Semaglutide and Cardiovascular Outcomes in Obesity without Diabetes.

BACKGROUND: Semaglutide, a glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist, has been shown to reduce the risk of adverse cardiovascular events in patients with diabetes. Whether semaglutide can reduce cardiovascular risk associated with overweight and obesity in the absence of diabetes is unknown. METHODS: In a multicenter, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled, event-driven superiority trial, we enrolled patients 45 years of age or older who had preexisting cardiovascular disease and a body-mass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) of 27 or greater but no history of diabetes. Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to receive once-weekly subcutaneous semaglutide at a dose of 2.4 mg or placebo. The primary cardiovascular end point was a composite of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke in a time-to-first-event analysis. Safety was also assessed. RESULTS: A total of 17,604 patients were enrolled; 8803 were assigned to receive semaglutide and 8801 to receive placebo. The mean (±SD) duration of exposure to semaglutide or placebo was 34.2±13.7 months, and the mean duration of follow-up was 39.8±9.4 months. A primary cardiovascular end-point event occurred in 569 of the 8803 patients (6.5%) in the semaglutide group and in 701 of the 8801 patients (8.0%) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% confidence interval, 0.72 to 0.90; P<0.001). Adverse events leading to permanent discontinuation of the trial product occurred in 1461 patients (16.6%) in the semaglutide group and 718 patients (8.2%) in the placebo group (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with preexisting cardiovascular disease and overweight or obesity but without diabetes, weekly subcutaneous semaglutide at a dose of 2.4 mg was superior to placebo in reducing the incidence of death from cardiovascular causes, nonfatal myocardial infarction, or nonfatal stroke at a mean follow-up of 39.8 months. (Funded by Novo Nordisk; SELECT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03574597.).

Correction to: Scientific white paper on concentration-QTc modeling.

The original version of this article unfortunately contained an error in Equation 1 under the section "Pre-specified linear mixed effects model". The correct equation has given below.

Scientific white paper on concentration-QTc modeling.

The International Council for Harmonisation revised the E14 guideline through the questions and answers process to allow concentration-QTc (C-QTc) modeling to be used as the primary analysis for assessing the QTc interval prolongation risk of new drugs. A well-designed and conducted QTc assessment based on C-QTc modeling in early phase 1 studies can be an alternative approach to a thorough QT study for some drugs to reliably exclude clinically relevant QTc effects. This white paper provides recommendations on how to plan and conduct a definitive QTc assessment of a drug using C-QTc modeling in early phase clinical pharmacology and thorough QT studies. Topics included are: important study design features in a phase 1 study; modeling objectives and approach; exploratory plots; the pre-specified linear mixed effects model; general principles for model development and evaluation; and expectations for modeling analysis plans and reports. The recommendations are based on current best modeling practices, scientific literature and personal experiences of the authors. These recommendations are expected to evolve as their implementation during drug development provides additional data and with advances in analytical methodology.

Esomeprazole FDA Approval in Children With GERD: Exposure-Matching and Exposure-Response.

OBJECTIVES: Food and Drug Administration approval of proton-pump inhibitors for infantile gastroesophageal reflux disease has been limited by intrapatient variability in the clinical assessment of gastroesophageal reflux disease. For children 1 to 17 years old, extrapolating efficacy from adults for IV esomeprazole was accepted. The oral formulation was previously approved in children. Exposure-response and exposure matching analyses were sought to identify approvable pediatric doses. METHODS: Intragastric pH biomarker comparisons between children and adults were conducted. Pediatric doses were selected to match exposures in adults and were based on population pharmacokinetic (PK) modeling and simulations with pediatric esomeprazole data. Observed IV or oral esomeprazole PK data were available from 50 and 117 children, between birth and 17 years, respectively, and from 65 adults, between 20 and 48 years. A population PK model developed using these data was used to simulate steady-state esomeprazole exposures for children at different doses to match the observed exposures in adults. RESULTS: Exposure-response relationships of intragastric pH measures were similar between children and adults. The PK simulations identified a dosing regimen for children that results in comparable steady-state area under the curve to that observed after 20 mg in adults. For IV esomeprazole, increasing the infusion duration to 10 to 30 minutes in children achieves matching Cmax values with adults. CONCLUSIONS: The exposure-matching analysis permitted approval of an esomeprazole regimen not studied directly in clinical trials. Exposure-response for intragastric pH-permitted approval for the treatment of gastroesophageal reflux disease in children in whom it was not possible to evaluate the adult primary endpoint, mucosal healing assessed by endoscopy.

Reporting guidelines for population pharmacokinetic analyses.

The purpose of this work was to develop a consolidated set of guiding principles for the reporting of population pharmacokinetic (PK) analyses based on input from a survey of practitioners as well as discussions between industry, consulting, and regulatory scientists. The survey found that identification of population covariate effects on drug exposure and support for dose selection (in which population PK frequently serves as preparatory analysis for exposure-response modeling) are the main areas of influence for population PK analysis. The proposed guidelines consider 2 main purposes of population PK reports: (1) to present key analysis findings and their impact on drug development decisions, and (2) as documentation of the analysis methods for the dual purpose of enabling review of the analysis and facilitating future use of the models. This work also identified 2 main audiences for the reports: (1) a technically competent group responsible for in-depth review of the data, methodology, and results; and (2) a scientifically literate but not technically adept group, whose main interest is in the implications of the analysis for the broader drug development program. We recommend a generalized question-based approach with 6 questions that need to be addressed throughout the report. We recommend 8 sections (Synopsis, Introduction, Data, Methods, Results, Discussion, Conclusions, Appendix) with suggestions for the target audience and level of detail for each section. A section providing general expectations regarding population PK reporting from a regulatory perspective is also included. We consider this an important step toward industrialization of the field of pharmacometrics such that a nontechnical audience also understands the role of pharmacometric analyses in decision making. Population PK reports were chosen as representative reports to derive these recommendations; however, the guiding principles presented here are applicable for all pharmacometric reports including pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics and simulation reports.

Reporting guidelines for population pharmacokinetic analyses.

The purpose of this work was to develop a consolidated set of guiding principles for reporting of population pharmacokinetic (PK) analyses based on input from a survey of practitioners as well as discussions between industry, consulting and regulatory scientists. The survey found that identification of population covariate effects on drug exposure and support for dose selection (where population PK frequently serves as preparatory analysis to exposure-response modeling) are the main areas of influence for population PK analysis. The proposed guidelines consider two main purposes of population PK reports (1) to present key analysis findings and their impact on drug development decisions, and (2) as documentation of the analysis methods for the dual purpose of enabling review of the analysis and facilitating future use of the models. This work also identified two main audiences for the reports: (1) a technically competent group responsible for in-depth review of the data, methodology, and results, and (2) a scientifically literate, but not technically adept group, whose main interest is in the implications of the analysis for the broader drug development program. We recommend a generalized question-based approach with six questions that need to be addressed throughout the report. We recommend eight sections (Synopsis, Introduction, Data, Methods, Results, Discussion, Conclusions, Appendix) with suggestions for the target audience and level of detail for each section. A section providing general expectations regarding population PK reporting from a regulatory perspective is also included. We consider this an important step towards industrialization of the field of pharmacometrics such that non-technical audience also understands the role of pharmacometrics analyses in decision making. Population PK reports were chosen as representative reports to derive these recommendations; however, the guiding principles presented here are applicable for all pharmacometric reports including PKPD and simulation reports.

Ethnic differences in insulin sensitivity, ß-cell function, and hepatic extraction between Japanese and Caucasians: a minimal model analysis.

CONTEXT: Ethnic differences have previously been reported for type 2 diabetes. OBJECTIVE: We aimed at assessing the potential differences between Caucasian and Japanese subjects ranging from normal glucose tolerance (NGT) to impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and to type 2 diabetes. DESIGN: This was a cross-sectional study with oral glucose tolerance tests to assess ß-cell function, hepatic insulin extraction, and insulin sensitivity. PARTICIPANTS: PARTICIPANTS included 120 Japanese and 150 Caucasian subjects. MAIN OUTCOMES: Measures of ß-cell function, hepatic extraction, and insulin sensitivity were assessed using C-peptide, glucose, and insulin minimal models. RESULTS: Basal ß-cell function (Φ(b)) was lower in Japanese compared with Caucasians (P < .01). In subjects with IGT, estimates of the dynamic (Φ(d)) and static (Φ(s)) ß-cell responsiveness were significantly lower in the Japanese compared with Caucasians (P < .05). In contrast, values of insulin action showed higher sensitivity in the Japanese IGT subjects. Hepatic extraction was similar in NGT and IGT groups but higher in Japanese type 2 diabetic subjects (P < .01). Despite differences in insulin sensitivity, ß-cell function, and hepatic extraction, the disposition indices were similar between the 2 ethnic groups at all glucose tolerance states. Furthermore, the overall insulin sensitivity and ß-cell responsiveness for all glucose tolerance states were similar in Japanese and Caucasians after accounting for differences in body mass index. CONCLUSION: Our study provides evidence for a similar ability of Japanese and Caucasians to compensate for increased insulin resistance.

Dosing rationale for liraglutide in type 2 diabetes mellitus: a pharmacometric assessment.

The glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonist liraglutide was approved in 2010 by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) as an adjunct treatment to diet and exercise to improve glycemic control in adults with type 2 diabetes mellitus. This article provides insights into the use of pharmacometric analyses for regulatory review with a focus on the dosing recommendations. The assessment was based on the totality of exploratory and confirmatory analysis of dose-finding and pivotal clinical data and was structured around a set of key questions in accordance with current FDA review practice. For the pharmacometric review of liraglutide, the key questions focused on exposure-response relationships for effects on fasting plasma glucose, hemoglobin A(1c), and calcitonin and on variability in exposure across demographic subgroups of patients. The importance of conducting exploratory exposure-response analysis and population pharmacokinetic studies in clinical drug development to support dosing recommendations is highlighted.

Knowledge management for efficient quantitative analyses during regulatory reviews.

Knowledge management comprises the strategies and methods employed to generate and leverage knowledge within an organization. This report outlines the activities within the Division of Pharmacometrics at the US FDA to effectively manage knowledge with the ultimate goal of improving drug development and advancing public health. The infrastructure required for pharmacometric knowledge management includes provisions for data standards, queryable databases, libraries of modeling tools, archiving of analysis results and reporting templates for effective communication. Two examples of knowledge management systems developed within the Division of Pharmacometrics are used to illustrate these principles. The benefits of sound knowledge management include increased productivity, allowing reviewers to focus on research questions spanning new drug applications, such as improved trial design and biomarker development. The future of knowledge management depends on the collaboration between the FDA and industry to implement data and model standards to enhance sharing and dissemination of knowledge.

Impact of pharmacometric analyses on new drug approval and labelling decisions: a review of 198 submissions between 2000 and 2008.

Pharmacometric analyses have become an increasingly important component of New Drug Application (NDA) and Biological License Application (BLA) submissions to the US FDA to support drug approval, labelling and trial design decisions. Pharmacometrics is defined as a science that quantifies drug, disease and trial information to aid drug development, therapeutic decisions and/or regulatory decisions. In this report, we present the results of a survey evaluating the impact of pharmacometric analyses on regulatory decisions for 198 submissions during the period from 2000 to 2008. Pharmacometric review of NDAs included independent, quantitative analyses by FDA pharmacometricians, even when such analysis was not conducted by the sponsor, as well as evaluation of the sponsor's report. During 2000-2008, the number of reviews with pharmacometric analyses increased dramatically and the number of reviews with an impact on approval and labelling also increased in a similar fashion. We also present the impact of pharmacometric analyses on selection of paediatric dosing regimens, approval of regimens that had not been directly studied in clinical trials and provision of evidence of effectiveness to support a single pivotal trial. Case studies are presented to better illustrate the role of pharmacometric analyses in regulatory decision making.

Population pharmacokinetic and concentration--QTc models for moxifloxacin: pooled analysis of 20 thorough QT studies.

To increase our understanding of important subject characteristics and design variables affecting the performance of oral moxifloxacin in thorough QT studies, population pharmacokinetic and concentration-QTc models were developed by pooling data from 20 studies. A 1-compartment model with first-order elimination described the pharmacokinetics. Absorption delay was modeled using 8 transit compartments. Mean (95% confidence interval) values for oral clearance, apparent volume of distribution, the first-order absorption rate constant, and mean transit time were 11.7 (11.5-11.9) L/h, 147 (144-150) L, 1.9 (1.7-2.1) 1/h, and 0.3 (0.28-0.34) hours, respectively. Overencapsulating the moxifloxacin tablet increased mean transit time by 138% and delayed time to maximum concentration by 0.5 hours but had a minimal effect on overall exposure. Administration with food decreased absorption rate constant by 27%. Women had higher moxifloxacin exposure compared with men, which was explained by lower body weights. A linear model described the concentration-QTc relationship with a mean slope of 3.1 (2.8-3.3) milliseconds per µg/mL moxifloxacin. Mean slopes for individual studies ranged from 1.6 to 4.8 milliseconds per µg/mL. Hysteresis between moxifloxacin plasma concentrations and QTc was modest, and incorporating this delay did not result in a different slope (3.3 milliseconds per µg/mL). There were no differences in slope estimates between men and women or among race categories.

Creation of a knowledge management system for QT analyses.

An increasing number of thorough QT (TQT) reports are being submitted to the US Food and Drug Administration's interdisciplinary review team for QT (IRT-QT), requiring time-intensive quantitative analyses by a multidisciplinary review team within 45 days. This calls for systematic learning to guide future trials and policies by standardizing and automating the QT analyses to improve review efficiency, provide consistent advice, and enable pooled data analyses to answer key regulatory questions. The QT interval represents the time from initiation of ventricular depolarization to completion of ventricular repolarization recorded by electrocardiograph (ECG) and is used in the proarrhythmic risk assessment. The developed QT knowledge management system is implemented in the R package "QT." Data from 11 crossover TQT studies including time-matched ECGs and pharmacokinetic measurements following single doses of 400 to 1200 mg moxifloxacin were used for the QT analysis example. The automated workflow was divided into 3 components (data management, analysis, and archival). The generated data sets, scripts, tables, and graphs are automatically stored in a queryable repository and summarized in an analysis report. More than 100 TQT studies have been analyzed using the system since 2007. This has dramatically reduced the time needed to review TQT studies and has made the IRT-QT reviews consistent across reviewers. Furthermore, the system enables leveraging prior knowledge through pooled data analyses to answer policy-related questions and to understand the various effects that influence study results.

Folotyn (pralatrexate injection) for the treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory peripheral T-cell lymphoma: U.S. Food and Drug Administration drug approval summary.

PURPOSE: On September 24, 2009, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration granted accelerated approval for Folotyn (pralatrexate injection, Allos Therapeutics, Inc.) as a single agent for the treatment of patients with relapsed or refractory peripheral T-cell lymphoma (PTCL); it is the first drug approved for this indication. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: This review was based on study PDX-008, a phase II, single-arm, nonrandomized, open-label, international, multicenter trial, designed to evaluate the safety and efficacy of pralatrexate when administered concurrently with vitamin B(12) and folic acid supplementation in patients with relapsed or refractory PTCL. RESULTS: The overall response rate was 27% in 109 evaluable patients [95% confidence interval (CI), 19-36%]. Twelve percent of 109 evaluable patients (95% CI, 7-20%)] had a response duration of ≥14 weeks. Six of these 13 patients achieved a complete response, and one patient had complete response unconfirmed. The most common grade 3 and 4 toxicities were thrombocytopenia, mucositis, and neutropenia. CONCLUSION: This accelerated approval was based on a response rate that is reasonably likely to predict clinical benefit in this heavily pretreated patient population with this rare disease. The applicant has committed to conducting postmarketing clinical trials to assess clinical benefit. The recommended starting dose of pralatrexate in patients with relapsed or refractory PTCL is 30 mg/m(2) via intravenous push over 3 to 5 min weekly for 6 weeks followed by a one-week rest (one cycle). Intramuscular injection of 1 mg vitamin B(12) should be administered every 8 to 10 weeks along with 1.0 mg folic acid given orally once a day.

FDA review summary: Mozobil in combination with granulocyte colony-stimulating factor to mobilize hematopoietic stem cells to the peripheral blood for collection and subsequent autologous transplantation.

PURPOSE: On December 15, 2008, the US Food and Drug Administration approved plerixafor (Mozobil; Genzyme Corp.), a new small-molecule inhibitor of the CXCR4 chemokine receptor, for use in combination with granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (G-CSF) to mobilize hematopoietic stem cells (HSC) to the peripheral blood for collection and subsequent autologous transplantation in patients with non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) and multiple myeloma (MM). This summary reviews the database supporting this approval. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: The safety and efficacy of plerixafor were demonstrated by 2 multicenter, randomized, placebo-controlled studies in patients with NHL and MM who were eligible for autologous HSC transplantation. The primary efficacy end points were the collection of > or = 5 x 10(6) CD34+ cells/kg from the peripheral blood in 4 or fewer apheresis sessions in patients with NHL or > or = 6 x 10(6) CD34+ cells/kg from the peripheral blood in 2 or fewer apheresis sessions in patients with MM. RESULTS: The 2 randomized studies combined enrolled 600 patients (298 with NHL and 302 with MM). Fifty-nine percent of patients with NHL who were mobilized with G-CSF and plerixafor had peripheral blood HSC collections of > or = 5 x 10(6) CD34+ cells/kg in 4 or fewer apheresis sessions, compared with 20% of patients with NHL who were mobilized with G-CSF and placebo (p < 0.001). Seventy-two percent of patients with MM who were mobilized with Mozobil and G-CSF had peripheral blood HSC collections of > or = 6 x 10(6) CD34+ cells/kg in 2 or fewer apheresis sessions, compared with 34% of patients with MM who were mobilized with placebo and G-CSF (p < 0.001). Common adverse reactions included diarrhea, nausea, vomiting, flatulence, injection site reactions, fatigue, arthralgia, headache, dizziness, and insomnia. CONCLUSIONS: This report describes the Food and Drug Administration review supporting the approval of plerixafor.

Pharmacometrics-based dose selection of levofloxacin as a treatment for postexposure inhalational anthrax in children.

Levofloxacin was recently (May 2008) approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration as a treatment for children following inhalational exposure to anthrax. Given that no clinical trials to assess the efficacy of a chosen dose was conducted, the basis for the dose recommendation was based upon pharmacometric analyses. The objective of this paper is to describe the basis of the chosen pediatric dose recommended for the label. Pharmacokinetic (PK) data from 90 pediatric patients receiving 7 mg/kg of body weight levofloxacin and two studies of 47 healthy adults receiving 500 and 750 mg/kg levofloxacin were used for the pharmacometric analyses. Body weight was found to be a significant covariate for levofloxacin clearance and the volume of distribution. Consistently with developmental physiology, clearance also was found to be reduced in pediatric patients under 2 years of age due to immature renal function. Different dosing regimens were simulated to match adult exposure (area under the concentration-time curve from 0 to 24 h at steady state, maximum concentration of drug in serum at steady state, and minimum concentration of drug in serum at steady state) following the approved adult dose of 500 mg once a day. The recommended dose of 8 mg/kg twice a day was found to match the exposure of the dose approved for adults in a manner that permitted confidence that this dose in children would achieve efficacy comparable to that of adults.

Concentration-QT relationships play a key role in the evaluation of proarrhythmic risk during regulatory review.

The criterion for assessing whether a drug prolongs QT as described in the International Conference on Harmonization topic E14 guideline does not explicitly account for individual drug concentrations. The authors' experience with reviewing QT studies indicates that understanding the relationship, if any, between individual drug concentration and QT change provides important additional information to support regulatory decision making. Therefore, regulatory reviews of "thorough QT" studies routinely include a characterization of the concentration-QT relationship. The authors provide examples to illustrate how the concentration-QT relationship has been used to plan and interpret the thorough QT study, to evaluate QT risk for drugs that have no thorough QT studies, to assess QT risk in subpopulations, to make dose adjustments, and to write informative drug labels.

Optimising piperacillin/tazobactam dosing in paediatrics.

Piperacillin/tazobactam, an intravenous antibacterial combination product, has recently been approved for paediatric (age 2 months to 17 years) use in the USA. The purpose of this analysis is to describe the basis for the dosing recommendations in this age group. Pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters and demographic covariates from 53 children enrolled in two paediatric studies were used in the analysis. Individual drug clearance (CL) values calculated by non-compartmental methods were available. The influence of demographic covariates on CL was investigated by non-linear regression. The analysis identified CL to be dependent on body weight. CL was also found to be influenced by age in paediatric patientsor=9 months, a dose of 100/12.5 mg/kg every 8h showed exposures similar to adults; for paediatric patients aged 2-9 months, the dose of 100/12.5 mg/kg should be reduced by a factor of 0.8 (i.e. 80/10 mg/kg), likely due to immature renal function. Based upon this analysis, dosing recommendations for paediatric patients down to 2 months of age were incorporated in the labelling. No data were available to allow additional recommendations for paediatric patients<2 months of age to be made.

Population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) modelling of the hypothalamic-pituitary-gonadal axis following treatment with GnRH analogues.

AIMS: To develop a population pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model of the hypothalamic-pituitary-gonadal (HPG) axis describing the changes in luteinizing hormone (LH) and testosterone concentrations following treatment with the gonadotropin-releasing hormone (GnRH) agonist triptorelin and the GnRH receptor blocker degarelix. METHODS: Fifty-eight healthy subjects received single subcutaneous or intramuscular injections of 3.75 mg of triptorelin and 170 prostate cancer patients received multiple subcutaneous doses of degarelix of between 120 and 320 mg. All subjects were pooled for the population PK/PD data analysis. A systematic population PK/PD model-building framework using stochastic differential equations was applied to the data to identify nonlinear dynamic dependencies and to deconvolve the functional feedback interactions of the HPG axis. RESULTS: In our final PK/PD model of the HPG axis, the half-life of LH was estimated to be 1.3 h and that of testosterone 7.69 h, which corresponds well with literature values. The estimated potency of LH with respect to testosterone secretion was 5.18 IU l(-1), with a maximal stimulation of 77.5 times basal testosterone production. The estimated maximal triptorelin stimulation of the basal LH pool release was 1330 times above basal concentrations, with a potency of 0.047 ng ml(-1). The LH pool release was decreased by a maximum of 94.2% by degarelix with an estimated potency of 1.49 ng ml(-1). CONCLUSIONS: Our model of the HPG axis was able to account for the different dynamic responses observed after administration of both GnRH agonists and GnRH receptor blockers, suggesting that the model adequately characterizes the underlying physiology of the endocrine system.

Semi-mechanistic pharmacodynamic modeling for degarelix, a novel gonadotropin releasing hormone (GnRH) blocker.

An integrated semi-mechanistic pharmacodynamic (PD) model describing the relationship between luteinizing hormone (LH) and testosterone (T) after short-term administration of degarelix was developed. Data from three clinical studies involving, intravenous (IV) and subcutaneous (SC) dosing, in healthy male subjects were available. Degarelix pharmacokinetic (PK) data from all studies were modeled simultaneously. One intravenous study was used to develop the PD model and the two other studies (IV and SC dosing) were used to qualify the model. Degarelix PK follows a two-compartment model and exhibits flip-flop kinetics after subcutaneous dosing. Based on physiological mechanism, the gonadotropin releasing hormone (GnRH) time course was described using a pulsatile release model. A precursor-dependent pool model was used to describe the kinetics of LH in the pituitary and plasma compartment. In males, LH regulates T production in leydig cells. Degarelix inhibits the release of LH from the pool compartment to the plasma compartment leading to decreased T production. The plasma half-life of LH (2.6-3.3 hr) and T (2.7 hr) match well with the literature reports. The proposed PD model reasonably described the time course of LH and T including the LH rebound for short-term studies. The model predicted the time course of LH and T for the second IV and SC dosing studies very well. However, the long term simulations from the final model did not match with literature reports. A modification is suggested based on the physiological understanding of the system. The proposed novel modification to precursor models can be of general use for predicting long term responses.