Predictors of attrition among adults in a rural HIV clinic in southern Mozambique: 18-year retrospective study.

HIV remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality for people living in many low-income countries. With an HIV prevalence of 12.4% among people aged over 15 years, Mozambique was ranked in 2019 as one of eight countries with the highest HIV rates in the world. We analyzed routinely collected data from electronical medical records in HIV-infected patients aged 15 years or older and enrolled at Carmelo Hospital of Chokwe in Chokwe from 2002 to 2019. Attrition was defined as individuals who were either reported dead or lost to follow-up (LTFU) (≥ 90 days since the last clinic visit with missed medical pick-up after 3 days of failed calls). Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analyses were used to model the incidence and predictors of time to attrition. From January 2002 to December 2019, 16,321 patients were enrolled on antiretroviral therapy (ART): 59.2% were women, and 37.9% were aged 25-34 years old. At the time of the analysis, 7279 (44.6%) were active and on ART. Overall, the 16,321 adults on ART contributed a total of 72,987 person-years of observation. The overall attrition rate was 9.46 per 100 person-years. Cox regression showed a higher risk of attrition in those following an inpatient regimen (hazard ratio [HR] 3.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.89-3.50; p < 0.001), having CD4 counts under 50 cells/µL (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.63-2.24, p < 0.001), receiving anti-TB treatment within 90 days of ART initiation (HR 6.53, 95% CI 5.72-7.45; p < 0.001), classified as WHO clinical stage III (HR 3.75, 95% CI 3.21-4.37; p < 0.001), and having Kaposi's sarcoma (HR 1.99, 95% CI 1.65-2.39, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with CD4 counts of less than 50 cells/µL on ART initiation had a 40% lower chance of survival at 18 years. Low CD4 cell counts, ART initiation as an inpatient, WHO clinical stage III, and anti-tuberculosis treatment within 90 days of ART initiation were strongly associated with attrition. Strengthening HIV testing and ART treatment, improving the diagnosis of tuberculosis before ART initiation, and guaranteed psychosocial support systems are the best tools to reduce patient attrition after starting ART.

Predictors of attrition among adults in a rural HIV clinic in southern Mozambique: 18-year retrospective study

HIV remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality for people living in many low-income countries. With an HIV prevalence of 12.4% among people aged over 15 years, Mozambique was ranked in 2019 as one of eight countries with the highest HIV rates in the world. We analyzed routinely collected data from electronical medical records in HIV-infected patients aged 15 years or older and enrolled at Carmelo Hospital of Chokwe in Chokwe from 2002 to 2019. Attrition was defined as individuals who were either reported dead or lost to follow-up (LTFU) (≥ 90 days since the last clinic visit with missed medical pick-up after 3 days of failed calls). Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox regression analyses were used to model the incidence and predictors of time to attrition. From January 2002 to December 2019, 16,321 patients were enrolled on antiretroviral therapy (ART): 59.2% were women, and 37.9% were aged 25-34 years old. At the time of the analysis, 7279 (44.6%) were active and on ART. Overall, the 16,321 adults on ART contributed a total of 72,987 person-years of observation. The overall attrition rate was 9.46 per 100 person-years. Cox regression showed a higher risk of attrition in those following an inpatient regimen (hazard ratio [HR] 3.18, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.89-3.50; p < 0.001), having CD4 counts under 50 cells/µL (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.63-2.24, p < 0.001), receiving anti-TB treatment within 90 days of ART initiation (HR 6.53, 95% CI 5.72-7.45; p < 0.001), classified as WHO clinical stage III (HR 3.75, 95% CI 3.21-4.37; p < 0.001), and having Kaposi's sarcoma (HR 1.99, 95% CI 1.65-2.39, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that patients with CD4 counts of less than 50 cells/µL on ART initiation had a 40% lower chance of survival at 18 years. Low CD4 cell counts, ART initiation as an inpatient, WHO clinical stage III, and anti-tuberculosis treatment within 90 days of ART initiation were strongly associated with attrition. Strengthening HIV testing and ART treatment, improving the diagnosis of tuberculosis before ART initiation, and guaranteed psychosocial support systems are the best tools to reduce patient attrition after starting ART

Tuberculosis Treatment Outcomes Among Children in Rural Southern Mozambique: A 12-year Retrospective Study.

BACKGROUND: Globally, tuberculosis (TB) remains a serious cause of morbidity and mortality for children. Mozambique is 1 of 30 high TB and TB/HIV burden countries. This study aimed to assess treatment outcomes of childhood TB in Chókwè District, Mozambique. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study of children <15-years-old treated for TB from 2006 to 2017 was conducted at Carmelo Hospital of Chókwè. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize patient characteristics. Treatment outcomes stratified by HIV status were compared with χ. Multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the odds of a favorable TB treatment outcome. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate the cumulative incidence of death. RESULTS: Nine hundred thirty-three cases of childhood TB were enrolled, 45.9% of which were female and 49.6% were <5-years-old. Five hundred sixty-five (62%) children were HIV positive. Seven hundred sixty-two (83.6%) cases had a favorable TB treatment outcome. In comparison to children 0-4 years, the 5-14 age group had a higher odds of a favorable outcome [odds ratio: 2.02, 95% confidence interval: 1.42-3.05]. Being 5-14 years was associated with lower risk of death (hazard ratio: 0.435; 95% confidence interval: 0.299-0.632). Those starting anti-TB treatment ≤3 months after antiretroviral therapy initiation had a survival probability of approximately 75% at 1 year compared with 95% for those who were HIV negative. CONCLUSIONS: Most children in this cohort had favorable TB treatment outcomes. Worse outcomes were observed for younger children and if anti-TB treatment started ≤3 months after initiation of antiretroviral therapy. Rigorous screening for TB and isoniazid preventative therapy may reduce the burden of TB in this population and lead to better outcomes.