Applicability and performance of heart failure prognostic scores in dilated cardiomyopathy: the real-world experience of an Italian referral center for cardiomyopathies.

BACKGROUND: The performance of heart failure (HF) risk models is validated in the general population with HF but in specific aetiological settings, and specifically in dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), has scarcely been explored. We tested eight of the main prognostic scores used in HF in a large real-world population of patients with DCM. METHODS: We included 784 consecutive DCM patients enrolled, both inpatients and outpatients, enrolled between January 2000 and December 2017. The risk of 1 and/or 3-year all-cause mortality/heart transplantation/durable left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implantation (D/HTx/LVAD) was estimated in our cohort according to the following risk scores SHFM, 3-CHF, CHARM, MAGGIC, GISSI-HF, MECKI, Barcelona Bio-HF, Krakow score and their accuracy calculated through the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 5.8 years (Interquartile Range 3.2-7.6 years), 191 patients (20%) died or underwent HTx/LVAD (158 deaths, 30 heart transplantations, and 3 LVAD implantations). The high missing rate allowed to calculated only four prognostic models (MAGGIC, CHARM, 3-CHF and SHFM). All the scores overestimated the rate of D/HTx/LVAD. The prognostic accuracy was suboptimal for MAGGIC (AUC 0.754) and CHARM (AUC 0.720) scores and only modest for 3-CHF (AUC 0.677) and SHFM (AUC 0.667). CONCLUSIONS: Main prognostic scores for the risk stratification of HF are only partially applicable to real-world patients with DCM. MAGGIC and CHARM scores showed the best accuracy, despite the overestimation of risk. Our findings corroborate the need of specific risk scores for the prognostic stratification of DCM. CLINICAL PERSPECTIVE: What is new? The present study is the largest analysis in literature which investigate how the main existing heart failure prognostic risk scores performed in a real-world of dilated cardiomyopathy population, both in- and outpatients. What are the clinical implications? DCM is a stand-alone model of heart failure, where the performance of multiple heart failure prognostic scores for the risk stratification is quite limited. The need for contemporary, dedicated prognostic scores in this disease is increasingly evident.

Strain analysis reveals subtle systolic dysfunction in confirmed and suspected myocarditis with normal LVEF. A cardiac magnetic resonance study.

AIMS: Lake Louise Criteria (LLC) are time-dependent and some acute myocarditis (AM) with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) could be missed, due to the limited accessibility of Cardiac Magnetic Resonance (CMR). We aimed to assess the potential value of cardiac strain measured by feature tracking (FT) imaging in this population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Eighty-three patients with clinically suspected AM and normal LVEF were divided into 39 "confirmed AM" (positive LLC) and 44 "suspected AM" (negative LLC). An age and gender-matched sample of 42 normal subjects underwent CMR. In all groups, FT-derived biventricular strains and STE- global longitudinal strain (GLS) were assessed, being regularly measurable. Strain values < 5th percentile of the control group were considered abnormal. "Suspected" and "confirmed" AM were similar, except for medium time of CMR evaluation (5.2 vs 1 months from presentation, respectively; p = 0.004). Compared to healthy controls, both "suspected" and "confirmed" AM showed significantly impaired strain values. LV-global circumferential strain (GCS), right ventricular GCS and LV-GLS were abnormal in 15.4% and 15.9%, 20.5% and 15.9%, 7.7% and 9.1% in "confirmed" and "suspected" AM, respectively. STE analysis confirmed the results on LV-GLS, however a weak correlation emerged between STE and CMR-FT LV-GLS (p = 0.08). CONCLUSIONS: Compared to STE, CMR-FT analysis provided a more comprehensive and complementary biventricular strain evaluation that resulted similar in "confirmed" and "suspected" AM with normal LVEF. Conversely, mostly biventricular GCS was significantly reduced in up to 20% of patients, compared to healthy controls.

Prognostic Impact of BNP Variations in Patients Admitted for Acute Decompensated Heart Failure with In-Hospital Worsening Renal Function.

BACKGROUND: The significance of worsening renal function (WRF) in patients admitted for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is still controversial. We hypothesised that changes in brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) might identify patients with optimal diuretic responsiveness resulting in transient WRF, not negatively affecting the prognosis. Our aim was to verify if in-hospital trends of BNP might be helpful in the stratification of patients with WRF after treatment for ADHF. METHODS: 122 consecutive patients admitted for ADHF were enrolled. Brain natriuretic peptide and eGFR were evaluated at admission and discharge. A 20% relative decrease in eGFR defined WRF, whereas a BNP reduction ≥40% was considered significant. The primary combined endpoint was death/urgent heart transplantation and re-hospitalisation for ADHF. RESULTS: Worsening renal function occurred in 23% of patients without differences in outcome between patients with and without WRF (43% vs. 45%, p=0.597). A significant reduction in BNP levels over the hospitalisation occurred in 59% of the overall population and in 71% of patients with WRF. At a median follow-up of 13.0 (IQR 6-36) months, WRF patients with ≥40% BNP reduction had a lower rate of death/urgent heart transplantation/re-hospitalisation compared to WRF patients without BNP reduction (30% and 75%, respectively; p=0.007). Favourable BNP trend was the strongest variable in predicting the outcome in WRF patients (HR 0.222, 95% CI 0.066-0.753, p=0.016). CONCLUSIONS: Worsening renal function does not affect the prognosis of ADHF and, when associated with a significant BNP reduction, identifies patients with adequate decongestion at discharge and favourable outcome.