RESUMEN
BACKGROUND: To investigate boosting effects on treatment stabilization in the mandatory treatment modality for patients of amphetamine-type stimulant use disorder. METHODS: This is a retrospective follow-up study over a period from January 2013 to December 2018. We analyzed 425 patients of amphetamine-type stimulant use disorder under mandating treatments. Treatment stabilization for a given patient was defined once 4 negative urinalysis had been observed. We developed a dynamic monitoring model of boosting effects informed by the available data, specifically the number of negative urine samples required to reach stabilization, the sum of urinalyses done at the time when the given number of negative urine samples had been observed and who the patient was. To represent the simulated population, a Monte Carlo method was used to generate p-values from 1000 experiments conducted on a computer. RESULTS: In the observed samples, the probability of 4 negative results in urinalysis from 4 outpatient visits was 75.5%. In comparison, the probability for achieving 4th negative results in urinalysis over 4 visits from negative binominal distribution was 57.3%, and from the computer simulation, 49.8%. The observed samples had significantly higher probability of achieving 4 negative results in urinalysis over 4 outpatient visits (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The mandatory treatment modality boosted treatment stabilization for patients of amphetamine-type stimulant use disorder. The major benefit of using the monitoring model is the ability to monitor boosting effects of stabilization. Results supported the effectiveness of this mandatory treatment modality and can be implemented in deferred-prosecution based treatment modality.