Which Social Variables Predict Diabetes Onset? Robust Findings in Two National Surveys.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: The role of social factors in diabetes onset has been obscured by wide variation in their conceptualization and operationalization. We apply 3 theoretical frameworks to categorize social relationship variables along several dimensions and identify which dimension(s) are robustly associated with incident diabetes in the older adult population. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The National Social Life, Health, and Aging Project (n = 2,365) and the Health and Retirement Study (n =11,824) provided longitudinal data from 57 to 90-year-old respondents over a 4- to 5-year period. Logistic regression models were used to test associations of 15 social variables measured identically in both data sets with diabetes onset measured as respondents' first report of a physician's diagnosis. RESULTS: In both studies, not being married, experiencing strain in a spousal relationship, and feeling lonely were associated with increased risk for diabetes onset at follow-up. Inconsistent or null findings were observed for social support, social activity, network size, number of friends and relatives, living alone, and closeness to network members. DISCUSSION AND IMPLICATIONS: Robust findings in 2 large-scale surveys support the importance of the valence dimension (i.e., positive and negative); specifically, alleviating negative aspects of social life might more effectively reduce risk for diabetes than augmenting positive ones. Findings were not aligned with social variables differing on the subjectivity dimension (i.e., structural, functional, and qualitative aspects of social connections). Future work needs consistent conceptualization and measurement of social factors to correctly identify and categorize risk factors for diabetes onset and other health conditions in older adults.

Prediabetes Progression and Reversion: Social Factors and Racial/Ethnic Differences.

OBJECTIVE: Racial and ethnic minorities are disproportionately affected by diabetes. Social characteristics, such as family structure, social support, and loneliness, may contribute to these health disparities. In a nationally representative sample of diverse older adults, we evaluated longitudinal rates of both progression from prediabetes to diabetes and reversion from prediabetes to normoglycemia. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: Using the longitudinal Health and Retirement Study (2006-2014), our sample included 2625 follow-up intervals with a prediabetes baseline (provided by 2229 individuals). We analyzed 4-year progression and reversion rates using HbA1c and reported presence or absence of physician-diagnosed diabetes. We utilized chi-square and logistic regression models to determine how race/ethnicity and social variables influenced progression or reversion controlling for comorbidities and demographics. RESULTS: Overall, progression to diabetes was less common than reversion (17% vs. 36%). Compared to Whites, Hispanic/Latino respondents had higher odds of progression to diabetes from prediabetes while Black respondents had lower odds of reversion, adjusting for physical health and demographics. For social variables, Hispanics/Latinos had the highest reliance on and openness with family and the lowest rates of loneliness. The inclusion of social variables in regression models reduced the odds of progression for Hispanics/Latinos but did not alter Black's lower rate of reversion. CONCLUSIONS: Hispanic/Latinos and Blacks not only had different transition pathways leading to diabetes, but also had different social profiles, affecting Hispanic/Latino progression, but not Black reversion. These differences in the influence of social variables on diabetes risk may inform the design of culturally-specific efforts to reduce disparities in diabetes burden.