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1.
Tuberk Toraks ; 71(3): 261-272, 2023 09.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37740629

RESUMEN

Introduction: Long COVID is a multisystem disease with various symptoms and risk factors. We aim to investigate the post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 and related risk factors in a tertiary care center. Materials and Methods: In this observational study, based on a survey of 1.977 COVID-19 patients hospitalized from April 2020 to January 2021, a retrospective assessment was carried out on 1.050 individuals who were reachable via telephone to determine their eligibility for meeting the inclusion criteria. Results: The data of 256 patients who reported at least one persistent symptom were analyzed. Long COVID prevalence was 24.3%. Among 256 patients (median age 52.8; 52.7% female; 56.63% had at least one comorbidity), dyspnea, fatigue, arthralgia-myalgia, cough, and back pain were the most common post-acute sequelae of COVID-19 (42.4%; 28.29%; 16.33%; 13.15% and 7.17%, respectively). The risk factors for the persistence of dyspnea included having lung diseases such as chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, a history of intensive care support, the requirement for long-term oxygen therapy, and a history of cytokine storm (p= 0.024, p= 0.026, p< 0.001, p= 0.036, p= 0.005, respectively). The correlation between lung involvement with post-discharge cough (p= 0.041) and dizziness (p= 0.038) was significant. No correlation between the symptoms with the severity of acute infection, age, and gender was found. When a multivariate regression analysis was conducted on the most common long COVID-related symptoms, several independent risk factors were identified. These included having lung disease for dyspnea (OR 5.81, 95% CI 1.08-31.07, p= 0.04); length of hospital stay for myalgia (OR 1.034, 95% CI 1.004-1.065, p= 0.024); and pulmonary involvement of over 50% during COVID-19 infection for cough (OR 3.793, 95% CI 1.184-12.147, p= 0.025). Conclusion: COVID-19 survivors will require significant healthcare services due to their prolonged symptoms. We hope that our findings will guide the management of these patients in clinical settings towards best practices.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Humanos , Femenino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Masculino , COVID-19/complicaciones , COVID-19/epidemiología , Síndrome Post Agudo de COVID-19 , Cuidados Posteriores , Tos/epidemiología , Tos/etiología , Mialgia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Centros de Atención Terciaria , Alta del Paciente , Progresión de la Enfermedad , Disnea/epidemiología , Disnea/etiología
2.
Front Med (Lausanne) ; 9: 894126, 2022.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36117966

RESUMEN

Background and objectives: Although several repurposed antiviral drugs have been used for the treatment of COVID-19, only a few such as remdesivir and molnupiravir have shown promising effects. The objectives of our study were to investigate the association of repurposed antiviral drugs with COVID-19 morbidity. Methods: Patients admitted to 26 different hospitals located in 16 different provinces between March 11-July 18, 2020, were enrolled. Case definition was based on WHO criteria. Patients were managed according to the guidelines by Scientific Board of Ministry of Health of Turkey. Primary outcomes were length of hospitalization, intensive care unit (ICU) requirement, and intubation. Results: We retrospectively evaluated 1,472 COVID-19 adult patients; 57.1% were men (mean age = 51.9 ± 17.7years). A total of 210 (14.3%) had severe pneumonia, 115 (7.8%) were admitted to ICUs, and 69 (4.7%) were intubated during hospitalization. The median (interquartile range) of duration of hospitalization, including ICU admission, was 7 (5-12) days. Favipiravir (n = 328), lopinavir/ritonavir (n = 55), and oseltamivir (n = 761) were administered as antiviral agents, and hydroxychloroquine (HCQ, n = 1,382) and azithromycin (n = 738) were used for their immunomodulatory activity. Lopinavir/ritonavir (ß [95% CI]: 4.71 [2.31-7.11]; p = 0.001), favipiravir (ß [95% CI]: 3.55 [2.56-4.55]; p = 0.001) and HCQ (ß [95% CI]: 0.84 [0.02-1.67]; p = 0.046) were associated with increased risk of lengthy hospital stays. Furthermore, favipiravir was associated with increased risks of ICU admission (OR [95% CI]: 3.02 [1.70-5.35]; p = 0.001) and invasive mechanical ventilation requirement (OR [95% CI]: 2.94 [1.28-6.75]; p = 0.011). Conclusion: Our findings demonstrated that antiviral drugs including lopinavir, ritonavir, and favipiravir were associated with negative clinical outcomes such as increased risks for lengthy hospital stay, ICU admission, and invasive mechanical ventilation requirement. Therefore, repurposing such agents without proven clinical evidence might not be the best approach for COVID-19 treatment.

3.
Respir Med ; 183: 106433, 2021 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33957434

RESUMEN

The COVID-19-related death rate varies between countries and is affected by various risk factors. This multicenter registry study was designed to evaluate the mortality rate and the related risk factors in Turkey. We retrospectively evaluated 1500 adults with COVID-19 from 26 centers who were hospitalized between March 11 and July 31, 2020. In the study group, 1041 and 459 cases were diagnosed as definite and highly probable cases, respectively. There were 993 PCR-positive cases (66.2%). Among all cases, 1144 (76.3%) were diagnosed with non-severe pneumonia, whereas 212 (14.1%) had severe pneumonia. Death occurred in 67 patients, corresponding to a mortality rate of 4.5% (95% CI:3.5-5.6). The univariate analysis demonstrated that various factors, including male sex, age ≥65 years and the presence of dyspnea or confusion, malignity, chronic obstructive lung disease, interstitial lung disease, immunosuppressive conditions, severe pneumonia, multiorgan dysfunction, and sepsis, were positively associated with mortality. Favipiravir, hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin were not associated with survival. Following multivariate analysis, male sex, severe pneumonia, multiorgan dysfunction, malignancy, sepsis and interstitial lung diseases were found to be independent risk factors for mortality. Among the biomarkers, procalcitonin levels on the 3rd-5th days of admission showed the strongest associations with mortality (OR: 6.18; 1.6-23.93). This study demonstrated that the mortality rate in hospitalized patients in the early phase of the COVID-19 pandemic was a serious threat and that those patients with male sex, severe pneumonia, multiorgan dysfunction, malignancy, sepsis and interstitial lung diseases were at increased risk of mortality; therefore, such patients should be closely monitored.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19/mortalidad , Pandemias , Vigilancia de la Población , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Tasa de Supervivencia/tendencias , Turquía/epidemiología
4.
Turk J Med Sci ; 50(8): 1810-1816, 2020 12 17.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32599972

RESUMEN

Background/aim: Pneumonia is the most serious clinical presentation of COVID-19. This study aimed to determine the demographic, clinical, and laboratory findings that can properly predict COVID-19 pneumonia. Materials and methods: This study was conducted in the Gazi University hospital. All hospitalized patients with confirmed and suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection between 16 March 2020 and 30 April 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. COVID-19 patients were separated into two groups, pneumonia and nonpneumonia, and then compared to determine predicting factors for COVID-19 pneumonia. Variables that had a P-value of less than 0.20 and were not correlated with each other were included in the logistic regression model. Results: Of the 247 patients included in the study 58% were female, and the median age was 40. COVID-19 was confirmed in 70.9% of these patients. Among the confirmed COVID-19 cases, 21.4% had pneumonia. In the multivariate analysis male sex (P = 0.028), hypertension (P = 0.022), and shortness of breath on hospital admission (P = 0.025) were significant factors predicting COVID-19 pneumonia. Conclusion: Shortness of breath, male sex, and hypertension were significant for predicting COVID-19 pneumonia on admission. Patients with these factors should be evaluated more carefully for diagnostic procedures, such as thorax CT.


Asunto(s)
COVID-19 , Disnea , Hipertensión/epidemiología , Pulmón/diagnóstico por imagen , Neumonía Viral , Adulto , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiología , COVID-19/fisiopatología , Causalidad , Comorbilidad , Disnea/diagnóstico , Disnea/etiología , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Neumonía Viral/diagnóstico , Neumonía Viral/etiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/metabolismo , Factores Sexuales , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/métodos , Tomografía Computarizada por Rayos X/estadística & datos numéricos , Turquía/epidemiología
5.
Pediatr Pulmonol ; 53(10): 1436-1441, 2018 10.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29992786

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Primary ciliary dyskinesia (PCD) patients have higher incidence of sleep disordered breathing which lead neurocognitive impairments such as attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). It may effect academic performance of children and may cause impairment in emotional relationships. This study aim to evaluate hyperactivity and attention deficiency in PCD patients and investigate the relationship between sleep and hyperactivity and attention deficiency in PCD patients. METHOD: Fifteen PCD patients aged 8-18 years and 31 age-matched healthy controls were compared. Ear, nose, and throat examination and home sleep testing were performed in PCD patients. Pediatric sleep questionnaire, Conners' Parents and Teacher scale and Stroop test were applied in both groups in order to investigate the relation between sleep disordered breathing and ADHD in PCD children. RESULTS: PCD patients had chronic rhinosinusitis (100%), tonsillar hypertrophy (80%) and adenoidal hypertrophy (60%). FEF25-75 was low in pulmonary function test. Sixty percent of the PCD patients had mild obstructive sleep apnea syndrome in home sleep testing. Mean AHI was 1.54 ± 0.27. Compared with the controls PCD patients had higher PSQ scores. Hyperactivity scores on Conners' Parents scale and inattention findings in Stroop test were higher in PCD patients than the healthy controls (P < 0.05). CONCLUSION: Most of PCD children had mild obstructive sleep apnea syndrome. Hyperactivity and inattention findings were higher in PCD patients. Sleep disordered breathing assessment should be a routine part of PCD patients management and these patients should be carefully monitored in terms of hyperactivity and inattention.


Asunto(s)
Trastorno por Déficit de Atención con Hiperactividad/complicaciones , Trastornos de la Motilidad Ciliar/complicaciones , Síndromes de la Apnea del Sueño/complicaciones , Tonsila Faríngea/patología , Adolescente , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Niño , Femenino , Humanos , Hipertrofia , Masculino , Pruebas Neuropsicológicas , Polisomnografía , Pruebas de Función Respiratoria , Síndromes de la Apnea del Sueño/diagnóstico , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/complicaciones , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/diagnóstico , Test de Stroop , Encuestas y Cuestionarios
6.
Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol ; 274(1): 189-195, 2017 Jan.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27377387

RESUMEN

The localization of the obstruction is crucial in determining the appropriate surgical treatment for obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS); ApneaGraph has been introduced for diagnosis of OSAS and localization of airway obstruction level. This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic value of ApneaGraph for both clinical staging and site of obstruction. Thirty male OSAS patients were prospectively enrolled in this clinical trial. The following parameter were included to the study: Body mass indexes and neck circumferences of the subjects, Epworth sleepiness scale, site of obstruction detected by flexible endoscopy and ApneaGraph, apnea hypopnea index (AHI), apnea index, hypopnea index, maximal oxygen desaturation and average oxygen saturation which were detected by both polysomnography (PSG) and ApneaGraph devices. Our data presented that, although AHI measured by ApneaGraph and PSG were significantly correlated; severity stages of the subjects were different in 44 % of the subjects when based on AHI of ApneaGraph, compared to PSG. Majority of the changes were from severe OSAS to mild or moderate levels. Similar dominant collapse levels were detected in 64 % of the subjects by both devices. It was seen that transpalatal obstruction was better correlated between ApneaGraph and flexible endoscopy. As a conclusion, we might assume that ApneaGraph can be used as a screener for OSAS and it appears to be a more reliable device to confirm dominancy of palatal level obstruction.


Asunto(s)
Polisomnografía/métodos , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/diagnóstico , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Polisomnografía/instrumentación , Estudios Prospectivos , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/fisiopatología
7.
Turk J Ophthalmol ; 46(3): 104-108, 2016 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27800271

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate ocular surface health in obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) and to investigate the tendency of these patients toward dry eyes. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Fifty patients who underwent polysomnography and were diagnosed with OSAS and 50 normal control subjects were compared with respect to ocular surface disease index (OSDI), Schirmer I test and tear film break-up time (TBUT) values. RESULTS: Patients were grouped as mild (n=15, 30%), moderate (n=15, 30%) and severe (n=20, 40%) according to apnea-hypopnea index values. The right eyes of patients were included in both groups. OSDI values were as follows: control group, 18.7±8.5; mild OSAS group, 40.2±2.8; moderate OSAS group, 48.5±2.2 and severe OSAS group, 62.7±2.3 (p<0.001). TBUT values were as follows: control group, 12.3±4.9; mild OSAS group, 8.2±4.7; moderate OSAS group, 5.8±2.1 and severe OSAS group, 4.2±3.7 (p<0.001). Schirmer values were as follows: control group, 18±6.1 mm; mild OSAS group, 12.9±6.7 mm; moderate OSAS group, 8.5±5.2 mm and severe OSAS group, 7.9±4.7 mm (p<0.001). CONCLUSION: Patients with OSAS seem to have a tendency toward dry eyes. Clinicians should be aware of dry eye development in these patients.

8.
J Am Soc Echocardiogr ; 20(4): 366-72, 2007 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17400115

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: We sought to evaluate aortic function and its relationship with left ventricular (LV) function in patients with obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS), with or without systemic hypertension. METHODS: A total of 29 patients with OSAS, 28 patients with systemic hypertension without OSAS, and 19 patients having both disorders were chosen as a study group, and 29 participants without these two disorders were taken as the control group; none of the patients had a history of cardiac disease. All of them underwent echocardiography and polysomnography. Aortic strain and distensibility were calculated from the aortic diameters measured by echocardiography and blood pressure obtained by cuff-sphygmomanometer. Cardiac functions were determined using echocardiography comprising standard 2-dimensional and conventional Doppler and Doppler tissue imaging. RESULTS: Aortic strain (mean +/- SD; 6.1 +/- 2.7% vs 6.4 +/- 2.4%, 4.7 +/- 1.8%, and 13.7 +/- 4.5%, P < .001, respectively) and distensibility (mean +/- SD 2.8 +/- 1.6 vs 2.5 +/- 0.9, 1.7 +/- 0.7, and 6.2 +/- 3.2 10(-6) cm(2) dyn(-1)P < .001, respectively) were significantly decreased in the patient groups (OSAS, hypertensive, and OSAS and hypertensive) compared with the control group. LV long-axis and diastolic functions were also impaired in the study group. There were good correlations between the aortic stiffness and LV function parameters. In a multivariate analysis, aortic strain was the parameter found to be most strongly associated both with the Doppler tissue imaging mean peak early/late diastolic velocity ratio and the LV mitral lateral annular plane systolic excursion. CONCLUSION: Aortic stiffness parameters (aortic strain and distensibility), LV systolic long-axis function indicators (mitral lateral annular plane systolic excursion, peak systolic myocardial velocity at lateral annulus, peak systolic myocardial velocity at septal annulus), and Doppler tissue imaging-derived LV diastolic indices were found abnormal in patients with OSAS, hypertension, or both. Thus, subclinical cardiac dysfunction has been found in patients with OSAS independent from the systemic hypertension.


Asunto(s)
Aorta Torácica/fisiopatología , Velocidad del Flujo Sanguíneo/fisiología , Ecocardiografía Doppler/métodos , Hipertensión/fisiopatología , Contracción Miocárdica/fisiología , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/fisiopatología , Función Ventricular Izquierda/fisiología , Aorta Torácica/diagnóstico por imagen , Presión Sanguínea/fisiología , Diástole , Elasticidad , Femenino , Estudios de Seguimiento , Humanos , Hipertensión/complicaciones , Hipertensión/diagnóstico por imagen , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Polisomnografía , Pronóstico , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/complicaciones , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/diagnóstico por imagen
9.
Tuberk Toraks ; 54(3): 213-21, 2006.
Artículo en Turco | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-17001537

RESUMEN

In our study we aimed to examine the sleep structure, oxygenation and breathing pattern in interstitial lung disease (ILD) patients. We also aimed to determine whether relevance between the advanced disease and the sleep disorders exists and whether polysomnography is necessary in those patients. A total of 37 patients were examined in the study and whole night standard polysomnography was performed to all. Polysomnography results revealed that, total sleep time, time spent in NREM sleep stage III and IV, and in REM sleep were decreased. The patients had poor sleep efficiency and they spent more time as wake after sleep onset (WASO). Severe oxygen desaturations were detected during sleep and statistically significant positive correlations were found between mean awake O2 saturation and mean and lowest sleep O2 saturations. Clinical, Radiological and Physiological (CRP) scoring system was used to assess the disease stage, whether advanced or not, and statistically significant negative correlations were found between CRP score and awake and sleep O2 saturations. Obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) was diagnosed in 24 (64.9%) patients. In those patients it was found that not the apneas but the hypopneas predominate. No difference was found among body mass indices (BMI) between the patients with and without OSAS. As a result it was concluded that a sleep study should be considered as part of the overall assessment in managing patients with ILD, and is especially indicated if there is incipient pulmonary hypertension, cor pulmonale and nocturnal arrhythmia despite normal awake blood gas tensions and symptoms as snoring and excessive day time sleepiness.


Asunto(s)
Enfermedades Pulmonares Intersticiales/diagnóstico , Síndromes de la Apnea del Sueño/diagnóstico , Adulto , Anciano , Femenino , Humanos , Enfermedades Pulmonares Intersticiales/complicaciones , Enfermedades Pulmonares Intersticiales/fisiopatología , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Oximetría , Polisomnografía , Índice de Severidad de la Enfermedad , Síndromes de la Apnea del Sueño/complicaciones , Síndromes de la Apnea del Sueño/fisiopatología , Fases del Sueño
10.
Tuberk Toraks ; 53(3): 252-8, 2005.
Artículo en Turco | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16258884

RESUMEN

Certain clinical findings raise the suspicion of pulmonary embolism (PE) and may be useful in selecting patients for further diagnostic testing. Three prediction rules for PE have been described recently: Wells' rule (WR), Geneva rule (GR) and Miniati' rule (MR). The aim of present study is to compare the predictive accuracy of the three methods on the basis of our patients' results. Eighty-five patients admitted to our department with suspicion of PE were included into the study. Sixty-three patients were discharged with the diagnosis of PE, whereas in 22 patients, the initial PE diagnosis was ruled out. The three methods for assessing the clinical probability of PE classified similar proportions of patients into the low, intermediate and high clinical probability categories. The frequencies of PE in each method (WR, GR and MR) were 5%, 64% and 14% in the low category, 90%, 80% and 75% in the intermediate category and 100%, 100% and 94% in the high category (p = 0.001, 0.064, 0.001) respectively. When we compared the performances of WR and GR, including all possible total score values, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.99 for the WR (p= 0.001) and 0.74 for the GR (p= 0.001). When we used only the three probability categories (low, intermediate, high), AUC was 0.96 for the WR (p= 0.001), 0.64 for the GR (p= 0.04), and 0.7 for the MR (p= 0.005). In conclusion, the present study indicates that clinical assessment is a fundamental step in the diagnostic work-up of PE. The Wells' method performs better than other two methods.


Asunto(s)
Técnicas de Apoyo para la Decisión , Embolia Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Humanos , Persona de Mediana Edad , Presión Parcial , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Curva ROC , Reproducibilidad de los Resultados , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sensibilidad y Especificidad
11.
Respiration ; 72(4): 395-401, 2005.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16088283

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Leptin is a hormone with well-investigated functions concerning body composition, energy homeostasis and feeding behavior in humans. The obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) is strongly associated with obesity, which is known to be closely associated with hyperleptinemia. More recently, ghrelin, a hormone that also influences appetite and energy homeostasis, has been discovered. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate serum leptin and ghrelin levels in obese patients with OSAS in comparison with equally obese controls without OSAS. METHODS: Thirty untreated obese patients with moderate-severe OSAS (apnea-hypopnea index: AHI > or =15) and 22 obese controls (AHI <5) were studied. To confirm the diagnosis, all patients underwent standard polysomnography in our sleep disorders center. Serum samples were taken at 08:00 h in the morning after overnight fasting. RESULTS: Significantly higher serum leptin levels were found in OSAS patients compared to controls (p = 0.012), but there was no significant difference in serum ghrelin levels between OSAS patients and controls. Serum leptin levels were significantly correlated with body mass index in both OSAS patients (r = 0.55, p = 0.002) and controls (r = 0.46, p = 0.028), but only in OSAS patients was the leptin level significantly correlated with AHI (r = 0.38, p = 0.036). CONCLUSION: These data support findings suggesting that leptin is a hormonal factor affected by OSAS and not determined by obesity alone. Further studies are needed to investigate the relationship between serum ghrelin and OSAS.


Asunto(s)
Leptina/sangre , Obesidad/sangre , Hormonas Peptídicas/sangre , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/sangre , Índice de Masa Corporal , HDL-Colesterol/sangre , LDL-Colesterol/sangre , Comorbilidad , Ghrelina , Humanos , Lipoproteínas VLDL/sangre , Masculino , Obesidad/epidemiología , Apnea Obstructiva del Sueño/epidemiología
12.
Tuberk Toraks ; 53(1): 34-9, 2005.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15765285

RESUMEN

The first diagnostic step in pleural effusions is the separation of transudates from exudates. We aimed in present study to investigate the value of HDL/LDL ratio for distinguishing between pleural exudates and transudates. Pleural fluids (PF)from 121 patients, including 28 transudates and 93 exudates were analyzed. The levels of cholesterol, HDL cholesterol and LDL cholesterol in PF were measured. The HDL/LDL ratio was calculated. HDL/LDL ratio found significantly higher in transudates than exudates (p= 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated and the cut off points determined to the highest level of accuracy and precision. The HDL/LDL ratio was to maximize sensitivity over specificity in the diagnosis of a transudative effusion. The usefulness of HDL/LDL ratio for identifying transudates was evaluated in terms of sensitivity and specificity. The value of pleural HDL/LDL ratio that best differentiated between transudates and exudates was 0.6 (sensitivity 89%, and specificity of 79%). Measurement of HDL and LDL in PF and calculating of HDL/LDL ratio can be proposed to aid for differentiation between pleural exudates and transudates with advantage of not requiring serum levels.


Asunto(s)
HDL-Colesterol/metabolismo , LDL-Colesterol/metabolismo , Exudados y Transudados/metabolismo , Enfermedades Pulmonares/diagnóstico , Enfermedades Pulmonares/metabolismo , Adulto , Anciano , Anciano de 80 o más Años , Femenino , Humanos , Enfermedades Pulmonares/sangre , Masculino , Persona de Mediana Edad , Valor Predictivo de las Pruebas , Estudios Prospectivos , Curva ROC , Sensibilidad y Especificidad
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