International Pooled Analysis of Leisure-Time Physical Activity and Premenopausal Breast Cancer in Women From 19 Cohorts.

PURPOSE: There is strong evidence that leisure-time physical activity is protective against postmenopausal breast cancer risk but the association with premenopausal breast cancer is less clear. The purpose of this study was to examine the association of physical activity with the risk of developing premenopausal breast cancer. METHODS: We pooled individual-level data on self-reported leisure-time physical activity across 19 cohort studies comprising 547,601 premenopausal women, with 10,231 incident cases of breast cancer. Multivariable Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for associations of leisure-time physical activity with breast cancer incidence. HRs for high versus low levels of activity were based on a comparison of risk at the 90th versus 10th percentiles of activity. We assessed the linearity of the relationship and examined subtype-specific associations and effect modification across strata of breast cancer risk factors, including adiposity. RESULTS: Over a median 11.5 years of follow-up (IQR, 8.0-16.1 years), high versus low levels of leisure-time physical activity were associated with a 6% (HR, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.89 to 0.99]) and a 10% (HR, 0.90 [95% CI, 0.85 to 0.95]) reduction in breast cancer risk, before and after adjustment for BMI, respectively. Tests of nonlinearity suggested an approximately linear relationship (Pnonlinearity = .94). The inverse association was particularly strong for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2-enriched breast cancer (HR, 0.57 [95% CI, 0.39 to 0.84]; Phet = .07). Associations did not vary significantly across strata of breast cancer risk factors, including subgroups of adiposity. CONCLUSION: This large, pooled analysis of cohort studies adds to evidence that engagement in higher levels of leisure-time physical activity may lead to reduced premenopausal breast cancer risk.

Pregnancy complications in last pregnancy and mothers' long-term cardiovascular mortality: does the relation differ from that of complications in first pregnancy? A population-based study.

BACKGROUND: Women who experience complications in first pregnancy are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) later in life. Little corresponding knowledge is available for complications in later pregnancies. Therefore, we assessed complications (preeclampsia, preterm birth, and offspring small for gestational age) in first and last pregnancies and the risk of long-term maternal CVD death, taking women´s complete reproduction into account. DATA AND METHODS: We linked data from the Medical Birth Registry of Norway to the national Cause of Death Registry. We followed women whose first birth took place during 1967-2013, from the date of their last birth until death, or December 31st 2020, whichever occurred first. We analysed risk of CVD death until 69 years of age according to any complications in last pregnancy. Using Cox regression analysis, we adjusted for maternal age at first birth and level of education. RESULTS: Women with any complications in their last or first pregnancy were at higher risk of CVD death than mothers with two-lifetime births and no pregnancy complications (reference). For example, the adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) for women with four births and any complications only in the last pregnancy was 2.85 (95% CI, 1.93-4.20). If a complication occurred in the first pregnancy only, the aHR was 1.74 (1.24-2.45). Corresponding hazard ratios for women with two births were 1.82 (CI, 1.59-2.08) and 1.41 (1.26-1.58), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The risk for CVD death was higher among mothers with complications only in their last pregnancy compared to women with no complications, and also higher compared to mothers with a complication only in their first pregnancy.

Non-progressive breast carcinomas detected at mammography screening: a population study.

BACKGROUND: Some breast carcinomas detected at screening, especially ductal carcinoma in situ, may have limited potential for progression to symptomatic disease. To determine non-progression is a challenge, but if all screening-detected breast tumors eventually reach a clinical stage, the cumulative incidence at a reasonably high age would be similar for women with or without screening, conditional on the women being alive. METHODS: Using high-quality population data with 24 years of follow-up from the gradually introduced BreastScreen Norway program, we studied whether all breast carcinomas detected at mammography screening 50-69 years of age would progress to clinical symptoms within 85 years of age. First, we estimated the incidence rates of breast carcinomas by age in scenarios with or without screening, based on an extended age-period-cohort incidence model. Next, we estimated the frequency of non-progressive tumors among screening-detected cases, by calculating the difference in the cumulative rate of breast carcinomas between the screening and non-screening scenarios at 85 years of age. RESULTS: Among women who attended BreastScreen Norway from the age of 50 to 69 years, we estimated that 1.1% of the participants were diagnosed with a breast carcinoma without the potential to progress to symptomatic disease by 85 years of age. This proportion of potentially non-progressive tumors corresponded to 15.7% [95% CI 3.3, 27.1] of breast carcinomas detected at screening. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that nearly one in six breast carcinomas detected at screening may be non-progressive.

APOBEC3A/B deletion polymorphism and endometrial cancer risk.

BACKGROUND: A common 30 kb deletion affecting the APOBEC3A and APOBEC3B genes has been linked to increased APOBEC activity and APOBEC-related mutational signatures in human cancers. The role of this deletion as a cancer risk factor remains controversial. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We genotyped the APOBEC3A/B deletion in a sample of 1,470 Norwegian endometrial cancer cases and compared to 1,918 healthy controls. For assessment across Caucasian populations, we mined genotypes of the SNP rs12628403, which is in strong linkage disequilibrium with the deletion, in a GWAS dataset of 4,274 cases and 18,125 healthy controls, through the ECAC consortium. RESULTS: We found the APOBEC3A/B deletion variant to be significantly associated with reduced risk of endometrial cancer among Norwegian women (OR = 0.75; 95% CI = 0.62-0.91; p = 0.003; dominant model). Similar results were found in the subgroup of endometrioid endometrial cancer (OR = 0.64; 95% CI = 0.51-0.79; p = 3.6 × 10-5 ; dominant model). The observed risk reduction was particularly strong among individuals in the range of 50-60 years of age (OR = 0.51; 95% CI = 0.33-0.78; p = 0.002; dominant model). In the different populations included in the ECAC dataset, the ORs varied from 0.85 to 1.05. Although five out of six populations revealed ORs <1.0, the overall estimate was nonsignificant and, as such, did not formally validate the findings in the Norwegian cohort. CONCLUSION: The APOBEC3A/B deletion polymorphism is associated with a decreased risk of endometrial cancer in the Norwegian population.

Interpreting Breast Cancer Mortality Trends Related to Introduction of Mammography Screening: A Simulation Study.

Background. Several studies have evaluated the effect of mammography screening on breast cancer mortality based on overall breast cancer mortality trends, with varied conclusions. The statistical power of such trend analyses is, however, not carefully studied. Methods. We estimated how the effect of screening on overall breast cancer mortality is likely to unfold. Because a screening effect is based on earlier treatment, screening can affect only new incident cases after screening introduction. To evaluate the likelihood of detecting screening effects on overall breast cancer mortality time trends, we calculated the statistical power of joinpoint regression analysis on breast cancer mortality trends around screening introduction using simulations. Results. We found that a very gradual increase in population-level screening effect is expected due to prescreening incident cases. Assuming 25% effectiveness of a biennial screening program in reducing breast cancer mortality among women 50 to 69 y of age, the expected reduction in overall breast cancer mortality was 3% after 2 y and reached a long-term effect of 18% after 20 y. In common settings, the statistical power to detect any screening effects using joinpoint regression analysis is very low (<50%), even in an artificial setting of constant risk of baseline breast cancer mortality over time. Conclusions. Population effects of screening on breast cancer mortality emerge very gradually and are expected to be considerably lower than the effects reported in trials excluding women diagnosed before screening. Studies of overall breast cancer mortality time trends have too low statistical power to reliably detect screening effects in most populations. Implications. Researchers and policy makers evaluating mammography screening should avoid using breast cancer mortality trend analysis that does not separate pre- and postscreening incident cases. Highlights: Population-level mammography screening effects on breast cancer mortality emerge gradually following screening introduction, resulting in very low statistical power of trend analysis.Researchers and policy makers evaluating mammography screening should avoid relying on population-wide breast cancer mortality trends.Expected mammography screening effects at population level are lower than those from screening trials, as many cases of breast cancer fall outside the screening age range.

How do busy hospital circumstances affect mortality and readmission within 60 days: A cohort study of 680 000 acute admissions in Norway.

OBJECTIVE: To study mortality and readmissions for older patients admitted during more and less busy hospital circumstances. DESIGN: Cohort study where we identified patients that were admitted to the same hospital, during the same month and day of the week. We estimated effects of inflow of acute patients and the number of concurrent acute inpatients. Mortality and readmissions were analysed using stratified Cox-regression. SETTING: All people 80 years and older acutely admitted to Norwegian hospitals between 2008 and 2016. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Mortality and readmissions within 60 days from admission. RESULTS: Among 294 653 patients with 685 197 admissions, mean age was 86 years (standard deviation 5). Overall, 13% died within 60 days. An interquartile range difference in inflow of acute patients was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 0.99, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) 0.98 to 1.00). There was little evidence of differences in readmissions, but a 7% higher risk (HR 1.07, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.09) of being discharged outside ordinary daytime working hours. CONCLUSIONS: Older patients admitted during busier circumstances had similar mortality and readmissions to those admitted during less busy periods. Yet, they showed a higher risk of discharge outside daytime working hours. Despite limited effects of busyness on a hospital level, there could still be harmful effects of local situations.

High ward occupancy, bedspacing, and 60 day mortality for patients with myocardial infarction, stroke, and heart failure.

AIMS: To study the consequences of crowded wards among patients with cardiovascular disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: This is a cohort study among 201 801 patients with 258 807 admissions who were acutely admitted for myocardial infarction (N = 107 895), stroke (N = 87 336), or heart failure (N = 63 576) to any Norwegian hospital between 2008 and 2016. The ward admitting most patients with the given clinical condition was considered a patient's home ward. We compared patients with the same condition admitted when home ward occupancy was different, at the same hospital and during comparable time periods. Occupancy was standardized such that a one-unit difference corresponded to the interquartile range in occupancy in the given month. One interquartile increase in home ward occupancy was associated with 7% higher odds of admission to an alternate ward [odds ratio (OR) 1.07, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.09 to 1.11], and length of stay was shorter (-0.10 days, 95% CI -0.18 to -0.09). Patients with heart failure had 15% higher odds of admission to alternate wards (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.23) and increased mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.08, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.15]. We found no apparent effect on mortality for patients with myocardial infarction (HR 0.99, 95% CI 0.94 to 1.05) or stroke (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.96 to 1.05). CONCLUSIONS: Patients with heart failure had higher risk of admission to alternate wards when home ward occupancy was high. These patients may be negatively affected by full wards.

Impact of the APOBEC3A/B deletion polymorphism on risk of ovarian cancer.

A germline 29.5-kb deletion variant removes the 3' end of the APOBEC3A gene and a large part of APOBEC3B, creating a hybrid gene that has been linked to increased APOBEC3 activity and DNA damage in human cancers. We genotyped the APOBEC3A/B deletion in hospital-based samples of 1398 Norwegian epithelial ovarian cancer patients without detected BRCA1/2 germline mutations and compared to 1,918 healthy female controls, to assess the potential cancer risk associated with the deletion. We observed an association between APOBEC3A/B status and reduced risk for ovarian cancer (OR = 0.75; CI = 0.61-0.91; p = 0.003) applying the dominant model. Similar results were found in other models. The association was observed both in non-serous and serous cases (dominant model: OR = 0.69; CI = 0.50-0.95; p = 0.018 and OR = 0.77; CI = 0.62-0.96; p = 0.019, respectively) as well as within high-grade serous cases (dominant model: OR = 0.79; CI = 0.59-1.05). For validation purposes, we mined an available large multinational GWAS-based data set of > 18,000 cases and > 26,000 controls for SNP rs12628403, known to be in linkage disequilibrium with the APOBEC3A/B deletion. We found a non-significant trend for SNP rs12628403 being linked to reduced risk of ovarian cancer in general and similar trends for all subtypes. For clear cell cancers, the risk reduction reached significance (OR = 0.85; CI = 0.69-1.00).

Polymorphisms in the TP53-MDM2-MDM4-axis in patients with rheumatoid arthritis.

BACKGROUND: In addition to being a tumour suppressor, TP53 is a suppressor of inflammation, and dysfunction of this gene has been related to autoimmune diseases. Patients with autoimmunity, such as rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have an increased risk of certain cancers, like lymphomas, indicating that some underlying mechanisms may modulate risk of both cancers and autoimmunity. METHODS: We genotyped 5 common genetic variants in TP53 and its main regulators MDM2 and MDM4 in a sample of 942 RA patients and 3,747 healthy controls, and mined previously published GWAS-data, to assess the potential impact of these variants on risk of RA. RESULTS: For the TP53 Arg72Pro polymorphism (rs1042522), MDM4 SNP34091 (rs4245739) and MDM2 SNP285C (rs117039649), we found no association to risk of RA. For MDM2 SNP309 (rs2279744), the minor G-allele was associated with a reduced risk of RA (OR: 0.87; CI: 0.79-0.97). This association was also seen in genotype models (OR: 0.86; CI: 0.74-0.99 and OR: 0.79; CI 0.63-0.99; dominant and recessive model, respectively), but was not validated in a large GWAS data set. For MDM2 del1518 (rs3730485), the minor del-allele was associated with an increased risk of RA in the dominant model (OR: 1.18; CI: 1.02-1.38). Stratifying RA cases and controls into phylogenetic subgroups according to the combined genotypes of all three MDM2 polymorphism, we found individuals with the del158-285-309 genotype del/ins-G/G-T/T to have an increased risk of RA as compared to those with the ins/ins-G/G-G/G genotype (OR: 1.56; CI: 1.18-2.06) indicating opposite effects of the del1518 del-allele and the SNP309 G-allele. CONCLUSION: We find a potential association between the MDM2 del1518 variant and RA, and indications that combinatorial genotypes and haplotypes in the MDM2 locus may be related to RA.

The association of women's birth size with risk of molecular breast cancer subtypes: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Because birth size appears to be positively associated with breast cancer risk, we have studied whether this risk may differ according to molecular breast cancer subtypes. METHODS: A cohort of 22,931 women born 1920-1966 were followed up for breast cancer occurrence from 1961 to 2012, and 870 were diagnosed during follow-up. Archival diagnostic material from 537 patients was available to determine molecular breast cancer subtype, specified as Luminal A, Luminal B (human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-), Luminal B (HER2+), HER2 type, and Triple negative (TN) breast cancer. Information on the women's birth weight, birth length and head circumference at birth was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for each molecular subtype, applying Cox regression, and stratified by maternal height. RESULTS: Birth length (per 2 cm increments) was positively associated with Luminal A (HR = 1.2, 95% CI, 1.0-1.3), Luminal B (HER2+) (HR = 1.3, 95% CI, 1.0-1.7), and TN breast cancer (HR = 1.4, 95% CI, 1.0-1.9). No clear association was found for birth weight and head circumference. The positive associations of birth length were restricted to women whose mothers were relatively tall (above population median). CONCLUSION: We found a positive association of birth length with risk of Luminal A, Luminal B (HER2+) and TN breast cancer that appears to be restricted to women whose mothers were relatively tall. This may support the hypothesis that breast cancer risk is influenced by determinants of longitudinal growth and that this finding deserves further scrutiny.

Impact of MDM2 promoter SNP55 (rs2870820) on risk of endometrial and ovarian cancer.

BACKGROUND: While large GWAS analyses have not found convincing associations between MDM2 promoter SNP55 and gynaecological cancers, SNP55 is in linkage disequilibrium with two other functional SNPs in the same promoter, likely to obscure associations between single SNPs and cancer risk. Here, we assessed the impact of SNP55 on risk of endometrial and ovarian cancer, including sub-analyses stratified for other functional SNPs in the region. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Using a custom LightSNiP assay, we genotyped SNP55 in two large hospital-based cohorts of patients with ovarian (n = 1,332) and endometrial (n = 1,363) cancer and compared genotypes to healthy female controls (n = 1,858). RESULTS: Among individuals harbouring the SNP309TT genotype, the minor SNP55T-allele was associated with a reduced risk of endometrial (dominant model: OR = 0.63; CI = 0.45-0.88; p = 0.01). Regardless of the genotype in neighbouring SNPs, the SNP55T-allele was also associated with a reduced risk of endometrial cancer before 50 years of age (dominant model: OR = 0.56; CI = 0.34-0.90; p = 0.02). No association between SNP55 status and ovarian cancer risk was observed. CONCLUSIONS: MDM2 SNP55T-allele may correlate with reduced risk for endometrial cancer in a SNP309T-, but not SNP309G, context.

High volumes of recent surgical admissions, time to surgery, and 60-day mortality.

AIMS: Few studies have investigated potential consequences of strained surgical resources. The aim of this cohort study was to assess whether a high proportion of concurrent acute surgical admissions, tying up hospital surgical capacity, may lead to delayed surgery and affect mortality for hip fracture patients. METHODS: This study investigated time to surgery and 60-day post-admission death of patients 70 years and older admitted for acute hip fracture surgery in Norway between 2008 and 2016. The proportion of hospital capacity being occupied by newly admitted surgical patients was used as the exposure. Hip fracture patients admitted during periods of high proportion of recent admissions were compared with hip fracture patients admitted at the same hospital during the same month, on similar weekdays, and times of the day with fewer admissions. RESULTS: Among 60,072 patients, mean age was 84.6 years (SD 6.8), 78% were females, and median time to surgery was 20 hours (IQR 11 to 29). Overall, 14% (8,464) were dead 60 days after admission. A high (75th percentile) proportion of recent surgical admission compared to a low (25th percentile) proportion resulted in 20% longer time to surgery (95% confidence interval (CI) 16 to 25) and 20% higher 60-day mortality (hazard ratio 1.2, 95% CI 1.1 to 1.4). CONCLUSION: A high volume of recently admitted acute surgical patients, indicating probable competition for surgical resources, was associated with delayed surgery and increased 60-day mortality. Cite this article: Bone Joint J 2021;103-B(2):264-270.

Physical activity and the risk of heart failure: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies.

Although physical activity is an established protective factor for cardiovascular diseases such as ischemic heart disease and stroke, less is known with regard to the association between specific domains of physical activity and heart failure, as well as the association between cardiorespiratory fitness and heart failure. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective observational studies to clarify the relations of total physical activity, domains of physical activity and cardiorespiratory fitness to risk of heart failure. PubMed and Embase databases were searched up to January 14th, 2020. Summary relative risks (RRs) were calculated using random effects models. Twenty-nine prospective studies (36 publications) were included in the review. The summary RRs for high versus low levels were 0.77 (95% CI 0.70-0.85, I2 = 49%, n = 7) for total physical activity, 0.74 (95% CI 0.68-0.81, I2 = 88.1%, n = 16) for leisure-time activity, 0.66 (95% CI 0.59-0.74, I2 = 0%, n = 2) for vigorous activity, 0.81 (95% CI 0.69-0.94, I2 = 86%, n = 3) for walking and bicycling combined, 0.90 (95% CI 0.86-0.95, I2 = 0%, n = 3) for occupational activity, and 0.31 (95% CI 0.19-0.49, I2 = 96%, n = 6) for cardiorespiratory fitness. In dose-response analyses, the summary RRs were 0.89 (95% CI 0.83-0.95, I2 = 67%, n = 4) per 20 MET-hours per day of total activity and 0.71 (95% CI 0.65-0.78, I2 = 85%, n = 11) per 20 MET-hours per week of leisure-time activity. Nonlinear associations were observed in both analyses with a flattening of the dose-response curve at 15-20 MET-hours/week for leisure-time activity. These findings suggest that high levels of total physical activity, leisure-time activity, vigorous activity, occupational activity, walking and bicycling combined and cardiorespiratory fitness are associated with reduced risk of developing heart failure.

Effect of exercise training for five years on all cause mortality in older adults-the Generation 100 study: randomised controlled trial.

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effect of five years of supervised exercise training compared with recommendations for physical activity on mortality in older adults (70-77 years). DESIGN: Randomised controlled trial. SETTING: General population of older adults in Trondheim, Norway. PARTICIPANTS: 1567 of 6966 individuals born between 1936 and 1942. INTERVENTION: Participants were randomised to two sessions weekly of high intensity interval training at about 90% of peak heart rate (HIIT, n=400), moderate intensity continuous training at about 70% of peak heart rate (MICT, n=387), or to follow the national guidelines for physical activity (n=780; control group); all for five years. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE: All cause mortality. An exploratory hypothesis was that HIIT lowers mortality more than MICT. RESULTS: Mean age of the 1567 participants (790 women) was 72.8 (SD 2.1) years. Overall, 87.5% of participants reported to have overall good health, with 80% reporting medium or high physical activity levels at baseline. All cause mortality did not differ between the control group and combined MICT and HIIT group. When MICT and HIIT were analysed separately, with the control group as reference (observed mortality of 4.7%), an absolute risk reduction of 1.7 percentage points was observed after HIIT (hazard ratio 0.63, 95% confidence interval 0.33 to 1.20) and an absolute increased risk of 1.2 percentage points after MICT (1.24, 0.73 to 2.10). When HIIT was compared with MICT as reference group an absolute risk reduction of 2.9 percentage points was observed (0.51, 0.25 to 1.02) for all cause mortality. Control participants chose to perform more of their physical activity as HIIT than the physical activity undertaken by participants in the MICT group. This meant that the controls achieved an exercise dose at an intensity between the MICT and HIIT groups. CONCLUSION: This study suggests that combined MICT and HIIT has no effect on all cause mortality compared with recommended physical activity levels. However, we observed a lower all cause mortality trend after HIIT compared with controls and MICT. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov NCT01666340.

Life Course Trajectories of Maternal Cardiovascular Risk Factors according to Offspring Birthweight: The HUNT Study.

Women with small or large for gestational age offspring are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease later in life. How their cardiovascular risk factors develop across the life course is incompletely known. We linked data from the population-based HUNT Study (1984-2008) and the Medical Birth Registry of Norway (1967-2012) for 22,487 women. Mixed effect models were used to compare cardiovascular risk factor trajectories for women according to first offspring birthweight for gestational age. Women with small for gestational age (SGA) offspring had 1-2 mmHg higher systolic and diastolic blood pressure across the life course, but lower measures of adiposity, compared to women with offspring who were appropriate for gestational age (AGA). In contrast, women with large for gestational age (LGA) offspring had higher measures of adiposity, ~0.1 mmol/l higher non-HDL cholesterol and triglycerides and 0.2 mmol/l higher non-fasting glucose, compared with mothers of AGA offspring. These differences were broadly stable from prior to first pregnancy until 60 years of age. Our findings point to different cardiovascular risk profiles in mothers of SGA versus LGA offspring, where giving birth to SGA offspring might primarily reflect adverse maternal vascular health whereas LGA offspring might reflect the mother's metabolic health.

Hospitals´ Discharge Tendency and Risk of Death - An Analysis of 60,000 Norwegian Hip Fracture Patients.

PURPOSE: A reduction in the length of hospital stay may threaten patient safety. This study aimed to estimate the effect of organizational pressure to discharge on 60-day mortality among hip fracture patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In this cohort study, hip fracture patients were analyzed as if they were enrolled in a sequence of trials for discharge. A hospital's discharge tendency was defined as the proportion of patients with other acute conditions who were discharged on a given day. Because the hospital's tendency to discharge would affect hip fracture patients in an essentially random manner, this exposure could be regarded as analogous to being randomized to treatment in a clinical trial. The study population consisted of 59,971 Norwegian patients with hip fractures, hospitalized between 2008 and 2016, aged 70 years and older. To calculate the hospital discharge tendency for a given day, we used data from all 5,013,773 other acute hospitalizations in the study period. RESULTS: The probability of discharge among hip fracture patients increased by 5.5 percentage points (95% confidence interval (CI)=5.3-5.7) per 10 percentage points increase in hospital discharges of patients with other acute conditions. The increased risk of death that could be attributed to a discharge from organizational causes was estimated to 3.7 percentage points (95% CI=1.4-6.0). The results remained stable under different time adjustments, follow-up periods, and age cut-offs. CONCLUSION: This study showed that discharges from organizational causes may increase the risk of death among hip fracture patients.

Author Correction: Systematic assessment of prescribed medications and short-term risk of myocardial infarction - a pharmacopeia-wide association study from Norway and Sweden.

An amendment to this paper has been published and can be accessed via a link at the top of the paper.

Association of Conventional Cardiovascular Risk Factors With Cardiovascular Disease After Hypertensive Disorders of Pregnancy: Analysis of the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study.

Importance: Women with a history of hypertensive disorders of pregnancy (HDP) have higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD). It is not known how much of the excess CVD risk in women with a history of HDP is associated with conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Objective: To quantify the excess risk of CVD in women with a history of HDP and estimate the proportion associated with conventional cardiovascular risk factors. Design, Setting, and Participants: Prospective cohort study with a median follow-up of 18 years. Population-based cohort of women participating in the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study in Norway. We linked data for 31 364 women from the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (1984-2008) to validated hospital records (1987-2015), the Cause of Death Registry (1984-2015), and the Medical Birth Registry of Norway (1967-2012). A total of 7399 women were excluded based on selected pregnancy characteristics, incomplete data, or because of emigrating or experiencing the end point before start of follow-up, leaving 23 885 women for study. Data were analyzed between January 1, 2018, and June 6, 2018. Exposures: Experiencing 1 or more pregnancies complicated by HDP before age 40 years vs only experiencing normotensive pregnancies. Main Outcomes and Measures: We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) for the association between HDP and CVD. The proportion of excess risk associated with conventional cardiovascular risk factors was estimated using an inverse odds ratio weighting approach. Results: Our study population consisted of 23 885 parous women from Nord-Trøndelag County, Norway. A total of 21 766 women had only normotensive pregnancies, while 2199 women experienced ever having an HDP. From age 40 to 70 years, women with history of HDP had an increased risk of CVD compared with women with only normotensive pregnancies (HR, 1.57; 95% CI, 1.32-1.87) but not at older age (ß = 0.98; 95% CI, 0.96-1.00; P for interaction by age = .01). Blood pressure and body mass index were associated with up to 77% of the excess risk of CVD in women with history of HDP, while glucose and lipid levels were associated with smaller proportions. Conclusion and Relevance: In this study, the risk of excess CVD in women with history of HDP was associated with conventional cardiovascular risk factors, indicating that these risk factors are important targets for cardiovascular prevention in these women.

Weight and weight change and risk of atrial fibrillation: the HUNT study.

AIMS: Although obesity has been associated with risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), the associations of long-term obesity, recent obesity, and weight change with AF risk throughout adulthood are uncertain. METHODS AND RESULTS: An ambispective cohort study was conducted which included 15 214 individuals. The cohort was created from 2006 to 2008 (the baseline) and was followed for incident AF until 2015. Weight and height were directly measured at baseline. Data on previous weight and height were retrieved retrospectively from measurements conducted 10, 20, and 40 years prior to baseline. Average body mass index (BMI) over time and weight change was calculated. During follow-up, 1149 participants developed AF. The multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios were 1.2 (95% confidence interval 1.0-1.4) for average BMI 25.0-29.9 kg/m2 and 1.6 (1.2-2.0) for average BMI ≥30 kg/m2 when compared with normal weight. The association of average BMI with AF risk was only slightly attenuated after adjustment for most recent BMI. In contrast, current BMI was not strongly associated with the risk of AF after adjustment for average BMI earlier in life. Compared with stable BMI, both loss and gain in BMI were associated with increased AF risk. After adjustment for most recent BMI, the association of BMI gain with AF risk was largely unchanged, while the association of BMI loss with AF risk was weakened. CONCLUSION: Long-term obesity and BMI change are associated with AF risk. Obesity earlier in life and weight gain over time exert cumulative effects on AF development even after accounting for most recent BMI.

Systematic assessment of prescribed medications and short-term risk of myocardial infarction - a pharmacopeia-wide association study from Norway and Sweden.

Wholesale, unbiased assessment of Scandinavian electronic health-care databases offer a unique opportunity to reveal potentially important undiscovered drug side effects. We examined the short-term risk of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) associated with drugs prescribed in Norway or Sweden. We identified 24,584 and 97,068 AMI patients via the patient- and the cause-of-death registers and linked to prescription databases in Norway (2004-2014) and Sweden (2005-2014), respectively. A case-crossover design was used to compare the drugs dispensed 1-7 days before the date of AMI diagnosis with 15-21 days' time -window for all the drug individually while controlling the receipt of other drugs. A BOLASSO approach was used to select drugs that acutely either increase or decrease the apparent risk of AMI. We found 48 drugs to be associated with AMI in both countries. Some antithrombotics, antibiotics, opioid analgesics, adrenergics, proton-pump inhibitors, nitroglycerin, diazepam, metoclopramide, acetylcysteine were associated with higher risk for AMI; whereas angiotensin-II-antagonists, calcium-channel blockers, angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitors, serotonin-specific reuptake inhibitors, allopurinol, mometasone, metformin, simvastatin, levothyroxine were inversely associated. The results were generally robust in different sensitivity analyses. This study confirms previous findings for certain drugs. Based on the known effects or indications, some other associations could be anticipated. However, inverse associations of hydroxocobalamin, levothyroxine and mometasone were unexpected and needs further investigation. This pharmacopeia-wide association study demonstrates the feasibility of a systematic, unbiased approach to pharmacological triggers of AMI and other diseases with acute, identifiable onsets.