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1.
Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM ; 5(9): 101069, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37399890

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Trauma, largely the consequence of motor vehicle crashes, is the leading cause of pregnancy-associated maternal mortality. Prediction of adverse outcomes has been difficult in pregnancy given the infrequent occurrence of traumatic events and anatomic considerations unique to pregnancy. The injury severity score, an anatomic scoring system with weighting dependent on severity and anatomic region of injury, is used in the prediction of adverse outcomes in the nonpregnant population but has yet to be validated in pregnancy. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate the associations between risk factors and adverse pregnancy outcomes after major trauma in pregnancy and to develop a clinical prediction model for adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: This was a retrospective analysis of a cohort of pregnant patients who sustained major trauma and who were admitted to 1 of 2 level 1 trauma centers. Three composite adverse pregnancy outcomes were evaluated, namely adverse maternal outcomes and short- and long-term adverse perinatal outcomes, defined as outcomes occurring within the first 72 hours of the traumatic event or encompassing the entire pregnancy. Bivariate analyses were performed to estimate the associations between clinical or trauma-related variables and adverse pregnancy outcomes. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to predict each adverse pregnancy outcome. The predictive performance of each model was estimated using receiver operating characteristic curve analyses. RESULTS: A total of 119 pregnant trauma patients were included, 26.1% of whom met the severe adverse maternal pregnancy outcome criteria, 29.4% of whom met the severe short-term adverse perinatal pregnancy outcome definition, and 51.3% of whom met the severe long-term adverse perinatal pregnancy outcome definition. Injury severity score and gestational age were associated with the composite short-term adverse perinatal pregnancy outcome with an adjusted odds ratio of 1.20 (95% confidence interval, 1.11-1.30). The injury severity score was solely predictive of the adverse maternal and long-term adverse perinatal pregnancy outcomes with odds ratios of 1.65 (95% confidence interval, 1.31-2.09) and 1.14 (95% confidence interval, 1.07-1.23), respectively. An injury severity score ≥8 was the best cutoff for predicting adverse maternal outcomes with 96.8% sensitivity and 92.0% specificity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.990±0.006). An injury severity score ≥3 was the best cutoff for the short-term adverse perinatal outcomes, which correlates with a 68.6% sensitivity and 65.1% specificity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.755±0.055). An injury severity score ≥2 was the best cutoff for the long-term adverse perinatal outcomes, yielding a 68.3% sensitivity and 72.4% specificity (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.763±0.042). CONCLUSION: For pregnant trauma patients, an injury severity score of ≥8 was predictive of severe adverse maternal outcomes. Minor trauma in pregnancy, defined in this study as an injury severity score <2, was not associated with maternal or perinatal morbidity or mortality. These data can guide management decisions for pregnant patients who present after trauma.


Asunto(s)
Modelos Estadísticos , Resultado del Embarazo , Femenino , Embarazo , Humanos , Estudios Retrospectivos , Pronóstico , Resultado del Embarazo/epidemiología , Factores de Riesgo
2.
BJOG ; 130(12): 1531-1540, 2023 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37317035

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To develop a model for predicting postpartum readmission for hypertension and pre-eclampsia at delivery discharge and assess external validation or model transportability across clinical sites. DESIGN: Prediction model using data available in the electronic health record from two clinical sites. SETTING: Two tertiary care health systems from the Southern (2014-2015) and Northeastern USA (2017-2019). POPULATION: A total of 28 201 postpartum individuals: 10 100 in the South and 18 101 in the Northeast. METHODS: An internal-external cross validation (IECV) approach was used to assess external validation or model transportability across the two sites. In IECV, data from each health system were first used to develop and internally validate a prediction model; each model was then externally validated using the other health system. Models were fit using penalised logistic regression, and accuracy was estimated using discrimination (concordance index), calibration curves and decision curves. Internal validation was performed using bootstrapping with bias-corrected performance measures. Decision curve analysis was used to display potential cut points where the model provided net benefit for clinical decision-making. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcome was postpartum readmission for either hypertension or pre-eclampsia <6 weeks after delivery. RESULTS: The postpartum readmission rate for hypertension and pre-eclampsia overall was 0.9% (0.3% and 1.2% by site, respectively). The final model included six variables: age, parity, maximum postpartum diastolic blood pressure, birthweight, pre-eclampsia before discharge and delivery mode (and interaction between pre-eclampsia × delivery mode). Discrimination was adequate at both health systems on internal validation (c-statistic South: 0.88; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.87-0.89; Northeast: 0.74; 95% CI 0.74-0.74). In IECV, discrimination was inconsistent across sites, with improved discrimination for the Northeastern model on the Southern cohort (c-statistic 0.61 and 0.86, respectively), but calibration was not adequate. Next, model updating was performed using the combined dataset to develop a new model. This final model had adequate discrimination (c-statistic: 0.80, 95% CI 0.80-0.80), moderate calibration (intercept -0.153, slope 0.960, Emax 0.042) and provided superior net benefit at clinical decision-making thresholds between 1% and 7% for interventions preventing readmission. An online calculator is provided here. CONCLUSIONS: Postpartum readmission for hypertension and pre-eclampsia may be accurately predicted but further model validation is needed. Model updating using data from multiple sites will be needed before use across clinical settings.


Asunto(s)
Hipertensión , Preeclampsia , Embarazo , Femenino , Humanos , Preeclampsia/diagnóstico , Preeclampsia/epidemiología , Preeclampsia/terapia , Readmisión del Paciente , Modelos Logísticos , Periodo Posparto
3.
Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM ; 5(5): 100915, 2023 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36882128

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Imaging protocols for major maternal trauma during pregnancy are not standardized, and it is uncertain whether focused assessment with sonography for trauma or computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis is preferred for detecting intraabdominal hemorrhage. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate the accuracy of focused assessment with sonography for trauma compared with computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis, validate imaging accuracy with clinical outcomes, and describe clinical factors associated with each imaging mode. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective cohort study of pregnant patients evaluated for major trauma at one of two Level 1 trauma centers between 2003 and 2019. We identified 4 imaging groups: no intraabdominal imaging, focused assessment with sonography for trauma only, computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis only, and both focused assessment with sonography for trauma and computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis. The primary outcome was a composite maternal severe adverse pregnancy outcome, including death and intensive care unit admission. We estimated sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of focused assessment with sonography for trauma for hemorrhage with computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis as the reference standard. We performed analysis of variance and chi-square tests to compare clinical factors and outcomes across imaging groups. Multinomial logistic regression was used to estimate associations between selected imaging mode and clinical factors. RESULTS: Of 119 pregnant trauma patients, 31 (26.1%) experienced a maternal severe adverse pregnancy outcome. Intraabdominal imaging modes included none in 37.0%, focused assessment with sonography for trauma only in 21.0%, computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis only in 25.2%, and both modes in 16.8%. With computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis as the reference, focused assessment with sonography for trauma had sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of 11%, 91%, 50%, and 55%, respectively. One patient had a maternal severe adverse pregnancy outcome with a positive focused assessment with sonography for trauma and negative computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis, and 2 patients with a positive computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis did not have an adverse outcome. Use of computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis with or without focused assessment with sonography for trauma was associated with a higher injury severity score, lower systolic blood pressure nadir, higher motor vehicle collision speed, and higher rates of hypotension, tachycardia, bone fracture, maternal severe adverse pregnancy outcome, and fetal demise. The association of computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis use with higher injury severity score, tachycardia, and lower systolic blood pressure nadir persisted in multivariable analysis. With each 1-point increase in the injury severity score, there was an 11% higher likelihood of using computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis over focused assessment with sonography for trauma for intraabdominal imaging. CONCLUSION: The sensitivity of focused assessment with sonography for trauma in detecting intraabdominal hemorrhage in pregnant trauma patients is poor, and computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis has a low false-negative rate. Providers seem to prefer computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis to focused assessment with sonography for trauma in patients with the most severe trauma. Computed tomography of the abdomen/pelvis with or without focused assessment with sonography for trauma is more accurate than focused assessment with sonography for trauma alone.


Asunto(s)
Traumatismos Abdominales , Heridas no Penetrantes , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Traumatismos Abdominales/diagnóstico por imagen , Traumatismos Abdominales/epidemiología , Ultrasonografía , Estudios Retrospectivos , Hemorragia
4.
Int J Gynaecol Obstet ; 162(1): 163-168, 2023 Jul.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36690442

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: The objective of this study was to evaluate hemagglutinin stem-specific antibody response to the influenza vaccine during pregnancy and its transfer to the infant. METHODS: The authors assessed antibody titers among maternal participants and their paired neonate's cord blood (CB) using enzyme-linked immunoassay. Fifteen pregnant participants pre-2019 and post-2019 seasonal influenza vaccine were compared with 18 prenatally vaccinated participants with paired neonatal CB samples. Total IgG and IgG subclass titers specific for whole vaccine antigens versus recombinant hemagglutinin stem-specific antigen were compared using Wilcoxon exact test. RESULTS: Hemagglutinin stem-specific IgG was boosted more robustly than whole vaccine titers when comparing postvaccine versus prevaccine log2 IgG ratios (P = 0.04). Hemagglutinin stem-specific IgG titers were boosted postvaccination (prevaccine: 14.5 [95% confidence interval, 13.8-15.2] vs. postvaccine: 16 [95% confidence interval, 15.2-16.8], P = 0.004). While IgG to whole vaccine was similar in neonatal CB and maternal plasma (P = 0.09), hemagglutinin stem-specific IgG concentrated in CB (P = 0.002), which was dominated by IgG1 subclass (analysis of variance P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: These data demonstrate the ability of pregnant women to generate a more robust antibody response to the stem region compared with the head region of hemagglutinin with transplacental transfer of IgG.


Asunto(s)
Vacunas contra la Influenza , Gripe Humana , Lactante , Recién Nacido , Humanos , Femenino , Embarazo , Hemaglutininas , Gripe Humana/prevención & control , Vacunación , Inmunoglobulina G , Anticuerpos Antivirales
5.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33935344

RESUMEN

Accurate assessment of fetal gestational age (GA) is critical to the clinical management of pregnancy. Industrialized countries rely upon obstetric ultrasound (US) to make this estimate. In low- and middle- income countries, automatic measurement of fetal structures using a low-cost obstetric US may assist in establishing GA without the need for skilled sonographers. In this report, we leverage a large database of obstetric US images acquired, stored and annotated by expert sonographers to train algorithms to classify, segment, and measure several fetal structures: biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC), crown rump length (CRL), abdominal circumference (AC), and femur length (FL). We present a technique for generating raw images suitable for model training by removing caliper and text annotation and describe a fully automated pipeline for image classification, segmentation, and structure measurement to estimate the GA. The resulting framework achieves an average accuracy of 93% in classification tasks, a mean Intersection over Union accuracy of 0.91 during segmentation tasks, and a mean measurement error of 1.89 centimeters, finally leading to a 1.4 day mean average error in the predicted GA compared to expert sonographer GA estimate using the Hadlock equation.

6.
Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM ; 3(3): 100317, 2021 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33493701

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Postpartum hypertension or preeclampsia is one of the most frequent reasons for readmission after delivery discharge, and risk factors for readmission remain poorly characterized. OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine risk factors of postpartum readmission for hypertension or preeclampsia among low-risk women before delivery discharge. STUDY DESIGN: We conducted a nested case-control study from 2012 to 2015 at a tertiary care medical center. Cases were identified using diagnostic codes for postpartum transient hypertension, mild preeclampsia, severe preeclampsia, eclampsia, superimposed preeclampsia, and unspecified hypertension and readmission within 6 weeks of delivery. Controls not readmitted for hypertension or preeclampsia were time matched within 4 weeks of the delivery date to each case. We fit multivariable logistic regression models to identify independent risk factors for postpartum readmission for hypertension or preeclampsia and then calculated a receiver operating characteristic curve of the final model to assess model discrimination. RESULTS: Within the source cohort resulting in 58 cases and 232 matched controls, the rate of postpartum readmission for preeclampsia or hypertension was 0.4% (n=58 of 14,503). The median time to readmission was 6 days (range, 2-15 days), and 40% of cases had an outpatient postpartum visit before readmission. In multivariable analysis, non-Hispanic black race (adjusted odds ratio, 2.14; 95% confidence interval, 0.99-4.59), gestational hypertension (adjusted odds ratio, 2.70; 95% confidence interval, 1.12-6.54), preeclampsia during delivery admission (adjusted odds ratio, 3.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.29-7.50), and maximum postpartum systolic blood pressure during delivery admission (adjusted odds ratio, 1.05; 95% confidence interval, 1.03-1.08) were risk factors for readmission. This model had a good discriminative ability to predict women who would require readmission for preeclampsia or hypertension (area under the curve, 0.83; 95% confidence interval, 0.74-0.89). Using these 4 factors to illustrate this model, the predicted risk of readmission ranged from <1% in the lowest risk scenario (eg, postpartum systolic blood pressure of 120 mm Hg + no hypertensive disorders of pregnancy + white race) to 26% in the highest risk scenario (eg, postpartum systolic blood pressure of 160 mm Hg + preeclampsia + black race). CONCLUSION: Risk factors of postpartum readmission for hypertension or preeclampsia can be identified at the time of delivery discharge among low-risk women, regardless of an antenatal hypertensive disorder. A next step could be using these risk factors to develop a predictive model to guide postpartum care.


Asunto(s)
Preeclampsia , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Femenino , Humanos , Alta del Paciente , Readmisión del Paciente , Periodo Posparto , Preeclampsia/epidemiología , Embarazo , Factores de Riesgo
7.
J Perinatol ; 41(1): 119-125, 2021 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33093626

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the effect of clinical chorioamnionitis on the risk of patent ductus arteriosus (PDA). STUDY DESIGN: A secondary analysis of all deliveries >23 gestational weeks from the U.S. Consortium on Safe Labor (CSL) study. The primary exposure was a clinical diagnosis of chorioamnionitis, and the outcome was a diagnosis of PDA. Generalized estimating equations with estimated error variance for women with multiple deliveries were utilized. Models adjusted for age, race, region, delivery year, body mass index, infant sex, multiple gestation, mode of delivery, and antenatal corticosteroid exposure. RESULTS: Among 228,438 deliveries, a diagnosis of PDA was more frequent with chorioamnionitis exposure versus without (9.2% vs. 3.0%; OR: 3.25; 95% CI: 2.92-3.62). Chorioamnionitis was associated with higher adjusted odds of PDA (AOR: 2.18; 95% CI: 1.93-2.45). In sensitivity analyses, the association between chorioamnionitis and PDA held after adjustment for gestational age at delivery (AOR: 1.28; 95% CI: 1.13-1.44). CONCLUSIONS: Chorioamnionitis was associated with increased odds of PDA. Robust exposure and outcome ascertainment with careful assessment of confounding is needed to further investigate this epidemiologic association.


Asunto(s)
Corioamnionitis , Conducto Arterioso Permeable , Corioamnionitis/epidemiología , Estudios de Cohortes , Conducto Arterioso Permeable/epidemiología , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Lactante , Embarazo , Embarazo Múltiple
8.
Am J Perinatol ; 38(S 01): e262-e268, 2021 08.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32446262

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess whether colonization with group B streptococcus (GBS) is associated with maternal peripartum infection in an era of routine prophylaxis. STUDY DESIGN: This study presented a secondary analysis of women delivering ≥37 weeks who underwent a trial of labor from the U.S. Consortium on Safe Labor (CSL) study. The exposure was maternal GBS colonization and the outcome was a diagnosis of chorioamnionitis, and secondarily, analyses were restricted to deliveries not admitted in labor and measures of postpartum infection (postpartum fever, endometritis, and surgical site infection). Logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used accounting for within-woman correlations. Models adjusted for maternal age, parity, race, prepregnancy body mass index, pregestational diabetes, insurance status, study site/region, year of delivery, number of vaginal exams from admission to delivery, and time (in hours) from admission to delivery. RESULTS: Among 170,804 assessed women, 33,877 (19.8%) were colonized with GBS and 5,172 (3.0%) were diagnosed with chorioamnionitis. While the frequency of GBS colonization did not vary by chorioamnionitis status (3.0% in both groups), in multivariable analyses, GBS colonization was associated with slightly lower odds of chorioamnionitis (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83-0.96). In secondary analyses, this association held regardless of spontaneous labor on admission; and the odds of postpartum infectious outcomes were not higher with GBS colonization. CONCLUSION: In contrast to historical data, GBS colonization was associated with lower odds of chorioamnionitis in an era of routine GBS screening and prophylaxis. KEY POINTS: · Data in an era prior to routine group B streptococcus (GBS) screening and prophylaxis showed that maternal GBS colonization was associated with a higher frequency of maternal peripartum infection.. · In the current study, GBS colonization was associated with lower odds of chorioamnionitis in an era of routine GBS screening and prophylaxis.. · The results highlight potential benefits of GBS screening and intrapartum antibiotic prophylaxis beyond neonatal disease prevention, including mitigating the risk of maternal infectious morbidity..


Asunto(s)
Corioamnionitis/epidemiología , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/epidemiología , Infecciones Estreptocócicas/prevención & control , Streptococcus agalactiae , Adulto , Profilaxis Antibiótica , Corioamnionitis/microbiología , Femenino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Análisis Multivariante , Periodo Periparto , Embarazo , Complicaciones Infecciosas del Embarazo/microbiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos/epidemiología , Adulto Joven
9.
Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM ; 2(1): 100074, 2020 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33345988

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The optimal antibiotic regimen to prevent maternal postpartum infection among high-risk women treated for chorioamnionitis delivering by cesarean delivery remains to be defined. Emerging data suggest that cefazolin decreases the risk of cesarean surgical site infection. OBJECTIVE: To investigate whether intrapartum antibiotic therapy with cefazolin versus the current standard clindamycin or metronidazole decreases the risk of postpartum infectious morbidity among women delivering by cesarean delivery who were receiving a base regimen of ampicillin or penicillin with gentamicin for chorioamnionitis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A secondary analysis from the Maternal-Fetal Medicine Units Network (MFMU) Cesarean Registry. We included women who delivered by cesarean delivery with presumptive chorioamnionitis (intrapartum fever >100.4°F and receipt of intrapartum antibiotics). All women received a base regimen of penicillin or ampicillin with gentamicin. We compared antibiotic therapy with cefazolin versus clindamycin or metronidazole. The primary outcome was a composite of postpartum maternal infection, including endometritis and surgical site infection. Multivariable logistic regression was used, adjusting for age, parity, race/ethnicity, insurance, body mass index at delivery, tobacco use, pregestational diabetes, American Society of Anesthesiologists classification, trial of labor prior to cesarean delivery, and postpartum antibiotics. RESULTS: Among 1105 women with presumptive chorioamnionitis who delivered by cesarean delivery, 22.0% (n = 244) received cefazolin and 77.9% (n = 861) received clindamycin or metronidazole. Most women were in labor prior to cesarean delivery (93.8%) and received postpartum antibiotics (88.4%). Almost one-tenth (9.5%) were diagnosed with a postpartum infection, most commonly endometritis (80.9%), followed by surgical site infection (20.9%) (not mutually exclusive). Women treated with cefazolin rather than clindamycin or metronidazole had lower odds of postpartum infectious morbidity (adjusted odds ratio, 0.49; 95% confidence interval, 0.26-0.90). This association held when the outcome was restricted to surgical site infection (adjusted odds ratio, 0.11; 95% confidence interval, 0.01-0.92) but not endometritis. Similar results were observed with propensity score analysis. CONCLUSION: Among women delivering by cesarean delivery who were treated for chorioamnionitis, additional antibiotic therapy with cefazolin decreased the risk of postpartum infection, primarily surgical site infection, compared to the current standard clindamycin or metronidazole.


Asunto(s)
Corioamnionitis , Clindamicina , Cefazolina/uso terapéutico , Corioamnionitis/tratamiento farmacológico , Clindamicina/uso terapéutico , Femenino , Humanos , Metronidazol/uso terapéutico , Periodo Posparto , Embarazo
10.
J Womens Health (Larchmt) ; 29(12): 1507-1512, 2020 12.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32364822

RESUMEN

Objective: To investigate the association between maternal obesity as measured by prepregnancy body mass index (BMI) and group B streptococcus (GBS) colonization. Methods: We conducted a secondary analysis from the Consortium on Safe Labor Study (CSL) in the United States cohort study (2002-2008). Pregnant women with deliveries at ≥37 weeks of gestation who attempted labor were included (115,070 assessed deliveries). The association between maternal prepregnancy BMI, categorized as normal weight or below (<25 kg/m2), overweight (25 to <30 kg/m2), class I obesity (30 to <35 kg/m2), class II obesity (35 to <40 kg/m2), and class III obesity (≥40 kg/m2), and GBS colonization was modeled using logistic regression with generalized estimating equations. Models adjusted for maternal age, parity, race, pregestational diabetes, insurance status, study site/region, and year of delivery. Results: The overall prevalence of GBS colonization was 20.5% (23,625/115,070), which increased with rising maternal BMI, normal weight 19.3% (13,543/70,098), overweight 20.8% (5,353/25,733), class I obesity 23.0% (2,596/11,275), class II obesity 26.1% (1,270/4,850), and class III obesity 27.7% (863/3,114). In multivariable analysis, increasing maternal obesity severity was associated with higher odds of GBS colonization, namely overweight (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05-1.13), class I obesity (AOR: 1.20, 95% CI: 1.15-1.26), class II obesity (AOR: 1.42, 95% CI: 1.33-1.51), and class III obesity (AOR: 1.50; 95% CI: 1.38-1.62) compared with normal weight. In secondary analyses, these associations persisted when stratified by maternal race. Conclusions: In a national U.S. sample, increasing maternal obesity severity as assessed by prepregnancy BMI was associated with a higher likelihood of maternal GBS colonization during pregnancy.


Asunto(s)
Obesidad Materna/epidemiología , Nacimiento Prematuro , Adulto , Índice de Masa Corporal , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Obesidad Materna/microbiología , Embarazo , Streptococcus , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
11.
Obstet Gynecol ; 135(4): 935-944, 2020 04.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32168227

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To predict a woman's risk of postpartum hemorrhage at labor admission using machine learning and statistical models. METHODS: Predictive models were constructed and compared using data from 10 of 12 sites in the U.S. Consortium for Safe Labor Study (2002-2008) that consistently reported estimated blood loss at delivery. The outcome was postpartum hemorrhage, defined as an estimated blood loss at least 1,000 mL. Fifty-five candidate risk factors routinely available on labor admission were considered. We used logistic regression with and without lasso regularization (lasso regression) as the two statistical models, and random forest and extreme gradient boosting as the two machine learning models to predict postpartum hemorrhage. Model performance was measured by C statistics (ie, concordance index), calibration, and decision curves. Models were constructed from the first phase (2002-2006) and externally validated (ie, temporally) in the second phase (2007-2008). Further validation was performed combining both temporal and site-specific validation. RESULTS: Of the 152,279 assessed births, 7,279 (4.8%, 95% CI 4.7-4.9) had postpartum hemorrhage. All models had good-to-excellent discrimination. The extreme gradient boosting model had the best discriminative ability to predict postpartum hemorrhage (C statistic: 0.93; 95% CI 0.92-0.93), followed by random forest (C statistic: 0.92; 95% CI 0.91-0.92). The lasso regression model (C statistic: 0.87; 95% CI 0.86-0.88) and logistic regression (C statistic: 0.87; 95% CI 0.86-0.87) had lower-but-good discriminative ability. The above results held with validation across both time and sites. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that, although all models provided superior net benefit when clinical decision thresholds were between 0% and 80% predicted risk, the extreme gradient boosting model provided the greatest net benefit. CONCLUSION: Postpartum hemorrhage on labor admission can be predicted with excellent discriminative ability using machine learning and statistical models. Further clinical application is needed, which may assist health care providers to be prepared and triage at-risk women.


Asunto(s)
Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Trabajo de Parto , Hemorragia Posparto/diagnóstico , Estudios de Cohortes , Femenino , Humanos , Aprendizaje Automático , Modelos Estadísticos , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Embarazo , Medición de Riesgo , Triaje , Estados Unidos
12.
Pregnancy Hypertens ; 20: 75-82, 2020 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32193149

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To determine adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes among women with preeclampsia with severe features who delivered <34 weeks comparing those with versus without a comorbid condition. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective analysis from the U.S. Consortium on Safe Labor Study of deliveries <34 weeks with preeclampsia with severe features. We examined the association of each comorbid condition versus none with adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. The comorbidities (not mutually exclusive) were chronic hypertension, pregestational diabetes, gestational diabetes, twin gestation, and fetal growth restriction. MAIN OUTCOMES: Maternal outcome: eclampsia, thromboembolism, ICU admission, and/or death; and neonatal outcome: intracranial/periventricular hemorrhage, hypoxic-ischemic encephalopathy/periventricular leukomalacia, stillbirth, and/or perinatal death. RESULTS: Among 2217 deliveries, 50% had a comorbidity, namely chronic hypertension (30%), pregestational diabetes (8%), gestational diabetes (8%), twin gestation (10%), and fetal growth restriction (7%). Adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes occurred in 10% and 12% of pregnancies, respectively. Pregnancies with preeclampsia with severe features delivered <34 weeks complicated by gestational diabetes (adjusted risk difference, aRD: -4.9%, 95%CI: -9.11 to -0.71), twin gestation (aRD: -5.1%, 95%CI: -8.63 to -1.73), and fetal growth restriction (aRD: -4.7%, 95%CI: -7.96 to -1.62) were less likely to result in adverse maternal outcome compared to pregnancies without comorbidity, but not chronic hypertension and pregestational diabetes. A pregnancy complicated by fetal growth restriction (aRD: 12.2%, 95%CI: 5.48 to 19.03) was more likely to result in adverse neonatal outcome, but not other comorbid conditions. CONCLUSIONS: Preeclampsia with severe features <34 weeks complicated by comorbidity was generally not associated with an increased risk of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes, with the exception of fetal growth restriction.


Asunto(s)
Retardo del Crecimiento Fetal/epidemiología , Preeclampsia/epidemiología , Comorbilidad , Bases de Datos Factuales , Diabetes Gestacional/epidemiología , Femenino , Retardo del Crecimiento Fetal/diagnóstico , Retardo del Crecimiento Fetal/mortalidad , Humanos , Lactante , Mortalidad Infantil , Recién Nacido , Mortalidad Materna , Preeclampsia/diagnóstico , Preeclampsia/mortalidad , Embarazo , Resultado del Embarazo , Embarazo en Diabéticas/epidemiología , Embarazo Gemelar , Estudios Retrospectivos , Medición de Riesgo , Factores de Riesgo , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Estados Unidos/epidemiología
13.
Eur J Obstet Gynecol Reprod Biol ; 247: 85-89, 2020 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32078981

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To assess if delayed amniotomy during labor induction is associated with adverse delivery outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study of women with a viable, singleton gestation who underwent labor induction at a tertiary-care hospital (4/2014-3/2017). Women were excluded if oxytocin was not used or if spontaneous rupture of membranes (ROM) occurred ≤8 h after oxytocin initiation. The primary outcome was cesarean delivery, and secondary outcomes included postpartum hemorrhage, maternal infectious morbidity, neonatal 5-min Apgar score <7, and neonatal intensive care unit admission. Women were compared by timing of amniotomy: delayed (ROM > 8 h after oxytocin initiation) versus not delayed. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the association between delayed amniotomy and study outcomes. RESULTS: Of 2081 women who met inclusion criteria, 1125 (before 54%) had delayed amniotomy. Women with delayed amniotomy had ROM 12.7 h (IQR 10.0, 17.9) after oxytocin versus 5.0 h (IQR 3.7, 6.5) without delayed amniotomy. In multivariable regression, delayed amniotomy was associated with increasingly higher odds of cesarean as maternal obesity severity increased (aOR 1.58, 95 %CI 1.24-2.03 at BMI 30 kg/m2; aOR 2.15, 95 %CI 1.45-3.21 at BMI 40 kg/m2; aOR 2.93, 95 %CI 1.54-5.57 at BMI 50 kg/m2). CONCLUSION: Delayed amniotomy >8 h after starting oxytocin for labor induction was associated with higher odds of cesarean delivery. Significant delay in ROM should be avoided during labor induction.


Asunto(s)
Amniotomía/efectos adversos , Cesárea/estadística & datos numéricos , Resultado del Embarazo/epidemiología , Adulto , Amniotomía/métodos , Índice de Masa Corporal , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Masculino , Oxitocina/administración & dosificación , Hemorragia Posparto/epidemiología , Hemorragia Posparto/etiología , Embarazo , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Tiempo , Adulto Joven
14.
Aust N Z J Obstet Gynaecol ; 60(1): 108-114, 2020 02.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31292948

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Amniotomy is a commonly used, inexpensive method of labour induction; however, the optimal timing of amniotomy during labour induction is debated. AIMS: To investigate whether artificial rupture of membranes <4 cm dilation is associated with caesarean, severe maternal and neonatal morbidity, and labour induction duration. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of 228 438 deliveries at 19 US hospitals. Women with a viable, singleton gestation undergoing induction ≥37 weeks with cervical dilation <4 cm were included. Women were excluded if membranes spontaneously ruptured <4 cm. Women were compared by early amniotomy (<4 cm dilation) versus not early. The primary outcome was caesarean. Secondary outcomes included severe maternal and neonatal morbidity, and labour duration. Logistic and Cox proportional hazard regression estimated the association between early amniotomy and study outcomes. RESULTS: Of 15 525 eligible women, 10 421 (67%) had early amniotomy. Early amniotomy was associated with higher adjusted odds of caesarean and severe maternal morbidity, but not neonatal morbidity. After accounting for interaction, early amniotomy was associated with increasingly higher odds of caesarean as body mass index increased. Early amniotomy was associated with lower odds of severe maternal morbidity among multiparas with mechanical ripening. Median labour induction was 2.5 h shorter with early amniotomy, significant in hazard regression. CONCLUSIONS: Early amniotomy was associated with increased odds of caesarean among obese women. The association between early amniotomy and severe maternal morbidity varied by maternal characteristics, but early amniotomy was not associated with neonatal morbidity. Early amniotomy in labour induction may be advantageous in certain populations, particularly non-obese women requiring mechanical ripening.


Asunto(s)
Amniotomía/efectos adversos , Cesárea/estadística & datos numéricos , Trabajo de Parto Inducido/métodos , Adulto , Índice de Masa Corporal , Maduración Cervical , Parto Obstétrico , Femenino , Humanos , Recién Nacido , Embarazo , Estudios Retrospectivos , Estados Unidos
15.
J Perinatol ; 39(5): 761, 2019 May.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30842550

RESUMEN

This correction is to acknowledge that funding was supported by the Intramural Research Program of the National Institutes of Health, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development (NICHD). The Consortium on Safe Labor was funded by the Intramural Research Program of the NICHD, through Contract No. HHSN267200603425C.

16.
J Perinatol ; 39(5): 673-682, 2019 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30723279

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of chorioamnionitis, and secondarily its duration, on neonatal adverse outcomes for infants born <34 weeks vs. ≥34 weeks. STUDY DESIGN: A secondary analysis from the observational U.S. Consortium on Safe Labor Study. The exposure was chorioamnionitis, and secondarily, its estimated duration. The composite outcome included pneumonia, seizure, necrotizing enterocolitis, sepsis, periventricular/intraventricular/cerebral hemorrhage, mechanical ventilation, and neonatal death. Multivariable logistic regression with generalized estimating equations was used, stratified by gestational age at delivery. RESULTS: Among 221,274 deliveries, the odds of the neonatal adverse outcome <34 weeks was 2-fold higher among infants exposed to chorioamnionitis vs. those who were not (62.0 vs. 47.7%; AOR: 1.86; 95%CI: 1.25-2.75), and was ~3.5-fold higher ≥34 weeks (9.2 vs. 2.5%; AOR: 3.34; 95% CI: 2.35-4.76). The estimated duration of chorioamnionitis did not change the above associations. CONCLUSIONS: Chorioamnionitis was associated with an approximately 2- and 3.5-fold increased odds of neonatal adverse outcomes <34 and ≥34 weeks, respectively, regardless of its estimated duration.


Asunto(s)
Corioamnionitis/epidemiología , Enfermedades del Prematuro/epidemiología , Complicaciones del Trabajo de Parto/epidemiología , Adulto , Femenino , Edad Gestacional , Humanos , Lactante , Mortalidad Infantil , Recién Nacido , Recien Nacido Prematuro , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Morbilidad , Análisis Multivariante , North Carolina/epidemiología , Embarazo , Resultado del Embarazo , Adulto Joven
17.
Am J Obstet Gynecol ; 220(1): 106.e1-106.e10, 2019 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30170036

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Removal of the fallopian tubes at the time of hysterectomy or interval sterilization has become routine practice to prevent ovarian cancer. While emerging as a strategy, uptake of this procedure at the time of cesarean delivery for pregnant women seeking permanent sterilization has not been widely adopted due to perceptions of increased morbidity and operative difficulty with a lack of available data in this setting. OBJECTIVE: We sought to conduct a cost-effectiveness analysis comparing strategies for long-term sterilization and ovarian cancer risk reduction at the time of cesarean delivery, including bilateral tubal ligation, opportunistic salpingectomy, and long-acting reversible contraception. STUDY DESIGN: A decision-analytic and cost-effectiveness model was constructed for pregnant women undergoing cesarean delivery who desired permanent sterilization in the US population, comparing 3 strategies: (1) bilateral tubal ligation, (2) bilateral opportunistic salpingectomy, and (3) postpartum long-acting reversible contraception. This theoretic cohort consisted of 110,000 pregnant women desiring permanent sterilization at the time of cesarean delivery and ovarian cancer prevention at an average of 35 years who were monitored for an additional 40 years based on an average US female life expectancy of 75 years. The primary outcome measure was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Effectiveness was measured as quality-adjusted life years. Secondary outcomes included: the number of ovarian cancer cases and deaths, procedure-related complications, and unintended and ectopic pregnancies. The 1-, 2-, and 3-way and Monte Carlo probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed. The willingness-to-pay threshold was set at $100,000. RESULTS: Both bilateral tubal ligation and bilateral opportunistic salpingectomy with cesarean delivery have favorable cost-effectiveness ratios. In the base case analysis, salpingectomy was more cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $23,189 per quality-adjusted life year compared to tubal ligation. Long-acting reversible contraception after cesarean was not cost-effective (ie, dominated). Although salpingectomy and tubal ligation were both cost-effective over a wide range of cost and risk estimates, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio analysis was highly sensitive to the uncertainty around the estimates of salpingectomy cancer risk reduction, risk of perioperative complications, and cost. Monte Carlo probabilistic sensitivity analysis estimated that tubal ligation had a 49% chance of being the preferred strategy over salpingectomy. If the true salpingectomy risk of perioperative complications is >2% higher than tubal ligation or if the cancer risk reduction of salpingectomy is <52%, then tubal ligation is the preferred, more cost-effective strategy. CONCLUSION: Bilateral tubal ligation and bilateral opportunistic salpingectomy with cesarean delivery are both cost-effective strategies for permanent sterilization and ovarian cancer risk reduction. Although salpingectomy and tubal ligation are both reasonable strategies for cesarean patients seeking permanent sterilization and cancer risk reduction, threshold analyses indicate that the risks and benefits of salpingectomy with cesarean delivery need to be better defined before a preferred strategy can be determined.


Asunto(s)
Cesárea/métodos , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Neoplasias Ováricas/prevención & control , Salpingectomía/métodos , Esterilización Tubaria/métodos , Adulto , Estudios de Cohortes , Terapia Combinada , Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Femenino , Humanos , Embarazo , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Estudios Retrospectivos , Salpingectomía/economía , Esterilización Reproductiva/economía , Esterilización Reproductiva/métodos , Esterilización Tubaria/economía , Estados Unidos
19.
Obstet Gynecol ; 130(5): 969-978, 2017 11.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29016508

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To summarize available studies on wound complication outcomes after prophylactic negative pressure wound therapy for obese women (body mass index 30 or greater). DATA SOURCES: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis using electronic database search (PubMed, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, EMBASE, Google scholar, and Web of Science), Cochrane, and trial registries including ClinicalTrials.gov. METHODS OF STUDY SELECTION: We conducted an electronic search of research articles from 1966 to January 2017 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs), prospective cohort, and retrospective cohort studies of negative pressure wound therapy compared with standard dressing after cesarean delivery among obese women. Our primary outcome was defined as a composite of wound complication, including wound or surgical site infection, cellulitis, seroma, hematoma, wound disruption, or dehiscence. For cohort studies and RCTs, we performed a descriptive systematic review. For available RCTs, we performed a meta-analysis and pooled risk ratios using a random-effects model. We assessed for heterogeneity using χ test for heterogeneity and I test. We assessed for publication bias using a funnel plot. TABULATION, INTEGRATION, AND RESULTS: Of 10 studies meeting eligibility criteria, five were RCTs and five were cohort studies. Results of cohort studies were varied; however, all had a high potential for selection bias. In the meta-analysis, there was no difference in primary composite outcome among those women with negative pressure wound therapy (16.8%) compared with those who had standard dressing (17.8%) (risk ratio 0.97, 95% CI 0.63-1.49). There was no statistically significant heterogeneity (χ test 4.80, P=.31, I=17%). CONCLUSION: Currently available evidence does not support negative pressure wound therapy use among obese women for cesarean wound complication prevention. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION: PROSPERO: International prospective register of systematic reviews, 42016033948.


Asunto(s)
Cesárea/métodos , Terapia de Presión Negativa para Heridas/métodos , Obesidad/cirugía , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/prevención & control , Complicaciones del Embarazo/cirugía , Procedimientos Quirúrgicos Profilácticos/métodos , Herida Quirúrgica/terapia , Adulto , Índice de Masa Corporal , Femenino , Humanos , Obesidad/complicaciones , Complicaciones Posoperatorias/etiología , Embarazo , Complicaciones del Embarazo/etiología , Herida Quirúrgica/etiología , Resultado del Tratamiento
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