Short-term mortality prediction using a combination of clinical and CT features: Refining the prognosis of critically ill patients in shock.

PURPOSE: To assess the predictive value of combining CT and clinical findings for predicting 10-day mortality in critically ill patients in shock. MATERIALS AND METHODS: From January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2021, 289 consecutives critically ill patients in shock who underwent a contrast enhanced CT were included. Variables at the time of the CT were retrospectively extracted from medical charts. CT examinations were blindly analyzed by two independent radiologists. Multivariable analysis was performed, combining clinical and CT features. A simple survival score for 10-day mortality prediction was built and validated in a further independent external cohort of 70 patients. RESULTS: 10-day mortality rate was 135/289 (47%) in the study sample. At multivariate analysis, catecholamine infusion (OR = 2.11; 95%CI [1.21-4.18], P = 0.011), lactates level > 5 mmol/l (OR = 3.54; 95%CI [1.94-6.54], P < 0.001); total bilirubin > 50 mg/l (OR = 1.79 CI 95% [1.03-3.13], P = 0.039); small bowel dilation (OR = 1.82; 95%CI [1.01-3.32], P = 0.047); diffuse kidney infarction (OR = 2.76; 95%CI [1.26-6.37], P = 0.013) and superior mesentery artery < 5 mm (OR = 1.96; 95%CI [1.10-3.49], P = 0.021) were associated with 10-days mortality. The AUC of the combined model was 0.79; 95%CI [0.74-0.85] in the study sample and 0.87; 95%CI [0.71-0.91] in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: The combination of CT imaging features and clinical data should emerge as a novel approach to predict short-term mortality in critically ill patients in shock.

Added value of an artificial intelligence solution for fracture detection in the radiologist's daily trauma emergencies workflow.

PURPOSE: The main objective of this study was to compare radiologists' performance without and with artificial intelligence (AI) assistance for the detection of bone fractures from trauma emergencies. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Five hundred consecutive patients (232 women, 268 men) with a mean age of 37 ± 28 (SD) years (age range: 0.25-99 years) were retrospectively included. Three radiologists independently interpreted radiographs without then with AI assistance after a 1-month minimum washout period. The ground truth was determined by consensus reading between musculoskeletal radiologists and AI results. Patient-wise sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for fracture detection and reading time were compared between unassisted and AI-assisted readings of radiologists. Their performances were also assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. RESULTS: AI improved the patient-wise sensitivity of radiologists for fracture detection by 20% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 14-26), P< 0.001) and their specificity by 0.6% (95% CI: -0.9-1.5; P = 0.47). It increased the PPV by 2.9% (95% CI: 0.4-5.4; P = 0.08) and the NPV by 10% (95% CI: 6.8-13.3; P < 0.001). Thanks to AI, the area under the ROC curve for fracture detection of readers increased respectively by 10.6%, 10.2% and 9.9%. Their mean reading time per patient decreased by respectively 10, 16 and 12 s (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: AI-assisted radiologists work better and faster compared to unassisted radiologists. AI is of great aid to radiologists in daily trauma emergencies, and could reduce the cost of missed fractures.

CT-guided microwave ablation of osteoid osteoma: Long-term outcome in 28 patients.

PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to assess the long-term efficacy of CT-guided microwave ablation (MWA) in the treatment of osteoid osteoma. Secondary objectives were to assess early outcome and side-effects of MWA. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Twenty-eight consecutive patients (18 men, 10 women) with a median age of 19.5 years (IQR: 16, 25.5) with a total of 28 non-spinal osteoid osteoma treated by CT-guided MWA were retrospectively included. The ablations were performed with a median power and duration of 60 Watt and 1 min 30 s, respectively. Pain referred to osteoid osteoma was assessed at predefined time points using a 0-10 numeric rating scale. At one month, contrast-enhanced follow-up MRI was performed to evaluate the nidus vascularization and the volume of necrosis induced by MWA. Clinical success was defined by the absence of osteoid osteoma-related pain, and technical success was defined by the presence of necrosis of the nidus on the one-month post-MWA MRI. RESULTS: Long term success rate was 93% (26/28) after a follow-up of 55.5 months (IQR: 25.75, 74.5) and technical success rate was 96 % (25/26). One late failure was observed after a patient had been declared cured at one month but the formal proof of a late recurrence of osteoid osteoma could not be brought. Three minor complications were reported including mild reversible superficial radial nerve injury with a skin burn (grade 2) in one patient and moderate skin burn only in two patients. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that CT-guided MWA is an effective option for a minimally-invasive treatment of osteoid osteoma with a low rate of complication and no late recurrence.

Prognostic Factors in Non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia: A pragmatic pre-operative score for the prediction of 28-day mortality.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of critical ill patients with non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia (NOMI) is poor and not fully understood. We aimed to determine preoperative factors associated with 28-day mortality in NOMI. METHODS: Variables associated with 28-day mortality were entered into a multivariate cox regression model and were used to compute a NOMI mortality score. RESULTS: 154 patients were included. The 28-day mortality rate was 56%. Multivariable analyses including variables at the time of the CT identified three variables (i.e. lactates > 7 mmoL/l, prothrombin rate <60% and kidney infarction), included in a simple score. Among the study population, the probability of 28-day mortality was 26% (11/42), 54% (26/48), 77% (23/30) and 100% (21/21) for a survival score of 0, 1, 2 and 3, respectively. CONCLUSION: A simple score combining these three variables, calculated preoperatively, was able to accurately predict 28-day mortality and might help to avoid futile laparotomies.

Evaluating the Risk of Irreversible Intestinal Necrosis Among Critically Ill Patients With Nonocclusive Mesenteric Ischemia.

INTRODUCTION: To identify factors associated with irreversible transmural necrosis (ITN) among critically ill patients experiencing nonocclusive mesenteric ischemia (NOMI) and to compare the predictive value regarding ITN risk stratification with that of the previously described Clichy score. METHODS: All consecutive patients admitted to the intensive care unit between 2009 and 2019 who underwent exploratory laparotomy for NOMI and who had an available contrast-enhanced computed tomography with at least 1 portal venous phase were evaluated for inclusion. Clinical, laboratory, and radiological variables were collected. ITN was assessed on pathological reports of surgical specimens and/or on laparotomy findings in cases of open-close surgery. Factors associated with ITN were identified by univariate and multivariate analysis to derive a NOMI-ITN score. This score was further compared with the Clichy score. RESULTS: We identified 4 factors associated with ITN in the context of NOMI: absence of bowel enhancement, bowel thinning, plasma bicarbonate concentration ≤15 mmol/L, and prothrombin rate <40%. These factors were included in a new NOMI-ITN score, with 1 point attributed for each variable. ITN was observed in 6%, 38%, 65%, 88%, and 100% of patients with NOMI-ITN score ranging from 0 to 4, respectively. The NOMI-ITN score outperformed the Clichy score for the prediction of ITN (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve 0.882 [95% confidence interval 0.826-0.938] vs 0.674 [95% confidence interval 0.582-0.766], respectively, P < 0.001). DISCUSSION: We propose a new 4-point score aimed at stratifying risk of ITN in patients with NOMI. The Clichy score should be applied to patients with occlusive acute mesenteric ischemia only.

Diagnostic performance of CT for the detection of transmural bowel necrosis in non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the diagnostic performance of CT for transmural necrosis (TN) in non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia (NOMI) according to the bowel segment involved. METHODS: From January 2009 to December 2019, all patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and requiring laparotomy for NOMI were retrospectively studied. CT had to have been performed within 24 h prior to laparotomy and were reviewed by two abdominal radiologists, with a consensus reading in case of disagreement. A set of CT features of mesenteric ischemia were assessed, separating the stomach, jejunum, ileum, and right (RC) and left colon (LC). Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify features associated with TN. Its influence on overall survival (OS) was assessed. RESULTS: Among 145 patients, 95 (66%) had ≥ 1 bowel segment with TN, including 7 (5%), 31 (21%), 43 (29%), 45 (31%), and 52 (35%) in the stomach, jejunum, ileum, RC, and LC, respectively. Overall inter-reader agreement of CT features was significantly lower in the colon than in the small bowel (0.59 [0.52-0.65] vs 0.74 [0.70-0.77] respectively). The absence of bowel wall enhancement was the only CT feature associated with TN by multivariate analysis, whatever the bowel segment involved. Proximal TN was associated with poorer OS (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The absence of bowel wall enhancement remains the most consistent CT feature of transmural necrosis, whatever the bowel segment involved in NOMI. Inter-reader agreement of CT features is lower in the colon than in the small bowel. Proximal TN seems to be associated with poorer OS. KEY POINTS: • The absence of bowel wall enhancement is the most consistent CT feature associated with transmural necrosis in NOMI, whatever is the bowel segment involved. • Inter-reader agreement is lower in the colon than in the small bowel in NOMI. • In NOMI, the more proximal the bowel necrosis, the worse the prognosis.

Atherosclerosis is associated with poorer outcome in non-occlusive mesenteric ischemia.

PURPOSE: To evaluate whether abdominal atherosclerosis was associated with poorer outcome in a single-centre cohort of patients suffering from nonocclusive mesenteric ischemia (NOMI). METHODS: From January 2009 to December 2019, 121 consecutive patients from the critical care unit who underwent laparotomy for suspected NOMI and with available unenhanced and contrast-enhanced CT were included. Clinical and biological data at the time of the CT scan were retrospectively extracted from medical charts and reviewed by a single radiologist. Unenhanced CT acquisitions were used to calculate calcium scores of the abdominal aorta, celiac trunk, superior mesenteric artery (SMA) and common iliac arteries according to the Agatston method. Univariate and multivariate analysis were performed. RESULTS: Among the 121 patients with NOMI and calcium score calculation, only 4 patients had no aortic calcifications (3 %) and 32 had no superior mesenteric artery calcification (26 %). 35 patients (29 %) died within 24 h after the abdominal CT scan. Univariate analysis showed that a total abdominal calcium score greater than 15 000 (last quartile) was significantly associated with death within 24 h (14 (40 %) vs 17 (20 %) patients, p = 0.035). By multivariate analysis, a total abdominal calcium score greater than 15 000 was an independent risk factor for death (HR = 1.94, 95 %CI [1.02-3.73], p = 0.044). Regarding separate calcium scores, only a SMA calcium score greater than 50 was a risk factor for death (HR 2.46, 95 %CI [1.14-3.93], p = 0.019). CONCLUSION: Our results show that abdominal atherosclerosis, especially in the SMA, is associated with poorer outcome in NOMI.