Rheumatoid arthritis presenting with mono- or oligo-arthritis and high VAS remains most fatigued during 5-years follow-up.

OBJECTIVES: The severity of fatigue in rheumatoid arthritis (RA) has hardly improved in recent decades, leaving a large unmet need. Fortunately, not all RA-patients suffer from persistent fatigue, but the subgroup of patients who suffer the most is insufficiently recognizable at diagnosis. As disease activity is partly coupled to fatigue, Disease-Activity-Score (DAS)-components may associate with the course of fatigue. We aimed to identify the RA-patients who remain fatigued by studying DAS-components at diagnosis in relation to the course of fatigue over a 5-year follow-up period in two independent early RA-cohorts. METHODS: 1560 consecutive RA-patients included in the Leiden Early Arthritis Cohort and 415 RA-patients included in the tREACH-Cohort were studied. Swollen joint count, tender joint count, ESR and Patient Global Assessment (Visual Analogue Scale(VAS),0-100 mm) were studied in relation to fatigue(VAS, 0-100mm) during 5-years using linear mixed models. RESULTS: Higher TJC and PGA at diagnosis were associated with a more severe course of fatigue. The SJC, in contrast, showed an inverse association; patients with mono- or oligo-arthritis at diagnosis remained more fatigued. The combination of aforementioned characteristics revealed that patients presenting with a mono- or oligo-arthritis and PGA ≥ 50 remained the most fatigued over time(+20mm vs polyarthritis with PGA < 50), whilst the DAS-course over time was not different. This subgroup comprised 14% of the early RA-population. Data from the tREACH-cohort showed similar findings. CONCLUSION: RA-patients who remain the most fatigued are characterized by mono- or oligo-arthritis and high PGA(VAS ≥ 50) at diagnosis. This understanding may enable early-intervention with non-pharmacological approaches in dedicated patient groups.

Joint involvement in RA starts predominantly in the hands: functional, clinical and imaging studies in clinically suspect arthralgia and during progression to RA.

OBJECTIVES: It is unknown whether rheumatoid arthritis (RA) starts in hands or feet. To investigate this, we performed functional, clinical and imaging studies during progression from clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA) to RA. Additionally, we studied whether functional disabilities of hands/feet at CSA onset contribute to predicting RA development. METHODS: 600 patients with CSA were followed for clinical inflammatory arthritis (IA) during median follow-up of 25 months, during which 99 developed IA. Functional disabilities were measured at baseline/4/12/24 months with the Health Assessment Questionnaire Disability Index (HAQ); HAQ items assessing hand disabilities and foot disabilities were selected. The course of disabilities towards IA development (here considered as t=0) was depicted by increasing incidences and analysed using linear mixed models. To evaluate robustness of findings, tender hand/foot joints and subclinical joint inflammation (measured with CE-1.5TMRI) of hand/foot were additionally studied. Associations between disabilities at CSA presentation (here t=0) and future IA development were studied using Cox regression in the total CSA population. RESULTS: During IA development, hand disabilities occurred earlier and more frequently than foot disabilities. Despite both hand disabilities and foot disabilities rose significantly towards IA development, hand disabilities were more severe during this course (mean difference over time: 0.41 units, 95% CI 0.28 to 0.55, p<0.001, on a range 0-3). Similar to functional disabilities, tender joints and subclinical joint inflammation occurred earlier in the hands than feet. In the total CSA population, a single HAQ question on difficulties with dressing (hand functioning) was independently predictive for IA development: HR=2.2, 95% CI 1.4 to 3.5, p=0.001. CONCLUSION: Evaluation of functional disabilities, supported by clinical and imaging findings, revealed that joint involvement starts predominantly in the hands during RA development. Additionally, a single question on dressing difficulties adds value to risk stratification in patients with CSA.

Machine learning identifies a profile of inadequate responder to methotrexate in rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: Around 30% of patients with RA have an inadequate response to MTX. We aimed to use routine clinical and biological data to build machine learning models predicting EULAR inadequate response to MTX and to identify simple predictive biomarkers. METHODS: Models were trained on RA patients fulfilling the 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria from the ESPOIR and Leiden EAC cohorts to predict the EULAR response at 9 months (± 6 months). Several models were compared on the training set using the AUROC. The best model was evaluated on an external validation cohort (tREACH). The model's predictions were explained using Shapley values to extract a biomarker of inadequate response. RESULTS: We included 493 therapeutic sequences from ESPOIR, 239 from EAC and 138 from tREACH. The model selected DAS28, Lymphocytes, Creatininemia, Leucocytes, AST, ALT, swollen joint count and corticosteroid co-treatment as predictors. The model reached an AUROC of 0.72 [95% CI (0.63, 0.80)] on the external validation set, where 70% of patients were responders to MTX. Patients predicted as inadequate responders had only 38% [95% CI (20%, 58%)] chance to respond and using the algorithm to decide to initiate MTX would decrease inadequate-response rate from 30% to 23% [95% CI: (17%, 29%)]. A biomarker was identified in patients with moderate or high activity (DAS28 > 3.2): patients with a lymphocyte count superior to 2000 cells/mm3 are significantly less likely to respond. CONCLUSION: Our study highlights the usefulness of machine learning in unveiling subgroups of inadequate responders to MTX to guide new therapeutic strategies. Further work is needed to validate this approach.

Towards a simplified fluid-sensitive MRI protocol in small joints of the hand in early arthritis patients: reliability between modified Dixon and regular Gadolinium enhanced TSE fat saturated MRI-sequences.

OBJECTIVE: MRI of small joints plays an important role in the early detection and early treatment of rheumatoid arthritis. Despite its sensitivity to demonstrate inflammation, clinical use is hampered by accessibility, long scan time, intravenous contrast, and consequent high costs. To improve the feasibility of MRI implementation in clinical practice, we introduce a modified Dixon sequence, which does not require contrast and reduces total acquisition time to 6 min. Because the reliability in relation to conventional MRI sequences is unknown, we determined this. METHODS: In 29 consecutive early arthritis patients, coronal and axial T2-weighted modified Dixon acquisitions on 3.0 T MRI scanner were acquired from metacarpophalangeal 2-5 to the wrist, followed by the standard contrast-enhanced protocol on 1.5 T extremity MRI. Two readers scored osteitis, synovitis and tenosynovitis (summed as total MRI-inflammation), and erosions (all summed as total Rheumatoid Arthritis MRI Score (RAMRIS)). Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) between readers, and comparing the two sequences, were studied. Spearman correlations were determined. RESULTS: Performance between readers was good/excellent. Comparing modified Dixon and conventional sequences revealed good/excellent reliability: ICC for total MRI-inflammation score was 0.84 (95% CI:0.70-0.92), for erosions 0.90 (95% CI:0.79-0.96), and for the total RAMRIS score 0.88 (95% CI:0.77-0.94). The scores of total MRI-inflammation, total erosions, and total RAMRIS were highly correlated (ρ = 0.80, ρ = 0.81, ρ = 0.82, respectively). CONCLUSION: The modified Dixon protocol is reliable compared to the conventional MRI protocol, suggesting it is accurate to detect MRI inflammation. The good correlation may be the first step towards a patient-friendly, short and affordable MRI protocol, which can facilitate the implementation of MRI for early detection of inflammation in rheumatology practice.

Intervention with methotrexate in patients with arthralgia at risk of rheumatoid arthritis to reduce the development of persistent arthritis and its disease burden (TREAT EARLIER): a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, proof-of-concept trial.

BACKGROUND: Rheumatoid arthritis is the most common autoimmune disease worldwide and requires long-term treatment to suppress inflammation. Currently, treatment is started when arthritis is clinically apparent. We aimed to evaluate whether earlier intervention, in the preceding phase of arthralgia and subclinical joint inflammation, could prevent the development of clinical arthritis or reduce the disease burden. METHODS: We conducted a randomised, double-blind, placebo-controlled, proof-of-concept-trial at the Leiden University Medical Centre, Leiden, Netherlands. Adults aged 18 years or older with arthralgia clinically suspected of progressing to rheumatoid arthritis and MRI-detected subclinical joint inflammation were eligible for enrolment across 13 rheumatology outpatient clinics in the southwest region of the Netherlands and randomly assigned (1:1) to a single intramuscular glucocorticoid injection (120 mg) and a 1-year course of oral methotrexate (up to 25 mg/week), or placebo (single injection and tablets for 1 year). Participants and investigators were masked to group assignment. Follow-up continued for 1 year after the end of the 1-year treatment period. The primary endpoint was development of clinical arthritis (fulfilling the 2010 rheumatoid arthritis classification criteria or involving two or more joints) that persisted for at least 2 weeks. Patient-reported physical functioning, symptoms, and work productivity were secondary endpoints, which were measured every 4 months. Additionally, the course of MRI-detected inflammation was studied. All participants entered the intention-to-treat analysis. This trial is registered with EudraCT, 2014-004472-35, and the Netherlands Trial Register, NTR4853-trial-NL4599. FINDINGS: Between April 16, 2015, and Sept 11, 2019, 901 patients were assessed for eligibility and 236 were enrolled and randomly assigned to active treatment (n=119) or placebo (n=117). At 2 years, the frequency of the primary endpoint was similar between the groups (23 [19%] of 119 participants in the treatment group vs 21 [18%] of 117 in the placebo group; hazard ratio 0·81, 95% CI 0·45 to 1·48). Physical functioning improved more in the treatment group during the first 4 months and remained better than in the placebo group (mean between-group difference in Health Assessment Questionnaire disability index over 2 years: -0·09, 95% CI -0·16 to -0·03; p=0·0042). Similarly, pain (on scale 0-100, mean between-group difference: -8, 95% CI -12 to -4; p<0·0001), morning stiffness of joints (-12, -16 to -8; p<0·0001), presenteeism (-8%, -13 to -3; p=0·0007), and MRI-detected joint inflammation (-1·4 points, -2·0 to -0·9; p<0·0001) showed sustained improvement in the treatment group compared with the placebo group. The number of serious adverse events was equal in both groups; adverse events were consistent with the known safety profile for methotrexate. INTERPRETATION: Methotrexate, the cornerstone treatment of rheumatoid arthritis, initiated at the pre-arthritis stage of symptoms and subclinical inflammation, did not prevent the development of clinical arthritis, but modified the disease course as shown by sustained improvement in MRI-detected inflammation, related symptoms, and impairments compared with placebo. FUNDING: Dutch Research Council (NWO; Dutch Arthritis Society).

Sustained DMARD-free remission in rheumatoid arthritis - about concepts and moving towards practice.

Sustained DMARD-free remission (SDFR) is the best possible outcome in RA. It is characterized by sustained absence of clinical arthritis, which is accompanied by resolution of symptoms and restoration of normal physical functioning. Therefore it's the best proxy for cure in RA. The mechanisms underlying SDFR-development are yet unidentified. Hypothetically, there are two possible scenarios. The first hypothesis is based on the concept of regaining immune-tolerance, which implies that RA-patients are similar at diagnosis and that disease-processes during the disease-course shift into a favorable direction, resulting in regaining a state in which arthritis is persistently absent. This could imply that SDFR is theoretically achievable for all RA-patients. The alternative hypothesis is that RA-patients who achieve SDFR are intrinsically different from those who cannot. This would imply that DMARD-cessation could be restricted to a subgroup of RA-patients. Since the 1990s, DMARD-discontinuation and SDFR have been increasingly studied as long-term-outcome in RA. In this review, we describe hitherto results of clinical, genetic, serological, histological and imaging studies and looked for arguments for the first or second hypothesis in both auto-antibody-positive and auto-antibody-negative RA. In auto-antibody-negative RA, SDFR is presumably restricted to a subgroup of patients with high serological-markers of inflammation at diagnosis and a rapid and sustained decrease in inflammation after treatment-start. Identifying these RA-patients could be helpful in realizing personalized-medicine. In auto-antibody-positive RA, only few patients achieve SDFR and no definite conclusions can be drawn, but data could suggest that SDFR-patients might be a subgroup with relatively low inflammation from disease-presentation onwards.

ACPA-negative and ACPA-positive RA patients achieving disease resolution demonstrate distinct patterns of MRI-detected joint-inflammation.

OBJECTIVES: Although sustained DMARD-free remission (SDFR; sustained absence of clinical-synovitis after DMARD-discontinuation) is increasingly achievable in RA, prevalence differs between ACPA-negative (40%) and ACPA-positive RA (5-10%). Additionally, early DAS remission (DAS4months<1.6) is associated with achieving SDFR in ACPA-negative, but not in ACPA-positive RA. Based on these differences, we hypothesized that longitudinal patterns of local tissue inflammation (synovitis/tenosynovitis/osteitis) also differ between ACPA-negative and ACPA-positive RA patients achieving SDFR. With the ultimate aim being to increase understanding of disease resolution in RA, we studied MRI-detected joint inflammation over time in relation to SDFR development in ACPA-positive RA and ACPA-negative RA. METHODS: A total of 198 RA patients (94 ACPA-negative, 104 ACPA-positive) underwent repeated MRIs (0/4/12/24 months) and were followed on SDFR development. The course of MRI-detected total inflammation, and synovitis/tenosynovitis/osteitis individually were compared between RA patients who did and did not achieve SDFR, using Poisson mixed models. In total, 174 ACPA-positive RA patients from the AVERT-1 were studied as ACPA-positive validation population. RESULTS: In ACPA-negative RA, baseline MRI-detected inflammation levels of patients achieving SDFR were similar to patients without SDFR but declined 2.0 times stronger in the first year of DMARD treatment [IRR 0.50 (95% CI; 0.32, 0.77); P < 0.01]. This stronger decline was seen in tenosynovitis/synovitis/osteitis. In contrast, ACPA-positive RA-patients achieving SDFR, had already lower inflammation levels (especially synovitis/osteitis) at disease presentation [IRR 0.45 (95% CI; 0.24, 0.86); P = 0.02] compared with patients without SDFR, and remained lower during subsequent follow-up (P = 0.02). Similar results were found in the ACPA-positive validation population. CONCLUSION: Compared with RA patients without disease resolution, ACPA-positive RA patients achieving SDFR have less severe joint inflammation from diagnosis onwards, while ACPA-negative RA patients present with similar inflammation levels but demonstrate a stronger decline in the first year of DMARD therapy. These different trajectories suggest different mechanisms underlying resolution of RA chronicity in both RA subsets.

An ultrasound negative for subclinical synovitis in arthralgia patients: is it helpful in identifying those not developing arthritis?

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the negative predictive value (NPV) of musculoskeletal US (MSUS) in arthralgia patients at risk for developing inflammatory arthritis. METHODS: An MSUS examination of hands and feet was performed in arthralgia patients at risk for inflammatory arthritis in four independent cohorts. Patients were followed for one-year on the development of inflammatory arthritis. Subclinical synovitis was defined as greyscale ≥2 and/or power Doppler ≥1. NPVs were determined and compared with the prior risks of not developing inflammatory arthritis. Outcomes were pooled using meta-analyses and meta-regression analyses. In sensitivity analyses, MSUS imaging of tender joints only (rather than the full US protocol) was analysed and ACPA stratification applied. RESULTS: After 1 year 78, 82, 77 and 72% of patients in the four cohorts did not develop inflammatory arthritis. The NPV of a negative US was 86, 85, 82 and 90%, respectively. The meta-analysis showed a pooled non-inflammatory arthritis prevalence of 79% (95% CI 75%, 83%) and a pooled NPV of 86% (95% CI 81, 89%). Imaging tender joints only (as generally done in clinical practice) and ACPA stratification showed similar results. CONCLUSION: A negative US result in arthralgia has a high NPV for not developing inflammatory arthritis, which is mainly due to the high a priori risk of not developing inflammatory arthritis. The added value of a negative US (<10% increase) was limited.

Hand and foot MRI in contemporary undifferentiated arthritis: in which patients is MRI valuable to detect rheumatoid arthritis early? A large prospective study.

OBJECTIVES: Identifying patients that will develop RA among those presenting with undifferentiated arthritis (UA) remains a clinical dilemma. Although MRI is helpful according to EULAR recommendations, this has only been determined in UA patients not fulfilling 1987 RA criteria, while some of these patients are currently considered as RA because they fulfil the 2010 criteria. Therefore, we studied the predictive value of MRI for progression to RA in the current UA population, i.e. not fulfilling RA classification criteria (either 1987 or 2010 criteria) and not having an alternate diagnosis. Additionally, the value of MRI was studied in patients with a clinical diagnosis of UA, regardless of the classification criteria. METHODS: Two UA populations were studied: criteria-based UA as described above (n = 405) and expert-opinion-based UA (n = 564), i.e. UA indicated by treating rheumatologists. These patients were retrieved from a large cohort of consecutively included early arthritis patients that underwent contrast-enhanced MRI scans of hand and foot at baseline. MRIs were scored for osteitis, synovitis and tenosynovitis. Patients were followed for RA development during the course of 1 year. Test characteristics of MRI were determined separately for subgroups based on joint involvement and autoantibody status. RESULTS: Among criteria-based UA patients (n = 405), 21% developed RA. MRI-detected synovitis and MRI-detected tenosynovitis were predictive for progression to RA. MRI-detected tenosynovitis was independently associated with RA progression (odds ratio (OR) 2.79; 95% CI 1.40, 5.58), especially within ACPA-negative UA patients (OR 2.91; 95% CI 1.42, 5.96). Prior risks of RA development for UA patients with mono-, oligo- and polyarthritis were 3%, 19% and 46%, respectively. MRI results changed this risk most within the oligoarthritis subgroup: positive predictive value was 27% and negative predictive value 93%. Similar results were found in expert-opinion-based UA (n = 564). CONCLUSION: This large cohort study showed that MRI is most valuable in ACPA-negative UA patients with oligoarthritis; a negative MRI could aid in preventing overtreatment.

Determining in which pre-arthritis stage HLA-shared epitope alleles and smoking exert their effect on the development of rheumatoid arthritis.

OBJECTIVES: The human leukocyte antigen-shared epitope (HLA-SE) alleles and smoking are the most prominent genetic and environmental risk factors for rheumatoid arthritis (RA). However, at which pre-arthritis stage (asymptomatic/symptomatic) they exert their effect is unknown. We aimed to determine whether HLA-SE and smoking are involved in the onset of autoantibody positivity, symptoms (clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA)) and/or progression to clinical arthritis. METHODS: We performed meta-analyses on results from the literature on associations of HLA-SE and smoking with anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) in the asymptomatic population. Next, we studied associations of HLA-SE and smoking with autoantibody positivity at CSA onset and with progression to clinical inflammatory arthritis (IA) during follow-up. Associations in ACPA-positive patients with CSA were validated in meta-analyses with other arthralgia cohorts. Analyses were repeated for rheumatoid factor (RF), anti-carbamylated protein antibodies (anti-CarP) and anti-acetylated protein antibodies (AAPA). RESULTS: Meta-analyses showed that HLA-SE is not associated with ACPA positivity in the asymptomatic population (OR 1.06 (95% CI:0.69 to 1.64)), whereas smoking was associated (OR 1.37 (95% CI: 1.15 to 1.63)). At CSA onset, both HLA-SE and smoking associated with ACPA positivity (OR 2.08 (95% CI: 1.24 to 3.49), OR 2.41 (95% CI: 1.31 to 4.43)). During follow-up, HLA-SE associated with IA development (HR 1.86 (95% CI: 1.23 to 2.82)), in contrast to smoking. This was confirmed in meta-analyses in ACPA-positive arthralgia (HR 1.52 (95% CI: 1.08 to 2.15)). HLA-SE and smoking were not associated with RF, anti-CarP or AAPA-positivity at CSA onset. Longitudinally, AAPA associated with IA development independent from ACPA and RF (HR 1.79 (95% CI: 1.02 to 3.16)), anti-CarP did not. CONCLUSIONS: HLA-SE and smoking act at different stages: smoking confers risk for ACPA and symptom development, whereas HLA-SE mediates symptom and IA development. These data enhance the understanding of the timing of the key risk factors in the development of RA.

Undifferentiated arthritis: a changing population who did not benefit from enhanced disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drug strategies-results from a 25 year longitudinal inception cohort.

OBJECTIVES: International guidelines stress timely DMARD initiation in early arthritis as well as when classification criteria are not yet fulfilled. Consequently, undifferentiated arthritis (UA) patients may be increasingly treated with DMARDs. Since UA is a diagnosis of exclusion, the introduction of the 2010 classification criteria presumably decreased the UA population, as former UA patients became regarded as RA. Consequently, the contemporary definition of UA has changed into: no clinical diagnosis and not fulfilling the 1987 nor 2010 RA-criteria. Importantly, placebo-controlled trials on DMARD efficacy in contemporary UA are absent. We aimed to study whether enhanced treatment strategies across the last 25 years improved outcomes in contemporary UA, whereby inclusion period was used as instrumental variable for DMARD treatment. METHODS: UA was defined, retrospectively, as clinical arthritis (joint swelling at physical examination) neither fulfilling the 1987 nor 2010 RA-criteria or any other clinical diagnosis. In total, 1132 UA patients consecutively included in the Leiden Early Arthritis Clinic between 1993 and 2019 were divided into five inclusion periods: 1993-1997, 1998-2005, 2006-2010, 2011-2014 and 2015-2019. The frequency of DMARD initiation was compared across the inclusion periods, as were the following outcomes: 28-joint DAS with CRP (DAS28-CRP) and the HAQ Disability Index (HAQ-DI) during follow-up, prevalence of DMARD-free-status within 10 years (DFS; spontaneous remission or sustained remission after DMARD stop) and progression to RA (according 1987/2010 criteria). RESULTS: The contemporary UA population is mainly autoantibody negative, with a median swollen joint count of 2, tender joint count of 3 and HAQ score of 0.6. These characteristics were similar across the inclusion periods. DMARD treatment increased from 17% (1993-1997) to 52% (2015-2019) and methotrexate became more common. The DAS28-CRP during follow-up improved from 2011 onwards (-0.18 to -0.25 DAS units; P < 0.05). Disability scores during follow-up did not significantly improve. DFS prevalence also remained similar: 58%, 57% and 61% for 1993-1997, 1998-2005 and 2006-2010, respectively (P = 0.77). Likewise, the percentages of RA development did not decrease (14%, 21%, 26%, 18% and 27%, respectively). CONCLUSION: Although intensified DMARD treatment slightly improved disease activity scores, physical functioning and long-term outcomes did not improve. This suggests overtreatment in the contemporary UA population and underlines the importance of developing stratification methods suitable for this patient-population.