Sexually transmitted infections and the HPV-related burden: evolution of Italian epidemiology and policy.

Sexually transmitted infections (STIs) are a major public health problem worldwide, with a high prevalence between the ages of 15 and 25 in most Western countries. High notification rates of chlamydia, gonorrhea, and syphilis are reported in the WHO European Region, with differences between countries. In Italy, the total number of STIs alerts increased by 18% from 2020 to 2021. HPV is the most common sexually transmitted infection; globally one in seven women is infected by this virus, and certain sexual behaviors are important risk factors for HPV-related cancers, particularly cervical cancer (CC), anogenital cancers and cancers of the head and neck. The burden of CC is relevant worldwide, in particular in Europe CC is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths in women aged 15-44. This HPV-related tumor is preventable through a combined strategy of vaccination and screening for precursor lesions. In Italy, the coverage of organized screening varies from region to region and the average HPV vaccination rate is still far from the expected optimal threshold of 95% at the age of 12. To address the challenges of health promotion and HPV prevention, priority actions are needed such as: promoting education and information at every level, from schools to healthcare professionals. In Italy, education of adolescents on sexual and reproductive health, still remains critical, regionally inhomogeneous and much lower than in other European countries. Equitable measures need to be taken, and schools are an important place for health promotion activities.

Supporting Fair and Efficient Emergency Medical Services in a Large Heterogeneous Region.

Emergency Medical Services (EMS) are crucial in delivering timely and effective medical care to patients in need. However, the complex and dynamic nature of operations poses challenges for decision-making processes at strategic, tactical, and operational levels. This paper proposes an action-driven strategy for EMS management, employing a multi-objective optimizer and a simulator to evaluate potential outcomes of decisions. The approach combines historical data with dynamic simulations and multi-objective optimization techniques to inform decision-makers and improve the overall performance of the system. The research focuses on the Friuli Venezia Giulia region in north-eastern Italy. The region encompasses various landscapes and demographic situations that challenge fairness and equity in service access. Similar challenges are faced in other regions with comparable characteristics. The Decision Support System developed in this work accurately models the real-world system and provides valuable feedback and suggestions to EMS professionals, enabling them to make informed decisions and enhance the efficiency and fairness of the system.

Introducing Virtual Reality in a STEMI Coronary Syndrome Course: Qualitative Evaluation with Nurses and Doctors.

In the increasing number of medical education topics taught with virtual reality (VR), the prehospital management of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) had not been considered. This article proposes an implemented VR system for STEMI training and introduces it in an institutional course addressed to emergency nurses and case manager (CM) doctors. The system comprises three different applications to, respectively, allow (a) the course instructor to control the conditions of the virtual patient, (b) the CM to communicate with the nurse in the virtual field and receive from him/her the patient's parameters and electrocardiogram, and (c) the nurse to interact with the patient in the immersive VR scenario. We enrolled 17 course participants to collect their perceptions and opinions through a semistructured interview. The thematic analysis showed the system was appreciated (n = 17) and described as engaging (n = 4), challenging (n = 5), useful to improve self-confidence (n = 4), innovative (n = 5), and promising for training courses (n = 10). Realism was also appreciated (n = 13), although with some drawbacks (e.g., oversimplification; n = 5). Overall, participants described the course as an opportunity to share opinions (n = 8) and highlight issues (n = 4) and found it useful for novices (n = 5) and, as a refresh, for experienced personnel (n = 6). Some participants suggested improvements in the scenarios' type (n = 5) and variability (n = 5). Although most participants did not report usage difficulties with the VR system (n = 13), many described the need to get familiar with it (n = 13) and the specific gestures it requires (n = 10). Three suffered from cybersickness.

Vaccination against human papilloma virus in a Northeastern Italian area.

OBJECTIVES: Vaccination against human papilloma virus (HPV) in adolescents and persons at increased risk of infection and related consequences is an effective strategy to prevent genital cancers. The objective of this study was to assess vaccination activity and coverages in a Northeastern Italian area. METHODS: Anonymous data from various health administrative databases of the Italian 530,000-inhabitant Health Authority "Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale" were deterministically linked at the individual level through an anonymous stochastic key. Doses of HPV vaccine administered by year and coverages in different birth cohorts were calculated. Vaccinations of women treated for a CIN2+ lesion were also identified. RESULTS: The number of doses administered by year followed the evolution of national and regional laws. A steep drop was observed in 2020 and 2021 in both males and females (from 6,907 in 2019 to 5,027 in 2020 in males and from 6,989 in 2019 to 4,348 in 2020 in females). Coverages in adolescents were variable across Vaccination Services located in different sub-areas (complete cycle coverage in the 2008 cohort ranged from <40% in some Districts to >70% in others). Vaccination doses administered in adult women have increased almost steadily since 2018. One third of women treated for a CIN2+ were vaccinated. CONCLUSIONS: In this area, efforts must be done to catch-up with doses missed during the pandemic and to overcome differences among different sub-areas.

Organisational models supported by technology for the management of diabetic disease and its complications in a diabetic clinic setting: study protocol for a randomised controlled trial targeting type 2 diabetes individuals with non-ideal glycaemic values (Telemechron study).

INTRODUCTION: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a non-communicable disease representing one of the most serious public health challenges of the twenty-first century. Its incidence continues to rise in both developed and developing countries, causing the death of 1.5 million people every year. The use of technology (e.g. smartphone application-App) in the health field has progressively increased as it has been proved to be effective in helping individuals manage their long-term diseases. Therefore, it has the potential to reduce the use of health service and its related costs. The objective of this study is to evaluate the impact of using a digital platform called "TreC Diabete" embedded into a novel organisational asset targeting poorly controlled T2DM individuals in the Autonomous Province of Trento (PAT), Italy. METHODS: This trial was designed as a multi-centre, open-label, randomised, superiority study with two parallel groups and a 1:1 allocation ratio. Individuals regularly attending outpatient diabetes clinics, providing informed consent, are randomised to be prescribed TreC Diabete platform as part of their personalised care plan. Healthcare staff members will remotely assess the data shared by the participants through the App by using a dedicated online medical dashboard. The primary end-point is the evaluation of the Hb1Ac level at 12-month post-randomisation. Data will be analysed on an intention-to-treat (ITT) basis. DISCUSSION: This trial is the first conducted in the PAT area for the use of an App specifically designed for individuals with poorly controlled T2DM. If the effects of introducing this specific App within a new organisational asset are positive, the digital platform will represent a possible way for people diagnosed with T2DM to better manage their health in the future. Results will be disseminated through conferences and peer-reviewed journals once the study is completed. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05629221. Registered on November 29, 2022, prior start of inclusion.

Effectiveness of home-rehabilitation in patients after an acute coronary syndrome and myocardial revascularization.

Physical activity is a mainstay (class IA) of rehabilitation programme after an acute coronary syndrome, but less than 40% of patients is physically active at one year. Home-rehabilitation, initially designed to manage the increasing number of patients in rehabilitation programmes, could result in a better strategy to increase adherence and persistence to physical activity. Objectives: To test such hypothesis, At Cardiac Rehabilitation Centre (Institute of Physical Medicine and Rehabilitation, Udine, Italy), physical activity adherence was compared between patients treated with a standard in-office rehabilitation programme and a cohort where home rehabilitation programme was added. Methods: From February 2017 to February 2019, 372 patients after an acute coronary syndrome (72 were excluded according to study criteria) were included, 193 patients in standard rehabilitation and 179 in home rehabilitation. At the end of follow-up, patients of both groups were called on the telephone to collect physical activity items according to a standardized questionnaire. Results: At a medium follow-up of 30.1 months, there are more physically active patients in home rehabilitation than in standard, respectively 139 vs 108 patients (77,1% vs. 56%, p < 0,0001).At multivariate analysis, including age, gender, and rehabilitation model, the probability to be fully physically active at the end of the rehabilitation programme, is 3 times higher (OR 3.0 CI 1,9-6,0 p < 0,0001) for home rehabilitation programme compared to standard one. Conclusions: Home rehabilitation, when applied to selected populations, resulted in a feasible and effective strategy to promote long term physical activity in secondary prevention after an acute coronary syndrome.

Impact of intermittently scanned continuous glucose monitoring with alarms on sleep and metabolic outcomes in children and adolescents with type 1 diabetes.

AIMS: Data about sleep quality and quantity are not available in patients with type 1 diabetes (T1D) using intermittently scanned continuous glucose monitoring (isCGM). We questioned whether the isCGM with alarms could fragment sleep in patients and parents, compared to isCGM without alarms. METHODS: A prospective, observational study including 47 child-adolescents with T1D who had experience with isCGM without alarms (Freestyle Libre 1-FSL1). They were asked to wear the isCGM with alarms (Freestyle Libre 2-FSL2) for 14 days. Patients enrolled and their caregiver (s), during a 14 day period with FSL1 and the following 14 days with FSL2, completed psychosocial and sleep-related questionnaires. Furthermore they wore an actigraph that was downloaded to a web platform and processed by the validated and certified algorithm "Dormi®." RESULTS: By the switch to the alarmed FSL2 we found about a 5% increase in Time In Range (from 62.5 to 67.8%), a reduction in time spent in hypoglycemia, number of weekly hypoglycemic events, and coefficient of variation. We did not find significant differences in sleep parameters in patients and their parents; therefore, alarms did not worsen the duration and quality of sleep. A significant improvement in the Quality of Life was perceived by parents using FSL2. CONCLUSIONS: Introduction of alarms in isCGM systems gives, in the short term, an improvement in metabolic control in terms of time in range and reduction in hypoglycemia, without worsening duration and quality of sleep, measured by actigraphy, in children-adolescent and their parents.

Can Lung Ultrasound Be the Ideal Monitoring Tool to Predict the Clinical Outcome of Mechanically Ventilated COVID-19 Patients? An Observational Study.

BACKGROUND: During the COVID-19 pandemic, lung ultrasound (LUS) has been widely used since it can be performed at the patient's bedside, does not produce ionizing radiation, and is sufficiently accurate. The LUS score allows for quantifying lung involvement; however, its clinical prognostic role is still controversial. METHODS: A retrospective observational study on 103 COVID-19 patients with respiratory failure that were assessed with an LUS score at intensive care unit (ICU) admission and discharge in a tertiary university COVID-19 referral center. RESULTS: The deceased patients had a higher LUS score at admission than the survivors (25.7 vs. 23.5; p-value = 0.02; cut-off value of 25; Odds Ratio (OR) 1.1; Interquartile Range (IQR) 1.0-1.2). The predictive regression model shows that the value of LUSt0 (OR 1.1; IQR 1.0-1.3), age (OR 1.1; IQR 1.0-1.2), sex (OR 0.7; IQR 0.2-3.6), and days in spontaneous breathing (OR 0.2; IQR 0.1-0.5) predict the risk of death for COVID-19 patients (Area under the Curve (AUC) 0.92). Furthermore, the surviving patients showed a significantly lower difference between LUS scores at admission and discharge (mean difference of 1.75, p-value = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Upon entry into the ICU, the LUS score may play a prognostic role in COVID-19 patients with ARDS. Furthermore, employing the LUS score as a monitoring tool allows for evaluating the patients with a higher probability of survival.

Road traffic accidents in Italy during COVID-19.

OBJECTIVE: To assess changes in the number and severity of road traffic accidents in Italy in 2020, in particular after the beginning of COVID-19 and during the lockdown, as compared with 2019, with monthly details and geographical variations within the country. METHODS: Official monthly data on road traffic accidents recorded by the Police in Italy in 2020 were compared with those in 2019. The comparison regarded number of accidents, percent change, non-fatal injuries, deaths, injury index (injuries/accidents ×100) and fatality index (deaths/accidents ×100). Monthly data were graphically presented separately for each of the 21 Italian Regions and autonomous Provinces. RESULTS: A steep generalized decrease in the number of road traffic accidents was observed in March and April 2020 (Italian lockdown) as compared with the corresponding months of 2019 (more than 70% change), with a smaller change in the number of deaths, more variable among Regions. Smaller decreases were observed in the following part of 2020. CONCLUSIONS: In Italy, lockdown and limitation of mobility due to COVID-19 determined a strong decrease in the number of road traffic accidents and their health consequences. Inter-regional variability in the decrease of deaths might be associated with the severity of the SARS-CoV-2 local outbreak, although specific causes need to be investigated. These data are useful to inform traffic and public health policy makers.

Pre-Existing Lymphopenia Increases the Risk of Hospitalization and Death after SARS-CoV-2 Infection.

There is limited information regarding the severity of COVID-19 in immunocompromized patients. We conducted a retrospective cohort study considering the period from 1 March 2020 to 31 December 2020 to determine whether previously existing lymphopenia increases the risk of hospitalization and death after SARS-CoV-2 infection in the general population. The laboratory and hospital discharge databases of the Azienda Sanitaria Universitaria Friuli Centrale were used, and 5415 subjects infected with SARS-CoV-2 and with at least one recent absolute lymphocyte count determination before SARS-CoV-2 positivity were included. In total, 817 (15.1%) patients had severe COVID-19. Patients developing severe COVID-19 were more frequently males (44.9% of the severe COVID-19 group vs. 41.5% in the non-severe COVID-19 group; p < 0.0001) and were older (73.2 ± 13.8 vs. 58.4 ± 20.3 years; p < 0.0001). Furthermore, 29.9% of the lymphopenic patients developed severe COVID-19 vs. 14.5% of the non-lymphopenic patients (p < 0.0001). In a logistic regression model, female sex remained a protective factor (OR = 0.514, 95%CI 0.438-0.602, p < 0.0001), while age and lymphopenia remained risk factors for severe COVID-19 (OR = 1.047, 95%CI 1.042-1.053, p < 0.0001 for each additional year of age; OR = 1.715, 95%CI 1.239-2.347, p = 0.0011 for lymphopenia). This provides further information to stratify the risk of COVID-19 severity, which may be an important element in the management of immunosuppressive therapies.

Influenza molecular diagnostic testing in a 1000-bed academic Italian hospital during the 2018-19 influenza season.

Aim: The aims of this study were to examine the requests for influenza molecular tests processed by the Virology Laboratory of the University Hospital of Udine during the 2018-19 influenza season and to assess the test results and to estimate costs. Subjects and methods: We analyzed various administrative databases of the hospital health information system, which can be deterministically linked at the individual level through an anonymous stochastic key. Requests for influenza molecular tests from November 1, 2018, to April 15, 2019, and test results were described by week and, for hospitalized patients, hospital ward. Previous vaccination status of tested patients, outcomes and estimated test costs were assessed. Results: In the 2018-19 influenza season, 979 influenza A and B virologic tests were processed by the laboratory, corresponding to 758 patients. Requests had more than doubled compared with the previous influenza season. Rapid real-time PCR tests, routinely available at the University Hospital of Udine since January 2019, represented 17% of requests. Six hundred forty-eight patients were hospitalized. Medical wards requested the test after a median of 1 day after admission, whereas requests were delayed for surgical and oncologic patients. The number of tests, proportion of positivity and consumption of rapid tests varied by medical specialty. Overall consumption of oseltamivir was similar to that of the previous influenza season. Conclusions: This analysis, benefiting from the availability of integrated health administrative databases, provided useful information to support public health decision-making and managing the supply and demand for diagnostic tests.

Trends in the use of oral anticoagulants, antiplatelets and statins in four European countries: a population-based study.

PURPOSE: To evaluate time trends in the prevalence of antithrombotic and statin use in four European countries. METHODS: Using population-based data from the United Kingdom, Denmark, Spain and Italy between 2010 and 2018, we calculated standardized annual prevalence proportions of antithrombotics and statin use, and changes in prevalence proportions (2018 vs. 2010). RESULTS: Prevalence proportion of statins increased from 24.8% to 24.6% (UK), 21.0% to 22.3% (Region of Southern Denmark [RSD]), 12.9% to 14.3% (Udine, Italy), and 20.3% to 23.2% (Spain). Prevalence proportions of antithrombotics declined in all four countries: 18.7% to 15.9% (UK; - 2.8% points), 18.9% to 18.1% (RSD; - 0.8% points), 17.7% to 16.6% (Udine; - 1.1% points) and 15.0% to 13.6% (Spain; - 1.4% points). These declines were driven by reductions in low-dose aspirin use: 15.3% to 8.9% (UK; - 6.4% points), 16.3% to 9.5% (RSD; - 6.8% points), 13.5% to 11.6% (Udine; - 1.9% points), and 10.2% to 8.8% (Spain; - 1.4% points). In the UK, low-dose aspirin use declined from 9.1% to 4.3% (- 4.8% points) for primary CVD prevention, and from 49.6% to 36.9% (- 12.7% points) for secondary prevention. Oral anticoagulant use gradually increased but did not fully account for the decrease in low-dose aspirin use. CONCLUSIONS: Antithrombotic use in the UK, RSD, Udine and Spain declined between 2010 and 2018, driven by a reduction in use of low-dose aspirin that is not completely explained by a gradual increase in OAC use. Use of statins remained constant in the UK, and increased gradually in the RSD, Udine and Spain.

High Viral Load in Upper Respiratory Specimens of Persons With SARS-CoV-2 Infection in a Northern Italian Area.

BACKGROUND: An assessment of viral load in biologic specimens of subjects with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection may have important implications for public health planning. The aim of this study was to estimate the prevalence of high viral load in upper respiratory specimens of patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first Italian wave (spring) and at the beginning of the second wave (summer) of the COVID-19 epidemic, through the measurement of cycle threshold (Ct) values from real-time reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction tests conducted at the University Hospital of Udine, Italy, serving 530,000 inhabitants. METHODS: We compared the prevalence of high viral load, defined as Ct ≤ 20 at the first positive test result, in 262 subjects from the spring and 453 from the summer period. Logistic regression was used to account for potential confounding due to sex, age, and severity of infection. RESULTS: In the spring, 9.2% of subjects had Ct ≤ 20 versus 21.4% in the summer. After adjusting for confounders, the likelihood of having high viral load was 2.9 times higher in the summer than in the spring (95% confidence interval, 1.7-5.0). CONCLUSIONS: In this Italian area, more COVID-19 patients had high viral load in the spring epidemic wave than at the beginning of the second, during the summer. Cycle threshold values may represent useful information to monitor viral load at a population level in subjects with SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Prévalence du COVID-19 chez les patients atteints de rhumatismes inflammatoires chroniques traités par biothérapies ou inhibiteurs des JAK : une étude basée sur la population au cours des deux premiers mois de l'épidémie de COVID-19 en Italie.

OBJECTIF: Cette étude a pour objectif de déterminer la prévalence du coronavirus 2 du syndrome respiratoire aigu sévère (SARS-CoV-2) 2019 (COVID-19) chez des patients adultes traités par biothérapies ou inhibiteurs des JAK pour des rhumatismes inflammatoires chroniques, en particulier des arthrites inflammatoires chroniques. MÉTHODES: Pour cela, une étude basée sur la population, dans la province d'Udine (466 700 habitants d'âge > 15 ans, région du Frioul-Vénétie-Julienne, Italie) a été planifiée. Le critère principal de jugement était la prévalence du COVID-19 durant les deux premiers mois de l'épidémie. Tous les patients de notre province atteints de maladies rhumatismales et traités par biothérapies ou inhibiteurs des JAK au cours des 6 mois précédents ont été inclus (n = 1051). RÉSULTATS: Du 29 février au 25 avril 2020, 4 patients adultes (4/1051, 3,8/1000, IC 95 % 1,5-9,7/1000) ont été testés positifs au COVID-19 par RT-PCR et écouvillon. Au total, 47/1051 patients (4,5 %) ont été soumis au test COVID-19 par RT-PCR durant la même période, en raison de symptômes compatibles avec le COVID-19 pour 15 d'entre eux. Dans la population générale, la prévalence était de 937 cas/466700 (2/1000, IC 95 % 1,9-2,1/1000, valeur p = 0,33, test du Chi2), et 20 179/466 700 (4,3 %) prélèvements COVID-19 sur écouvillon ont été effectués. CONCLUSION: Le risque de COVID-19 chez les patients atteints de maladies rhumatismales et traités par biothérapies ou inhibiteurs des JAK n'apparaît pas différent de celui observé dans la population générale. Les patients doivent être encouragés à poursuivre en toute sécurité leur traitement et à respecter les mesures de prévention et de protection contre le COVID-19.

Nutrient Intake during Pregnancy and Adherence to Dietary Recommendations: The Mediterranean PHIME Cohort.

Few studies provide a detailed description of dietary habits during pregnancy, despite the central role of nutrition for the health of the mother and offspring. This paper describes the dietary habits, energy and nutrient intake in pregnant women from four countries belonging to the Mediterranean PHIME cohort (Croatia, Greece, Italy and Slovenia) and evaluates their adherence to the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) recommendations. A total of 1436 women were included in the present analysis. Maternal diet was assessed using a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ). The mean macro and micronutrient intakes were estimated and compared with the dietary reference values (DRVs). The percentage distribution of the 16 food groups in the total intake of each macronutrient was estimated. All women shared a similar diet during pregnancy; almost all the women in the four countries exceeded the DRV for sugars, and the total fat intake was above the DRV in most women in all the countries, as was the contribution of saturated fatty acids (SFAs) to the total energy intake. In all four countries, we observed an increased risk of micronutrient deficiency for iron, folate and vitamin D. Shared guidelines, implemented at both the national and European level, are essential to improve the maternal nutritional status during pregnancy.

Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Setting-specific Transmission Rates: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Understanding the drivers of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) transmission is crucial for control policies, but evidence of transmission rates in different settings remains limited. METHODS: We conducted a systematic review to estimate secondary attack rates (SARs) and observed reproduction numbers (Robs) in different settings exploring differences by age, symptom status, and duration of exposure. To account for additional study heterogeneity, we employed a beta-binomial model to pool SARs across studies and a negative-binomial model to estimate Robs. RESULTS: Households showed the highest transmission rates, with a pooled SAR of 21.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]:17.4-24.8). SARs were significantly higher where the duration of household exposure exceeded 5 days compared with exposure of ≤5 days. SARs related to contacts at social events with family and friends were higher than those for low-risk casual contacts (5.9% vs 1.2%). Estimates of SARs and Robs for asymptomatic index cases were approximately one-seventh, and for presymptomatic two-thirds of those for symptomatic index cases. We found some evidence for reduced transmission potential both from and to individuals younger than 20 years of age in the household context, which is more limited when examining all settings. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that exposure in settings with familiar contacts increases SARS-CoV-2 transmission potential. Additionally, the differences observed in transmissibility by index case symptom status and duration of exposure have important implications for control strategies, such as contact tracing, testing, and rapid isolation of cases. There were limited data to explore transmission patterns in workplaces, schools, and care homes, highlighting the need for further research in such settings.

Frequency of nasopharyngeal swab collection and positivity for SARS-CoV-2 infection in the population of the Italian province of Udine with and without chronic conditions.

Severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection is associated with comorbidities. However, no information is available on the frequency of nasopharyngeal swab collection and positivity depending on comorbidities. Using a cross-sectional design, we assessed the prevalence of SARS-CoV-2 tests and of positivity in the general population of the 530,000-inhabitant Italian province of Udine and in subgroups affected by chronic conditions in the first weeks of SARS-CoV-2 epidemic. Anonymous health databases were used as source of information to identify persons with 14 chronic conditions. From laboratory records we assessed the likelihood of real-time reverse-transcriptase polymerase chain reaction for SARS-CoV-2 and the frequency of positivity from February 29 to April 19, 2020, i.e., 7 weeks from the first case detected in the study area. Sex and age-stratified proportions were calculated in comorbidity subgroups. Multivariate regression was used to adjust for confounders. In the province, 236,623 persons had ≥1 chronic condition; 869 had positive tests. Persons with comorbidities were tested more than the others. However, most chronic conditions were not significantly associated with the prevalence of positivity, except psychiatric and neurological diseases and diabetes. In conclusion, despite more frequent testing, patients with most chronic diseases where equally likely to be diagnosed with SARS-CoV-2 as the general population. Chronic patients should adhere to general recommendations for preventing SARS-CoV-2 infection, but ad hoc restrictions do not seem necessary.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic waves on changes in surgical urgency volumes and severity in the regional hospital network of Trento (Northern Italy): a descriptive epidemiological analysis.

OBJECTIVES: to analyse both direct and indirect impacts on surgical admissions, surgical rates, and clinical picture severity of the two COVID-19 pandemic waves in a hospital network covering an entire province (Trento, located in Trentino-Alto Adige Region, Northern Italy). DESIGN: retrospective epidemiological study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: data regarding the patient load of the Surgical Urgencies/Emergencies flows (SUEs) of the Local Health Authority of the Autonomous Province of Trento derived from the Hospital Discharge Record (HDR) information flow. The population in study was that of patients hospitalized in the entire Province of Trento. This study compares the volume and characteristics of urgent/emergency surgery during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic with the homologous period in 2019, subdividing the analysed pandemic period in 3 separated groups: • phase I (March-May 2020); • phase II (June-August 2020); • phase III (October-December 2020). The 3 groups represent, respectively: the 1st pandemic wave proclamation of national lockdown from 9 March to 18 May; the summer pandemic remission; the 2nd pandemic wave with partial restrictions on circulation and commercial activities. Clinical and surgical records of SUE population among these 3 periods (March-May; June-August; October-December) of both 2020 and 2019 were analyzed and compared. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: the overall number of admissions and surgical rates for SUEs in the study periods were chosen as primary outcomes. The same outcomes were analysed for the most represented diagnoses in the SUEs population: diverticulitis, intestinal obstruction, appendicitis, cholecystitis, gastrointestinal (GI) perforations, pancreatitis, traumas. To assess the degree of clinical picture severity, variables coming from the hospital discharging charts, commonly associated to worst outcomes in term of mortality and morbidity, such as age, length of hospital stay, DRG weight, and patients not discharged at home were extrapolated from the electronic database. A numerical weight was then assigned to each variable, obtaining a scoring system from 0 to 15 (severity index). RESULTS: the number of admissions for SUEs in the studied period showed a sinusoidal trend, with a dramatic decrease in phase I and III (-46.6% and -31.6%, respectively). This trend was also observed even by stratifying admissions for the most frequent pathologies, except for gastrointestinal perforations and pancreatitis. The surgical rate among hospitalised patients for SUEs was 35.2% in phase, significantly higher than that of 2019 (25.6%). Considering the most frequent diagnoses individually, some had a progressive increase in the surgical rate in phases I and II (diverticulitis, bowel obstructions, cholecystitis), others showed an initial decrease and then settled on values ​​not far from those of 2019 (GI perforations and appendicitis), others again had an initial significant increase and then gradually returned to values ​​similar to those of 2019 in phase III (traumas). The mean patients age was significantly higher in phase I than in 2019 (p-value <0.001) and in phase II (p-value <0.05). Consistently with the trend of the number of urgent admissions, even the severity index calculated on the SUEs population showed a sinusoidal trend with and evident increase during the two pandemic waves. CONCLUSIONS: the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on SUEs was mainly indirect, manifesting itself with a significant reduction in surgical admissions, particularly in phases I and III. Conversely, in the same phases, the surgical rate showed a significant increase compared to 2019. The stratified analysis confirmed these findings for the most frequent diagnoses except for GI perforations and pancreatitis. The clinical pictures were more severe in the two pandemic waves than in the reference period of 2019. Although with a slight numerical attenuation, in general, the second pandemic wave confirmed the first one findings.