL was found to have a 2.3-fold increased risk of FTR (95% CI 1.38-3.84, p = 0.001), with a late AL having a 0.15-fold decreased risk (95% CI 0.04-0.49, p = 0.002), both compared to an intermediate AL. CONCLUSION: Early ALs, occurring within three days of surgery, may carry a significant risk of FTR. Given the findings identified here, this may support the use of early detection algorithms and interventions of AL to minimize the risk of FTR.


Asunto(s)
Fuga Anastomótica , Cirugía Colorrectal , Fuga Anastomótica/diagnóstico , Fuga Anastomótica/etiología , Fuga Anastomótica/cirugía , Colectomía/efectos adversos , Colectomía/métodos , Humanos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Mejoramiento de la Calidad , Reoperación/efectos adversos , Factores de Riesgo
8.
Front Vet Sci ; 8: 691308, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34368278

RESUMEN

Foot-and-mouth disease virus (FMDV) is widespread throughout much of the world, including parts of South East Asia. Surveillance is often limited in endemic areas, relying predominantly on passive outbreak reporting. As part of the World Organisation for Animal Health (OIE)'s South East Asia and China Foot-and-Mouth Disease Project (SEACFMD), field sampling was performed to help understand evidence of widespread virus exposure observed in previous studies. Serum and dry mucosal swabs were collected to evaluate the presence of FMDV RNA on the nasal, oral, and dorsal nasopharyngeal mucosal surfaces of 262 healthy cattle (n = 84 in Laos; n = 125 in Myanmar) and buffalo (n = 48 in Laos; n = 5 in Myanmar) immediately following slaughter in three slaughterhouses. Swabs and serum were tested by the OIE/FAO World Reference Laboratory for foot-and-mouth disease (WRLFMD) using pan-serotypic real-time reverse transcription-PCR (rRT-PCR) and serum was evaluated using the FMD PrioCHECK non-structural protein (NSP) ELISA. In total, 7.3% of animals had detectable FMDV RNA in one or more of the three sites including 5.3% of nasopharyngeal swabs, 2.3% of oral swabs, and 1.5% of nasal swabs. No FMDV RNA was detected in serum. Overall, 37.8% of animals were positive for NSP antibodies, indicating likely past natural exposure to FMDV. Results were comparable for Laos and Myanmar, and for both cattle and buffalo, and were not significantly different between age groups. Detectable FMDV RNA present on the oral and nasal mucosa of clinically-healthy large ruminants in Laos and Myanmar demonstrates the importance of sampling asymptomatic animals as part of surveillance, and may indicate that subclinical infection plays a role in the epidemiology of FMD in these countries.

9.
J Relig Health ; 60(6): 3931-3948, 2021 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33966138

RESUMEN

Spirituality and religion are well-documented components of prevention, treatment and recovery of substance use disorders. Faith communities are in a distinct position to support recovery and resilience regarding substance use disorders-not only in times of crisis, but every day. We conducted an exploratory study of congregational (i.e., organizational) "levers" that can drive change readiness in implementing recovery and resilience programming for substance use disorders within faith communities. Findings point to enhanced effectiveness post-intervention and the importance of developing awareness of resources to help with someone who has an alcohol or other drug problem.


Asunto(s)
Conducta Adictiva , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias , Humanos , Protestantismo , Espiritualidad , Trastornos Relacionados con Sustancias/terapia
10.
Colorectal Dis ; 23(8): 2146-2153, 2021 Aug.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33999494

RESUMEN

AIM: The timing of ileostomy reversal has been the subject of controversy, with researchers investigating the safety of early versus late stoma closure. Anecdotally, a longer duration of faecal diversion is associated with a greater incidence of postoperative ileus. We sought to investigate the association between duration of diversion and postoperative ileus. METHOD: We conducted an institutional retrospective cohort study on 173 patients undergoing ileostomy closure between 2012 and 2018. Our primary outcome was ileus; secondary outcomes included postoperative complications and descriptive factors. We investigated the association between duration of diversion and ileus using several analyses to ensure that time was treated appropriately as a continuous, nonlinear variable. RESULTS: In all, 20.2% of patients had an ileus. Multivariate analysis did not identify a significant association between any independent predictors and ileus, although there was a trend towards increased risk of ileus with increasing duration of diversion. When treated as a categorical variable, a duration of diversion >328 days independently increased the odds of ileus (OR = 3.25, P = 0.033). Duration of diversion was associated with days to first flatus and to first diet (P = 0.025 and P = 0.004, respectively). When patients received nasogastric intubation, the mean duration of intubation was 3.2 days. CONCLUSION: Greater duration of diversion was associated with a trend towards increased risk of ileus; this risk tripled when diversion lasted more than 328 days.


Asunto(s)
Ileus , Obstrucción Intestinal , Colostomía , Humanos , Ileostomía/efectos adversos , Ileus/epidemiología , Ileus/etiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos
11.
Case Rep Vasc Med ; 2021: 8812870, 2021.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33854805

RESUMEN

Carotid arterial injuries occur in 5-6% of persons with penetrating trauma. Complete transection is rare in civilian practice and is most often due to penetrating injuries. Complete transection as an iatrogenic complication is rare. We present a case where we were required to repair a complete transection of the carotid artery with segmental loss which occurred as an iatrogenic complication during thyroidectomy. We could find no previous reports of this type of iatrogenic complication. The lessons learned during the management of this case were the following: (1) surgeons should call for help early, (2) a multidisciplinary approach ensures that all options are considered, (3) adhere to surgical principles of proximal and distal control, (4) always use atraumatic clamps to control vessels, and (5) flow restoration should be attempted, leaving carotid ligation as the last resort.

12.
Dis Colon Rectum ; 64(3): 293-300, 2021 03 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33555709

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: There is emerging evidence of the oncological safety of minimally invasive surgery in T4 colorectal cancer; however, such support is lacking in N2 disease. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to compare oncological and perioperative outcomes of surgical resection for N2 colorectal cancer using an open versus minimally invasive approach. DESIGN: We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program's generic and targeted colectomy data sets. SETTINGS: Data about surgery for N2 colorectal cancer were obtained regarding North American hospitals participating in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. PATIENTS: All patients undergoing elective surgical resection for N2 colorectal cancer in participating hospitals between 2014 and 2018 were selected. INTERVENTIONS: Surgical resection of N2 colorectal cancer was performed. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Our primary outcome was nodal yield. Secondary outcomes included perioperative complications and mortality. RESULTS: A total of 1837 patients underwent open and 3907 patients underwent minimally invasive surgery colectomies for N2 colorectal cancer (n = 5744). Median nodal yield was 20 (interquartile range, 15-27) in the open group and 21 (interquartile range, 16-28) in the minimally invasive group (p < 0.0001); however, nodal harvest between the 2 groups was not significantly different on multivariate analysis. Perioperative complications were higher on univariate analysis in the open surgery group, with respect to key outcomes including anastomotic leak and death (p < 0.001). LIMITATIONS: This study is limited by its retrospective design and by the fact that the staging data collected by the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program are pathological rather than clinical; however, prior studies found a 97% concordance between pathological and clinical N2 determination. CONCLUSIONS: Minimally invasive surgery approaches to colorectal cancer with N2 disease result in equivalent nodal harvests compared with open approaches. Our group supports the use of a minimally invasive approach in advanced nodal stage colorectal cancer in the appropriately selected patient. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/B417. LOS ABORDAJES QUIRRGICOS MNIMAMENTE INVASIVOS SON SEGUROS Y APROPIADOS EN EL CNCER COLORRECTAL N: ANTECEDENTES:Existe evidencia emergente de la seguridad oncológica de la cirugía mínimamente invasiva en el cáncer colorrectal T4; sin embargo, semenjante apoyo falta en la enfermedad N2.OBJETIVO:comparar los resultados oncológicos y perioperatorios de la resección quirúrgica para el cáncer colorrectal N2 utilizando un abordaje abierto versus mínimamente invasivo.DISEÑO:Realizamos un estudio de cohorte retrospectivo utilizando los conjuntos de datos de colectomía genéricos y específicos del Programa Nacional de Mejoramiento de la Calidad Quirúrgica.AJUSTE:Hospitales de Norte America que participan en el Programa Nacional de Mejoramiento de la Calidad Quirúrgica del Colegio Americano de Cirujanos.PACIENTES:Todos los pacientes sometidos a resección quirúrgica electiva por cáncer colorrectal N2 en los hospitales participantes entre 2014 y 2018.INTERVENCIONES:Resección quirúrgica de cáncer colorrectal N2.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE VOLORACION:Nuestro resultado principal fue el rendimiento nodal. Los resultados secundarios incluyeron complicaciones perioperatorias y mortalidad.RESULTADOS:1837 pacientes fueron sometidos a cirugía abierta y 3907 pacientes fueron sometidos a colectomías de cirugía mínimamente invasiva por cáncer colorrectal N2 (n = 5744). La mediana del rendimiento nodal fue 20 (IQR 15-27) en el grupo abierto y 21 (IQR 16-28) en el grupo mínimamente invasivo (p <0,0001); sin embargo, el rendimiento nodal entre los dos grupos no fue significativamente diferente en el análisis multivariado. Las complicaciones perioperatorias fueron mayores en el análisis univariado en el grupo de cirugía abierta, con respecto a los resultados clave, incluida la fuga anastomótica y la muerte (p <0,001).LIMITACIONES:Este estudio está limitado por su diseño retrospectivo y por el hecho de que los datos de estadificación recopilados por NSQIP son patológicos más que clínicos; sin embargo, estudios previos encontraron una concordancia del 97% entre la determinación patológica y clínica de N2.CONCLUSIONES:Los enfoques de cirugía mínimamente invasiva para el cáncer colorrectal con enfermedad N2 dan rendimientos nodales equivalentes a abordajes abiertos. Nuestro grupo apoya el uso de abordaje mínimamente invasivo en el cáncer colorrectal avanzado en estadio ganglionar en el paciente adecuadamente seleccionado. Consulte Video Resumenhttp://links.lww.com/DCR/B417.


Asunto(s)
Colectomía/estadística & datos numéricos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/cirugía , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Mínimamente Invasivos/métodos , Fuga Anastomótica/epidemiología , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Colectomía/métodos , Neoplasias Colorrectales/patología , Interpretación Estadística de Datos , Femenino , Humanos , Ganglios Linfáticos/patología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Mínimamente Invasivos/estadística & datos numéricos , Estadificación de Neoplasias/métodos , Periodo Perioperatorio/mortalidad , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/epidemiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Seguridad , Resultado del Tratamiento
13.
Ann Surg Oncol ; 28(5): 2779-2787, 2021 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33098049

RESUMEN

IMPORTANCE: Failure to rescue (FTR), or death after major complications, has emerged as a marker of hospital-level quality of care. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive performance of the ACS-NSQIP modified frailty index (mFI) in determining FTR following an anastomotic leak (AL) after a colectomy for colorectal cancer. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING: Multicenter interrogation of the 2012-2016 American College of Surgeons (ACS) colectomy procedure targeted National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. PATIENTS AND METHODS: A total of 50,944 patients who underwent colectomy for colorectal cancer. EXPOSURE: Frailty as measured by: (1) Age, ASA, and emergency status (model 1), (2) Age, ASA, emergency status, and mFI (model 2), (3) ACS-NSQIP mortality prediction (model 3). MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURE: Primary outcome was FTR after AL. RESULTS: A total of 1755 patients experienced an AL (3.46%) with a FTR rate of 6.44%. The mean age was 65.6 years (95% CI 65.28-65.58 years), median ASA was 3 (IQR 2-3), 51 patients (2.92%) were partially or totally dependent, 366 (20.86%) were diabetic, 105 (5.98%) had a history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), 32 (1.82%) had a history of congestive heart disease (CHD), and 966 (55.04%) were on hypertensive treatment. The performance of model 1 (AUROC 0.77; 95% CI 0.72-0.81), model 2 (AUROC 0.77; 95% CI 0.73-0.82), and model 3 (AUROC 0.79; 95% CI 0.75-0.83) to predict FTR was not different (p = 0.44). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: Age and ASA remain the most reliable predictors of failure to rescue anastomotic leak after colectomy for colorectal cancer. Addition of the modified frailty index, or all variables collected by NSQIP, did not significantly improve predictive performance.


Asunto(s)
Neoplasias del Colon , Fragilidad , Anciano , Fuga Anastomótica/etiología , Colectomía , Neoplasias del Colon/cirugía , Fragilidad/diagnóstico , Humanos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo
16.
JMIR Public Health Surveill ; 6(2): e18995, 2020 05 15.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32401218

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Public health emergencies like epidemics put enormous pressure on health care systems while revealing deep structural and functional problems in the organization of care. The current coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic illustrates this at a global level. The sudden increased demand on delivery systems puts unique pressures on pre-established care pathways. These extraordinary times require efficient tools for smart governance and resource allocation. OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to develop an innovative web-based solution addressing the seemingly insurmountable challenges of triaging, monitoring, and delivering nonhospital services unleashed by the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS: An adaptable crisis management digital platform was envisioned and designed with the goal of improving the system's response on the basis of the literature; an existing shared health record platform; and discussions between health care providers, decision makers, academia, and the private sector in response to the COVID 19 epidemic. RESULTS: The Crisis Management Platform was developed and offered to health authorities in Ontario on a nonprofit basis. It has the capability to dramatically streamline patient intake, triage, monitoring, referral, and delivery of nonhospital services. It decentralizes the provision of services (by moving them online) and centralizes data gathering and analysis, maximizing the use of existing human resources, facilitating evidence-based decision making, and minimizing the risk to both users and providers. It has unlimited scale-up possibilities (only constrained by human health risk resource availability) with minimal marginal cost. Similar web-based solutions have the potential to fill an urgent gap in resource allocation, becoming a unique asset for health systems governance and management during critical times. They highlight the potential effectiveness of web-based solutions if built on an outcome-driven architecture. CONCLUSIONS: Data and web-based approaches in response to a public health crisis are key to evidence-driven oversight and management of public health emergencies.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones por Coronavirus/epidemiología , Coronavirus , Urgencias Médicas , Pandemias , Neumonía Viral/epidemiología , Telemedicina , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Canadá/epidemiología , Infecciones por Coronavirus/prevención & control , Brotes de Enfermedades/prevención & control , Humanos , Manejo de Atención al Paciente , Neumonía Viral/prevención & control , Salud Pública , SARS-CoV-2
17.
World J Surg ; 44(1): 241-246, 2020 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31583458

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: There currently is no consensus on how to accurately predict early rebleeding and death after a major variceal bleed. This study investigated the relative predictive performances of the original Child-Pugh (CP), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and a four-category recalibrated Child-Pugh (rCP). METHODS: This prospective study included all adult patients admitted to Groote Schuur Hospital with acute esophageal variceal bleeding secondary to alcoholic cirrhosis, between January 2000 and December 2017. CP and rCP grades and MELD score were calculated on admission, and the predictive ability in discriminating in-hospital rebleeding and death was compared by area under receiver-operating characteristic (AUROC) curves. RESULTS: During the study period, 403 consecutive adult patients were treated for bleeding esophageal varices of whom 225 were secondary to alcoholic cirrhosis. Twenty-four (10.6%) patients were CP grade A, 88 (39.1%) grade B and 113 (50.2%) grade C on hospital admission. MELD scores ranged from 6 to 40. Thirty-one (13.8%) patients rebleed, and 41 (18.2%) patients died. There was no difference in the discriminatory capacity of the CP (AUROC 0.59, 95% CI 0.50-0.670) and MELD (AUROC 0.62, 95% CI 0.51-0.73) to predict rebleeding (p = 0.72), or between the Child-Pugh (AUROC 0.75, 95% CI 0.71-0.81) and MELD (AUROC 0.71, 95% CI 0.62-0.80) to predict death (p = 0.35). The rCP classification (A-D) had a significantly improved discriminatory capacity (AUROC 0.83 95% CI 0.77-0.89) compared to the CP score (A-C) and MELD to predict death (p = 0.004). CONCLUSION: A recalibrated Child-Pugh score outperforms the original Child-Pugh grade and MELD score in predicting in-hospital death in patients with bleeding esophageal varices secondary to alcoholic cirrhosis.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedad Hepática en Estado Terminal/mortalidad , Várices Esofágicas y Gástricas/complicaciones , Hemorragia Gastrointestinal/mortalidad , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Cirrosis Hepática Alcohólica/complicaciones , Enfermedad Aguda , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Prospectivos
18.
Injury ; 49(6): 1188-1192, 2018 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29704953

RESUMEN

Popliteal artery trauma is uncommon but is associated with a high risk of limb loss depending on the scenario involving blunt or penetrating trauma as well as the severity and extent of injury that has occurred. In our setting there is a significant amount of gang and civilian warfare resulting in Vascular Trauma. There were 32 patients over a decade who sustained traumatic injury to the popliteal artery consisting of 30 males (94%) and 2 females with an age range 16-59 years with a mean of 32. There were 20 cases of penetrating trauma (63%) and 12 cases of blunt trauma (37%). Of the penetrating trauma, 18 were due to gunshot wounds (GSWs) (90%) and 2 stabs. The majority (7/12; 58%) of blunt trauma was due to falls, and 42% (5/12) secondary to motor vehicular accidents (MVAs). In terms of extent of injury, 21 of 32 patients (65%) sustained an isolated popliteal artery injury, whilst 6 (19%) had injury to both the popliteal artery and vein and another 5 (16%) had combined popliteal artery, vein and nerve injuries. There were 14 cases with associated orthopaedic injuries: 7 posterior knee dislocations, 1 fracture/dislocation of the knee, 2 femoral fractures, 2 tibial plateau fractures and 2 tibia/fibula fracture. Methods of repair included 14 reversed vein grafts, 16 polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) grafts and 2 primary. The overall amputation rate was 28% (9 patients). Of the penetrating trauma patients 25% required amputations composed of 5 GSWs, 33% of the blunt trauma patients required amputations. It was noted that factors associated with (but not statistically significant) poor outcomes included combined artery/vein injury, artery/vein/nerve injury, concomitant fracture/dislocation and delayed transfer to a Vascular Surgery Unit. The type of graft or repair did not affect outcome. The incidence of popliteal artery trauma was calculated at 2.46 per 100,000 population per year.


Asunto(s)
Amputación Quirúrgica/estadística & datos numéricos , Traumatismos de la Pierna/fisiopatología , Recuperación del Miembro/métodos , Arteria Poplítea/lesiones , Lesiones del Sistema Vascular/cirugía , Heridas no Penetrantes/fisiopatología , Heridas Penetrantes/fisiopatología , Adolescente , Adulto , Femenino , Hospitales de Enseñanza , Humanos , Traumatismos de la Pierna/complicaciones , Traumatismos de la Pierna/cirugía , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Resultado del Tratamiento , Trinidad y Tobago/epidemiología , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Vasculares/métodos , Lesiones del Sistema Vascular/etiología , Lesiones del Sistema Vascular/fisiopatología , Heridas no Penetrantes/complicaciones , Heridas no Penetrantes/cirugía , Heridas Penetrantes/complicaciones , Heridas Penetrantes/cirugía , Adulto Joven
19.
JAMA Surg ; 153(5): e180087, 2018 05 16.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29541765

RESUMEN

Importance: Collection and analysis of up-to-date and accurate injury surveillance data are a key step in the maturation of trauma systems. Trauma registries have proven to be difficult to establish in low- and middle-income countries owing to the burden of trauma volume, cost, and complexity. Objective: To determine whether an electronic trauma health record (eTHR) used by physicians can serve as simultaneous clinical documentation and data acquisition tools. Design, Setting, and Participants: This 2-part quality improvement study included (1) preimplementation and postimplementation eTHR study with assessments of satisfaction by 41 trauma physicians, time to completion, and quality of data collected comparing paper and electronic charting; and (2) prospective ecologic study describing the burden of trauma seen at a Level I trauma center, using real-time data collected by the eTHR on consecutive patients during a 12-month study period. The study was conducted from October 1, 2010, to September 30, 2011, at Groote Schuur Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa. Data analysis was performed from October 15, 2011, to January 15, 2013. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome of part 1 was data field competition rates of pertinent trauma registry items obtained through electronic or paper documentation. The main measures of part 2 were to identify risk factors to trauma in Cape Town and quality indicators recommended for trauma system evaluation at Groote Schuur Hospital. Results: The 41 physicians included in the study found the electronic patient documentation to be more efficient and preferable. A total of 11 612 trauma presentations were accurately documented and promptly analyzed. Fields relevant to injury surveillance in the eTHR (n = 11 612) had statistically significant higher completion rates compared with paper records (n = 9236) (for all comparisons, P < .001). The eTHR successfully captured quality indicators recommended for trauma system evaluation which were previously challenging to collect in a timely and accurate manner. Of the 11 612 patient admissions over the study period, injury location was captured 11 075 times (95.4%), injury mechanism 11 135 times (95.9%), systolic blood pressure 11 106 times (95.6%), and Glasgow Coma Scale 11 140 times (95.9%). These fields were successfully captured with statistically higher rates than previous paper documentation. Epidemiologic analysis confirmed a heavy burden of violence-related injury (51.8% of all injuries) and motor vehicle crash injuries (14.3% of all injuries). Mapping analysis demonstrated clusters of injuries originating mainly from vulnerable and low-income neighborhoods and their respective referring trauma facilities, Mitchell's Plain Hospital (734 [10.1%]), Guguletu Community Health Center (654 [9.0%]), and New Somerset Hospital (400 [5.5%]). Conclusions and Relevance: Accurate capture and simultaneous analysis of trauma data in low-resource trauma settings are feasible through the integration of surveillance into clinical workflow and the timely analysis of electronic data.


Asunto(s)
Documentación/métodos , Registros Electrónicos de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Vigilancia de la Población/métodos , Mejoramiento de la Calidad , Centros Traumatológicos/estadística & datos numéricos , Heridas y Lesiones/epidemiología , Computadoras de Mano , Documentación/normas , Documentación/estadística & datos numéricos , Registros Electrónicos de Salud/instrumentación , Registros Electrónicos de Salud/normas , Humanos , Aplicaciones Móviles/estadística & datos numéricos , Evaluación de Programas y Proyectos de Salud , Mejoramiento de la Calidad/estadística & datos numéricos , Indicadores de Calidad de la Atención de Salud/normas , Indicadores de Calidad de la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Sistema de Registros/normas , Sistema de Registros/estadística & datos numéricos , Sudáfrica/epidemiología , Centros Traumatológicos/normas , Flujo de Trabajo , Heridas y Lesiones/terapia
20.
World J Surg ; 42(9): 2725-2731, 2018 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29404754

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The focus of many data collection efforts centers on creation of more granular data. The assumption is that more complex data are better able to predict outcomes. We hypothesized that data are often needlessly complex. We sought to demonstrate this concept by examination of the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) scoring system. METHODS: First, we created every possible consecutive two, three and four category combinations of the current five category ASA score. This resulted in 14 combinations of simplified ASA. We compared the predictive ability of these simplified scores for postoperative outcomes for 2.3 million patients in the NSQIP database. Individual model performance was assessed by comparing receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves for each model with the standard ASA. RESULTS: Two of our 4-category models and one of our 3-category models had ability to predict all outcomes equivalent to standard ASA. These results held for all outcomes and on all subgroups tested. The performance of the three best performing simplified ASA scores were also equivalent to the standard ASA score in the univariate analysis and when included in a multivariate model. CONCLUSIONS: It is assumed that the most granular data and use of the largest number of variables for risk-adjusted predictions will increase accuracy. This complexity is often at the expense of utility. Using the single best predictor in surgical outcomes research, we have shown this is not the case. In this example, we demonstrate that one can simplify ASA into a 3-category variable without losing any ability to predict outcomes.


Asunto(s)
Anestesiología/estadística & datos numéricos , Recolección de Datos , Modelos Estadísticos , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/métodos , Recolección de Datos/métodos , Recolección de Datos/normas , Bases de Datos Factuales , Femenino , Mortalidad Hospitalaria , Humanos , Masculino , Evaluación de Resultado en la Atención de Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Complicaciones Posoperatorias , Periodo Posoperatorio , Curva ROC
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