A Simple Algorithm for Predicting Bacteremia Using Food Consumption and Shaking Chills: A Prospective Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: Predicting the presence of true bacteremia based on clinical examination is unreliable. OBJECTIVE: We aimed to construct a simple algorithm for predicting true bacteremia by using food consumption and shaking chills. DESIGN: A prospective multicenter observational study. SETTING: Three hospital centers in a large Japanese city. PARTICIPANTS: In total, 1,943 hospitalized patients aged 14 to 96 years who underwent blood culture acquisitions between April 2013 and August 2014 were enrolled. Patients with anorexia-inducing conditions were excluded. INTERVENTIONS: We assessed the patients' oral food intake based on the meal immediately prior to the blood culture with definition as "normal food consumption" when >80% of a meal was consumed and "poor food consumption" when <80% was consumed. We also concurrently evaluated for a history of shaking chills. MEASUREMENTS: We calculated the statistical characteristics of food consumption and shaking chills for the presence of true bacteremia, and subsequently built the algorithm by using recursive partitioning analysis. RESULTS: Among 1,943 patients, 223 cases were true bacteremia. Among patients with normal food consumption, without shaking chills, the incidence of true bacteremia was 2.4% (13/552). Among patients with poor food consumption and shaking chills, the incidence of true bacteremia was 47.7% (51/107). The presence of poor food consumption had a sensitivity of 93.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 89.4%-97.9%) for true bacteremia, and the absence of poor food consumption (ie, normal food consumption) had a negative likelihood ratio (LR) of 0.18 (95% CI, 0.17-0.19) for excluding true bacteremia, respectively. Conversely, the presence of the shaking chills had a specificity of 95.1% (95% CI, 90.7%-99.4%) and a positive LR of 4.78 (95% CI, 4.56-5.00) for true bacteremia. CONCLUSION: A 2-item screening checklist for food consumption and shaking chills had excellent statistical properties as a brief screening instrument for predicting true bacteremia.

[Trends in drug-resistant tuberculosis in National Higashisaitama Hospital, 1994-2001].

To know the prevalence of resistance to four first-line anti-tuberculosis drugs, we reviewed the results of drug-susceptibility tests of patients with tuberculosis who were admitted to our hospital from 1994 to 2001. Among patients with no prior chemotherapy against tuberculosis, the complete resistance rate was 1.9% for INH, 0.81% for RFP, 5.1% for SM, 0.81% for EB, and 0.32% for multiple drug-resistance (MDR). The acquired resistance rate was 9.7% for INH, 11.5% for RFP, 7.3% for SM, 2.4% for EB, and 6.1% for MDR. There was no significant increase in the prevalence of drug resistance between the first half (1994-1997) and the latter half (1998-2001) of the investigation periods. Compared with the previous reports, our results indicated no increase in the prevalence of drug resistance in tuberculosis patients with no prior treatment and the decrease of prevalence in patients with prior treatment of tuberculosis. A multi-drug regimen consisted of INH, RFP, PZA and EB or SM, which is currently considered as a standard regimen of tuberculosis chemotherapy and used quite widely, does not seem to induce the increase of drug-resistant tuberculosis.

[Superior sensitivity of MGIT method in identification of specimens culture-positive for acid-fast bacilli (AFB) and individuals with positive AFB cultures].

To investigate the superiority of the Mycobacteria Growth Indicator Tube (MGIT) over Ogawa medium in the detection of acid-fast bacilli (AFB), we surveyed all specimens for AFB culture using Ogawa medium in 1999 and MGIT in 2000. The MGIT method increased the culture-positive rate from 23.1% (Ogawa medium) to 34.5% (p < 0.01). The culture-positive rate in smear-negative specimens was greatly increased (from 9.5% to 16.9%) (p < 0.01). The culture-negative rate in smear-positive specimens was decreased to 19.5% from 27.7% (p < 0.01). More individuals with positive M. tuberculosis cultures were found by the MGIT method than with Ogawa medium. Many more individuals with nontuberculous mycobacteria (NTM), notably those with NTM other than M. avium complex, were detected by the MGIT method than with Ogawa medium. The use of the MGIT method in the clinical laboratory will improve sensitivity in the detection of AFB.