Accelerated biological aging, mediating amino acids, and risk of incident type 2 diabetes: a prospective cohort study.

PURPOSE: Aging plays an important role in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). But the association between accelerated biological age and T2DM, and the mechanisms underlying this association remains unclear. Thus, this study aimed to examine the associations of biological aging with T2DM, and explore the potential mediation effect of amino acids. METHODS: This prospective cohort study included 95,773 participants in the UK Biobank who were free of diabetes at baseline. Biological age was measured from clinical traits using PhenoAgeAccel. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ritios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and mediation analysis was used to explore the mediation effect of amino acids. RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 14.02 years, 6,347 incident T2DM cases were recorded. After multivariable adjustment for sociodemographic characteristics, lifestyle factors, and other risk factors of T2DM, participants with older biological age were at increased risk of incident T2DM (30% increase per standard deviation of PhenoAgeAccel, 95% CI: 28.0-33.0%). Additionally, higher branched chain amino acids (BCAAs) including isoleucine and leucine, aromatic amino acids (AAAs) including phenylalanine and tyrosine, were associated with increased PhenoAgeAccel and risk of incident T2DM; while glutamine and glycine were inversely associated. Alanine, glutamine, glycine, phenylalanine, tyrosine, isoleucine, leucine, and total concentration of branched-chain amnio acids could partially explain the associations between PhenoAgeAccel and T2DM. CONCLUSION: Accelerated biological aging was associated with increased risk of incident T2DM independent of chronological age and may be a risk factor of T2DM, partially mediated by several amino acids.

Nuclear magnetic resonance-based metabolomics with machine learning for predicting progression from prediabetes to diabetes.

Background: Identification of individuals with prediabetes who are at high risk of developing diabetes allows for precise interventions. We aimed to determine the role of nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR)-based metabolomic signature in predicting the progression from prediabetes to diabetes. Methods: This prospective study included 13,489 participants with prediabetes who had metabolomic data from the UK Biobank. Circulating metabolites were quantified via NMR spectroscopy. Cox proportional hazard (CPH) models were performed to estimate the associations between metabolites and diabetes risk. Supporting vector machine, random forest, and extreme gradient boosting were used to select the optimal metabolite panel for prediction. CPH and random survival forest (RSF) models were utilized to validate the predictive ability of the metabolites. Results: During a median follow-up of 13.6 years, 2525 participants developed diabetes. After adjusting for covariates, 94 of 168 metabolites were associated with risk of progression to diabetes. A panel of nine metabolites, selected by all three machine-learning algorithms, was found to significantly improve diabetes risk prediction beyond conventional risk factors in the CPH model (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, 1 year: 0.823 for risk factors + metabolites vs 0.759 for risk factors, 5 years: 0.830 vs 0.798, 10 years: 0.801 vs 0.776, all p < 0.05). Similar results were observed from the RSF model. Categorization of participants according to the predicted value thresholds revealed distinct cumulative risk of diabetes. Conclusions: Our study lends support for use of the metabolite markers to help determine individuals with prediabetes who are at high risk of progressing to diabetes and inform targeted and efficient interventions. Funding: Shanghai Municipal Health Commission (2022XD017). Innovative Research Team of High-level Local Universities in Shanghai (SHSMU-ZDCX20212501). Shanghai Municipal Human Resources and Social Security Bureau (2020074). Clinical Research Plan of Shanghai Hospital Development Center (SHDC2020CR4006). Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality (22015810500).

Leisure Sedentary Behavior, Physical Activities, and Cardiovascular Disease Among Individuals With Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fatty Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease is a significant risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study assesses the association between leisure-time physical activity, sedentary behavior, and CVD risk among patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease, considering genetic predisposition to CVD. METHODS: This cohort study included 157 794 participants with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease from the UK Biobank who were free of CVD at baseline. The study measured leisure-time sedentary behaviors (watching TV, using a computer, and driving) and physical activities (walking for pleasure, light and heavy do-it-yourself activities, strenuous sports, and other exercises) in terms of frequency and duration over the 4 weeks before assessment. Both a Cox proportional hazard model and an isotemporal substitution model were utilized in the study to assess the association between leisure sedentary behavior, physical activities, and CVD risk. RESULTS: During a median 12.5 years of follow-up, 26 355 CVD cases were reported, including 19 746 coronary heart disease, 4836 stroke, and 7398 heart failure cases. High physical activity levels were linked to a significantly lower risk of CVD (21%), coronary heart disease (20%), stroke (15%), and heart failure (31%). In contrast, individuals with >6.5 h/d of sedentary behavior faced a 16% to 21% higher risk of these conditions compared with those with ≤3.5 h/d. Notably, replacing 30 minutes of inactivity with physical activity reduced CVD risks by 3% to 16%, particularly with strenuous sports. A significant interaction was observed between physical activity, sedentary behavior, and genetic predisposition in relation to stroke risk. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease, higher leisure-time physical activity levels correlate with reduced CVD risks, while increased sedentary behavior is linked to higher CVD risks. Replacing sedentary time with physical activity consistently shows benefits in reducing CVD outcomes, irrespective of genetic predisposition.

Physical Frailty, Genetic Predisposition, and Incident Heart Failure.

Background: There is growing interest in the intersection of frailty and heart failure (HF); however, large-sample longitudinal studies in the general population are lacking. Objectives: The goal of this study was to examine the longitudinal relationship between frailty and incident HF, and whether age and genetic predisposition could modify this association. Methods: This prospective cohort study included 340,541 participants (45.7% male; mean age 55.9 ± 8.1 years) free of HF at baseline in the UK Biobank. Frailty was assessed by using the Fried frailty phenotype and included weight loss, exhaustion, low physical activity, slow gait speed, and low grip strength. The weighted polygenetic risk score was calculated. Cox models were used to estimate these associations and the interaction between the 2 factors. Results: During a median 14.1 years of follow-up, 7,590 patients with HF were documented. Compared with nonfrail participants, both prefrail and frail participants had a positive association with the risk of incident HF (prefrail HR: 1.40 [95% CI: 1.17-1.67]; frail HR: 2.07 [95% CI: 1.67-2.57]). Exhaustion (HR: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.03-1.43), slow gait speed (HR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.39-1.90), and low grip strength (HR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.14-1.51) were associated with a greater risk of incident HF. Furthermore, genetic susceptibility did not significantly modify the associations (P interaction = 0.094), and the association was significantly strengthened in younger participants (P interaction = 0.008). Conclusions: Frailty status was associated with a higher risk of incident HF independent of genetic risk. A younger population may be more susceptible to HF when exposed to frailty. Whether the modification of frailty status represents another avenue for preventing HF warrants further investigation.

Joint effects of physical frailty and traditional cardiovascular risk factor control on cardiovascular disease in patients with diabetes.

OBJECTIVES: Physical frailty has been found to increase the risk of multiple adverse outcomes including cardiovascular disease (CVD) in diabetic patients, but whether this could be modified by traditional risk factor control remains unknown. We aimed to explore the joint and interaction effects of frailty and traditional risk factor control on the risk of CVD. DESIGN: A population-based cohort study. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: We included 15,753 participants with type 2 diabetes at baseline from UK Biobank. MEASUREMENTS: Physical frailty was assessed by Fried criteria's frailty phenotype. The degree of risk factor control was determined by the numbers of the following factors controlled within the target range, including glycated hemoglobin, blood pressure, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, and kidney condition. Incident CVD included coronary heart disease, stroke, or heart failure. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess the individual and joint effects of frailty and risk factor control on the risk of CVD. RESULTS: After a median follow-up of 13.5 years, 1129 incident CVD events were observed. Compared with non-frailty, both prefrailty and frailty were significantly associated with increased risk of CVD (HR 1.22, 95% CI [1.13, 1.31] for pre-frailty and 1.70 [1.53, 1.90] for frailty). For the joint effects, participants with frailty and a low degree of risk factor control (control of 0-1 risk factors) had the highest risk of CVD (2.92 [2.04, 4.17]) compared to those with non-frailty and optimal risk factor control (control of 4-5 risk factors). Moreover, a significant additive interaction between frailty and risk factor control was observed, with around 3.8% of CVD risk attributed to the interactive effects. CONCLUSIONS: Both prefrailty and frailty were associated with a higher risk of CVD in participants with type 2 diabetes. Moreover, physical frailty could interact with the degree of risk factor control in an additive manner to increase the CVD risk.

Association patterns of ketone bodies with the risk of adverse outcomes according to diabetes status.

AIM: To investigate the associations between ketone bodies (KB) and multiple adverse outcomes including cardiovascular disease (CVD), chronic kidney disease (CKD) and all-cause mortality according to diabetes status. METHODS: This prospective study included 222 824 participants free from CVD and CKD at baseline from the UK Biobank. Total KB including ß-hydroxybutyrate, acetoacetate and acetone were measured by nuclear magnetic resonance. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between KB and adverse outcomes among participants with normoglycaemia, prediabetes and type 2 diabetes, respectively. RESULTS: During a mean follow-up of 14.1 years, 24 088 incident CVD events (including 17 303 coronary heart disease events, 5172 stroke events and 5881 heart failure [HF] events), 8605 CKD events and 15 813 deaths, were documented. Higher total KB significantly increased the risk of HF among participants with normoglycaemia (HR, 1.32 [95% CI, 1.17-1.49], per 10-fold increase in total KB) and prediabetes (1.35 [1.04-1.76]), and increased the risk of CKD among those with normoglycaemia (1.20 [1.09-1.33]). Elevated KB levels were associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality across the glycaemic spectrum (1.32 [1.23-1.42] for normoglycaemia, 1.45 [1.24-1.71] for prediabetes and 1.47 [1.11-1.94] for diabetes). Moreover, a significant additive interaction between KB and diabetes status was observed on the risk of death (P = .009), with 4.9% of deaths attributed to the interactive effects. CONCLUSIONS: Our study underscored the variation in association patterns between KB and adverse outcomes according to diabetes status and suggested that KB could interact with diabetes status in an additive manner to increase the risk of mortality.

Dietary pattern modifies the risk of MASLD through metabolomic signature.

Background & Aims: The EAT-Lancet Commission in 2019 advocated a plant-centric diet for health and environmental benefits, but its relation to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is unclear. We aimed to discover the metabolite profile linked to the EAT-Lancet diet and its association with MASLD risk, considering genetic predisposition. Methods: We analyzed data from 105,752 UK Biobank participants with detailed dietary and metabolomic information. We constructed an EAT-Lancet diet index and derived a corresponding metabolomic signature through elastic net regression. A weighted polygenic risk score for MASLD was computed from associated risk variants. The Cox proportional hazards model was employed to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for the risk of MASLD (defined as hospital admission or death). Results: During a median follow-up period of 11.6 years, 1,138 cases of MASLD were documented. Participants in the highest group for the EAT-Lancet diet index had a multivariable HR of 0.79 (95% CI 0.66-0.95) for MASLD compared to the lowest group. The diet's impact was unaffected by genetic predisposition to MASLD (p = 0.42). Moreover, a robust correlation was found between the metabolomic signature and the EAT-Lancet diet index (Pearson r = 0.29; p <0.0001). Participants in the highest group for the metabolomic signature had a multivariable HR of 0.46 (95% CI 0.37-0.58) for MASLD, in comparison to those in the lowest group. Conclusions: Higher intake of the EAT-Lancet diet and its associated metabolite signature are both linked to a reduced risk of MASLD, independently of traditional risk factors. Impact and implications: Our analysis leveraging the UK Biobank study showed higher adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet was associated with a reduced risk of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD). We identified a unique metabolite signature comprising 81 metabolites associated with the EAT-Lancet diet, potentially underlying the diet's protective mechanism against MASLD. These findings suggest the EAT-Lancet diet may offer substantial protective benefits against MASLD.

Life's Essential 8 and risks of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality among individuals with type 2 diabetes: A cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The association of cardiovascular health levels, as measured by the Life's Essential 8 score, with cardiovascular disease (CVD) incidence and mortality among individuals with type 2 diabetes (T2D) has not been fully elucidated. METHODS: This cohort study included 15,118 participants with T2D from the UK Biobank who were free of CVD and cancer at baseline. The cardiovascular health of participants was evaluated using the Life's Essential 8 score, categorizing their health levels into low, moderate, and high based on this assessment. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 13.0 years, we observed a total of 4421 cases of CVD, comprising 3467 cases of coronary heart disease (CHD), 811 cases of stroke, 1465 cases of heart failure (HF), and 523 cases of CVD mortality. Compared to participants with low cardiovascular health, those with high cardiovascular health had a 52 %, 50 %, 47 %, 67 %, and 51 % lower risk of CVD, CHD, stroke, HF, and CVD mortality, respectively. Among the components of the Life's Essential 8 score, body mass index showed the highest population attributable risk of 12.1 %. Similar findings were observed in joint analyses of cardiovascular health and diabetes severity status. CONCLUSIONS: This study emphasizes the importance of maintaining good cardiovascular health among individuals with T2D to reduce their risk of CVD incidence and mortality.

The effects of vitamin D and gene polymorphisms on susceptibility to thyroid peroxidase antibody positivity.

BACKGROUND: The etiology of Hashimoto's thyroiditis (HT) involves genetic and environmental factors. There is a lack of clarity regarding the relationship between Vitamin D and HT. This study aimed to investigate the effect of Vitamin D and gene polymorphisms on thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb) positivity. METHODS: A total of 9,966 participants were included from a survey conducted in East China from 2014 to 2016. We measured the levels of 25(OH)D, thyroid hormones and autoimmune antibodies. rs11675434, rs9277555, and rs301799 were genotyped. Based on these 3 SNPs, a weighted genetic risk score was calculated for TPOAb. RESULTS: The proportion of females in the TPOAb-positive group was greater than that in the TPOAb-negative group (74.2% vs. 57.2%, P<0.001). Vitamin D levels were lower in the TPOAb-positive group than in the TPOAb-negative group (40.07±11.87 vs. 40.80±12.84, P=0.01). The GG genotype of rs9277555 and the TT genotype of rs11675434 were correlated with the risk of TPOAb positivity (OR=1.34, 95% CI 1.13-1.59, P=0.001; OR=1.29, 95% CI 1.06-1.58, P=0.01). TPOAb-GRS was associated with TPOAb positivity (OR=3.17, 95% CI 1.72-5.84; P<0.001). When stratified by Vitamin D group, the association between TPOAb-GRS and TPOAb positivity existed only in the Vitamin D deficiency group (OR=3.41, 95% CI 1.73-6.70 P<0.001) but not in the control group (OR=2.45, 95% CI 0.59-10.19, P=0.22). CONCLUSIONS: This study suggested that TPOAb-GRS was associated with TPOAb positivity in the Han Chinese population, mainly due to rs9277555 and rs11675434. The hereditary effect of TPOAb positivity differed depending on Vitamin D status.

Clinical risk factors and cancer risk of thyroid imaging reporting and data system category 4 A thyroid nodules.

PURPOSE: Beyond the Thyroid Imaging Reporting and Data System (TIRADS) classification of thyroid nodules, additional factors must be weighed in the decision to perform fine needle aspiration (FNA). In this study, we aimed to identify risk factors for malignancy in patients with ultrasound-classified Chinese-TIRADS (C-TIRADS) 4 A nodules. METHODS: Patients who underwent thyroid FNA at our institution between May 2021 and September 2022 were enrolled. We collected demographic data, including age, sex, previous radiation exposure, and family history. An in-person questionnaire was used to collect lifestyle data, such as smoking habits and alcohol consumption. Body mass index (BMI) was calculated. The serum levels of thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), thyroid peroxidase antibody (TPOAb), and thyroglobulin antibody (TGAb) were measured. Prior to FNA, ultrasonic inspection reports were reviewed. The cytologic diagnoses for FNA of thyroid nodules followed the Bethesda System for Reporting Thyroid Cytopathology (2017). RESULTS: Among the 252 C-TIRADS 4 A nodules, 103 were malignant. Compared to those in the benign group, the patients in the malignant group had a younger age (42.2 ± 13.6 vs. 51.5 ± 14.0 years, P < 0.001). Logistic regression showed that advanced age was associated with a lower risk of malignancy in C-TIRADS 4 A nodules (OR = 0.95, 95% CI 0.93 ~ 0.97, P < 0.001). We demonstrated a decreased risk of malignancy in patients with 48.5 years or older. CONCLUSION: Advanced age was associated with a decreased risk of malignancy in patients with C-TIRADS 4 A nodules. This study indicated that in addition to sonographic characteristics, patient age should be considered when assessing the risk of malignancy.

Integrated Bioinformatics Analysis Revealed Immune Checkpoint Genes Relevant to Type 2 Diabetes.

Objective: Chronic low-grade inflammation of the pancreatic islets is the characteristic of type 2 diabetes (T2D), and some of the immune checkpoints may play important roles in the pancreatic islet inflammation. Thus, we aim to explore the immune checkpoint genes (ICGs) associated with T2D, thereby revealing the role of ICGs in the pathogenesis of T2D based on bioinformatic analyses. Methods: Differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and immune checkpoint genes (ICGs) of islets between T2D and control group were screened from datasets of the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO). A risk model was built based on the coefficients of ICGs calculated by ridge regression. Functional enrichment analysis and immune cell infiltration estimation were conducted. Correlations between ICGs and hub genes, T2D-related disease genes, insulin secretion genes, and beta cell function-related genes were analyzed. Finally, we conducted RT-PCR to verify the expression of these ICGs. Results: In total, pancreatic islets from 19 cases of T2D and 84 healthy subjects were included. We identified 458 DEGs. Six significantly upregulated ICGs (CD44, CD47, HAVCR2, SIRPA, TNFSF9, and VTCN1) in T2D were screened out. These ICGs were significantly correlated with several hub genes and T2D-related genes; furthermore, they were correlated with insulin secretion and ß cell function-related genes. The analysis of immune infiltration showed that the concentrations of eosinophils, T cells CD4 naive, and T cells regulatory (Tregs) were significantly higher, but CD4 memory resting T cells and monocytes were lower in islets of T2D patients. The infiltrated immune cells in T2D pancreatic islet were associated with these six ICGs. Finally, the expression levels of four ICGs were confirmed by RT-PCR, and three ICGs were validated in another independent dataset. Conclusion: In conclusion, the identified ICGs may play an important role in T2D. Identification of these differential genes may provide new clues for the diagnosis and treatment of T2D.

Long-term changes in frailty and incident type 2 diabetes: A prospective cohort study based on the UK Biobank.

AIMS: To estimate the association between long-term changes in frailty and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes (T2DM) and to evaluate the effect of preventing the worsening of frailty on the risk of T2DM. METHODS: We included 348 205 participants free of baseline T2DM and with frailty phenotype (FP) data from the UK Biobank; among them, 36 175 had at least one follow-up assessment. According to their FP score, participants were grouped into nonfrailty, prefrailty and frailty groups. Frailty assessed at baseline and at follow-up was used to derive the trajectory of frailty (ΔFP). Cox regression models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: Compared with those in the nonfrailty group at baseline, the HRs of T2DM for the prefrailty and frailty groups were 1.38 (95% CI 1.33-1.43) and 1.69 (95% CI 1.59-1.79), respectively (both p < 0.001), in the multivariable-adjusted model. During a median follow-up of 5.4 years after the final assessment, data for 472 T2DM patients were recorded. A 1-point increase in the final FP was associated with a 25% (95% CI 1.14-1.38; p < 0.001) increased risk of T2DM. For the trajectory of frailty, each 0.5-point/year increase in ΔFP was associated with a 52% (95% CI 1.18-1.97; p < 0.001) greater risk of T2DM, independent of the FP score at baseline. Compared with those that remained in the nonfrailty group, the greatest risk of T2DM over time was prefrailty aggravation (HR 3.03, 95% CI 2.00-4.58; p < 0.001). Using the frailty index did not materially change the results. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term changes in frailty were associated with the risk of incident T2DM, irrespective of baseline frailty status. Preventing the worsening of frailty may reduce T2DM risk.

Vitamin D Status, Vitamin D Receptor Polymorphisms, and Risk of Type 2 Diabetes: A Prospective Cohort Study.

CONTEXT: Vitamin D status has been associated with risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D), but evidence is scarce regarding whether such relation differs by glycemic status. OBJECTIVE: To prospectively investigate the association between serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25(OH)D) and risk of incident T2D across the glycemic spectrum and the modification effect of genetic variants in the vitamin D receptor (VDR). METHODS: This prospective study included 379 699 participants without T2D at baseline from the UK Biobank. Analyses were performed according to glycemic status and HbA1c levels. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs. RESULTS: During a median of 14.1 years of follow-up, 6315 participants with normoglycemia and 9085 patients with prediabetes developed T2D. Compared with individuals with 25(OH)D < 25 nmol/L, the multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% CIs) of incident T2D for those with 25(OH)D ≥ 75 nmol/L was 0.62 (0.56, 0.70) among the normoglycemia group and 0.64 (0.58, 0.70) among the prediabetes group. A significant interaction was observed between 25(OH)D and VDR polymorphisms among participants with prediabetes (P interaction = .017), whereby the reduced HR of T2D associated with higher 25(OH)D was more prominent in those carrying the T allele of rs1544410. Triglyceride levels mediated 26% and 34% of the association between serum 25(OH)D and incident T2D among participants with normoglycemia and prediabetes, respectively. CONCLUSION: Higher serum 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with lower T2D risk across the glycemic spectrum below the threshold for diabetes, and the relations in prediabetes were modified by VDR polymorphisms. Improving the lipid profile, mainly triglycerides, accounted for part of the favorable associations.

Long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and risk of microvascular complications among patients with type 2 diabetes: a prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) may disproportionately suffer the adverse cardiovascular effects of air pollution, but relevant evidence on microvascular outcome is lacking. We aimed to examine the association between air pollution exposure and the risk of microvascular complications among patients with T2D. METHODS: This prospective study included 17 995 participants with T2D who were free of macro- and micro-vascular complications at baseline from the UK Biobank. Annual average concentrations of particulate matter (PM) with diameters <2.5 µm (PM2.5), <10 µm (PM10), nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and nitrogen oxides (NOx) were assessed using land use regression models. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the associations of air pollution exposure with incident diabetic microvascular complications. The joint effects of the air pollutant mixture were examined using quantile-based g-computation in a survival setting. RESULTS: In single-pollutant models, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for composite diabetic microvascular complications per interquartile range increase in PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and NOx were 1.09 (1.04-1.14), 1.06 (1.01-1.11), 1.07 (1.02-1.12) and 1.04 (1.00-1.08), respectively. Similar significant results were found for diabetic nephropathy and diabetic neuropathy, but not for diabetic retinopathy. The associations of certain air pollutants with composite microvascular complications and diabetic nephropathy were present even at concentrations below the World Health Organization limit values. Multi-pollutant analyses demonstrated that PM2.5 contributed most to the elevated risk associated with the air pollutant mixture. In addition, we found no interactions between air pollution and metabolic risk factor control on the risk of diabetic microvascular complications. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term individual and joint exposure to PM2.5, PM10, NO2 and NOx, even at low levels, was associated with an increased risk of diabetic microvascular complications, with PM2.5 potentially being the main contributor.

Assessing the impact of type 2 diabetes on mortality and life expectancy according to the number of risk factor targets achieved: an observational study.

BACKGROUND: Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is associated with an increased risk of premature death. Whether multifactorial risk factor modification could attenuate T2D-related excess risk of death is unclear. We aimed to examine the association of risk factor target achievement with mortality and life expectancy among patients with T2D, compared with individuals without diabetes. METHODS: In this longitudinal cohort study, we included 316 995 participants (14 162 with T2D and 302 833 without T2D) free from cardiovascular disease (CVD) or cancer at baseline between 2006 and 2010 from the UK Biobank. Participants with T2D were categorised according to the number of risk factors within target range (non-smoking, being physically active, healthy diet, guideline-recommended levels of glycated haemoglobin, body mass index, blood pressure, and total cholesterol). Survival models were applied to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality and predict life expectancy differences. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 13.8 (IQR 13.1-14.4) years, deaths occurred among 2105 (14.9%) participants with T2D and 18 505 (6.1%) participants without T2D. Compared with participants without T2D (death rate per 1000 person-years 4.51 [95% CI 4.44 to 4.57]), the risk of all-cause mortality among those with T2D decreased stepwise with an increasing number of risk factors within target range (0-1 risk factor target achieved: absolute rate difference per 1000 person-years 7.34 [4.91 to 9.78], HR 2.70 [2.25 to 3.25]; 6-7 risk factors target achieved: absolute rate difference per 1000 person-years 0.68 [-0.62 to 1.99], HR 1.16 [0.93 to 1.43]). A similar pattern was observed for CVD and cancer mortality. The association between risk factors target achievement and all-cause mortality was more prominent among participants younger than 60 years than those 60 years or older (P for interaction = 0.012). At age 50 years, participants with T2D who had 0-1 and 6-7 risk factors within target range had an average 7.67 (95% CI 6.15 to 9.19) and 0.99 (-0.59 to 2.56) reduced years of life expectancy, respectively, compared with those without T2D. CONCLUSIONS: Individuals with T2D who achieved multiple risk factor targets had no significant excess mortality risk or reduction in life expectancy than those without diabetes. Early interventions aiming to promote risk factor modification could translate into improved long-term survival for patients with T2D.

Association of combined healthy lifestyle with risk of adverse outcomes in patients with prediabetes.

OBJECTIVE: Prediabetes and lifestyle factors have been associated with the risks of multiple adverse outcomes, but the effect of a healthy lifestyle on prediabetes-related complications remains unknown. We aimed to investigate whether the risks of multiple adverse outcomes including incident type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and chronic kidney disease (CKD) among individuals with prediabetes can be offset by a broad combination of healthy lifestyle factors. METHODS: This prospective study used data from the UK Biobank cohort. An overall lifestyle score ranging from 0 to 6 was created with 1 point for each of the 6 healthy lifestyle factors: no current smoking, moderate alcohol consumption, regular physical activity, healthy diet, no overweight or obese, and adequate sleep duration. T2DM, CVD, and CKD were ascertained during a median follow-up of 14 years. Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to estimate the associations. Sensitivity analyses were performed to test the robustness of the results. RESULTS: We included 202,993 participants without T2DM, CVD, and CKD at baseline (mean age 55.5 years [SD 8.1]; 54.7% were women). Among these participants, 6,745, 16,961, and 6,260 participants eventually developed T2DM, CVD, and CKD, respectively. Compared with the participants with normoglycaemia, those with prediabetes showed a higher risk of these adverse outcomes. In addition, those prediabetic participants with a lifestyle score of 0-1 had a significantly higher risk of T2DM (hazard ratio [HR] 16.73, 95% CI 14.24, 19.65), CVD (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.74, 2.21), and CKD (HR 1.92, 95% CI 1.58, 2.34) compared with those with no prediabetes and a score of 5-6. Moreover, among the participants with prediabetes, the HRs for T2DM, CVD, and CKD comparing a lifestyle score of 5-6 versus 0-1 decreased to 0.43 (95% CI 0.36, 0.51), 0.52 (95% CI 0.44, 0.62), and 0.60 (95% CI 0.46, 0.79), respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Combined healthy lifestyle factors were associated with a significantly lower risk of multiple adverse outcomes, including T2DM, CVD, and CKD. This indicates that prioritising multifactorial approaches to behavioural lifestyle modification is crucial for preventing and postponing the development of complications related to prediabetes.

Sweetened Beverages, Genetic Susceptibility, and Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Prospective Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: An association between sweetened beverages and several cardiometabolic diseases has been reported, but their association with atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. We aimed to investigate the associations between consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSB), artificially sweetened beverages (ASB), and pure fruit juice (PJ) and risk of consumption with AF risk and further evaluate whether genetic susceptibility modifies these associations. METHODS: A total of 201 856 participants who were free of baseline AF, had genetic data available, and completed a 24-hour diet questionnaire were included. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: During a median follow-up of 9.9 years, 9362 incident AF cases were documented. Compared with nonconsumers, individuals who consumed >2 L/wk of SSB or ASB had an increased risk of AF (HR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.01-1.20] and HR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.10-1.31]) in the multivariable-adjusted model. A negative association was observed between the consumption of ≤1 L/wk of PJ and the risk of AF (HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.87-0.97]). The highest HRs (95% CIs) of AF were observed for participants at high genetic risk who consumed >2 L/wk of ASB (HR, 3.51 [95% CI, 2.94-4.19]), and the lowest HR were observed for those at low genetic risk who consumed ≤1 L/wk of PJ (HR, 0.77 [95% CI, 0.65-0.92]). No significant interactions were observed between the consumption of SSB, ASB, or PJ and genetic predisposition to AF. CONCLUSIONS: Consumption of SSB and ASB at >2 L/wk was associated with an increased risk for AF. PJ consumption ≤1 L/wk was associated with a modestly lower risk for AF. The association between sweetened beverages and AF risk persisted after adjustment for genetic susceptibility to AF. This study does not demonstrate that consumption of SSB and ASB alters AF risk but rather that the consumption of SSB and ASB may predict AF risk beyond traditional risk factors.