Insulin-like Growth Factor-1 Levels Reflect Muscle and Bone Health and Determine Complications and Mortality in Decompensated Cirrhosis.

Background: The growth hormone-insulin-like growth factor (GH-IGF-1) axis and its impairment with sarcopenia, frailty, bone health, complications, and prognosis are not well characterized in cirrhosis. Methods: We investigated the adult decompensated cirrhosis out-patients at a tertiary care institute between 2021 and 2023 for serum GH and IGF-1 levels, and associated them with sarcopenia (CT-SMI in cm2/m2), liver frailty index (LFI), osteodystrophy (DEXA), clinical decompensations (overall, ascites, encephalopathy, infection, and bleed), and survival up to 180 days. Results: One-hundred-seventy-two patients, 95% males, aged 46.5 years (median). logIGF-1 levels were negatively associated with sarcopenia, osteodystrophy, LFI, CTP, and MELD-Na score (P < 0.05 each). Patients with low IGF-1 levels had a higher incidence of complications (overall, ascites and encephalopathy) than those with intermediate, and high IGF-1 levels (P < 0.05 each). Both logIGF-1 (AUC: 0.686) and MELD (AUC: 0.690) could predict 180-day mortality (P < 0.05, each). Adding logIGF-1 with MELDNa further improved discriminative accuracy of MELDNa (AUC: 0.729) P < 0.001. The increase in IGF-1 on follow-up was associated with better survival and fewer complications. Conclusion: Reduced IGF-1 levels reflect sarcopenia, frailty, and osteodystrophy in cirrhosis. Low IGF-1 are associated with severity, development of decompensations, and mortality.

Central Obesity is an Independent Determinant of Advanced Fibrosis in Lean Patients With Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease.

Background: The current definition of lean is based on body mass index (BMI). However, BMI is an imperfect surrogate for adiposity and provides no information on central obesity (CO). Hence, we explored the differences in clinical profile and liver disease severity in lean patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) with and without CO. Methods: One hundred seventy lean patients with NAFLD (BMI <23 kg/m2) were divided into two groups depending upon the presence or absence of CO (waist circumference ≥80 cm in females and ≥90 cm in males). Noninvasive assessment of steatosis was done by ultrasound and controlled attenuation parameter (CAP), while fibrosis was assessed with FIB-4 and liver stiffness measurement (LSM). FibroScan-AST (FAST) score was used for non-invasive prediction of NASH with significant fibrosis. Results: Of 170 patients with lean NAFLD, 96 (56.5%) had CO. Female gender (40.6% vs. 17.6%, P = 0.001), hypertriglyceridemia (58.3% vs. 39.2%, P = 0.01) and metabolic syndrome (23.9% vs. 4.1%, P < 0.001) were more common in the CO group. There was a poor correlation between BMI and waist circumference (r = 0.24, 95% CI: 0.09-0.38). Grade 2-3 steatosis on ultrasound was significantly more common in CO patients (30% vs. 12.3%, P = 0.007). CAP [312.5 (289.8-341) dB/m vs. 275 (248-305.1) dB/m, P = 0.002], FAST score [0.42 (0.15-0.66) vs. 0.26 (0.11-0.39), P = 0.04], FIB-4 and LSM were higher in those with CO. Advanced fibrosis was more prevalent among CO patients using FIB-4 (19.8% vs 8.1%, P = 0.03) and LSM (9.5% vs. 0, P = 0.04). CO was independently associated with advanced fibrosis after adjusting for BMI and metabolic risk factors (aOR: 3.11 (1.10-8.96), P = 0.03). Among these 170 patients, 142 fulfilled metabolic dysfunction associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) criteria. CO was also an independent risk factor for advanced fibrosis in MASLD (3.32 (1.23-8.5), P = 0.02). Conclusion: Lean patients with NAFLD or MASLD and CO have more severe liver disease compared to those without CO.

Liver Dysfunction and Systemic Inflammation Drive Organ Failures in Acute Decompensation of Cirrhosis: A Multi-Centric Study.

INTRODUCTION: Hospitalized patients with acute decompensation (AD) of cirrhosis are at risk of progressing to acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), significantly increasing their mortality. This study aimed to identify key predictors and patient trajectories predisposing to ACLF. METHODS: In this multi-center, prospective study spanning two years, clinical, biochemical, and 90-day survival data were collected from 625 AD patients (EASL criteria) across North, South, and East India. We divided the cohort into a Derivation-cohort (DC: 318 patients) and a Validation-cohort (VC: 307 patients). Predictive models for pre-ACLF were derived, validated, and compared with established scores like MELD3.0 and CLIF-C AD. RESULTS: Of 625 patients, (mean age 49, 83% male, 77.5% with alcohol-related liver disease), 32.2% progressed to ACLF. Patients progressing to ACLF showed significantly higher bilirubin (10.9vs.8.1mg/dl), leukocyte counts (9400vs.8000 per mm3), INR (1.9 vs.1.8), and MELD3.0 (28vs.25), but lower sodium (131vs.134mEq/L) and survival (62% vs.86%) compared to those without progression (p<0.05) in the DC. Consistent results were noted with AH, infection and HE as additional risk factors in VC. Liver failure at presentation [OR: 2.4 (in DC), 6.9 (in VC)] and the seven-day trajectories of bilirubin, INR, and MELD3.0 significantly predicted ACLF progression (p<0.001). A new PRE-ACLF Model showed superior predictive capability (AUC of 0.71 in DC and 0.82 in VC) compared to MELD3.0 and CLIF-C AD scores (p<0.05). DISCUSSION: Approximately one-third of AD patients in this Indian cohort rapidly progressed to ACLF, resulting in high mortality. Early identification of patients at risk can guide targeted interventions to prevent ACLF.

The pharmacological management of alcohol-related cirrhosis: what's new?

INTRODUCTION: Alcohol use disorder (AUD) is present in the majority of patients with alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD), which leads to about 50% of cirrhosis-related hospitalizations and over 25% of deaths worldwide. Patients with ALD often present at an advanced stage, like cirrhosis with its complications and alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH), which has high short-term mortality. Current treatments are limited, with the limited benefit of glucocorticoids only in the short-term among patients with AH, highlighting an urgent need for novel therapies. AREAS COVERED: This review applies the PIRO (Predisposition, Injury, Response, Organ dysfunction) concept to ALD, understanding an ongoing process of liver damage, and opportunities to address and halt the progression. We also highlight the significance of treating AUD to improve long-term outcomes in ALD. EXPERT OPINION: Personalized therapies targeting specific genetic profiles and multiple pathogenic pathways are crucial in managing ALD. Emerging therapies like gut-liver-brain axis modulators like fecal microbiota transplant and probiotics, interleukin-22, granulocyte-colony stimulating factor (G-CSF) and stem cells, epigenetic regulators of inflammation and regeneration are encouraging with the potential of efficacy in patients with ALD. Liver transplantation (LT) is a definitive therapy for advanced cirrhosis with increasing impetus on early LT select patients with active alcohol use.

Identification of four novel acute-on-chronic liver failure clusters with distinct clinical trajectories and mortality using machine learning methods.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Machine learning (ML) can identify the hidden patterns without hypothesis in heterogeneous diseases like acute-on-chronic live failure (ACLF). We employed ML to describe and predict yet unknown clusters in ACLF. METHODS: Clinical data of 1568 patients with ACLF from a tertiary care centre (2015-2023) were subjected to distance-, density- and model-based clustering algorithms. Final model was selected on best cluster separation, viz. Silhouette width and Dunn's index (for distance- or density-based algorithms) and minimum BIC (for model-based algorithms). Cluster assignments, patient trajectories and survival were analysed through inferential statistics. Supervised ML models were trained in 70% data that predicted clusters in remaining 30% data followed by an temporal validation. RESULTS: The cohort was male-predominant (87%), aged 44.3 years, with alcohol-associated hepatitis (62.9%) and survival of 50.5%. Due to poor performance of distance- and density-based algorithms and better explainability, the latent class model (LCM) was selected for exploration. LCM revealed four clusters with distinct trajectories, reversibility and survival (independent of MELD, CLIF-C ACLF and AARC scores). Cluster1 had patients with none/one organ failure and highest reversibility. Cluster2 had females with viral hepatitis and two organ failures. More-than-one acute precipitant, severity, infections, organ failures and irreversibility escalated from clusters 1 to 4. Circulatory and renal failures critically influenced cluster assignments. Incorporating clusters to CLIF-C ACLF, infection and ACLF definition improved the discriminative accuracy of CLIF-C-ACLF by 11%. Extreme gradient boost and decision trees could predict clusters with AUCs of 0.989 (0.979-0.995) and 0.875 (0.865-0.890). MELD, CLIF-C-OF, haemoglobin, lactate, CLIF-C-ACLF and ALT were critical variables for cluster prediction. Clusters with distinct survival were documented in a temporal validation cohort. CONCLUSIONS: ML for the first time could identify clusters with distinct phenotypes, trajectories and outcomes in ACLF. Stratification into clusters can address heterogeneity, guide prognosis, recruitment in trials, resource allocation and liver transplant discussions in ACLF.

Myokines are associated with progression, course and mortality in alcohol-associated liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Myokines are the muscle-derived hormones orchestrating muscle and systemic health. Their role in the progression of alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) remains elusive. METHODS: Three-hundred-one patients across the spectrum of ALD including fatty liver (FL, N = 13), compensated cirrhosis (CC, N = 17), non-acute decompensation (NAD, N = 95), acute decompensation (AD, N = 51) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF, N = 125) were recruited between 2021 and 2023. Plasma myostatin, decorin levels, nutritional status, handgrip strength (HGS), systemic inflammation, infection, ammonia, disease course and 30-day mortality were recorded. RESULTS: Patients aged 48 years (IQR: 38-52) and 97.7% of males were enrolled. Myostatin was elevated while decorin was reduced in cirrhosis compared to without cirrhosis, and further in DC compared to CC (p < 0.001). A step-wise increase in myostatin and reduction in decorin was observed transitioning from NAD to AD to ACLF (p < 0.001). Myostatin was further increased and decorin was reduced along with the grades and organ failures in AD and ACLF (p < 0.001, each). Baseline decorin (AUC: 0.797) and its combination with MELD (AUC: 0.814) predicted disease resolution in AD and ACLF. Although, both myostatin (aOR: 18.96) and decorin (aOR: 0.02) could predict mortality, decorin was independent (aOR: 0.04) and additive to MELD (AUC of MELD+logDecorin + logTLC + HE-grade:0.815); p < 0.05 each. Myostatin increased and decorin reduced with inflammation, hyperammonaemia, malnutrition and HGS in AD and ACLF (p < 0.05, each). CONCLUSION: Myokines are linked with malnutrition, fibrosis, systemic inflammation, organ failures, disease course and mortality in ALD. Decorin enhances the risk estimation of mortality of MELD in AD and ACLF. Therapeutic modulation of myokines is a potentially disease-modifying target in ALD.

Recompensation of Chronic Hepatitis C-Related Decompensated Cirrhosis Following Direct-Acting Antiviral Therapy: Prospective Cohort Study From a Hepatitis C Virus Elimination Program.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Chronic hepatitis C-related decompensated cirrhosis is associated with lower sustained virologic response (SVR)-12 rates and variable regression of disease severity after direct-acting antiviral agents. We assessed rates of SVR-12, recompensation (Baveno VII criteria), and survival in such patients. METHODS: Between July 2018 and July 2023, patients with decompensated chronic hepatitis C-related cirrhosis after direct-acting antiviral agents treatment were evaluated for SVR-12 and then had 6-monthly follow-up. RESULTS: Of 6516 patients with cirrhosis, 1152 with decompensated cirrhosis (age 53.2 ± 11.5 years; 63% men; Model for End-stage Liver Disease-Sodium [MELD-Na]: 16.5 ± 4.6; 87% genotype 3) were enrolled. SVR-12 was 81.8% after 1 course; ultimately SVR was 90.8% after additional treatment. Decompensation events included ascites (1098; 95.3%), hepatic encephalopathy (191; 16.6%), and variceal bleeding (284; 24.7%). Ascites resolved in 86% (diuretic withdrawal achieved in 24% patients). Recompensation occurred in 284 (24.7%) at a median time of 16.5 (interquartile range, 14.5-20.5) months. On multivariable Cox proportional hazards analysis, low bilirubin (aHR, 0.6; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.5-0.8; P < 0.001), INR (aHR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.1-0.3; P < 0.001), absence of large esophageal varices (aHR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.9; P = 0.048), or gastric varices (aHR, 0.5; 95% CI, 0.3-0.7; P = 0.022) predicted recompensation. Portal hypertension progressed in 158 (13.7%) patients, with rebleed in 4%. Prior decompensation with variceal bleeding (aHR, 1.6; 95% CI, 1.2-2.8; P = 0.042), and presence of large varices (aHR, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.3-6.5; P < 0.001) were associated with portal hypertension progression. Further decompensation was seen in 221 (19%); 145 patients died and 6 underwent liver transplantation. A decrease in MELDNa of ≥3 was seen in 409 (35.5%) and a final MELDNa score of <10 was seen in 335 (29%), but 2.9% developed hepatocellular carcinoma despite SVR-12. CONCLUSIONS: SVR-12 in hepatitis C virus-related decompensated cirrhosis in a predominant genotype 3 population led to recompensation in 24.7% of patients over a follow-up of 4 years in a public health setting. Despite SVR-12, new hepatic decompensation evolved in 19% and hepatocellular carcinoma developed in 2.9% of patients. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT03488485).

Impact of Diabetes, Drug-Induced Liver Injury, and Sepsis on Outcomes in Metabolic Dysfunction Associated Fatty Liver Disease-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure.

INTRODUCTION: The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and its complication, MAFLD-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (MAFLD-ACLF), is rising. Yet, factors determining patient outcomes in MAFLD-ACLF remain understudied. METHODS: Patients with MAFLD-ACLF were recruited from the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver-ACLF Research Consortium (AARC registry). The diagnosis of MAFLD-ACLF was made when the treating unit had identified the etiology of chronic liver disease as MAFLD (or previous nomenclature such as non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis, or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis-cirrhosis). Patients with coexisting other etiologies of chronic liver disease (such as alcohol, hepatitis B virus, hepatitis C virus, etc.) were excluded. Data were randomly split into derivation (n = 258) and validation (n = 111) cohorts at a 70:30 ratio. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality. Only the baseline clinical, laboratory features and severity scores were considered. RESULTS: The derivation group had 258 patients; 60% were male, with a mean age of 53. Diabetes was noted in 27% and hypertension in 29%. The dominant precipitants included viral hepatitis (hepatitis A virus and hepatitis E virus, 32%), drug-induced injury (drug-induced liver injury, 29%), and sepsis (23%). Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium (MELD-Na) and AARC scores on admission averaged 32 ± 6 and 10.4 ± 1.9. At 90 days, 51% survived. Nonviral precipitant, diabetes, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and encephalopathy were independent factors influencing mortality. Adding diabetes and precipitant to MELD-Na and AARC scores, the novel MAFLD-MELD-Na score (+12 for diabetes, +12 for nonviral precipitant), and MAFLD-AARC score (+5 for each) were formed. These outperformed the standard scores in both cohorts. DISCUSSION: Almost half of patients with MAFLD-ACLF die within 90 days. Diabetes and nonviral precipitants such as drug-induced liver injury and sepsis lead to adverse outcomes. The new MAFLD-MELD-Na and MAFLD-AARC scores provide reliable 90-day mortality predictions for patients with MAFLD-ACLF.

Sensitive detection of synthetic response to cancer immunotherapy driven by gene paralog pairs.

Emerging immunotherapies such as immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) and chimeric antigen receptor T-cell (CAR-T) therapy have revolutionized cancer treatment and have improved the survival of patients with multiple cancer types. Despite this success many patients are unresponsive to these treatments or relapse following treatment. CRISPR activation and knockout (KO) screens have been used to identify novel single gene targets that can enhance effector T cell function and promote immune cell targeting and eradication of tumors. However, cancer cells often employ multiple genes to promote an immunosuppressive pathway and thus modulating individual genes often has a limited effect. Paralogs are genes that originate from common ancestors and retain similar functions. They often have complex effects on a particular phenotype depending on factors like gene family similarity, each individual gene's expression and the physiological or pathological context. Some paralogs exhibit synthetic lethal interactions in cancer cell survival; however, a thorough investigation of paralog pairs that could enhance the efficacy of cancer immunotherapy is lacking. Here we introduce a sensitive computational approach that uses sgRNA sets enrichment analysis to identify cancer-intrinsic paralog pairs which have the potential to synergistically enhance T cell-mediated tumor destruction. We have further developed an ensemble learning model that uses an XGBoost classifier and incorporates features such as gene characteristics, sequence and structural similarities, protein-protein interaction (PPI) networks, and gene coevolution data to predict paralog pairs that are likely to enhance immunotherapy efficacy. We experimentally validated the functional significance of these predicted paralog pairs using double knockout (DKO) of identified paralog gene pairs as compared to single gene knockouts (SKOs). These data and analyses collectively provide a sensitive approach to identify previously undetected paralog pairs that can enhance cancer immunotherapy even when individual genes within the pair has a limited effect.

A single arm phase 2 clinical trial of YIV-906 with neoadjuvant concurrent chemo-radiation therapy in patients with locally advanced rectal cancer.

Background: Pre-operative chemoradiation for rectal cancer is often associated with severe gastrointestinal (GI) toxicity which can interrupt, delay, and/or lead to termination of treatment. In this study, we evaluated whether the addition of YIV-906, a novel herbal medicine proven to reduce GI toxicity associated with chemotherapy could also reduce GI side effects during standard pre-operative capecitabine and pelvic radiation therapy (RT) in the neoadjuvant setting for the treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer. Methods: This single arm clinical study enrolled 24 patients between Dec 23, 2014-Sep 17, 2018 at Smilow Cancer Hospital, a comprehensive cancer center at Yale New Haven Hospital. All patients were age ≥18 years, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group 0-1 and with histologically confirmed T3-T4 and N0-N2, M0 adenocarcinoma of the rectum. Median follow-up was 61.9 months. All patients received concurrent pelvic external beam RT (50.4 Gy in 28 fractions), YIV-906 (taken orally 800 mg twice daily on days 1-4 of RT each week), and oral capecitabine delivered in a neo-adjuvant fashion, followed by definitive surgery. Toxicity was assessed weekly during radiation and until acute symptoms resolved and then at 28 days, 4 months, 7 months and 10 months. Toxicities were graded in accordance with Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events (CTCAE) version 4.0. Results: At the time of surgery, 4 patients (16.7%) had a complete or near-complete response. At a median follow-up of 61.9 months, the mean overall survival (OS) of our patient cohort was 74.9 months [95% confidence interval (CI): 67.3-82.5]. The estimated 5-year OS was 82.0%. We observed 0% acute grade 4 toxicities, and only two cases of acute grade 3 diarrhea (8.3%). Conclusions: The addition of YIV-906 to capecitabine based chemoradiation for locally advanced rectal cancer led to reduced rates of GI toxicity compared to historical controls, in particular grade 3 or greater diarrhea. These findings suggest YIV-906 should be evaluated in a randomized clinical trial to further assess potential reductions in the toxicity profile of chemoradiation for GI cancers.

Radioresistant Pulmonary Oligometastatic and Oligoprogressive Lesions From Nonlung Primaries: Impact of Histology and Dose-Fractionation on Local Control After Radiation Therapy.

Purpose: We investigated whether pulmonary metastases from historically considered radioresistant primaries would have inferior local control after radiation therapy than those from nonradioresistant nonlung primaries, and whether higher biologically effective dose assuming alpha/beta=10 (BED10) would be associated with superior local control. Methods and Materials: We identified patients treated with radiation therapy for oligometastatic or oligoprogressive pulmonary disease to 1 to 5 lung metastases from nonlung primaries in 2013 to 2020 at a single health care system. Radioresistant primary cancers included colorectal carcinoma, endometrial carcinoma, renal cell carcinoma, melanoma, and sarcoma. Nonradioresistant primary cancers included breast, bladder, esophageal, pancreas, and head and neck carcinomas. The Kaplan-Meier estimator, log-rank test, and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression were used to compare local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), new metastasis-free survival, progression-free survival, and overall survival. Results: Among 114 patients, 73 had radioresistant primary cancers. The median total dose was 50 Gy (IQR, 50-54 Gy) and the median number of fractions was 5 (IQR, 3-5). Median follow-up time was 59.6 months. One of 41 (2.4%) patients with a nonradioresistant metastasis experienced local failure compared with 18 of 73 (24.7%) patients with radioresistant metastasis (log-rank P = .004). Among radioresistant metastases, 12 of 41 (29.2%) patients with colorectal carcinoma experienced local failure compared with 6 of 32 (18.8%) with other primaries (log-rank P = .018). BED10 ≥100 Gy was associated with decreased risk of local recurrence. On univariable analysis, BED10 ≥100 Gy (hazard ratio [HR], 0.263; 95% CI, 0.105-0.656; P = .004) was associated with higher LRFS, and colorectal primary (HR, 3.060; 95% CI, 1.204-7.777; P = .019) was associated with lower LRFS, though these were not statistically significant on multivariable analysis. Among colorectal primary patients, BED10 ≥100 Gy was associated with higher LRFS (HR, 0.266; 95% CI, 0.072-0.985; P = .047) on multivariable analysis. Conclusions: Local control after radiation therapy was encouraging for pulmonary metastases from most nonlung primaries, even for many of those classically considered to be radioresistant. Those from colorectal primaries may benefit from testing additional strategies, such as resection or systemic treatment concurrent with radiation.

Efficacy of empirical Ciprofloxacin or Cefixime plus Metronidazole therapy for the treatment of liver abscess: a randomized control clinical trial.

Liver abscess is a potentially life-threatening medical emergency. Prompt empirical antimicrobial with or without percutaneous aspiration or drainage is therapeutic. The rational for using empirical intravenous broad-spectrum antimicrobials upfront instead of oral Fluoroquinolone or Cephalosporin is contentious. In this double blind randomized control clinical trial 69 participants received Ciprofloxacin (500 mg q 12 hourly) and 71 participants received Cefixime (200 mg q 12 hourly) orally for 2 weeks. Both the group received oral Metronidazole (800 mg q 8 hourly) for 2 weeks and percutaneous drainage or aspiration of the abscess was done as per indication and followed-up for 8 weeks. Out of 140 participants, 89.3% (N = 125) achieved clinical cure, 59 (85.5%) in Ciprofloxacin group and 66 (93%) in Cefixime group (p = 0.154). Mean duration of antimicrobial therapy was 16.2 ± 4.3 days, 15.1 ± 4.5 days in Ciprofloxacin group and 16.0 ± 4.2 days in Cefixime group (p = 0.223). Total 15 (10.7%) participants had treatment failure, 10 (14.5%) in Ciprofloxacin group and 5 (7.0%) in Cefixime group (p = 0.154). The most common reason for treatment failure was need of prolong (> 4 weeks) antimicrobial therapy due to persistent hepatic collection requiring drainage, which was significantly (p = 0.036) higher in Ciprofloxacin (14.5%, N = 10) group, compared to the Cefixime (4.2%, N = 3) group. In conclusion, both, the Ciprofloxacin or Cefixime plus Metronidazole for duration of 2-3 weeks were efficacious as empirical oral antimicrobial regimen along with prompt percutaneous drainage or aspiration for the treatment of uncomplicated liver abscess with similar efficacy. Oral Cefixime was better than Ciprofloxacin in term of lesser chance of treatment failure due to persistent collection which is required to be investigated further in larger clinical trial.Trial registration: clinicaltrials.gov PRS ID: NCT03969758, 31/05/2019.

APASL clinical practice guidelines on the management of acute kidney injury in acute-on-chronic liver failure.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome that is characterized by the rapid development of organ failures predisposing these patients to a high risk of short-term early death. The main causes of organ failure in these patients are bacterial infections and systemic inflammation, both of which can be severe. For the majority of these patients, a prompt liver transplant is still the only effective course of treatment. Kidneys are one of the most frequent extrahepatic organs that are affected in patients with ACLF, since acute kidney injury (AKI) is reported in 22.8-34% of patients with ACLF. Approach and management of kidney injury could improve overall outcomes in these patients. Importantly, patients with ACLF more frequently have stage 3 AKI with a low rate of response to the current treatment modalities. The objective of the present position paper is to critically review and analyze the published data on AKI in ACLF, evolve a consensus, and provide recommendations for early diagnosis, pathophysiology, prevention, and management of AKI in patients with ACLF. In the absence of direct evidence, we propose expert opinions for guidance in managing AKI in this very challenging group of patients and focus on areas of future research. This consensus will be of major importance to all hepatologists, liver transplant surgeons, and intensivists across the globe.

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) outperforms acoustic force radiation impulse (ARFI) in predicting oesophageal varices in obese NAFLD cirrhosis.

PURPOSE: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography has been shown to underperform in high-risk varices (HRVs) prediction in obese non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) compensated cirrhosis (CC). LSM by magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) and acoustic force radiation impulse (ARFI) has been shown to be useful in prediction of oesophageal varices (EVs), but has limited evidence in obese NAFLD-CC. METHODS: Obese patients with NAFLD-CC who underwent MRE and ARFI for LSM and endoscopy for screening of varices were enrolled. Performance of MRE and ARFI for predicting EVs or HRVs was evaluated using area under receiver operating characteristics (AUROC) curves and regression analyses were performed for predictor variables. RESULTS: One hundred eight patients [mean age 54.7 ± 9.6 years, median BMI, 28.5 (26.4-30.0) kg/m2. 72.2% diabetics, 45.4% hypertensive] were enrolled. Fifty-two (48.1%) had no varices, while 29 (26.8%) and 27 (25%) had low-risk varices (LRVs) and HRVs, respectively. MRE-LSM was higher in patients with LRVs (p = 0.01) or HRVs (p = 0.001) against those without varices. ARFI-LSM did not differ significantly between those without and with LRVs or HRVs (p > 0.05 for all). There was a low correlation between ARFI-LSM and MRE-LSM in the overall cohort (r = 0.19). Only platelet count (PC) [0.98 (0.97-0.99)] and MRE-LSM [1.8 (1.26-2.79)] were predictors of HRVs. At a cut-off of 4.75, MRE showed a sensitivity of 96.3%. Model combining MRE-LSM with PC had a diagnostic AUROC of 0.77 and 0.76 for EVs and HRVs. CONCLUSION: In obese NAFLD-CC, MRE-LSM is significantly higher in patients with varices. MRE combined with PC predicts EVs and HRVs with better accuracy than ARFI.

Exploring the Prevalence, Predictors, and Impact of Bacterial Infections to Guide Empiric Antimicrobial Decisions in Cirrhosis (EPIC-AD).

Background/Aims: This study delved into cirrhosis-related infections to unveil their epidemiology, risk factors, and implications for antimicrobial decisions. Methods: We analyzed acutely decompensated cirrhosis patients (n = 971) from North India between 2013-2023 at a tertiary center. Microbiological and clinical features based on infection sites (EASL criteria) and patient outcomes were assessed. Results: Median age was 45 years; 87% were males with 47% having alcoholic hepatitis. Of these, 675 (69.5%) had infections; 305 (45%) were culture-confirmed. Notably, 71% of confirmed cases were multi-drug resistant organisms (MDRO)-related, chiefly carbapenem-resistant (48%). MDRO prevalence was highest in pulmonary (80.5%) and skin-soft-tissue infections (76.5%). Site-specific distribution and antimicrobials were suggested. Predictive models identified prior hospitalization [OR:2.23 (CI:1.58-3.14)], norfloxacin prophylaxis [OR:2.26 (CI:1.44-3.55)], prior broad-spectrum antibiotic exposure [OR:1.61 (CI:1.12-2.30)], presence of systemic inflammatory response-SIRS [OR:1.75 (CI: 1.23-2.47)], procalcitonin [OR:4.64 (CI:3.36-6.40)], and HE grade [OR:1.41 (CI:1.04-1.90)], with an area under curve; AUC of 0.891 for infection prediction. For MDRO infection prediction, second infection [OR: 7.19 (CI: 4.11-12.56)], norfloxacin prophylaxis [OR: 2.76 (CI: 1.84-4.13)], CLIF-C OF [OR: 1.10 (CI: 1.01-1.20)], prior broad-spectrum antibiotic exposure [OR: 1.66 (CI: 1.07-2.55)], rifaximin [OR: 040 (0.22-0.74)] multisite [OR: 3.67 (CI: 1.07-12.56)], and polymicrobial infection [OR: 4.55 (CI: 1.45-14.17)] yielded an AUC of 0.779 and 93% specificity. Norfloxacin prophylaxis, multisite infection, mechanical ventilation, prior broad-spectrum antibiotic exposure, and infection as acute precipitant predicted carbapenem-resistant infection (AUC: 0.821). Infections (culture-proven or probable), MDROs, carbapenem/pan-drug resistance, and second infections independently linked with mortality (P < 0.001), adjusted for age, leucocytosis, and organ failures. A model incorporating age [HR:1.02 (CI: 1.01-1.03), infection [HR:1.52 (CI: 1.05-2.20)], prior hospitalization [HR:5.33 (CI: 3.75-7.57)], norfloxacin [HR:1.29 (CI: 1.01-1.65)], multisite infection [HR:1.47 (CI:1.06-2.04)], and chronic liver failure consortium-organ failure score; CLIF-C OF [HR:1.17 (CI: 1.11-1.23)] predicted mortality with C-statistics of 0.782 (P < 0.05). Conclusion: High MDRO burden, especially carbapenem-resistant, necessitates urgent control measures in cirrhosis. Site-specific epidemiology and risk models can guide empirical antimicrobial choices in cirrhosis management.

Clinical criteria accurately diagnose severe but not moderate alcohol-associated hepatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: The precision of clinical criteria and the utility of liver biopsy for diagnosis or prognosis remain unclear in patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH). We systematically reviewed the literature to answer these questions. METHODS: Four databases were searched for studies describing the precision of clinical criteria (National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, European Association for Study of Liver, or classical) and the role of histology in AH. The precision(positive predictive value) of criteria was pooled through random-effects meta-analysis, and its variation was investigated through subgroups and meta-regression of study-level factors with their percent contribution to variation (R2). The risk of bias among studies was evaluated through the QUADAS2 tool (PROSPERO-ID-CRD4203457250). RESULTS: Of 4320 studies, 18 in the systematic review and 15 (10/5: low/high risk of bias, N=1639) were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled precision of clinical criteria was 80.2% (95% CI: 69.7-89.7, I2:93%, p < 0.01), higher in studies with severe AH (mean-Model for End-Stage Liver Disease > 20) versus moderate AH (mean-Model for End-Stage Liver Disease < 20): 92% versus 67.1%, p < 0.01, and in studies with serum bilirubin cutoff 5 versus 3 mg/dL (88.5% vs.78.8%, p = 0.01). The factors contributing to variation in precision were Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (R2:72.7%), upper gastrointestinal bleed (R2:56.3%), aspartate aminotransferase:aspartate aminotransferase ratio (R2:100%), clinical criteria (R2:40.9%), bilirubin (R2:22.5%), and Mallory body on histology (R2:19.1%).The net inter-pathologist agreement for histologic findings of AH was variable (0.33-0.97), best among 2 studies describing AH through simple and uniform criteria, including steatosis, ballooning, and neutrophilic inflammation. Few studies reported the utility of histology in estimating steroid responsiveness (N = 1) and patient prognosis (N = 4); however, very broad septa, pericellular fibrosis, and cholestasis were associated with mortality. Bilirubinostasis was associated with infection in 1 study. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical criteria are reasonably precise for diagnosing severe AH, while there is an unmet need for better criteria for diagnosing moderate AH. Histologic diagnosis of AH should be simple and uniform.

Ammonia is associated with liver-related complications and predicts mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients.

The relationship between ammonia and liver-related complications (LRCs) in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients is not clearly established. This study aimed to evaluate the association between ammonia levels and LRCs in patients with ACLF. The study also evaluated the ability of ammonia in predicting mortality and progression of LRCs. The study prospectively recruited ACLF patients based on the APASL definition from the ACLF Research Consortium (AARC) from 2009 to 2019. LRCs were a composite endpoint of bacterial infection, overt hepatic encephalopathy (HE), and ascites. A total of 3871 cases were screened. Of these, 701 ACLF patients were enrolled. Patients with LRCs had significantly higher ammonia levels than those without. Ammonia was significantly higher in patients with overt HE and ascites, but not in those with bacterial infection. Multivariate analysis found that ammonia was associated with LRCs. Additionally, baseline arterial ammonia was an independent predictor of 30-day mortality, but it was not associated with the development of new LRCs within 30 days. In summary, baseline arterial ammonia levels are associated with 30-day mortality and LRCs, mainly overt HE and ascites in ACLF patients.