Diagnostic Identification of Acute Brain Dysfunction in Pediatric Sepsis and Septic Shock in the Electronic Health Record: A Comparison of Four Definitions in a Reference Dataset.

OBJECTIVES: Acute brain dysfunction (ABD) in pediatric sepsis has a prevalence of 20%, but can be difficult to identify. Our previously validated ABD computational phenotype (CPABD) used variables obtained from the electronic health record indicative of clinician concern for acute neurologic or behavioral change. We tested whether the CPABD has better diagnostic performance to identify confirmed ABD than other definitions using the Glasgow Coma Scale or delirium scores. DESIGN: Diagnostic testing in a curated cohort of pediatric sepsis/septic shock patients. SETTING: Quaternary freestanding children's hospital. SUBJECTS: The test dataset comprised 527 children with sepsis/septic shock managed between 2011 and 2021 with a prevalence (pretest probability) of confirmed ABD of 30% (159/527). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: CPABD was based on use of neuroimaging, electroencephalogram, and/or administration of new antipsychotic medication. We compared the performance of the CPABD with three GCS/delirium-based definitions of ABD-Proulx et al, International Pediatric Sepsis Consensus Conference, and Pediatric Organ Dysfunction Information Update Mandate. The posttest probability of identifying ABD was highest in CPABD (0.84) compared with other definitions. CPABD also had the highest sensitivity (83%; 95% CI, 76-89%) and specificity (93%; 95% CI, 90-96%). The false discovery rate was lowest in CPABD (1-in-6) as was the false omission rate (1-in-14). Finally, the prevalence threshold for the definitions varied, with the CPABD being the definition closest to 20%. CONCLUSIONS: In our curated dataset of pediatric sepsis/septic shock, CPABD had favorable characteristics to identify confirmed ABD compared with GCS/delirium-based definitions. The CPABD can be used to further study the impact of ABD in studies using large electronic health datasets.

International Consensus Criteria for Pediatric Sepsis and Septic Shock.

Importance: Sepsis is a leading cause of death among children worldwide. Current pediatric-specific criteria for sepsis were published in 2005 based on expert opinion. In 2016, the Third International Consensus Definitions for Sepsis and Septic Shock (Sepsis-3) defined sepsis as life-threatening organ dysfunction caused by a dysregulated host response to infection, but it excluded children. Objective: To update and evaluate criteria for sepsis and septic shock in children. Evidence Review: The Society of Critical Care Medicine (SCCM) convened a task force of 35 pediatric experts in critical care, emergency medicine, infectious diseases, general pediatrics, nursing, public health, and neonatology from 6 continents. Using evidence from an international survey, systematic review and meta-analysis, and a new organ dysfunction score developed based on more than 3 million electronic health record encounters from 10 sites on 4 continents, a modified Delphi consensus process was employed to develop criteria. Findings: Based on survey data, most pediatric clinicians used sepsis to refer to infection with life-threatening organ dysfunction, which differed from prior pediatric sepsis criteria that used systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria, which have poor predictive properties, and included the redundant term, severe sepsis. The SCCM task force recommends that sepsis in children be identified by a Phoenix Sepsis Score of at least 2 points in children with suspected infection, which indicates potentially life-threatening dysfunction of the respiratory, cardiovascular, coagulation, and/or neurological systems. Children with a Phoenix Sepsis Score of at least 2 points had in-hospital mortality of 7.1% in higher-resource settings and 28.5% in lower-resource settings, more than 8 times that of children with suspected infection not meeting these criteria. Mortality was higher in children who had organ dysfunction in at least 1 of 4-respiratory, cardiovascular, coagulation, and/or neurological-organ systems that was not the primary site of infection. Septic shock was defined as children with sepsis who had cardiovascular dysfunction, indicated by at least 1 cardiovascular point in the Phoenix Sepsis Score, which included severe hypotension for age, blood lactate exceeding 5 mmol/L, or need for vasoactive medication. Children with septic shock had an in-hospital mortality rate of 10.8% and 33.5% in higher- and lower-resource settings, respectively. Conclusions and Relevance: The Phoenix sepsis criteria for sepsis and septic shock in children were derived and validated by the international SCCM Pediatric Sepsis Definition Task Force using a large international database and survey, systematic review and meta-analysis, and modified Delphi consensus approach. A Phoenix Sepsis Score of at least 2 identified potentially life-threatening organ dysfunction in children younger than 18 years with infection, and its use has the potential to improve clinical care, epidemiological assessment, and research in pediatric sepsis and septic shock around the world.

Development and Validation of the Phoenix Criteria for Pediatric Sepsis and Septic Shock.

Importance: The Society of Critical Care Medicine Pediatric Sepsis Definition Task Force sought to develop and validate new clinical criteria for pediatric sepsis and septic shock using measures of organ dysfunction through a data-driven approach. Objective: To derive and validate novel criteria for pediatric sepsis and septic shock across differently resourced settings. Design, Setting, and Participants: Multicenter, international, retrospective cohort study in 10 health systems in the US, Colombia, Bangladesh, China, and Kenya, 3 of which were used as external validation sites. Data were collected from emergency and inpatient encounters for children (aged <18 years) from 2010 to 2019: 3 049 699 in the development (including derivation and internal validation) set and 581 317 in the external validation set. Exposure: Stacked regression models to predict mortality in children with suspected infection were derived and validated using the best-performing organ dysfunction subscores from 8 existing scores. The final model was then translated into an integer-based score used to establish binary criteria for sepsis and septic shock. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome for all analyses was in-hospital mortality. Model- and integer-based score performance measures included the area under the precision recall curve (AUPRC; primary) and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC; secondary). For binary criteria, primary performance measures were positive predictive value and sensitivity. Results: Among the 172 984 children with suspected infection in the first 24 hours (development set; 1.2% mortality), a 4-organ-system model performed best. The integer version of that model, the Phoenix Sepsis Score, had AUPRCs of 0.23 to 0.38 (95% CI range, 0.20-0.39) and AUROCs of 0.71 to 0.92 (95% CI range, 0.70-0.92) to predict mortality in the validation sets. Using a Phoenix Sepsis Score of 2 points or higher in children with suspected infection as criteria for sepsis and sepsis plus 1 or more cardiovascular point as criteria for septic shock resulted in a higher positive predictive value and higher or similar sensitivity compared with the 2005 International Pediatric Sepsis Consensus Conference (IPSCC) criteria across differently resourced settings. Conclusions and Relevance: The novel Phoenix sepsis criteria, which were derived and validated using data from higher- and lower-resource settings, had improved performance for the diagnosis of pediatric sepsis and septic shock compared with the existing IPSCC criteria.

Revisiting Post-ICU Admission Fluid Balance Across Pediatric Sepsis Mortality Risk Strata: A Secondary Analysis of a Prospective Observational Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: Post-ICU admission cumulative positive fluid balance (PFB) is associated with increased mortality among critically ill patients. We sought to test whether this risk varied across biomarker-based risk strata upon adjusting for illness severity, presence of severe acute kidney injury (acute kidney injury), and use of continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) in pediatric septic shock. DESIGN: Ongoing multicenter prospective observational cohort. SETTING: Thirteen PICUs in the United States (2003-2023). PATIENTS: Six hundred and eighty-one children with septic shock. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Cumulative percent PFB between days 1 and 7 (days 1-7 %PFB) was determined. Primary outcome of interest was complicated course defined as death or persistence of greater than or equal to two organ dysfunctions by day 7. Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model (PERSEVERE)-II biomarkers were used to assign mortality probability and categorize patients into high mortality (n = 91), intermediate mortality (n = 134), and low mortality (n = 456) risk strata. Cox proportional hazard regression models with adjustment for PERSEVERE-II mortality probability, presence of sepsis-associated acute kidney injury on day 3, and use of CRRT, demonstrated that time-dependent variable days 1-7%PFB was independently associated with an increased hazard of complicated course. Risk-stratified analyses revealed that each 10% increase in days 1-7 %PFB was associated with increased hazard of complicated course only among patients with high mortality risk strata (adjusted hazard ratio 1.24 (95% CI, 1.08-1.43), p = 0.003). However, this association was not causally mediated by PERSEVERE-II biomarkers. CONCLUSIONS: Our data demonstrate the influence of cumulative %PFB on the risk of complicated course in pediatric septic shock. Contrary to our previous report, this risk was largely driven by patients categorized as having a high mortality risk based on PERSEVERE-II biomarkers. Incorporation of such prognostic enrichment tools in randomized trials of restrictive fluid management or early initiation of de-escalation strategies may inform targeted application of such interventions among at-risk patients.

Pediatric Sepsis Diagnosis, Management, and Sub-phenotypes.

Sepsis and septic shock are major causes of morbidity, mortality, and health care costs for children worldwide, including >3 million deaths annually and, among survivors, risk for new or worsening functional impairments, including reduced quality of life, new respiratory, nutritional, or technological assistance, and recurrent severe infections. Advances in understanding sepsis pathophysiology highlight a need to update the definition and diagnostic criteria for pediatric sepsis and septic shock, whereas new data support an increasing role for automated screening algorithms and biomarker combinations to assist earlier recognition. Once sepsis or septic shock is suspected, attention to prompt initiation of broad-spectrum empiric antimicrobial therapy, fluid resuscitation, and vasoactive medications remain key components to initial management with several new and ongoing studies offering new insights into how to optimize this approach. Ultimately, a key goal is for screening to encompass as many children as possible at risk for sepsis and trigger early treatment without increasing unnecessary broad-spectrum antibiotics and preventable hospitalizations. Although the role for adjunctive treatment with corticosteroids and other metabolic therapies remains incompletely defined, ongoing studies will soon offer updated guidance for optimal use. Finally, we are increasingly moving toward an era in which precision therapeutics will bring novel strategies to improve outcomes, especially for the subset of children with sepsis-induced multiple organ dysfunction syndrome and sepsis subphenotypes for whom antibiotics, fluid, vasoactive medications, and supportive care remain insufficient.

SERUM HUMANIN IN PEDIATRIC SEPTIC SHOCK-ASSOCIATED MULTIPLE-ORGAN DYSFUNCTION SYNDROME.

ABSTRACT: Background: Multiple-organ dysfunction syndrome disproportionately contributes to pediatric sepsis morbidity. Humanin (HN) is a small peptide encoded by mitochondrial DNA and thought to exert cytoprotective effects in endothelial cells and platelets. We sought to test the association between serum HN (sHN) concentrations and multiple-organ dysfunction syndrome in a prospectively enrolled cohort of pediatric septic shock. Methods: Human MT-RNR2 ELISA was used to determine sHN concentrations on days 1 and 3. The primary outcome was thrombocytopenia-associated multiorgan failure (TAMOF). Secondary outcomes included individual organ dysfunctions on day 7. Associations across pediatric sepsis biomarker (PERSEVERE)-based mortality risk strata and correlation with platelet and markers of endothelial activation were tested. Results: One hundred forty subjects were included in this cohort, of whom 39 had TAMOF. The concentration of sHN was higher on day 1 relative to day 3 and among those with TAMOF phenotype in comparison to those without. However, the association between sHN and TAMOF phenotype was not significant after adjusting for age and illness severity in multivariate models. In secondary analyses, sHN was associated with presence of day 7 sepsis-associated acute kidney injury ( P = 0.049). Furthermore, sHN was higher among those with high PERSEVERE-mortality risk strata and correlated with platelet counts and several markers of endothelial activation. Conclusion: Future investigation is necessary to validate the association between sHN and sepsis-associated acute kidney injury among children with septic shock. Furthermore, mechanistic studies that elucidate the role of HN may lead to therapies that promote organ recovery through restoration of mitochondrial homeostasis among those critically ill.

Derivation, validation, and transcriptomic assessment of pediatric septic shock phenotypes identified through latent profile analyses: Results from a prospective multi-center observational cohort.

Background: Sepsis poses a grave threat, especially among children, but treatments are limited due to clinical and biological heterogeneity among patients. Thus, there is an urgent need for precise subclassification of patients to guide therapeutic interventions. Methods: We used clinical, laboratory, and biomarker data from a prospective multi-center pediatric septic shock cohort to derive phenotypes using latent profile analyses. Thereafter, we trained a support vector machine model to assign phenotypes in a hold-out validation set. We tested interactions between phenotypes and common sepsis therapies on clinical outcomes and conducted transcriptomic analyses to better understand the phenotype-specific biology. Finally, we compared whether newly identified phenotypes overlapped with established gene-expression endotypes and tested the utility of an integrated subclassification scheme. Findings: Among 1,071 patients included, we identified two phenotypes which we named 'inflamed' (19.5%) and an 'uninflamed' phenotype (80.5%). The 'inflamed' phenotype had an over 4-fold risk of 28-day mortality relative to those 'uninflamed'. Transcriptomic analysis revealed overexpression of genes implicated in the innate immune response and suggested an overabundance of developing neutrophils, pro-T/NK cells, and NK cells among those 'inflamed'. There was no significant overlap between endotypes and phenotypes. However, an integrated subclassification scheme demonstrated varying survival probabilities when comparing endophenotypes. Interpretation: Our research underscores the reproducibility of latent profile analyses to identify clinical and biologically informative pediatric septic shock phenotypes with high prognostic relevance. Pending validation, an integrated subclassification scheme, reflective of the different facets of the host response, holds promise to inform targeted intervention among those critically ill.

External validation of the modified sepsis renal angina index for prediction of severe acute kidney injury in children with septic shock.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) occurs commonly in pediatric septic shock and increases morbidity and mortality. Early identification of high-risk patients can facilitate targeted intervention to improve outcomes. We previously modified the renal angina index (RAI), a validated AKI prediction tool, to improve specificity in this population (sRAI). Here, we prospectively assess sRAI performance in a separate cohort. METHODS: A secondary analysis of a prospective, multicenter, observational study of children with septic shock admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit from 1/2019 to 12/2022. The primary outcome was severe AKI (≥ KDIGO Stage 2) on Day 3 (D3 severe AKI), and we compared predictive performance of the sRAI (calculated on Day 1) to the original RAI and serum creatinine elevation above baseline (D1 SCr > Baseline +). Original renal angina fulfillment (RAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 8; sepsis renal angina fulfillment (sRAI +) was defined as RAI ≥ 20 or RAI 8 to < 20 with platelets < 150 × 103/µL. RESULTS: Among 363 patients, 79 (22%) developed D3 severe AKI. One hundred forty (39%) were sRAI + , 195 (54%) RAI + , and 253 (70%) D1 SCr > Baseline + . Compared to sRAI-, sRAI + had higher risk of D3 severe AKI (RR 8.9, 95%CI 5-16, p < 0.001), kidney replacement therapy (KRT) (RR 18, 95%CI 6.6-49, p < 0.001), and mortality (RR 2.5, 95%CI 1.2-5.5, p = 0.013). sRAI predicted D3 severe AKI with an AUROC of 0.86 (95%CI 0.82-0.90), with greater specificity (74%) than D1 SCr > Baseline (36%) and RAI + (58%). On multivariable regression, sRAI + retained associations with D3 severe AKI (aOR 4.5, 95%CI 2.0-10.2, p < 0.001) and need for KRT (aOR 5.6, 95%CI 1.5-21.5, p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Prediction of severe AKI in pediatric septic shock is important to improve outcomes, allocate resources, and inform enrollment in clinical trials examining potential disease-modifying therapies. The sRAI affords more accurate and specific prediction than context-free SCr elevation or the original RAI in this population.

Distinct clinical phenotypes in paediatric cancer patients with sepsis are associated with different outcomes-an international multicentre retrospective study.

Background: Identifying phenotypes in sepsis patients may enable precision medicine approaches. However, the generalisability of these phenotypes to specific patient populations is unclear. Given that paediatric cancer patients with sepsis have different host response and pathogen profiles and higher mortality rates when compared to non-cancer patients, we determined whether unique, reproducible, and clinically-relevant sepsis phenotypes exist in this specific patient population. Methods: We studied patients with underlying malignancies admitted with sepsis to one of 25 paediatric intensive care units (PICUs) participating in two large, multi-centre, observational cohorts from the European SCOTER study (n = 383 patients; study period between January 1, 2018 and January 1, 2020) and the U.S. Novel Data-Driven Sepsis Phenotypes in Children study (n = 1898 patients; study period between January 1, 2012 and January 1, 2018). We independently used latent class analysis (LCA) in both cohorts to identify phenotypes using demographic, clinical, and laboratory data from the first 24 h of PICU admission. We then tested the association of the phenotypes with clinical outcomes in both cohorts. Findings: LCA identified two distinct phenotypes that were comparable across both cohorts. Phenotype 1 was characterised by lower serum bicarbonate and albumin, markedly increased lactate and hepatic, renal, and coagulation abnormalities when compared to phenotype 2. Patients with phenotype 1 had a higher 90-day mortality (European cohort 29.2% versus 13.4%, U.S. cohort 27.3% versus 11.4%, p < 0.001) and received more vasopressor and renal replacement therapy than patients with phenotype 2. After adjusting for severity of organ dysfunction, haematological cancer, prior stem cell transplantation and age, phenotype 1 was associated with an adjusted OR of death at 90-day of 1.9 (1.04-3.34) in the European cohort and 1.6 (1.2-2.2) in the U.S. cohort. Interpretation: We identified two clinically-relevant sepsis phenotypes in paediatric cancer patients that are reproducible across two international, multicentre cohorts with prognostic implications. These results may guide further research regarding therapeutic approaches for these specific phenotypes. Funding: Part of this study is funded by the Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development.

Transcriptomic profiles of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome phenotypes in pediatric critical influenza.

Background: Influenza virus is responsible for a large global burden of disease, especially in children. Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome (MODS) is a life-threatening and fatal complication of severe influenza infection. Methods: We measured RNA expression of 469 biologically plausible candidate genes in children admitted to North American pediatric intensive care units with severe influenza virus infection with and without MODS. Whole blood samples from 191 influenza-infected children (median age 6.4 years, IQR: 2.2, 11) were collected a median of 27 hours following admission; for 45 children a second blood sample was collected approximately seven days later. Extracted RNA was hybridized to NanoString mRNA probes, counts normalized, and analyzed using linear models controlling for age and bacterial co-infections (FDR q<0.05). Results: Comparing pediatric samples collected near admission, children with Prolonged MODS for ≥7 days (n=38; 9 deaths) had significant upregulation of nine mRNA transcripts associated with neutrophil degranulation (RETN, TCN1, OLFM4, MMP8, LCN2, BPI, LTF, S100A12, GUSB) compared to those who recovered more rapidly from MODS (n=27). These neutrophil transcripts present in early samples predicted Prolonged MODS or death when compared to patients who recovered, however in paired longitudinal samples, they were not differentially expressed over time. Instead, five genes involved in protein metabolism and/or adaptive immunity signaling pathways (RPL3, MRPL3, HLA-DMB, EEF1G, CD8A) were associated with MODS recovery within a week. Conclusion: Thus, early increased expression of neutrophil degranulation genes indicated worse clinical outcomes in children with influenza infection, consistent with reports in adult cohorts with influenza, sepsis, and acute respiratory distress syndrome.

The Modified Clinical Progression Scale for Pediatric Patients: Evaluation as a Severity Metric and Outcome Measure in Severe Acute Viral Respiratory Illness.

OBJECTIVES: To develop, evaluate, and explore the use of a pediatric ordinal score as a potential clinical trial outcome metric in children hospitalized with acute hypoxic respiratory failure caused by viral respiratory infections. DESIGN: We modified the World Health Organization Clinical Progression Scale for pediatric patients (CPS-Ped) and assigned CPS-Ped at admission, days 2-4, 7, and 14. We identified predictors of clinical improvement (day 14 CPS-Ped ≤ 2 or a three-point decrease) using competing risks regression and compared clinical improvement to hospital length of stay (LOS) and ventilator-free days. We estimated sample sizes (80% power) to detect a 15% clinical improvement. SETTING: North American pediatric hospitals. PATIENTS: Three cohorts of pediatric patients with acute hypoxic respiratory failure receiving intensive care: two influenza (pediatric intensive care influenza [PICFLU], n = 263, 31 sites; PICFLU vaccine effectiveness [PICFLU-VE], n = 143, 17 sites) and one COVID-19 ( n = 237, 47 sites). INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: Invasive mechanical ventilation rates were 71.4%, 32.9%, and 37.1% for PICFLU, PICFLU-VE, and COVID-19 with less than 5% mortality for all three cohorts. Maximum CPS-Ped (0 = home at respiratory baseline to 8 = death) was positively associated with hospital LOS ( p < 0.001, all cohorts). Across the three cohorts, many patients' CPS-Ped worsened after admission (39%, 18%, and 49%), with some patients progressing to invasive mechanical ventilation or death (19%, 11%, and 17%). Despite this, greater than 76% of patients across cohorts clinically improved by day 14. Estimated sample sizes per group using CPS-Ped to detect a percentage increase in clinical improvement were feasible (influenza 15%, n = 142; 10%, n = 225; COVID-19, 15% n = 208) compared with mortality ( n > 21,000, all), and ventilator-free days (influenza 15%, n = 167). CONCLUSIONS: The CPS-Ped can be used to describe the time course of illness and threshold for clinical improvement in hospitalized children and adolescents with acute respiratory failure from viral infections. This outcome measure could feasibly be used in clinical trials to evaluate in-hospital recovery.

Core mitochondrial genes are down-regulated during SARS-CoV-2 infection of rodent and human hosts.

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) viral proteins bind to host mitochondrial proteins, likely inhibiting oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS) and stimulating glycolysis. We analyzed mitochondrial gene expression in nasopharyngeal and autopsy tissues from patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). In nasopharyngeal samples with declining viral titers, the virus blocked the transcription of a subset of nuclear DNA (nDNA)-encoded mitochondrial OXPHOS genes, induced the expression of microRNA 2392, activated HIF-1α to induce glycolysis, and activated host immune defenses including the integrated stress response. In autopsy tissues from patients with COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2 was no longer present, and mitochondrial gene transcription had recovered in the lungs. However, nDNA mitochondrial gene expression remained suppressed in autopsy tissue from the heart and, to a lesser extent, kidney, and liver, whereas mitochondrial DNA transcription was induced and host-immune defense pathways were activated. During early SARS-CoV-2 infection of hamsters with peak lung viral load, mitochondrial gene expression in the lung was minimally perturbed but was down-regulated in the cerebellum and up-regulated in the striatum even though no SARS-CoV-2 was detected in the brain. During the mid-phase SARS-CoV-2 infection of mice, mitochondrial gene expression was starting to recover in mouse lungs. These data suggest that when the viral titer first peaks, there is a systemic host response followed by viral suppression of mitochondrial gene transcription and induction of glycolysis leading to the deployment of antiviral immune defenses. Even when the virus was cleared and lung mitochondrial function had recovered, mitochondrial function in the heart, kidney, liver, and lymph nodes remained impaired, potentially leading to severe COVID-19 pathology.

Prognostic and predictive value of endothelial dysfunction biomarkers in sepsis-associated acute kidney injury: risk-stratified analysis from a prospective observational cohort of pediatric septic shock.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) is associated with high morbidity, with no current therapies available beyond continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT). Systemic inflammation and endothelial dysfunction are key drivers of SA-AKI. We sought to measure differences between endothelial dysfunction markers among children with and without SA-AKI, test whether this association varied across inflammatory biomarker-based risk strata, and develop prediction models to identify those at highest risk of SA-AKI. METHODS: Secondary analyses of prospective observational cohort of pediatric septic shock. Primary outcome of interest was the presence of ≥ Stage II KDIGO SA-AKI on day 3 based on serum creatinine (D3 SA-AKI SCr). Biomarkers including those prospectively validated to predict pediatric sepsis mortality (PERSEVERE-II) were measured in Day 1 (D1) serum. Multivariable regression was used to test the independent association between endothelial markers and D3 SA-AKI SCr. We conducted risk-stratified analyses and developed prediction models using Classification and Regression Tree (CART), to estimate risk of D3 SA-AKI among prespecified subgroups based on PERSEVERE-II risk. RESULTS: A total of 414 patients were included in the derivation cohort. Patients with D3 SA-AKI SCr had worse clinical outcomes including 28-day mortality and need for CRRT. Serum soluble thrombomodulin (sTM), Angiopoietin-2 (Angpt-2), and Tie-2 were independently associated with D3 SA-AKI SCr. Further, Tie-2 and Angpt-2/Tie-2 ratios were influenced by the interaction between D3 SA-AKI SCr and risk strata. Logistic regression demonstrated models predictive of D3 SA-AKI risk performed optimally among patients with high- or intermediate-PERSEVERE-II risk strata. A 6 terminal node CART model restricted to this subgroup of patients had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) 0.90 and 0.77 upon tenfold cross-validation in the derivation cohort to distinguish those with and without D3 SA-AKI SCr and high specificity. The newly derived model performed modestly in a unique set of patients (n = 224), 84 of whom were deemed high- or intermediate-PERSEVERE-II risk, to distinguish those patients with high versus low risk of D3 SA-AKI SCr. CONCLUSIONS: Endothelial dysfunction biomarkers are independently associated with risk of severe SA-AKI. Pending validation, incorporation of endothelial biomarkers may facilitate prognostic and predictive enrichment for selection of therapeutics in future clinical trials among critically ill children.

SERUM SOLUBLE ENDOGLIN IN PEDIATRIC SEPTIC SHOCK-ASSOCIATED MULTIPLE ORGAN DYSFUNCTION SYNDROME.

ABSTRACT: Background: Endothelial activation is a key driver of multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS). Soluble endoglin (sENG) is expressed by mature and progenitor endothelial cells and thought to have angiogenic properties. We sought to determine the association between sENG and pediatric sepsis-associated MODS. Methods: Prospective observational study of pediatric septic shock. Primary outcome of interest was complicated course-a composite of death by (or) MODS on day 7 of illness. Secondary outcomes included individual organ dysfunctions. Endothelial biomarkers including sENG were measured using multiplex Luminex assays among patients with existing data on the Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model (PERSEVERE-II) data. Multivariable regression was used to test the independent association between sENG and clinical outcomes. Serum sENG concentrations across PERSEVERE-II mortality risk strata and correlations with established markers of endothelial dysfunction were determined. Results: Three hundred six critically ill children with septic shock were included. Serum sENG concentrations were higher among those with primary and secondary outcomes of interest, with the exception of acute neurological dysfunction. Soluble endoglin was independently associated with increased odds of complicated course (adjusted odds ratio, 1.53; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-2.27; P = 0.038) and acute renal dysfunction (adjusted odds ratio, 1.84; 95% confidence interval, 1.18-2.876; P = 0.006). Soluble endoglin demonstrated graded responses across PERSEVERE-II risk strata and was positively correlated with endothelial biomarkers, except angiopoietin-1. Conclusions: Serum sENG is independently associated with complicated course and acute renal dysfunction in pediatric septic shock. Future studies are required to validate our observational data, and mechanistic studies are necessary to elucidate whether endoglin plays an organ-specific role in the development or resolution of acute renal dysfunction in sepsis.

Revisiting post-ICU admission fluid balance across pediatric sepsis mortality risk strata: A secondary analyses from a prospective observational cohort study.

Introduction: Post-ICU admission cumulative positive fluid balance (PFB) is associated with increased mortality among critically ill patients. We sought to test whether this risk varied across biomarker-based risk strata upon adjusting for illness severity, presence of severe acute kidney injury (AKI), and use of renal replacement therapy (CRRT) in pediatric septic shock. Design: Ongoing multi-center prospective observational cohort. Setting: Thirteen pediatric ICUs in the United States (2003-2023). Patients: Six hundred and eighty-one children with septic shock. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: Cumulative percent positive fluid balance between day 1-7 (Day 1-7%PFB) was determined. Primary outcome of interest was complicated course defined as death or persistence of ≥ 2 organ dysfunctions by day 7. PERSEVERE-II biomarkers were used to assign mortality probability and categorize patients into high (n = 91), intermediate (n = 134), and low (n = 456) mortality risk strata. Cox proportional hazard regression models with adjustment for PERSEVERE-II mortality probability, presence of sepsis associated acute kidney injury (SA-AKI) on Day 3, and any use of CRRT, demonstrated that time-dependent variable Day 1-7%PFB was independently associated with increased hazard of complicated course in the cohort. Risk stratified analyses revealed that each 10% increase in Day 1-7%PFB was independently associated with increased hazard of complicated course among patients with high mortality risk strata (adj HR of 1.24 (95%CI: 1.08-1.42), p = 0.002), but not among those categorized as intermediate- or low- mortality risk. Conclusions: Our data demonstrate the independent influence of cumulative %PFB on the risk of complicated course. Contrary to our previous report, this risk was largely driven by patients categorized as having a high-mortality risk based on PERSEVERE-II biomarkers. Further research is necessary to determine whether this subset of patients may benefit from targeted deployment of restrictive fluid management or early initiation of de-escalation therapies upon resolution of shock.

Derivation, Validation, and Clinical Relevance of a Pediatric Sepsis Phenotype With Persistent Hypoxemia, Encephalopathy, and Shock.

OBJECTIVES: Untangling the heterogeneity of sepsis in children and identifying clinically relevant phenotypes could lead to the development of targeted therapies. Our aim was to analyze the organ dysfunction trajectories of children with sepsis-associated multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) to identify reproducible and clinically relevant sepsis phenotypes and determine if they are associated with heterogeneity of treatment effect (HTE) to common therapies. DESIGN: Multicenter observational cohort study. SETTING: Thirteen PICUs in the United States. PATIENTS: Patients admitted with suspected infections to the PICU between 2012 and 2018. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: We used subgraph-augmented nonnegative matrix factorization to identify candidate trajectory-based phenotypes based on the type, severity, and progression of organ dysfunction in the first 72 hours. We analyzed the candidate phenotypes to determine reproducibility as well as prognostic, therapeutic, and biological relevance. Overall, 38,732 children had suspected infection, of which 15,246 (39.4%) had sepsis-associated MODS with an in-hospital mortality of 10.1%. We identified an organ dysfunction trajectory-based phenotype (which we termed persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock) that was highly reproducible, had features of systemic inflammation and coagulopathy, and was independently associated with higher mortality. In a propensity score-matched analysis, patients with persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype appeared to have HTE and benefit from adjuvant therapy with hydrocortisone and albumin. When compared with other high-risk clinical syndromes, the persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype only overlapped with 50%-60% of patients with septic shock, moderate-to-severe pediatric acute respiratory distress syndrome, or those in the top tier of organ dysfunction burden, suggesting that it represents a nonsynonymous clinical phenotype of sepsis-associated MODS. CONCLUSIONS: We derived and validated the persistent hypoxemia, encephalopathy, and shock phenotype, which is highly reproducible, clinically relevant, and associated with HTE to common adjuvant therapies in children with sepsis.

Detrimental effects of PCSK9 loss-of-function in the pediatric host response to sepsis are mediated through independent influence on Angiopoietin-1.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is associated with significant mortality. Yet, there are no efficacious therapies beyond antibiotics. PCSK9 loss-of-function (LOF) and inhibition, through enhanced low-density lipoprotein receptor (LDLR) mediated endotoxin clearance, holds promise as a potential therapeutic approach among adults. In contrast, we have previously demonstrated higher mortality in the juvenile host. Given the potential pleiotropic effects of PCSK9 on the endothelium, beyond canonical effects on serum lipoproteins, both of which may influence sepsis outcomes, we sought to test the influence of PCSK9 LOF genotype on endothelial dysfunction. METHODS: Secondary analyses of a prospective observational cohort of pediatric septic shock. Genetic variants of PCSK9 and LDLR genes, serum PCSK9, and lipoprotein concentrations were determined previously. Endothelial dysfunction markers were measured in day 1 serum. We conducted multivariable linear regression to test the influence of PCSK9 LOF genotype on endothelial markers, adjusted for age, complicated course, and low- and high-density lipoproteins (LDL and HDL). Causal mediation analyses to test impact of select endothelial markers on the association between PCSK9 LOF genotype and mortality. Juvenile Pcsk9 null and wildtype mice were subject to cecal slurry sepsis and endothelial markers were quantified. RESULTS: A total of 474 patients were included. PCSK9 LOF was associated with several markers of endothelial dysfunction, with strengthening of associations after exclusion of those homozygous for the rs688 LDLR variant that renders it insensitive to PCSK9. Serum PCSK9 was not correlated with endothelial dysfunction. PCSK9 LOF influenced concentrations of Angiopoietin-1 (Angpt-1) upon adjusting for potential confounders including lipoprotein concentrations, with false discovery adjusted p value of 0.042 and 0.013 for models that included LDL and HDL, respectively. Causal mediation analysis demonstrated that the effect of PCSK9 LOF on mortality was mediated by Angpt-1 (p = 0.0008). Murine data corroborated these results with lower Angpt-1 and higher soluble thrombomodulin among knockout mice with sepsis relative to the wildtype. CONCLUSIONS: We present genetic and biomarker association data that suggest a potential direct role of the PCSK9-LDLR pathway on Angpt-1 in the developing host with septic shock and warrant external validation. Further, mechanistic studies on the role of PCSK9-LDLR pathway on vascular homeostasis may lead to the development of pediatric-specific sepsis therapies.

Frequency of and Risk Factors Associated With Hospital Readmission After Sepsis.

OBJECTIVES: Although children who survive sepsis are at risk for readmission, identification of patient-level variables associated with readmission has been limited by administrative datasets. We determined frequency and cause of readmission within 90 days of discharge and identified patient-level variables associated with readmission using a large, electronic health record-based registry. METHODS: This retrospective observational study included 3464 patients treated for sepsis or septic shock between January 2011 and December 2018 who survived to discharge at a single academic children's hospital. We determined frequency and cause of readmission through 90 days post-discharge and identified patient-level variables associated with readmission. Readmission was defined as inpatient treatment within 90 days post-discharge from a prior sepsis hospitalization. Outcomes were frequency of and reasons for 7-, 30-, and 90-day (primary) readmission. Patient variables were tested for independent associations with readmission using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: Following index sepsis hospitalization, frequency of readmission at 7, 30, and 90 days was 7% (95% confidence interval 6%-8%), 20% (18%-21%), and 33% (31%-34%). Variables independently associated with 90-day readmission were age ≤ 1 year, chronic comorbid conditions, lower hemoglobin and higher blood urea nitrogen at sepsis recognition, and persistently low white blood cell count ≤ 2 thous/µL. These variables explained only a small proportion of overall risk (pseudo-R2 range 0.05-0.13) and had moderate predictive validity (area under the receiver operating curve range 0.67-0.72) for readmission. CONCLUSIONS: Children who survive sepsis were frequently readmitted, most often for infections. Risk for readmission was only partly indicated by patient-level variables.

Serum renin and prorenin concentrations predict severe persistent acute kidney injury and mortality in pediatric septic shock.

BACKGROUND: Studies in critically ill adults demonstrate associations between serum renin concentrations (a proposed surrogate for renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system dysregulation) and poor outcomes, but data in critically ill children are lacking. We assessed serum renin + prorenin concentrations in children with septic shock to determine their predictive ability for acute kidney injury (AKI) and mortality. METHODS: We conducted a secondary analysis of a multicenter observational study of children aged 1 week to 18 years admitted to 14 pediatric intensive care units (PICUs) with septic shock and residual serum available for renin + prorenin measurement. Primary outcomes were development of severe persistent AKI (≥ KDIGO stage 2 for ≥ 48 h) in the first week and 28-day mortality. RESULTS: Among 233 patients, day 1 median renin + prorenin concentration was 3436 pg/ml (IQR 1452-6567). Forty-two (18%) developed severe persistent AKI and 32 (14%) died. Day 1 serum renin + prorenin predicted severe persistent AKI with an AUROC of 0.75 (95% CI 0.66-0.84, p < 0.0001; optimal cutoff 6769 pg/ml) and mortality with an AUROC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.69-0.89, p < 0.0001; optimal cutoff 6521 pg/ml). Day 3/day 1 (D3:D1) renin + prorenin ratio had an AUROC of 0.73 (95% CI 0.63-0.84, p < 0.001) for mortality. On multivariable regression, day 1 renin + prorenin > optimal cutoff retained associations with severe persistent AKI (aOR 6.8, 95% CI 3.0-15.8, p < 0.001) and mortality (aOR 6.9, 95% CI 2.2-20.9, p < 0.001). Similarly, D3:D1 renin + prorenin > optimal cutoff was associated with mortality (aOR 7.6, 95% CI 2.5-23.4, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Children with septic shock have very elevated serum renin + prorenin concentrations on PICU admission, and these concentrations, as well as their trend over the first 72 h, predict severe persistent AKI and mortality. A higher resolution version of the Graphical abstract is available as Supplementary information.