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1.
Open Forum Infect Dis ; 11(6): ofae267, 2024 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38835497

RESUMEN

Background: The number of patients with skin and soft tissue infections (SSTIs) in the United States appeared to be increasing well into the 21st century. However, no recent data have confirmed this trend. Methods: This retrospective, observational cohort study used claims data over 11 years (2010-2020) from Optum's de-identified Clinformatics Data Mart Database. SSTI episodes, complications, and comorbidities were identified using International Classification of Diseases codes. Annual SSTI incidence rates, proportions of recurrent SSTI, SSTI-associated deaths, and total costs were estimated. Results: During the study period, 5.4 million patients experienced 9.1 million SSTI episodes, with an incidence of 77.5 (95% confidence interval, 77.4-77.5) per 1000 person-years of observation (PYO). Annual incidence did not change significantly over time. Overall incidence (per 1000 PYO) of SSTI episodes in patients without comorbidities was 32.1 (highest incidence was for previous SSTI [113.5]) versus much higher rates if comorbidities were present. Incidence rates (per 1000 PYO) of chronic ulcers increased over time from 11.3 to 18.2 (P < .0001) and complicated disease from 3.5 to 6.3 (P < .0001). Deaths occurring within 30 days post-SSTI hospitalization rose from 2.6% to 4.6% in 2020. Recurrences occurred in 26.3% of index cases. The mean cost of an SSTI episode was US$3334 (median US$190) and was highest for surgical site infections and chronic ulcers. Conclusions: The epidemiology of SSTI in the United States is changing and the disease burden is increasing despite stabilization in overall incidence. These data can inform identification of priority populations who could benefit from targeted interventions.

2.
Clin Microbiol Infect ; 30 Suppl 1: S14-S25, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37802750

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance is a global threat, which requires novel intervention strategies, for which priority pathogens and settings need to be determined. OBJECTIVES: We evaluated pathogen-specific excess health burden of drug-resistant bloodstream infections (BSIs) in Europe. METHODS: A systematic review and meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE, Embase, and grey literature for the period January 1990 to May 2022. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Studies that reported burden data for six key drug-resistant pathogens: carbapenem-resistant (CR) Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Acinetobacter baumannii, third-generation cephalosporin or CR Escherichia coli and Klebsiella pneumoniae, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) and vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium. Excess health outcomes compared with drug-susceptible BSIs or uninfected patients. For MRSA and third-generation cephalosporin E. coli and K. pneumoniae BSIs, five or more European studies were identified. For all others, the search was extended to high-income countries. PARTICIPANTS: Paediatric and adult patients diagnosed with drug-resistant BSI. INTERVENTIONS: Not applicable. ASSESSMENT OF RISK OF BIAS: An adapted version of the Joanna-Briggs Institute assessment tool. METHODS OF DATA SYNTHESIS: Random-effect models were used to pool pathogen-specific burden estimates. RESULTS: We screened 7154 titles, 1078 full-texts and found 56 studies on BSIs. Most studies compared outcomes of drug-resistant to drug-susceptible BSIs (46/56, 82.1%), and reported mortality (55/56 studies, 98.6%). The pooled crude estimate for excess all-cause mortality of drug-resistant versus drug-susceptible BSIs ranged from OR 1.31 (95% CI 1.03-1.68) for CR P. aeruginosa to OR 3.44 (95% CI 1.62-7.32) for CR K. pneumoniae. Pooled crude estimates comparing mortality to uninfected patients were available for vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus and MRSA BSIs (OR of 11.19 [95% CI 6.92-18.09] and OR 6.18 [95% CI 2.10-18.17], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Drug-resistant BSIs are associated with increased mortality, with the magnitude of the effect influenced by pathogen type and comparator. Future research should address crucial knowledge gaps in pathogen- and infection-specific burdens to guide development of novel interventions.


Asunto(s)
Bacteriemia , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente a Meticilina , Sepsis , Adulto , Humanos , Niño , Bacteriemia/tratamiento farmacológico , Bacteriemia/epidemiología , Bacteriemia/microbiología , Escherichia coli , Vancomicina/farmacología , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Europa (Continente)/epidemiología , Sepsis/tratamiento farmacológico , Cefalosporinas/farmacología , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana
4.
Clin Microbiol Infect ; 30 Suppl 1: S26-S36, 2024 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38128781

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Quantifying the resource use and cost of antimicrobial resistance establishes the magnitude of the problem and drives action. OBJECTIVES: Assessment of resource use and cost associated with infections with six key drug-resistant pathogens in Europe. METHODS: A systematic review and Bayesian meta-analysis. DATA SOURCES: MEDLINE (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), Econlit databases, and grey literature for the period 1 January 1990, to 21 June 2022. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: Resource use and cost outcomes (including excess length of stay, overall costs, and other excess in or outpatient costs) were compared between patients with defined antibiotic-resistant infections caused by carbapenem-resistant (CR) Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Acinetobacter baumannii, CR or third-generation cephalosporin Escherichia coli (3GCREC) and Klebsiella pneumoniae, methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus, and vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium, and patients with drug-susceptible or no infection. PARTICIPANTS: All patients diagnosed with drug-resistant bloodstream infections (BSIs). INTERVENTIONS: NA. ASSESSMENT OF RISK OF BIAS: An adapted version of the Joanna Briggs Institute assessment tool, incorporating case-control, cohort, and economic assessment frameworks. METHODS OF DATA SYNTHESIS: Hierarchical Bayesian meta-analyses were used to assess pathogen-specific resource use estimates. RESULTS: Of 5969 screened publications, 37 were included in the review. Data were sparse and heterogeneous. Most studies estimated the attributable burden by, comparing resistant and susceptible pathogens (32/37). Four studies analysed the excess cost of hospitalization attributable to 3GCREC BSIs, ranging from -€ 2465.50 to € 6402.81. Eight studies presented adjusted excess length of hospital stay estimates for methicillin-resistant S. aureus and 3GCREC BSIs (4 each) allowing for Bayesian hierarchical analysis, estimating means of 1.26 (95% credible interval [CrI], -0.72 to 4.17) and 1.78 (95% CrI, -0.02 to 3.38) days, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Evidence on most cost and resource use outcomes and across most pathogen-resistance combinations was severely lacking. Given the importance of this evidence for rational policymaking, further research is urgently needed.


Asunto(s)
Antiinfecciosos , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente a Meticilina , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Antibacterianos/farmacología , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Escherichia coli , Pseudomonas aeruginosa , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana
5.
Infect Dis Ther ; 11(6): 2177-2203, 2022 Dec.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36242742

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Guidelines have improved the management of prosthetic joint infections (PJI). However, it is necessary to reassess the incidence and risk factors for treatment failure (TF) of Staphylococcus aureus PJI (SA-PJI) including functional loss, which has so far been neglected as an outcome. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of SA-PJI was performed in 19 European hospitals between 2014 and 2016. The outcome variable was TF, including related mortality, clinical failure and functional loss both after the initial surgical procedure and after all procedures at 18 months. Predictors of TF were identified by logistic regression. Landmark analysis was used to avoid immortal time bias with rifampicin when debridement, antibiotics and implant retention (DAIR) was performed. RESULTS: One hundred twenty cases of SA-PJI were included. TF rates after the first and all surgical procedures performed were 32.8% and 24.2%, respectively. After all procedures, functional loss was 6.0% for DAIR and 17.2% for prosthesis removal. Variables independently associated with TF for the first procedure were Charlson ≥ 2, haemoglobin < 10 g/dL, bacteraemia, polymicrobial infection and additional debridement(s). For DAIR, TF was also associated with a body mass index (BMI) > 30 kg/m2 and delay of DAIR, while rifampicin use was protective. For all procedures, the variables associated with TF were haemoglobin < 10 g/dL, hip fracture and additional joint surgery not related to persistent infection. CONCLUSIONS: TF remains common in SA-PJI. Functional loss accounted for a substantial proportion of treatment failures, particularly after prosthesis removal. Use of rifampicin after DAIR was associated with a protective effect. Among the risk factors identified, anaemia and obesity have not frequently been reported in previous studies. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study is registered at clinicaltrials.gov, registration no. NCT03826108.


Staphylococcus aureus is one of the most virulent bacteria and frequently causes prosthetic joint infections.Knowledge of the treatment of this type of infection has advanced in recent years, and treatment guidelines have led to improved management. Typically, the successful treatment of these infections has been determined by clinical cure, that is, the symptoms of infection have disappeared, but has not taken into account loss of function (such as significant difficulties walking), which is critical for the patient's quality of life. Our aim in this study was to evaluate the success of current management strategies for S. aureus prosthetic joint infection, including recovery of functionality, and the factors that predict why some of these infections are not cured, to identify areas for improvement.In a multinational cohort of 128 patients with S. aureus prosthetic joint infection, rates of treatment failure were found to be high, with significant rates of loss of function, especially when the prosthesis needed to be removed. Loss of function was less frequent when the infection was initially treated with surgical cleaning without removal of the prosthesis, even when this procedure failed at first. We found that anaemia and obesity were associated with lower treatment success, and that the probability of treatment success increased when surgical cleaning without prosthesis removal was performed early, and when the antibiotic rifampicin was used in combination with another antibiotic.

7.
Clin Microbiol Infect ; 28(10): 1359-1366, 2022 Oct.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35597508

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVES: We aim to identify the preoperative and perioperative risk factors associated with post-surgical Staphylococcus aureus prosthetic joint infections (PJI) and to develop and validate risk-scoring systems, to allow a better identification of high-risk patients for more efficient targeted interventions. METHODS: We performed a multicenter matched case-control study of patients who underwent a primary hip and knee arthroplasty from 2014 to 2016. Two multivariable models by logistic regression were performed, one for the preoperative and one for perioperative variables; predictive scores also were developed and validated in an external cohort. RESULTS: In total, 130 cases and 386 controls were included. The variables independently associated with S. aureus-PJI in the preoperative period were (adjusted OR; 95% CI): body mass index >30 kg/m2 (3.0; 1.9 to 4.8), resident in a long-term care facility (2.8; 1.05 to 7.5), fracture as reason for arthroplasty (2.7; 1.4 to 5.03), skin disorders (2.5; 0.9 to 7.04), previous surgery in the index joint (2.4; 1.3 to 4.4), male sex (1.9; 1.2 to 2.9) and American Society of Anesthesiologists index score 3 to 4 (1.8; 1.2 to 2.9). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.73 (95% CI 0.68 to 0.78). In perioperative model, the risk factors were the previous ones plus surgical antibiotic prophylaxis administered out of the first 60 minutes before incision (5.9; 2.1 to 16.2), wound drainage for >72 hours after arthroplasty (4.5; 1.9 to 19.4) and use of metal bearing material versus ceramic (1.9; 1.1 to 3.3). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.78 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.83). The predictive scores developed were validated in the external cohort. DISCUSSION: Predictive scores for S. aureus-PJI were developed and validated; this information would be useful for implementation of specific preventive measures.


Asunto(s)
Artritis Infecciosa , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Cadera , Infecciones Relacionadas con Prótesis , Infecciones Estafilocócicas , Artritis Infecciosa/etiología , Artroplastia de Reemplazo de Cadera/efectos adversos , Estudios de Casos y Controles , Humanos , Masculino , Infecciones Relacionadas con Prótesis/microbiología , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Infecciones Estafilocócicas/complicaciones , Staphylococcus aureus
9.
Infect Dis Ther ; 11(2): 757-770, 2022 Apr.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35118580

RESUMEN

INTRODUCTION: Shigellosis is a major health concern among children < 5 years of age from developing countries, and there are no widely available vaccines to prevent it. The GMMA-based 1790GAHB investigational vaccine against Shigella sonnei was well tolerated and immunogenic in phase 1 and 2 studies conducted in healthy adults from Shigella endemic and non-endemic populations. Based on pooled data of five individual trials, we assessed the association between vaccine administration and the risk of neutropenia as well as the overall safety profile of 1790GAHB. METHODS: The risk ratio (RR) of neutropenia was evaluated between participants receiving 1790GAHB (vaccinees) and active comparator/placebo (controls) using different ethnicity-specific absolute neutrophil count (ANC) thresholds established to define neutropenia. Safety was assessed in terms of solicited, unsolicited, and serious adverse events (AEs). RESULTS: Of the 279 participants, 11 (5.5%) vaccinees and 4 (5.0%) controls had ANC below the appropriate threshold within 7 days post-vaccination. RR was 0.96 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54-1.70]. When neutrophil counts of participants of African descent were measured against an ethnicity non-specific threshold, they resulted in neutropenia episodes in 30 (37.0%) vaccinees and 16 (30.2%) controls, while only 2 (2.5%) vaccinees and 1 (1.9%) control had neutropenia when the ethnicity-specific threshold was applied. RRs were 0.98 (95% CI 0.75-1.28) and 1.30 (95% CI 0.1-17.6), respectively. Solicited and unsolicited AEs were slightly more frequent among vaccinees than controls. No serious AEs, other than neutropenia cases, were recorded in the vaccine group. CONCLUSION: By applying the appropriate threshold, no increased risk of neutropenia was identified in vaccinees compared with the controls. The frequency of neutropenia events varied drastically when ethnicity-appropriate thresholds were applied. This observation highlights the importance of selecting appropriate cut-off values according to the correct population reference. Overall, the 1790GAHB vaccine demonstrated an acceptable safety profile.

10.
Drugs R D ; 22(1): 1-8, 2022 Mar.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34921644

RESUMEN

Hematological and clinical chemistry measurements are an integral part of vaccine safety monitoring. While adopting a conservative approach is important to exclude potential risks for patients, the rationale and methodology underlying the assessment of given adverse events have to be well grounded to avoid raising unfounded concerns. Using asymptomatic transient neutropenia as an example, this paper aims to address the complexity of interpreting abnormal hematological values in vaccine clinical trials and to evaluate the validity of using neutrophil count cut-off points to assess neutropenia in the context of safety monitoring. The validity of the neutrophil count cut-off point methodology was assessed in terms of content validity (i.e., the extent to which a single neutrophil count below the cut-off point corresponds to a clinically significant adverse event), criterion validity (i.e., the extent to which a neutrophil count below a given cut-off point correlates with another manifestation of neutropenia, namely bacteremia), and construct validity (i.e., the exactness of the assumption that a neutrophil count below a given cut-off point corresponds to a reactogenic event caused by the vaccination). We argue that, because of within-individual physiological fluctuations, variations according to population demographics, and poor predictive potential with regard to neutropenia-associated infection, the application of the cut-off point methodology to neutropenia safety monitoring presents major limitations. Based on this assessment, we conclude that hematological laboratory values must be evaluated on a case-by-case basis by investigators to determine their clinical significance.


Asunto(s)
Neutropenia , Vacunas , Humanos , Laboratorios , Neutropenia/inducido químicamente , Neutropenia/complicaciones , Neutrófilos , Vacunas/efectos adversos
11.
Clin Infect Dis ; 73(5): e1045-e1053, 2021 09 07.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33197926

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: Staphylococcus aureus skin and soft tissue infections (SA-SSTIs) are common in healthcare and community settings, and recurrences occur at variable frequency, even after successful initial treatment. Knowing the exact burden and timing of recurrent disease is critical to planning and evaluating interventions to prevent recurrent SSTIs. METHODS: In this retrospective study, SSTI cases in patients aged ≥18 years at 3 US medical centers (Columbia, Chicago, Vanderbilt) between 2006 and 2016 were analyzed according to a biennial cohort design. Index SSTIs (with or without key comorbidities), either microbiologically confirmed to be SA-SSTI or not microbiologically tested (NMT-SSTI), were recorded within 1 calendar year and followed up for 12 months for recurrent infections. The number of index cases, proportion of index cases with ≥1 recurrence(s), time to first recurrence, and number of recurrences were collected for both SA-SSTI and NMT-SSTI events. RESULTS: In the most recent cohorts, 4755 SSTI cases were reported at Columbia, 2873 at Chicago, and 6433 at Vanderbilt. Of these, 452, 153, and 354 cases were confirmed to be due to S. aureus. Most cases were reported in patients without key comorbidities. Across centers, 16.4%-19.0% (SA-SSTI) and 11.0%-19.2% (NMT-SSTI) of index cases had ≥1 recurrence(s). In patients without key comorbidities, more than 60% of index SSTIs with recurrences had only 1 recurrence, half of which occurred in the first 3 months following primary infection. CONCLUSIONS: SA-SSTI recurrences are common among healthy adults and occur in at least 1 in 6 individuals during the 1 year following the primary event.


Asunto(s)
Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas , Staphylococcus aureus Resistente a Meticilina , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos , Infecciones Cutáneas Estafilocócicas , Adolescente , Adulto , Antibacterianos/uso terapéutico , Infecciones Comunitarias Adquiridas/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Pacientes Ambulatorios , Recurrencia , Estudios Retrospectivos , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones de los Tejidos Blandos/epidemiología , Infecciones Cutáneas Estafilocócicas/tratamiento farmacológico , Infecciones Cutáneas Estafilocócicas/epidemiología , Staphylococcus aureus
12.
Tuberculosis (Edinb) ; 110: 112-120, 2018 05.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29779766

RESUMEN

In countries with a low incidence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB), universal testing with GeneXpert might not be always cost-effective. This study provides hospital managers in low MDR-TB incidence countries with criteria on when decentralised universal GeneXpert testing would make sense. The alternatives taken into consideration include: universal microbiological culture and drug susceptibility testing (DST) only (comparator); as above but with concurrent centralized GeneXpert in a referral laboratory vs a decentralized GeneXpert system in every hospital to test smear-positive cases only; as above but testing all samples with GeneXpert regardless of smear status. The parameters were from the national TB statistics for England and from a systematic review. Decentralised GeneXpert to test any suspected TB case was the most cost-effective option when 6% or more TB patients belonged to the high-risk group, defined as previous TB diagnosis and or being born in countries with a high MDR-TB incidence. Hospital managers in England and other low MDR-TB incidence countries could use these findings to decide when to invest in GeneXpert or other molecular diagnostics with similar performance criteria for TB diagnostics.


Asunto(s)
Tuberculosis Resistente a Múltiples Medicamentos/diagnóstico , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/diagnóstico , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Países Desarrollados , Farmacorresistencia Bacteriana Múltiple , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana/economía , Pruebas de Sensibilidad Microbiana/métodos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/efectos de los fármacos , Mycobacterium tuberculosis/genética , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Medición de Riesgo/métodos , Sensibilidad y Especificidad , Tuberculosis Resistente a Múltiples Medicamentos/economía , Tuberculosis Resistente a Múltiples Medicamentos/microbiología , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/economía , Tuberculosis Pulmonar/microbiología , Reino Unido
13.
BMJ Qual Saf ; 26(6): 460-465, 2017 Jun.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27601687

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: The study aimed to identify thresholds for hospital bed utilisation which are independently associated with significantly higher risks for Clostridium difficile infections (CDI) in acute hospitals in England. METHOD: A retrospective analysis was carried out on reported data from the English National Health Service (NHS) for the financial year 2013/2014. Reported rates of CDI were used as a proxy for hospital infection rates in acute NHS hospital trusts. Multivariate linear regression was used to assess the relationship between bed utilisation values and CDI controlling for confounding factors. Hospitals were finally plotted in a Pabon Lasso graph according to their average bed occupancy rate (BOR) and bed turnover rate (BTR) per year to visualise the relationship between bed utilisation and CDI. RESULTS: Among English hospital NHS trusts, increasing BTR and decreasing BOR were associated with a decrease in CDI. However, this effect was not large, and patient mix had a larger impact on CDI rates than bed utilisation. CONCLUSIONS: While policymakers and managers wishing to target healthcare providers with high CDI rates should look at bed utilisation measures, focusing on these alone is unlikely to have the desired impact. Instead, strategies to combat CDI must take a wider perspective on contributory factors at the institutional level.


Asunto(s)
Ocupación de Camas/estadística & datos numéricos , Infecciones por Clostridium/epidemiología , Infección Hospitalaria/epidemiología , Medicina Estatal/estadística & datos numéricos , Inglaterra , Humanos , Modelos Lineales , Admisión y Programación de Personal/estadística & datos numéricos , Estudios Retrospectivos
14.
AIDS Care ; 23(9): 1146-53, 2011 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21562993

RESUMEN

BACKGROUND: There is paucity of information on the cost-effectiveness of delivery strategies to retain patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART) and this study tries to fill this gap. METHODS: The analysis is based on a representative sample of 2835 patients attending 32 ART sites in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN), South Africa. Extended Cox regression and Kaplan Meier were used to estimate the transition probabilities to remain on ART among patients who attended sites with different staff and workload profiles. Annual costs per patient-year of observation for these delivery profiles were estimated. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis took into account parameters' uncertainty. RESULTS: The delivery sites with a full-time doctor and a full-time senior professional nurse and an intake of less than 200 new patients per doctor per year were the most cost-effective in retaining patients on ART. If 1000 new patients were followed up by this type of site, 724 patients would still be on ART after 10 years at a discounted cost of US$8.41 million at 2006 value with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of US$12,271 per extra retained patient over the second not dominated site profile. CONCLUSIONS: The results could be used to estimate the human resources needed for a sustainable scaling up of ART in KZN.


Asunto(s)
Antirretrovirales/economía , Infecciones por VIH/economía , Costos de la Atención en Salud/estadística & datos numéricos , Personal de Salud/economía , Carga de Trabajo/economía , Antirretrovirales/uso terapéutico , Análisis Costo-Beneficio , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Cooperación del Paciente , Análisis de Regresión , Estudios Retrospectivos , Sudáfrica
15.
J Acquir Immune Defic Syndr ; 55(1): 109-16, 2010 Sep.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-20595904

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To analyze the critical factors favoring the retention of patients under antiretroviral therapy (ART) in KwaZulu-Natal (KZN), South Africa. DESIGN AND METHODS: This retrospective study was based on the review of a representative sample of patients who began ART between March 2004 and May 2006 in 32 public sector sites and were followed up to July 1, 2007. Extended Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify the factors which significantly influenced treatment retention during the first 2 years of treatment. Kaplan-Meyer provided the probabilities of remaining on ART if these factors were present. RESULTS: The 2835 sampled patients corresponded to about 10% of the universe of patients under ART in the 32 sites; 929 (33%) were males, and the median age of the sampled patients was 34 (interquartile range: 28-41). The analysis identified factors that significantly decreased the probability of remaining on ART. Patients' risk factors were initial CD4 <100 cells per microliter, lack of a telephone contact number, and being male. Sites' risk factors were the presence of a part time (PT) versus a full time (FT) senior professional nurse, a PT versus FT doctor, and intakes of 200 or more new patients per doctor per year. The probability of remaining on ART declined significantly for each increasing level of workload, but having a FT versus a PT doctor made a significant difference only for level of workload of 200 or more new patients per year. CONCLUSIONS: The analysis has identified the conditions influencing retention of ART patients in KZN. This has provided a method to estimate absorption capacity of the ART delivery sites, which is of added value for a sustainable expansion of the ART coverage.


Asunto(s)
Fármacos Anti-VIH/uso terapéutico , Terapia Antirretroviral Altamente Activa , Actitud del Personal de Salud , Infecciones por VIH/tratamiento farmacológico , Cumplimiento de la Medicación/estadística & datos numéricos , Adulto , Femenino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudios Retrospectivos , Factores de Riesgo , Sudáfrica
16.
Am J Respir Crit Care Med ; 181(1): 80-6, 2010 Jan 01.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19833824

RESUMEN

RATIONALE: The multidrug-resistant (MDR) and extensively drug-resistant (XDR) tuberculosis (TB) epidemics are rapidly expanding in South Africa. Our initial report of HIV-associated XDR TB in South Africa revealed rapid and near complete mortality. Lower mortality has been described in the literature, but few of these patients have been HIV coinfected. OBJECTIVES: To characterize mortality from MDR and XDR TB in a setting with high HIV-coinfection rates. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study among 654 MDR and XDR TB cases diagnosed in Tugela Ferry, South Africa, from 2005 to 2007. Demographics and HIV status were abstracted from available medical records. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Survival was determined from the date of sputum collection until October 2008 and correlated with year of diagnosis and drug-susceptibility test results. From 2005 to 2007, 272 MDR TB and 382 XDR TB cases were diagnosed; HIV-coinfection rates were 90 and 98%, respectively. One-year mortality was 71% for MDR and 83% for XDR TB patients; 40% of MDR TB and 51% of XDR TB cases died within 30 days of sputum collection. One-year mortality among both MDR and XDR TB patients improved from 2005 to 2007; however, the majority of deaths still occurred within the first 30 days. One-year and 30-day mortality rates were worse with greater degree of drug resistance (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Mortality from MDR and XDR TB in this high HIV-prevalence region is extraordinarily high, particularly within the first 30 days. Efforts to reduce mortality must focus on earlier diagnosis and early initiation of second-line TB and antiretroviral therapy.


Asunto(s)
Tuberculosis Extensivamente Resistente a Drogas/complicaciones , Infecciones por VIH/complicaciones , Adulto , Tuberculosis Extensivamente Resistente a Drogas/mortalidad , Femenino , Infecciones por VIH/mortalidad , Humanos , Estimación de Kaplan-Meier , Masculino , Sudáfrica/epidemiología
17.
Br J Nutr ; 94(5): 818-24, 2005 Nov.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-16277787

RESUMEN

Goitre has been declining in Italy since the 1970s and because active prophylaxis (AP) has been very limited, it has been suggested that in most places the decline was due to silent prophylaxis (SP). SP is related to the natural increase in iodine intake because of higher consumption of iodine-rich products associated with socioeconomic development. The hypothesis tested in the present study is that SP has increased iodine intake in Italy with subsequent reduction of goitre and that such changes can be quantified. The analysis is based on surveys carried out between the 1970s and the 1990s where goitre and urinary iodine, a proxy of consumption, were measured in schoolchildren. The contribution of the SP can be quantified in an annual increase in urinary iodine excretion between 2.1 and 4 microg/l, and an annual decline in goitre prevalence between 2.1 and 3.6 %. In the few areas with AP, there was an annual increase in urinary iodine between 6.5 and 13.1 microg/l, while the average annual decline of goitre was between 4.4 and 10 %. The present results could be used by policy-makers to predict the future trends in the excretion of urinary iodine and prevalence of goitre in Italy with and without AP. AP is about three times faster than SP in increasing iodine intake, but policy-makers should estimate the incremental cost-effectiveness of AP net of the iodine increase already occurring naturally with the SP.


Asunto(s)
Dieta , Bocio/epidemiología , Yodo/administración & dosificación , Adolescente , Niño , Encuestas sobre Dietas , Bocio/prevención & control , Humanos , Yodo/orina , Italia/epidemiología , Modelos Estadísticos , Prevalencia , Análisis de Regresión
18.
Pharmacoeconomics ; 21(1): 49-60, 2003.
Artículo en Inglés | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12484803

RESUMEN

OBJECTIVE: To estimate the costs and effect of implementing the National Service Framework for Coronary Heart Disease (CHD) in the UK. DESIGN: Decision trees were built on the results from randomised controlled trials on improving coronary revascularisation. All costs were presented in UK pounds (1997 values). PATIENTS: Each year 6600 new patients with CHD are expected to require revascularisation in the UK. INTERVENTIONS: The new patients would be equally divided into those undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and those undergoing a percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) i.e., percutaneous transluminal angioplasty (PCTA). PTCA could be administered with or without abciximab (a glycoprotein IIb/IIIa receptor antagonist), stent, or stent plus abciximab (stent+). RESULTS: CABG/stent alone has an incremental cost of more than 115,489 pounds per additional quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained compared with CABG/ PTCA+. This high incremental cost is not attractive because if CABG/ stent would be added to abciximab (CABG/stent+) its incremental cost-effectiveness ratio would be 2529 pounds per extra QALY compared with CABG/stent. Therefore, the debate should not be limited to the issue of stents but it should focus on the need for administering abciximab in addition to stent. The 5-year direct costs of implementing such a strategy in the UK is expected to be 50.6 million pounds (1997 values). CONCLUSIONS: Abciximab and probably any glycoprotein IIb/IIIa receptor antagonists should be added to any PCI, especially if stents are used.


Asunto(s)
Angioplastia Coronaria con Balón/estadística & datos numéricos , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/estadística & datos numéricos , Enfermedad Coronaria , Medicina Basada en la Evidencia , Programas Nacionales de Salud/economía , Abciximab , Angioplastia Coronaria con Balón/economía , Anticuerpos Monoclonales/uso terapéutico , Puente de Arteria Coronaria/economía , Enfermedad Coronaria/economía , Enfermedad Coronaria/mortalidad , Enfermedad Coronaria/terapia , Árboles de Decisión , Medicina Basada en la Evidencia/economía , Medicina Basada en la Evidencia/métodos , Medicina Basada en la Evidencia/estadística & datos numéricos , Humanos , Fragmentos Fab de Inmunoglobulinas/uso terapéutico , Complejo GPIIb-IIIa de Glicoproteína Plaquetaria/antagonistas & inhibidores , Años de Vida Ajustados por Calidad de Vida , Reino Unido
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