Incorporating hydrology into climate suitability models changes projections of malaria transmission in Africa.

Continental-scale models of malaria climate suitability typically couple well-established temperature-response models with basic estimates of vector habitat availability using rainfall as a proxy. Here we show that across continental Africa, the estimated geographic range of climatic suitability for malaria transmission is more sensitive to the precipitation threshold than the thermal response curve applied. To address this problem we use downscaled daily climate predictions from seven GCMs to run a continental-scale hydrological model for a process-based representation of mosquito breeding habitat availability. A more complex pattern of malaria suitability emerges as water is routed through drainage networks and river corridors serve as year-round transmission foci. The estimated hydro-climatically suitable area for stable malaria transmission is smaller than previous models suggest and shows only a very small increase in state-of-the-art future climate scenarios. However, bigger geographical shifts are observed than with most rainfall threshold models and the pattern of that shift is very different when using a hydrological model to estimate surface water availability for vector breeding.

Thermal shock susceptibility and regrowth of Pseudomonas aeruginosa biofilms.

Biofilms on implanted medical devices cause thousands of patients each year to undergo multiple surgeries to remove and replace the implant, driving billions of dollars in increased health care costs due to the lack of viable treatment options for in situ biofilm eradication. Remotely activated localised heating is under investigation to mitigate these biofilms; however, little is known about the temperatures required to kill the biofilms. To better understand the required parameters this study investigated the thermal susceptibility of biofilms as a function of their fluidic and chemical environment during growth, as well as their propensity for regrowth following thermal shock. Pseudomonas aeruginosa biofilms were cultured in shaker plate fluidic conditions in four different growth media, then thermally shocked at various temperatures and exposure times. Biofilms were re-incubated to determine their regrowth potential following thermal shocks of various intensities. Results indicate that growth media has little impact on thermal susceptibility, while fluidic conditions strongly influence susceptibility to modest thermal shocks. This effect disappears, however, with increasingly aggressive shocks, reducing biofilm populations by up to 5 orders of magnitude. Regrowth studies indicate a critical post-shock bacterial loading (∼103 CFU/cm2) below which the biofilms were no longer viable, while biofilms above that loading slowly regrew to their previous population density.

Long-term follow-up of imatinib in pediatric Philadelphia chromosome-positive acute lymphoblastic leukemia: Children's Oncology Group study AALL0031.

We previously reported preliminary findings that post induction imatinib mesylate (340 mg/m(2)/day), in combination with intensive chemotherapy, resulted in outcomes similar to blood and marrow transplant (BMT) for pediatric patients with Philadelphia chromosome-positive (Ph+) acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). We now report 5-year outcomes of imatinib plus intensive chemotherapy in 91 children (1-21 years) with and without allogeneic BMT (N=91). We explore the impacts of additional chromosomal abnormalities and minimal residual disease (MRD) by flow cytometry on outcomes. The 5-year disease-free survival was similar for Cohort 5 patients, treated with chemotherapy plus imatinib (70%±12%, n=28), sibling donor BMT patients (65%±11%, n=21) and unrelated donor BMT patients (59±15%; P=0.60, n=13). Patients with additional cytogenetic abnormalities had worse outcomes (P=0.05). End induction (pre-imatinib) MRD was not prognostic for Cohort 5 or allogeneic BMT patients, although limited by small numbers. The re-induction rate following relapse was similar to other higher-risk ALL groups. Longer-term follow-up confirms our initial observation of substantially good outcomes for children and adolescents with Ph+ ALL treated with imatinib plus intensive chemotherapy with no advantage for allogeneic BMT.

Long-term results of the children's cancer group studies for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia 1983-2002: a Children's Oncology Group Report.

The Children's Cancer Group enrolled 13 298 young people age <21 years on 1 of 16 protocols between 1983 and 2002. Outcomes were examined in three time periods, 1983-1988, 1989-1995, 1996-2002. Over the three intervals, 10-year event-free survival (EFS) for Rome/National Cancer Institute standard risk (SR) and higher risk (HR) B-precursor patients was 68 and 58%, 77 and 63%, and 78 and 67%, respectively, whereas for SR and HR T-cell patients, EFS was 65 and 56%, 78 and 68%, and 70 and 72%, respectively. Five-year EFS for infants was 36, 38, and 43%, respectively. Seminal randomized studies led to a number of important findings. Stronger post-induction intensification improved outcome for both SR and HR patients. With improved systemic therapy, additional intrathecal (IT) methotrexate effectively replaced cranial radiation. For SR patients receiving three-drug induction, iso-toxic substitution of dexamethasone for prednisone improved EFS. Pegylated asparaginase safely and effectively replaced native asparaginase. Thus, rational therapy modifications yielded better outcomes for both SR and HR patients. These trials provide the platforms for current Children's Oncology Group trials.

Nausea and vomiting with high-dose chemotherapy and stem cell rescue therapy: a review of antiemetic regimens.

Stem cell transplantation, using high-dose chemotherapy with or without TBI, is usually associated with significant nausea and vomiting. A variety of antiemetic regimens have been studied to control nausea and vomiting associated with the preparative therapy phase of SCT. We review the most significant studies and highlight the limitations of many of these studies. In addition, we review the few studies with the use of aprepitant as an antiemetic in combination with a 5HT(3) antagonist and a steroid. The American Society of Clinical Oncology guideline for antiemetic use for treatment regimens that are highly emetogenic is reviewed regarding recommendations for SCT preparative regimens. On the basis of this review of published data, we recommend the basic outline for an effective antiemetic investigational approach to the study and to the control of nausea and vomiting during the preparative phase of treatment for SCT.

Tools for predicting risk of mortality in the ICU setting: do we need a crystal ball or rose colored glasses?

Hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT) applied to children is associated with high risk for organ failure, ICU admission, morbidity and mortality. "Respiratory failure" after HSCT carries a historically grave prognosis. Factors associated with high risk for critical care complications in HSCT patients have been identified, but are dependent on timing and intensity of interventions. Several ICU severity of illness scoring systems predict prognosis on the basis of physiologic stability, organ system involvement, and intensity of supportive measures; but these tend to underestimate post-transplantation mortality risk. Adjustment of scoring systems and logistic regression factor analysis are promising adjuncts, but have not been adequately validated. Specific endpoints such as death, length of ICU or hospital stay, and neurologic function are relatively easy to quantify; but, quality of life is difficult to assess and report. What constitutes "heroic therapy" in one institution may qualify as "routine" care in another. Therefore, tools to predict mortality in the pediatric HSCT recipient requiring intensive care are difficult to apply to the individual patient, and remain more an art than science. This manuscript attempts to briefly define and review the pertinent types of PICU severity of illness and mortality prognosis scoring systems, and their application to pediatric HSCT patients. Pitfalls in application of physiology, organ system failure, therapeutic intensity, disease specific, and history-based scoring systems are discussed. Prospective validation studies for severity of illness systems and the evolution to concurrent registry-style data collection and analysis are necessary for the HSCT patient requiring ICU care.

Chédiak-Higashi syndrome: hematopoietic chimerism corrects genetic defect.

Chediak-Higashi syndrome is a rare autosomal recessive disorder, primarily affecting neutrophils, and is often lethal by the third decade of life. Bone marrow transplantation is the only curative therapy currently available. This case describes a child undergoing a bone marrow transplant from a matched sibling donor, resulting in hematopoietic chimerism with only a small percentage of donor neutrophils found long term. The presence of a small percentage of donor neutrophils has resulted in normal development and no increased incidence of infections. Hematopoietic chimerism offers a cure with a potential reduction in the side-effects that result from marrow transplantation and the associated preparative therapies.

Low incidence of Epstein-Barr virus-associated posttransplantation lymphoproliferative disorders in 272 unrelated-donor umbilical cord blood transplant recipients.

Umbilical cord blood (UCB) is being increasingly used for transplantation, but the ability of neonatal T cells to regulate Epstein-Barr virus (EBV)-associated lymphoproliferation is unknown. Because UCB transplantation (UCBT) is associated with a relatively low infused dose of donor T cells, frequent donor-recipient HLA disparity, and use of antithymocyte globulin during conditioning, we hypothesized that the risk of EBV-associated posttransplantation lymphoproliferative disorders (EVB-PTLD) after UCBT may be increased. To investigate the incidence of EBV-PTLD after UCBT, we analyzed 272 unrelated-donor UCBTs performed from August 1993 to December 1999 at Duke University Medical Center and the University of Minnesota. Five cases of EBV-PTLD were identified, with a cumulative incidence of 2% (95% confidence interval, 0.3%-3.7%) at 2 years. EBV-PTLD affected UCB recipients aged 1 to 49 years (median, 8 years), with 4 patients undergoing transplantation for leukemia and 1 for immunodeficiency. Patients received UCB grafts that were HLA matched (n = 1) or mismatched at 1 (n = 1) or 2 (n = 3) HLA loci. Diagnoses occurred at 4 to 14 months (median, 6 months) after UCBT, with 4 of 5 patients having preceding grade II to IV acute graft-versus-host disease and 1 being diagnosed at autopsy. Treatment of 4 patients consisted of withdrawal of immunosuppressive treatment and administration of rituximab, with 2 of 4 patients responding. Thus, the incidence of EBV-PTLD after unrelated-donor UCBT appears similar to that observed after transplantation using unrelated bone marrow (BM) and compares favorably with unrelated-donor T-cell-depleted BM transplantation. Because adoptive immunotherapy with donor lymphocytes is not an available option for recipients of unrelated-donor UCBT, new therapeutic strategies are needed, and rituximab appears promising.

Osteonecrosis as a complication of treating acute lymphoblastic leukemia in children: a report from the Children's Cancer Group.

PURPOSE: To determine the incidence, risk factors, and morbidity for osteonecrosis (ON) in children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) treated with intensive chemotherapy including multiple, prolonged courses of corticosteroid. PATIENTS AND METHODS: The occurrence of symptomatic ON was investigated retrospectively in 1, 409 children ages 1 to 20 years old receiving therapy for high-risk ALL on Children's Cancer Group (CCG) protocol CCG-1882. RESULTS: ON was diagnosed in 111 patients (9.3% +/- 0.9%, 3-year life-table incidence). The incidence was higher for older children (> or = 10 years: 14.2% +/- 1.3% v < 10 years: 0.9% +/- 0.4%; P: <.0001), especially females 10 to 15 years old and males 16 to 20 years old (19.2% +/- 2.3% and 20.7% +/- 4.7%, respectively). In patients 10 to 20 years old, the incidence of ON was higher for females versus males (17.4% +/- 2.1% v 11.7% +/- 1.6%, respectively; P: =.03) and for patients randomized to receive two 21-day dexamethasone courses versus one course (23.2% +/- 4.8% v 16.4% +/- 4.3%, respectively; P: =.27). Among ethnic groups, whites had the highest incidence and blacks the lowest, with other groups intermediate (16.7% +/- 1.4% v 3.3% +/- 2.3% v 6.7% +/- 2.2%, respectively; P: =.003). There was no difference in event-free survival in patients with or without ON. ON was diagnosed within 3 years of starting ALL therapy in all but one patient, involved weight-bearing joint(s) in 94% of patients, and was multifocal in 74% of patients. Symptoms of pain and/or immobility were chronic in 84% of patients, with 24% having undergone an orthopedic procedure and an additional 15% considered candidates for surgery in the future. CONCLUSION: Children ages 10 to 20 years who receive intensive ALL therapy, including multiple courses of corticosteroid, are at significant risk for developing ON.

Allergic disorders and the risk of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (United States).

OBJECTIVES: To test the hypothesis that childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) is associated with allergic disorders. METHODS: We compared the histories of selected allergic disorders (asthma, hay fever, food or drug allergies, eczema, and hives) of 1842 cases of ALL with those of 1986 individually matched controls. The histories of the allergic disorders among siblings of cases and controls were also compared. RESULTS: The combined history of any one or more of the five allergic disorders evaluated was associated with a significant reduced risk of ALL (adjusted OR = 0.7, 95% CI 0.6-0.8), as were histories of four specific allergic disorders (asthma, hay fever, food or drug allergies, and eczema). The combined history of any one or more of the five allergic disorders among any of the siblings of the study subjects also revealed a significantly inverse association (adjusted OR = 0.9, 95% CI 0.8-1.0). CONCLUSION: The results from this study, in agreement with most previous studies on adult cancer, suggest that allergic disorders may be associated with a reduced risk of childhood ALL.

Use of amphotericin B colloidal dispersion in children.

PURPOSE: To describe the experience with a new lipid-based amphotericin product (amphotericin B colloidal dispersion or ABCD) in children with fever and neutropenia who are at high risk for fungal infection. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Forty-nine children with febrile neutropenia were treated in a prospective, randomized trial comparing ABCD with amphotericin B. An additional 70 children with presumed or proven fungal infection were treated with 5 different open-label studies of ABCD. Patients were registered into these studies for reasons of: 1) failure to respond to amphotericin B; 2) development of nephrotoxicity or preexisting renal impairment; or 3) willingness to participate in a dose-escalation study. Extensive data detailing response and toxicity were collected from each patient. RESULTS: In the randomized trial, there was significantly less renal toxicity in the children receiving ABCD than in those receiving amphotericin B (12.0% vs. 52.4% [P = 0.003]). Other adverse symptoms were not significantly different. In the additional open-label studies, although 80% of patients receiving ABCD reported some adverse symptom, the majority of these were infusion related, and nephrotoxicity was reported in only 12% of these patients. CONCLUSIONS: ABCD was well-tolerated at doses up to 5 times greater then those usually tolerated with amphotericin B. Renal toxicity was markedly less than expected, and there were no other unexpected severe toxicities. Further randomized studies are needed to further define the role of this and other liposomal products in children.

Poor outcome in children with refractory/relapsed leukemia undergoing bone marrow transplantation with mismatched family member donors.

The utility of bone marrow transplantation for childhood leukemia in patients unable to achieve a remission prior to transplant is controversial. To address this issue, we analyzed a subset of patients with advanced leukemia entered on prospective transplant trials at our hospital. Fifty-eight patients with ALL or AML (age 1-19) were identified. They had failed standard chemotherapy and were in relapse (22 in 1st, 27 in 2nd, three in 3rd, and three in 4th) or had never achieved an initial remission (three) at the time of transplant. Fifty-two patients received marrow from mismatched family members (haplo or DR-identical), while six received marrow from matched siblings. Most patients received myeloablative therapy consisting of total body irradiation, etoposide, cyclophosphamide, and cytosine arabinoside. Marrow from mismatched donors was T cell depleted. Only one of 52 patients transplanted with a mismatched donor survived long-term while three of six patients transplanted in relapse with a fully matched sibling donor are alive 6-10 years post BMT. The major causes of death were infection (39%) and relapse (28%). Acute GVHD grade III-IV was noted in 7% of patients. A comparable group of patients with leukemia transplanted at our center in remission using similarly mismatched family member donors (haplo or DR-identical) had an event-free survival of 28%. In conclusion, our data suggest that BMT utilizing mismatched family member donors is a poor option for patients in relapse at the time of transplant. New treatment strategies need to be developed to effectively manage these patients.

Early testicular biopsy in males with acute lymphoblastic leukemia: lack of impact on subsequent event-free survival.

PURPOSE: Children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) who had bulky disease (lymphomatous features) at diagnosis had the highest rate of testicular relapse (20%) of any ALL subgroup on previous Children's Cancer Group (CCG) studies in the late 1980s. To limit curative, but sterilizing, testicular irradiation to those with testicular disease, testicular biopsies were performed to detect occult testicular disease within the first 6 months of treatment. Testicular irradiation then was provided to those with occult disease to increase disease-free survival. Identification of those with occult disease was believed to be a factor that would influence ultimate survival in such patients in that era. PATIENTS AND METHODS: One hundred ninety-nine patients had bilateral testicular wedge biopsies performed during the first maintenance therapy phase of the four different chemotherapy regimens. Patients with positive biopsy results were treated with testicular irradiation and continued on therapy. RESULTS: Eleven of 199 biopsy results (5.5%) were judged positive. Patients with positive biopsy results given testicular radiation had a 45% subsequent adverse event rate, compared with 36% for those with a negative biopsy results (P = 0.4). The survival rates for the two groups were similar. The low rate of positive biopsy specimens resulted in discontinuation of the procedure before closure of the study. CONCLUSION: Positive testicular biopsy results early in remission identified patients at a slightly higher risk of subsequent adverse events but did not influence survival. However, because negative biopsy results (94.5%) did not alter the prescribed treatment, the small number of positive biopsy results did not warrant undertaking the procedure in most male patients with ALL, and this procedure was abandoned.

Children's Cancer Group trials in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia: 1983-1995.

Since 1968, the Children's Cancer Group (CCG) has treated more than 16,000 children with acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). Herein, we report improvements obtained in CCG trials during two successive series of studies (1983-1988 and 1989-1995). Overall, 10-year EFS was 62% +/- 10% for the 1983-1988 series and 72% +/- 1% for the 1988-1995 series (P< 0.0001). Five-year cumulative rates of isolated CNS relapses were 5.9% and 4.4%. Therapy based on the Berlin-Frankfurt-Münster 76/79 study improved outcomes for intermediate and higher risk patients in the first series. For intermediate risk patients, delayed intensification (DI) was most crucial for improved outcome and cranial irradiation was safely replaced with maintenance intrathecal methotrexate, providing patients received intensified systemic therapy. In the second series, randomized trials showed better outcome with one vs no DI phase for lower risk patients, with two vs one DI phase for intermediate risk patients, and with the CCG 'augmented regimen' for higher risk patients with a slow day 7 marrow response. Cranial irradiation was safely replaced with additional intrathecal methotrexate for higher risk patients with a rapid day 7 marrow response. In a subsequent study, substitution of dexamethasone in place of prednisone in induction and maintenance improved outcome for standard risk patients. All patients received dexamethasone in DI. These successful treatment strategies form the basis for our current ALL trials.

Administration of recombinant human granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor to children undergoing allogeneic marrow transplantation: a prospective, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled trial.

Granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor (GM-CSF) was administered to 40 pediatric patients undergoing partially matched related, or closely matched unrelated, allogeneic marrow transplants. This trial was set up in a prospective, randomized, double-masked, placebo-controlled manner to establish if the administration of GM-CSF to such patients enhanced neutrophil recovery in this allogeneic transplant setting. The GM-CSF group had a significantly shorter time to neutrophil recovery to > 500 x 10(9) cells/L (15 days) than the placebo group (p = 0.0036). In addition, the GM-CSF group had a significantly shorter neutrophil recovery time to > 1,000 x 10(9) cells/L (18 days) than the placebo group (p = 0.0053). The primary objective of this study was met by showing that GM-CSF enhanced neutrophil recovery in this allogeneic setting. However, within the study group of patients, there was no effect of GM-CSF on the incidence or severity of graft-vs.-host disease (GvHD), one of the secondary end-points of the study. With regard to the other secondary end-points, there was no effect of GM-CSF on marrow cellularity, duration of systemic antibiotics given for real infections or as prophylaxis to prevent infections, risk of significant infections (as defined by systemic culture of virus, fungus, or bacteria), and duration or cost of hospitalization, platelet recovery, and nutritional support. With the secondary end-points, it will be necessary to study larger numbers of pediatric patients to identify differences that are small in this study group. In conclusion, GM-CSF can be safely administered to children with few, if any, significant side-effects. Additional work remains to facilitate earlier discharge of patients and decreased antibiotic usage, to offset the cost of using a neutrophil growth factor.

Can we make some general recommendations regarding immune recovery after hematopoietic reconstitution preceded by ablative therapy?

Children undergoing marrow transplantation have compromised immune systems for variable periods of time after transplant. A number of methods have been utilized to assess recovery of the immune system. Four recommendations are made in regards to the testing that should be done, when the testing should be done, when immunizations should be provided and when antibiotic and other infection prophylaxis can be reduced.

Ten-year experience of unrelated bone marrow donor transplants in children with malignant and non-malignant conditions.

Children who require a marrow transplant may receive such hematopoietic cells from one of many sources. This study reviews the experience of one center with 58 children who received marrow from unrelated donors over a 10-year period. These children had a variety of malignant and non-malignant diseases. During that time period, only three of these children had failed to meet engraftment criteria. All donor marrow specimens were T-lymphocyte-depleted using an antibody/complement methodology. No difference was demonstrated in outcome between donors who were perfectly HLA-DR DNA matched versus those who were only partially matched. The increased size of various marrow donor registries has increased the number of potential donors available for these patients. The lack of a requirement for perfect matching means that there is an ever-increasing number of donors available. No graft-versus-host disease (GvHD) or grade III-IV GvHD was associated with a poorer outcome. Stable, long-term engraftment with minimal morbidity has been demonstrated in these children as evidenced by stability of survival curves by two years after marrow transplant.

Cytogenetic studies of infant acute lymphoblastic leukemia: poor prognosis of infants with t(4;11) - a report of the Children's Cancer Group.

Infants less than 1 year of age at diagnosis of acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) have a poor prognosis, which has been attributed primarily to a breakpoint in chromosomal band 11q23 or the MLL gene. Most infants with an 11q23 breakpoint have a t(4;11)(q21 ;q23). We studied the cytogenetics of the leukemia cells of 56 infants on CCG-1883, a single-arm clinical treatment protocol for infant ALL. Twenty-one patients had t(4;11)(q21;q23), seven had other rearrangements with breakpoints in 11q23 (other 11q23), 16 had normal chromosomes, two had t(1;19)(q32;p13), one had >50 chromosomes, and nine had non-recurring structural abnormalities. To determine whether there is a difference in outcome for infants with t(4;11), other 11q23 and the remaining patients, we compared event-free survival (EFS) and other clinical and laboratory features of the above infants. Infants without t(4;11) and those with other 11q23 rearrangements had significantly better EFS than those with t(4;11) (P= 0.007 and P= 0.02, respectively). t(4;11) correlated with age less than 6 months and with CD10 negativity, both of which also were poor prognostic indicators. After adjustment for age, there was still a significant difference in EFS between patients with t(4;11) and those with other 1lq23 rearrangements (P=0.02), and between patients with t(4;11) and those without t(4;11) (P=0.04). Among CD10 negative patients, t(4;11) was associated with a worse EFS (P=0.01). Multivariate analysis showed that after adjusting for a variety of clinical and laboratory features, t(4;11) was the most important prognostic factor for poor outcome, and patients with other 11q23 rearrangements had as good an outcome as the remaining patients without t(4;11).

Treatment outcome and prognostic factors for infants with acute lymphoblastic leukemia treated on two consecutive trials of the Children's Cancer Group.

PURPOSE: Infants represent a very poor risk group for acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). We report treatment outcome for such patients treated with intensive therapy on consecutive Children's Cancer Group (CCG) protocols. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 1984 and 1993, infants with newly diagnosed ALL were enrolled onto CCG-107 (n = 99) and CCG-1883 (n = 135) protocols. Postconsolidation therapy was more intensive on CCG-1883. On both studies, prophylactic treatment of the CNS included both high-dose systemic chemotherapy and intrathecal therapy, in contrast to whole-brain radiotherapy, which was used in earlier studies. RESULTS: Most patients (>95%) achieved remission with induction therapy. The most frequent event was a marrow relapse (46 patients on CCG-107 and 66 patients on CCG- 1883). Four-year event-free survival was 33% (SE = 4.7%) on CCG-107 and 39% (SE = 4.2%) on CCG- 1883. Both studies represent an improvement compared with a 22% (SE = 5.1%) event-free survival for historical controls. Four-year cumulative probabilities of any marrow relapse or an isolated CNS relapse were, respectively, 49% (SE = 5%) and 9% (SE = 3%) on CCG-107 and 50% (SE = 5%) and 3% (SE = 2%) on CCG-1883, compared with 63% (SE = 6%) and 5% (SE = 3%) for the historical controls. Independent adverse prognostic factors were age less than 3 months, WBC count of more than 50,000/microL, CD10 negativity, slow response to induction therapy, and presence of the translocation t(4;11). CONCLUSION: Outcome for infants on CCG-107 and CCG- 1883 improved, compared with historical controls. Marrow relapse remains the primary mode of failure. Isolated CNS relapse rates are low, indicating that intrathecal chemotherapy combined with very-high-dose systemic therapy provides adequate protection of the CNS. The overall unsatisfactory outcome observed for the infant ALL population warrants the future use of novel alternative therapies.