Relationships Between Theoretically Derived Short-Term Outcomes and Support for Policy Among the Public and Decision-Makers.

PURPOSE AND OBJECTIVES: Policy change is a lengthy and complex process. Thus, it is important to articulate hypothesized causal pathways between advocacy activities and policy change outcomes and to identify and monitor early indicators of progress toward policy change. INTERVENTION APPROACH: The Kansas Health Foundation supports grantee efforts to address the public health effects of obesity through evidence-based policy, systems, and environmental change interventions. To build support for policy, systems, and environmental changes in schools, workplaces, and health care and retail settings, grantees mobilize communities, educate government policy makers, and advocate with organizational decision makers. EVALUATION METHODS: To understand whether early outcomes from obesity-prevention advocacy efforts predict interim outcomes related to eventual policy change, we conducted surveys of the general public and of opinion leaders in Kansas, which were designed to measure components of Kansas Health Foundation's theory of change. We then used structural equation modeling to test the theory of change's underlying relationships by using support for obesity prevention policies as the outcome. RESULTS: Our findings supported the hypothesized model: perceptions of obesity as a serious community problem influence beliefs about causes of the problem. Beliefs about causes predict beliefs about who is responsible for the solution to the problem, which in turn predicts support for obesity prevention policies. IMPLICATIONS FOR PUBLIC HEALTH: Evaluators of advocacy for policy change interventions can use this approach to monitor proximal changes in public and opinion leader beliefs related to eventual policy change and to determine whether efforts are likely to be successful or need to be adapted or abandoned.

Using a Theory of Change to Guide Grant Monitoring and Grantmaking.

Charitable foundations play a significant role in advancing public health, funding billions of dollars in health grants each year. Evaluation is an important accountability tool for foundations and helps ensure that philanthropic investments contribute to the broader public health evidence base. While commitment to evaluation has increased among foundations over the past few decades, effective use of evaluation findings remains challenging. To facilitate use of evaluation findings among philanthropic organizations, evaluators can incorporate the foundation's theory of change-an illustration of the presumed causal pathways between a program's activities and its intended outcomes-into user-friendly products that summarize evaluation findings and recommendations. Using examples from the evaluation of the Kansas Health Foundation's Healthy Living Focus Area, we present a mapping technique that can be applied to assess and graphically depict alignment between program theory and program reality, refine the theory of change, and inform grantmaking.

Public and Opinion Leader Willingness to Fund Obesity-Focused Policies in Kansas.

Obesity increases the risk for leading causes of death, including cardiovascular disease and some cancers. Midwestern and southern states have the highest obesity rates-in Kansas, one in every three adults is obese. We compared the willingness of Kansas adults and opinion leaders to pay more in taxes to fund obesity prevention policies. In 2014, we asked a representative sample of 2,203 Kansas adults (response rate 15.7%) and 912 opinion leaders (response rate 55%) drawn from elected office and other sectors, including business and health, whether they would pay an additional $50 in annual taxes to support five policies that improve access to healthy foods and opportunities for physical activity. We used adjusted Wald tests to compare public and opinion leaders' responses, and regression analysis to assess whether differences in respondents' gender, age, location (urban/rural), race/ethnicity, and political stance affected results. Adjusting for demographic differences, Kansas adults were more willing than opinion leaders to pay $50 in taxes for each of the five policy interventions. This study demonstrates a willingness among residents of a fiscally conservative state to pay increased taxes for policies that could reduce population obesity rates. Health professionals, including nurses, can use these findings to educate policy makers in Kansas and geopolitically similar states about widespread public support for obesity prevention policies. Public health and other nurses could also apply our methods to assess support for obesity prevention policies in their jurisdictions.