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Importance: Population studies have recorded an increased, unexplained risk of post-acute cardiovascular and thrombotic events, up to 1 year after acute severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. Objectives: To search for clinical variables and biomarkers associated with late post-acute thrombotic and cardiovascular events after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Setting: Third-level referral hospital in Bergamo (Italy). Participants: Analysis of an existing database of adult patients, who received care for SARS-CoV-2 infection at our institution between 20 February and 30 September 2020, followed up on a single date ("entry date") at 3-6 months. Exposure: Initial infection by SARS-CoV-2. Main outcomes and measures: Primary outcome: occurrence, in the 18 months after entry date, of a composite endpoint, defined by the International Classification of Diseases-9th edition (ICD-9) codes for at least one of: cerebral/cardiac ischemia, venous/arterial thrombosis (any site), pulmonary embolism, cardiac arrhythmia, heart failure. Measures (as recorded on entry date): history of initial infection, symptoms, current medications, pulmonary function test, blood tests results, and semi-quantitative radiographic lung damage (BRIXIA score). Individual clinical data were matched to hospitalizations, voluntary vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 (according to regulations and product availability), and documented reinfections in the following 18 months, as recorded in the provincial Health Authority database. A multivariable Cox proportional hazard model (including vaccine doses as a time-dependent variable) was fitted, adjusting for potential confounders. We report associations as hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results: Among 1,515 patients (948 men, 62.6%, median age 59; interquartile range: 50-69), we identified 84 endpoint events, occurring to 75 patients (5%): 30 arterial thromboses, 11 venous thromboses, 28 arrhythmic and 24 heart failure events. From a multivariable Cox model, we found the following significant associations with the outcome: previous occurrence of any outcome event, in the 18 months before infection (HR: 2.38; 95% CI: 1.23-4.62); BRIXIA score ≥ 3 (HR: 2.43; 95% CI: 1.30-4.55); neutrophils-to-lymphocytes ratio ≥ 3.3 (HR: 2.60; 95% CI: 1.43-4.72), and estimated glomerular filtration rate < 45â ml/min/1.73â m2 (HR: 3.84; 95% CI: 1.49-9.91). Conclusions and relevance: We identified four clinical variables, associated with the occurrence of post-acute thrombotic and cardiovascular events, after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Further research is needed, to confirm these results.
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Most item response theory (IRT) models for dichotomous responses are based on probit or logit link functions which assume a symmetric relationship between the probability of a correct response and the latent traits of individuals taking a test. This assumption restricts the use of those models to the case in which all items behave symmetrically. On the other hand, asymmetric models proposed in the literature impose that all the items in a test behave asymmetrically. This assumption is inappropriate for great majority of tests which are, in general, composed of both symmetric and asymmetric items. Furthermore, a straightforward extension of the existing models in the literature would require a prior selection of the items' symmetry/asymmetry status. This paper proposes a Bayesian IRT model that accounts for symmetric and asymmetric items in a flexible but parsimonious way. That is achieved by assigning a finite mixture prior to the skewness parameter, with one of the mixture components being a point mass at zero. This allows for analyses under both model selection and model averaging approaches. Asymmetric item curves are designed through the centred skew normal distribution, which has a particularly appealing parametrization in terms of parameter interpretation and computational efficiency. An efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is proposed to perform Bayesian inference and its performance is investigated in some simulated examples. Finally, the proposed methodology is applied to a data set from a large-scale educational exam in Brazil.
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Algoritmos , Humanos , Teorema de Bayes , Cadenas de Markov , Método de MontecarloRESUMEN
The occurrence and persistence of DNA damage, as detected by the alkaline elution technique, have been studied in some tissues of both fetal and adult Sprague-Dawley rats (18th day of gestation) after administration of a single equimolar dose (0.5 mmol/kg) of ethyl methanesulfonate (EMS), N-ethyl-N-nitrosourea (ENU), N-nitrosodiethylamine (NDEA), and N-methyl-N-nitrosourea (MNU). EMS, ENU, and MNU, injected intravenously, produced a statistically significant increase of DNA elution rate, which is considered indicative of DNA fragmentation, in both maternal and fetal liver, kidney, and brain. NDEA, introduced by gastric gavage, induced DNA breaks in both liver and kidney of dams, but only in the liver of fetuses. The frequency of DNA lesions was found to vary with the four alkylating agents and in the three organs tested, to exhibit a different time course, and usually to be higher in maternal than in fetal tissues. Results provided by the concomitant determination of DNA binding levels demonstrated a satisfactory correlation with the amounts of DNA fragmentation. In contrast, the values of both these parameters did not show any positive correlation with the different susceptibility of the three organs to tumor induction. In conclusion, these findings suggest that when a compound is not available in radiolabeled form, measurement of DNA fragmentation may represent a useful alternative to the determination of DNA binding level in order to obtain information on the distribution of its reactive species in maternal and fetal tissues.
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Alquilantes/toxicidad , Carcinógenos , Daño del ADN , Reparación del ADN/efectos de los fármacos , Feto/efectos de los fármacos , Animales , Cromatografía/métodos , Metanosulfonato de Etilo/toxicidad , Femenino , Compuestos Nitrosos/toxicidad , Especificidad de Órganos , Embarazo , Ratas , Ratas Endogámicas , Factores de TiempoRESUMEN
Out of 1336 bacterial strains isolated by urine cultures, nearly 23% resulted to be Gram-positives of which 11.8% are Enterococci and 3% Streptococci of Group B. The isolated Enterococci resulted to be sensitive mostly to amoxicillin and resistant to cephalosporins and tetracycline. The authors consequently agree with recent recordings of an accentuated incidence of Enterococci on infections of the urinary tract.