Do changes in SSEP amplitude over time predict the outcome of comatose survivors of cardiac arrest?

AIM: To assess if the amplitude of the N20 wave (N20Amp) of somatosensory evoked potentials (SSEPs) changes between 12-24 h and 72 h from the return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC) after cardiac arrest and if an N20Amp decrease predicts poor neurological outcome (CPC 3-5) at six months. SETTING: Retrospective analysis of the ProNeCA multicentre prognostication study dataset. (NCT03849911). METHODS: In adult comatose cardiac arrest survivors whose SSEPs were recorded at both 12-24 h and 72 h after ROSC, we measured the median N20Amp at each timepoint and the individual change in N20Amp across the two timepoints. We identified their cutoffs for predicting poor outcome with 0% false positive rate (FPR) and compared their sensitivities. RESULTS: We included 236 patients. The median [IQR] N20Amp increased from 1.90 [0.78-4.22] µV to 2.86 [1.52-5.10] µV between 12-24 h and 72 h (p = 0.0019). The N20Amp cutoff for 0% FPR increased from 0.6 µV at 12-24 h to 1.23 µV at 72 h, and its sensitivity increased from 56[48-64]% to 71[63-77]%. Between 12-24 h and 72 h, an N20Amp decrease > 53% predicted poor outcome with 0[0-5]% FPR and 26[19-35]% sensitivity. Its combination with an N20Amp < 1.23 µV at 72 h increased sensitivity by 1% to 72[64-79]%. CONCLUSION: In comatose cardiac arrest survivors, the median N20Amp and its cutoff for predicting poor neurological outcome increase between 12-24 and 72 h after ROSC. An N20Amp decrease greater than 53% between these two timepoints predicts poor outcome with 0% FPR, confirming the unfavourable prognostic signal of a low N20Amp at 72 h.

ALS incidence and population aging in Northern Italy.

Objective: Data on and increase of the incidence of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) are conflicting and reflect the use of differing populations and designs. We investigated the incidence of ALS using data from a large population-based registry (SLALOM) in two three-year periods using the same diagnostic criteria and equal methods of case ascertainment. Methods: The registry is based in Lombardy, a 10 million population area of Northern Italy. Using different sources of cases (hospital discharge and ambulatory records, regional claims and prescription records) from nine Lombardy provinces (population, 5,485,163), all patients with newly diagnosed ALS during the periods 1998-2000 and 2008-2010 were included. Results: A total of 235 and 440 newly diagnosed patients were traced during the two study periods. The corresponding incidence rates were, respectively, 1.61 and 2.72 per 100,000 person-years. Data varied with age, sex and province by a significant increase was found only in men aged 65 through 74 years. Conclusions: Based on our findings, the increased incidence of ALS with time is real and can be largely interpreted as a reflection of the advancing age of the general population.

Trends in survival of ALS from a population-based registry.

Objective: To assess survival of ALS patients in general and in selected demographic and clinical subgroups comparing two periods (1998-2000 vs. 2008-2010). Methods: Newly diagnosed adults resident of Lombardy, Northern Italy from a population-based registry were included. Data were collected on age at diagnosis, sex, site of onset, diagnostic delay, and El-Escorial diagnostic category. Patients were followed until death or last observation. Survival was evaluated using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox's proportional hazards models. Results: In 2008-2010 (267 patients), median survival was 2.4 years and 1-year, 2-year, 3-year and 5-year survival rates were 79%, 56%, 41% and 24%. Longer survival was associated with male sex, younger age, spinal onset, and longer diagnostic delay. Multivariable analysis confirmed higher death in 65-69yr (HR 2.8; 95% CI 1.4-5.6), 70-74yr (HR 3.2; 95% CI 1.6-6.3) and 75 + yr (HR 6.9; 95% CI 3.5-13.8) categories, compared to ≤49yr, in females (HR 1.4; 95% CI 1.02-1.8), compared to males, and in patients diagnosed after 6-12 months (HR 1.9; 95% CI 1.4-2.7), compared with longer diagnostic delay. In 1998-2000 (235 patients), median survival was 2.2 years. The 1-year, 2-year, 3-year and 5-year survival rates were 77%, 53%, 38% and 20%. When adjusting for demographic and clinical variables, the HR for death in 2008-2010 versus 1998-2000 was 0.80 (95% CI 0.66-0.98). A significant increase of survival in 2008-2010 was found only in patients aged 50-59yr and 70-74yr at diagnosis. Conclusions: Survival of ALS has increased over time in the last decades, especially in middle aged and elderly patients. The benefits of comprehensive care in selected age groups might explain our findings.

SSEP amplitude accurately predicts both good and poor neurological outcome early after cardiac arrest; a post-hoc analysis of the ProNeCA multicentre study.

AIM: To assess if, in comatose resuscitated patients, the amplitude of the N20 wave (N20amp) of somatosensory evoked potentials (SSEP) can predict 6-months neurological outcome. SETTING: Multicentre study in 13 Italian intensive care units. METHODS: The N20amp in microvolts (µV) was measured at 12 h, 24 h, and 72 h from cardiac arrest, along with pupillary reflex (PLR) and a 30-min EEG classified according to the ACNS terminology. Sensitivity and false positive rate (FPR) of N20amp alone or in combination were calculated. RESULTS: 403 patients (age 69[58-68] years) were included. At 12 h, an N20amp >3 µV predicted good neurological outcome (Cerebral Performance Categories [CPC] 1-2) with 61[50-72]% sensitivity and 11[6-18]% FPR. Combining it with a benign (continuous or nearly continuous) EEG increased sensitivity to 91[82-96]%. For poor outcome (CPC 3-5), an N20Amp ≤0.38 µV, ≤0.73 µV and ≤1.01 µV at 12 h, 24 h, and 72 h, respectively, had 0% FPR with sensitivity ranging from 61[51-69]% and 82[76-88]%. Sensitivity was higher than that of a bilaterally absent N20 at all time points. At 12 h and 24 h, a highly malignant (suppression or burst-suppression) EEG and bilaterally absent PLR achieved 0% FPR only when combined with SSEP. A combination of all three predictors yielded a 0[0-4]% FPR, with maximum sensitivity of 44[36-53]%. CONCLUSION: At 12 h from arrest, a high N20Amp predicts good outcome with high sensitivity, especially when combined with benign EEG. At 12 h and 24 h from arrest a low-voltage N20amp has a high sensitivity and is more specific than EEG or PLR for predicting poor outcome.

Neurophysiology for predicting good and poor neurological outcome at 12 and 72 h after cardiac arrest: The ProNeCA multicentre prospective study.

AIMS: To assess the accuracy of electroencephalogram (EEG) and somatosensory evoked potentials (SEPs) recorded at 12 and 72 h from resuscitation for predicting six-months neurological outcome in patients who are comatose after cardiac arrest. METHODS: Prospective multicentre prognostication study. EEG was classified according to the American Clinical Neurophysiology Society terminology. SEPs were graded according to the presence and amplitude of their cortical responses. Neurological outcome was defined as good (cerebral performance categories [CPC] 1-3) vs. poor (CPC 4-5). None of the patients underwent withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment. RESULTS: A total of 351 patients were included, of whom 134 (38%) had good neurological outcome. At 12 h, a continuous, nearly continuous and low-voltage EEG pattern predicted good neurological outcome with 71[61-80]% sensitivity, while an isoelectric EEG and a bilaterally absent/absent-pathological amplitude (AA/AP) cortical SEP pattern predicted poor neurological outcome with 14[8-21]% and 59[50-68]% sensitivity, respectively. Specificity was 100[97-100]% for all predictors. At 72 h, both an isoelectric, suppression or burst-suppression pattern on EEG and an AA/AP SEP pattern predicted poor outcome with 100[97-100]% specificity. Their sensitivities were 63[55-70]% and 66[58-74]%, respectively. When EEG and SEPs were combined, sensitivity for poor outcome prediction increased to 79%. CONCLUSIONS: In comatose resuscitated patients, EEG and SEPs predicted good and poor neurological outcome respectively, with 100% specificity as early as 12 h after cardiac arrest. At 72 h after arrest, unfavourable EEG and SEP patterns predicted poor neurological outcome with 100% specificity and high sensitivity, which further increased after their combination.

Trauma and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a european population-based case-control study from the EURALS consortium.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the association between amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) and previous traumatic events, age of trauma, and site of injury. METHODS: A population-based case-control study was performed in five European countries (Italy, Ireland, France, United Kingdom, Serbia). Newly diagnosed ALS patients and matched controls were interviewed to collect relevant demographic factors and exposures. Key clinical features at diagnosis were collected in ALS patients. Trauma was any accidental event causing an injury. Injuries were dated and classified according to cause, severity, type, site, and complications. All exposures were censored five years before symptoms onset. Risks were computed as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using univariate and multivariate conditional logistic regression models. RESULTS: Five hundred and seventy-five ALS patients and 1150 controls were interviewed. Disabling traumatic events predominated in the cases (OR 1.54 (95% CI 1.24-1.92)) and maintained significance after adjustment, with a significant gradient. A history of 2 + head injuries was associated with an almost three-fold increased risk of ALS. The risk was almost two-fold when trauma occurred at age 35-54 years. Site of injury was uneventful. CONCLUSIONS: Traumatic events leading to functional disability or confined to the head are risk factors for ALS. Traumatic events experienced at age 35-54 years carry the highest risk.

Knowledge and attitudes towards epilepsy in Zambia: a questionnaire survey.

Misconception and stigma towards epilepsy have a profound impact on this disease in Africa. An unselected sample of Zambian people was interviewed to investigate their knowledge and attitudes towards epilepsy. Proper/improper answers were scored, and a composite score was developed with negative values for unsatisfactory awareness and high stigma levels. The sample comprised 231 people residing in urban (107) or in rural (124) areas. The median and interquartile range of scores for epilepsy awareness and stigma were, respectively, -1 (-3; +1) and +1 (-1; +6). Poor education was the only significant predictor of unsatisfactory awareness (p=0.0131), while education and residency were significantly associated with stigma (p<0.0001 and p=0.0004). Rural people were mostly in the highest stigma level (44.2%) and urban people in the lowest stigma level (60.4%). Misconception and negative attitudes towards epilepsy among Zambian people reflect poor education and rural residency.

Physical activity and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: a European population-based case-control study.

OBJECTIVE: To assess whether physical activity is a risk factor for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). METHODS: From February 2008 to April 2012, 652 patients with ALS from European population-based registries (France, Ireland, Italy, United Kingdom, Serbia) and 1,166 population controls (matched for age, sex, and residency) were assessed. Upon direct interview, data were collected on occupation and history of sport and leisure activities, physical activity, and accidental injuries. Physical exercise was defined as having spent time doing activities that caused an individual to breath hard at least once per month and was coded as none, job-related, and/or sport-related. Sport-related and work-related physical exercise were quantified using metabolic equivalents (METs). Risks were calculated using conditional logistic regression models (adjusting for age, country, trauma, and job-related physical activity) and expressed as odds ratios (ORs) and adjusted ORs (Adj ORs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Overall physical activity was associated with reduced odds of having ALS (Adj OR=0.65, 95% CI=0.48-0.89) as were work-related physical activity (Adj OR=0.56, 95% CI=0.36-0.87) and organized sports (Adj OR=0.49, 95% CI=0.32-0.75). An inverse correlation was observed between ALS, the duration of physical activity (p=0.0041), and the cumulative MET scores, which became significant for the highest exposure (Adj OR=0.34, 95% CI=0.21-0.54). An inverse correlation between ALS and sport was found in women but not in men, and in subjects with repeated traumatic events. INTERPRETATION: Physical activity is not a risk factor for ALS and may eventually be protective against the disease.

Outcome measures and prognostic indicators in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

The purpose of the study was to assess frequency and predictors of disability measures in ALS. One hundred and fourteen newly diagnosed patients resident in eight administrative districts of Lombardy, Italy (population 4,947,554), included in a population-based registry, were followed for 2570 person-months (mean 22.5 months). The cumulative time-dependent risk of wheelchair, percutaneous endoscopic gastrostomy, and assisted ventilation was estimated according to the Kaplan-Meier method. Predictors of disability (age, sex, disease duration at diagnosis, type of onset, El-Escorial diagnosis) were assessed with the Cox proportional hazard function. During follow-up, 29 patients (25.4%) became wheelchair bound, 51 (44.7%) received gastrostomy, and 47 (41.2%) received assisted ventilation. The median time to loss of ambulation was 46.7 months (95% CI 36.5-56.8). The median time to gastrostomy and assisted ventilation was 31.1 months (95% CI 26.8-35.4) and 34.6 months (95% CI 29.6-39.6), respectively. Spinal onset ALS was the only predictor of loss of ambulation. Predictors of gastrostomy were older age, definite ALS, and shorter disease duration. Shorter disease duration was the only predictor of assisted ventilation. In conclusion, patients with ALS differ in terms of measures and predictors of disability. These factors are sources of bias and confounding in randomized clinical trials.

Reliability of the El Escorial diagnostic criteria for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

BACKGROUND: The El Escorial diagnostic criteria are the most commonly used in clinical studies and therapeutic trials in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). The accuracy of the El Escorial criteria was tested in clinical practice, but the reliability is unknown when the diagnosis of ALS must be assessed on the basis of medical records. OBJECTIVE: To assess the reliability of the El Escorial criteria for the diagnosis of ALS in different settings. DESIGN AND METHODS: Semistructured forms were used to include the main diagnostic information on 20 patients with definite (n = 6), probable (n = 6), possible (n = 6), and suspected ALS (n = 2) and 19 patients with clinical conditions considered in the differential diagnosis. Agreement was tested by comparing the diagnosis made by the attending physician (the 'gold standard') with that of 4 raters with different backgrounds: a teaching neurologist with research and practical experience in the field of motor neuron disorders, a neurologist with specific interest in motor neuron disorders and neurophysiological background, a neurophysiologist, and a general neurologist with only occasional ALS patients. Sources of disagreement were discussed and the agreement was tested further on the medical records of 98 additional cases taken from an ongoing ALS registry. Eight additional cases (ALS: 4; other conditions: 4) were examined directly by the 4 raters. RESULTS: The interrater agreement on the medical records was poor (overall kappa 0.05-0.29). When the differential diagnosis was made between ALS (all diagnostic levels) and other conditions, interrater agreement was at best modest, with moderate variations when raters were compared in pairs (kappa 0.03-0.58) and when each rater was compared with the physician (kappa 0.27-0.51). Agreement was higher after direct examination of the patients (kappa 0.33-1) and increased significantly on the medical records after training (overall kappa 0.52-0.79). However, concordance was low (overall kappa 0.08-0.36), even after training, at the lowest diagnostic level (definite to suspected ALS vs. other conditions). CONCLUSIONS: The El Escorial criteria are a poor diagnostic indicator when patients' records are examined. Although medical education significantly improves the reliability of the criteria, concordance is still modest when the diagnosis includes suspected ALS.