Accelerometer-based sedentary time, light physical activity, and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity from childhood with arterial stiffness and carotid IMT progression: A 13-year longitudinal study of 1339 children.

AIMS: We examined the longitudinal associations of sedentary time (ST), light physical activity (LPA), and moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA) from childhood with carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), a measure of arterial stiffness and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT). METHODS: We studied 1339 children, aged 11 years from Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, UK, followed up for 13 years. Accelerometer-based ST, LPA, and MVPA were assessed at ages 11, 15, and 24 years clinic visits. cfPWV and cIMT were measured with Vicorder and ultrasound, respectively, at ages 17 and 24 years. RESULTS: Among 1339 [56.4% female] participants, mean ST increased from ages 11 through 24 years, while mean LPA and MVPA decreased. Persistently high ST tertile from childhood was associated with increased cfPWV progression, effect estimate 0.047 m/s; [(95% CI 0.005 to 0.090); p = 0.030], but not cIMT progression. Persistently high LPA tertile category was associated with decreased cfPWV progression in males -0.022 m/s; [(-0.028 to -0.017); p < 0.001] and females -0.027 m/s; [(-0.044 to -0.010); p < 0.001]. Cumulative LPA exposure decreased the odds of progressively worsening cfPWV [Odds ratio 0.994 (0.994-0.995); p < 0.0001] and cIMT. Persistent exposure to ≥60 min/day of MVPA was paradoxically associated with increased cfPWV progression in males 0.053 m/s; [(0.030 to 0.077); p < 0.001] and females 0.012 m/s; [(0.002 to 0.022); p = 0.016]. Persistent exposure to ≥60 min/day of MVPA was inversely associated with cIMT progression in females -0.017 mm; [(-0.026 to -0.009); p < 0.001]. CONCLUSION: LPA >3 h/day from childhood may attenuate progressively worsening vascular damage associated with increased ST in youth.

DEXA-based Fat Mass with the Risk of Worsening Insulin Resistance in Adolescents: A 9-Year Temporal and Mediation Study.

CONTEXT: Surrogate measures of childhood and adolescent obesity have impaired the understanding of body composition's relationship with insulin resistance in the young population. OBJECTIVES: We aim to examine the longitudinal associations of directly measured total fat mass, trunk fat mass, and lean mass with the risk of hyperglycaemia, hyperinsulinemia, and insulin resistance from ages 15-24 years, the mediation path through which lipids and inflammation influence insulin resistance and whether increased fat mass temporally precede insulin resistance. METHODS: We studied 3160 adolescents from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), UK birth cohort, who had complete dual-energy Xray absorptiometry measure and fasting blood samples at age 15 years and repeated measures at ages 17- and 24-years clinic visit. Fasting glucose >6.1 mmol/L, insulin >11.78 mU/L, and homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) ≥75th percentile were categorized as hyperglycaemia, hyperinsulinemia, and high insulin resistance, respectively. Longitudinal associations were examined with generalized logit-mixed effect models, whilst mediation and temporal path analyses were examined using structural equation models, adjusting for cardiometabolic and other lifestyle factors. RESULTS: Among 3160 participants (51% female), fat mass and lean mass increased linearly in both males and females while glucose, insulin, and HOMA-IR had a U-shaped course from age 15 through 24 years. After full adjustment, each 1 kg cumulative increase in total fat mass [odds ratio 1.12 (95% confidence interval 1.11-1.13)] and trunk fat mass [1.21 (1.19-1.23)] from ages 15 through 24 years were associated with a progressively worsening risk of high insulin resistance as well as hyperglycaemia and hyperinsulinemia. The association of increased total fat mass with increased insulin resistance was partly mediated by triglycerides (9% mediation). In the temporal path analysis, higher total fat mass at age 15 years was associated with higher insulin resistance at 17 years, but not vice versa. Higher total fat mass at 17 years was bi-directionally associated with higher insulin resistance at 24 years. CONCLUSION: Mid-adolescence may be an optimal time for interrupting the worsening fat mass-insulin resistance pathologic cycle and attenuating the risk of progressively worsening metabolic dysfunction before young adulthood.

Meaningfulness and mortality: exploring the sense of coherence in Eastern Finnish men.

AIMS: The sense of coherence scale has been shown to have an epidemiological relationship with mortality. This study aimed to investigate how the three components of sense of coherence (meaningfulness, comprehensibility and manageability) and the individual items of these components relate to mortality. METHODS: Eastern Finnish men (n=2315) aged 42-60 years at baseline in the 1980s completed a 12-item sense of coherence scale and were followed for 25 years, on average, until death or until the end of 2019. Hazard ratios for mortality were calculated using two models: one adjusted for age and the second for an additional 12 mortality risk factors. RESULTS: Of the three sense of coherence components, only meaningfulness was associated with all-cause mortality, and in the fully adjusted model, those in the weakest tertile had a 1.14 (95% confidence interval 1.01-1.29, P=0.042) times higher hazard ratio for mortality than those in the strongest tertile. Of the individual sense of coherence items, only the first question, 'How often do you have the feeling that you really don't care about what is going on around you?', was associated with all-cause mortality, and in the fully adjusted Cox model, the hazard ratio of weak versus strong was 1.18 (95% confidence interval 1.03-1.36, P=0.020). CONCLUSIONS: The sense of coherence component related to meaningfulness, including its first item, 'Caring about what goes on around you', plays a significant role in the association with mortality among middle-aged men in Eastern Finland. This item should be considered a noteworthy patient-reported variable when predicting mortality in public health settings.

Multiplicative, additive, and interactive associations of 25-hydroxyvitamin D with lung and prostate cancer.

Results regarding the epidemiological association of vitamin D with lung (LCA) and prostate cancer (PCA) are controversial. This study tested whether serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] concentrations have interactive epidemiological associations with smoking, the number-one risk factor for LCA, and age, the number-one risk factor for PCA. Also, this study investigated whether the associations of 25(OH)D, smoking, age, alcohol consumption, body mass index, diet (the healthy Nordic diet score), and physical activity with incident LCA and PCA are multiplicative or additive. The study of association types makes it easier to select appropriate statistical methods. The Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study provided the data of 2578 men with 112 LCA and 300 PCA cases over 35 years by the end of 2019. Serum 25(OH)D did not associate with LCA and PCA or interact with smoking and age. The association of smoking with LCA was additive; 13 extra cases per 1000 men every 10 years. Age and alcohol consumption multiplicatively increased the hazard of LCA (hazard ratio, 95% confidence interval for age >50: 3.56, 1.82-6.17; drink per week: 1.01, 1.00-1.03), whereas adherence to healthy Nordic diet decreased it (per score point: 0.95, 0.89-1.00). The association of age >50 with PCA was additive; 2.5 extra cases per 1000 men every 10 years. To conclude, there was no epidemiological relationship of pre-diagnostic 25(OH)D concentrations with the incidence of LCA and PCA. The respective associations of smoking and age >50 with LCA and PCA were additive rather than multiplicative.

Dietary fat quality and serum androgen concentrations in middle-aged men.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: Average testosterone concentrations in men have declined over the last few decades. The reasons for this are not fully known, but changes in dietary fat quality have been suggested to have a role. This study aimed to investigate the associations of different dietary fatty acids with serum androgen concentrations. SUBJECTS/METHODS: A total of 2546 men with a mean age of 53 from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study were included in this cross-sectional study. Associations between dietary saturated (SFA), monounsaturated (MUFA), polyunsaturated (PUFA) and trans (TFA) fatty acids and concentrations of serum total and free testosterone and steroid hormone binding globulin (SHBG) were analyzed with analysis of covariance and linear regression analysis. Associations of isocaloric replacement of nutrients and androgen concentrations were analyzed with multivariate nutrient-density models. RESULTS: After adjustment for age, examination year and energy intake, higher SFA intake was associated with higher serum total and free testosterone and SHBG concentrations, and higher PUFA intake with lower concentrations. However, the associations were attenuated and not statistically significant after further adjustments for potential confounders. MUFA and TFA intakes were not associated with androgen concentrations. In isocaloric substitution models, replacing dietary protein with SFA was associated with higher serum total testosterone and SHBG concentrations. After excluding men with history of CVD or diabetes (n = 1021), no statistically significant associations were found. CONCLUSIONS: Dietary fat quality was not independently associated with serum androgen concentrations in middle-aged men. However, replacing protein with SFA may be associated with higher serum androgen concentrations.

Effects of accelerometer-based sedentary time and physical activity on DEXA-measured fat mass in 6059 children.

Globally, childhood obesity is on the rise and the effect of objectively measured movement behaviour on body composition remains unclear. Longitudinal and causal mediation relationships of accelerometer-based sedentary time (ST), light physical activity (LPA), and moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (MVPA) with dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry-measured fat mass were examined in 6059 children aged 11 years followed-up until age 24 years from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC), UK birth cohort. Over 13-year follow-up, each minute/day of ST was associated with 1.3 g increase in fat mass. However, each minute/day of LPA was associated with 3.6 g decrease in fat mass and each minute/day of MVPA was associated with 1.3 g decrease in fat mass. Persistently accruing ≥60 min/day of MVPA was associated with 2.8 g decrease in fat mass per each minute/day of MVPA, partly mediated by decrease insulin and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol. LPA elicited similar and potentially stronger fat mass-lowering effect than MVPA and thus may be targeted in obesity and ST prevention in children and adolescents, who are unable or unwilling to exercise.

Frailty Predicts Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Women but Not in Men: The Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study.

INTRODUCTION: Frailty and atrial fibrillation (AF) are common aging problems and increasing globally. The association(s) between frailty and AF has been inconclusive. The purpose of this prospective population-based cohort was to investigate the associations between frailty and incident AF in older men and women. METHODS: In total 839 participants, women (n = 458) and men (n = 381), aged 61-74 years from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study were included (March 1, 1998, to December 31, 2001). At the baseline, frailty prevalence was 49.3% (n = 414), and non-frailty 50.7% (n = 425) of the total population. Frailty was ascertained with the presence of 3-5 and prefrailty 1-2 of the following criteria: weight loss (highest 20% over 7 years), self-reported tiredness, weakness (measured by handgrip strength), slow walking speed (walking pace), and low physical activity (lowest 20%). AF events were obtained by record linkages from the national computerized hospitalization registry in Finland up to December 31, 2019. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of incident events, adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: During the mean follow-up of 14.2 years, 288 AF cases (169 women; 119 men) occurred. After adjustment for possible confounders, the HRs (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) for AF was 1.46 (1.48-1.85) in the frail population, compared to the non-frail group. The association was observed only among older frail women (multivariable-adjusted HR 1.78, 95% CI [1.28-2.48]) (p for interaction = 0.04). No statistically significant associations were observed between frailty and future AF incident among men (multivariable-adjusted HRs 1.12, 95% CI (0.77-1.63)). CONCLUSIONS: In this population-based epidemiological cohort, the risk of developing AF was increased in women affected by frailty at baseline but not in men.

Change in sense of coherence mediates the association between economic recession and mortality among middle-aged men: A population-based cohort study from Eastern Finland.

A financial recession has been associated with a decrease in all-cause mortality, but little is known about how psychosocial fluctuations in stress tolerance or orientation to life affect this association. Sense of Coherence (SOC) is a core construct in the Salutogenic Model of Health and is determined by generalized resistance resources and measures one's orientation to life by comprehensibility, manageability, and meaningfulness. We followed the mortality of a cohort of middle-aged Finnish men (n = 854) from the 1980s to the end of 2019. The cohort baseline was stratified into four age groups at baseline: 42, 48, 54, and 60. SOC was measured twice, at the baseline and at the 11-year follow-up visit. Between these SOC measurements, Finland confronted a deep financial recession, the effects of which were examined at the follow-up visit by questionnaires related to economic hardship (sum of nine items) and experience of the recession (one item). Using age group, marital status, employment status, and education as covariates, the change in SOC mediated both the economic hardship and the experience of recession relations to mortality: the indirect effects -19.57 (95% CI -43.23 to -0.92), and -26.82 (95% CI -59.52 to -0.61), respectively. Every one-point increase in economic hardship predicted about 2 and a half weeks shorter life expectancy, and those who experienced very strong disadvantages of economic recession had about 3 and a half months lower life expectancy by the end of 2019 than those who fully avoided the disadvantages. Furthermore, the younger age groups, 42 and 48, experienced the recession more severely than the older groups, 54 and 60. We conclude that following how orientation to life changes among middle-aged might be an informative approach after a recession.

Arterial stiffness but not carotid intima-media thickness progression precedes premature structural and functional cardiac damage in youth: A 7-year temporal and mediation longitudinal study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The longitudinal relations of cardiac indices with the aorta and carotid vessel and the time sequence for early cardiac disease development are uncharacterized in youth. We examined the temporal longitudinal associations of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) with left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) and diastolic dysfunction (LVDD). METHODS: From the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, UK birth cohort, 1856 adolescents (1011 females) at a mean (SD) age 17.7 (0.3) years were followed up for 7 years. Vicorder-measured cfPWV and ultrasound-measured cIMT were grouped in tertiles as low (reference), moderate, and high. Echocardiography measured cardiac abnormalities are left ventricular mass indexed for height2.7 (LVMI2.7) ≥51 g/m2.7 as LVH; relative wall thickness ≥44 as hiRWT; LVD function E/A <1.5 as LVD dysfunction (LVDD); and LV filling pressure E/e' ≥8 as hiLVFP. Data were analysed with generalized logit mixed-effect models, cross-lagged path, and mediation structural equation models adjusting for cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors. RESULTS: Over follow-up, LVH prevalence increased from 3.6% to 7.2% and LVDD from 11.1 to 16.3%. High cfPWV progression was associated with worsening LVH [Odds ratio 1.23 (1.13-1.35); p < 0.001] in the total cohort, males, overweight/obese, and normotensive. High cfPWV progression was associated with worsening hiLVFP in the total cohort, females, and normal weight. Likewise, high cIMT progression was associated with worsening LVH [1.27 (1.26-1.27); p < 0.0001] in the total cohort, overweight/obese and elevated BP/hypertensive. Neither cfPWV nor cIMT progression was associated with worsening hiRWT in the total cohort. In cross-lagged models, higher baseline cfPWV was associated with future LVMI2.7 (ß = 0.06, SE, 5.14, p = 0.035), RWT, LVDF, and LVFP. However, baseline LVMI2.7, RWT, LVDF, and LVFP were not associated with follow-up cfPWV. Baseline cIMT was not associated with follow-up cardiac indices and vice versa. Cumulative increased systolic blood pressure (34.3% mediation) and insulin resistance (15.1% mediation) mediated the direct associations of cumulative cfPWV with cumulative LVMI2.7. CONCLUSIONS: Arterial stiffness progression temporally preceded worsening structural and functional cardiac damage in youth with increased systolic blood pressure and insulin resistance partly mediating the relationships. Future interventions aimed at attenuating premature cardiac damage in adolescents and young adults may consider a simultaneous treatment of both arterial stiffness, elevated blood pressure and insulin resistance.

Association of Intima-Media Thickness Measured at the Common Carotid Artery With Incident Carotid Plaque: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of 20 Prospective Studies.

Background The association between common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) and incident carotid plaque has not been characterized fully. We therefore aimed to precisely quantify the relationship between CCA-IMT and carotid plaque development. Methods and Results We undertook an individual participant data meta-analysis of 20 prospective studies from the Proof-ATHERO (Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis) consortium that recorded baseline CCA-IMT and incident carotid plaque involving 21 494 individuals without a history of cardiovascular disease and without preexisting carotid plaque at baseline. Mean baseline age was 56 years (SD, 9 years), 55% were women, and mean baseline CCA-IMT was 0.71 mm (SD, 0.17 mm). Over a median follow-up of 5.9 years (5th-95th percentile, 1.9-19.0 years), 8278 individuals developed first-ever carotid plaque. We combined study-specific odds ratios (ORs) for incident carotid plaque using random-effects meta-analysis. Baseline CCA-IMT was approximately log-linearly associated with the odds of developing carotid plaque. The age-, sex-, and trial arm-adjusted OR for carotid plaque per SD higher baseline CCA-IMT was 1.40 (95% CI, 1.31-1.50; I2=63.9%). The corresponding OR that was further adjusted for ethnicity, smoking, diabetes, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid-lowering and antihypertensive medication was 1.34 (95% CI, 1.24-1.45; I2=59.4%; 14 studies; 16 297 participants; 6381 incident plaques). We observed no significant effect modification across clinically relevant subgroups. Sensitivity analysis restricted to studies defining plaque as focal thickening yielded a comparable OR (1.38 [95% CI, 1.29-1.47]; I2=57.1%; 14 studies; 17 352 participants; 6991 incident plaques). Conclusions Our large-scale individual participant data meta-analysis demonstrated that CCA-IMT is associated with the long-term risk of developing first-ever carotid plaque, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

The effect of vitamin D3 supplementation on atrial fibrillation in generally healthy men and women: The Finnish Vitamin D Trial.

Atrial fibrillation is a common cardiac arrhythmia with high morbidity risk. Observational studies suggest that vitamin D deficiency is associated with higher atrial fibrillation risk but there is limited evidence whether vitamin D supplementation could affect the risk. In these post hoc analyses from the Finnish Vitamin D Trial, we compared the incidence of atrial fibrillation with 5-year supplementation of vitamin D3 (1600 IU/d or 3200 IU/d) vs placebo. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NUMBER: ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01463813, https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01463813.

Frailty alone and interactively with obesity predicts heart failure: Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study.

AIMS: We aim to evaluate the association of frailty and high body mass index with risk of incident heart failure. METHODS AND RESULTS: From the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study, 408 women and 369 men, aged 61-74 years were included in this study. Frailty was ascertained with the presence of 3-5 and prefrailty 1-2 of the following criteria: weight loss (highest 20% over 7 years), self-reported tiredness, weakness (measured by handgrip strength), slow walking speed (walking pace), and low physical activity (lowest 20%). At the baseline, participants were allocated to frail (n = 36), prefrail (n = 340), and robust (n = 441). HF incidents were obtained by record linkages from the national hospitalization registry in Finland up to 31 December 2019. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of incident events, adjusted for potential confounders. Two hundred one HF events were recorded (111 in women and 90 in men) during the 14.2 years follow-up. After adjustment for the age and sex, the risk of HF events was higher among prefrail (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.79, P = 0.02) and frail (HR 3.39, 95% CI 1.89 to 4.79, P ≤ 0.001) compared with the robust group. After adjusting for multiple confounders result remained significant for HF indecent in prefrail [1.46 (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.09 to 1.95, P = 0.01] and frail (HR 3.33, 95% CI 1.86 to 5.70, P ≤ 0.001). In the sensitivity analysis, significant interaction between high BMI (≥25 kg/m2 ) and frailty was observed (P for interaction = 0.02). The association of frailty [multivariate-adjusted HR: 2.88 (1.56 to 5.33), P ≤ 0.001)] and prefrailty [multivariate-adjusted HR: 1.40 (1.08 to 1.91), P = 0.03)] with risk of HF indecent was more pronounced in those with high BMI. CONCLUSIONS: Frailty is highly common in older age, and our results indicated the high risk of HF incident in frail and prefrail groups. While frailty is clinically recognized by weight loss phenotype, our finding showed that frailly and high BMI can coexist and worsen the risk of HF incidence. Further research is warranted to substantiate these results in large studies and clinical settings.

What is the most appropriate follow-up time for detecting the epidemiological relationship between coronary artery disease and its main risk factors: novel findings from a 35-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: The aim was to investigate the most appropriate follow-up time to detect the associations of coronary artery disease (CAD) with its traditional risk factors in a long-term prospective cohort study. METHODS: The Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factors Study provided the study material of 1958 middle-aged men free from CAD at baseline and followed up for 35 years. We performed Cox models adjusted for age, family history, diabetes, obesity, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension, smoking, and physical activity, investigated covariate interactions, and tested Schoenfeld residuals to detect time-dependent covariates. Moreover, we applied a sliding window procedure with a subarray of 5 years to better differentiate between risk factors manifested within years and those manifested within decades. The investigated manifestations were CAD and fatal acute myocardial infarction (AMI). RESULTS: Seven hundred seventeen (36.6%) men had CAD, and 109 (5.6%) men died from AMI. After 10 years of follow-up, diabetes became the strongest predictor of CAD with a fully adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 2.5-2.8. During the first 5 years, smoking was the strongest predictor (HR 3.0-3.8). When the follow-up time was 8-19 years, hypercholesterolemia predicted CAD with a HR of >2. The associations of CAD with age and diabetes depended on time. Age hypertension was the only statistically significant covariate interaction. The sliding window procedure highlighted the significance of diabetes over the first 20 years and hypertension after that. Regarding AMI, smoking was associated with the highest fully adjusted HR (2.9-10.1) during the first 13 years. The associations of extreme and low physical activity with AMI peaked when the follow-up time was 3-8 years. Diabetes showed its highest HR (2.7-3.7) when the follow-up time was 10-20 years. During the last 16 years, hypertension was the strongest predictor of AMI (HR 3.1-6.4). CONCLUSION: The most appropriate follow-up time for most CAD risk factors was 10-20 years. Concerning smoking and hypertension shorter and longer follow-up times could be considered, respectively, particularly when studying fatal AMI. In general, prospective cohort studies of CAD would provide more comprehensive results by reporting point estimates in relation to more than one timepoint and concerning sliding windows.

Efficacy of vitamin D3 supplementation on cancer mortality: Systematic review and individual patient data meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials.

To evaluate the effect of vitamin D3 supplementation on cancer mortality in the general population and on prognosis in cancer patients, a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised, placebo-controlled trials (RCTs) and individual patient data (IPD) was conducted. Overall, 14 RCTs with a total of 104,727 participants (2015 cancer deaths) were identified and 7 RCTs, including 90 % of all study participants (n = 94,068), could be included in the IPD meta-analyses. The main meta-analysis of the 14 RCTs yielded a statistically non-significant reduction in cancer mortality by 6 % (risk ratio (RR) [95%-confidence interval (95%CI)]: 0.94 [0.86-1.02]). Subgroup analyses revealed a 12 % lower cancer mortality in the vitamin D3 group compared with the placebo group in 10 trials with a daily dosing regimen (RR [95%CI]: 0.88 [0.78-0.98]), whereas no mortality reduction was seen in 4 trials using a bolus regimen (RR [95%CI]: 1.07 [0.91-1.24]; p-value for interaction: 0.042). The IPD meta-analysis (RR [95%CI]: 0.93 [0.84; 1.02]) confirmed the finding of all trials. The IPD were used to test effect modification by age, sex, body mass index, ethnicity, baseline serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D concentration, adherence and cancer-related factors but no statistically significant findings were obtained in meta-analyses of all trials. When restricted to trials with daily dosing in a post-hoc analysis, adults aged ≥ 70 years (RR [95%CI]: 0.83 [0.77; 0.98]) and subjects with vitamin D3 therapy initiation before cancer diagnosis (RR [95%CI]: 0.87 [0.69; 0.99]) appeared to benefit most from daily vitamin D3 supplementation. Measurements of baseline 25-hydroxyvitamin D levels and inclusion of other than non-Hispanic White adults were too sparse in the trials to draw conclusions. Results for all-cause and cancer-specific survival of participants with cancer were comparable to those obtained in the general population for cancer mortality. In conclusion, vitamin D3 did not reduce cancer mortality in the main meta-analysis of all RCTs because the observed risk reduction by 6 % was not statistically significant. However, a subgroup analysis revealed that vitamin D3 administered daily, in contrast to bolus supplementation, reduced cancer mortality by 12 %.

The association between renal hyperfiltration and mortality is not mediated by diabetes mellitus.

BACKGROUND: Renal hyperfiltration (RHF), recently established as a risk factor for mortality, is linked to current and subsequent diabetes mellitus (DM). DM could be seen as a mediator in the pathway between RHF and mortality. However, the mediating role of DM in the relationship between RHF and mortality is unclear. METHODS AND RESULTS: Based on a cohort of 2682 Finnish men from the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study (KIHD) followed-up for 35 years, we evaluated the association between RHF and mortality, with DM as a mediator, following two methods: a classic mediation analysis approach, using Cox regression, and a counterfactual framework for mediation analysis, using g-computation, Cox regression, and logistic regression. RHF is associated with an increased risk of mortality. This association was not mediated by DM. Under a counterfactual framework and on a hazard ratio scale, RHF association with mortality had a total effect of 1.54 (95% confidence interval, 1.26-1.98) and a controlled direct effect of 1.66 (1.34-2.16). CONCLUSION: An association between RHF and mortality risk, independent of DM, was established. RHF should be considered, managed, and followed-up as a mortality-associated condition, regardless of the status of DM. We suggest clinicians to consider including RHF screening in routine clinical care, especially diabetic care.

Temporal longitudinal associations of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity and carotid intima-media thickness with resting heart rate and inflammation in youth.

We examined the temporal longitudinal associations of carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) with the risk of elevated resting heart rate (RHR) and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP). We studied 3,862 adolescents, mean age 17.7 (SD 0.3 yr), followed-up for 7 yr until age 24.5 (0.7) yr, from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, UK. RHR, fasting plasma hsCRP, cfPWV, and cIMT were repeatedly assessed and analyzed using logistic regression, linear mixed-effect, and structural equation models adjusting for important covariates. Among 3,862 adolescents [2,143 (55.5%) female], 10% and 44% were at moderate-to-high risk of elevated RHR and hsCRP at 24.5 yr, respectively. Higher cfPWV at 17.7 yr was associated with elevated RHR risk at follow-up [odds-ratio (OR) 1.58 (CI 1.20-2.08); P = 0.001], whereas cIMT at 17.7 yr was associated with elevated hsCRP risk [OR 2.30 (1.18-4.46); P = 0.014] at follow-up, only among females. In mixed model, 7-yr progression in cfPWV was directly associated with 7-yr increase in RHR [effect-estimate 6 beats/min (1-11); P = 0.017] and hsCRP. cIMT progression was associated with 7-yr increase in RHR and hsCRP. In cross-lagged model, higher cfPWV at 17.7 yr was associated with higher RHR (ß = 0.06, standard error = 3.85, P < 0.0001) at 24.5 yr but RHR at 17.7 yr was unassociated with cfPWV at 24.5 yr. Baseline cIMT or RHR was unassociated with either outcome at follow-up. Higher hsCRP at 17.7 yr was associated with higher cfPWV and cIMT at 24.5 yr. In conclusion, adolescent arterial stiffness but not cIMT appears to precede higher RHR in young adulthood, whereas elevated hsCRP in adolescence preceded higher cfPWV and cIMT.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Higher arterial stiffness but not carotid-intima media thickness in adolescence preceded higher resting heart rate in young adulthood, however, elevated high sensitivity C-reactive protein in adolescence preceded higher arterial stiffness and carotid intima-thickness in young adulthood in the temporal causal path. Low-grade inflammation during adolescence may be causally associated with the development of subclinical arteriosclerosis and atherosclerosis in young adulthood.

Cumulative insulin resistance and hyperglycemia with arterial stiffness and carotid IMT progression in 1,779 adolescents: a 9-yr longitudinal cohort study.

In pediatric population with diabetes and obesity, insulin resistance (HOMA-IR) has been associated with worsening vascular outcomes, however, the cumulative role of HOMA-IR, hyperglycemia, and hyperinsulinemia on repeatedly measured vascular outcomes in asymptomatic youth is unknown. We examined the longitudinal associations of fasting glucose, insulin, and HOMA-IR with carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT). From the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children (ALSPAC) birth cohort, UK 1,779, 15-yr-old participants were followed up for 9 yr. Glucose, insulin, and HOMA-IR assessed at 15, 17, and 24 yr and sex-specifically dichotomized as ≥75th percentile, indicating high category and <75th percentile as reference. cfPWV and cIMT were measured at ages 17 and 24 yr. Associations were examined using linear mixed-effect models adjusted for cardiometabolic and lifestyle covariates. Among 1,779 participants [49.9% female], glucose, insulin, and HOMA-IR had a J- or U-shaped increase from ages 15 through 24 yr. The cumulative exposures to hyperinsulinemia effect estimate -0.019 mU/L; [95% CI -0.019 to -0.002; P = 0.033] and high HOMA-IR: -0.021; [-0.039 to -0.004; P = 0.019] from 15 to 24 yr of age were negatively associated with the 7-yr cfPWV progression. Only cumulative hyperinsulinemia and high HOMA-IR from ages 15 to 17 yr but not from ages 17 to 24 yr was associated with decreased cfPWV progression. There were no associations between cumulative hyperglycemia and cfPWV or cIMT progression. Hyperinsulinemia and HOMA-IR were not associated with cIMT progression. In conclusion, late adolescence may be an optimal timing for intervention targeted at sustaining the protective effect of the decline of insulin and insulin resistance on arterial stiffness progression.NEW & NOTEWORTHY Fasting plasma glucose, insulin, and insulin resistance had a J- or U-shaped increase from 15 to 24 yr with the base of the curve at age 17 yr. Cumulative high insulin and high insulin resistance from 15 to 24 yr were negatively associated with arterial stiffness progression from ages 17 to 24 yr. Age 17 yr may be an optimal timing for intervention targeted at sustaining the protective effect of the decline of insulin and insulin resistance on arterial stiffness progression.

Cumulative muscle mass and blood pressure but not fat mass drives arterial stiffness and carotid intima-media thickness progression in the young population and is unrelated to vascular organ damage.

We examined the longitudinal associations of fat mass, lean mass, and blood pressure (BP) from childhood through young adulthood with changes in carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), a measure of arterial stiffness, and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT). We included 3863 participants from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children birth cohort. Fat mass and lean mass, measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, and BP were measured at ages 9, 17 and 24 years and classified into low, moderate, and high tertiles. cfPWV and cIMT were measured at 17 and 24 years of age. Associations were examined via linear mixed effect models and adjusted for cardiometabolic and lifestyle factors. Among 1720 [44.5%] male and 2143 [55.5%] female participants, cumulative high exposures to lean mass (effect estimate 0.006 m/s [95% CI 0.001 to 0.010; p = 0.022]), systolic BP (0.013 m/s [0.009 to 0.017; p < 0.0001]) and diastolic BP (0.023 m/s [0.019 to 0.027; p < 0.0001]) from 9-24 years of age were positively associated with the 7-year increase in cfPWV. Persistent high exposures to lean mass (0.012 mm; [0.008 to 0.016; p < 0.0001]), body mass index (0.007 mm [0.003 to 0.011; p = 0.001]), and systolic BP (0.010 mm; [0.006 to 0.014; p < 0.0001]) from ages 9-24 years were positively associated with thicker cIMT at 17-24 years of age. Total fat and trunk fat mass from childhood had no association with cfPWV or cIMT progression. In conclusion, increased lean mass and BP but not fat mass from childhood drives arterial remodeling in young adulthood.

Associations between total dairy, high-fat dairy and low-fat dairy intake, and depressive symptoms: findings from a population-based cross-sectional study.

PURPOSE: Evidence on the association between dairy intake and depression is conflicting. Given numerous dietary guidelines recommend the consumption of low-fat dairy products, this study examined associations between total dairy, high-fat dairy, and low-fat dairy intake and the prevalence of elevated depressive symptoms. Associations between dairy products, which differed in both fat content and fermentation status, and depressive symptoms were also explored. METHODS: This cross-sectional study included 1600 Finnish adults (mean age 63 ± 6 years; 51% female) recruited as part of the Kuopio Ischaemic Heart Disease Risk Factor Study. Dairy intake was assessed using 4-day food records. Elevated depressive symptoms were defined as having a score ≥ 5 on the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-III Depression Scale, and/or regularly using one or more prescription drugs for depressive symptoms. RESULTS: In total, 166 participants (10.4%) reported having elevated depressive symptoms. Using multivariate logistic regression models, intake in the highest tertile of high-fat dairy products (OR 0.64, 95% CI 0.41-0.998, p trend = 0.04) and high-fat non-fermented dairy products (OR 0.60, 95% CI 0.39-0.92, p trend = 0.02) were associated with reduced odds for having elevated depressive symptoms. Whereas no significant association was observed between intake of total dairy, low-fat dairy, or other dairy products, and depressive symptoms. CONCLUSION: Higher intake of high-fat dairy and high-fat non-fermented dairy products were associated with reduced odds for having elevated depressive symptoms in middle-aged and older Finnish adults. Given the high global consumption of dairy products, and widespread burden of depression, longitudinal studies that seek to corroborate these findings are required.

Cumulative dyslipidemia with arterial stiffness and carotid IMT progression in asymptomatic adolescents: A simulated intervention longitudinal study using temporal inverse allocation model.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We aimed to examine the longitudinal associations of total cholesterol (TC), non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C), high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C), triglyceride, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) with carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV) and carotid intima-media thickness (cIMT) progression. METHODS: We studied 1779, 15-year-old participants from the Avon Longitudinal Study of Parents and Children, UK birth cohort, followed up for 9 years. Fasting TC, non-HDL-C, HDL-C, triglyceride, and LDL-C were measured at 15, 17, and 24 years and age-categorized as normal, elevated, and dyslipidemia based on National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute lipid guidelines. cfPWV and cIMT were measured at 17 and 24 years. Associations were examined using linear mixed-effect models. To simulate the treatment of dyslipidemia we conducted temporal inverse allocation model analyses. RESULTS: Among 1779 [49.9% female] participants, mean lipid levels and proportions at elevated or dyslipidemia categories increased from ages 15 through 24 years. Persistently elevated TC: effect estimate 0.026 mm; [95% CI 0.004 to 0.049; p = 0.024], elevated non-HDL-C, and elevated LDL-C were cumulatively associated with cIMT progression. Persistent borderline-low HDL-C: -0.027 mm; [-0.050 to -0.005; p = 0.019] and very-low HDL-C -0.035 mm; [-0.057 to -0.013; p = 0.002] levels were associated with cIMT progression. A temporal inverse allocation of elevated and dyslipidemic levels with normal lipid levels at age 17 years attenuated the associations of cumulative elevated TC, non-HDL-C, LDL-C, and low HDL-C with cIMT progression. Cumulative elevated lipids or dyslipidemia were not associated with cfPWV progression. CONCLUSIONS: Late adolescence is key to preventing, halting, and reversing dyslipidemic-related preclinical atherosclerosis progression, warranting universal lipid screening in the general pediatric population.