Predictive models for fentanyl dose requirement and postoperative pain using clinical and genetic factors in patients undergoing major breast surgery.

ABSTRACT: Fentanyl exhibits interindividual variability in its dose requirement due to various nongenetic and genetic factors such as single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). This study aims to develop and cross-validate robust predictive models for postoperative fentanyl analgesic requirement and other related outcomes in patients undergoing major breast surgery. Data regarding genotypes of 10 candidate SNPs, cold pain test (CPT) scores, pupillary response to fentanyl (PRF), and other common clinical characteristics were recorded from 257 patients undergoing major breast surgery. Predictive models for 24-hour fentanyl requirement, 24-hour pain scores, and time for first analgesic (TFA) in the postoperative period were developed using 4 different algorithms: generalised linear regression model, linear support vector machine learning (SVM-Linear), random forest (RF), and Bayesian regularised neural network. The variant genotype of OPRM1 (rs1799971) and higher CPT scores were associated with higher 24-hour postoperative fentanyl consumption, whereas higher PRF and history of hypertension were associated with lower fentanyl requirement. The variant allele of COMT (rs4680) and higher CPT scores were associated with 24-hour postoperative pain scores. The variant genotype of CTSG (rs2070697), higher intraoperative fentanyl use, and higher CPT scores were associated with significantly lower TFA. The predictive models for 24-hour postoperative fentanyl requirement, pain scores, and TFA had R-squared values of 0.313 (SVM-Linear), 0.434 (SVM-Linear), and 0.532 (RF), respectively. We have developed and cross-validated predictive models for 24-hour postoperative fentanyl requirement, 24-hour postoperative pain scores, and TFA with satisfactory performance characteristics and incorporated them in a novel web application.

Multi-centric evaluation of a stage-specific reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction assay as a xenomonitoring tool for the detection of infective (L3) stage Wuchereria bancrofti in vectors.

Background & objectives: An infective stage specific reverse transcriptase-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay utilizing the abundant larval transcript-3 (Alt-3) gene of Wuchereria bancrofti was developed at ICMR-VCRC, Puducherry and found to be stage specific, and sensitive upon validation in the laboratory. This study was aimed at independently evaluating this assay for its utility as a monitoring/surveillance tool in the operational programme for elimination of lymphatic filariasis (LF) by four national research laboratories. Methods: Evaluation of the assay was carried out in a multi-centric mode in three phases. In phase I, a workshop was conducted to impart hands-on training to the scientists from the collaborating centres on the RT-PCR assay and in Phase II the assay was evaluated for specificity and sensitivity in detecting the infective (L3) stage larvae of W. bancrofti in its vector, Culex quinquefasciatus, using 50 coded pooled samples. Phase III evaluation was done on wild-caught mosquito vectors from selected endemic areas of Assam and Bhubaneswar States and Andaman Nicobar islands. Results: Phase I data indicated that the assay was able to detect all the pools of mosquito samples contaning L3 stage larvae of W. bancrofti as positive, even in the presence of other vector stages of the parasite indicating its stage specificity (100%). The assay was found highly sensitive (100%), detecting all the infected pools as positive and specific detecting all uninfected pools as negative. The results of phase II showed inter-laboratory variation. Phase III evaluation from all the centres suggested that the infectivity rate determined for pooled mosquitoes by the RT-PCR assay (0.5%) was comparable to that by dissection method (1.2%) (95% confidence interval overlaps). Interpretation & conclusions: Overall, the results from three of the four participating centres indicated that the assay is at least as sensitive and stage specific as the conventional mosquito dissection technique, and hence, may be useful as a xenomonitoring tool for Transmission Assessment Survey in Mass Drug Administration programmes for LF.

Molecular xenomonitoring of diurnally subperiodic Wuchereria bancrofti infection in Aedes (Downsiomyia) niveus (Ludlow, 1903) after nine rounds of Mass Drug Administration in Nancowry Islands, Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India.

A group of four human inhabited Nancowry Islands in Nicobar district in the Andaman and Nicobar Islands, India having a population of 7674 is the lone focus of diurnally sub-periodic Wuchereria bancrofti (DspWB) that is transmitted by Aedes niveus (Ludlow). Microfilaria (Mf) prevalence was above 1% even after nine rounds of Mass Drug Administration (MDA) with DEC and albendazole. Molecular xenomonitoring (MX) was conducted to identify appropriate vector sampling method and assess the impact. BioGents Sentinel traps, gravid traps and human baited double bed nettraps were used in three locations in each village to collect Aedes niveus female mosquitoes. Subsequently daytime man landing collections (MLC) were carried out in all the 25 villages in the islands. Collections were compared in terms of the number of vector mosquitoes captured per trap collection. Females of Ae. niveus were pooled, dried and processed for detecting filarial parasite DNA using RT-PCR assay. Vector infection rate was estimated using PoolScreen software. Only 393 female mosquitoes including 44 Ae. niveus (11.2%) were collected from 459 trap collections using three trapping devices. From 151 MLCs, 2170 Ae. niveus female mosquitoes were collected. The average prevalence of W. bancrofti DNA was 0.43%. Estimated upper 95% CI exceeded the provisional prevalence threshold of 0.1% in all the villages, indicating continued transmission as observed in Mf survey. MLCs could be the choice, for now, to sample Ae. niveus mosquitoes. The PCR assay used in MX for nocturnally periodic bancroftian filariasis could be adopted for DspWB. The vector-parasite MX, can be used to evaluate interventions in this area after further standardization of the protocol.

Molecular xenomonitoring as a post-MDA surveillance tool for global programme to eliminate lymphatic filariasis: Field validation in an evaluation unit in India.

BACKGROUND: Lymphatic filariasis (LF) is targeted for elimination by the year 2020. As of 2017, 67 of the 72 endemic countries have implemented annual Mass Drug Administration (MDA) for interrupting LF transmission. Transmission Assessment Survey (TAS) is the recommended protocol to evaluate the impact of MDA and to decide when to stop MDA in an Evaluation Unit (EU, population ≤2 million). As the human infection levels go down with repeated MDA rounds, it becomes a challenge to select the appropriate survey methods to assess transmission interruption. This study validates a standard protocol for molecular xenomonitoring of infection in vectors (MX) at an EU as a complementary tool for TAS to stop MDA and its utility for post-MDA or post-validation surveillance. METHODOLOGY: The study was conducted in Cuddalore district, Tamil Nadu, India, which was found eligible for TAS after 15 annual rounds of MDA (4 with DEC alone and 11 with DEC plus albendazole). The district was divided into two EUs as per the TAS protocol and one EU was randomly selected for the study. A two-stage cluster design vector sampling, developed and validated at a sub-district level, was implemented in 30 randomly selected clusters in the EU. Female Culex quinquefasciatus were collected placing gravid traps overnight (1800-0600 hrs) inside the premises of systematically selected households. Pools of 20-25 blood-fed, semi-gravid and gravid Cx. quinquefasciatus were subjected to real-time quantitative PCR (polymerase chain reaction) assay for detecting Wuchereria bancrofti DNA. Pool infection rate (% of pools positive for W. bancrofti DNA), and the estimated prevalence of W. bancrofti DNA in mosquitoes and its 95% confidence interval were calculated. Additionally, in these 30 clusters, microfilaria (Mf) survey among individuals >5 years old was carried out. School-based TAS was conducted using Immunochromatographic Card Test (ICT) in the EU. Prepared itemized cost-menu for different cost components of MX survey and TAS were estimated and compared. RESULTS: MX survey showed that only 11 (3.1%) of the 358 pools (8850 Cx.quinquefasciatus females), collected from 30 clusters, were found positive for W. bancrofti DNA. The estimated vector infection rate was 0.13% (95% CI: 0.07-0.22%), below the provisional threshold (0.25%) for transmission interruption. Of 1578 children tested in the TAS, only four (0.25%) were positive for filarial antigenemia, and it is well below the critical cut-off (18 positives) for stopping MDA. Among 9804 persons tested in the 30 clusters, only four were found positive for Mf (0.04%; 95% CI: 0.01-0.1%). The Mf-prevalence was <1% threshold for transmission interruption in humans. The estimated costs for TAS and MX per EU were $14,104 USD and $14,259 USD respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The result of MX protocol was in good agreement with that of TAS, providing evidence to recommend MX as a complementary tool to TAS to decide on stopping MDA. MX can also be a potential surveillance tool for post-MDA and post-validation phases as it could detect sites with residual infection and risk of resurgence of transmission. MX is economically feasible as its cost is slightly higher than that of TAS.

Application of a household-based molecular xenomonitoring strategy to evaluate the lymphatic filariasis elimination program in Tamil Nadu, India.

BACKGROUND: The monitoring and evaluation of lymphatic filariasis (LF) has largely relied on the detection of antigenemia and antibodies in human populations. Molecular xenomonitoring (MX), the detection of parasite DNA/RNA in mosquitoes, may be an effective complementary method, particularly for detecting signals in low-level prevalence areas where Culex is the primary mosquito vector. This paper investigated the application of a household-based sampling method for MX in Tamil Nadu, India. METHODS: MX surveys were conducted in 2010 in two evaluation units (EUs): 1) a hotspot area, defined as sites with community microfilaria prevalence ≥1%, and 2) a larger area that also encompassed the hotspots. Households were systematically selected using a sampling interval proportional to the number of households in the EU. Mosquito pools were collected and analyzed by real-time polymerase chain reaction (qPCR). Two independent samples were taken in each EU to assess reproducibility of results. Follow-up surveys were conducted in 2012. RESULTS: In 2010, the proportion of positive pools in the hotspot EU was 49.3% compared to 23.4% in the overall EU. In 2012, pool positivity was significantly reduced to 24.3% and 6.5%, respectively (p<0.0001). Pool positivity based on independent samples taken from each EU in 2010 and 2012 were not significantly different except for the hotspot EU in 2012 (p = 0.009). The estimated prevalence of infection in mosquitoes, measured by PoolScreen, declined from 2.2-2.7% in 2010 to 0.6-1.2% in 2012 in the hotspot area and from 0.9-1.1% to 0.2-0.3% in the larger area. CONCLUSIONS: The household-based sampling strategy for MX led to mostly reproducible results and supported the observed LF infection trends found in humans. MX has the potential to be a cost-effective, non-invasive monitoring and evaluation tool with sensitive detection of infection signals in low prevalence settings. Further investigation and application of this sampling strategy for MX are recommended to support its adoption as a standardized method for global LF elimination programs.