Molecular subtypes of epilepsy associated with post-surgical seizure recurrence.

Approximately 50% of individuals who undergo resective epilepsy surgery experience seizure recurrence. The heterogenous post-operative outcomes are not fully explained by clinical, imaging and electrophysiological variables. We hypothesized that molecular features may be useful in understanding surgical response, and that individuals with epilepsy can be classified into molecular subtypes that are associated with seizure freedom or recurrence after surgical resection. Pre-operative blood samples, brain tissue and post-operative seizure outcomes were collected from a cohort of 40 individuals with temporal lobe epilepsy, 23 of whom experienced post-operative seizure recurrence. Messenger RNA and microRNA extracted from the blood and tissue samples were sequenced. The messenger RNA and microRNA expression levels from the blood and brain were each subjected to a novel clustering approach combined with multiple logistic regression to separate individuals into genetic clusters that identify novel subtypes associated with post-operative seizure outcomes. We then compared the microRNAs and messenger RNAs from patient blood and brain tissue that were significantly associated with each subtype to identify signatures that are similarly over- or under-represented for an outcome and more likely to represent endophenotypes with common molecular aetiology. These target microRNAs and messenger RNAs were further characterized by pathway analysis to assess their functional role in epilepsy. Using blood-derived microRNA and messenger RNA expression levels, we identified two subtypes of epilepsy that were significantly associated with seizure recurrence (clusters A1 and B4) (adjusted P < 0.20). A total of 551 microRNAs and 2486 messenger RNAs were associated with clusters A1 and B4, respectively (adjusted P < 0.05). Clustering of brain-tissue messenger RNA expression levels revealed an additional subtype (C2) associated with seizure recurrence that had high overlap of dysregulated messenger RNA transcripts with cluster B4. Clusters A1, B4 and C2 also shared significant overlap of subjects, which altogether suggests a coordinated mechanism by which microRNA and messenger RNA transcripts may be related to seizure recurrence. Epileptic subtypes A1, B4 and C2 reveal both known and novel microRNA and messenger RNA targets in seizure recurrence. Furthermore, targets identified in A1 and B4 are quantifiable in pre-operative blood samples and could potentially serve as biomarkers for surgical resection outcomes.

Predictive models for starting antiseizure medication withdrawal following epilepsy surgery in adults.

More than half of adults with epilepsy undergoing resective epilepsy surgery achieve long-term seizure freedom and might consider withdrawing antiseizure medications. We aimed to identify predictors of seizure recurrence after starting postoperative antiseizure medication withdrawal and develop and validate predictive models. We performed an international multicentre observational cohort study in nine tertiary epilepsy referral centres. We included 850 adults who started antiseizure medication withdrawal following resective epilepsy surgery and were free of seizures other than focal non-motor aware seizures before starting antiseizure medication withdrawal. We developed a model predicting recurrent seizures, other than focal non-motor aware seizures, using Cox proportional hazards regression in a derivation cohort (n = 231). Independent predictors of seizure recurrence, other than focal non-motor aware seizures, following the start of antiseizure medication withdrawal were focal non-motor aware seizures after surgery and before withdrawal [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 5.5, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.7-11.1], history of focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures before surgery (aHR 1.6, 95% CI 0.9-2.8), time from surgery to the start of antiseizure medication withdrawal (aHR 0.9, 95% CI 0.8-0.9) and number of antiseizure medications at time of surgery (aHR 1.2, 95% CI 0.9-1.6). Model discrimination showed a concordance statistic of 0.67 (95% CI 0.63-0.71) in the external validation cohorts (n = 500). A secondary model predicting recurrence of any seizures (including focal non-motor aware seizures) was developed and validated in a subgroup that did not have focal non-motor aware seizures before withdrawal (n = 639), showing a concordance statistic of 0.68 (95% CI 0.64-0.72). Calibration plots indicated high agreement of predicted and observed outcomes for both models. We show that simple algorithms, available as graphical nomograms and online tools (predictepilepsy.github.io), can provide probabilities of seizure outcomes after starting postoperative antiseizure medication withdrawal. These multicentre-validated models may assist clinicians when discussing antiseizure medication withdrawal after surgery with their patients.

Beyond seizure freedom: Dissecting long-term seizure control after surgical resection for drug-resistant epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to better understand the long-term palliative and disease-modifying effects of surgical resection beyond seizure freedom, including frequency reduction and both late recurrence and remission, in patients with drug-resistant epilepsy. METHODS: This retrospective database-driven cohort study included all patients with >9 years of follow-up at a single high-volume epilepsy center. We included patients who underwent lobectomy, multilobar resection, or lesionectomies for drug-resistant epilepsy; we excluded patients who underwent hemispherectomies. Our main outcomes were (1) reduction in frequency of disabling seizures (at 6 months, each year up to 9 years postoperatively, and at last follow-up), (2) achievement of seizure remission (>6 months, >1 year, and longest duration), and (3) seizure freedom at last follow-up. RESULTS: We included 251 patients; 234 (93.2%) achieved 6 months and 232 (92.4%) experienced 1 year of seizure freedom. Of these, the average period of seizure freedom was 10.3 years. A total of 182 (72.5%) patients were seizure-free at last follow-up (defined as >1 year without seizures), with a median 11.9 years since remission. For patients not completely seizure-free, the mean seizure frequency reduction at each time point was 76.2%, and ranged from 66.6% to 85.0%. Patients decreased their number of antiseizure medications on average by .58, and 53 (21.2%) patients were on no antiseizure medication at last follow-up. Nearly half (47.1%) of those seizure-free at last follow-up were not seizure-free immediately postoperatively. SIGNIFICANCE: Patients who continue to have seizures after resection often have considerable reductions in seizure frequency, and many are able to achieve seizure freedom in a delayed manner.

Genetic and molecular features of seizure-freedom following surgical resections for focal epilepsy: A pilot study.

Objective: Seizure outcomes after brain surgery for drug-resistant epilepsy (DRE) are very heterogeneous and difficult to predict with models utilizing the current clinical, imaging, and electrophysiological variables. In this pilot study, we investigated whether genetic and molecular biomarkers (e.g., genomic, transcriptomic) can provide additional insight into differential response to surgery. Methods: Post-operative seizure-outcomes were collected at last follow-up (>6 months) for 201 adult patients with DRE who underwent surgery between 2004 and 2020. Resected tissue was sent for miRNA sequencing (n = 132) and mRNA sequencing (n = 135). Following the selection of 10 genes (SCN1A, NBEA, PTEN, GABRA1, LGL1, DEPDC5, IL1A, ABCB1, C3, CALHM1), we investigated SNPs in those 10 genes from previously acquired exome sequencing data (n = 106). Logistic regression was performed to test for associations between individual features (mRNAs, miRNAs, and SNPs) and post-operative seizure-outcome with an exploratory FDR P < 0.25 as the threshold for significance. Post-operative time-to-seizure analyses were performed for each SNP using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: The majority of patients (83%) had temporal lobe epilepsy. Mean age at surgery was 38.3 years, and 56% were female. Three SNPs (rs10276036, rs11975994, rs1128503) in multi-drug resistance gene, ABCB1, were associated with post-operative seizure outcomes. Patients with alternate alleles in ABCB1 were more likely to be seizure-free at last follow-up (52-56% reduction in seizure recurrence; FDR P = 0.24). All three SNPs were in linkage disequilibrium and highly correlated with each other. Median post-operative time-to-seizure was 63 months for patients with 2 alternate alleles, 24-33 months with 1 alternate allele, and 10-11 months with 0 alternate alleles. These SNPs improved outcome prediction beyond MRI and sex alone. No independent miRNAs or mRNAs were significantly associated with seizure-outcome (P > 0.05). However, pathway analysis identified "cancer drug resistance by drug efflux" (mir-154 and mir-379) as enriched (P = 0.02), supporting the role of drug response genes in post-operative seizure recurrence. Significance: ABCB1 may have a role in epileptogenesis and surgery outcomes independent of its drug efflux activity necessitating further investigation. SNPs in ABCB1 may serve as independent predictors of post-operative outcome.

Seizure Outcomes and Reoperation in Surgical Rasmussen Encephalitis Patients.

BACKGROUND: Rasmussen encephalitis (RE) is a rare inflammatory disease affecting one hemisphere, causing progressive neurological deficits and intractable seizures. OBJECTIVE: To report long-term seizure outcomes, reoperations, and functional outcomes in patients with RE who underwent hemispherectomy at our institution. METHODS: Retrospective review was performed for all patients with RE who had surgery between 1998 and 2020. We collected seizure history, postoperative outcomes, and functional data. Imaging was independently reviewed in a blinded fashion by 2 neurosurgeons and a neuroradiologist. RESULTS: We analyzed 30 patients with RE who underwent 35 hemispherectomies (5 reoperations). Using Kaplan-Meier analysis, seizure-freedom rate was 81.5%, 63.6%, and 55.6% at 1, 5, and 10 years after surgery, respectively. Patients with shorter duration of hemiparesis preoperatively were less likely to be seizure-free at follow-up (P = .011) and more likely to undergo reoperation (P = .004). Shorter duration of epilepsy (P = .026) and preoperative bilateral MRI abnormalities (P = .011) were associated with increased risk of reoperation. Complete disconnection of diseased hemisphere on postoperative MRI after the first operation improved seizure-freedom (P = .021) and resulted in fewer reoperations (P = .034), and reoperation resulted in seizure freedom in every case. CONCLUSION: Obtaining complete disconnection is critical for favorable seizure outcomes from hemispherectomy, and neurosurgeons should have a low threshold to reoperate in patients with RE with recurrent seizures. Rapid progression of motor deficits and bilateral MRI abnormalities may indicate a subpopulation of patients with RE with increased risk of needing reoperation. Overall, we believe that hemispherectomy is a curative surgery for the majority of patients with RE, with excellent long-term seizure outcome.

Quantitative analysis of visually reviewed normal scalp EEG predicts seizure freedom following anterior temporal lobectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Anterior temporal lobectomy (ATL) is a widely performed and successful intervention for drug-resistant temporal lobe epilepsy (TLE). However, up to one third of patients experience seizure recurrence within 1 year after ATL. Despite the extensive literature on presurgical electroencephalography (EEG) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) abnormalities to prognosticate seizure freedom following ATL, the value of quantitative analysis of visually reviewed normal interictal EEG in such prognostication remains unclear. In this retrospective multicenter study, we investigate whether machine learning analysis of normal interictal scalp EEG studies can inform the prediction of postoperative seizure freedom outcomes in patients who have undergone ATL. METHODS: We analyzed normal presurgical scalp EEG recordings from 41 Mayo Clinic (MC) and 23 Cleveland Clinic (CC) patients. We used an unbiased automated algorithm to extract eyes closed awake epochs from scalp EEG studies that were free of any epileptiform activity and then extracted spectral EEG features representing (a) spectral power and (b) interhemispheric spectral coherence in frequencies between 1 and 25 Hz across several brain regions. We analyzed the differences between the seizure-free and non-seizure-free patients and employed a Naïve Bayes classifier using multiple spectral features to predict surgery outcomes. We trained the classifier using a leave-one-patient-out cross-validation scheme within the MC data set and then tested using the out-of-sample CC data set. Finally, we compared the predictive performance of normal scalp EEG-derived features against MRI abnormalities. RESULTS: We found that several spectral power and coherence features showed significant differences correlated with surgical outcomes and that they were most pronounced in the 10-25 Hz range. The Naïve Bayes classification based on those features predicted 1-year seizure freedom following ATL with area under the curve (AUC) values of 0.78 and 0.76 for the MC and CC data sets, respectively. Subsequent analyses revealed that (a) interhemispheric spectral coherence features in the 10-25 Hz range provided better predictability than other combinations and (b) normal scalp EEG-derived features provided superior and potentially distinct predictive value when compared with MRI abnormalities (>10% higher F1 score). SIGNIFICANCE: These results support that quantitative analysis of even a normal presurgical scalp EEG may help prognosticate seizure freedom following ATL in patients with drug-resistant TLE. Although the mechanism for this result is not known, the scalp EEG spectral and coherence properties predicting seizure freedom may represent activity arising from the neocortex or the networks responsible for temporal lobe seizure generation within vs outside the margins of an ATL.

Incidence and prevalence of major epilepsy-associated brain lesions.

Epilepsy surgery is an effective treatment option for drug-resistant focal epilepsy patients with associated structural brain lesions. However, little epidemiological data are available regarding the number of patients with these lesions. We reviewed data regarding (1) the prevalence and incidence of epilepsy; (2) the proportion of epilepsy patients with focal epilepsy, drug-resistant epilepsy, and drug-resistant focal epilepsies; and (3) the number of epilepsy presurgical evaluations and surgical resections. We also assessed the relative proportion of brain lesions using post-surgical histopathological findings from 541 surgical patients from the Cleveland Clinic and 9,523 patients from a European multi-center cohort. Data were combined to generate surgical candidate incidence and prevalence estimates and the first lesion-specific estimates for hippocampal sclerosis (HS), low-grade epilepsy-associated brain tumors (LEAT), malformations of cortical development (MCD), glial scars, vascular malformations, and encephalitis. The most frequently diagnosed brain lesions were HS (incidence = 2.32 ± 0.26 in 100,000, prevalence = 19.40 ± 2.16 in 100,000) for adults and MCD (incidence = 1.15 ± 0.34 in 100,000, prevalence = 6.52 ± 1.89 in 100,000) for children. Our estimates can guide patient advocacy groups, clinicians, researchers, policymakers in education, development of health care strategy, resource allocation, and reimbursement schedules.

Improving the prediction of epilepsy surgery outcomes using basic scalp EEG findings.

OBJECTIVE: This study aims to evaluate the role of scalp electroencephalography (EEG; ictal and interictal patterns) in predicting resective epilepsy surgery outcomes. We use the data to further develop a nomogram to predict seizure freedom. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the scalp EEG findings and clinical data of patients who underwent surgical resection at three epilepsy centers. Using both EEG and clinical variables categorized into 13 isolated candidate predictors and 6 interaction terms, we built a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to predict seizure freedom 2 years after surgery. Harrell's step-down procedure was used to sequentially eliminate the least-informative variables from the model until the change in the concordance index (c-index) with variable removal was less than 0.01. We created a separate model using only clinical variables. Discrimination of the two models was compared to evaluate the role of scalp EEG in seizure-freedom prediction. RESULTS: Four hundred seventy patient records were analyzed. Following internal validation, the full Clinical + EEG model achieved an optimism-corrected c-index of 0.65, whereas the c-index of the model without EEG data was 0.59. The presence of focal to bilateral tonic-clonic seizures (FBTCS), high preoperative seizure frequency, absence of hippocampal sclerosis, and presence of nonlocalizable seizures predicted worse outcome. The presence of FBTCS had the largest impact for predicting outcome. The analysis of the models' interactions showed that in patients with unilateral interictal epileptiform discharges (IEDs), temporal lobe surgery cases had a better outcome. In cases with bilateral IEDs, abnormal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) predicted worse outcomes, and in cases without IEDs, patients with extratemporal epilepsy and abnormal MRI had better outcomes. SIGNIFICANCE: This study highlights the value of scalp EEG, particularly the significance of IEDs, in predicting surgical outcome. The nomogram delivers an individualized prediction of postoperative outcome, and provides a unique assessment of the relationship between the outcome and preoperative findings.

Incorporation of quantitative MRI in a model to predict temporal lobe epilepsy surgery outcome.

Quantitative volumetric brain MRI measurement is important in research applications, but translating it into patient care is challenging. We explore the incorporation of clinical automated quantitative MRI measurements in statistical models predicting outcomes of surgery for temporal lobe epilepsy. Four hundred and thirty-five patients with drug-resistant epilepsy who underwent temporal lobe surgery at Cleveland Clinic, Mayo Clinic and University of Campinas were studied. We obtained volumetric measurements from the pre-operative T1-weighted MRI using NeuroQuant, a Food and Drug Administration approved software package. We created sets of statistical models to predict the probability of complete seizure-freedom or an Engel score of I at the last follow-up. The cohort was randomly split into training and testing sets, with a ratio of 7:3. Model discrimination was assessed using the concordance statistic (C-statistic). We compared four sets of models and selected the one with the highest concordance index. Volumetric differences in pre-surgical MRI located predominantly in the frontocentral and temporal regions were associated with poorer outcomes. The addition of volumetric measurements to the model with clinical variables alone increased the model's C-statistic from 0.58 to 0.70 (right-sided surgery) and from 0.61 to 0.66 (left-sided surgery) for complete seizure freedom and from 0.62 to 0.67 (right-sided surgery) and from 0.68 to 0.73 (left-sided surgery) for an Engel I outcome score. 57% of patients with extra-temporal abnormalities were seizure-free at last follow-up, compared to 68% of those with no such abnormalities (P-value = 0.02). Adding quantitative MRI data increases the performance of a model developed to predict post-operative seizure outcomes. The distribution of the regions of interest included in the final model supports the notion that focal epilepsies are network disorders and that subtle cortical volume loss outside the surgical site influences seizure outcome.

Automated analysis of cortical volume loss predicts seizure outcomes after frontal lobectomy.

OBJECTIVE: Patients undergoing frontal lobectomy demonstrate lower seizure-freedom rates than patients undergoing temporal lobectomy and several other resective interventions. We attempted to utilize automated preoperative quantitative analysis of focal and global cortical volume loss to develop predictive volumetric indicators of seizure outcome after frontal lobectomy. METHODS: Ninety patients who underwent frontal lobectomy were stratified based on seizure freedom at a mean follow-up time of 3.5 (standard deviation [SD] 2.5) years. Automated quantitative analysis of cortical volume loss organized by distinct brain region and laterality was performed on preoperative T1-weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) studies. Univariate statistical analysis was used to select potential predictors of seizure freedom. Backward variable selection and multivariate logistical regression were used to develop models to predict seizure freedom. RESULTS: Forty-eight of 90 (53.3%) patients were seizure-free at the last follow-up. Several frontal and extrafrontal brain regions demonstrated statistically significant differences in both volumetric cortical volume loss and volumetric asymmetry between the left and right sides in the seizure-free and non-seizure-free cohorts. A final multivariate logistic model utilizing only preoperative quantitative MRI data to predict seizure outcome was developed with a c-statistic of 0.846. Using both preoperative quantitative MRI data and previously validated clinical predictors of seizure outcomes, we developed a model with a c-statistic of 0.897. SIGNIFICANCE: This study demonstrates that preoperative cortical volume loss in both frontal and extrafrontal regions can be predictive of seizure outcome after frontal lobectomy, and models can be developed with excellent predictive capabilities using preoperative MRI data. Automated quantitative MRI analysis can be quickly and reliably performed in patients with frontal lobe epilepsy, and further studies may be developed for integration into preoperative risk stratification.

Outcomes of resections that spare vs remove an MRI-normal hippocampus.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize seizure and cognitive outcomes of sparing vs removing an magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-normal hippocampus in patients with temporal lobe epilepsy. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, we reviewed clinical, imaging, surgical, and histopathological data on 152 individuals with temporal lobe epilepsy and nonlesional hippocampi categorized into hippocampus-spared (n = 74) or hippocampus-resected (n = 78). Extra-hippocampal lesions were allowed. Pre- and postoperative cognitive data were available on 86 patients. Predictors of seizure and cognitive outcomes were identified using Cox-proportional hazard modeling followed by treatment-specific model reduction according to Akaike information criterion, and built into an online risk calculator. RESULTS: Seizures recurred in 40% within one postoperative year, and in 63% within six postoperative years. Male gender (P = .03), longer epilepsy duration (P < .01), normal MRI (P = .04), invasive evaluation (P = .02), and acute postoperative seizures (P < .01) were associated with a higher risk of recurrence. We found no significant difference in postoperative seizure freedom rates at 5 years between those whose hippocampus was spared and those whose hippocampus was resected (P = .17). Seizure outcome models built with pre- and postoperative data had bootstrap validated concordance indices of 0.65 and 0.72. The dominant hippocampus-spared group had lower rates of decline in verbal memory (39% vs 70%; P = .03) and naming (41% vs 79%; P = .01) compared to the hippocampus-resected group. Partial hippocampus sparing had the same risk of verbal memory decline as for complete removal. SIGNIFICANCE: Sparing or removing an MRI-normal hippocampus yielded similar long-term seizure outcome. A more conservative approach, sparing the hippocampus, only partially shields patients from postoperative cognitive deficits. Risk calculators are provided to facilitate clinical counseling.