Joint Associations of Pregnancy Complications and Postpartum Maternal Renal Biomarkers With Severe Cardiovascular Morbidities: A US Racially and Ethnically Diverse Prospective Birth Cohort Study.

Background Pregnancy complications are risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD). Little is known about the role of renal biomarkers measured shortly after delivery, individually or in combination with pregnancy complications, in predicting subsequent severe maternal CVD. Methods and Results This study included 566 mothers of diverse races and ethnicities from the Boston Birth cohort, enrolled at delivery and followed prospectively. Plasma creatinine and CysC (cystatin C) were measured 1 to 3 days after delivery. CVD during follow-up was defined by physician diagnoses in electronic medical records. Associations of renal biomarkers and pregnancy complications with time-to-CVD events were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. During an average of 10.3±3.2 years of follow-up, 30 mothers developed 1 or more CVDs. Only a modest association was observed between creatinine and risk of CVD. In comparison, we found that per 0.1 mg/L increase of CysC was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.2 (95% CI, 1.1-1.4) for CVD after adjusting for covariates. Compared with those without preeclampsia and with normal CysC level (≤75th percentile), mothers with preeclampsia and elevated CysC (>75th percentile) had the highest risk of CVD (HR, 4.6 [95% CI, 1.7-17.7]), whereas mothers with preeclampsia only or with elevated CysC only did not have significantly increased CVD risk. Similar synergistic effects for CVD were observed between CysC and preterm delivery. Conclusions In this sample of US, traditionally underrepresented multiracial and multiethnic high-risk mothers, elevated maternal plasma CysC, independently and jointly with pregnancy complications, increased risk of CVD later in life. These findings warrant further investigation. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT03228875.

Cerebrospinal Fluid Alzheimer's Disease Biomarker Patterns of Change Prior to the Onset of Mild Cognitive Impairment.

BACKGROUND: Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease (AD) are altered many years before the onset of clinical symptoms of mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Incorporating clinical symptom onset time into biomarker modeling may enhance our understanding of changes preceding MCI. OBJECTIVE: Using a new analytical approach, we examined patterns of biomarker change prior to MCI symptom onset among individuals who progressed from normal cognition to MCI, stratified based on the age of symptom onset. We also analyzed biomarker patterns of change among participants who remained cognitively normal, and examined potential modifiers of biomarker trajectories, including demographics and apolipoprotein E (APOE) status. METHODS: Analyses included 93 participants who progressed from normal cognition to MCI and 186 participants who remained cognitively normal, over an average follow-up period of 16.2 years. CSF biomarkers, including Aß42, Aß40, total tau (t-tau), and phosphorylated tau181 (p-tau181), were measured using the fully automated Lumipulse assays. RESULTS: Among participants who progressed to MCI, Aß42/Aß40 decreased, and t-tau and p-tau181 increased. For participants who did not progress to MCI, CSF biomarkers showed relatively stable patterns. In both progressors and non-progressors, APOE4 carriers showed lower Aß 42/Aß40 levels (compared to non-carriers) at each point of the mean curves. Among non-progressors, APOE4 carriers had higher levels of p-tau181, p-tau181/(Aß 42/Aß40), and t-tau/(Aß 42/Aß 40). Additionally, among those who did not progress, female sex was associated with higher levels of t-tau, p-tau181, t-tau/(Aß 42/Aß 40), and p-tau181/(Aß 42/Aß 40). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that this analytic approach may provide additional insights into biomarker changes during early phases of AD.

Simultaneous hypothesis testing for multiple competing risks in comparative clinical trials.

Competing risks data are commonly encountered in randomized clinical trials or observational studies. Ignoring competing risks in survival analysis leads to biased risk estimates and improper conclusions. Often, one of the competing events is of primary interest and the rest competing events are handled as nuisances. These approaches can be inadequate when multiple competing events have important clinical interpretations and thus of equal interest. For example, in COVID-19 in-patient treatment trials, the outcomes of COVID-19 related hospitalization are either death or discharge from hospital, which have completely different clinical implications and are of equal interest, especially during the pandemic. In this paper we develop nonparametric estimation and simultaneous inferential methods for multiple cumulative incidence functions (CIFs) and corresponding restricted mean times. Based on Monte Carlo simulations and a data analysis of COVID-19 in-patient treatment clinical trial, we demonstrate that the proposed method provides global insights of the treatment effects across multiple endpoints.

Joint associations of pregnancy complications and postpartum maternal renal biomarkers with severe cardiovascular morbidities: A US racially diverse prospective birth cohort study.

Rationale & Objective: Pregnancy complications are risk factors for cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Little is known about the role of renal biomarkers measured shortly after delivery, individually or in combination with pregnancy complications, in predicting subsequent severe maternal CVD. Methods: This study included 576 mothers of diverse ethnicities from the Boston Birth cohort, enrolled at delivery and followed prospectively. Plasma creatinine and cystatin C were measured 1-3 days after delivery. CVD during follow-up was defined by physician diagnoses in electronic medical records. Associations of renal biomarkers and pregnancy complications with time-to-CVD events were assessed using Cox proportional hazards models. Results: During an average of 10.3±3.2 years of follow-up, 34 mothers developed one or more CVD events. Although no significant associations were found between creatinine and risk of CVD, per unit increase of cystatin C (CysC) was associated with a hazard ratio (HR) of 5.21 (95%CI = 1.49-18.2) for CVD. A borderline significant interactive effect was observed between elevated CysC (≥75th percentile) and preeclampsia. Compared to those without preeclampsia and with normal CysC level (<75 th percentile), mothers with preeclampsia and elevated CysC had the highest risk of CVD (HR=3.8, 95%CI = 1.4-10.2), while mothers with preeclampsia only or with elevated CysC only did not have significantly increased CVD risk. Similar synergistic effects for CVD were observed between CysC and preterm delivery. Conclusions: In this sample of US, traditionally under-represented multi-ethnic high-risk mothers, elevated maternal plasma cystatin C and pregnancy complications synergistically increased risk of CVD later in life. These findings warrant further investigation. Clinical Perspectives: What is new?Maternal postpartum elevated levels of cystatin C are independently associated with higher risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD) later in life.Maternal pregnancy complications coupled with postpartum elevated levels of cystatin C synergistically increased future risk of CVD.What are the clinical implications?These findings, if further confirmed, suggest that women with pregnancy complications and elevated postpartum cystatin C may be at particular high risk for CVD later in life compared to women without these risk factors.

Racial and ethnic disparities in mortality among breast cancer survivors after a second malignancy.

BACKGROUND: Racial and ethnic differences in survival after a first cancer are well established but have not been examined after a second primary cancer (SPC) despite the increasing incidence among survivors. METHODS: We examined 39 029 female breast cancer survivors who developed an SPC between 2000 and 2014 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 18 database. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression for competing risks data was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for cancer and cardiovascular disease mortality after SPCs comparing Hispanic, Non-Hispanic Asian, and Non-Hispanic Black survivors with Non-Hispanic White survivors. Models were adjusted for sociodemographics, tumor characteristics, and treatments of the first and second cancer. Analyses were stratified by SPC type. RESULTS: During 17 years of follow-up, there were 15 117 deaths after SPCs. The risk of cancer death was 12% higher among Non-Hispanic Black survivors (HR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.05 to 1.19) and 8% higher among Hispanic survivors (HR = 1.08, 95% CI = 1.00 to 1.16) compared with Non-Hispanic White survivors. In subgroup analyses, the strongest associations were observed among Non-Hispanic Black survivors with a second breast or uterine cancer and among Hispanic survivors with a second breast cancer. Non-Hispanic Black survivors also experienced a 44% higher risk of cardiovascular disease death after SPC diagnosis than Non-Hispanic White survivors (HR = 1.44, 95% CI = 1.20 to 1.74). CONCLUSIONS: Higher cancer mortality among Non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic survivors and higher cardiovascular mortality among Non-Hispanic Black survivors exist among women who survive a first breast cancer to develop an SPC. Studies focused on identifying the contributors to these disparities are needed to enable implementation of effective mitigation strategies.

Joint inference for competing risks data using multiple endpoints.

Competing risks data are commonly encountered in randomized clinical trials and observational studies. This paper considers the situation where the ending statuses of competing events have different clinical interpretations and/or are of simultaneous interest. In clinical trials, often more than one competing event has meaningful clinical interpretations even though the trial effects of different events could be different or even opposite to each other. In this paper, we develop estimation procedures and inferential properties for the joint use of multiple cumulative incidence functions (CIFs). Additionally, by incorporating longitudinal marker information, we develop estimation and inference procedures for weighted CIFs and related metrics. The proposed methods are applied to a COVID-19 in-patient treatment clinical trial, where the outcomes of COVID-19 hospitalization are either death or discharge from the hospital, two competing events with completely different clinical implications.

Longitudinal CSF Alzheimer's disease biomarker changes from middle age to late adulthood.

Introduction: We examined longitudinal cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) Alzheimer's disease (AD) biomarker changes among cognitively normal individuals with 10.7 years follow-up, on average. Methods: Analyses included 278 participants (M age = 57.5 years); 94 have progressed from normal cognition to mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Amyloid beta (Aß)42/Aß40, phosphorylated tau181 (p-tau181), and total tau (t-tau) were measured using automated electrochemiluminescence assays. Results: Apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 carriers had lower baseline Aß42/Aß40, but longitudinal Aß42/Aß40 decreases did not differ by APOE ε4 after accounting for Aß42/Aß40 positivity. Lower baseline Aß42/Aß40 was associated with greater increases in tau (more strongly in males), and APOE ε4 genotype was associated with greater tau increases after reaching Aß42/Aß40 positivity. Participants who progressed to MCI had more abnormal biomarker levels and greater tau increases prior to MCI symptom onset. Biomarkers were more abnormal among older adults, but unrelated to sex or education. Discussion: Our results confirm accelerated biomarker changes during preclinical AD and highlight the important role of amyloid levels in tau accelerations.

CSF Alzheimer Disease Biomarkers: Time-Varying Relationships With MCI Symptom Onset and Associations With Age, Sex, and ApoE4.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to examine whether baseline CSF measures of Alzheimer disease (AD)-related pathology are associated with the time to onset of mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and whether these associations differ by age, sex, Apolipoprotein E (ApoE4) status, and proximal (≤7 years) vs distal (>7 years) time to symptom onset. METHODS: Measures of amyloid (Aß1-42 and Aß1-40), phospho-tau (ptau181), and total tau (t-tau) were determined from CSF samples obtained at baseline from participants in an ongoing longitudinal project, known as the Biomarkers for Older Controls at Risk for Alzheimer Disease study (BIOCARD) study. The fully automated, Lumipulse G immunoassay was used to analyze the specimens. Cox regression models were used to examine the relationship of baseline biomarker levels with time to symptom onset of MCI and interactions with age, sex, and ApoE allelic status in subjects who progressed from normal cognition to MCI. RESULTS: Analyses included 273 participants from the BIOCARD cohort, who were cognitively normal and predominantly middle-aged at baseline, and have been followed for an average of 16 years (max = 23.6). During follow-up, 94 progressed to MCI (median time to symptom onset = 6.9 years). In Cox regression models, elevated ptau181 and t-tau levels were associated with time to MCI symptom onset if it occurred within 7 years of baseline (HR 1.386 and 1.329; p = 0.009 and 0.017, respectively), while a lower Aß42/Aß40 ratio was associated with symptom onset if it occurred >7 years from baseline (HR 0.596, p = 0.003). There were also significant 3-way CSF × age × sex interactions for ptau181 and Aß42/Aß40, with follow-up analyses indicating that associations between these biomarkers and progression to MCI were stronger among men than among women, but this difference between sexes diminished with increasing age. DISCUSSION: The lengthy follow-up of BIOCARD participants permitted an examination of time-varying associations between CSF AD biomarkers with MCI symptom onset and the influence of sex, baseline age, and ApoE4 genotype on these associations. These factors may inform clinical trial enrollment strategies, or trial duration and outcomes, which may use these measures as surrogate markers of treatment response.

Mortality after second malignancy in breast cancer survivors compared to a first primary cancer: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study.

Limited information exists about survival outcomes after second primary cancers (SPCs) among breast cancer survivors. Studies suggest that mortality after certain SPCs may be higher than mortality after first primary cancers (FPCs) of the same type. A cohort study was conducted among 63,424 US women using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results 18 database (2000-2016) to compare mortality after a SPC among breast cancer survivors to mortality among women after a FPC using Cox proportional hazard regression. Propensity scores were used to match survivors with SPCs to women with FPCs 1:1 based on cancer type and prognostic factors. During a median follow-up of 42 months, 11,532 cancer deaths occurred after SPCs among survivors compared to 9305 deaths after FPCs. Cumulative cancer mortality was 44.7% for survivors with SPCs and 35.2% for women with FPCs. Survivors with SPCs had higher risk of cancer death (hazard ratio (HR): 1.27, 95% CI: 1.23-1.30) and death overall (HR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.15-1.21) than women with FPCs. Increased risk of cancer death after SPCs compared to FPCs was observed for cancer in breast, lung, colon and/or rectum, uterus, lymphoma, melanoma, thyroid, and leukemia. Estrogen receptor status and treatment of the prior breast cancer as well as time between prior breast cancer and SPC significantly modified the mortality difference between women with SPC and FPC. A more tailored approach to early detection and treatment could improve outcomes from second cancer in breast cancer survivors.

Bias correction via outcome reassignment for cross-sectional data with binary disease outcome.

Cross-sectionally sampled data with binary disease outcome are commonly analyzed in observational studies to identify the relationship between covariates and disease outcome. A cross-sectional population is defined as a population of living individuals at the sampling or observational time. It is generally understood that binary disease outcome from cross-sectional data contains less information than longitudinally collected time-to-event data, but there is insufficient understanding as to whether bias can possibly exist in cross-sectional data and how the bias is related to the population risk of interest. Wang and Yang (2021) presented the complexity and bias in cross-sectional data with binary disease outcome with detailed analytical explorations into the data structure. As the distribution of the cross-sectional binary outcome is quite different from the population risk distribution, bias can arise when using cross-sectional data analysis to draw inference for population risk. In this paper we argue that the commonly adopted age-specific risk probability is biased for the estimation of population risk and propose an outcome reassignment approach which reassigns a portion of the observed binary outcome, 0 or 1, to the other disease category. A sign test and a semiparametric pseudo-likelihood method are developed for analyzing cross-sectional data using the OR approach. Simulations and an analysis based on Alzheimer's Disease data are presented to illustrate the proposed methods.

Age-Dependent Association Between Cognitive Reserve Proxy and Longitudinal White Matter Microstructure in Older Adults.

Objective: This study examined the association of lifetime experiences, measured by a cognitive reserve (CR) composite score composed of years of education, literacy, and vocabulary measures, to level and rate of change in white matter microstructure, as assessed by diffusion tensor imaging (DTI) measures. We also examined whether the relationship between the proxy CR composite score and white matter microstructure was modified by participant age, APOE-ε4 genetic status, and level of vascular risk. Methods: A sample of 192 non-demented (n = 166 cognitively normal, n = 26 mild cognitive impairment) older adults [mean age = 70.17 (SD = 8.5) years] from the BIOCARD study underwent longitudinal DTI (mean follow-up = 2.5 years, max = 4.7 years). White matter microstructure was quantified by fractional anisotropy (FA) and radial diffusivity (RD) values in global white matter tracts and medial temporal lobe (MTL) white matter tracts. Results: Using longitudinal linear mixed effect models, we found that FA decreased over time and RD increased over time in both the global and MTL DTI composites, but the rate of change in these DTI measures was not related to level of CR. However, there were significant interactions between the CR composite score and age for global RD in the full sample, and for global FA, global RD, and MTL RD among those with normal cognition. These interactions indicated that among participants with a lower baseline age, higher CR composite scores were associated with higher FA and lower RD values, while among participants with higher age at baseline, higher CR composite scores were associated with lower FA and higher RD values. Furthermore, these relationships were not modified by APOE-ε4 genotype or level of vascular risk. Conclusion: The association between level of CR and DTI measures differs by age, suggesting a possible neuroprotective effect of CR among late middle-aged adults that shifts to a compensatory effect among older adults.

Association Between Late-Life Neuropsychiatric Symptoms and Cognitive Decline in Relation to White Matter Hyperintensities and Amyloid Burden.

BACKGROUND: Neuropsychiatric symptoms (NPS) among cognitively normal older adults are increasingly recognized as risk factors for cognitive decline and impairment. However, the underlying mechanisms remain unclear. OBJECTIVE: To examine whether biomarkers of Alzheimer's disease (amyloid burden) and cerebrovascular disease (white matter hyperintensity (WMH) volume) modify the association between NPS and cognitive decline among cognitively unimpaired older adults. METHODS: Analyses included 193 cognitively unimpaired participants (M age = 70 years) from the BIOCARD study, including 148 with PET amyloid and WMH biomarker data. NPS were measured with Neuropsychiatric Inventory and Geriatric Depression Scale scores. Linear mixed effects models were used to examine the association between baseline NPS and longitudinal cognitive trajectories (M follow-up = 3.05 years), using separate models for global, episodic memory, and executive function cognitive composite scores. In a subset of individuals with biomarker data, we evaluated whether WMH or cortical amyloid burden modified the relationship between NPS and cognitive change (as indicated by the NPS×biomarker×time interactions). RESULTS: Higher baseline NPS were associated with lower executive function scores, but not a faster rate of decline in executive function. NPS symptoms were unrelated to the global or episodic memory composite scores, and there was little evidence of a relationship between NPS symptoms and cognitive change over time. The associations between NPS and cognitive decline did not differ by amyloid or WMH burden, and NPS were unrelated to amyloid and WMH burden. CONCLUSION: These results suggest that the effect of neuropsychiatric symptoms on executive dysfunction may occur through mechanisms outside of amyloid and cerebrovascular disease.

A metabolome-wide association study of in utero metal and trace element exposures with cord blood metabolome profile: Findings from the Boston Birth Cohort.

BACKGROUND: Exposure to metals lead (Pb), mercury (Hg), and cadmium (Cd) and trace elements selenium (Se) and manganese (Mn) has been linked to the developmental origins of cardiometabolic diseases, but the mechanisms are not well-understood. OBJECTIVE: Conduct a metabolome-wide association study to understand how in utero exposure to Pb, Hg, Cd, Se, and Mn affects the metabolic programming of fetuses. METHODS: We used data from the Boston Birth Cohort, which enrolled mother-child pairs from Boston, MA. We measured metals and trace elements in maternal red blood cells (RBCs) collected 24-72 h after delivery, and metabolites in cord blood collected at birth. We used multivariable linear regression to examine associations of metals and trace elements with metabolites and Bonferroni correction to account for multiple comparisons. We assessed non-linear associations of metals and trace elements with metabolites using restricted cubic spline plots. RESULTS: This analysis included 670 mother-child pairs (57% non-Hispanic Black and 24% Hispanic). After Bonferroni correction, there were 25 cord metabolites associated with at least one of the metals or trace elements. Pb was negatively associated with the xenobiotic piperine, Cd was positively associated with xenobiotics cotinine and hydroxycotinine, and Hg was associated with 8 lipid metabolites (in both directions). Se and Mn shared associations with 6 metabolites (in both directions), which mostly included nucleotides and amino acids; Se was additionally associated with 7 metabolites (mostly amino acids, nucleotides, and carnitines) and Mn was additionally associated with C36:4 hydroxy phosphatidylcholine. Restricted cubic spline plots showed that most associations were linear. DISCUSSION: Maternal RBC metal and trace element concentrations were associated in a dose-dependent fashion with cord blood metabolites. What remains to be determined is whether these metals- and trace elements-associated changes in cord metabolites can influence a child's risk of cardiometabolic diseases.

Obtaining optimal cutoff values for tree classifiers using multiple biomarkers.

In biomedical practices, multiple biomarkers are often combined using a prespecified classification rule with tree structure for diagnostic decisions. The classification structure and cutoff point at each node of a tree are usually chosen on an ad hoc basis, depending on decision makers' experience. There is a lack of analytical approaches that lead to optimal prediction performance, and that guide the choice of optimal cutoff points in a pre-specified classification tree. In this paper, we propose to search for and estimate the optimal decision rule through an approach of rank correlation maximization. The proposed method is flexible, theoretically sound, and computationally feasible when many biomarkers are available for classification or prediction. Using the proposed approach, for a prespecified tree-structured classification rule, we can guide the choice of optimal cutoff points at tree nodes and estimate optimal prediction performance from multiple biomarkers combined.

Computerized paired associate learning performance and imaging biomarkers in older adults without dementia.

This cross-sectional study examined whether performance on the computerized Paired Associate Learning (PAL) task from the Cambridge Neuropsychological Test Automated Battery is associated with amyloid positivity as measured by Positron Emission Tomography, regional volume composites as measured by Magnetic Resonance Imaging, and cognitive impairment. Participants from the BIOCARD Study (N = 73, including 62 cognitively normal and 11 with mild cognitive impairment; M age = 70 years) completed the PAL task, a comprehensive clinical and neuropsychological assessment, and neuroimaging as part of their annual study visit. In linear regressions covarying age, sex, years of education and diagnosis, higher PAL error scores were associated with amyloid positivity but not with medial temporal or cortical volume composites. By comparison, standard neuropsychological measures of episodic memory and global cognition were unrelated to amyloid positivity, but better performance on the verbal episodic memory measures was associated with larger cortical volume composites. Participants with mild cognitive impairment demonstrated worse cognitive performance on all of the cognitive measures, including the PAL task. These findings suggest that this computerized visual paired associate learning task may be more sensitive to amyloid positivity than standard neuropsychological tests, and may therefore be a promising tool for detecting amyloid positivity in non-demented participants.

Association of Lifestyle Activities with Functional Brain Connectivity and Relationship to Cognitive Decline among Older Adults.

This study examines the relationship of engagement in different lifestyle activities to connectivity in large-scale functional brain networks, and whether network connectivity modifies cognitive decline, independent of brain amyloid levels. Participants (N = 153, mean age = 69 years, including N = 126 with amyloid imaging) were cognitively normal when they completed resting-state functional magnetic resonance imaging, a lifestyle activity questionnaire, and cognitive testing. They were followed with annual cognitive tests up to 5 years (mean = 3.3 years). Linear regressions showed positive relationships between cognitive activity engagement and connectivity within the dorsal attention network, and between physical activity levels and connectivity within the default-mode, limbic, and frontoparietal control networks, and global within-network connectivity. Additionally, higher cognitive and physical activity levels were independently associated with higher network modularity, a measure of functional network specialization. These associations were largely independent of APOE4 genotype, amyloid burden, global brain atrophy, vascular risk, and level of cognitive reserve. Moreover, higher connectivity in the dorsal attention, default-mode, and limbic networks, and greater global connectivity and modularity were associated with reduced cognitive decline, independent of APOE4 genotype and amyloid burden. These findings suggest that changes in functional brain connectivity may be one mechanism by which lifestyle activity engagement reduces cognitive decline.

In Utero Exposure to Heavy Metals and Trace Elements and Childhood Blood Pressure in a U.S. Urban, Low-Income, Minority Birth Cohort.

BACKGROUND: In utero exposure to heavy metals lead (Pb), mercury (Hg), and cadmium (Cd) may be associated with higher childhood blood pressure (BP), whereas trace elements selenium (Se) and manganese (Mn) may have protective antioxidant effects that modify metal-BP associations. OBJECTIVES: We examined the individual and joint effects of in utero exposure to Pb, Hg, Cd, Se, and Mn on childhood BP. METHODS: We used data from the Boston Birth Cohort (enrolled 2002-2013). We measured heavy metals and trace elements in maternal red blood cells collected 24-72 h after delivery. We calculated child BP percentile per the 2017 American Academy of Pediatrics Clinical Practice Guideline. We used linear regression models to estimate the association of each metal, and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) to examine metal coexposures, with child BP between 3 to 15 years of age. RESULTS: Our analytic sample comprised 1,194 mother-infant pairs (61% non-Hispanic Black, 20% Hispanic). Hg and Pb were not associated with child systolic BP (SBP). Se and Mn were inversely associated with child SBP percentiles, which, on average, were 6.23 points lower with a doubling of Se (95% CI: -11.51, -0.96) and 2.62 points lower with a doubling of Mn (95% CI: -5.20, -0.04). BKMR models showed similar results. Although Cd was not associated with child SBP overall, the inverse association between Mn and child SBP was stronger at higher levels of Cd (p-interaction=0.04). Consistent with this finding, in utero exposure to cigarette smoke modified the Mn-child SBP association. Among children whose mothers smoked during pregnancy, a doubling of Mn was associated with a 10.09-point reduction in SBP percentile (95% CI: -18.03, -2.15), compared with a 1.49-point reduction (95% CI: -4.21, 1.24) in children whose mothers did not smoke during pregnancy (p-interaction=0.08). CONCLUSION: Se and Mn concentrations in maternal red blood cells collected 24-72 h after delivery were associated with lower child SBP at 3 to 15 years of age. There was an interaction between Mn and Cd on child SBP, whereby the protective association of Mn on child SBP was stronger among mothers who had higher Cd. The association of Mn and child SBP was also modified by maternal cigarette smoking-a source of Cd-during pregnancy. Optimizing in utero Se levels, as well as Mn levels in women who had high Cd or smoked during pregnancy, may protect offspring from developing high BP during childhood. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP8325.

Delayed Rise of Oral Fluid Antibodies, Elevated BMI, and Absence of Early Fever Correlate With Longer Time to SARS-CoV-2 RNA Clearance in a Longitudinally Sampled Cohort of COVID-19 Outpatients.

BACKGROUND: Sustained molecular detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RNA in the upper respiratory tract (URT) in mild to moderate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is common. We sought to identify host and immune determinants of prolonged SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection. METHODS: Ninety-five symptomatic outpatients self-collected midturbinate nasal, oropharyngeal (OP), and gingival crevicular fluid (oral fluid) samples at home and in a research clinic a median of 6 times over 1-3 months. Samples were tested for viral RNA, virus culture, and SARS-CoV-2 and other human coronavirus antibodies, and associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Viral RNA clearance, as measured by SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR), in 507 URT samples occurred a median (interquartile range) 33.5 (17-63.5) days post-symptom onset. Sixteen nasal-OP samples collected 2-11 days post-symptom onset were virus culture positive out of 183 RT-PCR-positive samples tested. All participants but 1 with positive virus culture were negative for concomitant oral fluid anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. The mean time to first antibody detection in oral fluid was 8-13 days post-symptom onset. A longer time to first detection of oral fluid anti-SARS-CoV-2 S antibodies (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.96; 95% CI, 0.92-0.99; P = .020) and body mass index (BMI) ≥25 kg/m2 (aHR, 0.37; 95% CI, 0.18-0.78; P = .009) were independently associated with a longer time to SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA clearance. Fever as 1 of first 3 COVID-19 symptoms correlated with shorter time to viral RNA clearance (aHR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.02-4.18; P = .044). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that delayed rise of oral fluid SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies, elevated BMI, and absence of early fever are independently associated with delayed URT viral RNA clearance.

Comparison of Time to Clinical Improvement With vs Without Remdesivir Treatment in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19.

Importance: Clinical effectiveness data on remdesivir are urgently needed, especially among diverse populations and in combination with other therapies. Objective: To examine whether remdesivir administered with or without corticosteroids for treatment of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with more rapid clinical improvement in a racially/ethnically diverse population. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective comparative effectiveness research study was conducted from March 4 to August 29, 2020, in a 5-hospital health system in the Baltimore, Maryland, and Washington, DC, area. Of 2483 individuals with confirmed severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection assessed by polymerase chain reaction, those who received remdesivir were matched to infected individuals who did not receive remdesivir using time-invariant covariates (age, sex, race/ethnicity, Charlson Comorbidity Index, body mass index, and do-not-resuscitate or do-not-intubate orders) and time-dependent covariates (ratio of peripheral blood oxygen saturation to fraction of inspired oxygen, blood pressure, pulse, temperature, respiratory rate, C-reactive protein level, complete white blood cell count, lymphocyte count, albumin level, alanine aminotransferase level, glomerular filtration rate, dimerized plasmin fragment D [D-dimer] level, and oxygen device). An individual in the remdesivir group with k days of treatment was matched to a control patient who stayed in the hospital at least k days (5 days maximum) beyond the matching day. Exposures: Remdesivir treatment with or without corticosteroid administration. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was rate of clinical improvement (hospital discharge or decrease of 2 points on the World Health Organization severity score), and the secondary outcome, mortality at 28 days. An additional outcome was clinical improvement and time to death associated with combined remdesivir and corticosteroid treatment. Results: Of 2483 consecutive admissions, 342 individuals received remdesivir, 184 of whom also received corticosteroids and 158 of whom received remdesivir alone. For these 342 patients, the median age was 60 years (interquartile range, 46-69 years), 189 (55.3%) were men, and 276 (80.7%) self-identified as non-White race/ethnicity. Remdesivir recipients had a shorter time to clinical improvement than matched controls without remdesivir treatment (median, 5.0 days [interquartile range, 4.0-8.0 days] vs 7.0 days [interquartile range, 4.0-10.0 days]; adjusted hazard ratio, 1.47 [95% CI, 1.22-1.79]). Remdesivir recipients had a 28-day mortality rate of 7.7% (22 deaths) compared with 14.0% (40 deaths) among matched controls, but this difference was not statistically significant in the time-to-death analysis (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.38-1.28). The addition of corticosteroids to remdesivir was not associated with a reduced hazard of death at 28 days (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.94; 95% CI, 0.67-5.57). Conclusions and Relevance: In this comparative effectiveness research study of adults hospitalized with COVID-19, receipt of remdesivir was associated with faster clinical improvement in a cohort of predominantly non-White patients. Remdesivir plus corticosteroid administration did not reduce the time to death compared with remdesivir administered alone.

Delayed rise of oral fluid antibodies, elevated BMI, and absence of early fever correlate with longer time to SARS-CoV-2 RNA clearance in an longitudinally sampled cohort of COVID-19 outpatients.

BACKGROUND: Sustained molecular detection of SARS-CoV-2 RNA in the upper respiratory tract (URT) in mild to moderate COVID-19 is common. We sought to identify host and immune determinants of prolonged SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection. METHODS: Ninety-five outpatients self-collected mid-turbinate nasal, oropharyngeal (OP), and gingival crevicular fluid (oral fluid) samples at home and in a research clinic a median of 6 times over 1-3 months. Samples were tested for viral RNA, virus culture, and SARS-CoV-2 and other human coronavirus antibodies, and associations were estimated using Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Viral RNA clearance, as measured by SARS-CoV-2 RT-PCR, in 507 URT samples occurred a median (IQR) 33.5 (17-63.5) days post-symptom onset. Sixteen nasal-OP samples collected 2-11 days post-symptom onset were virus culture positive out of 183 RT-PCR positive samples tested. All participants but one with positive virus culture were negative for concomitant oral fluid anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies. The mean time to first antibody detection in oral fluid was 8-13 days post-symptom onset. A longer time to first detection of oral fluid anti-SARS-CoV-2 S antibodies (aHR 0.96, 95% CI 0.92-0.99, p=0.020) and BMI ≥ 25kg/m 2 (aHR 0.37, 95% CI 0.18-0.78, p=0.009) were independently associated with a longer time to SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA clearance. Fever as one of first three COVID-19 symptoms correlated with shorter time to viral RNA clearance (aHR 2.06, 95% CI 1.02-4.18, p=0.044). CONCLUSIONS: We demonstrate that delayed rise of oral fluid SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies, elevated BMI, and absence of early fever are independently associated with delayed URT viral RNA clearance.