RESUMEN
INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: The burden of chronic liver disease and cirrhosis continues to increase in North America. We sought to estimate the incidence and prevalence of cirrhosis in Manitoba, Canada over time and assess changes in trends between 2010-2019. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We performed a population-based study using Manitoba administrative health care data, and two validated case-finding algorithms. Annual incidence and prevalence rates were estimated using a generalized linear model with generalized estimating equations, adjusting for age and sex. Changes in estimates were tested using linear trend regression models. RESULTS: Two algorithms estimated the number of prevalent cirrhosis to be 16,140 and 29,943 respectively. The age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates increased over the study (from 149 to 264 cases per 100,000 population in 2010, to 177 to 388 cases per 100,000 population in 2019). Cirrhosis incidence increased annually by 2-6 %, with the largest increase (6-8 % 95 % CI 7-9 %, p <0.0001) in those aged 18-44 years. Irrespective of the algorithm used, females consistently exhibited higher cirrhosis incidence and prevalence compared to males over time (P <0.0001). Prevalence demonstrated an upward trend among all age groups over time for both algorithms (P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: This population-based study highlights concerning temporal trends in cirrhosis, characterized by rising annual incidence and prevalence estimates, particularly among young adults and females. These findings underscore the urgent need for comprehensive strategies that encompass prevention, early detection, and the delivery of high-quality healthcare and public health initiatives to effectively tackle this escalating health burden.
RESUMEN
OBJECTIVE: To determine the long-term risk of new adverse psychosocial outcomes among adolescents diagnosed with a concussion compared with those not diagnosed. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective, population-based cohort study was conducted. Adolescents (10-18 years) with a physician-diagnosed concussion between 2000 and 2005 were matched on neighborhood and age with 5 controls without concussion from the general population. New-onset mental health disorders, medication use, social, and justice outcomes were extracted using datasets linked to the population data repository. Adolescents were followed for 11-16 years. Adjusted hazard ratios (95% CIs) were estimated. RESULTS: In total, 2082 adolescents with a concussion were matched to 10â510 without. Adolescents with a concussion had an increased risk of any mental health disorder (HR 1.34; 95% CI 1.25-1.45), mood disorder (HR 1.30; 95% 1.18-1.43), psychosis (HR 1.43; 95% CI 1.18-1.74), substance abuse disorder (HR 1.67; 95% 1.31-2.14), and receiving a psychotropic prescription (HR 1.31; 95% CI 1.20-1.42). Female adolescents had an increased risk of ADHD following concussion (HR 1.89; 95% CI 1.17-3.05). Adolescents with a concussion had an increased risk of being accused (HR 1.22; 95% CI 1.11-1.34), victim (HR 1.29; 95% CI 1.11-1.48), or witness (HR 1.16; 95% CI 1.01-1.32) of a crime, or contact with Child and Family Services (HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.10-1.62). There was no association between concussion and attempting or completing suicide, receiving housing support, or collecting income support. CONCLUSIONS: Concussion was associated with an increased risk for multiple adverse psychosocial outcomes. Future work should focus on early identification of those at risk of these outcomes to help optimize longitudinal medical care and support.