Blood neurofilament light levels predict non-relapsing progression following anti-CD20 therapy in relapsing and primary progressive multiple sclerosis: findings from the ocrelizumab randomised, double-blind phase 3 clinical trials.

BACKGROUND: Neurofilament light chain (NfL), a neuronal cytoskeletal protein that is released upon neuroaxonal injury, is associated with multiple sclerosis (MS) relapsing activity and has demonstrated some prognostic ability for future relapse-related disease progression, yet its value in assessing non-relapsing disease progression remains unclear. METHODS: We examined baseline and longitudinal blood NfL levels in 1421 persons with relapsing MS (RMS) and 596 persons with primary progressive MS (PPMS) from the pivotal ocrelizumab MS trials. NfL treatment-response and risk for disease worsening (including disability progression into the open-label extension period and slowly expanding lesions [SELs] on brain MRI) at baseline and following treatment with ocrelizumab were evaluated using time-to-event analysis and linear regression models. FINDINGS: In persons from the RMS control arms without acute disease activity and in the entire PPMS control arm, higher baseline NfL was prognostic for greater whole brain and thalamic atrophy, greater volume expansion of SELs, and clinical progression. Ocrelizumab reduced NfL levels vs. controls in persons with RMS and those with PPMS, and abrogated the prognostic value of baseline NfL on disability progression. Following effective suppression of relapse activity by ocrelizumab, NfL levels at weeks 24 and 48 were significantly associated with long-term risk for disability progression, including up to 9 years of observation in RMS and PPMS. INTERPRETATION: Highly elevated NfL from acute MS disease activity may mask a more subtle NfL abnormality that reflects underlying non-relapsing progressive biology. Ocrelizumab significantly reduced NfL levels, consistent with its effects on acute disease activity and disability progression. Persistently elevated NfL levels, observed in a subgroup of persons under ocrelizumab treatment, demonstrate potential clinical utility as a predictive biomarker of increased risk for clinical progression. Suppression of relapsing biology with high-efficacy immunotherapy provides a window into the relationship between NfL levels and future non-relapsing progression. FUNDING: F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd.

Development of an age-adjusted model for blood neurofilament light chain.

OBJECTIVE: To develop an age-adjustment model for neurofilament light chain (NfL), an emerging injury marker in patients with a range of neurologic conditions including multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: Serum and plasma samples were collected from a healthy donor (HD) cohort of 118 individuals aged 24 to 66 years, 90 patients with relapsing MS (RMS) and 22 patients with progressive MS (PMS). Serum and plasma samples were assessed for NfL using the SIMOA assay (Quanterix NfL Advantage Kit™). A log-linear model was used to evaluate the relationship between NfL and age and to calculate age-adjusted NfL levels. RESULTS: Higher serum and plasma NfL levels were significantly associated with increasing HD age. Log-transformation of blood NfL levels reduced heteroscedasticity and skewness. A log-linear model enabled adjustment for age-related increase in serum and plasma NfL levels (2.3% [95% CI, 1.6-2.9] and 2.6% [95% CI, 1.3-3.3] per year, respectively). Following age adjustment, NfL did not show significant association with HD sex or ethnicity. While unadjusted serum NfL levels were elevated in patients with PMS (mean age 56 years) compared with those with RMS (mean age 37 years), age-adjusted NfL levels did not differ. INTERPRETATION: A log-linear, age adjustment model was developed to enable comparison of NfL levels across populations with different ages. While additional data and evidence are needed for patient-level adoption, this could be a valuable tool for interpreting NfL levels across a range of patient groups with neurologic conditions.